Model for End-Stage Liver Disease With Additional Criteria to Predict Short-Term Mortality in Severe Flares of Chronic Hepatitis B

Prognostic Value of High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol in Patients with Overt Hepatic Encephalopathy

Overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE), a serious complication of liver cirrhosis, is associated with alterations in lipid and lipoprotein metabolism. We evaluated the correlation between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels and transplant-free (TF) mortality in patients with OHE. Patients with OHE admitted to Beijing Ditan Hospital between January 2010 and August 2016 (n = 821) and between September 2016 and December 2020 (n = 480) were included in the training and validation sets, respectively. Independent predictors were explored by a multivariate Cox regression analysis, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to assess the prognostic value of these factors. The prognostic value of HDL-C was good (AUC at 1 year: 0.745) and was equivalent to that of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score (AUC at 1 year: 0.788). The optimal threshold values for HDL-C and MELD were 0.5 mmol/L and 17, respectively. The 1-year TF mortality rates in the low-risk (HDL-C ≥ 0.5 mmol/L and MELD < 17) and high-risk (HDL-C < 0.5 mmol/L and MELD ≥ 17) groups were 7.5% and 51.5% in the training set and 10.1% and 48.2% in the validation set, respectively. HDL-C level < 0.5 mmol/L and MELD score > 17 can facilitate the identification of high-risk patients and provide a basis for timely treatment.

Comparison of different preoperative objective nutritional indices for evaluating 30-d mortality and complications after liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

The nutritional status is closely related to the prognosis of liver transplant recipients, but few studies have reported the role of preoperative objective nutritional indices in predicting liver transplant outcomes.

AIM

To compare the predictive value of various preoperative objective nutritional indicators for determining 30-d mortality and complications following liver transplantation (LT).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 162 recipients who underwent LT at our institution from December 2019 to June 2022.

RESULTS

This study identified several independent risk factors associated with 30-d mortality, including blood loss, the prognostic nutritional index (PNI), the nutritional risk index (NRI), and the control nutritional status. The 30-d mortality rate was 8.6%. Blood loss, the NRI, and the PNI were found to be independent risk factors for the occurrence of severe postoperative complications. The NRI achieved the highest prediction values for 30-d mortality [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.861, P < 0.001] and severe complications (AUC = 0.643, P = 0.011). Compared to those in the high NRI group, the low patients in the NRI group had lower preoperative body mass index and prealbumin and albumin levels, as well as higher alanine aminotransferase and total bilirubin levels, Model for End-stage Liver Disease scores and prothrombin time (P < 0.05). Furthermore, the group with a low NRI exhibited significantly greater incidences of intraabdominal bleeding, primary graft nonfunction, and mortality.

CONCLUSION

The NRI has good predictive value for 30-d mortality and severe complications following LT. The NRI could be an effective tool for transplant surgeons to evaluate perioperative nutritional risk and develop relevant nutritional therapy.

Liver Transplantation: Contraindication and Ineligibility

Liver transplantation (LT) is a life-saving therapeutic modality for patients with various advanced liver diseases. It is crucial to identify that the patient's illness is sufficiently advanced and unlikely to improve with medical management to justify the need for transplantation. At the same time, it is crucial to identify patients with comorbidities and far advanced disease that would result in an unacceptable outcome after LT. Specific care also is required before deciding on LT in the elderly, acute on chronic liver disease, patients with comorbidities, and hepatocellular carcinoma. Transplantation needs to be timed appropriately to avoid unnecessary LT and ensure that the decision is not left too late to avoid losing the patient without a transplant. Also, important is the decision as to when not to transplant. The current review explores some of these issues of contraindications and ineligibility for LT.

Autologous bone marrow infusion via portal vein combined with splenectomy for decompensated liver cirrhosis: A retrospective study

BACKGROUND

In a previous study, autologous bone marrow infusion (ABMI) was performed in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis (DLC) and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome and achieved good results, but whether splenectomy affected outcome was unclear.

AIM

To investigate the efficacy of ABMI combined with splenectomy for treatment of DLC.

METHODS

Eighty-three patients with DLC were divided into an intervention group (43 cases) and control group (40 cases) according to whether splenectomy was performed. The control group was treated with ABMI through the right omental vein, and the intervention group was additionally treated with splenectomy.

RESULTS

After ABMI, the prothrombin time, serum total bilirubin levels, ascites volume and model for end-stage liver disease score in both groups were significantly lower, while the albumin levels were significantly higher than before ABMI (P < 0.01), but there were no significant differences between the groups (P > 0.05). After ABMI, the white blood cell and platelets counts in both groups were significantly higher than before ABMI (P < 0.01), and the counts in the intervention group were significantly higher than in the control group (P < 0.01). After ABMI the CD4+ and CD8+ T cell counts in both groups were significantly higher than before ABMI (P < 0.01). The CD8+ T cell counts in the intervention group increased continuously and the increase had a shorter duration compared with control group.

CONCLUSION

ABMI through the portal vein in patients with DLC can significantly improve liver synthetic and secretory functions, and splenectomy promotes improvement of bone marrow hematopoietic and cellular immune functions.

Clinical Prediction Models for Hepatitis B Virus-related Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure: A Technical Report

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

It is critical but challenging to predict the prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF). This study systematically summarized and evaluated the quality and performance of available clinical prediction models (CPMs).

METHODS

A keyword search of articles on HBV-ACLF CPMs published in PubMed from January 1995 to April 2020 was performed. Both the quality and performance of the CPMs were assessed.

RESULTS

Fifty-two CPMs were identified, of which 31 were HBV-ACLF specific. The modeling data were mostly derived from retrospective (83.87%) and single-center (96.77%) cohorts, with sample sizes ranging from 46 to 1,202. Three-month mortality was the most common endpoint. The Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver consensus (51.92%) and Chinese Medical Association liver failure guidelines (40.38%) were commonly used for HBV-ACLF diagnosis. Serum bilirubin (67.74%), the international normalized ratio (54.84%), and hepatic encephalopathy (51.61%) were the most frequent variables used in models. Model discrimination was commonly evaluated (88.46%), but model calibration was seldom performed. The model for end-stage liver disease score was the most widely used (84.62%); however, varying performance was reported among the studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Substantial limitations lie in the quality of HBV-ACLF-specific CPMs. Disease severity of study populations may impact model performance. The clinical utility of CPMs in predicting short-term prognosis of HBV-ACLF remains to be undefined.

Impact of tenofovir alafenamide vs. entecavir on hepatocellular carcinoma risk in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Whether entecavir (ETV) or tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) is better at preventing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development among patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) remains unclear. The present study was conducted to explore the ability of these two antivirals to prevent HCC.

METHODS

From 2012 to 2019, treatment-naïve CHB patients undergoing ETV or TAF therapy were recruited at three academic teaching hospitals. The TAF group comprised patients starting TAF as first-line antiviral and those switching antivirals from tenofovir disoproxil fumarate to TAF. Patients with decompensated cirrhosis or HCC at enrollment were excluded from the analysis. Cumulative probabilities of HCC were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

In total, 1810 patients (1525 and 285 in ETV and TAF groups, respectively) were recruited. The annual HCC incidence was statistically not different between the ETV and TAF groups (1.67 vs. 1.19 per 100 person-years, respectively) with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 0.681 (p = 0.255), as determined by multivariate analysis. Male, hypertension, liver cirrhosis, FIB-4 index, and albumin were independent prognostic factors for HCC development. Propensity score-matched and inverse probability of treatment weighting analyses yielded similar results, with non-statistically different HCC incidence between the ETV and TAF groups (1.07 vs. 1.19 per 100 person-years (HR = 0.973; p = 0.953) and 1.67 vs. 1.89 per 100 person-years, respectively (HR = 0.949; p = 0.743).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that ETV- and TAF-treated CHB patients have similar risk of developing HCC. Further studies with the larger sample size and longer follow-up are needed to validate these results.

Reduced hepatic steatosis is associated with higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B infection

BACKGROUND

Concomitant chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is common, but the implications of NAFLD on clinical outcomes of CHB, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), are not well-investigated.

METHODS

CHB patients were recruited for transient elastography assessment for liver stiffness (LS), and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), a non-invasive quantification of hepatic steatosis, and were prospectively followed up for development of HCC. Steatosis and severe steatosis were diagnosed by CAP ≥ 248 dB/m and ≥ 280 dB/m respectively, and advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis was diagnosed by LS ≥ 9 kPa. The independent effect of hepatic steatosis on HCC was examined via propensity score matching (PSM) of LS and other significant clinical variables.

RESULTS

Forty-eight patients developed HCC among 2403 CHB patients (55.6% male, median age 55.6 years, 57.1% antiviral-treated, median ALT 26 U/L) during a median follow-up of 46.4 months. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed age (HR 1.063), male (HR 2.032), Albumin-Bilirubin score (HR 2.393) and CAP (HR 0.993) were associated with HCC development. The cumulative probability of HCC was 2.88%, 1.56% and 0.71%, respectively for patients with no steatosis, mild-to-moderate steatosis, and severe steatosis, respectively (p = 0.01). The risk of HCC increased from 1.56 to 8.89% in patients without severe steatosis if advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis was present (p < 0.001). PSM yielded 957 pairs of CHB patients and hepatic steatosis was independently associated with HCC (HR 0.41).

CONCLUSION

Reduced hepatic steatosis was significantly associated with a higher risk of incident HCC in CHB infection. Routine CAP and LS measurements are important for risk stratification.

Minimal Hepatic Encephalopathy and Biejia-Ruangan Are Associated with First Hospital Readmission in Nonalcoholic Cirrhosis Patients

Introductionand Aim. Patients with cirrhosis are often hospitalized repeatedly for a variety of complications. This retrospective study aimed to assess the effects of minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE) and Biejia-Ruangan (BR) on first hospital readmission in nonalcoholic cirrhosis patients without previous overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Materials and Methods. A total of 176 hospitalized patients with nonalcoholic cirrhosis were included in this retrospective study. Patients who were first admitted to Beijing Ditan Hospital of Capital Medical University from January 2017 to September 2019 were enrolled. The primary endpoint was their first liver-related hospital readmission. The risk factors for readmission were analyzed by Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. Results. A total of 176 nonalcoholic cirrhosis patients without previous OHE or HCC were included; 57 patients (32.4%) were diagnosed with MHE, and 63 patients (35.8%) were administered BR (2 g, three times a day). Multivariate analysis revealed that nonalcoholic cirrhosis patients with MHE (HR, 5.805; 95% CI, 3.007-11.206; x, P < 0.001) and a higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score (HR, 1.145; 95% CI, 1.068-1.227; P < 0.001) had an increased risk of first hospital readmission, and patients treated with BR (HR, 0.318; 95% CI, 0.151-0.670; P=0.003) had a decreased risk of first hospital readmission. Conclusion. MHE increased the risk of hospital readmission in nonalcoholic cirrhosis patients without previous OHE or HCC, and this risk was decreased by BR administration.

Dynamic Prognostication in Transplant Candidates with Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

We aimed to extensively investigate clinical markers that are sufficiently dynamic for prognosis of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Defined by the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) criteria, patients with ACLF on the liver transplant waitlist in a tertiary center were retrospectively reviewed. Laboratory results and severity scores at three time points (days 1, 7, and 14 after admission) were analyzed. From 2015 to 2019, 64 patients with ACLF were enrolled, of which 24 received a liver transplant from 22 live donors. The hospital mortality rate was 31% (8% for transplant; 45% for nontransplant groups), and the 3-month survival was crucial for determining long-term outcomes. The number of significant variables for mortality, and, specifically, the hazards of international normalized ratio of prothrombin time (INR) and APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) score were increased within two weeks. In multivariable analysis, INR and AARC score (D-14) were associated with poor survival and liver transplant was a protective factor in all patients, while AARC score (D-14) was significant in the nontransplant group. AARC score at day 14 is an independent risk factor for mortality in ACLF. Liver transplant from live donors reversed poor outcomes in patients with ACLF in a timely manner.