E‐REVEAL Lite 2.0 scoring for early prediction of disease progression in pulmonary arterial hypertension

Prognostic Value of Serial Risk Stratification in Adult and Pediatric Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

In pulmonary arterial hypertension, it is recommended to base therapeutic decisions on risk stratification. This systematic review aims to report the prognostic value of serial risk stratification in adult and pediatric pulmonary arterial hypertension and to explore the usability of serial risk stratification as treatment target.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Electronic databases PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched up to January 30, 2023, using terms associated with pulmonary arterial hypertension, pediatric pulmonary hypertension, and risk stratification. Observational studies and clinical trials describing risk stratification at both baseline and follow-up were included. Sixty five studies were eligible for inclusion, including only 2 studies in a pediatric population. C-statistic range at baseline was 0.31 to 0.77 and improved to 0.30 to 0.91 at follow-up. In 53% of patients, risk status changed (42% improved, 12% worsened) over 168 days (interquartile range, 137-327 days; n=22 studies). The average proportion of low-risk patients increased from 18% at baseline to 36% at a median follow-up of 244 days (interquartile range, 140-365 days; n=40 studies). In placebo-controlled drug studies, risk statuses of the intervention groups improved more and worsened less compared with the placebo groups. Furthermore, a low-risk status, but also an improved risk status, at follow-up was associated with a better outcome. Similar results were found in the 2 pediatric studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Follow-up risk stratification has improved prognostic value compared with baseline risk stratification, and change in risk status between baseline and follow-up corresponded to a change in survival. These data support the use of serial risk stratification as treatment target in pulmonary arterial hypertension.

Comparison Between REVEAL Lite 2 and COMPERA 2.0 for Risk Stratification in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

BACKGROUND

Risk stratification is the cornerstone of the management of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Current European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society guidelines recommend using the Comparative, Prospective Registry of Newly Initiated Therapies for Pulmonary Hypertension (COMPERA) three-strata risk model at baseline and the COMPERA 2.0 four-strata model at follow-up. However, the guidelines did not take into consideration other available risk scores such as the Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-Term PAH Disease Management (REVEAL) Lite 2.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Is REVEAL Lite 2 better at discriminating risk than the COMPERA risk assessment models at baseline or follow-up evaluations?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

This study analyzed data from patients with PAH consecutively enrolled between June 2011 and February 2022 in the PAH registry at our expert Pulmonary Hypertension Center. Patients were stratified according to REVEAL Lite 2 and COMPERA three- and four-strata risk scores at baseline and follow-up to predict the composite outcome for lung transplantation or death. Receiver-operating characteristic curves in predicting the binary outcome at 3, 5, and 7 years were plotted. Areas under the curve of the scores were compared by using the χ2 test. The performance of the scores was determined according to the Harrel C statistic.

RESULTS

A total of 296 patients were included for baseline and 196 for follow-up evaluation. The overall transplant-free survival in the patient population at 1, 3, 5, and 7 years was 93.6%, 81.3%, 75.1%, and 68.8%, respectively. At baseline, the C statistic of REVEAL Lite 2 was 0.74 (95% CI, 0.69-0.80), compared with 0.68 (95% CI, 0.63-0.74) for the COMPERA four-strata model and 0.63 (95% CI, 0.58-0.69) for the COMPERA three-strata model. All C statistic differences between REVEAL Lite 2 and the other models were statistically significant at baseline.

INTERPRETATION

Our analysis showed that REVEAL Lite 2 was better at baseline at discriminating risk in this patient population. Future guidelines should consider including REVEAL Lite 2 in the management algorithm to help clinicians make informed decisions. Further analysis in larger cohorts could help validate these findings.

Evolution and optimization of clinical trial endpoints and design in pulmonary arterial hypertension

Selection of endpoints for clinical trials in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is challenging because of the small numbers of patients and the changing expectations of patients, clinicians, and regulators in this evolving therapy area. The most commonly used primary endpoint in PAH trials has been 6-min walk distance (6MWD), leading to the approval of several targeted therapies. However, single surrogate endpoints such as 6MWD or hemodynamic parameters may not correlate with clinical outcomes. Composite endpoints of clinical worsening have been developed to reflect patients' overall condition more accurately, although there is no standard definition of worsening. Recently there has been a shift to composite endpoints assessing clinical improvement, and risk scores developed from registry data are increasingly being used. Biomarkers are another area of interest, although brain natriuretic peptide and its N-terminal prohormone are the only markers used for risk assessment or as endpoints in PAH. A range of other genetic, metabolic, and immunologic markers is currently under investigation, along with conventional and novel imaging modalities. Patient-reported outcomes are an increasingly important part of evaluating new therapies, and several PAH-specific tools are now available. In the future, alternative statistical techniques and trial designs, such as patient enrichment strategies, will play a role in evaluating PAH-targeted therapies. In addition, modern sequencing techniques, imaging analyses, and high-dimensional statistical modeling/machine learning may reveal novel markers that can play a role in the diagnosis and monitoring of PAH.

Pulmonary Vascular Research Institute GoDeep: A meta-registry merging deep phenotyping datafrom international PH reference centers

The Pulmonary Vascular Research Institute GoDeep meta-registry is a collaboration of pulmonary hypertension (PH) reference centers across the globe. Merging worldwide PH data in a central meta-registry to allow advanced analysis of the heterogeneity of PH and its groups/subgroups on a worldwide geographical, ethnical, and etiological landscape (ClinTrial. gov NCT05329714). Retrospective and prospective PH patient data (diagnosis based on catheterization; individuals with exclusion of PH are included as a comparator group) are mapped to a common clinical parameter set of more than 350 items, anonymized and electronically exported to a central server. Use and access is decided by the GoDeep steering board, where each center has one vote. As of April 2022, GoDeep comprised 15,742 individuals with 1.9 million data points from eight PH centers. Geographic distribution comprises 3990 enrollees (25%) from America and 11,752 (75%) from Europe. Eighty-nine perecent were diagnosed with PH and 11% were classified as not PH and provided a comparator group. The retrospective observation period is an average of 3.5 years (standard error of the mean 0.04), with 1159 PH patients followed for over 10 years. Pulmonary arterial hypertension represents the largest PH group (42.6%), followed by Group 2 (21.7%), Group 3 (17.3%), Group 4 (15.2%), and Group 5 (3.3%). The age distribution spans several decades, with patients 60 years or older comprising 60%. The majority of patients met an intermediate risk profile upon diagnosis. Data entry from a further six centers is ongoing, and negotiations with >10 centers worldwide have commenced. Using electronic interface-based automated retrospective and prospective data transfer, GoDeep aims to provide in-depth epidemiological and etiological understanding of PH and its various groups/subgroups on a global scale, offering insights for improved management.

The added value of right ventricular function normalized for afterload to improve risk stratification of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension

Background

Risk stratification is central to the management of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). For this purpose, multiparametric tools have been developed, including the ESC/ERS risk score and its simplified versions derived from large database analysis such as the COMPERA and the French Pulmonary Hypertension Network (FPHN) registries. However, the distinction between high and intermediate-risk profiles may be difficult as the latter lacks granularity. In addition, neither COMPERA or FPHN strategies included imaging-derived markers. We thus aimed at investigating whether surrogate echocardiographic markers of right ventricular (RV) to pulmonary artery (PA) coupling could improve risk stratification in patients at intermediate-risk.

Material and methods

A single-center retrospective analysis including 102 patients with a diagnosis of PAH was performed. COMPERA and FPHN strategies were applied to stratify clinical risk. The univariate linear regression was used to test the influence of the echo-derived parameters qualifying the right heart (right ventricle basal diameter, right atrial area, and pressure, tricuspid regurgitation velocity, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion -TAPSE-). Among these, the TAPSE and tricuspid regurgitation velocity ratio (TAPSE/TRV) as well as the TAPSE and systolic pulmonary artery pressure ratio (TAPSE/sPAP) were considered as surrogate of RV-PA coupling.

Results

TAPSE/TRV and TAPSE/sPAP resulted the more powerful markers of prognosis. Once added to COMPERA, TAPSE/TRV or TAPSE/sPAP significantly dichotomized intermediate-risk group in intermediate-to-low-risk (TAPSE/TRV≥3.74 mm∙nm/s)^-1 or TAPSE/sPAP≥0.24 mm/mmHg) and in intermediate-to-high-risk subgroups (TAPSE/TRV<3.74 mm∙(m/s)^-1 or TAPSE/sPAP<0.24 mm/mmHg). In the same way, TAPSE/TRV or TAPSE/sPAP was able to select patients at lower risk among those with 2, 1, and 0 low-risk criteria of both invasive and non-invasive FPHN registries.

Conclusions

Our results suggest that adopting functional-hemodynamic echo-derived parameters may provide a more accurate risk stratification in patients with PAH. In particular, TAPSE/TRV or TAPSE/sPAP improved risk stratification in patients at intermediate-risk, that otherwise would have remained less characterized.