Severe bronchiolitis in infancy: can asthma in adolescence be predicted?

Risk Factors Affecting Development and Persistence of Preschool Wheezing: Consensus Document of the Emilia-Romagna Asthma (ERA) Study Group

Wheezing at preschool age (i.e., before the age of six) is common, occurring in about 30% of children before the age of three. In terms of health care burden, preschool children with wheeze show double the rate of access to the emergency department and five times the rate of hospital admissions compared with school-age asthmatics. The consensus document aims to analyse the underlying mechanisms involved in the pathogenesis of preschool wheezing and define the risk factors (i.e., allergy, atopy, infection, bronchiolitis, genetics, indoor and outdoor pollution, tobacco smoke exposure, obesity, prematurity) and the protective factors (i.e., probiotics, breastfeeding, vitamin D, influenza vaccination, non-specific immunomodulators) associated with the development of the disease in the young child. A multidisciplinary panel of experts from the Emilia-Romagna Region, Italy, addressed twelve key questions regarding managing preschool wheezing. Clinical questions have been formulated by the expert panel using the PICO format (Patients, Intervention, Comparison, Outcomes). Systematic reviews have been conducted on PubMed to answer these specific questions and formulate recommendations. The GRADE approach has been used for each selected paper to assess the quality of the evidence and the degree of recommendations. Based on a panel of experts and extensive updated literature, this consensus document provides insight into the pathogenesis, risk and protective factors associated with the development and persistence of preschool wheezing. Undoubtedly, more research is needed to improve our understanding of the disease and confirm the associations between certain factors and the risk of wheezing in early life. In addition, preventive strategies must be promoted to avoid children's exposure to risk factors that may permanently affect respiratory health.

Association between early viral lower respiratory tract infections and subsequent asthma development

BACKGROUND

The association between hospitalization for human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV) bronchiolitis in early childhood and subsequent asthma is well established. The long-term prognosis for non-bronchiolitis lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) caused by viruses different from HRSV and rhinovirus, on the other hand, has received less interest.

AIM

To investigate the relationship between infant LRTI and later asthma and examine the influence of confounding factors.

METHODS

The PubMed and Global Index Medicus bibliographic databases were used to search for articles published up to October 2021 for this systematic review. We included cohort studies comparing the incidence of asthma between patients with and without LRTI at ≤ 2 years regardless of the virus responsible. The meta-analysis was performed using the random effects model. Sources of heterogeneity were assessed by stratified analyses.

RESULTS

This review included 15 articles (18 unique studies) that met the inclusion criteria. LRTIs at ≤ 2 years were associated with an increased risk of subsequent asthma up to 20 years [odds ratio (OR) = 5.0, 95%CI: 3.3-7.5], with doctor-diagnosed asthma (OR = 5.3, 95%CI: 3.3-8.6), current asthma (OR = 5.4, 95%CI: 2.7-10.6), and current medication for asthma (OR = 1.2, 95%CI: 0.7-3.9). Our overall estimates were not affected by publication bias (P = 0.671), but there was significant heterogeneity [I² = 58.8% (30.6-75.5)]. Compared to studies with hospitalized controls without LRTI, those with ambulatory controls had a significantly higher strength of association between LRTIs and subsequent asthma. The strength of the association between LRTIs and later asthma varied significantly by country and age at the time of the interview. The sensitivity analyses including only studies with similar proportions of confounding factors (gender, age at LRTI development, age at interview, gestational age, birth weight, weight, height, smoking exposure, crowding, family history of atopy, and family history of asthma) between cases and controls did not alter the overall estimates.

CONCLUSION

Regardless of the causative virus and confounding factors, viral LRTIs in children < 2 years are associated with an increased risk of developing a subsequent asthma. Parents and pediatricians should be informed of this risk.

Early Bronchiolitis Contributes to Preschool Asthma

This study aims to analyze whether bronchiolitis in children younger than one-year-old contributes to subsequent asthma. Medical data were retrieved from the National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan. Participants were divided into study (N = 65,559) and control (N = 49,656) groups, depending on whether they had early bronchiolitis. Incidences of asthma, potential comorbidities, and associated medical conditions were compared. The incidence of childhood asthma was significantly higher in the study group (aHR = 1.127, 95% CI: 1.063-1.195). Children with bronchiolitis hospitalization displayed higher asthma risk in the period between two and four years of age. The risk diminished as the children grew up. No relevant synergistic effects were found between bronchiolitis and atopic dermatitis. In conclusion, bronchiolitis before one year of age exhibits predictive value for development of preschool asthma, especially in children with bronchiolitis hospitalizations.

Association between early childhood lower respiratory tract infections and subsequent asthma

OBJECTIVE

We examined the relationship between recurrent lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) in young children and subsequent childhood asthma outcomes.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study using 2009-2017 Colorado All Payer Claims Database to assess 0- to 2-year-old children with visits due to LRTI and acute gastroenteritis (AGE). The primary exposure was number of LRTI visits prior to 2 years of age. Children with AGE served as the no LRTI comparator group. The primary outcome was incident asthma, defined by ICD-9 (490.XX) or ICD-10 (J45.9XX) codes, in the same children between 3 and 9 years of age. Multivariable accelerated failure time (AFT) models were used to estimate the effect of LRTI visits on median time to asthma diagnosis. Sensitivity analyses were performed using more conservative asthma diagnostic criteria and with hospitalized children only.

RESULTS

Of 38,441 eligible subjects, 32,729 had ≥1 LRTI and 5,712 had AGE (no LRTI) between 0 and 2 years of age. Children with ≥3 LRTI visits had an 80% decrease in median time to asthma diagnosis relative to those with AGE visits only (time ratio [TR] 0.2; 95% CI 0.16, 0.24). Children with ≥3 LRTI hospitalizations had a 98% reduction in median time to asthma diagnosis relative to those with AGE hospitalizations only (TR 0.02; 95% CI 0.01, 0.07). History of atopy, wheezing, and family history of asthma documented prior to 2 years of age were also associated with earlier asthma diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Recurrent LRTIs, especially LRTI hospitalizations, before 2 years of age are associated with earlier diagnosis of pediatric asthma.

Does respiratory syncytial virus lower respiratory illness in early life cause recurrent wheeze of early childhood and asthma? Critical review of the evidence and guidance for future studies from a World Health Organization-sponsored meeting

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) and hospitalization in infants and children globally. Many observational studies have found an association between RSV LRTI in early life and subsequent respiratory morbidity, including recurrent wheeze of early childhood (RWEC) and asthma. Conversely, two randomized placebo-controlled trials of efficacious anti-RSV monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) in heterogenous infant populations found no difference in physician-diagnosed RWEC or asthma by treatment group. If a causal association exists and RSV vaccines and mAbs can prevent a substantial fraction of RWEC/asthma, the full public health value of these interventions would markedly increase. The primary alternative interpretation of the observational data is that RSV LRTI in early life is a marker of an underlying predisposition for the development of RWEC and asthma. If this is the case, RSV vaccines and mAbs would not necessarily be expected to impact these outcomes. To evaluate whether the available evidence supports a causal association between RSV LRTI and RWEC/asthma and to provide guidance for future studies, the World Health Organization convened a meeting of subject matter experts on February 12-13, 2019 in Geneva, Switzerland. After discussing relevant background information and reviewing the current epidemiologic evidence, the group determined that: (i) the evidence is inconclusive in establishing a causal association between RSV LRTI and RWEC/asthma, (ii) the evidence does not establish that RSV mAbs (and, by extension, future vaccines) will have a substantial effect on these outcomes and (iii) regardless of the association with long-term childhood respiratory morbidity, severe acute RSV disease in young children poses a substantial public health burden and should continue to be the primary consideration for policy-setting bodies deliberating on RSV vaccine and mAb recommendations. Nonetheless, the group recognized the public health importance of resolving this question and suggested good practice guidelines for future studies.

Factors Associated With Asthma Diagnosis Within Five Years of a Bronchiolitis Hospitalization: A Retrospective Cohort Study in a High Asthma Prevalence Population

OBJECTIVES

Bronchiolitis, the leading cause of infant hospitalizations in the United States, is associated with increased risk of childhood asthma. We hypothesized that factors during a bronchiolitis hospitalization were associated with subsequent asthma.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study at an urban, tertiary-care children's hospital of infants <12 months old, hospitalized for bronchiolitis. The primary outcome measure was an asthma diagnosis, defined as a billing code for an asthma visit or a prescription for controller medication, within 5 years of discharge from the bronchiolitis hospitalization.

RESULTS

There were 534 infants hospitalized for bronchiolitis, of which 294 (55.1%) were diagnosed with asthma, and 102 (19.1%) were hospitalized for asthma within 5 years of discharge. There was significant interaction between age and family history. In both models, female sex was protective (odds ratio [OR] 0.46). Age and race were only associated with asthma in infants without a family history of asthma: age (OR 1.19; 95% confidence interval 1.08-1.32) and race (OR 4.06; 95% confidence interval 1.56-10.58). Hospitalization length, ICU stay, albuterol treatments received, supplemental oxygen, respiratory support, highest respiratory rate, and respiratory syncytial virus infection were not associated with asthma diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

More than 55% of infants hospitalized for bronchiolitis developed asthma within 5 years of discharge. Demographic and family history variables were independently associated with asthma. However, hospital-based variables during the bronchiolitis hospitalization were not independently associated with asthma. These results can direct further research and differentiate anticipatory guidance for infants with bronchiolitis at risk for asthma.

Risk factors for asthma after infant bronchiolitis

BACKGROUND

Five studies carried out after bronchiolitis at less than 24 months of age, with a follow-up of more than 10 years, reported that atopic dermatitis, family asthma, early-life exposure to tobacco smoke and rhinovirus aetiology were early-life risk factors for later asthma. This study evaluated the long-term outcome at 11-13 years of age of children who were hospitalized for bronchiolitis in early infancy.

METHODS

We previously prospectively followed 166 children hospitalized for bronchiolitis at less than 6 months of age until 5-7 years of age. The current study included a structured questionnaire, parental interviews, clinical examinations and bronchodilation test of 138 of those children at 11-13 years of age.

RESULTS

Respiratory syncytial virus caused 66% of the bronchiolitis cases, and nearly half of the patients were exposed to tobacco smoke in early life. Doctor-diagnosed asthma was present in 13% of the former bronchiolitis patients at 11-13 years of age. Maternal asthma was the only independently significant risk factor in early life (adjusted OR 3.45, 95% CI 1.07-11.74), as was allergic rhinitis at 5-7 years of age (adjusted OR 4.06, 95% CI 1.35-12.25).

CONCLUSIONS

After bronchiolitis at less than 6 months of age, the risk of doctor-diagnosed asthma at 11-13 years was about twice that of the general Finnish population. Maternal asthma was the only independently significant early-life risk factor for current asthma at 11-13 years of age.

Factors predicting persistence of early wheezing through childhood and adolescence: a systematic review of the literature

Background

For the early identification of persistent asthma symptoms among young children with recurrent wheezing, it would be helpful to identify all available studies that have identified at least one factor for predicting the persistence of early wheezing. The objective of the present study was to perform a systematic review of all studies that have identified factors that predict the persistence of symptoms among young patients with recurring wheezing.

Methods

A systematic review of relevant studies was conducted through searching in MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINHAL, and SCOPUS databases up to June 2016. Studies that identified predictors of persistence of wheezing illness among young children with recurrent wheezing were retrieved. Two independent reviewers screened the literature and extracted relevant data.

Results

The literature search returned 649 references, 619 of which were excluded due to their irrelevance. Five additional studies were identified from reference lists, and 35 studies were finally included in the review. Among all the identified predictors, the most frequently identified ones were the following: family asthma or atopy; personal history of atopic diseases; allergic sensitization early in life; and frequency, clinical pattern, or severity of wheezing/symptoms.

Conclusion

Parental asthma (especially maternal), parental allergy, eczema, allergic rhinitis, persistent wheezing, wheeze without colds, exercise-induced wheeze, severe wheezing episodes, allergic sensitization (especially polysensitization), eosinophils (blood or eosinophil cationic protein in nasal sample), and fraction of exhaled nitric oxide were risk factors predicting persistence of early wheezing through school age. All of them are included in conventional algorithms, for example, Asthma Predictive Index and its modifications, for predicting future asthma.

Decline in admissions for childhood asthma, a 26-year period population-based study

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of childhood asthma has increased, although the rate of hospitalization for asthma seems to decrease. In Norway, the rate of hospital admission for childhood asthma from 1984 to 2000 increased. The aim of this study was to assess further trends in hospital admissions for childhood asthma up to 2010.

METHODS

A population-based study including children 1-13 yrs of age hospitalized for asthma during six periods from 1984/1985 to 2009/2010 in Rogaland, Norway, was performed. Medical records from 1536 admissions (1050 children) were studied; and gender, age, number of admissions, length of hospital stay, medications and symptoms were recorded.

RESULTS

For all age groups, the rate of admissions per 10.000 increased from 20.1 in 1984/85 to 33.7 in 1989/90, but declined to 14.4 in 2009/2010. Rates were highest in boys (OR 1.87; 95% CI: 1.69, 2.09), younger age groups (OR 2.51; 2.38, 2.64) and decreased from 1984 to 2010 (OR 0.92; 0.88, 0.94). The rates of readmissions were higher than for primary admissions (OR 1.33; 1.19, 1.47). From 1984 to 2010, there was an increased use of inhaled corticosteroids prior to admission (6 to 51%) and started at discharge (7 to 37%), and systemic steroids given during admission (19 to 83%).

CONCLUSION

There has been a substantial decline in the rate of hospital admissions for childhood asthma after 1989/1990, with major differences between age groups and genders. The decline could be due to improved care of children with asthma or a real reduction in asthma exacerbations.

A systematic review of predictive models for asthma development in children

BACKGROUND

Asthma is the most common pediatric chronic disease affecting 9.6 % of American children. Delay in asthma diagnosis is prevalent, resulting in suboptimal asthma management. To help avoid delay in asthma diagnosis and advance asthma prevention research, researchers have proposed various models to predict asthma development in children. This paper reviews these models.

METHODS

A systematic review was conducted through searching in PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL, Scopus, the Cochrane Library, the ACM Digital Library, IEEE Xplore, and OpenGrey up to June 3, 2015. The literature on predictive models for asthma development in children was retrieved, with search results limited to human subjects and children (birth to 18 years). Two independent reviewers screened the literature, performed data extraction, and assessed article quality.

RESULTS

The literature search returned 13,101 references in total. After manual review, 32 of these references were determined to be relevant and are discussed in the paper. We identify several limitations of existing predictive models for asthma development in children, and provide preliminary thoughts on how to address these limitations.

CONCLUSIONS

Existing predictive models for asthma development in children have inadequate accuracy. Efforts to improve these models' performance are needed, but are limited by a lack of a gold standard for asthma development in children.

'They said it was bronchiolitis; is it going to turn into asthma doctor?'

Acute bronchiolitis is a common paediatric disease of infancy. Its association with subsequent asthma development has puzzled clinicians and epidemiologists for decades. This article reviews the current state of knowledge regarding the role of acute bronchiolitis in the inception of asthma. There is little doubt that acute bronchiolitis is associated with an increased risk of recurrent wheezing throughout the primary school years although the direction of causality--i.e. whether bronchiolitis in infancy leads to asthma or it merely represents the first clinical presentation of predisposition to asthma--is uncertain. Existing evidence suggests that both host factors (e.g. prematurity, atopic predisposition) and acute viral infection characteristics (e.g. type of virus, severity) are operating in this relationship, perhaps with variable involvement in different individuals. Further clarification of these issues will help paediatricians provide evidence-based information regarding the long-term prognosis of this common disease to the families, and at the same time, it will facilitate prophylactic approaches and therapeutic strategies.

A systematic review of predictive modeling for bronchiolitis

PURPOSE

Bronchiolitis is the most common cause of illness leading to hospitalization in young children. At present, many bronchiolitis management decisions are made subjectively, leading to significant practice variation among hospitals and physicians caring for children with bronchiolitis. To standardize care for bronchiolitis, researchers have proposed various models to predict the disease course to help determine a proper management plan. This paper reviews the existing state of the art of predictive modeling for bronchiolitis. Predictive modeling for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is covered whenever appropriate, as RSV accounts for about 70% of bronchiolitis cases.

METHODS

A systematic review was conducted through a PubMed search up to April 25, 2014. The literature on predictive modeling for bronchiolitis was retrieved using a comprehensive search query, which was developed through an iterative process. Search results were limited to human subjects, the English language, and children (birth to 18 years).

RESULTS

The literature search returned 2312 references in total. After manual review, 168 of these references were determined to be relevant and are discussed in this paper. We identify several limitations and open problems in predictive modeling for bronchiolitis, and provide some preliminary thoughts on how to address them, with the hope to stimulate future research in this domain.

CONCLUSIONS

Many problems remain open in predictive modeling for bronchiolitis. Future studies will need to address them to achieve optimal predictive models.

Blood eosinophil counts during bronchiolitis are related to bronchial hyper-responsiveness and lung function in early adolescence

AIM

To assess whether inflammatory markers measured in urine and blood during acute bronchiolitis in infancy were associated with asthma, lung function, bronchial hyper-responsiveness (BHR) and atopy at 11 years of age.

METHODS

We included 105 children hospitalised for bronchiolitis during their first year of life. At hospitalisation, urinary (U-) eosinophil protein X, U-leukotriene E4 , U-prostaglandin 9α, 11β-PGF2 and blood eosinophil counts were measured. Ninety-five children (90%) were available for follow-up at 11 years of age.

RESULTS

At follow-up, higher blood eosinophil counts obtained during bronchiolitis were observed in the group with asthma than in the group without asthma (median 0.27 versus 0.09 × 10(9) /L, respectively, p = 0.048). By regression analyses, blood eosinophil counts during the acute bronchiolitis were positively associated with BHR (p = 0.006) and negatively associated with forced expiratory volume in first second (p = 0.025) at 11 years of age. None of the other inflammatory markers were associated with asthma, lung function, BHR or atopy at 11 years of age.

CONCLUSION

Eosinophil inflammation during bronchiolitis may have a long-term impact on lung function and airway responsiveness. The associations could be related to virus-host interactions during bronchiolitis or to predisposed children.