Suri A, Chapel S, Lu C, Venkatakrishnan K. Physiologically based and population PK modeling in optimizing drug development: A predict-learn-confirm analysis.
Clin Pharmacol Ther 2015;
98:336-44. [PMID:
26031410 PMCID:
PMC5039936 DOI:
10.1002/cpt.155]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/18/2015] [Revised: 05/13/2015] [Accepted: 05/27/2015] [Indexed: 12/02/2022]
Abstract
Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling and classical population pharmacokinetic (PK) model‐based simulations are increasingly used to answer various drug development questions. In this study, we propose a methodology to optimize the development of drugs, primarily cleared by the kidney, using model‐based approaches to determine the need for a dedicated renal impairment (RI) study. First, the impact of RI on drug exposure is simulated via PBPK modeling and then confirmed using classical population PK modeling of phase 2/3 data. This methodology was successfully evaluated and applied to an investigational agent, orteronel (nonsteroidal, reversible, selective 17,20‐lyase inhibitor). A phase 1 RI study confirmed the accuracy of model‐based predictions. Hence, for drugs eliminated primarily via renal clearance, this modeling approach can enable inclusion of patients with RI in phase 3 trials at appropriate doses, which may be an alternative to a dedicated RI study, or suggest that only a reduced‐size study in severe RI may be sufficient.
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