Early (90-day) mortality after radical radiotherapy for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma: A population-based analysis

Incorporation of stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes into an early death prediction model significantly improves net reclassification for outcome estimation in advanced buccal cancer

We explored the impact of stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) on the prognostic value of an early death model for advanced buccal cancer. We assessed 121 patients with advanced buccal cancer who underwent primary tumor resection at a medical center. Predictors of early death and 5-year overall survival (OS) were analyzed using Cox regression models. Performance of models was evaluated with the Harrell C and Akaike information criterion. The net reclassification improvement of the early death model was also calculated relative to the 5-year OS model for one-year all-cause mortality. A total of 121 patients with advanced buccal cancer were recruited. Mean age was 56.1 ± 9.8 years; 117 (96.7%) patients were male. sTILs ≤30%, clinical nodal disease, pathological nodal disease, poor differentiation, lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, WPOI 5, and no adjuvant radiotherapy were risk factors for early death in univariate analysis. In multivariate analysis, clinical TNM, sTILs, clinical nodal disease, poor differentiation, lymphovascular invasion, and no adjuvant RT were independent factors for early death. sTILs, pathological nodal disease, poor differentiation, lymphovascular invasion, and no adjuvant RT were independent factors for early death in the multivariate model with pathological TNM. The discriminatory ability was better for early death model for 1-year all-cause mortality. Finally, incorporation of sTILs into the early death model increased net reclassification by 21% for the clinical TNM model and 28% for the pathological TNM model. Addition of sTILs improved the early death model, which may help physicians to identify high-risk patients for more intensive treatment and follow-up.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of persistent bacteremia in patients with head and neck cancer in a tertiary care hospital

Introduction

Compared to other cancers, research on bloodstream infection in head and neck cancer is scarce, lacking comparative studies on persistent versus transient bacteremia outcomes.

Methods

This retrospective survey examined patients with head and neck cancer undergoing blood culture at our center from June 2009 to May 2023. Blood culture-positive cases suspected of infection were divided into persistent bacteremia and transient bacteremia groups. We investigated their clinical, epidemiological, and microbiological features, including risk factors for persistent bacteremia and mortality. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality.

Results

In this 97-patient cohort, 14 (14%) cases were assigned to the persistent bacteremia group. Catheter-related bloodstream infections were the leading cause of infection in both groups, consistently contributing to a high proportion of overall bloodstream infections. The mortality rate was generally higher in the persistent bacteremia group than in the transient bacteremia group (odds ratio [OR], 2.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.6-11.1), particularly in the non-clearance subgroup (OR, 9; 95% CI, 0.5-155.2). Pyogenic spondylitis was a key risk factor for persistent bacteremia, while hypoalbuminemia increased mortality.

Conclusion

In patients with bacteremia and head and neck cancer, persistent bacteremia was associated with higher mortality than was transient bacteremia. Adittionally, bacteremia clearance in persistent bacteremia is thus crucial for prognostic improvement.

Six-month mortality has decreased for patients with curative treatment intent for head and neck cancer in Sweden

BACKGROUND

In general, survival outcomes for patients with Head and Neck Cancer (HNC) has improved over recent decades. However, mortality within six months after diagnosis for curative patients remains at approximately 5%. The aim of this study was to identify risk factors for early death among patients with curative treatment, and furthermore, to analyze whether the risk of early death changed over recent years.

MATERIAL AND METHOD

This real-world, population-based, nationwide study from the Swedish Head and Neck Cancer Register (SweHNCR) included all patients ≥18 years diagnosed with HNC with a curative treatment intent at the multidisciplinary tumor board from 2008 to 2020. A total of 16,786 patients were included.

RESULTS

During the study period a total of 618 (3.7%) patients with curative-intended treatment died within six months of diagnosis. Patients diagnosed between 2008 and 2012 had a six-month mortality rate of 4.7% compared to 2.5% for patients diagnosed between 2017 and 2020, indicating a risk reduction of 53% (p <0.001) for death within six months. The mean time to radiation therapy from diagnosis in the 2008-2012 cohort was 38 days, compared to 22 days for the 2017-2020 cohort, (p <0.001). The mean time to surgery from diagnosis was 22 days in 2008-2012, compared to 15 days for the 2017-2020 cohort, (p <0.001). Females had a 20% lower risk of dying within six months compared to males (p = 0.013). For every year older the patient was at diagnosis, a 4.8% (p <0.001) higher risk of dying within six months was observed. Patients with a WHO score of 1 had approximately 2.4-times greater risk of early death compared to WHO 0 patients (p <0.001). The risk of early death among WHO 4 patients was almost 28 times higher than for WHO 0 patients (p <0.001). Patients with a hypopharyngeal tumor site had a 2.5-fold higher risk of dying within six months from diagnosis compared to oropharyngeal tumor patients (p <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

We found that the risk of early death decreased significantly from 2008 to 2020. During this period, the mean time to the start of treatment was significantly reduced both for surgery and oncological treatment regimes. Among patients with a curative treatment intention, increased risk of early death was associated with male sex, older age, advanced disease, increased WHO score, and a hypopharyngeal tumor site.

Nomogram to predict risk of early mortality following definitive or adjuvant radiation and systemic therapy for head and neck cancer

Purpose/Objectives

We sought to create nomograms to predict individual risk of early mortality, which can identify patients who require interventions to prevent early death.

Methods

We included patients in the National Cancer Database with non-metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck who received radiation and systemic therapy between 2004 and 2017 in the definitive or adjuvant setting. Early mortality was defined as any death less than 90 days after starting radiation. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between covariates and early mortality. Nomograms to predict the risk of early death were created for both the definitive and adjuvant settings.

Results

Among 84,563 patients in the definitive group and 18,514 patients in the adjuvant group, rates of early mortality were 3.5 % (95 % CI 3.4-3.7 %) and 2.2 %, (95 % CI 1.9-2.4 %), respectively. Patients above the age of 70 had an early mortality rate of 7.8 % (95 % CI 7.3-8.2 %) in the definitive group and 4.4 % (95 % CI 3.6-5.4 %) in the adjuvant group. In the multivariable analysis, age, comorbidity, T and N category, and tumor site were associated with early mortality in both cohorts (p < 0.05 for all). Nomograms including age, comorbidity, T and N category and tumor site performed better than age alone at predicting early mortality (AUC for definitive group: 0.70 vs 0.66; AUC for adjuvant group: 0.71 vs 0.61).

Conclusion

Nomograms including age, comorbidity, T and N category and tumor site were developed to predict the risk of early death following definitive or adjuvant chemoradiation.

Mortality during or shortly after Curative-Intent Radio-(Chemo-)Therapy over the last decade at a large comprehensive cancer center

Background and Introduction

Definitive surgical, oncological and radio-oncological treatment may result in significant morbidity and acute mortality. Mortality during or shortly after treatment in patients undergoing curative radio-(chemo)-therapy has not been studied systematically. We reviewed all curative radio-(chemo-)therapies at a large comprehensive cancer center over the last decade.

Materials and Methods

The institutional record was screened for patients who received curative-intent radio-(chemo-)therapy and deceased during or within 30 days after radiotherapy. Curative therapy was defined as prescribed dosage of EQD2 ≥ 50 Gy for radiotherapy alone and EQD2 ≥ 40 Gy for radiochemotherapies. Data on demographics, disease and treatment were assembled and assessed.

Results

Of 15,255 radiotherapy courses delivered at our center, 8,515 (56%) were performed with curative-intent. During or within 30 days after radio-(chemo-)therapy, 78 patients died (0.9% of all curative-intent courses). Median age of the deceased patients was 70 (IQR, 62-78) years, and 36% (28/78) were female. Median pre-therapeutic ECOG-PS was 1 (IQR, 0-2) and Charlson-Comorbidity-Index was 3+ (IQR, 2-3+). The most common primary malignancies were head and neck cancer (33/78; 42%) and central nervous system tumors (13/78; 17%). Peritherapeutic mortality varied by primary tumor, with the highest prevalence observed in head and neck and gastrointestinal cancer patients with 2.9% (33/1,144) and 2.4% (8/332), respectively. Among patients with known cause of death (34/78; 44%), tumor progression (12/34; 35%) and pulmonary complications/causes (11/34; 35%) were most common. On multivariable regression analysis, a worse ECOG-PS was associated with a relatively earlier peri-radiotherapeutic death (p = 0.014).

Conclusion

Mortality during or within 30 days of curative-intent radio-(chemo-)therapy was low, yet highest for head and neck (2.9%) and gastrointestinal tumor (2.4%) patients. Reasons for these findings include rapid tumor progression in some cancers, good patient selection, with ECOG-PS being most useful and predictive for avoiding early mortality. Future research should help refine predictors for peri-RT mortality.

Global research trends in immunotherapy for head and neck neoplasms: A scientometric study

In recent decades, the traditional treatment of head and neck neoplasms has reached a bottleneck with limited improvement in overall survival. Nevertheless, the emerging field of immunotherapy has shown promise. Literature on research into immunotherapy for head and neck neoplasms was retrieved from WoSCC. Citespace was used as a scientometric analysis tool for text mining and visualization of the scientific literature. This analysis included 1915 documents. Recently, the annual number of publications and citations has been growing rapidly. 'Oncology' was the most popular research area. The most dominant institution and country were the University of Pittsburgh and the USA. Ferris RL was not only the most prolific but also the most cited author, demonstrating a strong influence and reputation. Of the ten core journals identified in this field, Cancer Research ranked first. 'Regulatory T cell', 'PD-1' and 'biomarker' were regarded as current hotspots, while 'recurrent' and 'nivolumab' were considered as trending keywords. The most cited reference was Ferris RL (2016). Notably, the front trends and future directions in the field may lie in the clinical practice of combination therapy of immunotherapy plus other therapies, the mechanism of impaired immune surveillance, and the improvement in resistance to immunotherapeutic agents. It is firmly believed that the present scientometric analysis has provided both a macroscopic and microscopic overview of research into immunotherapy for head and neck neoplasms, which will assist researchers and oncologists to better understand this discipline and thus promote further development and policies in this field.

Early Mortality among Patients with Head and Neck Cancer Diagnosed in Thuringia, Germany, between 1996 and 2016—A Population-Based Study

Population-based studies on early mortality in head and neck cancer (HNC) are sparse. This retrospective population-based study investigated early mortality of HNC and the influence of patients’ tumor and treatment characteristics. All 8288 patients with primary HNC of the German federal state Thuringia from 1996 to 2016 were included. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to identify independent factors for 30-day, 90-day, and 180-day mortality. The 30-, 90-, and 180-day mortality risks were 1.8%, 5.1%, and 9.6%, respectively. In multivariable analysis, male sex (odds ratio (OR) 1.41; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08–1.84), increasing age (OR 1.81; CI 1.49–2.19), higher T (T4: OR 3.09; CI 1.96–4.88) and M1 classification (OR 1.97; CI 1.43–2.73), advanced stage (IV: OR 3.97; CI 1.97–8.00), tumors of the cavity of mouth (OR 3.47; CI 1.23–9.75), oropharynx (OR 3.01; CI 1.06–8.51), and hypopharynx (OR 3.27; CI 1.14–9.40) had a significantly greater 180-day mortality. Surgery (OR 0.51; CI 0.36–0.73), radiotherapy (OR 0.37; CI 0.25–0.53), and multimodal therapy (OR 0.10; CI 0.07–0.13) were associated with decreased 180-day mortality. Typical factors associated with worse overall survival had the most important impact on early mortality in a population-based setting.

Early non-cancer mortality risk prediction after curative-intent radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

In patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), curative-intent radiotherapy (RT)andchemoradiotherapy (CRT)areassociated with substantial acute morbidity and 5-10% of patients die within 180 days of treatment initiation.Mostof these early deaths occur without HNSCCrecurrence or progression andmay therefore be preventable to some extent.We developed a prediction tool to estimate the risk of non-HNSCC mortality occurring within the first 180 days followingRT/CRT initiation.

METHODS

Patients with HNSCC treated with RT/CRT, including postoperative RT/CRT, at Rigshospitalet or Herlev Hospitals between 2010-2017 were identified in the Danish Head and Neck Cancer Group (DAHANCA) database. Predictor variables included age, stage, performance status, tumor subsite including p16 status, comorbidity, postoperative status, smoking and pre-treatment albumin levels. The 180-day non-HNSCCmortality risk was estimated by combining cause-specific Cox regression models.

RESULTS

We included 2209 patients.The 180-daynon-HNSCCmortality rate was 4.4% and almostone third (31.6%) of non-HNSCCdeathswere caused by pneumonia.After internal model validation, the area under the receiver operating curve was 0.74 (95% CI: 0.66-0.81) and calibration was good for risk predictions ranging from 0-20%.

CONCLUSION

We developed a prediction tool to estimate the 180-day non-HNSCC mortality risk. This tool can be used to select high-risk patients for supportive interventions aiming to improve survival rates, and is availablefor interactive use at https://emriskpred.shinyapps.io/EMNED_App/.

Accurate Three-Dimensional Thermal Dosimetry and Assessment of Physiologic Response Are Essential for Optimizing Thermoradiotherapy

Numerous randomized trials have revealed that hyperthermia (HT) + radiotherapy or chemotherapy improves local tumor control, progression free and overall survival vs. radiotherapy or chemotherapy alone. Despite these successes, however, some individuals fail combination therapy; not every patient will obtain maximal benefit from HT. There are many potential reasons for failure. In this paper, we focus on how HT influences tumor hypoxia, since hypoxia negatively influences radiotherapy and chemotherapy response as well as immune surveillance. Pre-clinically, it is well established that reoxygenation of tumors in response to HT is related to the time and temperature of exposure. In most pre-clinical studies, reoxygenation occurs only during or shortly after a HT treatment. If this were the case clinically, then it would be challenging to take advantage of HT induced reoxygenation. An important question, therefore, is whether HT induced reoxygenation occurs in the clinic that is of radiobiological significance. In this review, we will discuss the influence of thermal history on reoxygenation in both human and canine cancers treated with thermoradiotherapy. Results of several clinical series show that reoxygenation is observed and persists for 24-48 h after HT. Further, reoxygenation is associated with treatment outcome in thermoradiotherapy trials as assessed by: (1) a doubling of pathologic complete response (pCR) in human soft tissue sarcomas, (2) a 14 mmHg increase in pO2 of locally advanced breast cancers achieving a clinical response vs. a 9 mmHg decrease in pO2 of locally advanced breast cancers that did not respond and (3) a significant correlation between extent of reoxygenation (as assessed by pO2 probes and hypoxia marker drug immunohistochemistry) and duration of local tumor control in canine soft tissue sarcomas. The persistence of reoxygenation out to 24-48 h post HT is distinctly different from most reported rodent studies. In these clinical series, comparison of thermal data with physiologic response shows that within the same tumor, temperatures at the higher end of the temperature distribution likely kill cells, resulting in reduced oxygen consumption rate, while lower temperatures in the same tumor improve perfusion. However, reoxygenation does not occur in all subjects, leading to significant uncertainty about the thermal-physiologic relationship. This uncertainty stems from limited knowledge about the spatiotemporal characteristics of temperature and physiologic response. We conclude with recommendations for future research with emphasis on retrieving co-registered thermal and physiologic data before and after HT in order to begin to unravel complex thermophysiologic interactions that appear to occur with thermoradiotherapy.

Landscape of mortality during and within thirty days after non-palliative radiotherapy across eleven major cancer types

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Peri-RT mortality (death during or within 30 days of non-palliative radiotherapy) has been historically overlooked, and rates and risk factors are unclear.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with non-metastatic cancer, treated with non-palliative external beam radiation (RT) 2004-2016, were identified in the National Cancer Database for 11 cancer types: breast, prostate, non-prostate genitourinary, bone/soft tissue, gynecological, head/neck, lymphoma, gastrointestinal (GI), small cell lung, non-small cell lung, and central nervous system (CNS). Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify predictors of peri-RT mortality controlled for 17 covariates, including patient, tumor, and treatment factors.

RESULTS

Approximately 1.53 million patients were identified. Peri-RT mortality was 2.46% overall, spanning two orders of magnitude from 0.14% for breast to 8.52% for CNS. Peri-RT mortality steadily improved from 3.13% in 2004 to 1.78% in 2016 (P < .0001). Major predictors of peri-RT mortality included age, baseline comorbidity, male sex, and stage (P < .0001). Conversely, higher patient volume at the treating facility and use of more conformal RT planning techniques were moderately protective (P < .0001). Racial disparities varied based on disease site, as Black patients had increased peri-RT mortality for breast, lymphoma, and GI cancers, but not for other cancer types. Lack of private insurance was associated with substantially increased peri-RT mortality regardless of cancer type.

CONCLUSION

Peri-RT mortality varied considerably according to multiple factors. Sociodemographic differences highlight areas of health disparities and opportunities for quality improvement. Early recognition of patients at increased risk may facilitate implementation of closer monitoring or other preventive measures.

Bloodstream infections in head and neck cancer patients after curative-intent radiotherapy: a population-based study from the Danish Head and Neck Cancer Group database

BACKGROUND

Patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) undergoing radiotherapy (RT) or chemoradiation (CRT) may become immunocompromised. In this population-based study, we aimed to investigate the risk factors, microbiological aetiologies, prognosis and impact on early non-cancer mortality of bloodstream infections (BSIs) after RT/CRT.

METHODS

Patients with HNSCC of the pharynx, larynx and oral cavity treated with curative-intent RT/CRT in Denmark between 2010 and 2017 and subsequent BSI episodes occurring within 18 months of RT/CRT initiation were identified in national registries.

RESULTS

We included 5674 patients and observed 238 BSIs. Increasing age, stage and performance status were significantly associated with an elevated BSI risk, while sex, smoking and high-grade mucositis were not. Human papillomavirus-positive oropharyngeal cancer patients had a decreased risk. Staphylococcus aureus accounted for 34% of episodes occurring during the first 3 months. The 30-day post-BSI mortality rate was 26% (95% confidence interval: 19-32) and BSIs were involved in 10% of early non-cancer deaths.

CONCLUSION

The risk of BSI development is associated with several patient- and disease-related factors and BSIs contribute considerably to early non-cancer mortality. Empiric antibiotic treatment regimens should prioritise coverage for S. aureus when treating suspected systemic infection in this population.

Ninety-day mortality after radiotherapy for head and neck cancer: A population-based comparison between rural and urban patients

BACKGROUND

This study assesses whether 90-day mortality differs between patients living in rural and urban areas, as lower access to supportive care services in rural areas could result in higher mortality.

METHODS

All patients with head and neck cancer (HNC) treated between 1998 and 2014 with radiotherapy in British Columbia were included. Patients were divided into rurality areas according to the Modified Statistics Canada (mSC) definition, which classifies a population <30 000 as rural and ≥30 000 as urban.

RESULTS

Five thousand five hundred and fifty-four patients were included in this study, of which 68% lived in urban centers. The 90-day mortality for rural versus urban patients were 3.0% and 3.9% (p = 0.09), respectively. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed no association with 90-day mortality and rurality.

CONCLUSION

After controlling for potentially confounding factors, we did not find a significant association between 90-day mortality and rurality in patients who were treated with radiotherapy for HNC in British Columbia.

Early Mortality after Radical Radiotherapy in Head and Neck Cancer - A Nationwide Analysis from the Danish Head and Neck Cancer Group (DAHANCA) Database

AIMS

Curative-intent radiotherapy (RT) or chemoradiation (CRT) of squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (HNSCC) produces high survival rates, but is associated with substantial toxicity. However, there are no commonly accepted quality metrics for early mortality in radiation oncology. To assess the applicability of early mortality as a clinical quality indicator, this study investigated the temporal distribution, risk factors and trends of 90- and 180-day overall and non-cancer mortality in a nationwide cohort of HNSCC patients treated with RT/CRT.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Information on all HNSCC patients treated with curative-intent RT/CRT in Denmark between 2000 and 2017 was obtained from the national Danish Head and Neck Cancer Group clinical database. Deaths in patients with residual or recurrent disease after RT/CRT were classified as cancer-related. Possible risk factors were investigated using logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Data from 11 419 patients were extracted. In total, 90- and 180-day mortality risks were 3.1% and 7.1%, respectively. There was a uniform temporal distribution of 180-day mortality. In multivariable analysis, increasing age, stage, performance status, earlier treatment year and hypopharyngeal cancer were significantly associated with an increased risk (P < 0.05). Risk factor estimates were comparable for 90- versus 180-day mortality as well as for overall versus non-cancer mortality. Between 2000 and 2017 there was a significant decrease in 180-day mortality, which was driven by a reduction in cancer-related events.

CONCLUSION

The distribution of 180-day overall and non-cancer mortality did not indicate a well-defined early high-risk period. Moreover, risk factor estimates were highly similar across risk periods and groups. Taken together, our findings question the applicability of early mortality as a standard metric for treatment-associated toxicity.

Systemic Analysis of RNA Alternative Splicing Signals Related to the Prognosis for Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Alternative splicing (AS) is an important mechanism that is responsible for the production of protein diversity. An increasing body of evidence has suggested that out-of-control AS is closely related to the genesis and development of cancer. Systematic analysis of genome-wide AS in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) has not yet been carried out, and consideration of this topic remains at the preliminary stage and requires further investigation. In this study, systemic bioinformatic analysis was carried out on the genome-wide AS events of 555 clinical HNSCC samples from the TCGA database. Firstly, we statistically analyzed the distributions of seven AS event types in HNSCC samples. Then, through univariate survival analysis, we observed the relationship between AS and the prognosis of the disease and found that 437 intersections of AS events were significantly related to overall survival. Among them, 335 cross-genes showed a high degree of consistency in the genes associated with overall survival and recurrence. The overall survival was significantly related to AS events. Besides, the frequency of overall survival-related ES events was evidently reduced, while the AP and the AT events were increased. In addition, AT events accounted for the largest proportion. Further, multiple regression model analysis proved that AS could become a new classification method for HNSCC, and KEGG enrichment analysis proved that most genes and proteins interacting with AS events had different biological functions and were associated with a variety of diseases. Finally, through the selection of characteristic HNSCC genes and the construction of a prognostic model, seven cross-genes related to survival and recurrence were screened out, and these characteristic genes were verified by multivariate survival model analysis so as to classify the prognosis at different splicing times and gene expression levels. These results have laid a solid foundation for our further research and play a decisive role in showing the correlation of AS with the prognosis of HNSCC.