Improving patient selection for immuno-oncology phase 1 trials: External validation of six prognostic scores in a French Cancer Center

Validation and comparison of prognostic scoring systems in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with nivolumab

OBJECTIVE

Several scoring systems have been developed to predict prognosis in patients with refractory cancer. We aimed to validate eight scoring systems and determine the best method for predicting the prognosis of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with nivolumab.

METHODS

This multicentre retrospective study involved 154 patients with recurrent and/or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with nivolumab between 2017 and 2020. Oncological outcomes were assessed according to the scoring systems, including MD Anderson Cancer Center + neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and Hammersmith scores. Objective response, overall survival and progression-free survival were evaluated using logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards analyses. Receiver operating curve analysis was used to calculate the area under the curve and estimate the efficacy of each score.

RESULTS

No significant associations were found between the responses and any score. Seven of the eight scoring systems were associated with disease control (odds ratio, 0.26-0.70). Amongst the eight scoring systems, MD Anderson Cancer Center + neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio showed the highest area under the curve for predicting response and disease control. Seven scoring systems were prognostic factors for progression-free survival (hazard ratio, 1.22-1.95). All eight scoring systems were prognostic factors for overall survival (hazard ratio, 1.62-3.83). According to the time-dependent receiver operating characteristics analysis for overall survival, the Hammersmith scoring system had the best predictive ability at 3 months, and the MD Anderson Cancer Center + neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio scoring system had the highest area under the curve between 6 and 24 months.

CONCLUSIONS

MD Anderson Cancer Center + neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and Hammersmith scoring systems were better predictors of prognosis in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with nivolumab.

Prognostic Significance of the Royal Marsden Hospital (RMH) Score in Patients with Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Cancer remains a leading cause of death globally, necessitating the identification of prognostic biomarkers to guide treatment decisions. The Royal Marsden Hospital (RMH) score, based on readily available blood tests and clinical features, has emerged as a prognostic tool, although its performance across variable clinical scenarios is not thoroughly delineated. Therefore, we aimed to systematically assess the association between RMH score and survival in cancer patients.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature search across Pubmed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases for studies published up to 15 February 2024. We performed a meta-analysis with the generic inverse variance method with a random-effects model and reported hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Nineteen studies encompassing 127,230 patients were included. A higher RMH score was significantly associated with worse overall survival (OS) (HR: 2.09, 95% CI: 1.87-2.33, p < 0.001) and progression-free survival (PFS) (HR: 1.80, 95% CI: 1.48-2.18, p < 0.001). This association was consistent across various subgroups, including study population (clinical trial vs. real-world cohort), geographic region, and tumor type.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis, including over a hundred thousand patients, demonstrates a negative association between a higher RMH score and survival in cancer patients. The RMH score holds promise as a readily available prognostic tool across diverse cancer types and clinical settings. Future research should focus on validating and refining this score to aid clinical decision-making.

Prognosis stratification of cancer patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors through lung immune prognostic index: a meta-analysis and systematic review

BACKGROUND

Although numerous studies have reported the prognostic value of the lung immune prognostic index (LIPI) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), the prognostic value of the LIPI in a pancancer setting remains unclear.

METHODS

A comprehensive search was conducted until July 2023 across the PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases to identify relevant studies evaluating the prognostic value of the LIPI in cancer patients treated with ICIs. The outcomes were overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), and disease control rate (DCR). We described and compared the pooled outcomes by stratifying the patients based on different groupings of LIPI (good vs. intermediate [0 vs. 1], good vs. poor [0 vs. 2], and good vs. intermediate / poor [0 vs. 1 + 2]).

RESULTS

A total of 9959 patients in 35 studies were included. A higher score of LIPI was associated with impaired OS. The pooled HRs were 1.69 (95% CI: 1.55-1.85, p < 0.001; 0 vs. 1), 3.03 (95% CI: 2.53-3.63, p < 0.001; 0 vs. 2), and 2.38 (95% CI: 1.97-2.88, p < 0.001; 0 vs. 1 + 2). A higher LIPI score was associated with shorter PFS. The pooled HRs were 1.41 (95% CI: 1.31-1.52, p < 0.001; 0 vs. 1), 2.23 (95% CI: 1.87-2.66, p < 0.001; 0 vs. 2), and 1.65 (95% CI: 1.46-1.86, p < 0.001; 0 vs. 1 + 2). Similarly, a higher LIPI score was associated with a lower ORR. The pooled ORs were 0.63 (95% CI: 0.54-0.75, p < 0.001; 0 vs. 1) and 0.38 (95% CI: 0.29-0.50, p < 0.001; 0 vs. 2). A higher LIPI score was associated with a lower DCR. The pooled ORs were 0.47 (95% CI: 0.35-0.61, p < 0.001; 0 vs. 1) and 0.19 (95% CI: 0.12-0.30, p < 0.001; 0 vs. 2).

CONCLUSION

In patients with NSCLC or other solid tumours, the lung immune prognostic index could robustly stratify the clinical outcomes into three groups among the patients who receive ICIs. LIPI is a low-cost, simple, accessible, and accurate prognostic tool in a pancancer setting and it may contribute to the evaluation of risk stratification in patients treated with ICIs.

Association of the Advanced Lung Cancer Inflammation Index (ALI) and Gustave Roussy Immune (GRIm) score with immune checkpoint inhibitor efficacy in patients with gastrointestinal and lung cancer

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to conduct a comprehensive analysis, evaluating the prognostic significance of the baseline Advanced Lung Cancer Inflammation Index (ALI) and Gustave Roussy Immune (GRIm) Score in patients undergoing immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy.

METHODS

A comprehensive search was performed across various databases, including PubMed, the Cochrane Library, EMBASE, and Google Scholar, until October 21, 2023, to compile relevant articles for analysis. The investigation encompassed diverse clinical outcomes, including overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

This analysis included a total of 15 articles, comprising 19 studies involving 3335 patients. Among the 19 studies, nine studies focused on NSCLC, and six studies were conducted on HCC. Pooled results revealed that patients with elevated ALI levels experienced prolonged OS (HR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.37-0.70, p < 0.001) and extended PFS (HR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.52-0.72, p < 0.001). Furthermore, a GRIm score > 1 was associated with reduced OS (HR: 2.07, 95% CI: 1.47-2.92, p < 0.001) and diminished PFS (HR: 1.78, 95% CI: 1.35-2.34, p < 0.001) in cancer patients receiving ICIs. Subgroup analysis indicated that ALI cutoff values of 18 exhibited enhanced predictive potential. Additionally, for HCC patients, those with HCC-GRIm score > 2 showed a substantially decreased risk of mortality compared to individuals with HCC-GRIm score ≤ 2 (HR: 2.63, 95% CI: 1.89-3.65, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The ALI and GRIm score served as dependable prognostic indicators for patients undergoing ICI therapy in the context of cancer treatment.

Patients' selection and trial matching in early-phase oncology clinical trials

BACKGROUND

Early-phase clinical trials (EPCT) represent an important part of innovations in medical oncology and a valuable therapeutic option for patients with metastatic cancers, particularly in the era of precision medicine. Nevertheless, adult patients' participation in oncology clinical trials is low, ranging from 2% to 8% worldwide, with unequal access, and up to 40% risk of early discontinuation in EPCT, mostly due to cancer-related complications.

DESIGN

We review the tools and initiatives to increase patients' orientation and access to early phase cancer clinical trials, and to limit early discontinuation.

RESULTS

New approaches to optimize the early-phase clinical trial referring process in oncology include automatic trial matching, tools to facilitate the estimation of patients' prognostic and/or to better predict patients' eligibility to clinical trials. Classical and innovative approaches should be associated to double patient recruitment, improve clinical trial enrollment experience and reduce early discontinuation rates.

CONCLUSIONS

Whereas EPCT are essential for patients to access the latest medical innovations in oncology, offering the appropriate trial when it is relevant for patients should increase by organizational and technological innovations. The oncologic community will need to closely monitor their performance, portability and simplicity for implementation in daily clinical practice.

Prognostic significance of the Gustave Roussy immune (GRIm) score in cancer patients: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of the Gustave Roussy immune (GRIm) score in cancer patients has been widely reported but remains inconsistent. The aim of this study is to systematically investigate the relationship between the GRIm score and survival outcomes in cancer patients.

METHODS

Relevant literature was identified using electronic databases including Web of Science, PubMed, and Embase from the inception to March 2023. The primary endpoints were long-term oncological outcomes. Subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis were conducted during the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies (20 cohorts) including 4997 cancer patients were enrolled. The combined results revealed that patients in the high GRIm group had a deteriorated overall survival (HR = 2.07 95%CI: 1.73-2.48; p < 0.0001; I2 = 62%) and progression-free survival (HR = 1.42; 95%CI: 1.22-1.66; p < 0.0001; I2 = 36%). The prognostic values of GRIm on overall survival and progression-free survival were observed across various tumour types and tumour stages. Sensitivity analysis supported the stability and reliability of the above results.

CONCLUSION

Our evidence suggested that the GRIm score could be a valuable prognostic marker in cancer patients, which can be used by clinicians to stratify patients and formulate individualized treatment plans.

Interpretations of the Role of Plasma Albumin in Prognostic Indices: A Literature Review

This review assesses how publications interpret factors that influence the serum or plasma albumin (PA) level in prognostic indices, focusing on inflammation and nutrition. On PubMed, a search for "albumin AND prognosis" yielded 23,919 results. From these records, prognostic indices were retrieved, and their names were used as search strings on PubMed. Indices found in 10 or more original research articles were included. The same search strings, restricted to "Review" or "Systematic review", retrieved yielded on the indices. The data comprised the 10 latest original research articles and up to 10 of the latest reviews. Thirty indices had 294 original research articles (6 covering two indices) and 131 reviews, most of which were from recent years. A total of 106 articles related the PA level to inflammation, and 136 related the PA level to nutrition. For the reviews, the equivalent numbers were 54 and 65. In conclusion, more publications mention the PA level as a marker of nutrition rather than inflammation. This is in contrast to several general reviews on albumin and nutritional guidelines, which state that the PA level is a marker of inflammation but not nutrition. Hypoalbuminemia should prompt clinicians to focus on the inflammatory aspects in their patients.

Comparison of Four Clinical Prognostic Scores in Patients with Advanced Gastric and Esophageal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Prognostic scores that can identify patients at risk for early death are needed to aid treatment decision-making and patient selection for clinical trials. We compared the accuracy of four scores to predict early death (within 90 days) and overall survival (OS) in patients with metastatic gastric and esophageal (GE) cancer.

METHODS

Advanced GE cancer patients receiving first-line systemic therapy were included. Prognostic risks were calculated using: Royal Marsden Hospital (RMH), MD Anderson Cancer Centre (MDACC), Gustave Roussy Immune (GRIm-Score), and MD Anderson Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor (MDA-ICI) scores. Overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze associations between prognostic scores and OS. The predictive discrimination was estimated using Harrell's c-index. Predictive ability for early death was measured using time-dependent AUCs.

RESULTS

In total, 451 patients with metastatic GE cancer were included. High risk patients had shorter OS for all scores (RMH high- vs. low-risk median OS 7.9 vs. 12.2 months, P < .001; MDACC 6.8 vs. 11.9 months P < .001; GRIm-Score 5.3 vs. 13 months, P < .001; MDA-ICI 8.2 vs. 12.2 months, P < .001). On multivariable analysis, each prognostic score was significantly associated with OS. The GRIm-Score had the highest predictive discrimination and predictive ability for early death.

CONCLUSIONS

The GRIm-Score had the highest accuracy in predicting early death and OS. Clinicians may use this score to identify patients at higher risk of early death to guide treatment decisions including clinical trial enrolment. This score could also be used as a stratification factor in future clinical trial designs.

Correlation between the Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors Prognostic Index and Outcomes in Nonsmall Cell Lung Cancer: A Multicentre Analysis

Objective

To evaluate the prognostic value of the immune checkpoint inhibitor prognostic index (ICPI), based on the albumin (ALB) and derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR), for nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs).

Methods

We conducted a multicentre retrospective study with an ICIs cohort (n = 143) and a chemotherapy control cohort (n = 84). A Cox proportional hazards regression and logistic regression model were used to find the independent risk factor for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) and disease control rate (DCR) in NSCLC patients. The Kaplan–Meier was used to evaluating the PFS and OS.

Results

The ALB <35 g/L and dNLR >3 were correlated with worse PFS and OS for NSCLC patients receiving ICIs, respectively. The moderately high-risk ICPI had a significantly increased risk of progression (hazard ratio (HR) 1.83, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.14–2.91; P=0.012) and of death (HR 2.33, 95% CI 1.12–4.87; P=0.024) and of nondisease control (odds ratio (OR) 3.05, 95% CI 1.19–7.83; P=0.021) and was correlated with worse PFS and 1-year survival rates (4.0 months vs. 7.2 months; P=0.001; 44.3% vs. 76.1%; P=0.001) compared with low-risk ICPI when it was characterized two groups. When ICPI was further divided into three groups, the results showed that the high-risk ICPI was correlated with worse PFS and 1-year survival rates. However, there was no difference in the chemotherapy cohort.

Conclusion

The ICPI was correlated with worse outcomes for NSCLC patients receiving ICIs but not for patients with chemotherapy.

The Association between Early Changes in Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio and Survival in Patients Treated with Immunotherapy

Dynamic changes in the blood-based biomarkers could be used as a prognostic biomarker in patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), although the data are limited. We evaluated the association between the neutrophil−lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and early NLR changes with survival in ICI-treated patients. We retrospectively evaluated the data of 231 patients with advanced-stage cancer. We recorded baseline clinical characteristics, baseline NLR and fourth-week NLR changes, and survival data. A compound prognostic score, the NLR2-CEL score, was developed with the following parameters: baseline NLR (<5 vs. ≥5), ECOG status (0 vs. ≥1), Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI, <9 vs. ≥9), LDH (N vs. ≥ULN), and fourth-week NLR change (10% or over NLR increase). In the multivariable analyses, higher NLR (HR: 1.743, p = 0.002), 10% or over NLR increase in the fourth week of treatment (HR: 1.807, p = 0.001), higher ECOG performance score (HR: 1.552, p = 0.006), higher LDH levels (HR: 1.454, p = 0.017), and higher CCI (HR: 1.400, p = 0.041) were associated with decreased OS. Compared to patients with the lowest scores, patients in the highest score group had significantly lower OS (HR: 7.967, 95% CI: 3.531−17.979, p < 0.001) and PFS. The composite score had moderate success for survival prediction, with an AUC of 0.702 (95% CI: 0.626−0.779, p < 0.001). We observed significantly lower survival in patients with higher baseline NLR values and increased NLR values under treatment.