Evaluating first trimester maternal serum screening combinations for Down syndrome suitable for use with reflexive secondary screening via sequencing of cell free DNA: high detection with low rates of invasive procedures

Maternal First-Trimester Alpha-Fetoprotein and Placenta-Mediated Pregnancy Complications

BACKGROUND

Maternal serum markers used for trisomy 21 screening are associated with placenta-mediated complications. Recently, there has been a transition from the traditional first-trimester screening (FTS) that included PAPP-A (pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A) and beta-hCG (human chorionic gonadotropin), to the enhanced FTS test, which added first-trimester AFP (alpha-fetoprotein) and PlGF (placental growth factor). However, whether elevated first-trimester AFP has a similar association with placenta-mediated complications to that observed for elevated second-trimester AFP remains unclear. Our objective was to estimate the association of first-trimester AFP with placenta-mediated complications and compare it with the corresponding associations of second-trimester AFP and other first-trimester serum markers.

METHODS

Retrospective population-based cohort study of women who underwent trisomy 21 screening in Ontario, Canada (2013-2019). The association of first-trimester AFP with placenta-mediated complications was estimated and compared with that of the traditional serum markers. The primary outcome was a composite of stillbirth or preterm placental complications (preeclampsia, birthweight less than third centile, or placental abruption).

RESULTS

A total of 244 990 and 96 167 women underwent FTS and enhanced FTS test screening, respectively. All markers were associated with the primary outcome, but the association for elevated first-trimester AFP (adjusted relative risk [aRR], 1.57 [95% CI, 1.37-1.81]) was weaker than that observed for low PAPP-A (aRR, 2.48 [95% CI, 2.2-2.8]), low PlGF (aRR, 2.28 [95% CI, 1.97-2.64]), and elevated second-trimester AFP (aRR, 1.97 [95% CI, 1.81-2.15]). When the models were adjusted for all 4 enhanced FTS test markers, elevated first-trimester AFP was no longer associated with the primary outcome (aRR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.58-1.02]).

CONCLUSIONS

Unlike second-trimester AFP, elevated first-trimester AFP is not an independent risk factor for placenta-mediated complications.

First-trimester screening for Down syndrome using quadruple maternal biochemical markers

OBJECTIVES

Placental growth factor (PlGF) is used for first-trimester preeclampsia screening and could be combined with other biochemical markers for Down syndrome screening. We aim to estimate the predictive value of the combination of pregnancy-associated plasma protein (PAPP-A), free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (free β-hCG), placental growth factor (PlGF) and α-fetoprotein (AFP) with and without nuchal translucency.

METHODS

Singleton pregnancies recruited at 11-14 weeks and followed until delivery. The four maternal markers were measured using Kryptor (ThermoFisher-BRAHMS) and adjusted for gestational age and maternal characteristics. The risk of Down syndrome was calculated using the Fetal Medicine Foundation algorithm and multivariate linear regression analyses in all cases and in 2,200 controls. Receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curves were used to calculate the detection and false-positive rates.

RESULTS

Twenty-six (0.2%) cases of Down syndrome were diagnosed among 13,386 participants. The combination of the four biomarkers could have detected 88% (95% CI: 72-97%) of the cases at a false-positive rate of 13% (95% CI: 12-15%). The addition of nuchal translucency would have increased the detection rate to 96% (95% CI: 82-99%) at a false-positive rate of 4% (95% CI: 4-5%) using a 1:300 cut-off and to 100% (95% CI: 89-100%) at a false-positive rate of 6% (95% CI: 5-8%) using a 1:500 cut-off.

CONCLUSIONS

First-trimester screening using biochemical markers allows the identification of approximately 88% of Down syndrome cases for a false-positive rate of 13%. The addition of nuchal translucency raises the detection rate above 95% with a false-positive rate below 5%.

Prenatal screening for trisomy 21: a comparative performance and cost analysis of different screening strategies

Background

Prenatal screening for chromosome aneuploidies have constantly been evolving, especially with the introduction of cell-free fetal DNA (cfDNA) screening in the most recent years. This study compares the performance, costs and timing of test results of three cfDNA screening implementation strategies: contingent, reflex and primary.

Methods

We modelled enhanced first trimester screening (eFTS) as the first-tier test in contingent or reflex strategies. cfDNA test was performed contingent on or reflex from eFTS results. A comparison was made between cfDNA screening using sequencing technology and Rolling Circle Amplification (RCA)/imaging solution. All model assumptions were based on results from previous publications or information from the Ontario prenatal screening population.

Results

At an eFTS risk cut-off of ≥1/1000, contingent and reflex cfDNA screening have the same detection rate (DR) (94%) for trisomy 21. Reflex cfDNA screening using RCA/Imaging solution provided the lowest false positive rate and cost. The number of women requiring genetic counselling and diagnostic testing was significantly reduced and women received their cfDNA screening result 9 days sooner compared with the contingent model. While primary cfDNA screening improved the trisomy 21 DR by 3–5%, it was more costly and more women required diagnostic testing.

Conclusion

Reflex cfDNA screening is the most cost-effective prenatal screening strategy. It can improve the efficiency of prenatal aneuploidy screening by reducing the number of patient visits and providing more timely results.

Placental development and function in trisomy 21 and mouse models of Down syndrome: Clues for studying mechanisms underlying atypical development

Down syndrome (DS) is the most common genetic disorder leading to developmental disability. The phenotypes associated with DS are complex and vary between affected individuals. Placental abnormalities in DS include differences in cytotrophoblast fusion that affect subsequent conversion to syncytiotrophoblast, atypical oxidative stress/antioxidant balance, and increased expression of genes that are also upregulated in the brains of individuals with Alzheimer's disease. Placentas in DS are prematurely senescent, showing atypical evidence of mineralization. Fetuses with DS are especially susceptible to adverse obstetric outcomes, including early in utero demise, stillbirth and growth restriction, all of which are related to placental function. The placenta, therefore, may provide key insights towards understanding the phenotypic variability observed in individuals with DS and aid in identifying biomarkers that can be used to evaluate phenotypic severity and prenatal treatments in real time. To address these issues, many different mouse models of DS have been generated to identify the mechanisms underlying developmental changes in many organ systems. Little is known, however, regarding placental development in the currently available mouse models of DS. Based upon the relative paucity of data on placental development in preclinical mouse models of DS, we recommend that future evaluation of new and existing models routinely include histologic and functional assessments of the placenta. In this paper we summarize studies performed in the placentas of both humans and mouse models with DS, highlighting gaps in knowledge and suggesting directions for future research.

Integrating multiple of the median values of serological markers with the risk cut-off value in Down syndrome screening

To assess the predictive value of integrating multiple of the median (MOM) with the risk cut-off value for serological screening of Down syndrome. In this retrospective study, women with singleton pregnancies who underwent triple serological screening for Down syndrome were followed, and their screening results and pregnancy outcomes were recorded. The range of MoM value of each indicator was calculated, different protocols integrating various MoM values with the risk cut-off value were compared. A total of 120,269 women with singleton pregnancy were screened and included in the analysis, of those 52 fetuses were confirmed as trisomy-21 by amniocentesis chromosomal karyotyping. Using a risk cut-off value of 1:380, 8,809 samples tested positive and the screen positive rate was 7.32% (8,809/120,269). The normal reference ranges (5-95%) of the MoM value of AFP, β-hCG, and uE3 were 0.60-1.72, 0.43-2.21 and 0.60-1.58, respectively. The detection rate of each screening protocol integrating different MoM percentile values was between 75% and 79%, the positive rate was between 7% and 18%, and the false positive rate was between 7% and 18%. Protocol-6 which combined the screening risk cut-off value and β-hCG MoM ≥ 97.5% percentile is an optimal protocol with a relatively high detection rate (78.8%) and low false positive rate (8.2%). Integrating MoM values of serological indicators can appropriately increase detection rate when interpreting the results of Down syndrome screening.

Spina bifida screening in the first trimester using ultrasound biparietal diameter measurement adjusted for crown-rump length or abdominal circumference

OBJECTIVE

Compare the performance of first trimester ultrasound biparietal diameter (BPD) screening for open spina bifida (OSB) when BPD is adjusted for crown-rump length (CRL) or abdominal circumference (AC).

METHODS

For 63 OSB and 24 265 unaffected pregnancies, BPD was expressed as multiple of the normal median (MoM) based on CRL and on AC, and as the ratio BPD/AC. Screening performance was assessed by the Mahalanobis distance, the observed detection rate with normal fifth and 10th percentile cut-offs and the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Mahalanobis distance for BPD MoM was considerably higher when based on AC than on CRL: 1.69 versus 1.14. Screening performance was also higher: using a fifth percentile cut-off, the detection rate was 59% compared with 41%; using a 10th percentile cut-off, the rates were 63% and 51%. Whilst the false-positives rates were slightly higher too-5.3% versus 5.1% and 10.8% versus 9.9%-the AUC was statistically significantly higher: 0.872 (95% CI, 0.816-0.928) compared with 0.735 (95% CI, 0.664-0.806). BPD/AC had intermediate performance.

CONCLUSION

The best results are obtained when AC, rather than CRL, is used to express BPD values in MoMs. First trimester OSB screening can detect half to two-thirds of cases.

Down's Syndrome Screening in the First Trimester with Additional Serum Markers: Indian Parameters

Objective

To derive a risk calculation algorithm suitable for use in India when screening for Down's syndrome using four first-trimester maternal serum markers either alone or with ultrasound nuchal translucency (NT).

Methods

Stored maternal serum samples (- 20 °C) from 411 singleton unaffected pregnancies were retrieved and measured for pregnancy-associated plasma protein (PAPP-A), free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG), placental growth factor and α-fetoprotein. Samples were taken at 10-13 weeks' gestation. Equations were derived to express marker levels in multiples of the gestation-specific normal median, adjusted for maternal weight. Gaussian model parameters were derived and compared with six published non-Indian studies; NT parameters were derived from 27,647 women screened in India. On the basis of the maternal age distribution in 64,473 Indian women screened in 2016-2017, the model was used to predict test performance.

Results

The model predicted a detection rate for a serum-only protocol of 80% for a 5% false-positive rate. Using a 1 in 250 at term Down's syndrome risk cut-off, the predicted detection rate was 78% and the false-positive rate was 4.1%. When NT was also included, the rates were 95% for 5% and 90% for 1.4%, respectively.

Conclusion

First-trimester screening using four serum markers only can be carried out in India. Performance is expected to be similar to the second-trimester Quad test and will also facilitate early screening for preeclampsia and open spina bifida. A protocol of NT plus the four serum markers enhances the performance compared with NT, PAPP-A and free β-hCG.

The importance of pre- and post-test counseling for prenatal cell-free DNA screening for common fetal aneuploidies

INTRODUCTION

Prenatal cell-free DNA screening for common fetal aneuploidies has rapidly changed the paradigm of prenatal care. Despite its advantages compared to conventional screening methods, its unexpectedly rapid implementation in clinical practice has generated several ethical and medical issues and misconceptions. Aggressive commercial marketing of cell-free DNA screening and media dissemination of misleading information have added confusion. Areas covered: This review provides an extensive update and will focus on the importance of pre-and post-test counseling for prenatal cell-free DNA screening not previously discussed extensively in the available literature. Additionally, we report cell-free DNA screening implementation in the largest obstetrical tertiary unit in Finland which is one of few countries that provides all prenatal screening methods free of charge for all women and has a very high uptake of first-trimester screening. This is not a systematical review, but rather a narrative overview which includes the most relevant and recent original publications and reviews covering this issue. Expert opinion: Despite being the most accurate method for screening of common fetal aneuploidies, the knowledge and counseling should be substantially improved. Cell-free DNA screening is not a replacement for diagnostic testing and its use in prenatal testing is complex and limited.

Enhanced First Trimester Aneuploidy Screening with Placental Growth Factor and Alpha Feto-Protein: Detection of Trisomies 18 and 13

OBJECTIVES

To assess the performance of first trimester combined screening (FTS) when enhanced with placental growth factor and alpha feto-protein in the detection of trisomies 18 and 13.

METHODS

A retrospective case-control study. Marker parameters were derived using frozen serum samples. Multivariate Gaussian modelling predicted the detection rate (DR) and false-positive rate (FPR) for trisomies 18 and 13 with FTS and enhanced first trimester screening (eFTS) using the risk of trisomy 21 alone and an additional risk cut-off for trisomy 18, or trisomies 18 or 13.

RESULTS

There were 83 trisomy 18, 22 trisomy 13, and 588 controls. The median placental growth factor levels in trisomies 18 and 13 were 0.75 and 0.65 multiple of the median of controls, respectively (both P < 0.0001). There were no statistically significant differences in alpha feto-protein levels. Modelling predicts that using a trisomy 21 risk cut-off alone, at FPR of 3%, eFTS increases the DR for trisomies 18 and 13 by 0.6-0.8% compared with FTS. Additionally using a trisomy 18 risk cut-off, at an extra FPR of 0.2%, eFTS increased the DR by 0.6-0.9% over FTS; using a trisomy 18 or 13 risk cut-off did not further increase detection for FTS or eFTS. The increase in DR was greater at higher FPR.

CONCLUSION

eFTS increases the detection of trisomies 18 and 13 to a small extent.

Expanded conventional first trimester screening

Objective

The study aims to determine the performance of a five (5) serum marker plus ultrasound screening protocol for T21, T18 and T13.

Method

Specimens from 331 unaffected, 34 T21, 19 T18 and 8 T13 cases were analyzed for free Beta human chorionic gonadotropin, pregnancy‐associated plasma protein A, alpha‐fetoprotein, placental growth factor and dimeric inhibin A. Gaussian distributions of multiples of the median values were used to estimate modeled false positive and detection rates (DR).

Results

For T21, at a 1/300 risk cut‐off, DR of screening with all five serum markers along with nuchal translucency and nasal bone was 98% at a 1.2% false positive rate (FPR). Using a 1/1000 cut‐off, the DR was 99% with a 2.6% FPR. For T18/13 with free Beta human chorionic gonadotropin, pregnancy‐associated plasma protein A, placental growth factor and nuchal translucency at a 1/150 cut‐off, DR was 95% at a 0.5% FPR while at a 1/500 risk cut‐off, DR was 97% at a 1.2% FPR.

Conclusion

An expanded conventional screening test can achieve very high DRs with low FPRs. Such screening fits well with proposed contingency protocols utilizing cell‐free DNA as a secondary or reflex but also provides the advantages of identification of pregnancies at risk for other adverse outcomes such as early‐onset preeclampsia. © 2017 Eurofins NTD, LLC. Prenatal Diagnosis published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

What's already known about this topic?

Conventional Down syndrome screening with ultrasound markers and free Beta hCG and PAPP‐A has been successfully utilized for nearly 20 years to screen for trisomies 21, 18 and 13.

Cell‐free DNA screening has much higher detection and lower false positive rates but is expensive.

What does this study add?

An expanded conventional screen with nuchal translucency and nasal bone that includes additional serum markers AFP, placental growth factor and dimeric inhibin A can detect 98% of trisomy 21 and 95% of trisomy 18/13 cases at a false positive rate of 1.2% and 0.5%, respectively.

Offering cell‐free DNA testing to those patients found at increased risk with the expanded screen maintains the detection efficiency but brings the invasive testing rate to an exceedingly low level.