Model-informed drug development in pediatric, pregnancy and geriatric drug development: States of the art and future

The challenges of drug development in pediatric, pregnant and geriatric populations are a worldwide concern shared by regulatory authorities, pharmaceutical companies, and healthcare professionals. Model-informed drug development (MIDD) can integrate and quantify real-world data of physiology, pharmacology, and disease processes by using modeling and simulation techniques to facilitate decision-making in drug development. In this article, we reviewed current MIDD policy updates, reflected on the integrity of physiological data used for MIDD and the effects of physiological changes on the drug PK, as well as summarized current MIDD strategies and applications, so as to present the state of the art of MIDD in pediatric, pregnant and geriatric populations. Some considerations are put forth for the future improvements of MIDD including refining regulatory considerations, improving the integrity of physiological data, applying the emerging technologies, and exploring the application of MIDD in new therapies like gene therapies for special populations.

Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modelling of oral drug absorption in older adults - an AGePOP review

The older population consisting of persons aged 65 years or older is the fastest-growing population group and also the major consumer of pharmaceutical products. Due to the heterogenous ageing process, this age group shows high interindividual variability in the dose-exposure-response relationship and, thus, a prediction of drug safety and efficacy is challenging. Although physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modelling is a well-established tool to inform and confirm drug dosing strategies during drug development for special population groups, age-related changes in absorption are poorly accounted for in current PBPK models. The purpose of this review is to summarise the current state-of-knowledge in terms of physiological changes with increasing age that can influence the oral absorption of dosage forms. The capacity of common PBPK platforms to incorporate these changes and describe the older population is also discussed, as well as the implications of extrinsic factors such as drug-drug interactions associated with polypharmacy on the model development process. The future potential of this field will rely on addressing the gaps identified in this article, which can subsequently supplement in-vitro and in-vivo data for more robust decision-making on the adequacy of the formulation for use in older adults and inform pharmacotherapy.

Physiologically-based pharmacokinetic modeling to predict drug-drug interactions of dabigatran etexilate and rivaroxaban in the Chinese older adults

INTRODUCTION

Drug-drug interaction (DDI) is one of the major concerns for the clinical use of NOACs in the older adults considering that coexistence of multiple diseases and comorbidity were common. Current guidelines on the DDI management were established based on clinical studies conducted in healthy adults and mainly focus on the Caucasians, whereas systemic and ethnic differences may lead to distinct management in the Chinese older adults.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the impact of aging on the DDI magnitude between P-gp and/or CYP3A4 inhibitors with dabigatran etexilate and rivaroxaban in older adults, providing additional information for the use in clinical practice.

RESULTS

Compared with the simulated adult, the AUC of the simulated older adults increased by 42-88% (DABE) and 21-60% (rivaroxaban), respectively, during NOACs monotherapy. Simulation on DDIs predicted that verapamil and clarithromycin further increase the exposure of dabigatran by 29-72% and 40-47%, whereas clarithromycin, fluconazole, and ketoconazole increase the exposure of rivaroxaban by 21-30%, 16-24%, and 194-247% in the older adults. Overall, our simulation result demonstrated that aging and DDIs both increased the exposure of NOACs. However, aging does not have a drastic impact on the extent of DDIs. The DDI ratios of young and old older adults were similar to the adults and were also similar between Caucasians and Chinese.

DISCUSSION

We further simulated the interactions under steady-state based on the EHRA guideline (2021). Our simulation results revealed that recommended reduced dosing regimen of dabigatran etexilate during comedication with verapamil and clarithromycin (110 and 75 mg BID for Chinese young and old older adults) will result in exposure (trough concentration) that was either slightly higher or similar to the trough concentration of patients with any bleeding events. Routine monitoring of bleeding risk is encouraged. Further studies on the use of rivaroxaban in Chinese older adults are warranted.

CONCLUSION

Aging and DDI increases exposure of drug in Chinese older adults. However, aging does not have a drastic impact on the extent of DDIs. Clinical management of DDIs in Chinese older adults in the absence of complex polypharmacy can a priori be similar to the EHRA guideline but routine monitoring of bleeding risk is encouraged when dabigatran etexilate given with verapamil and clarithromycin.

On the perspective of an aging population and its potential impact on drug attrition and pre-clinical cardiovascular safety assessment

There is no refuting that America's population is growing older: for the first time in US history, by 2034 older adults (defined as >65 years of age) are projected to outnumber children under the age of 18, representing approximately 70 million people or almost 25% of the population (Lloyd-Jones et al., 2010). Described as the "silver tsunami", this flood of older adults is driven by the baby boomers (people born after World War II, from 1946 to 1964): they are now reaching old age, living longer due to significant advances in healthcare coupled with a record low birth rate, resulting in a skewed elderly population demographic. Unfortunately, older adults are also becoming increasingly unhealthy. Many often suffer from several chronic disorders requiring the use of multiple medications at a level higher than any other age group, resulting in an increased risk of drug-drug interactions (DDIs) and adverse drug reactions (ADRs). Indeed, because of age-related changes in pharmacokinetics (PK) and pharmacodynamics (PD), older adults are also more vulnerable to drug toxicity. Prescribed drugs certainly improve a range of health outcomes, but also often cause considerable ADRs, leading to devastating consequences for patients, clinicians, and manufacturers. Therefore, safe and effective pharmacotherapy remains one of the greatest growing challenges in geriatric medicine. In this review we examine the effects of aging and its impact on the increased risk of experiencing ADRs, resulting in devastating consequences for patients and manufacturers. We assess the current regulatory considerations related to the development of drugs for this population and highlight issues, concerns, and propose alternatives to the standard battery of tests focused on assessing cardiovascular (CV) safety in an attempt to develop safer and efficient new drugs for the growing elderly demographic.

Application of a dual mechanistic approach to support bilastine dose selection for older adults

The objective of this study was to evaluate bilastine dosing recommendations in older adults and overcome the limitation of insufficient data from phase I studies in this underrepresented population. This was achieved by integrating bilastine physicochemical, in vitro and in vivo data in young adults and the effect of aging in the pharmacology by means of two alternative approaches: a physiologically‐based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model and a semi‐mechanistic population pharmacokinetic (Senescence) model. Intestinal apical efflux and basolateral influx transporters were needed in the PBPK model to capture the observations from young adults after single i.v. (10 mg) and p.o. (20 mg) doses, supporting the hypothesis of involvement of gut transporters on secretion. The model was then used to extrapolate the pharmacokinetics (PKs) to elderly subjects considering their specific physiology. Additionally, the Senescence model was develop starting from a published population PK) model, previously applied for pediatrics, and incorporating declining functions on different physiological systems and changes in body composition with aging. Both models were qualified using observed data in a small group of young elderlies (N = 16, mean age = 68.69 years). The PBPK model was further used to evaluate the dose in older subjects (mean age = 80 years) via simulation. The PBPK model supported the hypothesis that basolateral influx and apical efflux transporters are involved in bilastine PK. Both, PBPK and Senescence models indicated that a 20 mg q.d. dose is safe and effective for geriatrics of any age. This approach provides an alternative to generate supplementary data to inform dosing recommendations in under‐represented groups in clinical trials.

Development of a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) population model for Chinese elderly subjects

Aims

This study aims to develop and verify a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) population model for the Chinese geriatric population in Simcyp.

Methods

Firstly, physiological information for the Chinese geriatric population was collected and later employed to develop the Chinese geriatric population model by recalibration of corresponding physiological parameters in the Chinese adult population model available in Simcyp (i.e., Chinese healthy volunteer model). Secondly, drug‐dependent parameters were collected for six drugs with different elimination pathways (i.e., metabolized by CYP1A2, CYP3A4 or renal excretion). The drug models were then developed and verified by clinical data from Chinese adults, Caucasian adults and Caucasian elderly subjects to ensure that drug‐dependent parameters are correctly inputted. Finally, the tested drug models in combination with the newly developed Chinese geriatric population model were applied to simulate drug concentration in Chinese elderly subjects. The predicted results were then compared with the observations to evaluate model prediction performance.

Results

Ninety‐eight per cent of predicted AUC, 95% of predicted C_max, and 100% of predicted CL values were within two‐fold of the observed values, indicating all drug models were properly developed. The drug models, combined with the newly developed population model, were then used to predict pharmacokinetics in Chinese elderly subjects aged 60–93. The predicted AUC, C_max, and CL values were all within two‐fold of the observed values.

Conclusion

The population model for the Chinese elderly subjects appears to adequately predict the concentration of the drug that was metabolized by CYP1A2, CYP3A4 or eliminated by renal clearance.