Using neuroimaging to predict relapse to smoking: role of possible moderators and mediators

Validation of the Appendicitis Inflammatory Response (AIR) Score

Background

Patients with suspicion of appendicitis present with a wide range of severity. Score-based risk stratification can optimise the management of these patients. This prospective study validates the Appendicitis Inflammatory Response (AIR) score in patients with suspicion of appendicitis.

Method

Consecutive patients over the age of five with suspicion of appendicitis presenting at 25 Swedish hospital’s emergency departments were prospectively included. The diagnostic properties of the AIR score are estimated.

Results

Some 3878 patients were included, 821 with uncomplicated and 724 with complicated appendicitis, 1986 with non-specific abdominal pain and 347 with other diagnoses. The score performed better in detecting complicated appendicitis (ROC area 0.89 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.88–0.90) versus 0.83 (CI 0.82–0.84) for any appendicitis, p < 0.001), in patients below age 15 years and in patients with >47 h duration of symptoms (ROC area 0.93, CI 0.90–0.95 for complicated and 0.87, CI 0.84–0.90 for any appendicitis in both categories). Complicated appendicitis is unlikely at AIR score <4 points (Negative Predictive Value 99%, CI 98–100%). Appendicitis is likely at AIR score >8 points, especially in young patients (positive predictive value (PPV) 96%, CI 90–100%) and men (PPV 89%, CI 84–93%).

Conclusions

The AIR score has high sensitivity for complicated appendicitis and identifies subgroups with low probability of complicated appendicitis or high probability of appendicitis. The discriminating capacity is high in children and patients with long duration of symptoms. It performs equally well in both sexes. This verifies the AIR score as a valid decision support.

Trial registration number

https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00971438

Alcohol and drug treatment systems in public health perspective: mediators and moderators of population effects

This article describes a public health approach to the study of service systems for people with substance use disorders. Such an approach is broadly conceived to include the consideration not only of specialized services for alcohol and drug dependence, but also of medical care and social welfare services that interact with and complement specialized drug and alcohol services. After describing a conceptual model of the substance abuse service system, we discuss how systems of care may contribute to population health and social welfare by reducing the societal burden of substance use disorders. The article then summarizes key systems issues pertaining to mediators and moderators of effective treatment systems. The potential benefits of systems thinking in relation to the management of substance use disorders are described. It is suggested that systems concepts and research may help to improve access, efficiency, economy, continuity of care, and effectiveness, thereby improving the population impact of treatment services.

Understanding addiction--mediators and moderators of behaviour change processes: an introduction

We provide an introduction into a highly important research area for the improvement of preventive and therapeutic measures in the field of substance use disorders: a better understanding of core mediators and moderators of change processes, especially during critical phases like onset, progression, cessation and relapse. Based on a brief description of 12 papers on related projects we detail relevant research issues like the role of impaired cognitive control functions or the narrow "window of opportunity" for early interventions during adolescence.