Recurrence risk of venous thromboembolism associated with systemic lupus erythematosus: A retrospective cohort study

Long-term incidence, risk factors and complications for venous thromboembolism in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus

AIM

To compare frequency, incidence rates (IR), risk factors and outcomes of a first venous thromboembolic event (VTE) between patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and controls.

METHODS

Using state-wide longitudinal hospital data from Western Australia (WA), we recorded venous thrombosis (VT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) in patients with SLE (n = 1854, median age 40, 86% female) and matched hospitalised controls (n = 12,107, median age 40 years, females 88.6%) in the period 1985-2015. Results presented are medians, frequency, IR per 1000 person years (PY) and odds, rate, or adjusted hazard ratios (OR/RR/a-HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Patients with SLE had significantly higher odds (12.8 vs 3.3%; OR 4.26, CI 3.60-5.05) and IR for a first VTE (10.09 vs 1.52; RR 6.64; CI 5.56-7.79). Over the three study decades, the IR for PE declined in patients with SLE from 7.74 to 3.75/1000 PY (p < .01) with no changes observed for VT or in controls. VTE recurred more frequently in patients with SLE (24.1% vs 10.2 %) (p < .01). Antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL) (a-HR 4.24, CI 2.50-7.19), serositis (a-HR 2.70, CI 1.86-3.91), lupus nephritis (a-HR 1.75 CI 1.25-2.33) and thrombocytopenia (a-HR 1.65 (1.10-2.49) were the strongest disease risk factors for VTE only in patients with SLE, while arterial hypertension, smoking and obesity were independent VTE risk factors for both groups. VTE was not associated with an increased risk for arterial events, but PE increased the risk for pulmonary hypertension (PH) in both patients with SLE (a-HR 6.47, CI 3.73-11.23) and controls (a-HR 9.09, CI 3.50-23.63). VTE increased the risk of death in both patients with SLE (a-HR 2.02, CI 1.50-2.70) and controls (a-HR 6.63, CI 5.21-8.42) after 10 years of follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

VTE affected 12.8% of patients with SLE at six times the VTE rate in controls with aPL as the strongest, but not the only risk factor in SLE. The risk of PH was increased in both groups following PE, but VTE did not associate with an increased risk of arterial events.

Exploring the Two-Way Link between Migraines and Venous Thromboembolism: A Bidirectional Two-Sample Mendelian Randomization Study

BACKGROUND

 The objective of this study is to utilize Mendelian randomization to scrutinize the mutual causality between migraine and venous thromboembolism (VTE) thereby addressing the heterogeneity and inconsistency that were observed in prior observational studies concerning the potential interrelation of the two conditions.

METHODS

 Employing a bidirectional Mendelian randomization approach, the study explored the link between migraine and VTE, incorporating participants of European descent from a large-scale meta-analysis. An inverse-variance weighted (IVW) regression model, with random-effects, leveraging single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) as instrumental variables was utilized to endorse the mutual causality between migraine and VTE. SNP heterogeneity was evaluated using Cochran's Q-test and to account for multiple testing, correction was implemented using the intercept of the MR-Egger method, and a leave-one-out analysis.

RESULTS

 The IVW model unveiled a statistically considerable causal link between migraine and the development of VTE (odds ratio [OR] = 96.155, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.342-2129.458, p = 0.004), implying that migraine poses a strong risk factor for VTE development. Conversely, both IVW and simple model outcomes indicated that VTE poses as a weaker risk factor for migraine (IVW OR = 1.002, 95% CI: 1.000-1.004, p = 0.016). The MR-Egger regression analysis denoted absence of evidence for genetic pleiotropy among the SNPs while the durability of our Mendelian randomization results was vouched by the leave-one-out sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSION

 The findings of this Mendelian randomization assessment provide substantiation for a reciprocal causative association between migraine and VTE within the European population.

Viewpoint: Provoked thrombosis in antiphospholipid syndrome

Unprovoked thrombosis (thrombosis occurring without an established environmental factor favouring the episode) is a classic feature of APS. In the general population, provoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) is clearly defined and has clinical and therapeutic differences compared with unprovoked VTE. Whether provoked VTE in the context of APS may lead to a limited treatment duration is not well established. Therefore, careful clinical and laboratory evaluation is needed to identify patients eligible for a limited duration of anticoagulation treatment after provoked VTE. Given the uncertainties of available data, the risks and benefits of treatment decisions should be clearly explained. Decisions should be shared by both the patient and physician. Cardiovascular risk factors are common in patients with APS with arterial thrombosis. There are insufficient data suggesting that cardiovascular risk factor control would allow the cessation of anticoagulation. In most instances, arterial thrombosis will require prolonged anticoagulants. A careful analysis of clinical characteristics and laboratory evaluation, particularly the aPL antibody profile, is needed to make decisions on a case-by-case basis.