Does a normal peripheral lactate value always indicate an aerobic tissue metabolism?

The association between serum albumin and long length of stay of patients with acute heart failure: A retrospective study based on the MIMIC-IV database

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this article is to assess the relationship between serum albumin level and long length of stay (LOS) of inpatients with acute heart failure (AHF) in the intensive care unit (ICU).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data of 2280 patients with AHF from the medical information mart for intensive care IV (the MIMIC-IV) database. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to evaluate the association between serum albumin and long LOS, and the development of the predictive model was based on independent predictors of long LOS.

RESULTS

According to the statistical results, A negative linear relationship was presented between albumin and long LOS of AHF patients in the ICU (P for trend <0.001), and serum albumin could predict long LOS (AUC 0.649, 95%CI 0.616-0.683, P <0.001). Based on independent predictors, including respiratory failure (OR 1.672, 95%CI 1.289-2.169, P<0.001), WBC (OR 1.046, 95%CI 1.031-1.061, P<0.001), creatinine (OR 1.221, 95%CI 1.098-1.257, P<0.001), glucose (OR 1.010, 95%CI 1.007-1.012, P<0.001), lactic acid (OR 1.269, 95%CI 1.167-1.381, P<0.001), and albumin (OR 0.559, 95%CI 0.450-0.695, P<0.001), identified by multivariable logistic regression analysis, we developed the nomogram to predict the probability of long LOS of AHF patients in the ICU. The nomogram accurately predicted the probability of long LOS (AUC 0.740, 95%CI 0.712-0.768, P<0.001). The calibration suggested the predictive probability was highly consistent with the actual probability of long LOS. Decision curve analysis (DCA) also suggested that the nomogram was applicable in the clinic.

CONCLUSION

Serum albumin level was negatively associated with LOS among AHF patients. The predictive model based on serum albumin has predictive value for evaluating the length of stay in AHF patients.

Development and Validation of a Simple-to-Use Nomogram for Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in Patients With Acute Heart Failure Undergoing Continuous Renal Replacement Therapy

Background: Patients with acute heart failure (AHF) who require continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) have a high risk of in-hospital mortality. It is clinically important to screen high-risk patients using a model or scoring system. This study aimed to develop and validate a simple-to-use nomogram consisting of independent prognostic variables for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in patients with AHF undergoing CRRT.

Methods: We collected clinical data for 121 patients with a diagnosis of AHF who underwent CRRT in an AHF unit between September 2011 and August 2020 and from 105 patients in the medical information mart for intensive care III (MIMIC-III) database. The nomogram model was created using a visual processing logistic regression model and verified using the standard method.

Results: Patient age, days after admission, lactic acid level, blood glucose concentration, and diastolic blood pressure were the significant prognostic factors in the logistic regression analyses and were included in our model (named D-GLAD) as predictors. The resulting model containing the above-mentioned five factors had good discrimination ability in both the training group (C-index, 0.829) and the validation group (C-index, 0.740). The calibration and clinical effectiveness showed the nomogram to be accurate for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in both the training and validation cohort when compared with other models. The in-hospital mortality rates in the low-risk, moderate-risk, and high-risk groups were 14.46, 40.74, and 71.91%, respectively.

Conclusion: The nomogram allowed the optimal prediction of in-hospital mortality in adults with AHF undergoing CRRT. Using this simple-to-use model, the in-hospital mortality risk can be determined for an individual patient and could be useful for the early identification of high-risk patients. An online version of the D-GLAD model can be accessed at https://ahfcrrt-d-glad.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/.

Clinical Trial Registration:www.ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier: NCT0751838.

The Prognostic Value of Prehospital Blood Lactate Levels to Predict Early Mortality in Acute Cardiovascular Disease

INTRODUCTION

The knowledge of the prognostic value of prehospital lactate (PLA) is limited. Our objective was to evaluate the predictive capacity of PLA to predict early mortality (within 48 h) from the index event in acute cardiovascular disease (ACVD).

METHODS

Prospective, longitudinal, multicenter, observational study in patients, attended by advanced life support units, transferred to the emergency department of their reference hospital and diagnosed with ACVD. We collected demographic, physiological, clinical, analytical variables, main cardiological diagnosis, and data on hospital admission and early mortality. The main outcome variable was mortality from any cause within 2 days.

RESULTS

Between March 1, 2018 and January 31, 2019, a total of 492 patients were included in our study. Early mortality after the index event within the first 48 h affected 27 patients (5.5%). The most frequent cause of care demand was chest pain with 223 cases (45.3%). The predictive power of PLA to discriminate mortality at 2 days obtained an area under the curve of 0.911 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.83-0.98, P < 0.001). A value equal or superior to 4.3 mmol/L globally attained a sensitivity of 92.6% (95% CI, 76.6-97.9) with a specificity of 82.8% (95% CI, 79.1-86.0), with a positive predictive value of 23.8 (16.7-32.8) and a negative predictive value of 99.5 (98.1-99.9).

CONCLUSION

PLA represents a prognostic biomarker with excellent predictive capacity for ACVD. Prehospital Emergency Services (PhEMS) should incorporate this test routinely in their usual procedures.

Serum Anion Gap Is Associated with All-Cause Mortality among Critically Ill Patients with Congestive Heart Failure

Background

Congestive heart failure (CHF) is a complex clinical syndrome, with high morbidity and mortality. Serum anion gap (SAG) is associated with the severity of various cardiovascular diseases. However, the role of SAG indicators in CHF is unclear.

Methods and Results

A retrospective analysis of data from Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care III version 1.4 was conducted in critically ill patients with CHF. The clinical information of each patient, including demographic data, comorbidities, vital signs, scores, and laboratory indicators, were successfully obtained. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the relationship between SAG and mortality in patients with CHF, the consistency of which was further verified by subgroup analysis.

Results

A total of 7426 subjects met the inclusion criteria. Multivariate analysis showed that after adjusting for age, gender, ethnicity, and other potential confounders, increased SAG was significantly related to an increase in 30- and 90-day all-cause mortalities of critically ill patients with CHF compared with decreased SAG (tertile 3 versus tertile 1: adjusted hazard ratio, 95% confidence interval: 1.74, 1.46–2.08; 1.53, 1.32–1.77). Subgroup analysis indicated that the association between SAG and all-cause mortality presented similarities in most strata.

Conclusion

SAG at admission could be a promising predictor of all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with CHF.

Serum Concentrations of Citrate, Tyrosine, 2- and 3- Hydroxybutyrate are Associated with Increased 3-Month Mortality in Acute Heart Failure Patients

Considering the already established relationship between the extent of the metabolic dysfunction and the severity of heart failure (HF), it is conceivable that the metabolomic profile of the serum may have a prognostic capacity for 3-month mortality in acute heart failure (AHF). Out of 152 recruited patients, 130 serum samples were subjected to the metabolomic analyses. The 3-month mortality rate was 24.6% (32 patients). Metabolomic profiling by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy found that the serum levels of 2-hydroxybutyrate (2-HB), 3-hydoxybutyrate (3-HB), lactate, citrate, and tyrosine, were higher in patients who died within 3 months compared to those who were alive 3 months after onset of AHF, which was confirmed by univariable logistic regression analyses (p = 0.009, p = 0.005, p = 0.008, p<0.001, and p<0.001, respectively). These associations still remained significant for all tested metabolites except for lactate after adjusting for established prognostic parameters in HF. In conclusion, serum levels of 2-HB, 3-HB, tyrosine, and citrate measured at admission are associated with an increased 3-month mortality rate in AHF patients and might thus be of prognostic value in AHF.

Increased blood lactate is prevalent and identifies poor prognosis in patients with acute heart failure without overt peripheral hypoperfusion

AIMS

Lactate is produced by anaerobic metabolism and may reflect inadequate tissue perfusion in conditions such as acute heart failure (AHF). We evaluated the prevalence and clinical significance of elevated blood lactate on admission in patients with AHF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We enrolled 237 patients with AHF (mean age 67 ± 12 years; 70% men) presenting without overt clinical evidence of peripheral hypoperfusion ('warm haemodynamic profile'). Median (upper and lower quartiles) blood lactate on admission was 1.8 (1.5; 2.4) mmol/L; 103 (43%) patients had an elevated blood lactate (≥2 mmol/L). Patients with an elevated lactate had higher blood high-sensitivity troponin I [15.4 (8.5; 26.1) vs. 9.9 (4.3; 19.6) pg/mL], aspartate aminotransferase [28 (20; 44) vs 24 (19; 36) IU/L] and endothelin-1 (12.1 ± 6.2 vs. 9.3 ± 3.9 pg/mL) (all P < 0.05). In this group plasma concentration of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin increased during the first 48 h, whereas values fell for those with normal baseline lactate [1.9 (-3.2; 9.7) vs. -1.3 (-13.9; 5.6) μg/dL; P < 0.05). One-year mortality was higher amongst patients with an elevated blood lactate (36% vs. 21%; P < 0.05). After adjustment for other well-established prognostic variables, blood lactate on admission predicted poor outcome (hazard ratio 1.24, 95% confidence interval 1.08-1.41; P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

An elevated blood lactate on admission is common in AHF patients without overt clinical evidence of peripheral hypoperfusion and is associated with markers of organ dysfunction/damage and a worse prognosis.