Differential Impact of Age Among Liver Transplant Candidates With and Without Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Availability of living donor optimizes timing of liver transplant in high-risk waitlisted cirrhosis patients

Liver transplant (LT) candidates have become older and frailer, with growing Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and comorbid disease burden in recent years, predisposing them for poor waitlist outcomes. We aimed to evaluate the impact of access to living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) in waitlisted patients at highest risk of dropout. We reviewed all adult patients with decompensated cirrhosis listed for LT from November 2012 to December 2018. Patients with a potential living donor (pLD) available were identified. Survival analyses with Cox Proportional Hazards models and time to LT with Competing risk models were performed followed by prediction model development. Out of 860 patients who met inclusion criteria, 360 (41.8%) had a pLD identified and 496 (57.6%) underwent LT, out of which 170 (34.2%) were LDLT. The benefit of pLD was evident for all, but patients with moderate to severe frailty at listing (interaction p = 0.03), height <160 cm (interaction p = 0.03), and Model for end stage liver disease (MELD)-Na score <20 (interaction p < 0.0001) especially benefited. Our prediction model identified patients at highest risk of dropout while waiting for deceased donor and most benefiting of pLD (time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.82). Access to LDLT in a transplant program can optimize the timing of transplant for the increasingly older, frail patient population with comorbidities who are at highest risk of dropout.

Reduction in Racial and Ethnic Disparity in Survival Following Liver Transplant for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the Direct-acting Antiviral Era

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Black patients with hepatocellular cancer (HCC), often attributed to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, have suboptimal survival following liver transplant (LT). We evaluated the impact of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) availability on racial and ethnic disparities in wait list burden post-LT survival for candidates with HCC.

METHODS

Using the United Network for Organ Sharing registry, we identified patients with HCC who were listed and/or underwent LT from 2009 to 2020. Based on date of LT, patients were categorized into 2 era-based cohorts: the pre-DAA era (LT between 2009 and 2011) and DAA era (LT between 2015 and 2017, with follow-up through 2020). Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to compare post-LT survival, stratified by era and race and ethnicity.

RESULTS

Annual wait list additions for HCV-related HCC decreased significantly in White and Hispanic patients during the DAA era, with no change (P = .14) in Black patients. Black patients had lower 3-year survival than White patients in the pre-DAA era (70.6% vs 80.1%, respectively; P < .001) but comparable survival in the DAA era (82.1% vs 85.5%, respectively; P = .16). 0n multivariable analysis, Black patients in the pre-DAA era had a 53% higher risk (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.28-1.84), for mortality than White patients, but mortality was comparable in the DAA era (adjusted HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 0.99-1.52). In a stratified analysis in Black patients, HCV-related HCC carried more than a 2-fold higher risk of mortality in the pre-DAA era (adjusted HR, 2.86; 95% CI, 1.50-5.43), which was reduced in the DAA era (adjusted HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 0.78-2.30).

CONCLUSIONS

With the availability of DAA therapy, racial disparities in post-LT survival have improved.

Outcome of liver transplantation in elderly patients: an Italian multicenter case-control study

Despite the controversial results of liver transplantation (LT) in elderly recipients, the proportion of patients continues to increase. This study investigated the outcome of LT in elderly patients (≥ 65 years) in an Italian, multicenter cohort. Between January 2014 and December 2019, 693 eligible patients were transplanted, and two groups were compared: recipients ≥ 65 years (n = 174, 25.1%) versus 50-59 years (n = 519, 74.9%). Confounders were balanced using a stabilized inverse probability therapy weighting (IPTW). Elderly patients showed more frequent early allograft dysfunction (23.9 versus 16.8%, p = 0.04). Control patients had longer posttransplant hospital stays (median: 14 versus 13 days; p = 0.02), while no difference was observed for posttransplant complications (p = 0.20). At multivariable analysis, recipient age ≥ 65 years was an independent risk factor for patient death (HR  1.76; p = 0.002) and graft loss (HR  1.63; p = 0.005). The 3-month, 1-year, and 5-year patient survival rates were 82.6, 79.8, and 66.4% versus 91.1, 88.5, and 82.0% in the elderly and control group, respectively (log-rank p = 0.001). The 3-month, 1-year, and 5-year graft survival rates were 81.5, 78.7, and 66.0% versus 90.2, 87.2, and 79.9% in the elderly and control group, respectively (log-rank p = 0.003). Elderly patients with CIT > 420 min showed 3-month, 1-year, and 5-year patient survival rates of 75.7%, 72.8%, and 58.5% versus 90.4%, 86.5%, and 79.4% for controls (log-rank p = 0.001). LT in elderly (≥ 65 years) recipients provides favorable results, but inferior to those achieved in younger patients (50-59), especially when CIT > 7 h. Containment of cold ischemia time seems pivotal for favorable outcomes in this class of patients.

Management of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients who are 70 years or older

Background

Although liver transplantation has been done successfully in elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, these are likely well-selected patients. This study uses a large database of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma to explore treatment and potential candidacy for liver transplantation in the elderly.

Methods

Retrospective review of 1,533 hepatocellular carcinoma cases identified 2 groups: 475 patients 70 years or older (70 +) and 1,058 patients < 70 years. Demographics, risk factors, tumor characteristics, treatments, and survival were compared. Three- and 5-year survival rates were determined, and logistic regression was used to identify factors predictive of 3-year survival.

Results

Patients 70 + were more likely to have metabolic factors and less likely to have viral hepatitis, cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma found with surveillance (21.7% vs 28.4%, P = .005), and hepatocellular carcinoma within Milan criteria (37.3% vs 43.8%, P = .019). Model for End-stage Liver Disease score was similar, but patients 70 + had higher mean creatinine and lower mean bilirubin. Patients 70 + were equally likely to undergo liver resection but less likely to undergo liver transplantation (0.4% vs 10.2%, P < .001). Three- and 5-year survival rates were significantly worse in 70 +, and predictors of 3-year survival included hepatocellular carcinoma found with surveillance, meeting Milan criteria, and normal alpha fetoprotein.

Discussion

Elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma were less likely to undergo liver transplantation potentially due to metabolic factors and advanced disease. Although there is no age cutoff for liver transplantation, elderly patients should be given realistic expectations of liver transplantation candidacy. Continued surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma in elderly patients may allow for earlier diagnosis and improved liver transplantation candidacy.

Key Message

Hepatocellular carcinoma in patients who are 70 years or older can be managed with liver transplantation in select cases, but more patients will be managed with liver resection and nonoperative therapies.

•

Most patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who are older than 70 years will not undergo liver transplant.

•

Older patients are more likely to have metabolic risk factors and comorbidities including diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.

•

Older patients have similar Model for End-stage Liver Disease score as younger patients; their scores are based on having more renal dysfunction and a lower bilirubin.

•

Older patients are less likely to have their hepatocellular carcinoma found with surveillance and are more likely to have cancer that is beyond Milan criteria which are generally used for transplant candidacy.

Improving the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with sodium by incorporating kidney dysfunction types

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We investigated the impact of the inclusion of kidney dysfunction type on the discrimination and calibration of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with sodium (MELD-Na-KT) score.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We included all adults listed for ≥90 days without exception points from January 1, 2008, through December 31, 2018. We defined kidney dysfunction types as follows: acute kidney disease (AKD; an increase of ≥0.3 mg/dL or ≥50% in serum creatinine in the last 7 days or fewer than 72 days of hemodialysis), chronic kidney disease (CKD; an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 ml/min/1.73 m2  for 90 days or ≥72 days of hemodialysis), AKD on CKD (met both definitions), or none (met neither definition). We then developed and validated a multivariable survival model with follow-up beginning at the first assessment after 90 days from waitlist registration and ending at the time of death, waitlist removal, or 90 days from enrollment in this study. The predictor variables were MELD-Na and the derived MELD-Na-KT model. In the derivation cohort, kidney dysfunction type was significantly associated with waitlist mortality after controlling for MELD-Na. There was a significant linear interaction between kidney dysfunction type and MELD-Na score. In the validation cohort, we saw an improvement in the discrimination of the model with an increase in the c-index from 0.76 with MELD-Na to 0.78 with MELD-Na-KT (p = 0.002) and a net reclassification index of 10.8% (95% CI, 1.9%-11.4%). The newly derived MELD-Na-KT model had lower Brier scores (MELD-Na-KT 0.042 vs. MELD-Na 0.053).

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates the feasibility and the potential for objectively defined kidney dysfunction types to enhance the prognostication of waitlist mortality provided by the MELD-Na score.

Septuagenarian Donors and Recipients in Deceased Donor Liver Transplantation: A Brazilian Single Center Experience and Literature Review

BACKGROUND

The number of elderly patients who have end-stage liver disease and require liver transplantation has dramatically increased. On the other hand, liver grafts from elderly donors have been offered more frequently for transplantation. The present study aims to analyze the results of liver transplants performed with donors and recipients aged ≥70 years.

METHODS

We performed a single-center retrospective study of deceased donors liver transplants that involved recipients aged ≥7070 years or recipients who received grafts from donors aged ≥70 years from 2011 to 2021. A literature review on the results of liver transplantation in elderly recipients was also performed.

RESULTS

Thirty septuagenarian recipients were included; their overall 1- and 5-years survival was 80% and 76.6%, respectively. The prevalence of recipients aged ≥70 years in our department was 2.65%. Twenty recipients received grafts form septuagenarian donors; their overall 1- and 5-years survival was 75%. The prevalence of donors aged ≥70 years in our department was 1%. In the literature review, 17 articles were analyzed. The 5-years survival of recipients aged ≥70 years ranged from 47.1% to 78.5%.

CONCLUSIONS

Septuagenarian recipients and patients who received grafts from elderly brain-dead donors present adequate overall survival after liver transplantation. Optimized donor-recipient matching is paramount for achieving good outcomes. The combination of high-risk donors with septuagenarian recipients should be avoided as well as using grafts of elderly donors that present others risk factors. Thus, the age of the donor or recipient alone cannot be considered an absolute contraindication for liver transplantation.

Age disparities in transplantation

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The aim of this review is to outline disparities in liver and kidney transplantation across age spectrum. Disparities do not involve only recipients whose age may severely affect the possibility to access to a potentially life-saving procedure, but donors as well. The attitude of transplant centers to use older donors reflects on waiting list mortality and drop-out. This review examines which age categories are currently harmed and how different allocation systems may minimize disparities.

RECENT FINDINGS

Specific age categories suffer disparities in the access to transplantation. A better understanding of how properly evaluate graft quality, a continuous re-evaluation of the most favorable donor-to-recipient match and most equitable allocation system are the three key points to promote 'justice and equality' among transplant recipients.

SUMMARY

The duty to protect younger patients waiting for transplantation and the request of older patients to have access to potentially life-saving treatment urge the transplant community to use older organs thus increasing the number of available grafts, to evaluate new allocation systems with the aim to maximize 'utility' while respecting 'equity' and to avoid 'futility' thus minimizing waiting list mortality and drop-out, and improving the survival benefits for all patients requiring a transplant.

VIDEO ABSTRACT

http://links.lww.com/COOT/A9.

Posttransplant Outcomes in Older Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Are Driven by Non-Hepatocellular Carcinoma Factors

The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is growing in the United States, especially among the elderly. Older patients are increasingly receiving transplants as a result of HCC, but the impact of advancing age on long-term posttransplant outcomes is not clear. To study this, we used data from the US Multicenter HCC Transplant Consortium of 4980 patients. We divided the patients into 4 groups by age at transplantation: 18 to 64 years (n = 4001), 65 to 69 years (n = 683), 70 to 74 years (n = 252), and ≥75 years (n = 44). There were no differences in HCC tumor stage, type of bridging locoregional therapy, or explant residual tumor between the groups. Older age was confirmed to be an independent and significant predictor of overall survival even after adjusting for demographic, etiologic, and cancer-related factors on multivariable analysis. A dose-response effect of age on survival was observed, with every 5-year increase in age older than 50 years resulting in an absolute increase of 8.3% in the mortality rate. Competing risk analysis revealed that older patients experienced higher rates of non-HCC-related mortality (P = 0.004), and not HCC-related death (P = 0.24). To delineate the precise cause of death, we further analyzed a single-center cohort of patients who received a transplant as a result of HCC (n = 302). Patients older than 65 years had a higher incidence of de novo cancer (18.1% versus 7.6%; P = 0.006) after transplantation and higher overall cancer-related mortality (14.3% versus 6.6%; P = 0.03). Even carefully selected elderly patients with HCC have significantly worse posttransplant survival rates, which are mostly driven by non-HCC-related causes. Minimizing immunosuppression and closer surveillance for de novo cancers can potentially improve the outcomes in elderly patients who received a transplant as a result of HCC.

Medicare/Medicaid Insurance, Rurality, and Black Race Associated With Provision of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treatment and Survival

BACKGROUND

Early treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is associated with improved survival, but many patients with HCC do not receive therapy. We aimed to examine factors associated with HCC treatment and survival among incident patients with HCC in a statewide cancer registry.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All patients with HCC from 2003 through 2013 were identified in the North Carolina cancer registry. These patients were linked to insurance claims from Medicare, Medicaid, and large private insurers in North Carolina. Associations between prespecified covariates and more advanced HCC stage at diagnosis (ie, multifocal cancer), care at a liver transplant center, and provision of HCC treatment were examined using multivariate logistic regression. A Cox proportional hazards model was developed to assess the association between these factors and survival.

RESULTS

Of 1,809 patients with HCC, 53% were seen at a transplant center <90 days from diagnosis, with lower odds among those who were Black (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.54; 95% CI, 0.39-0.74), had Medicare insurance (aOR, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.21-0.59), had Medicaid insurance (aOR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.28-0.77), and lived in a rural area; odds of transplant center visits were higher among those who had prediagnosis alpha fetoprotein screening (aOR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.35-2.23) and PCP and gastroenterology care (aOR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.27-2.18). Treatment was more likely among patients who had prediagnosis gastroenterology care (aOR, 1.68; 95% CI, 0.98-2.86) and transplant center visits (aOR, 2.42; 95% CI, 1.74-3.36). Survival was strongly associated with age, cancer stage, cirrhosis complications, and receipt of HCC treatment. Individuals with Medicare (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.58; 95% CI, 1.20-2.09) and Medicaid insurance (aHR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.17-2.05) had shorter survival than those with private insurance.

CONCLUSIONS

In this population-based cohort of patients with HCC, Medicare/Medicaid insurance, rural residence, and Black race were associated with lower provision of HCC treatment and poorer survival. Efforts should be made to improve access to care for these vulnerable populations.

Transplant of Elderly Patients: Is There an Upper Age Cutoff?

Increased life expectancy and advances in the care of chronic liver disease has increased the number of elderly patients needing liver transplant. Organ donation policies prioritize transplant to the sickest. There is an ongoing debate with regard to balancing the principles of equity and utility. Several hospitals have adopted center-specific policies and there has been an increased trend of transplant in elderly patients since 2002. Appropriate patient selection and long-term outcomes in the setting of limited organ availability pose several challenges. This article reviews the data and discusses the pros and cons of transplants in the elderly.