A novel tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases-1/liver/cachexia score predicts prognosis of gastrointestinal cancer patients

Development and validation of a cancer cachexia risk score for digestive tract cancer patients before abdominal surgery

BACKGROUND

Cancer cachexia is prevalent in digestive tract cancer patients and has significant impacts on prognosis; it is vital to identify individuals who are at risk of cancer cachexia to allow for appropriate evaluation and treatment. This study evaluated whether digestive tract cancer patients with a risk of cancer cachexia and who had a risk of adverse survival could be identified before abdominal surgery.

METHODS

This large-scale cohort study involved patients who underwent abdominal surgery between January 2015 and December 2020 to treat digestive tract cancer. Participants were allocated to the development cohort, the validation cohort, or the application cohort. Univariate and multivariate analyses of the development cohort were performed to detect distinct risk variables for cancer cachexia to create a cancer cachexia risk score. The performance of the risk score across all the three cohorts was assessed through calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), as well as calibration and decision curves. We tested how well the score predicted survival outcomes in the application cohort.

RESULTS

A total of 16 264 patients (median 64 years of age; 65.9% male) were included, with 8743 in the development cohort, 5828 in the validation cohort, and 1693 in the application cohort. Seven variables were identified as independent predictive factors and were included in the cancer cachexia risk score: cancer site, cancer stage, time from symptom onset to hospitalization, appetite loss, body mass index, skeletal muscle index, and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio. The risk score predicting cancer cachexia owns a good discrimination, with the mean AUC of 0.760 (P < 0.001) in the development cohort, 0.743 (P < 0.001) in the validation cohort, and 0.751 (P < 0.001) in the application cohort, respectively, and had an excellent calibration (all P > 0.05). The decision curve analysis revealed net benefits of the risk score across a range of risk thresholds in the three cohorts. In the application cohort, compared with the high-risk group, the low-risk group experienced significantly longer overall survival [hazard ratio (HR) 2.887, P < 0.001] as well as relapse-free survival (HR 1.482, P = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

The cancer cachexia risk score constructed and validated demonstrated good performance in identifying those digestive tract cancer patients before abdominal surgery at a higher risk of cancer cachexia and unfavourable survival. This risk score can help clinicians to enhance their capabilities to screen for cancer cachexia, assess patient prognosis, and strengthen early decision-making on targeted approaches to attune cancer cachexia for digestive tract cancer patients before abdominal surgery.

TIMP1 expression underlies sex disparity in liver metastasis and survival in pancreatic cancer

Sex disparity in cancer is so far inadequately considered, and components of its basis are rather unknown. We reveal that male versus female pancreatic cancer (PC) patients and mice show shortened survival, more frequent liver metastasis, and elevated hepatic metastasis-promoting gene expression. Tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases 1 (TIMP1) was the secreted factor with the strongest male-biased expression in patient-derived pancreatic tumors. Male-specific up-regulation of systemic TIMP1 was demonstrated in PC mouse models and patients. Using TIMP1-competent and TIMP1-deficient PC mouse models, we established a causal role of TIMP1 in determining shortened survival and increased liver metastasis in males. Observing TIMP1 expression as a risk parameter in males led to identification of a subpopulation exhibiting increased TIMP1 levels (T1HI males) in both primary tumors and blood. T1HI males showed increased risk for liver metastasis development not only in PC but also in colorectal cancer and melanoma. This study reveals a lifestyle-independent sex disparity in liver metastasis and may open new avenues toward precision medicine.

A novel tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases-1/liver/cachexia score predicts prognosis of gastrointestinal cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Cachexia, a devastating syndrome in cancer patients, critically determines survival and life quality. It is characterized by impaired homeostasis of multiple organs including the liver, involves tissue wasting, and is conventionally diagnosed and classified by weight loss (WL). However, recent studies pointed at the problem that WL is not sufficient for precise classification of cancer patients according to disease severity (i.e. prognosis). Tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases-1 (TIMP-1) is an easily accessible cachexia-associated biomarker in the blood, known to alter liver homeostasis. Here, we investigated the value of combining blood levels of TIMP-1 with parameters of liver functionality towards establishment of a cachexia-associated clinical score, which predicts survival of cancer patients, reflects the clinical manifestation of cachexia, and is easily accessible in the clinic.

METHODS

The TIMP-1/liver cachexia (TLC) score, expressed as numerical value ranging from 0 to 1, was calculated by categorizing the blood levels of TIMP-1 and parameters of liver functionality (C-reactive protein, ferritin, gamma-glutamyl transferase, albumin, and total protein) for each patient as below/above a certain risk threshold. The TLC score was tested in a cohort of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients (n = 82, 35.4% women, 64.6% men, median age: 70 years) and validated in a cohort of pancreatic cancer (PC) patients (n = 84, 54.8% women, 45.2% men, median age: 69 years).

RESULTS

In CRC patients, the TLC score positively correlated with presence of cachexia-related symptoms (WL, impaired liver function), predicted survival [P < 0.001, hazard ratio (HR): 96.91 (9.85-953.90)], and allowed classification of three prognostically distinct patient subpopulations [low (LO)-risk, intermediate (IM)-risk, and high (HI)-risk groups; LO vs. IM: P = 0.003, LO vs. HI: P < 0.001, IM vs. HI: P = 0.029]. The prognostic power of the cachexia-associated TLC score [P < 0.001, HR: 7.37 (2.80-19.49)] and its application to define risk groups (LO vs. IM: P = 0.032, LO vs. HI: P < 0.001, IM vs. HI: P = 0.014) was confirmed in a cohort of PC patients. The prognostic power of the TLC score was independent of presence of liver metastases in CRC or PC patients and was superior to clinically established staging classifications.

CONCLUSIONS

The TLC score, a result of straightforward determination of blood parameters, is an objective cachexia-associated clinical tool for precise survival prediction of gastrointestinal cancer patients.