Increasing incidence of childhood leukemia in Northwest Italy, 1975-98

Incidence and survival of childhood leukemia in Recife, Brazil: A population-based analysis

BACKGROUND

Leukemia is the most common pediatric cancer with incidence rates of around 48 per million for children under 15 years of age. The median age-adjusted incidence rate (AAIR) in children aged 0-14 years in Brazil is 53.3 per million. While overall survival rates for children with leukemia have improved significantly, data for incidence, trends, and relative survival among children and adolescents with leukemia in Recife, Brazil, remain incomplete, which hampers our analyses and provision of the best healthcare. The objective of this report is to provide that data.

METHODS

Data from the Population-Based Cancer Registry of Recife were analyzed from 1998 to 2007. Our analyses included frequencies and AAIR, together with age-specific incidence rates for all leukemias, acute lymphoblastic leukemia, and acute myeloid leukemia. To evaluate incidence trends, joinpoint regression, including annual average percent change, were analyzed. Relative survival was calculated using the life-table method.

RESULTS

One hundred seventy-five cases were identified, 51% in females. The review reduced the not otherwise specified (NOS) leukemia category by 50% and diagnosis by death certificate only from 5.7% to 1.1%. The AAIR for leukemia was 41.1 per million, with a peak among children aged 1-4 (78.3 per million). Incidence trends during the period were stable. The five-year relative survival rate was 69.8%.

CONCLUSIONS

These data represent the incidence rate and survival of childhood leukemia in Recife, located in the northeast region of Brazil, using a high-quality database.

Cancer incidence rates and trends among children and adolescents in Piedmont, 1967-2011

In the past, increases in childhood cancer incidence were reported in Europe and North America. The aim of this study is to show updated patterns of temporal behavior using data of the Childhood Cancer Registry of Piedmont (CCRP), a region with approximately 4.5 million inhabitants in North-West Italy. CCRP has been recording incident cases in children (0–14 years) since 1967 and in adolescents (15–19) since 2000. Time trends were estimated as annual percent change (APC) over the 1976–2011 period for children, and over 2000–2011 for both children and adolescents. CCRP registered 5020 incident cases from 1967 to 2011. Incidence rates were 157 per million person-years for children (1967–2011) and 282 for adolescents (2000–2011). From 1976–2011, increasing trends were observed in children for all neoplasms (APC 1.1, 95%CI: 0.8; 1.5) and for both embryonal and non-embryonal tumors: 1.1%, (0.5; 1.6) and 1.2%, (0.7; 1.6), respectively. Increases were observed in several tumor types, including leukemia, lymphoma, central nervous system tumors and neuroblastoma. In 2000–2011, incidence rates showed mostly non statistically significant variations and large variability. The observation of trends over a long period shows that the incidence of most tumors has increased, and this is only partially explained by diagnostic changes. Large rate variability hampers interpretation of trend patterns in short periods. Given that no satisfying explanation for the increases observed in the past was ever found, efforts must be made to understand and interpret this peculiar and still ununderstood pattern of childhood cancer incidence.

Incidence and survival time trends for Spanish children and adolescents with leukaemia from 1983 to 2007

OBJECTIVE

We have analysed incidence and survival trends of children and adolescents with leukaemia registered in Spanish population-based cancer registries during the period 1983-2007.

METHODS

Childhood and adolescent leukaemia cases were drawn from the 11 Spanish population-based cancer registries. For survival, registries with data for the period 1991-2005 and follow-up until 31-12-2010 were included. Overall incidence trends were evaluated using joinpoint analysis. Observed survival rates were estimated using Kaplan-Meier, and trends were tested using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

Based on 2606 cases (2274 children and 332 adolescents), the overall age-adjusted incidence rate (ASRw) of leukaemia was 47.9 cases per million child-years in children and 23.8 in adolescents. The ASRw of leukaemia increased with an annual percentage change of 9.6 % (95 % CI: 2.2-17.6) until 1990 followed by a stabilisation of rates. In adolescents, incidence did not increase. Five-year survival increased from 66 % in 1991-1995 to 76 % in 2001-2005. By age, survival was dramatically lower in infants (0) and adolescents (15-19) than in the other age groups and no improvement was observed. In both children and adolescents, differences in 5-year survival rates among major subgroups of leukaemias were significant.

CONCLUSIONS

The increasing incidence trends observed in childhood leukaemias during the study period were confined to the beginning of the period. Remarkable improvements in survival have been observed in Spanish children with leukaemias. However, this improvement was not observed in infants and adolescents.

Trends in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia in Western Australia, 1960-2006

Increases in the incidence of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) have been reported in some countries, while other reports from similar geographical regions have indicated stable rates. The reasons for the discrepancies have been debated in the literature, with the focus on whether the observed increases are "real" or an artifact resulting from improvements in diagnosis, case ascertainment and population coverage over time. We used population-based data from Western Australia to investigate trends in the incidence of childhood ALL between 1960 and 2006. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASRs) and rate ratios (indicating annual percent change) were estimated using Poisson regression. Between 1960 and 2006, the ASR was 3.7 per 100,000 person-years, with an annual percent increase of 0.40% (95% CI: -0.20, 1.00). Between 1982 and 2006, the ASR was 3.8, with an annual percent increase of 0.80% (95% CI = -0.70 to 2.30). This increased to 1.42% (95% CI: -0.30, 3.0) when a sensitivity analysis was undertaken to assess the effect of excluding the final 2 years of data. Annual increases of 3.7% (95% CI: -0.50, 8.00) among children aged 5-14 years, and of 3.10% (95% CI: 0.50, 5.70) in girls, were observed for this latter period. These results were supported by national Australian incidence data available for 1982-2003. There may have been a small increase in the incidence of ALL since 1982 among girls and older children, but an overall increase appears unlikely. No impact of folate supplementation or fortification is apparent.

Effects of maternal age and cohort of birth on incidence time trends of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia

Several studies report increasing trends in the incidence of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). Because ALL may generate in utero, this study investigated if maternal age and birth cohort influence ALL temporal trends. Data on 252 ALL cases in children ages 1 to 5 years were extracted from the population-based Childhood Cancer Registry of Piedmont, Italy. Information on cases' maternal age and year of birth was obtained from the registry, whereas population data were obtained for children born in 1980 to 1997. Incidence rates were analyzed using an age-period-cohort approach, in which the period effect was represented by the child year of birth, the age effect by the maternal age at the time of delivery, and the cohort effect by the maternal birth cohort. ALL incidence increased over the study period [annual percentage change 2.49%; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 0.09-4.93]. A linear effect of the maternal time variables (P = 0.012) was found, which was equally described by maternal age (direct association) and maternal birth cohort (inverse association). The annual percentage change was 1.83% (95% CI, -0.59-4.31), when maternal age was included in the model, and 5.72% (95% CI, 2.29-9.27), when maternal year of birth was included. In conclusion, maternal characteristics substantially affect temporal trends in childhood ALL incidence.

Trends in childhood cancer incidence: review of environmental linkages

Cancer in children is rare and accounts for about 1% of all malignancies. In the developed world, however, it is the commonest cause of disease-related deaths in childhood, carrying with it a great economic and emotional cost. Cancers are assumed to be multivariate, multifactorial diseases that occur when a complex and prolonged process involving genetic and environmental factors interact in a multistage sequence. This article explores the available evidence for this process, primarily from the environmental linkages perspective but including some evidence of the genetic factors.

Parental age and risk of childhood cancers: a population-based cohort study from Sweden

BACKGROUND

Frequent germ line cells mutations were previously demonstrated to be associated with aging. This suggests a higher incidence of childhood cancer among children of older parents. A population-based cohort study of parental ages and other prenatal risk factors for five main childhood cancers was performed with the use of a linkage between several national-based registries.

METHODS

In total, about 4.3 million children with their parents, born between 1961 and 2000, were included in the study. Multivariate Poisson regression was used to obtain the incidence rate ratios (IRR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Children <5 years of age and children 5-14 years of age were analysed independently.

RESULTS

There was no significant result for children 5-14 years of age. For children <5 years of age, maternal age were associated with elevated risk of retinoblastoma (oldest age group's IRR = 2.39, 95%CI = 1.17-4.85) and leukaemia (oldest age group's IRR = 1.44, 95%CI = 1.01-2.05). Paternal age was significantly associated with leukaemia (oldest age group's IRR = 1.31, 95%CI = 1.04-1.66). For central nervous system cancer, the effect of paternal age was found to be significant (oldest age group's IRR = 1.69, 95%CI = 1.21-2.35) when maternal age was included in the analysis.

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate that advanced parental age might be associated with an increased risk of early childhood cancers.

Environmental genotoxicants/carcinogens and childhood cancer: Bridgeable gaps in scientific knowledge

Cancer in children is a major concern in many countries. An important question is whether these childhood cancers are caused by something, or are just tragic random events. Causation of at least some children's cancers is suggested by direct and indirect evidence, including epidemiological data, and animal studies that predict early life sensitivity of humans to carcinogenic effects. Candidate risk factors include genotoxic agents (chemicals and radiation), but also diet/nutrition, and infectious agents/immune responses. With regard to likelihood of risks posed by genotoxicants, there are pros and cons. The biological properties of fetuses and infants are consistent with sensitivity to preneoplastic genotoxic damage. Recent studies of genetic polymorphisms in carcinogen-metabolizing enzymes confirm a role for chemicals. On the other hand, in numerous epidemiological studies, associations between childhood cancers and exposure to genotoxicants, including tobacco smoke, have been weak and hard to reproduce. Possibly, sensitive genetic or ontogenetic subpopulations, and/or co-exposure situations need to be discovered to allow identification of susceptible individuals and their risk factors. Among the critical knowledge gaps needing to be bridged to aid in this effort include detailed tissue and cellular ontogeny of carcinogen metabolism and DNA repair enzymes, and associations of polymorphisms in DNA repair enzymes with childhood cancers. Perinatal bioassays in animals of specific environmental candidates, for example, benzene, could help guide epidemiology. Genetically engineered animal models could be useful for identification of chemical effects on specific genes. Investigations of interactions between factors may be key to understanding risk. Finally, fathers and newborn infants should receive more attention as especially sensitive targets.

Bayesian methods for early detection of changes in childhood cancer incidence: Trends for acute lymphoblastic leukaemia are consistent with an infectious aetiology

Published data on time trends in the incidence of childhood leukaemia show inconsistent patterns, with some studies showing increases and others showing relatively stable incidence rates. Data on time trends in childhood cancer incidence from the Childhood Cancer Registry of Piedmont, Italy were analysed using two different approaches: standard Poisson regression and a Bayesian regression approach including an autoregressive component. Our focus was on acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL), since this is hypothesised to have an infectious aetiology, but for purposes of comparison we also conducted similar analyses for selected other childhood cancer sites (acute non-lymphoblastic leukaemia (AnLL), central nervous system (CNS) tumours and neuroblastoma (NB)). The two models fitted the data equally well, but led to different interpretations of the time trends. The first produced ever-increasing rates, while the latter produced non-monotonic patterns, particularly for ALL, which showed evidence of a cyclical pattern. The Bayesian analysis produced findings that are consistent with the hypothesis of an infectious aetiology for ALL, but not for AnLL or for solid tumours (CNS and NB). Although sudden changes in time trends should be interpreted with caution, the results of the Bayesian approach are consistent with current knowledge of the natural history of childhood ALL, including a short latency time and the postulated infectious aetiology of the disease.

[Lorraine childhood cancer registry: incidence, survival 1983-1999]

BACKGROUND

Cancer in childhood account for less than 1% of all cancers and for the second most important cause of death for children aged less than 15 years in France, injuries being the leading cause. Compared to adult cancers, childhood cancers' particularities justify to create pediatric registries. The first French population-based registry was created in Lorraine in 1983. The incidence and survival results from a 17 year-period are presented.

METHODS

In Lorraine region, all children (0-14 years) with cancer diagnosed between 1983 and 1999 were included. Crude, age-standardized (world population) and cumulative incidence rates were calculated just as overall, specific-disease and event-free survival rates, using Kaplan-Meier methods.

RESULTS

With 1086 registered cases, the crude incidence rate per million children is 132.4, the age-standardized incidence rate per million is 137.5; 1 out of every 500 children will develop cancer before the age of 15 years. The incidence of all cancers combined is slightly higher in males than in females with a M/F ratio of 1.13. For this 17 years-period, no trend in childhood cancer incidence is observed. The main cancer groups are leukemia (30.7%), brain and spinal tumors (23.2%) and lymphomas (12.9%), sympathetic nervous system tumors (7.4%), soft-tissue sarcomas (6.1%), renal tumors (5.2%), and bone tumors (5.0%). Five-year specific survival rates for all cancers combined is 71.4% [95% CI: 68.5-74.3]. The prognosis is significatively worse for the<1 year age group (55%) and for some histologic types: brain stem gliomas (27%), hepatic tumors (43%), osteosarcomas (57%), neuroblastomas (65%), rhabdomyosarcomas (55%).

DISCUSSION

Relative distribution of histologic groups, incidence and survival rates observed in Lorraine registry are compatible with the general pattern in the European Union cancer registries. The lack of significative trend in incidence unlike others country may be explained by too small numbers.

CONCLUSION

The acquired experience in developping this regional registry allowed us to create a national registry of childhood solid tumors and contribute to valid national data.

Increasing incidence and improved survival of cancer in children and young adults in Southern Netherlands, 1973–1999

The aim of this study was to describe time trends in incidence, treatment and survival of children (0-14 years) and young adults (15-24 years) with cancer in an area in the Netherlands with a long registration period. Between 1973 and 1999, the population-based Eindhoven Cancer Registry (ECR) recorded 852 children and 1162 young adults with a malignancy and they were actively followed up until 1 July, 2003. The world standardised incidence rates for both children and young adults showed an increasing trend until 1997 and this flattened off afterwards (estimated annual percentage change [EAPC]=3.1%, P=0.66 for children and EAPC=3.6%, P=0.06 for young adults). Lymphomas in children and testicular malignancies and melanomas in young adults seemed to increase in particular. Better detection probably led to higher completeness for gliomas. Initial treatment for leukaemias and lymphomas in children has changed, protocols prescribe more chemotherapy and less radiotherapy. For all cancers combined, the 10-year survival rate for children significantly improved from 53% (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 45-61%) in 1973-1982 to 75% (95% CI 69-81%) in 1993-1999 (P-value<0.05). The 10-year survival rate for young adults significantly improved from 57% (95% CI 49-65%) to 81% (95% CI 77-85%) (P-value<0.05). We demonstrated significantly higher five-year survival rates for children with Hodgkin's disease (HD) and young adults with HD, non-seminoma or melanoma diagnosed in 1993-1999.

Virus target cell conditioning model to explain some epidemiologic characteristics of childhood leukemias and lymphomas

Frequent infections in early childhood, whole-day care and a socially unprivileged environment have been reported as protective factors for childhood leukemias and lymphomas. Conversely, a protected social environment, higher level of education and growing up in families with a low number of children are considered as risk factors. Additional risk factors involve agricultural occupation of the parents and exposure to several other occupational factors. These data led to a number of hypotheses that attempted to explain the epidemiologic observations; however, a number of questions are still open. Here we propose a new concept that could explain most of the epidemiologic characteristics. This concept is based on the assumption that persistent infections with TT virus-like agents increase the risk for specific chromosomal translocations. This risk should correlate with the viral load. Interferon induction by intermittent infections should reduce the viral load and thus decrease the risk for chromosomal modifications. Some virologic observations in support of this model are presented.

An infectious aetiology for childhood acute leukaemia: a review of the evidence

There are three current hypotheses concerning infectious mechanisms in the aetiology of childhood leukaemia: exposure in utero or around the time of birth, delayed exposure beyond the first year of life to common infections and unusual population mixing. No specific virus has been definitively linked with childhood leukaemia and there is no evidence to date of viral genomic inclusions within leukaemic cells. The case-control and cohort studies have revealed equivocal results. Maternal infection during pregnancy has been linked with increased risk whilst breast feeding and day care attendance in the first year of life appear to be protective. There is inconclusive evidence from studies on early childhood infectious exposures, vaccination and social mixing. Some supportive evidence for an infectious aetiology is provided by the findings of space-time clustering and seasonal variation. Spatial clustering suggests that higher incidence is confined to specific areas with increased levels of population mixing, particularly in previously isolated populations. Ecological studies have also shown excess incidence with higher population mixing. The marked childhood peak in resource-rich countries and an increased incidence of the childhood peak in acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) (occurring at ages 2-6 years predominantly with precursor B-cell ALL) is supportive of the concept that reduced early infection may play a role. Genetically determined individual response to infection may be critical in the proliferation of preleukaemic clones as evidenced by the human leucocyte antigen class II polymorphic variant association with precursor B-cell and T-cell ALL.

Geographical patterns and time trends of cancer incidence and survival among children and adolescents in Europe since the 1970s (the ACCISproject): an epidemiological study

BACKGROUND

Cancer is rare before age 20 years. We aimed to use the European database of childhood and adolescent cancer cases, within the Automated Childhood Cancer Information System project, to estimate patterns and trends of incidence and survival within Europe.

METHODS

Comparable, high-quality data from 63 European population-based cancer registries consisted of 113000 tumours in children and 18243 in adolescents diagnosed in 1970-99. Incidence rates and survival were compared by region (east vs west), period, and malignant disease.

FINDINGS

In the 1990s, age-standardised incidence rates were 140 per million for children (0-14 years) and 157 per million for ages 0-19 years. Over the three decades, overall incidence increased by 1.0% per year (p<0.0001) in children (increases for most tumour types), and by 1.5% (p<0.0001) in adolescents (15-19 years; notable increases were recorded for carcinomas, lymphomas, and germ-cell tumours). Overall 5-year survival for children in the 1990s was 64% in the east and 75% in the west, with differences between regions for virtually all tumour groups; 5-year survival was much the same in adolescents. Survival has improved dramatically since the 1970s in children and adolescents, more so in the west than in the east.

INTERPRETATION

Our results are clear evidence of an increase of cancer incidence in childhood and adolescence during the past decades, and of an acceleration of this trend. Geographical and temporal patterns suggest areas for further study into causes of these neoplasms, as well as providing an indicator of progress of public-health policy in Europe.

Introduction and overview. Perinatal carcinogenesis: growing a node for epidemiology, risk management, and animal studies

Perinatal carcinogenesis as a cross-disciplinary concern is the subject of this special issue of Toxicology and Applied Pharmacology, which consists of a total of eight reviews or commentaries in the areas of epidemiology, risk assessment, and animal models. Some of the conclusions from these articles, and the Questions and Answers section that follows most of them, are summarized here. There is adequate reason to suspect that perinatal exposures contribute to human cancer risk, both childhood cancers, and those appearing later in life. The latter type of risk may actually be quantitatively the more important, and involve a wide range of types of effects, but has received only limited attention. With regard to childhood cancers, fetal irradiation and diethylstilbestrol exposure are known etiological agents, and it is likely, but not yet certain, there are additional external causes of a portion of these. Some current focal points of interest here include nitroso compounds, DNA topoisomerase inhibitors, viruses, anti-AIDS drugs, and endocrine disruptors. Regulatory agencies must rely heavily on animal data for estimation of human risk due to perinatal exposures to chemicals, and the quantity and quality of these data presently available for this purpose are greatly limiting. Correctly designed conventional animal studies with suspect chemicals are still needed. Furthermore, genetically engineered mouse models for childhood cancers, especially medulloblastoma, have become available, and could be used for screening of candidate causative agents for this cancer type, and for better understanding of gene-environment interactions.

Incidence of childhood leukaemia and non-Hodgkinʼs lymphoma in France: National Registry of Childhood Leukaemia and Lymphoma, 1990–1999

The French National Registry of Childhood Leukaemia and Lymphoma (NRCL) covers the whole French mainland population aged less than 15 years (approximately 11 million children) for all childhood haematopoietic tumours since 1 January 1990, except Hodgkin's disease, which has been registered since 1 January 1999. During the period from 1990 to 1999, 5757 cases of leukaemia, lymphoma and myelodysplastic syndrome were registered in the NRCL, with an average of 2.5 sources per case. The age-standardized incidence rates per million per year were 43.1 for leukaemia (34.3 for acute lymphoblastic leukaemia, 7.1 for acute myeloblastic leukaemia, 0.6 for chronic myeloid leukaemia and 0.5 for chronic myelomonocytic leukaemia), 8.9 for non-Hodgkin's lymphomas and 6.7 for Hodgkin's disease. Down's syndrome was present in 110 cases of acute leukaemia (2.5%) and three cases of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (0.3%). The incidence of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia showed a typical peak at age 2 years for girls and 3 years for boys. The incidence rates of leukaemia and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma did not show any temporal trends over the 10 year period.

Age- and Sex-Specific Incidence of Childhood Leukemia by Immunophenotype in the Nordic Countries

BACKGROUND

Studies from various countries have found an increasing incidence of childhood leukemia in recent decades. To characterize time trends in the age- and sex-specific incidence of childhood acute leukemia during the last 20 years in the Nordic countries, we analyzed a large set of population-based data from the Nordic Society of Paediatric Haematology and Oncology (NOPHO) in their acute leukemia database covering a population of approximately 5 million children aged 0-14 years.

METHODS

Temporal trends in acute myeloid leukemia and acute lymphoblastic leukemia incidence rates overall and for acute lymphoblastic leukemia immunophenotypes and for specific age groups were analyzed by Poisson regression adjusting for age, sex, and country. All statistical tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

We identified 1595 girls and 1859 boys diagnosed with acute lymphoblastic leukemia between January 1, 1982, and December 31, 2001, and 260 girls and 224 boys diagnosed with de novo acute myeloid leukemia between January 1, 1985, and December 31, 2001. No statistically significant change was seen in the overall incidence rate for acute lymphoblastic leukemia during the 20-year study (annual change = 0.22%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.36% to 0.80%). The incidence rate of B-precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia remained unchanged (annual change = 0.30%, 95% CI = -0.57% to 1.18%) from January 1, 1986, through December 31, 2001. A somewhat lower incidence in the first years of the study period indicated an early increasing incidence of B-precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia that corresponded to a simultaneous decreasing incidence of unclassified acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Incidences of T-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (annual change = 1.55%, 95% CI = -1.14% to 4.31%) and acute myeloid leukemia (annual change = 0.58%, 95% CI = -1.24% to 2.44%) were stable during the study period.

CONCLUSION

Incidences of acute myeloid leukemia overall, acute lymphoblastic leukemia overall, and specific acute lymphoblastic leukemia immunophenotypes have been stable in the Nordic countries over the past two decades.