Factors predictive of response to interferon-alpha therapy in hepatitis C virus type 1b infection

Relevance of baseline viral genetic heterogeneity and host factors for treatment outcome prediction in hepatitis C virus 1b-infected patients

BACKGROUND

Only about 50% of patients chronically infected with HCV genotype 1 (HCV-1) respond to treatment with pegylated interferon-alfa and ribavirin (dual therapy), and protease inhibitors have to be administered together with these drugs increasing costs and side-effects. We aimed to develop a predictive model of treatment response based on a combination of baseline clinical and viral parameters.

METHODOLOGY

Seventy-four patients chronically infected with HCV-1b and treated with dual therapy were studied (53 retrospectively -training group-, and 21 prospectively -validation group-). Host and viral-related factors (viral load, and genetic variability in the E1-E2, core and Interferon Sensitivity Determining Region) were assessed. Multivariate discriminant analysis and decision tree analysis were used to develop predictive models on the training group, which were then validated in the validation group.

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

A multivariate discriminant predictive model was generated including the following variables in decreasing order of significance: the number of viral variants in the E1-E2 region, an amino acid substitution pattern in the viral core region, the IL28B polymorphism, serum GGT and ALT levels, and viral load. Using this model treatment outcome was accurately predicted in the training group (AUROC = 0.9444; 96.3% specificity, 94.7% PPV, 75% sensitivity, 81% NPV), and the accuracy remained high in the validation group (AUROC = 0.8148, 88.9% specificity, 90.0% PPV, 75.0% sensitivity, 72.7% NPV). A second model was obtained by a decision tree analysis and showed a similarly high accuracy in the training group but a worse reproducibility in the validation group (AUROC = 0.9072 vs. 0.7361, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS AND SIGNIFICANCE

The baseline predictive models obtained including both host and viral variables had a high positive predictive value in our population of Spanish HCV-1b treatment naïve patients. Accurately identifying those patients that would respond to the dual therapy could help reducing implementation costs and additional side effects of new treatment regimens.

Mutations in different regions of the genome of hepatitis C virus genotype 1b and association with response to interferon therapy

The aim of this study was to investigate the association of mutations in the E2/NS1 [hypervariable regions 1 and 2 (HVR1 and HVR2)] and NS5A regions of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) genome and the effectiveness of interferon (IFN) therapy, and assess whether the degree of heterogeneity of HCV quasispecies predicts response to IFN treatment. Fourteen patients infected with HCV genotype 1b (HCV-1b) who were treated with pegylated IFN-α-2a and ribavirin for 24 weeks, were studied. E2/NS1 and NS5A gene segments were amplified by reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction. HCV quasispecies heterogeneity in the E2/NS1 region was determined by cloning and sequencing. Mutations in the NS5A region were detected by direct sequencing. The heterogeneity of HCV quasispecies in the HVR1 was significantly greater in the non-responder group than in the responder group, but was not significant for HVR2 or NS5A. The correlation between mutations in IFN sensitivity-determining region (ISDR, NS5A2209-2248) and IFN sensitivity could not be supported. The degree of quasispecies heterogeneity in HVR1, but not in HVR2 and NS5A, may be predictive of response to IFN therapy. An ISDR may not apply to patients infected with HCV-1b.

[Current options for predicting therapeutic response in chronically infected patients with hepatitis C virus genotype 1]

Only about 50% of patients chronically infected with hepatitis C virus genotype 1 achieve a successful response to standard treatment with pegylated interferon-alfa and ribavirin. Moreover, the recently approved protease inhibitors will have to be administered together with these drugs. Consequently, predicting response to standard treatment, ideally before starting it, remains an important challenge. Although several baseline predictors of treatment failure have been described, including clinical and virological factors, none of them is able to provide reliable predictions at the individual level. In addition, the development of multivariate models combining several predictive factors has not yet yielded predictions with the requisite reliability for use in clinical practice. Therefore, further research is needed to improve predictive models and to describe new factors that would enable us to predict treatment outcome with greater reliability and reproducibility. The development of candidate selection algorithms that help clinicians to identify which patients could benefit from the new therapies on the basis of their chances of responding to standard therapy is of major interest for both patient well-being and healthcare expense. This review attempts to provide a view of the current options for predicting the response to pegylated interferon-alfa plus ribavirin therapy in patients chronically infected with hepatitis C virus genotype 1.

Hepatitis C virus: How genetic variability affects pathobiology of disease

As an RNA virus, hepatitis C virus (HCV) shows a characteristically high level of nucleotide diversity. Accumulation of nucleotide substitutions in the virus has resulted in diversification into quasispecies, subtypes and distinct genotypes. Pathobiological studies linking nucleotide and amino acid sequences with clinical findings have identified relationships between certain genotypes and characteristic biological properties. Genotype 3 HCV infection was found to be associated with a high level of liver steatosis. Genotypes 1 and 4 were found to be more resistant to interferon (IFN) based therapies than genotypes 2 and 3. Studies of genotype 1 sequences obtained from patients treated with IFN have identified a relationship between favorable response to interferon therapy and amino acid substitutions in the NS5A region (interferon response determining region; ISDR). Further studies have identified a relationship between the effect of IFN therapy and other regions of the NS5A protein. More recently, a relationship has been found between poor response to peg-IFN plus ribavirin combination therapy and substitutions at amino acid 70 and 91 in the core protein. Furthermore, a correlation between human genetic variation in the IL28B (IFN-lamda 3) locus and core amino acid substitutions has been characterized. In this review we briefly summarize the discovery, classification and nomenclature of HCV genotypes and subtypes. We also discuss amino acid substitutions within specific regions that have been reported to be associated with outcome of IFN and peg-IFN plus ribavirin combination therapy.

Baseline prediction of combination therapy outcome in hepatitis C virus 1b infected patients by discriminant analysis using viral and host factors

Background

Current treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has limited efficacy −especially among genotype 1 infected patients−, is costly, and involves severe side effects. Thus, predicting non-response is of major interest for both patient wellbeing and health care expense. At present, treatment cannot be individualized on the basis of any baseline predictor of response. We aimed to identify pre-treatment clinical and virological parameters associated with treatment failure, as well as to assess whether therapy outcome could be predicted at baseline.

Methodology

Forty-three HCV subtype 1b (HCV-1b) chronically infected patients treated with pegylated-interferon alpha plus ribavirin were retrospectively studied (21 responders and 22 non-responders). Host (gender, age, weight, transaminase levels, fibrosis stage, and source of infection) and viral-related factors (viral load, and genetic variability in the E1–E2 and Core regions) were assessed. Logistic regression and discriminant analyses were used to develop predictive models. A “leave-one-out” cross-validation method was used to assess the reliability of the discriminant models.

Principal Findings

Lower alanine transaminase levels (ALT, p = 0.009), a higher number of quasispecies variants in the E1–E2 region (number of haplotypes, nHap_E1–E2) (p = 0.003), and the absence of both amino acid arginine at position 70 and leucine at position 91 in the Core region (p = 0.039) were significantly associated with treatment failure. Therapy outcome was most accurately predicted by discriminant analysis (90.5% sensitivity and 95.5% specificity, 85.7% sensitivity and 81.8% specificity after cross-validation); the most significant variables included in the predictive model were the Core amino acid pattern, the nHap_E1–E2, and gamma-glutamyl transferase and ALT levels.

Conclusions and Significance

Discriminant analysis has been shown as a useful tool to predict treatment outcome using baseline HCV genetic variability and host characteristics. The discriminant models obtained in this study led to accurate predictions in our population of Spanish HCV-1b treatment naïve patients.

Correlation between pre-treatment quasispecies complexity and treatment outcome in chronic HCV genotype 3a

Pre-treatment HCV quasispecies complexity and diversity may predict response to interferon based anti-viral therapy. The objective of this study was to retrospectively (1) examine temporal changes in quasispecies prior to the start of therapy and (2) investigate extensively quasispecies evolution in a group of 10 chronically infected patients with genotype 3a, treated with pegylated α2a-Interferon and ribavirin.

The degree of sequence heterogeneity within the hypervariable region 1 was assessed by analyzing 20–30 individual clones in serial serum samples. Genetic parameters, including amino acid Shannon entropy, Hamming distance and genetic distance were calculated for each sample. Treatment outcome was divided into (1) sustained virological responders (SVR) and (2) treatment failure (TF).

Our results indicate, (1) quasispecies complexity and diversity are lower in the SVR group, (2) quasispecies vary temporally and (3) genetic heterogeneity at baseline can be use to predict treatment outcome.

We discuss the results from the perspective of replicative homeostasis.

Ribavirin with either standard or pegylated interferon to treat recurrent hepatitis C after liver transplantation

AIM

To investigate the efficacy of two anti-viral protocols in hepatitis C virus-reinfected liver transplant recipients.

METHODS

In this prospective study, 26 liver transplant patients were treated with standard interferon-alpha2b for 12 months or standard interferon-alpha2b for 3 months followed by pegylated interferon-alpha2b for 9 months. Interferon was combined with ribavirin in all patients. The histological course of the study population was compared with an untreated historic control group (n = 38) with similar baseline characteristics.

RESULTS

The sustained virological response rates in the standard interferon group and in the pegylated interferon group were 27.3% and 26.7%, respectively. Only 29% of patients with sustained virological response had end of treatment histological response, whereas 47% of viral non-responders showed end of treatment histological response. The percentage of patients with histological improvement was significantly higher in the study population when compared to the controls. Univariate analysis indicated that hepatitis C virus genotype non-1, high baseline alanine aminotransferase, the time interval between liver transplant and interferon therapy and the body mass index predicted sustained virological response. In the multivariate model, baseline alanine aminotransferase and the body mass index remained a significant predictor of sustained virological response.

CONCLUSIONS

Both treatment regimens offer similar efficacy profiles. Failure to eradicate hepatitis C virus should not lead to treatment discontinuation if serial liver biopsies demonstrate histological response.

Quasispecies as predictive response factors for antiviral treatment in patients with chronic hepatitis C

The object of this study was to evaluate the viral factor, especially the quasispecies, as predictive of sustained virologic response. We studied the quasispecies, genotype, viral load, and hepatitis C (HCV) cAg in 41 patients with chronic hepatitis C treated with interferon and in 84 with interferon and ribavirin. In the interferon group, responders presented a lower viral load. From logistic regression analysis of patients treated with interferon plus ribavirin, independent predictors for sustained virologic response were genotype 3a, a low baseline viral load and <or=3 bands quasispecies. Genotype and viral load presented higher specificity and positive predictive value than did quasispecies. In patients with genotype 1, viral load <or=5 x 10(5) IU/mL and <or=3 quasispecies were predictive for sustained virologic response. In conclusion, the predictive factors of virologic response are genotype, viral load, and quasispecies. Quasispecies did not improve on the genotype or the viral load as predictors of virologic response.

Wide range of quasispecies diversity during primary hepatitis C virus infection

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections may be initiated by multiple infectious particles, resulting in a genetically heterogeneous viral population, or by a single particle, leading to a clonal population in the initial stage of infection. To determine which of these scenarios is most common, we evaluated the genetic diversity of HCV quasispecies in 12 seronegative subjects with primary infection following community exposures, six acutely infected recipients of HCV-seropositive blood transfusions and six seropositive individuals with infections of undetermined durations. RNA isolated from plasma and a region of the HCV envelope gene including the first hypervariable region (HVR-1) was reverse transcription-PCR amplified and subcloned, and multiple plasmid clones were sequenced. Phylogenetic analysis indicated that all HCV variants clustered by individuals. Genetic distances among HCV variants within recently infected subjects ranged from 1 to 7.8%. On the basis of the estimated mutation rate of HCV in vivo and the Taq polymerase error rate, primary infection viral quasispecies were classified as genetically heterogeneous when the maximum sequence divergence between genetic variants in the same person was >3%. Heterogeneous quasispecies were detected in 4 of 12 preseroconversion subjects, 1 of 6 transfusion recipients, and 4 of 6 seropositive subjects. The high level of viral quasispecies genetic diversity found in at least a third of recently infected individuals is consistent with the transmission of multiple infectious particles. Community-acquired HCV infection, predominantly the result of needle sharing by injection drug users, therefore appears to be frequently initiated by the successful transmission of multiple viral variants.

Quasispecies heterogeneity within the E1/E2 region as a pretreatment variable during pegylated interferon therapy of chronic hepatitis C virus infection

A series of 29 patients undergoing treatment for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1 infection with pegylated alpha-2a interferon plus ribavirin were studied for patterns of response to antiviral therapy and viral quasispecies evolution. All patients were treatment naive and had chronic inflammation and fibrosis on biopsy. As part of an analysis of pretreatment variables that might affect the outcome of treatment, genetic heterogeneity within the viral E1-E2 glycoprotein region (nucleotides 851 to 2280) was assessed by sequencing 10 to 15 quasispecies clones per patient from serum-derived PCR products. Genetic parameters were examined with respect to response to therapy based on serum viral RNA loads at 12 weeks (early viral response) and at 24 weeks posttreatment (sustained viral response). Nucleotide and amino acid quasispecies complexities of the hypervariable region 1 (HVR-1) were less in the responder group in comparison to the nonresponder group at 12 weeks, and genetic diversity was also less both within and outside of the HVR-1, with the difference being most pronounced for the non-HVR-1 region of E2. However, these genetic parameters did not distinguish responders from nonresponders for sustained viral responses. Follow-up studies of genetic heterogeneity based on the HVR-1 in selected responders and nonresponders while on therapy revealed greater evolutionary drift in the responder subgroup. The pretreatment population sequences for the NS5A interferon sensitivity determinant region were also analyzed for all patients, but no correlations were found between treatment response and any distinct genetic markers. These findings support previous studies indicating a high level of genetic heterogeneity among chronically infected HCV patients. One interpretation of these data is that early viral responses are governed to some extent by viral factors, whereas sustained responses may be more influenced by host factors, in addition to effects of viral complexity and diversity.

Mutations of the interferon sensitivity-determining region (ISDR) correlate with the complexity of hypervariable region (HVR)-1 in the Japanese variant of hepatitis C virus (HCV) type 1b

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1b comprises mainly two subtypes in Japan, each named for its geographic prevalence (Japan-specific, J type; worldwide, W type). Because the newly identified subtypes have not been fully characterized, the present study directed this issue from virological viewpoints such as hypervariable region (HVR)-1 as well as interferon (IFN) sensitivity-determining region (ISDR). Fifty chronic hepatitis patients with HCV 1b (31 men and 19 women; mean age 50.5 years) were enrolled, and J/W type was determined according to envelope 1 (E1) sequence as described previously (23 J type and 27 W type). Correlations between age, number of HVR-1 clones, HVR-1 diversity, and ISDR mutations were analyzed in J and W type patients independently. In addition, the sequences of the three HCV regions obtained for the determination of the above genetic factors were studied phylogenetically. The number of HVR-1 clones was significantly higher for J type in comparison with W type (P = 0.044). In the J type-infected patients, the ISDR mutation number was correlated inversely with HVR-1 clone number (P = 0.0001, r = -0.734) and HVR-1 diversity (P = 0.0001, r = -0.722). However, this correlation was not observed in the W type patients. W type patients showed a significant correlation between age and HVR-1 clone number (P = 0.015, r = 0.462). Phylogenetic study revealed that the nonstructural (NS) 5A sequence, which is obtained for ISDR type determination, can distinguish between J and W types. The inverse correlation in J type patients between ISDR mutations and HVR-1 complexity may explain the usefulness of the ISDR for prediction of IFN response only in Japanese patients. This suggests that the ISDR is not directly related to IFN responsiveness, but the degree of HVR-1 complexity may be more important.

HVR-1 quasispecies modifications occur early and are correlated to initial but not sustained response in HCV-infected patients treated with pegylated- or standard-interferon and ribavirin

BACKGROUND/AIMS

HVR-1 quasispecies composition and evolution were investigated in patients chronically infected with genotype 1b HCV, treated with PEG-IFN alpha 2b or STD-IFN alpha 2b plus RBV.

METHODS

HVR-1 heterogeneity was assessed by calculating nucleotidic complexity, diversity, synonymous (S) and non-synonymous (NS) substitutions at baseline, after 4 weeks of therapy (T1) and at follow-up (T18). Evolution of viral quasispecies was analysed by constructing phylogenetic trees.

RESULTS

No correlation of baseline viremia with heterogeneity was observed. Nucleotidic complexity was lower in patients showing early virological response, and tended to be inversely correlated to viral load decline at 4 weeks of treatment. In the majority of SR, profound changes of quasispecies composition occurred during 4 weeks of treatment, while in NR virtually no major changes of pre-therapy variants were observed. Relapse showed both patterns of quasispecies evolution. Virus quasispecies after follow-up was similar to that found at T1 in both Relapsers and NR patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline parameters of HVR-1 heterogeneity seem to be involved in the early response to treatment, and early response is associated with profound variations in the HVR-1 quasispecies. Viral quasispecies surviving early therapeutic pressure are most likely able to give rise to either virus rebound or persistence at T18.

Effects of quasi-species heterogeneity of HBV on response to IFN-a therapy

AIM: To study effects of quasi-species heterogeneity of hepatitis B virus (HBV) on response to interferon(IFN)-α therapy.

METHODS: Serum quasi-species heterogeneity of HBV in 20 patients (10 responders and 10 non-responders) with chronic hepatitis B before administration of IFN-α was detected with conformation-sensitive gel electrophoresis (CSGE), and the relationship between response to IFN-α and quasi-species heterogeneity of HBV was analyzed.

RESULTS: No significant difference in levels of HBV DNA between responders (7.27×10¹⁰±8.79×10¹⁰) and non-responders (5.16×10¹⁰±5.13×10¹⁰) before IFN-α therapy was found (P > 0.05). But the quasi-species complexity and genetic diversity in non-responders were significantly higher than those in responders (8.30±1.89 vs 18.5±2.68, P < 0.001 and 0.926±0.008 vs 0.869±0.016, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: The level of quasi-species heterogeneity of HBV was reversely associated with the probability of response to IFN-α therapy.