Comparing the efficiency of Fib-4, Egy-score, APRI, and GUCI in liver fibrosis staging in Egyptians with chronic hepatitis C

Fibrosis-4 index stratifies risks of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Risk stratification for patients with a higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is crucial. We aimed to investigate the role of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index in predicting chronic hepatitis C (CHC)-related HCC.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study consecutively included treatment-naive CHC patients receiving longitudinal follow-up at the National Taiwan University Hospital from 1986 to 2014. The clinical data were collected and traced for HCC development. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to investigate the predictors for HCC.

RESULTS

A total of 1285 patients in the ERADICATE-C cohort were included. The median age was 54, 56% were females, and 933 had HCV viremia. There were 33%, 38%, and 29% of patients having FIB-4 index <1.45, 1.45-3.25, and ≥3.25, respectively. After a median of 9-year follow-up, 186 patients developed HCC. Multivariable analysis revealed that older age, AFP≥20 ng/mL, cirrhosis, and a higher FIB-4 index were independent predictors for HCC. Compared with patients with FIB-4 index <1.45, those with FIB-4 1.45-3.25 had a 5.51-fold risk (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.65-11.46), and those with FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 had 7.45-fold risk (95% CI: 3.46-16.05) of HCC. In CHC patients without viremia, FIB-4 index 1.45-3.25 and FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 increased 6.78-fold and 16.77-fold risk of HCC, respectively, compared with those with FIB-4 < 1.45.

CONCLUSION

The baseline FIB-4 index can stratify the risks of HCC in untreated CHC patients, even those without viremia. The FIB-4 index should thus be included in the management of CHC.

Liver fibrosis stage based on the four factors (FIB-4) score or Forns index in adults with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

The presence and severity of liver fibrosis are important prognostic variables when evaluating people with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). Although liver biopsy remains the reference standard, non-invasive serological markers, such as the four factors (FIB-4) score and the Forns index, can also be used to stage liver fibrosis.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the diagnostic accuracy of the FIB-4 score and Forns index in staging liver fibrosis in people with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) virus, using liver biopsy as the reference standard (primary objective). To compare the diagnostic accuracy of these tests for staging liver fibrosis in people with CHC and explore potential sources of heterogeneity (secondary objectives).

SEARCH METHODS

We used standard Cochrane search methods for diagnostic accuracy studies (search date: 13 April 2022).

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included diagnostic cross-sectional or case-control studies that evaluated the performance of the FIB-4 score, the Forns index, or both, against liver biopsy, in the assessment of liver fibrosis in participants with CHC. We imposed no language restrictions. We excluded studies in which: participants had causes of liver disease besides CHC; participants had successfully been treated for CHC; or the interval between the index test and liver biopsy exceeded six months.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently extracted data. We performed meta-analyses using the bivariate model and calculated summary estimates. We evaluated the performance of both tests for three target conditions: significant fibrosis or worse (METAVIR stage ≥ F2); severe fibrosis or worse (METAVIR stage ≥ F3); and cirrhosis (METAVIR stage F4). We restricted the meta-analysis to studies reporting cut-offs in a specified range (+/-0.15 for FIB-4; +/-0.3 for Forns index) around the original validated cut-offs (1.45 and 3.25 for FIB-4; 4.2 and 6.9 for Forns index). We calculated the percentage of people who would receive an indeterminate result (i.e. above the rule-out threshold but below the rule-in threshold) for each index test/cut-off/target condition combination.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 84 studies (with a total of 107,583 participants) from 28 countries, published between 2002 and 2021, in the qualitative synthesis. Of the 84 studies, 82 (98%) were cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy studies with cohort-based sampling, and the remaining two (2%) were case-control studies. All studies were conducted in referral centres. Our main meta-analysis included 62 studies (100,605 participants). Overall, two studies (2%) had low risk of bias, 23 studies (27%) had unclear risk of bias, and 59 studies (73%) had high risk of bias. We judged 13 studies (15%) to have applicability concerns regarding participant selection. FIB-4 score The FIB-4 score's low cut-off (1.45) is designed to rule out people with at least severe fibrosis (≥ F3). Thirty-nine study cohorts (86,907 participants) yielded a summary sensitivity of 81.1% (95% confidence interval (CI) 75.6% to 85.6%), specificity of 62.3% (95% CI 57.4% to 66.9%), and negative likelihood ratio (LR-) of 0.30 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.38). The FIB-4 score's high cut-off (3.25) is designed to rule in people with at least severe fibrosis (≥ F3). Twenty-four study cohorts (81,350 participants) yielded a summary sensitivity of 41.4% (95% CI 33.0% to 50.4%), specificity of 92.6% (95% CI 89.5% to 94.9%), and positive likelihood ratio (LR+) of 5.6 (95% CI 4.4 to 7.1). Using the FIB-4 score to assess severe fibrosis and applying both cut-offs together, 30.9% of people would obtain an indeterminate result, requiring further investigations. We report the summary accuracy estimates for the FIB-4 score when used for assessing significant fibrosis (≥ F2) and cirrhosis (F4) in the main review text. Forns index The Forns index's low cut-off (4.2) is designed to rule out people with at least significant fibrosis (≥ F2). Seventeen study cohorts (4354 participants) yielded a summary sensitivity of 84.7% (95% CI 77.9% to 89.7%), specificity of 47.9% (95% CI 38.6% to 57.3%), and LR- of 0.32 (95% CI 0.25 to 0.41). The Forns index's high cut-off (6.9) is designed to rule in people with at least significant fibrosis (≥ F2). Twelve study cohorts (3245 participants) yielded a summary sensitivity of 34.1% (95% CI 26.4% to 42.8%), specificity of 97.3% (95% CI 92.9% to 99.0%), and LR+ of 12.5 (95% CI 5.7 to 27.2). Using the Forns index to assess significant fibrosis and applying both cut-offs together, 44.8% of people would obtain an indeterminate result, requiring further investigations. We report the summary accuracy estimates for the Forns index when used for assessing severe fibrosis (≥ F3) and cirrhosis (F4) in the main text. Comparing FIB-4 to Forns index There were insufficient studies to meta-analyse the performance of the Forns index for diagnosing severe fibrosis and cirrhosis. Therefore, comparisons of the two tests' performance were not possible for these target conditions. For diagnosing significant fibrosis and worse, there were no significant differences in their performance when using the high cut-off. The Forns index performed slightly better than FIB-4 when using the low/rule-out cut-off (relative sensitivity 1.12, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.25; P = 0.0573; relative specificity 0.69, 95% CI 0.57 to 0.84; P = 0.002).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Both the FIB-4 score and the Forns index may be considered for the initial assessment of people with CHC. The FIB-4 score's low cut-off (1.45) can be used to rule out people with at least severe fibrosis (≥ F3) and cirrhosis (F4). The Forns index's high cut-off (6.9) can be used to diagnose people with at least significant fibrosis (≥ F2). We judged most of the included studies to be at unclear or high risk of bias. The overall quality of the body of evidence was low or very low, and more high-quality studies are needed. Our review only captured data from referral centres. Therefore, when generalising our results to a primary care population, the probability of false positives will likely be higher and false negatives will likely be lower. More research is needed in sub-Saharan Africa, since these tests may be of value in such resource-poor settings.

Accuracy of blood-based biomarkers for staging liver fibrosis in chronic liver disease: A systematic review supporting the AASLD Practice Guideline

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Blood-based biomarkers have been proposed as an alternative to liver biopsy for noninvasive liver disease assessment in chronic liver disease. Our aims for this systematic review were to evaluate the diagnostic utility of selected blood-based tests either alone, or in combination, for identifying significant fibrosis (F2-4), advanced fibrosis (F3-4), and cirrhosis (F4), as compared to biopsy in chronic liver disease.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We included a comprehensive search of databases including Ovid MEDLINE(R), EMBASE, Cochrane Database, and Scopus through to April 2022. Two independent reviewers selected 286 studies with 103,162 patients. The most frequently identified studies included the simple aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis (FIB)-4 markers (with low-to-moderate risk of bias) in HBV and HCV, HIV-HCV/HBV coinfection, and NAFLD. Positive (LR+) and negative (LR-) likelihood ratios across direct and indirect biomarker tests for HCV and HBV for F2-4, F3-4, or F4 were 1.66-6.25 and 0.23-0.80, 1.89-5.24 and 0.12-0.64, and 1.32-7.15 and 0.15-0.86, respectively; LR+ and LR- for NAFLD F2-4, F3-4, and F4 were 2.65-3.37 and 0.37-0.39, 2.25-6.76 and 0.07-0.87, and 3.90 and 0.15, respectively. Overall, the proportional odds ratio indicated FIB-4 <1.45 was better than aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index <0.5 for F2-4. FIB-4 >3.25 was also better than aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index >1.5 for F3-4 and F4. There was limited data for combined tests.

CONCLUSIONS

Blood-based biomarkers are associated with small-to-moderate change in pretest probability for diagnosing F2-4, F3-4, and F4 in viral hepatitis, HIV-HCV coinfection, and NAFLD, with limited comparative or combination studies for other chronic liver diseases.

Performance of Non-invasive Biomarkers of Liver Fibrosis Amongst Hispanics and African Americans

INTRODUCTION

 Liver biopsy is the gold standard for fibrosis staging. However, it is limited by significant complications. Non-invasive markers of fibrosis have been developed as an alternative to liver biopsy. The performance of these different markers varies with the etiology of liver fibrosis and possibly amongst different ethnicities. We aim to assess the performance of non-invasive markers of liver fibrosis amongst Hispanics and African Americans.

METHOD

This is a retrospective cohort analysis of patients who had liver biopsy as part of their evaluation of chronic liver disease. One hundred and twenty-six records were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed. Probit regression receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to assess the sensitivity of the different non-invasive biomarkers and underlying variables with respect to liver biopsy. The following non-invasive markers for fibrosis were used: Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI), age-platelet, AST/alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio, fibrosis cirrhosis index (FCI), and fibrosis index (FI).

RESULTS

About two-thirds of the study population were African Americans with majority of the study population having chronic liver disease from viral infection. Minimal to no fibrosis by the METAVIR (an acronym for Meta-analysis of Histological Data in Viral Hepatitis) score was found in 58% of patients compared to 42% with moderate to severe fibrosis. Hispanics were more likely than Blacks to have hepatic steatosis. Age significantly increased the sensitivity and specificity of APRI and age-platelet scores. The AST/ALT score had a lower sensitivity for liver fibrosis in women compared to men in our study population. The sensitivity of FIB-4 and age-platelet was higher in Hispanics compared to African Americans while the opposite was the case for APRI, AST/ALT, FCI, and FI.

CONCLUSION

Non-invasive biomarkers are useful in detecting liver fibrosis. FIB-4 and age-platelet have a high sensitivity in Hispanics while African Americans have a high sensitivity for APRI, AST/ALT, FCI, and FI. It is worth noting that these non-invasive biomarkers had variable performances when ethnicity, age, and sex were considered in our population.

Diagnosis and staging of HCV associated fibrosis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma with target identification for miR-650, 552-3p, 676-3p, 512-5p and 147b

BACKGROUND: Chronic HCV infection progresses to fibrosis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The latter represents the third most common cause for cancer mortality. Currently, there is no reliable non-invasive biomarker for diagnosis of HCV mediated disorders. OBJECTIVE: Profiling expression signature for circulatory miRNAs in the plasma of 167 Egyptian patients (40 healthy, 48 HCV fibrotic, 39 HCV cirrhotic and 40 HCV-HCC cases). METHODS: QRTPCR was used to quantify expression signature for circulatory miRNAs. RESULTS: MiR-676 and miR-650 were powerful in discriminating cirrhotic and late fibrosis from HCC. MiR-650 could distinguish mild (f0-f1) and advanced (f2-f3) fibrosis from HCC cases. MiR-650 and miR-147b could distinguish early fibrosis from healthy controls meanwhile miR-676 and miR-147b could effectively distinguish between mild chronic and (f1-f3) cases from healthy individuals. All studied miRNAs, except miR-512, can differentiate between (f0-f3) cases and healthy controls. Multivariate logistic regression revealed three potential miRNA panels for effective differentiation of HCC, cirrhotic and chronic liver cases. MiR-676-3p and miR-512-5p were significantly correlated in (f1-f3) fibrosis meanwhile miR-676 and miR-512 could differentiate between cirrhosis and (f0-f3) cases. Both miR-650 and miR-512-5p were positively correlated in the cirrhotic group and in (f0-f4) group. Putative targets for investigated miRNAs were also determined. CONCLUSIONS: Investigated miRNAs could assist in staging and diagnosis of HCV associated disorders.

Serum fibrosis markers could aid in the prediction of factor for successful oral antiviral treatment in hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

It has been demonstrated that there may be a relationship between liver fibrosis and serum biomarkers. The aim of this study was to investigate pre- and postoral antiviral therapy levels of these biomarkers and their relationship with other fibrotic parameters in hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients.

METHODS

The study group comprised HCV patients who were treated with oral antiviral regimens. Prior to, and 8 months after the treatment, serum biomarkers, including transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β), chitinase-3-like protein 1 (YKL-40), collagen type IV, matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) and hyaluronic acid levels, were examined and fibrosis-4 (Fib-4) and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) scores were calculated at the same times.

RESULTS

In total, 45 HCV patients (aged between 27 and 86 years) participated. Of these 20 (44.4%) were cirrhotic and 25 (55.6%) were noncirrhotic. The concentrations of YKL-40 (P = 0.01) and TGF-β (P = 0.032) after treatment were significantly higher than the pretreatment values, whereas hyaluronic acid concentrations decreased after treatment (P = 0.001). Noncirrhotic patients had significantly higher (P = 0.03) YKL-40 levels prior to therapy compared to cirrhotic patients. Median MMP-2 concentrations were higher in men than in women (P = 0.001). Prior to treatment, TGF-β, YKL-40 and collagen type IV levels were negatively correlated with Fib-4 scores, whereas only TGF-β and YKL-40 concentrations were negatively correlated with APRI scores.

CONCLUSION

YKL-40, TGF β and hyaluronic acid may be markers for fibrotic change during oral therapy for HCV. In particular, TGF β concentrations correlated with fibrotic indices. However, these results should be confirmed and validated by further research.

Serum biomarkers as an alternative to vibration controlled transient elastography in liver fibrosis staging in chronic hepatitis C

Background

Assessment of liver disease severity in chronic Hepatitis C (CHC) is essential both in pretreatment and posttreatment period. We assessed the impact of direct-acting antiviral therapy on liver stiffness regression measured by Vibration Controlled Transient Elastography (VCTE) in patients with CHC and evaluated the diagnostic performance of the APRI and FIB-4 scores compared to VCTE in detecting advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis (F3/F4).

Methodology

Retrospective analysis of consecutive patients with CHC who underwent VCTE before and after DAA therapy was done. APRI and FIB-4 scores were compared to VCTE.

Results

88 (56.78%) patients-12 (F3) and 76 (F4) according to VCTE, had advanced fibrosis pretreatment, which reduced to 69 (44.52%) - 10 (F3) and 59 (F4) after 12 weeks DAA therapy. Significant reduction in VCTE value from 14.08 ± 9.05 KPa to 11.84 ± 8.31 KPa (p=0.002) was noted. There is significant reduction in APRI, FIB-4 and GUCI score posttreatment which was not the case with Lok score and Bonacini score. Before therapy, FIB-4 outperformed others to predict advanced fibrosis with score >2.13 (AUC 0.93), having sensitivity 76%, specificity 96% and accuracy 86%. However posttreatment, APRI and GUCI score performed best to predict F3/F4 fibrosis with score >0.63 (AUC 0.97) and >0.64 (AUC 0.96), having sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of 85%, 96.6% and 92% ; 85%, 6.6% and 92% respectively.

Conclusion

Before therapy, FIB-4 had the best accuracy in predicting advanced fibrosis whereas APRI and GUCI score were the best indices post-treatment.

Elastography and serum markers of fibrosis versus liver biopsy in 1270 Egyptian patients with hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) is a leading cause of liver fibrosis.

OBJECTIVE

To compare utility of liver transient elastography, AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 index (FIB4), Forns Index and Goteborg University cirrhosis index (GUCI) in predicting fibrosis stage assessed by liver biopsy in Egyptian CHC patients.

METHODS

One thousand two-hundred and seventy CHC patients undergoing liver biopsy in preparation for therapy and 40 healthy potential living liver donors had transient elastography and calculation of APRI, FIB4, Forns and GUCI scores on the same day or day preceding the biopsy.

RESULTS

Mean age was 39.89 (17-60 years) and most were males (70.7%). All donors had F0 fibrosis, most patients had F1-F2 fibrosis (n = 1011, 79.6%) and 259 (20.4%) had F3-F4 fibrosis. Patients with F3-F4 fibrosis had higher median values of APRI (0.99 vs. 0.46), FIB4 (2.15 vs. 0.95) and Forns (7.34 vs. 4.79) indices, GUCI score (1.16 vs. 0.49) and transient elastography (19.2 vs. 6.2 kPa) (all P = 0.001). For F1 discrimination, AUROC of transient elastography was higher than both Forns and GUCI scores (P = 0.001). APRI, FIB4 and GUCI had lower AUROC than transient elastography for predicting fibrosis stage in F2 and F3 patients (P = 0.001). Transient elastography had the best area under receiver operating characteristic curve for predicting fibrosis stage in F4 patients (P = 0.001). The transient elastography cutoff values (kPa) were F1 (>4.8), F2 (>8.3), F3 (>10.1) and F4 (>13.4). Age, APRI, FIB4, Forns, GUCI and transient elastography were independent predictors of F3-F4 fibrosis.

CONCLUSION

Liver elastography is superior to APRI, FIB4, Forns and GUCI scores in predicting fibrosis in CHC patients.

Predicting Liver Fibrosis in the Hepatitis C Population: Concordance Analysis Between Noninvasive Scoring Systems and Percutaneous Liver Biopsy

Background

Due to the slow progression of many chronic liver diseases, including hepatitis C, it is not practical or safe to monitor disease progression by serial liver biopsies. Noninvasive laboratory scoring systems based on routine laboratory tests are appealing surrogate markers of liver fibrosis for the staging and monitoring of chronic liver diseases such as hepatitis C.

Methods

We explored the accuracy of three scoring systems: the fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI score), and the aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio (AAR) in 496 patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who had undergone percutaneous liver biopsy at a viral hepatitis clinic in Shreveport, Louisiana.

Results

For FIB-4, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for hepatic fibrosis stages ≥ 1, ≥ 2, ≥ 3, and 4 (cirrhosis) ranged from 0.74 (95% CI, 0.678 - 0.802) to 0.802 (95% CI, 0.751 - 0.854). At a cutoff value of 1.45, FIB-4 was 82% sensitive for advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis (stage 3 or 4) but was only 58% specific for these findings. Increasing the FIB-4 cutoff value to 3.25 reduced the sensitivity for detecting advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis to 39%, but this higher cutoff was 92% specific for these findings. Corresponding AUROCs for the APRI and AAR scores were inferior to FIB-4.

Conclusion

The FIB-4 index outperformed APRI and AAR in our HCV infected population in predicting severe fibrosis or cirrhosis.

Dynamic Changes of the Aspartate Aminotransferase-to-Platelet Ratio and Transient Elastography in Predicting a Histologic Response in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B After Entecavir Treatment

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the dynamic changes of the aspartate aminotransferase (AST)-to-platelet ratio and transient elastography (FibroScan; Echosens, Paris, France) in predicting a histologic response in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) after entecavir treatment.

METHODS

A total of 148 patients with CHB were enrolled. Patient information was collected. All patients received liver biopsy and FibroScan before and after 96 weeks of entecavir treatment.

RESULTS

Baseline liver biopsy results showed that there were 7 patients without liver fibrosis (fibrosis stage F0; 4.7%), 51 patients with mild liver fibrosis (F1; 34.5%), and 90 patients with advanced liver fibrosis (>F1; 60.9%). The liver stiffness value and AST-to-platelet ratio increased significantly as the METAVIR score of the patients increased from F0 to F4 (P < .001). After antiviral therapy for 96 weeks, the average liver stiffness value measured by FibroScan and the AST-to-platelet ratio showed a significant decrease. When we use a decreased liver stiffness value to predict a histologic response, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.70 (95% confidence interval, 0.61-0.79; P < .001), and the sensitivity and specificity were 74.3% and 68.8%, respectively. The decrease of the AST-to-platelet ratio also could predict the histologic response of patients with CHB; the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.77 (95% confidence interval, 0.69-0.86; P < .001) with sensitivity of 76.2% and specificity of 70.2%. A multivariate analysis indicated that a high hepatitis B virus DNA viral load (odds ratio, 1.44; P = .04) and high METAVIR score (odds ratio, 1.38; P = .02) were independent risk factors for the histologic response.

CONCLUSIONS

Both the AST-to-platelet ratio and FibroScan value can effectively predict a histologic response in patients with CHB during entecavir treatment. Therefore, they can be used to monitor these patients during antiviral treatment to avoid multiple liver biopsies.

Novel non-invasive score to predict cirrhosis in the era of hepatitis C elimination: A population study of ex-substance users in Singapore

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis C infection is common among people with history of substance use. Liver fibrosis assessment is a barrier to linkage to care, particularly among those with history of substance users. The use of non-invasive scores can be helpful in predicting liver cirrhosis in the era of HCV elimination, especially in countries where transient elastography (TE) is not available. We compared the commonly used non-invasive scores with a novel non-invasive score in predicting liver cirrhosis in this population.

METHODS

HCV patients with history of substance use between 2011 and 2016 were analyzed. All patients had TE for liver fibrosis assessment. Clinical performance of established non-invasive scores for fibrosis assessment and novel score were compared. Youden's index was used to determine optimal cut-off of the novel score.

RESULTS

A total of 579 patients were included. In multivariate logistic regression, cirrhosis on TE was associated with age (P = 0.002), aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (P = 0.004), and platelet count (P < 0.001), but not alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (P = 0.896). These form the components of modified AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) score. Modified APRI was superior to APRI in predicting cirrhosis (AUROC, 0.796 vs. 0.770, P = 0.007), but not fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4) (P = 1.00). Modified APRI at cut-off of 4 has sensitivity, specificity and negative predictive value (NPV) of 94.4%, 26.9% and 92.6%, respectively, and at 19, has sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) of 33.3%, 96.2% and 77.1%, respectively. FIB-4 has a NPV and PPV of 88.6%, 41.8% and 78.5%, 77.6%, at cut-off of 1.45 and 3.25, respectively. Using the cut-off of 4 and 14 for modified APRI, 32.5% of patients can be correctly classified and misses out only 5.6% of cirrhosis patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Modified APRI score is superior in predicting cirrhosis in HCV population, with 32.5% of the population being correctly classified using cut-off of 4 and 14. Further studies are required to validate the findings.

Diagnostic thresholds and performance of noninvasive fibrosis scores are limited by age in patients with chronic hepatitis B

AIM

We aimed at investigating the effects of age on the predictive performances of noninvasive fibrosis scores for significant fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB).

METHODS

A total of 496 CHB patients who underwent liver biopsy were stratified into four age groups: ≤30, 31 to 40, 41 to 50, and ≥51 years. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the diagnostic performance of aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis score-4 (Fib-4) and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase to platelet ratio (GPR) in different age groups.

RESULTS

The extent of fibrosis significantly increased with age, and the percentage of significant fibrosis (≥F2) was 21.3%, 29.0%, 38.5%, and 46.1%, respectively. All three scores displayed a moderate accuracy to diagnose significant fibrosis in overall patients. However, for patients with age ≤30 years, APRI, Fib-4, and GPR performed poorly with the AUROC of 0.567, 0.627 and 0.596, respectively. Furthermore, using the established cut-off values-1.45 for Fib-4, the sensitivity for significant fibrosis increased with age, from 14.8%, 38.1%, 74.5% to 97.87% in above age groups, respectively. To improve the diagnostic accuracy for significant fibrosis, the proposed low and high cut-off points for Fib-4 were 0.41 and 1.15 in ≤30 years, 0.8 and 1.59 in 31 to 40 years, 1.17 and 1.94 in 41 to 50 years, 1.76 and 3.10 in ≥ 51 years, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Age may influence the diagnostic thresholds and performance of APRI, Fib-4, and GPR for significant fibrosis in patients with CHB. In particular, these scores performed poorly for identifying significant fibrosis in younger patients (≤30 years).