Evaluation of template-based modeling in CASP13

Tertiary structure assessment at CASP15

The results of tertiary structure assessment at CASP15 are reported. For the first time, recognizing the outstanding performance of AlphaFold 2 (AF2) at CASP14, all single-chain predictions were assessed together, irrespective of whether a template was available. At CASP15, there was no single stand-out group, with most of the best-scoring groups-led by PEZYFoldings, UM-TBM, and Yang Server-employing AF2 in one way or another. Many top groups paid special attention to generating deep Multiple Sequence Alignments (MSAs) and testing variant MSAs, thereby allowing them to successfully address some of the hardest targets. Such difficult targets, as well as lacking templates, were typically proteins with few homologues. Local divergence between prediction and target correlated with localization at crystal lattice or chain interfaces, and with regions exhibiting high B-factor factors in crystal structure targets, and should not necessarily be considered as representing error in the prediction. However, analysis of exposed and buried side chain accuracy showed room for improvement even in the latter. Nevertheless, a majority of groups produced high-quality predictions for most targets, which are valuable for experimental structure determination, functional analysis, and many other tasks across biology. These include those applying methods similar to those used to generate major resources such as the AlphaFold Protein Structure Database and the ESM Metagenomic atlas: the confidence estimates of the former were also notably accurate.

DeepFold: enhancing protein structure prediction through optimized loss functions, improved template features, and re-optimized energy function

MOTIVATION

Predicting protein structures with high accuracy is a critical challenge for the broad community of life sciences and industry. Despite progress made by deep neural networks like AlphaFold2, there is a need for further improvements in the quality of detailed structures, such as side-chains, along with protein backbone structures.

RESULTS

Building upon the successes of AlphaFold2, the modifications we made include changing the losses of side-chain torsion angles and frame aligned point error, adding loss functions for side chain confidence and secondary structure prediction, and replacing template feature generation with a new alignment method based on conditional random fields. We also performed re-optimization by conformational space annealing using a molecular mechanics energy function which integrates the potential energies obtained from distogram and side-chain prediction. In the CASP15 blind test for single protein and domain modeling (109 domains), DeepFold ranked fourth among 132 groups with improvements in the details of the structure in terms of backbone, side-chain, and Molprobity. In terms of protein backbone accuracy, DeepFold achieved a median GDT-TS score of 88.64 compared with 85.88 of AlphaFold2. For TBM-easy/hard targets, DeepFold ranked at the top based on Z-scores for GDT-TS. This shows its practical value to the structural biology community, which demands highly accurate structures. In addition, a thorough analysis of 55 domains from 39 targets with publicly available structures indicates that DeepFold shows superior side-chain accuracy and Molprobity scores among the top-performing groups.

AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION

DeepFold tools are open-source software available at https://github.com/newtonjoo/deepfold.

Improving protein structure prediction with extended sequence similarity searches and deep-learning-based refinement in CASP15

The human predictor team PEZYFoldings got first place with the assessor's formulae (3rd place with Global Distance Test Total Score [GDT-TS]) in the single-domain category and 10th place in the multimer category in Critical Assessment of Structure Prediction 15. In this paper, I describe the exact method used by PEZYFoldings in the competition. As AlphaFold2 and AlphaFold-Multimer, developed by DeepMind, were state-of-the-art structure prediction tools, it was assumed that enhancing the input and output of the tools was an effective strategy to obtain the highest accuracy for structure prediction. Therefore, I used additional tools and databases to collect evolutionarily related sequences and introduced a deep-learning-based model in the refinement step. In addition to these modifications, manual interventions were performed to address various tasks. Detailed analyses were performed after the competition to identify the main contributors to performance. Comparing the number of evolutionarily related sequences I used with those of the other teams that provided AlphaFold2's baseline predictions revealed that an extensive sequence similarity search was one of the main contributors. Nonetheless, there were specific targets for which I could not identify any evolutionarily related sequences, resulting in my inability to construct accurate structures for these targets. Notably, I noticed that I had gained large Z-scores with the subunits of H1137, for which I performed manual domain parsing considering the interfaces between the subunits. This finding implies that the manual intervention contributed to my performance. The influence of the refinement model on the accuracy of structure prediction was minimal. I could have predicted structures with a similar level of accuracy without employing the refinement model. However, from the perspective of accuracy self-estimate, many structures demonstrated improvement after refinement. This improvement likely had a substantial influence on improving my position in the assessor's formulae rankings. These results highlight the opportunities for improvement in (1) multimer prediction, (2) building of larger and more diverse databases, and (3) developing tools to predict structures from primary sequences alone. In addition, transferring the manual intervention process to automation is a future concern.

Assessment of the Performances of the Protein Modeling Techniques Participating in CASP15 Using a Structure-Based Functional Site Prediction Approach: ResiRole

BACKGROUND

Model quality assessments via computational methods which entail comparisons of the modeled structures to the experimentally determined structures are essential in the field of protein structure prediction. The assessments provide means to benchmark the accuracies of the modeling techniques and to aid with their development. We previously described the ResiRole method to gauge model quality principally based on the preservation of the structural characteristics described in SeqFEATURE functional site prediction models.

METHODS

We apply ResiRole to benchmark modeling group performances in the Critical Assessment of Structure Prediction experiment, round 15. To gauge model quality, a normalized Predicted Functional site Similarity Score (PFSS) was calculated as the average of one minus the absolute values of the differences of the functional site prediction probabilities, as found for the experimental structures versus those found at the corresponding sites in the structure models.

RESULTS

The average PFSS per modeling group (gPFSS) correlates with standard quality metrics, and can effectively be used to rank the accuracies of the groups. For the free modeling (FM) category, correlation coefficients of the Local Distance Difference Test (LDDT) and Global Distance Test-Total Score (GDT-TS) metrics with gPFSS were 0.98239 and 0.87691, respectively. An example finding for a specific group is that the gPFSS for EMBER3D was higher than expected based on the predictive relationship between gPFSS and LDDT. We infer the result is due to the use of constraints imprinted by function that are a part of the EMBER3D methodology. Also, we find functional site predictions that may guide further functional characterizations of the respective proteins.

CONCLUSION

The gPFSS metric provides an effective means to assess and rank the performances of the structure prediction techniques according to their abilities to accurately recount the structural features at predicted functional sites.

Illuminating the "Twilight Zone": Advances in Difficult Protein Modeling

Homology modeling was long considered a method of choice in tertiary protein structure prediction. However, it used to provide models of acceptable quality only when templates with appreciable sequence identity with a target could be found. The threshold value was long assumed to be around 20-30%. Below this level, obtained sequence identity was getting dangerously close to values that can be obtained by chance, after aligning any random, unrelated sequences. In these cases, other approaches, including ab initio folding simulations or fragment assembly, were usually employed. The most recent editions of the CASP and CAMEO community-wide modeling methods assessment have brought some surprising outcomes, proving that much more clues can be inferred from protein sequence analyses than previously thought. In this chapter, we focus on recent advances in the field of difficult protein modeling, pushing the threshold deep into the "twilight zone", with particular attention devoted to improvements in applications of machine learning and model evaluation.

Putting AlphaFold models to work with phenix.process_predicted_model and ISOLDE

AlphaFold has recently become an important tool in providing models for experimental structure determination by X-ray crystallography and cryo-EM. Large parts of the predicted models typically approach the accuracy of experimentally determined structures, although there are frequently local errors and errors in the relative orientations of domains. Importantly, residues in the model of a protein predicted by AlphaFold are tagged with a predicted local distance difference test score, informing users about which regions of the structure are predicted with less confidence. AlphaFold also produces a predicted aligned error matrix indicating its confidence in the relative positions of each pair of residues in the predicted model. The phenix.process_predicted_model tool downweights or removes low-confidence residues and can break a model into confidently predicted domains in preparation for molecular replacement or cryo-EM docking. These confidence metrics are further used in ISOLDE to weight torsion and atom-atom distance restraints, allowing the complete AlphaFold model to be interactively rearranged to match the docked fragments and reducing the need for the rebuilding of connecting regions.

I-TASSER-MTD: a deep-learning-based platform for multi-domain protein structure and function prediction

Most proteins in cells are composed of multiple folding units (or domains) to perform complex functions in a cooperative manner. Relative to the rapid progress in single-domain structure prediction, there are few effective tools available for multi-domain protein structure assembly, mainly due to the complexity of modeling multi-domain proteins, which involves higher degrees of freedom in domain-orientation space and various levels of continuous and discontinuous domain assembly and linker refinement. To meet the challenge and the high demand of the community, we developed I-TASSER-MTD to model the structures and functions of multi-domain proteins through a progressive protocol that combines sequence-based domain parsing, single-domain structure folding, inter-domain structure assembly and structure-based function annotation in a fully automated pipeline. Advanced deep-learning models have been incorporated into each of the steps to enhance both the domain modeling and inter-domain assembly accuracy. The protocol allows for the incorporation of experimental cross-linking data and cryo-electron microscopy density maps to guide the multi-domain structure assembly simulations. I-TASSER-MTD is built on I-TASSER but substantially extends its ability and accuracy in modeling large multi-domain protein structures and provides meaningful functional insights for the targets at both the domain- and full-chain levels from the amino acid sequence alone.

The chemistry of snake venom and its medicinal potential

The fascination and fear of snakes dates back to time immemorial, with the first scientific treatise on snakebite envenoming, the Brooklyn Medical Papyrus, dating from ancient Egypt. Owing to their lethality, snakes have often been associated with images of perfidy, treachery and death. However, snakes did not always have such negative connotations. The curative capacity of venom has been known since antiquity, also making the snake a symbol of pharmacy and medicine. Today, there is renewed interest in pursuing snake-venom-based therapies. This Review focuses on the chemistry of snake venom and the potential for venom to be exploited for medicinal purposes in the development of drugs. The mixture of toxins that constitute snake venom is examined, focusing on the molecular structure, chemical reactivity and target recognition of the most bioactive toxins, from which bioactive drugs might be developed. The design and working mechanisms of snake-venom-derived drugs are illustrated, and the strategies by which toxins are transformed into therapeutics are analysed. Finally, the challenges in realizing the immense curative potential of snake venom are discussed, and chemical strategies by which a plethora of new drugs could be derived from snake venom are proposed.

MrParse: finding homologues in the PDB and the EBI AlphaFold database for molecular replacement and more

Crystallographers have an array of search-model options for structure solution by molecular replacement (MR). The well established options of homologous experimental structures and regular secondary-structure elements or motifs are increasingly supplemented by computational modelling. Such modelling may be carried out locally or may use pre-calculated predictions retrieved from databases such as the EBI AlphaFold database. MrParse is a new pipeline to help to streamline the decision process in MR by consolidating bioinformatic predictions in one place. When reflection data are provided, MrParse can rank any experimental homologues found using eLLG, which indicates the likelihood that a given search model will work in MR. Inbuilt displays of predicted secondary structure, coiled-coil and transmembrane regions further inform the choice of MR protocol. MrParse can also identify and rank homologues in the EBI AlphaFold database, a function that will also interest other structural biologists and bioinformaticians.

First identification and characterization of detoxifying plastic-degrading DBP hydrolases in the marine diatom Cylindrotheca closterium

Diatoms are photosynthetic organisms with potential biotechnological applications in the bioremediation sector, having shown the capacity to reduce environmental concentrations of different pollutants. The diatom Cylindrotheca closterium is known to degrade di-n-butyl phthalate (DBP), one of the most abundant phthalate esters in aquatic environments and a known endocrine-disrupting chemical. In this study, we present for the first time the in silico identification of two putative DBP hydrolases (provisionally called DBPH1 and DBPH2) in the transcriptome of C. closterium. We modeled the structure of both DBPH1-2 and their proposed interactions with the substrate to gain insights into their mechanism of action. Finally, we analyzed the expression levels of the two putative hydrolases upon exposure of C. closterium to different concentrations of DBP (5 and 10 mg/l) for 24 and 48 h. The data showed a DBP concentration-dependent increase in expression levels of both dbph1 and 2 genes, further highlighting their potential involvement in phthalates degradation. This is the first identification of phthalate-degrading enzymes in microalgae, providing new insights into the possible use of diatoms in bioremediation strategies targeting phthalates.

The crystal structure of vaccinia virus protein E2 and perspectives on the prediction of novel viral protein folds

The morphogenesis of vaccinia virus (VACV, family Poxviridae), the smallpox vaccine, is a complex process involving multiple distinct cellular membranes and resulting in multiple different forms of infectious virion. Efficient release of enveloped virions, which promote systemic spread of infection within hosts, requires the VACV protein E2 but the molecular basis of E2 function remains unclear and E2 lacks sequence homology to any well-characterised family of proteins. We solved the crystal structure of VACV E2 to 2.3 Å resolution, revealing that it comprises two domains with novel folds: an N-terminal annular (ring) domain and a C-terminal globular (head) domain. The C-terminal head domain displays weak structural homology with cellular (pseudo)kinases but lacks conserved surface residues or kinase features, suggesting that it is not enzymatically active, and possesses a large surface basic patch that might interact with phosphoinositide lipid headgroups. Recent deep learning methods have revolutionised our ability to predict the three-dimensional structures of proteins from primary sequence alone. VACV E2 is an exemplar ‘difficult’ viral protein target for structure prediction, being comprised of multiple novel domains and lacking sequence homologues outside Poxviridae. AlphaFold2 nonetheless succeeds in predicting the structures of the head and ring domains with high and moderate accuracy, respectively, allowing accurate inference of multiple structural properties. The advent of highly accurate virus structure prediction marks a step-change in structural virology and beckons a new era of structurally-informed molecular virology.

Implications of AlphaFold2 for crystallographic phasing by molecular replacement

The AlphaFold2 results in the 14th edition of Critical Assessment of Structure Prediction (CASP14) showed that accurate (low root-mean-square deviation) in silico models of protein structure domains are on the horizon, whether or not the protein is related to known structures through high-coverage sequence similarity. As highly accurate models become available, generated by harnessing the power of correlated mutations and deep learning, one of the aspects of structural biology to be impacted will be methods of phasing in crystallography. Here, the data from CASP14 are used to explore the prospects for changes in phasing methods, and in particular to explore the prospects for molecular-replacement phasing using in silico models.

Current Approaches in Supersecondary Structures Investigation

Proteins expressed during the cell cycle determine cell function, topology, and responses to environmental influences. The development and improvement of experimental methods in the field of structural biology provide valuable information about the structure and functions of individual proteins. This work is devoted to the study of supersecondary structures of proteins and determination of their structural motifs, description of experimental methods for their detection, databases, and repositories for storage, as well as methods of molecular dynamics research. The interest in the study of supersecondary structures in proteins is due to their autonomous stability outside the protein globule, which makes it possible to study folding processes, conformational changes in protein isoforms, and aberrant proteins with high productivity.

Modeling SARS-CoV-2 proteins in the CASP-commons experiment

Critical Assessment of Structure Prediction (CASP) is an organization aimed at advancing the state of the art in computing protein structure from sequence. In the spring of 2020, CASP launched a community project to compute the structures of the most structurally challenging proteins coded for in the SARS-CoV-2 genome. Forty-seven research groups submitted over 3000 three-dimensional models and 700 sets of accuracy estimates on 10 proteins. The resulting models were released to the public. CASP community members also worked together to provide estimates of local and global accuracy and identify structure-based domain boundaries for some proteins. Subsequently, two of these structures (ORF3a and ORF8) have been solved experimentally, allowing assessment of both model quality and the accuracy estimates. Models from the AlphaFold2 group were found to have good agreement with the experimental structures, with main chain GDT_TS accuracy scores ranging from 63 (a correct topology) to 87 (competitive with experiment).

Assessing the utility of CASP14 models for molecular replacement

The assessment of CASP models for utility in molecular replacement is a measure of their use in a valuable real‐world application. In CASP7, the metric for molecular replacement assessment involved full likelihood‐based molecular replacement searches; however, this restricted the assessable targets to crystal structures with only one copy of the target in the asymmetric unit, and to those where the search found the correct pose. In CASP10, full molecular replacement searches were replaced by likelihood‐based rigid‐body refinement of models superimposed on the target using the LGA algorithm, with the metric being the refined log‐likelihood‐gain (LLG) score. This enabled multi‐copy targets and very poor models to be evaluated, but a significant further issue remained: the requirement of diffraction data for assessment. We introduce here the relative‐expected‐LLG (reLLG), which is independent of diffraction data. This reLLG is also independent of any crystal form, and can be calculated regardless of the source of the target, be it X‐ray, NMR or cryo‐EM. We calibrate the reLLG against the LLG for targets in CASP14, showing that it is a robust measure of both model and group ranking. Like the LLG, the reLLG shows that accurate coordinate error estimates add substantial value to predicted models. We find that refinement by CASP groups can often convert an inadequate initial model into a successful MR search model. Consistent with findings from others, we show that the AlphaFold2 models are sufficiently good, and reliably so, to surpass other current model generation strategies for attempting molecular replacement phasing.

Target classification in the 14th round of the critical assessment of protein structure prediction (CASP14)

An evolutionary-based definition and classification of target evaluation units (EUs) is presented for the 14th round of the critical assessment of structure prediction (CASP14). CASP14 targets included 84 experimental models submitted by various structural groups (designated T1024-T1101). Targets were split into EUs based on the domain organization of available templates and performance of server groups. Several targets required splitting (19 out of 25 multidomain targets) due in part to observed conformation changes. All in all, 96 CASP14 EUs were defined and assigned to tertiary structure assessment categories (Topology-based FM or High Accuracy-based TBM-easy and TBM-hard) considering their evolutionary relationship to existing ECOD fold space: 24 family level, 50 distant homologs (H-group), 12 analogs (X-group), and 10 new folds. Principal component analysis and heatmap visualization of sequence and structure similarity to known templates as well as performance of servers highlighted trends in CASP14 target difficulty. The assigned evolutionary levels (i.e., H-groups) and assessment classes (i.e., FM) displayed overlapping clusters of EUs. Many viral targets diverged considerably from their template homologs and thus were more difficult for prediction than other homology-related targets. On the other hand, some targets did not have sequence-identifiable templates, but were predicted better than expected due to relatively simple arrangements of secondary structural elements. An apparent improvement in overall server performance in CASP14 further complicated traditional classification, which ultimately assigned EUs into high-accuracy modeling (27 TBM-easy and 31 TBM-hard), topology (23 FM), or both (15 FM/TBM).

High-accuracy protein structure prediction in CASP14

The application of state-of-the-art deep-learning approaches to the protein modeling problem has expanded the "high-accuracy" category in CASP14 to encompass all targets. Building on the metrics used for high-accuracy assessment in previous CASPs, we evaluated the performance of all groups that submitted models for at least 10 targets across all difficulty classes, and judged the usefulness of those produced by AlphaFold2 (AF2) as molecular replacement search models with AMPLE. Driven by the qualitative diversity of the targets submitted to CASP, we also introduce DipDiff as a new measure for the improvement in backbone geometry provided by a model versus available templates. Although a large leap in high-accuracy is seen due to AF2, the second-best method in CASP14 out-performed the best in CASP13, illustrating the role of community-based benchmarking in the development and evolution of the protein structure prediction field.

Deep Learning-Based Advances in Protein Structure Prediction

Obtaining an accurate description of protein structure is a fundamental step toward understanding the underpinning of biology. Although recent advances in experimental approaches have greatly enhanced our capabilities to experimentally determine protein structures, the gap between the number of protein sequences and known protein structures is ever increasing. Computational protein structure prediction is one of the ways to fill this gap. Recently, the protein structure prediction field has witnessed a lot of advances due to Deep Learning (DL)-based approaches as evidenced by the success of AlphaFold2 in the most recent Critical Assessment of protein Structure Prediction (CASP14). In this article, we highlight important milestones and progresses in the field of protein structure prediction due to DL-based methods as observed in CASP experiments. We describe advances in various steps of protein structure prediction pipeline viz. protein contact map prediction, protein distogram prediction, protein real-valued distance prediction, and Quality Assessment/refinement. We also highlight some end-to-end DL-based approaches for protein structure prediction approaches. Additionally, as there have been some recent DL-based advances in protein structure determination using Cryo-Electron (Cryo-EM) microscopy based, we also highlight some of the important progress in the field. Finally, we provide an outlook and possible future research directions for DL-based approaches in the protein structure prediction arena.

Deep template-based protein structure prediction

MOTIVATION

Protein structure prediction has been greatly improved by deep learning, but most efforts are devoted to template-free modeling. But very few deep learning methods are developed for TBM (template-based modeling), a popular technique for protein structure prediction. TBM has been studied extensively in the past, but its accuracy is not satisfactory when highly similar templates are not available.

RESULTS

This paper presents a new method NDThreader (New Deep-learning Threader) to address the challenges of TBM. NDThreader first employs DRNF (deep convolutional residual neural fields), which is an integration of deep ResNet (convolutional residue neural networks) and CRF (conditional random fields), to align a query protein to templates without using any distance information. Then NDThreader uses ADMM (alternating direction method of multipliers) and DRNF to further improve sequence-template alignments by making use of predicted distance potential. Finally, NDThreader builds 3D models from a sequence-template alignment by feeding it and sequence coevolution information into a deep ResNet to predict inter-atom distance distribution, which is then fed into PyRosetta for 3D model construction. Our experimental results show that NDThreader greatly outperforms existing methods such as CNFpred, HHpred, DeepThreader and CEthreader. NDThreader was blindly tested in CASP14 as a part of RaptorX server, which obtained the best average GDT score among all CASP14 servers on the 58 TBM targets.

Computational studies of the mitochondrial carrier family SLC25. Present status and future perspectives

The members of the mitochondrial carrier family, also known as solute carrier family 25 (SLC25), are transmembrane proteins involved in the translocation of a plethora of small molecules between the mitochondrial intermembrane space and the matrix. These transporters are characterized by three homologous domains structure and a transport mechanism that involves the transition between different conformations. Mutations in regions critical for these transporters’ function often cause several diseases, given the crucial role of these proteins in the mitochondrial homeostasis. Experimental studies can be problematic in the case of membrane proteins, in particular concerning the characterization of the structure–function relationships. For this reason, computational methods are often applied in order to develop new hypotheses or to support/explain experimental evidence. Here the computational analyses carried out on the SLC25 members are reviewed, describing the main techniques used and the outcome in terms of improved knowledge of the transport mechanism. Potential future applications on this protein family of more recent and advanced in silico methods are also suggested.

Adaptive Cartesian and torsional restraints for interactive model rebuilding

When building atomic models into weak and/or low-resolution density, a common strategy is to restrain their conformation to that of a higher resolution model of the same or similar sequence. When doing so, it is important to avoid over-restraining to the reference model in the face of disagreement with the experimental data. The most common strategy for this is the use of `top-out' potentials. These act like simple harmonic restraints within a defined range, but gradually weaken when the deviation between the model and reference grows beyond that range. In each current implementation the rate at which the potential flattens at large deviations follows a fixed form, although the form chosen varies among implementations. A restraint potential with a tuneable rate of flattening would provide greater flexibility to encode the confidence in any given restraint. Here, two new such potentials are described: a Cartesian distance restraint derived from a recent generalization of common loss functions and a periodic torsion restraint based on a renormalization of the von Mises distribution. Further, their implementation as user-adjustable/switchable restraints in ISOLDE is described and their use in some real-world examples is demonstrated.

Identification of promiscuous T cell epitopes on Mayaro virus structural proteins using immunoinformatics, molecular modeling, and QM:MM approaches

The Mayaro virus (MAYV) belongs to genus Alphavirus (family Togaviridae) and has been reported in several countries, especially in tropical regions of America. Due to its outbreaks and potential lack of medication, an effective vaccine formulation is strongly required. This study aimed to predict promiscuous T cell epitopes from structural polyproteins of MAYV using an immunoinformatics approach. For this purpose, consensus sequences were used to identify short protein sequences capable of binding to MHC class I and class II alleles. Our analysis pointed out 4 MHC-I/TCD8+ and 21 MHC-II/TCD4+ epitopes on capside (1;3), E1 (2;5), E2 (1;10), E3 (0;2), and 6 K (0;1) proteins. These predicted epitopes were characterized by high antigenicity, immunogenicity, conservancy, non-allergenic, non-toxic, and good population coverage rate values for North and South American geographical areas. Afterwards, we used the crystal structure of human toll-like receptor 3 (TLR3) ectodomain as a template to predict, through docking essays, the placement of a vaccine prototype at the TLR3 receptor binding site. Finally, classical and quantum mechanics/molecular mechanics (QM:MM) computations were employed to improve the quality of docking calculations, with the QM part of the simulations being accomplished by using the density functional theory (DFT) formalism. These results provide important insights into the advancement of diagnostic platforms, the development of vaccines, and immunotherapeutic interventions.

Residue-based pharmacophore approaches to study protein-protein interactions

This review focuses on pharmacophore approaches in researching protein interfaces that bind protein ligands. Pharmacophore descriptions of binding interfaces that employ molecular dynamics simulation can account for effects of solvation and conformational flexibility. In addition, these calculations provide an approximation to entropic considerations and as such, a better approximation of the free energy of binding. Residue-based pharmacophore approaches can facilitate a variety of drug discovery tasks such as the identification of receptor-ligand partners, identifying their binding poses, designing protein interfaces for selectivity, or defining a reduced mutational combinatorial exploration for subsequent experimental engineering techniques by orders of magnitudes.

Protein storytelling through physics

Every protein has a story-how it folds, what it binds, its biological actions, and how it misbehaves in aging or disease. Stories are often inferred from a protein's shape (i.e., its structure). But increasingly, stories are told using computational molecular physics (CMP). CMP is rooted in the principled physics of driving forces and reveals granular detail of conformational populations in space and time. Recent advances are accessing longer time scales, larger actions, and blind testing, enabling more of biology's stories to be told in the language of atomistic physics.

ProMod3-A versatile homology modelling toolbox

Computational methods for protein structure modelling are routinely used to complement experimental structure determination, thus they help to address a broad spectrum of scientific questions in biomedical research. The most accurate methods today are based on homology modelling, i.e. detecting a homologue to the desired target sequence that can be used as a template for modelling. Here we present a versatile open source homology modelling toolbox as foundation for flexible and computationally efficient modelling workflows. ProMod3 is a fully scriptable software platform that can perform all steps required to generate a protein model by homology. Its modular design aims at fast prototyping of novel algorithms and implementing flexible modelling pipelines. Common modelling tasks, such as loop modelling, sidechain modelling or generating a full protein model by homology, are provided as production ready pipelines, forming the starting point for own developments and enhancements. ProMod3 is the central software component of the widely used SWISS-MODEL web-server.

Phasertng: directed acyclic graphs for crystallographic phasing

Crystallographic phasing strategies increasingly require the exploration and ranking of many hypotheses about the number, types and positions of atoms, molecules and/or molecular fragments in the unit cell, each with only a small chance of being correct. Accelerating this move has been improvements in phasing methods, which are now able to extract phase information from the placement of very small fragments of structure, from weak experimental phasing signal or from combinations of molecular replacement and experimental phasing information. Describing phasing in terms of a directed acyclic graph allows graph-management software to track and manage the path to structure solution. The crystallographic software supporting the graph data structure must be strictly modular so that nodes in the graph are efficiently generated by the encapsulated functionality. To this end, the development of new software, Phasertng, which uses directed acyclic graphs natively for input/output, has been initiated. In Phasertng, the codebase of Phaser has been rebuilt, with an emphasis on modularity, on scripting, on speed and on continuing algorithm development. As a first application of phasertng, its advantages are demonstrated in the context of phasertng.xtricorder, a tool to analyse and triage merged data in preparation for molecular replacement or experimental phasing. The description of the phasing strategy with directed acyclic graphs is a generalization that extends beyond the functionality of Phasertng, as it can incorporate results from bioinformatics and other crystallographic tools, and will facilitate multifaceted search strategies, dynamic ranking of alternative search pathways and the exploitation of machine learning to further improve phasing strategies.

Template-based prediction of protein structure with deep learning

BACKGROUND

Accurate prediction of protein structure is fundamentally important to understand biological function of proteins. Template-based modeling, including protein threading and homology modeling, is a popular method for protein tertiary structure prediction. However, accurate template-query alignment and template selection are still very challenging, especially for the proteins with only distant homologs available.

RESULTS

We propose a new template-based modelling method called ThreaderAI to improve protein tertiary structure prediction. ThreaderAI formulates the task of aligning query sequence with template as the classical pixel classification problem in computer vision and naturally applies deep residual neural network in prediction. ThreaderAI first employs deep learning to predict residue-residue aligning probability matrix by integrating sequence profile, predicted sequential structural features, and predicted residue-residue contacts, and then builds template-query alignment by applying a dynamic programming algorithm on the probability matrix. We evaluated our methods both in generating accurate template-query alignment and protein threading. Experimental results show that ThreaderAI outperforms currently popular template-based modelling methods HHpred, CNFpred, and the latest contact-assisted method CEthreader, especially on the proteins that do not have close homologs with known structures. In particular, in terms of alignment accuracy measured with TM-score, ThreaderAI outperforms HHpred, CNFpred, and CEthreader by 56, 13, and 11%, respectively, on template-query pairs at the similarity of fold level from SCOPe data. And on CASP13's TBM-hard data, ThreaderAI outperforms HHpred, CNFpred, and CEthreader by 16, 9 and 8% in terms of TM-score, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

These results demonstrate that with the help of deep learning, ThreaderAI can significantly improve the accuracy of template-based structure prediction, especially for distant-homology proteins.

John PC, Bomble YJ. Advances in integrative structural biology: Towards understanding protein complexes in their cellular context

Microorganisms rely on protein interactions to transmit signals, react to stimuli, and grow. One of the best ways to understand these protein interactions is through structural characterization. However, in the past, structural knowledge was limited to stable, high-affinity complexes that could be crystallized. Recent developments in structural biology have revolutionized how protein interactions are characterized. The combination of multiple techniques, known as integrative structural biology, has provided insight into how large protein complexes interact in their native environment. In this mini-review, we describe the past, present, and potential future of integrative structural biology as a tool for characterizing protein interactions in their cellular context.

Deep Learning in Proteomics

Proteomics, the study of all the proteins in biological systems, is becoming a data-rich science. Protein sequences and structures are comprehensively catalogued in online databases. With recent advancements in tandem mass spectrometry (MS) technology, protein expression and post-translational modifications (PTMs) can be studied in a variety of biological systems at the global scale. Sophisticated computational algorithms are needed to translate the vast amount of data into novel biological insights. Deep learning automatically extracts data representations at high levels of abstraction from data, and it thrives in data-rich scientific research domains. Here, a comprehensive overview of deep learning applications in proteomics, including retention time prediction, MS/MS spectrum prediction, de novo peptide sequencing, PTM prediction, major histocompatibility complex-peptide binding prediction, and protein structure prediction, is provided. Limitations and the future directions of deep learning in proteomics are also discussed. This review will provide readers an overview of deep learning and how it can be used to analyze proteomics data.

Molecular-replacement phasing using predicted protein structures from AWSEM-Suite

The phase problem in X-ray crystallography arises from the fact that only the intensities, and not the phases, of the diffracting electromagnetic waves are measured directly. Molecular replacement can often estimate the relative phases of reflections starting with those derived from a template structure, which is usually a previously solved structure of a similar protein. The key factor in the success of molecular replacement is finding a good template structure. When no good solved template exists, predicted structures based partially on templates can sometimes be used to generate models for molecular replacement, thereby extending the lower bound of structural and sequence similarity required for successful structure determination. Here, the effectiveness is examined of structures predicted by a state-of-the-art prediction algorithm, the Associative memory, Water-mediated, Structure and Energy Model Suite (AWSEM-Suite), which has been shown to perform well in predicting protein structures in CASP13 when there is no significant sequence similarity to a solved protein or only very low sequence similarity to known templates. The performance of AWSEM-Suite structures in molecular replacement is discussed and the results show that AWSEM-Suite performs well in providing useful phase information, often performing better than I-TASSER-MR and the previous algorithm AWSEM-Template.

In silico structural homology modelling of EST073 motif coding protein of tea Camellia sinensis (L)

Background

Tea (Camellia sinensis (L). O. Kuntze) is known as the oldest, mild stimulating caffeine containing non-alcoholic beverage. One of the major threats in south Asian tea industry is the blister blight leaf disease (BB), caused by the fungus Exobasidium vexans Masse. SSR DNA marker EST SSR 073 is used as a molecular marker to tag blister blight disease resistance trait of tea. The amino acid sequences were derived from cDNA sequences related to EST SSR 073 of BB susceptible (TRI 2023) and BB resistant (TRI 2043) cultivars. An attempt has been made to understand the structural characteristics and variations of EST SSR 073 locus that may reveal the factors influencing the BB resistance of tea with multiple bioinformatics tools such as ORF finder, ExPasy ProtParam tools, modeler V 9.17, Rampage server, UCSF-Chimera, and HADDOCK docking server.

Results

The primary, secondary, and tertiary structures of EST SSR 073 coding protein were analyzed using the amino acid sequences of both BB resistant TRI 2043 and BB susceptible TRI 2023 tea cultivars. The coding amino acid sequences of both the cultivars were homologous to photosystem I subunit protein (PsaD I) of Pisum sativum. The predicted 3D structures of proteins were validated and considered as an acceptable overall stereochemical quality. The BB resistant protein showed CT repeat extension and did not involve in topology of the PsaD I subunit. The C terminal truncation of BB resistance caused the formation of hydrogen bonds interacting with PsaD I and other subunits of photosystem I in the modeled three-dimensional protein structure.

Conclusions

Camellia sinensis EST 073 SSR motif coding protein was identified as the PsaD I subunit of photosystem I. The exact mechanism of PsaD I conferring the resistance for blister blight in tea needs to be further investigated.

On Calculating Free Energy Differences Using Ensembles of Transition Paths

The free energy of a process is the fundamental quantity that determines its spontaneity or propensity at a given temperature. In particular, the binding free energy of a drug candidate to its biomolecular target is used as an objective quantity in drug design. Recently, binding kinetics—rates of association (k_on) and dissociation (k_off)—have also demonstrated utility for their ability to predict efficacy and in some cases have been shown to be more predictive than the binding free energy alone. Some methods exist to calculate binding kinetics from molecular simulations, although these are typically more difficult to calculate than the binding affinity as they depend on details of the transition path ensemble. Assessing these rate constants can be difficult, due to uncertainty in the definition of the bound and unbound states, large error bars and the lack of experimental data. As an additional consistency check, rate constants from simulation can be used to calculate free energies (using the log of their ratio) which can then be compared to free energies obtained experimentally or using alchemical free energy perturbation. However, in this calculation it is not straightforward to account for common, practical details such as the finite simulation volume or the particular definition of the “bound” and “unbound” states. Here we derive a set of correction terms that can be applied to calculations of binding free energies using full reactive trajectories. We apply these correction terms to revisit the calculation of binding free energies from rate constants for a host-guest system that was part of a blind prediction challenge, where significant deviations were observed between free energies calculated with rate ratios and those calculated from alchemical perturbation. The correction terms combine to significantly decrease the error with respect to computational benchmarks, from 3.4 to 0.76 kcal/mol. Although these terms were derived with weighted ensemble simulations in mind, some of the correction terms are generally applicable to free energies calculated using physical pathways via methods such as Markov state modeling, metadynamics, milestoning, or umbrella sampling.

Ten quick tips for homology modeling of high-resolution protein 3D structures

The purpose of this quick guide is to help new modelers who have little or no background in comparative modeling yet are keen to produce high-resolution protein 3D structures for their study by following systematic good modeling practices, using affordable personal computers or online computational resources. Through the available experimental 3D-structure repositories, the modeler should be able to access and use the atomic coordinates for building homology models. We also aim to provide the modeler with a rationale behind making a simple list of atomic coordinates suitable for computational analysis abiding to principles of physics (e.g., molecular mechanics). Keeping that objective in mind, these quick tips cover the process of homology modeling and some postmodeling computations such as molecular docking and molecular dynamics (MD). A brief section was left for modeling nonprotein molecules, and a short case study of homology modeling is discussed.

Improved Consensus-Fragment Selection in Template-Assisted Prediction of Protein Structures with the UNRES Force Field in CASP13

The method for protein-structure prediction, which combines the physics-based coarse-grained UNRES force field with knowledge-based modeling, has been developed further and tested in the 13th Community Wide Experiment on the Critical Assessment of Techniques for Protein Structure Prediction (CASP13). The method implements restraints from the consensus fragments common to server models. In this work, the server models to derive fragments have been chosen on the basis of quality assessment; a fully automatic fragment-selection procedure has been introduced, and Dynamic Fragment Assembly pseudopotentials have been fully implemented. The Global Distance Test Score (GDT_TS), averaged over our “Model 1” predictions, increased by over 10 units with respect to CASP12 for the free-modeling category to reach 40.82. Our “Model 1” predictions ranked 20 and 14 for all and free-modeling targets, respectively (upper 20.2% and 14.3% of all models submitted to CASP13 in these categories, respectively), compared to 27 (upper 21.1%) and 24 (upper 18.9%) in CASP12, respectively. For oligomeric targets, the Interface Patch Similarity (IPS) and Interface Contact Similarity (ICS) averaged over our best oligomer models increased from 0.28 to 0.36 and from 12.4 to 17.8, respectively, from CASP12 to CASP13, and top-ranking models of 2 targets (H0968 and T0997o) were obtained (none in CASP12). The improvement of our method in CASP13 over CASP12 was ascribed to the combined effect of the overall enhancement of server-model quality, our success in selecting server models and fragments to derive restraints, and improvements of the restraint and potential-energy functions.

Improved protein structure prediction using potentials from deep learning

Protein structure prediction can be used to determine the three-dimensional shape of a protein from its amino acid sequence¹. This problem is of fundamental importance as the structure of a protein largely determines its function²; however, protein structures can be difficult to determine experimentally. Considerable progress has recently been made by leveraging genetic information. It is possible to infer which amino acid residues are in contact by analysing covariation in homologous sequences, which aids in the prediction of protein structures³. Here we show that we can train a neural network to make accurate predictions of the distances between pairs of residues, which convey more information about the structure than contact predictions. Using this information, we construct a potential of mean force⁴ that can accurately describe the shape of a protein. We find that the resulting potential can be optimized by a simple gradient descent algorithm to generate structures without complex sampling procedures. The resulting system, named AlphaFold, achieves high accuracy, even for sequences with fewer homologous sequences. In the recent Critical Assessment of Protein Structure Prediction⁵ (CASP13)-a blind assessment of the state of the field-AlphaFold created high-accuracy structures (with template modelling (TM) scores⁶ of 0.7 or higher) for 24 out of 43 free modelling domains, whereas the next best method, which used sampling and contact information, achieved such accuracy for only 14 out of 43 domains. AlphaFold represents a considerable advance in protein-structure prediction. We expect this increased accuracy to enable insights into the function and malfunction of proteins, especially in cases for which no structures for homologous proteins have been experimentally determined⁷.

Revisiting the "satisfaction of spatial restraints" approach of MODELLER for protein homology modeling

The most frequently used approach for protein structure prediction is currently homology modeling. The 3D model building phase of this methodology is critical for obtaining an accurate and biologically useful prediction. The most widely employed tool to perform this task is MODELLER. This program implements the “modeling by satisfaction of spatial restraints” strategy and its core algorithm has not been altered significantly since the early 1990s. In this work, we have explored the idea of modifying MODELLER with two effective, yet computationally light strategies to improve its 3D modeling performance. Firstly, we have investigated how the level of accuracy in the estimation of structural variability between a target protein and its templates in the form of σ values profoundly influences 3D modeling. We show that the σ values produced by MODELLER are on average weakly correlated to the true level of structural divergence between target-template pairs and that increasing this correlation greatly improves the program’s predictions, especially in multiple-template modeling. Secondly, we have inquired into how the incorporation of statistical potential terms (such as the DOPE potential) in the MODELLER’s objective function impacts positively 3D modeling quality by providing a small but consistent improvement in metrics such as GDT-HA and lDDT and a large increase in stereochemical quality. Python modules to harness this second strategy are freely available at https://github.com/pymodproject/altmod. In summary, we show that there is a large room for improving MODELLER in terms of 3D modeling quality and we propose strategies that could be pursued in order to further increase its performance.

Proteins are fundamental biological molecules that carry out countless activities in living beings. Since the function of proteins is dictated by their three-dimensional atomic structures, acquiring structural details of proteins provides deep insights into their function. Currently, the most frequently used computational approach for protein structure prediction is template-based modeling. In this approach, a target protein is modeled using the experimentally-derived structural information of a template protein assumed to have a similar structure to the target. MODELLER is the most frequently used program for template-based 3D model building. Despite its success, its predictions are not always accurate enough to be useful in Biomedical Research. Here, we show that it is possible to greatly increase the performance of MODELLER by modifying two aspects of its algorithm. First, we demonstrate that providing the program with accurate estimations of local target-template structural divergence greatly increases the quality of its predictions. Additionally, we show that modifying MODELLER’s scoring function with statistical potential energetic terms also helps to improve modeling quality. This work will be useful in future research, since it reports practical strategies to improve the performance of this core tool in Structural Bioinformatics.

Cryo-electron microscopy targets in CASP13: Overview and evaluation of results

Structures of seven CASP13 targets were determined using cryo-electron microscopy (cryo-EM) technique with resolution between 3.0 and 4.0 Å. We provide an overview of the experimentally derived structures and describe results of the numerical evaluation of the submitted models. The evaluation is carried out by comparing coordinates of models to those of reference structures (CASP-style evaluation), as well as checking goodness-of-fit of modeled structures to the cryo-EM density maps. The performance of contributing research groups in the CASP-style evaluation is measured in terms of backbone accuracy, all-atom local geometry and similarity of inter-subunit interfaces. The results on the cryo-EM targets are compared with those on the whole set of eighty CASP13 targets. A posteriori refinement of the best models in their corresponding cryo-EM density maps resulted in structures that are very close to the reference structure, including some regions with better fit to the density.

High-accuracy protein structures by combining machine-learning with physics-based refinement

Protein structure prediction has long been available as an alternative to experimental structure determination, especially via homology modeling based on templates from related sequences. Recently, models based on distance restraints from coevolutionary analysis via machine learning to have significantly expanded the ability to predict structures for sequences without templates. One such method, AlphaFold, also performs well on sequences where templates are available but without using such information directly. Here we show that combining machine-learning based models from AlphaFold with state-of-the-art physics-based refinement via molecular dynamics simulations further improves predictions to outperform any other prediction method tested during the latest round of CASP. The resulting models have highly accurate global and local structures, including high accuracy at functionally important interface residues, and they are highly suitable as initial models for crystal structure determination via molecular replacement.

Introducing "best single template" models as reference baseline for the Continuous Automated Model Evaluation (CAMEO)

Critical blind assessment of structure prediction techniques is crucial for the scientific community to establish the state of the art, identify bottlenecks, and guide future developments. In Critical Assessment of Techniques in Structure Prediction (CASP), human experts assess the performance of participating methods in relation to the difficulty of the prediction task in a biennial experiment on approximately 100 targets. Yet, the development of automated computational modeling methods requires more frequent evaluation cycles and larger sets of data. The "Continuous Automated Model EvaluatiOn (CAMEO)" platform complements CASP by conducting fully automated blind prediction evaluations based on the weekly pre-release of sequences of those structures, which are going to be published in the next release of the Protein Data Bank (PDB). Each week, CAMEO publishes benchmarking results for predictions corresponding to a set of about 20 targets collected during a 4-day prediction window. CAMEO benchmarking data are generated consistently for all methods at the same point in time, enabling developers to cross-validate their method's performance, and referring to their results in publications. Many successful participants of CASP have used CAMEO-either by directly benchmarking their methods within the system or by comparing their own performance to CAMEO reference data. CAMEO offers a variety of scores reflecting different aspects of structure modeling, for example, binding site accuracy, homo-oligomer interface quality, or accuracy of local model confidence estimates. By introducing the "bestSingleTemplate" method based on structure superpositions as a reference for the accuracy of 3D modeling predictions, CAMEO facilitates objective comparison of techniques and fosters the development of advanced methods.

Evaluation of template-based modeling in CASP13

Performance in the template‐based modeling (TBM) category of CASP13 is assessed here, using a variety of metrics. Performance of the predictor groups that participated is ranked using the primary ranking score that was developed by the assessors for CASP12. This reveals that the best results are obtained by groups that include contact predictions or inter‐residue distance predictions derived from deep multiple sequence alignments. In cases where there is a good homolog in the wwPDB (TBM‐easy category), the best results are obtained by modifying a template. However, for cases with poorer homologs (TBM‐hard), very good results can be obtained without using an explicit template, by deep learning algorithms trained on the wwPDB. Alternative metrics are introduced, to allow testing of aspects of structural models that are not addressed by traditional CASP metrics. These include comparisons to the main‐chain and side‐chain torsion angles of the target, and the utility of models for solving crystal structures by the molecular replacement method. The alternative metrics are poorly correlated with the traditional metrics, and it is proposed that modeling has reached a sufficient level of maturity that the best models should be expected to satisfy this wider range of criteria.