Can Bias Evaluation Provide Protection Against False-Negative Results in QT Studies Without a Positive Control Using Exposure-Response Analysis?

Should You Run a Dedicated TQT Study? Sponsor and Regulatory Considerations on Substitution Pathways to Assess QT Liability

Cardiac safety regulatory guidance for drug development has undergone several monumental shifts over the past decade as technological advancements, analysis models and study best practices have transformed this landscape. Once, clinical proarrhythmic risk assessment of a new chemical entity (NCE) was nearly exclusively evaluated in a dedicated thorough QT (TQT) study. However, since the introduction of the International Council for Harmonisation (ICH) E14/S7B Q&A 5.1 and 6.1 TQT substitutions, drug developers are offered an alternative pathway to evaluate proarrhythmic risk during an ascending dose study in healthy volunteers or during a powered patient study, respectively. In addition, the findings as well as the manner in which nonclinical studies are conducted (i.e., utilizing best practices) can dictate the need for a positive control in the clinical study and/or affect the labeling outcome. Drug sponsors are now faced with the option of pursuing a dedicated TQT study or requesting a TQT substitution. Potential factors influencing the choice of pathway include the NCE mechanism of action, pharmacokinetic properties, and safety profile, as well as business considerations. This tutorial will highlight the regulatory framework for integrated arrhythmia risk prediction models to outline drug safety, delineate potential reasons why a TQT substitution request may be rejected and discuss when a standalone TQT is recommended.

Evaluation of the cardiac safety of parsaclisib, a selective PI3Kδ inhibitor, in patients with previously treated B-cell malignancies: Results from the CITADEL-101 study

Parsaclisib, a potent and selective phosphatidylinositol 3 kinase δ inhibitor, has been investigated for the treatment of B-cell malignancies and studied in patients with autoimmune diseases and myelofibrosis. The CITADEL-101 study (NCT02018861) assessed safety, tolerability, and preliminary efficacy of parsaclisib in patients with relapsed or refractory non-Hodgkin lymphoma. This study evaluated the cardiac safety of parsaclisib as monotherapy based on data from 72 patients enrolled in the CITADEL-101 study. Time-matched pharmacokinetic and ECG measurements were collected at specified times for 69 patients receiving monotherapy in doses of 5, 10, 15, 20, 30, and 45 mg once daily. Based on the categorical outlier analysis, no dose-dependent effect was observed on the incidence of outliers in QT interval corrected for heart rate (HR) by Fridericia's method (QTcF), HR, or cardiac conduction. Based on central tendency analysis, the least square means (LSMs) (90% confidence interval [CI]) of ΔQTcF from the central tendency analysis ranged from -6.83 (-18.8 to 5.19) to 4.75 ms (0.410-9.09) across dose groups (below 20 ms, the threshold of large QT effects) and was not considered dose dependent. Moreover, the LSMs of ΔHR, ΔPR interval, and ΔQRS interval were minor. From the concentration-ΔQTcF analyses, the predicted ΔQTcF (90% CI) for all dose levels was between 0.365 (-1.75 to 2.48) and 7.87 ms (0.921-14.8), with the highest upper limit of CIs well below 20 ms, and therefore, a large QT/QTc effect was ruled out up to the highest dose level (45 mg) investigated. Overall, parsaclisib at the dose ranges studied did not reveal concentration-dependent effects on change in QTcF and did not have a significant effect on HR or cardiac conduction.

Concentration-QTc Relationship from a Single Ascending Dose Study of ANAVEX3-71, a Novel Sigma-1 Receptor and Allosteric M1 Muscarinic Receptor Agonist in Development for the Treatment of Frontotemporal Dementia, Schizophrenia, and Alzheimer's Disease

This is the cardiodynamic evaluation of a single ascending dose study in healthy participants with the primary objective of assessing the effect of ANAVEX3-71, formerly AF710B, on ECG parameters. Twelve-lead ECGs were obtained at 3 time points within 1 hour prior to dosing to establish a baseline and then serially postdose. Concentration-QTc analysis of plasma concentrations of ANAVEX3-71 and metabolite M8 was conducted. ANAVEX3-71 at the studied doses did not have a clinically relevant effect on heart rate or on the PR and QRS intervals. ANAVEX3-71 alone was retained in the primary model due to small fit differences between models which included the metabolite M8. The estimated population slope of the concentration-QTcF relationship was small and slightly negative: -0.017 ms per µg/L, with a small treatment effect-specific intercept of -0.49 ms. An effect on the placebo-corrected, change-from-baseline QTc exceeding 10 ms can be excluded within the full observed ranges of plasma concentrations of ANAVEX3-71 and M8 up to ∼996 and ∼58 µg/L, respectively. The results from this cardiodynamic evaluation demonstrated that ANAVEX3-71 at single ascending doses of 5-200 mg had no clinically relevant effects on any of the studied ECG parameters.

Exposure-Response Analysis to Assess the Concentration-QTc Relationship of Iberdomide

Iberdomide is an orally available cereblon-modulating agent being developed for the treatment of hematologic malignancies and autoimmune-mediated diseases. To assess the potential concentration-QTc relationship in humans and to ascertain or exclude a potential QT effect by iberdomide, a plasma concentration and ΔQTcF (change from baseline of corrected QT interval using the Fridericia formula) model of iberdomide was developed. Iberdomide concentration and paired high-quality, intensive electrocardiogram signal from a single-ascending-dose study in healthy subjects (N = 56) were included in the analysis. The primary analysis was based on a linear mixed-effect model with ΔQTcF as the dependent variable; iberdomide plasma concentration and baseline QTcF as continuous covariates; treatment (active or placebo) and time as a categorical factor; and a random intercept per subject. The predicted change from baseline and placebo corrected (ΔΔQTcF) at the observed geometric mean maximum plasma concentration and 2-sided 90% confidence intervals at different dose levels were calculated. The upper bound of the 90% confidence interval of the model-predicted ΔΔQTcF effect at maximum concentration from the supratherapeutic dose of 6 mg (2.54 milliseconds) is <10-millisecond threshold, suggesting that iberdomide does not have a clinically relevant QT prolongation liability.

A comprehensive regulatory and industry review of modeling and simulation practices in oncology clinical drug development

Exposure-response (E-R) analyses are an integral component in the development of oncology products. Characterizing the relationship between drug exposure metrics and response allows the sponsor to use modeling and simulation to address both internal and external drug development questions (e.g., optimal dose, frequency of administration, dose adjustments for special populations). This white paper is the output of an industry-government collaboration among scientists with broad experience in E-R modeling as part of regulatory submissions. The goal of this white paper is to provide guidance on what the preferred methods for E-R analysis in oncology clinical drug development are and what metrics of exposure should be considered.

How to Successfully Generate an Alternative Approach to a Thorough QT Study: GLPG1972 as an Example

During development of a drug, the requirement of evaluating the proarrhythmic risk and delayed repolarization needs to be fulfilled. Would it be possible to create an alternative to a thorough QT (TQT) study or is there a need to perform a dedicated TQT study? How is an alternative approach generated, what information is available, and which instructions are considered missing today to generate such an approach? This tutorial describes the considerations and path followed to create an early and feasible alternative to a TQT study using experience-based insights from a successful application to the US Food and Drug Administration for GLPG1972, an ADAMTS-5 inhibitor, and discusses the approach used in light of the current guidelines and literature.

Evaluation of Deutetrabenazine's Potential to Delay Cardiac Repolarization Using Concentration-QTc Analysis

Deutetrabenazine (Austedo) is indicated in adults for chorea associated with Huntington disease and tardive dyskinesia. Escalating deutetrabenazine doses were administered to healthy volunteers who were cytochrome P450 2D6 extensive/intermediate metabolizers (EMs) or poor metabolizers (PMs) to determine pharmacokinetic exposure of parent drug and active metabolites (α-dihydrotetrabenazine [α-HTBZ] and β-dihydrotetrabenazine [β-HTBZ]), and collect corresponding electrocardiograms (ECGs) for evaluation of the cardiodynamic effect using concentration-QTc (C-QTc) modeling. Participants (12 EMs, 24 PMs) received placebo or single doses of deutetrabenazine (24, 48, and 72 mg) to achieve plasma concentrations exceeding therapeutic range in both cohorts. Pharmacokinetic samples were obtained over 72 hours after dosing and were time matched with 12-lead ECGs extracted from continuous ECG recordings. C-QTc analysis, using linear mixed-effects modeling and model selection procedure, characterized the relationship between plasma concentrations of deutetrabenazine, deuterated α-HTBZ and β-HTBZ, and the change from baseline in QT interval corrected using Fridericia's formula. Deutetrabenazine exhibited linear kinetics, and a C-QTc model with deuterated α-HTBZ and β-HTBZ was selected to best describe the C-QTc relationship in pooled EM and PM data. This model predicted a placebo-corrected Fridericia corrected QT interval prolongation higher than 10 milliseconds can be excluded at concentrations associated with the maximum recommended doses in both populations. Adverse events increased with higher exposure as reflected by the higher event number in the PM cohort receiving 48 and 72 mg doses. No subject discontinued due to cardiac-related adverse events and no clinically relevant ECG findings were reported. Thus, this study found that deutetrabenazine does not have a clinically relevant effect on QT prolongation at maximum recommended doses in either cytochrome P450 2D6 EMs or PMs.

Evaluation of the clinical cardiac safety of pemigatinib, a fibroblast growth factor receptor inhibitor, in participants with advanced malignancies

Pemigatinib is a potent inhibitor of the fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR) family of receptors that is approved for the treatment of cholangiocarcinoma with FGFR2 fusion or other rearrangements. Data from a first‐in‐human clinical study were used to assess the potential for pemigatinib to produce clinically significant effects on heart rate (HR) and cardiac repolarization (QTc). A central tendency analysis for electrocardiogram (ECG) outliers and a plasma concentration‐QTc analysis were conducted to assess cardiac safety in the first‐in‐human pemigatinib study (FIGHT‐101; NCT02393248). The study included 113 participants who received at least one dose of pemigatinib as monotherapy and had at least one pair of plasma pharmacokinetic (PK) and ECG data points collected. Timed 12‐lead ECGs were performed within 15 min of PK blood draws. The ECG parameters for each dose group in the study varied within expectations for patients with advanced malignancies. Categorical analysis of QT interval corrected for HR by Fridericia's method did not reveal dose dependence in the incidence of outliers, and the results of the central tendency and concentration‐QTc analyses did not suggest a dose‐ or concentration‐dependent drug effect. Least squares mean change from baseline in HR was small and did not indicate a clinically relevant effect on HR, and no effect was observed on cardiac conduction as assessed by PR and QRS intervals. In conclusion, pemigatinib does not exhibit any clinically significant prolongation of QTc or dose‐dependent changes in HR.

Clinical trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02393248.

Comparison of electrocardiograms (ECG) waveforms and centralized ECG measurements between a simple 6-lead mobile ECG device and a standard 12-lead ECG

Background

Interval duration measurements (IDMs) were compared between standard 12‐lead electrocardiograms (ECGs) and 6‐lead ECGs recorded with AliveCor's KardiaMobile 6L, a hand‐held mobile device designed for use by patients at home.

Methods

Electrocardiograms were recorded within, on average, 15 min from 705 patients in Mayo Clinic's Windland Smith Rice Genetic Heart Rhythm Clinic. Interpretable 12‐lead and 6‐lead recordings were available for 685 out of 705 (97%) eligible patients. The most common diagnosis was congenital long QT syndrome (LQTS, 343/685 [50%]), followed by unaffected relatives and patients (146/685 [21%]), and patients with other genetic heart diseases, including hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (36 [5.2%]), arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (23 [3.4%]), and idiopathic ventricular fibrillation (14 [2.0%]). IDMs were performed by a central ECG laboratory using lead II with a semi‐automated technique.

Results

Despite differences in patient position (supine for 12‐lead ECGs and sitting for 6‐lead ECGs), mean IDMs were comparable, with mean values for the 12‐lead and 6‐lead ECGs for QTcF, heart rate, PR, and QRS differing by 2.6 ms, −5.5 beats per minute, 1.0 and 1.2 ms, respectively. Despite a modest difference in heart rate, intervals were close enough to allow a detection of clinically meaningful abnormalities.

Conclusions

The 6‐lead hand‐held device is potentially useful for a clinical follow‐up of remote patients, and for a safety follow‐up of patients participating in clinical trials who cannot visit the investigational site. This technology may extend the use of 12‐lead ECG recordings during the current COVID‐19 pandemic as remote patient monitoring becomes more common in virtual or hybrid‐design clinical studies.

QT Assessment in Early Drug Development: The Long and the Short of It

The QT interval occupies a pivotal role in drug development as a surface biomarker of ventricular repolarization. The electrophysiologic substrate for QT prolongation coupled with reports of non-cardiac drugs producing lethal arrhythmias captured worldwide attention from government regulators eventuating in a series of guidance documents that require virtually all new chemical compounds to undergo rigorous preclinical and clinical testing to profile their QT liability. While prolongation or shortening of the QT interval may herald the appearance of serious cardiac arrhythmias, the positive predictive value of an abnormal QT measurement for these arrhythmias is modest, especially in the absence of confounding clinical features or a congenital predisposition that increases the risk of syncope and sudden death. Consequently, there has been a paradigm shift to assess a compound's cardiac risk of arrhythmias centered on a mechanistic approach to arrhythmogenesis rather than focusing solely on the QT interval. This entails both robust preclinical and clinical assays along with the emergence of concentration QT modeling as a primary analysis tool to determine whether delayed ventricular repolarization is present. The purpose of this review is to provide a comprehensive understanding of the QT interval and highlight its central role in early drug development.

Confirmation of the Cardiac Safety of PGF2α Receptor Antagonist OBE022 in a First-in-Human Study in Healthy Subjects, Using Intensive ECG Assessments

OBE022, a new orally active prostaglandin F2α  receptor antagonist (OBE022) with myometrial selectivity is being developed to reduce uterine contractions during preterm labor. This first-in-human study evaluated the effect of OBE022 following multiple doses on the QT interval in 23 healthy postmenopausal women, using the effect of a meal on QTc to demonstrate assay sensitivity. We report the cardiac safety outcome performed during the multiple ascending part of this trial. OBE022 was administered after a standardized breakfast on day 1 and in the fasted state from day 3 to day 9 wth a standardized lunch 4 hours after administration. Concentration-effect modeling was used to assess the effect of prodrug OBE022 and parent OBE002 on QTc after a single dose (days 1 and 3) and multiple doses (day 9). The concentration-response analysis showed the absence of QTc prolongation at all doses tested. Two-sided 90% confidence intervals of the geometric mean Cmax  for estimated QTc effects of OBE022 and OBE002 of all dose groups were consistently below the threshold of regulatory concern. The sensitivity of this study to detect small changes in the QTc was confirmed by a significant shortening of the QTc on days 1, 3, and 9 after standardized meals. This study establishes that neither prodrug OBE022 nor parent OBE002 prolong the QTc interval. The observed food effect on the QT interval validated the assay on all assessment days. Both the change from predose, premeal and the change from premeal, postdose demonstrated the specificity of the method.

Drug-induced Proarrhythmia and Torsade de Pointes: A Primer for Students and Practitioners of Medicine and Pharmacy

Multiple marketing withdrawals due to proarrhythmic concerns occurred in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom in the late 1980s to early 2000s. This primer reviews the clinical implications of a drug's identified proarrhythmic liability, the issues associated with these safety-related withdrawals, and the actions taken by the International Council for Harmonisation of Technical Requirements for Pharmaceuticals for Human Use (ICH) and by regulatory agencies in terms of changing drug development practices and introducing new nonclinical and clinical tests to asses proarrhythmic liability. ICH Guidelines S7B and E14 were released in 2005. Since then, they have been adopted by many regional regulatory authorities and have guided nonclinical and clinical proarrhythmic cardiac safety assessments during drug development. While this regulatory paradigm has been successful in preventing drugs with unanticipated potential for inducing the rare but potentially fatal polymorphic ventricular arrhythmia torsade de pointes from entering the market, it has led to the termination of drug development programs for other potentially useful medicines because of isolated results from studies with limited predictive value. Research efforts are now exploring alternative approaches to better predict potential proarrhythmic liabilities. For example, in the domain of human electrocardiographic assessments, concentration-response modeling conducted during phase 1 clinical development has recently become an accepted alternate primary methodology to the ICH E14 "thorough QT/QTc" study for defining a drug's corrected QT interval prolongation liability under certain conditions. When a drug's therapeutic benefit is considered important at a public health level but there is also an identified proarrhythmic liability that may result from administration of the single drug in certain individuals and/or drug-drug interactions, marketing approval will be accompanied by appropriate directions in the drug's prescribing information. Health-care professionals in the fields of medicine and pharmacy need to consider the prescribing information in conjunction with individual patients' clinical characteristics and concomitant medications when prescribing and dispensing such drugs.

Evaluating cardiac risk: exposure response analysis in early clinical drug development

The assessment of a drug's cardiac liability has undergone considerable metamorphosis by regulators since International Council for Harmonization of Technical Requirement for Pharmaceuticals for Human Use E14 guideline was introduced in 2005. Drug developers now have a choice in how proarrhythmia risk can be evaluated; the options include a dedicated thorough QT (TQT) study or exposure response (ER) modeling of intensive electrocardiogram (ECG) captured in early clinical development. The alternative approach of ER modeling was incorporated into a guidance document in 2015 as a primary analysis tool which could be utilized in early phase dose escalation studies as an option to perform a dedicated TQT trial. This review will describe the current state of ER modeling of intensive ECG data collected during early clinical drug development; the requirements with regard to the use of a positive control; and address the challenges and opportunities of this alternative approach to assessing QT liability.

Importance of QT/RR hysteresis correction in studies of drug-induced QTc interval changes

QT/RR hysteresis and QT/RR adaptation are interlinked but separate physiological processes signifying how quickly and how much QT interval changes when heart rate changes, respectively. While QT interval duration is, as a rule, corrected for heart rate in terms of the QT/RR adaptation, the correction for QT/RR hysteresis is frequently omitted in studies of drug-induced QTc changes. This study used data from previously conducted thorough QT studies to investigate the extent of QTc errors caused by omitting the correction for QT/RR hysteresis, particularly in small clinical investigations. Statistical modeling approach was used to generate 11,000 simulated samples of 10-subject studies in which mixed effect PK/PD models were used to estimate drug-induced QTc changes at mean maximum plasma concentration of investigated compounds. Calculations of QTc intervals involving and omitting QT/RR hysteresis correction were compared. These comparisons showed that ignoring QT/RR hysteresis has two undesirable effects: (A) In the design of subject-specific heart rate corrections (needed in studies of drugs that change heart rate) omission of QT/RR hysteresis may lead to signals of QTc prolongation of more than 10 ms to be missed. (B) Irrespective of whether the investigated drug changes heart rate, omission of QT/RR hysteresis causes the widths of the confidence intervals of the PK/PD predicted QTc interval changes to be increased by 20–30% on average (exceeding 50% in some cases). This may lead to a failure of excluding meaningful QTc prolongation which would be excluded if using hysteresis correction. The study concludes that correction for QT/RR hysteresis should be incorporated into future studies of drug-induced QTc changes. Subject-specific heart rate corrections that omit hysteresis correction may lead to erroneously biased conclusions. Even when using universal (e.g. Fridericia) heart rate correction, hysteresis correction decreases the confidence intervals of QTc changes and thus helps avoiding false positive outcomes.

Use of Early Clinical Trial Data to Support Thorough QT Study Waiver for Upadacitinib and Utility of Food Effect to Demonstrate ECG Assay Sensitivity

Exposure–response analyses of QT data from early‐stage clinical studies represent a valuable tool to assess the QT prolongation potential for drugs in development in lieu of standalone thorough QT (TQT) studies. However, demonstrating adequate electrocardiogram assay sensitivity can be challenging in the absence of a positive pharmacological control. Upadacitinib is a Janus kinase 1 inhibitor currently being evaluated in phase III rheumatoid arthritis trials. Exposure–response analyses to evaluate the QT prolongation potential for upadacitinib from phase I trials and the utility of the effect of food on QTcF to demonstrate ECG assay sensitivity are presented. The analyses demonstrated no effect of upadacitinib on QT interval and confirmed the sensitivity of the ECG assay to detect the small QT shortening effect caused by food. Lack of bias from manual ECG adjudication was also demonstrated. These analyses supported requesting a waiver for the regulatory requirement for a dedicated thorough QT study for upadacitinib.

Estimation of the Power of the Food Effect on QTc to Show Assay Sensitivity

The most recent International Conference on Harmonisation E14 Q&A document states that a separate positive control would not be necessary provided sufficiently high exposures are achieved in the early-phase studies. Realistically, a phase 1 study is unlikely to include a pharmacological positive control, and in cases in which plasma levels of the drug exceeding therapeutic levels are not achieved, the lack of a positive control can constitute a limitation when excluding an effect of regulatory concern. It has been proposed to use the effect of a standardized meal on the estimate of the diurnal time course of QTc to show assay sensitivity. We conducted simulations by subsampling subjects from a 3 different studies and could show that the effect on food on QTc can be reliably prove assay sensitivity for sample sizes as low as 3 × 6 subjects with a power greater than 80%.

Early drug development: assessment of proarrhythmic risk and cardiovascular safety

INTRODUCTION

hERG assays and thorough ECG trials have been mandated since 2005 to evaluate the QT interval and potential proarrhythmic risk of new chemical entities. The high cost of these studies and the shortcomings inherent in these binary and limited approaches to drug evaluation have prompted regulators to search for more cost effective and mechanistic paradigms to assess drug liability as exemplified by the CiPA initiative and the exposure response ICH E14(R3) guidance document. Areas covered: This review profiles the changing regulatory landscape as it pertains to early drug development and outlines the analyses that can be performed to characterize preclinical and early clinical cardiovascular risk. Expert commentary: It is further acknowledged that the narrow focus on the QT interval needs to be expanded to include a more comprehensive evaluation of cardiovascular risk since unanticipated off target effects have led to the withdrawal of multiple drugs after they had been approved and marketed.