Modeling Growth of Tumors and Their Spreading Behavior Using Mathematical Functions

Prognostic Significance of 18 F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics in Patients With Resectable Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma Undergoing Curative Surgery

PURPOSE

This study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of PET/CT radiomics to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

METHODS

We enrolled 627 patients with resectable PDAC who underwent preoperative 18 F-FDG PET/CT and subsequent curative surgery. Radiomics analysis of the PET/CT images for the primary tumor was performed using the Chang-Gung Image Texture Analysis toolbox. Radiomics features were subjected to least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression to select the most valuable imaging features of OS. The prognostic significance was evaluated by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Conventional PET parameters and LASSO score were assessed as predictive factors for OS by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 28.8 months, 378 patients (60.3%) died. In the multivariable Cox regression analysis, tumor differentiation, resection margin status, tumor stage, and LASSO score were independent prognostic factors for OS (HR, 1.753, 1.669, 2.655, and 2.946; all P < 0.001, respectively). The time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the LASSO score had better predictive performance for OS than conventional PET parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

The LASSO score using the 18 F-FDG PET/CT radiomics of the primary tumor was the independent prognostic factor for predicting OS in patients with resectable PDAC and may be helpful in determining therapeutic and follow-up plans for these patients.

Machine Learning in Diagnosis and Prognosis of Lung Cancer by PET-CT

As a disease with high morbidity and high mortality, lung cancer has seriously harmed people's health. Therefore, early diagnosis and treatment are more important. PET/CT is usually used to obtain the early diagnosis, staging, and curative effect evaluation of tumors, especially lung cancer, due to the heterogeneity of tumors and the differences in artificial image interpretation and other reasons, it also fails to entirely reflect the real situation of tumors. Artificial intelligence (AI) has been applied to all aspects of life. Machine learning (ML) is one of the important ways to realize AI. With the help of the ML method used by PET/CT imaging technology, there are many studies in the diagnosis and treatment of lung cancer. This article summarizes the application progress of ML based on PET/CT in lung cancer, in order to better serve the clinical. In this study, we searched PubMed using machine learning, lung cancer, and PET/CT as keywords to find relevant articles in the past 5 years or more. We found that PET/CT-based ML approaches have achieved significant results in the detection, delineation, classification of pathology, molecular subtyping, staging, and response assessment with survival and prognosis of lung cancer, which can provide clinicians a powerful tool to support and assist in critical daily clinical decisions. However, ML has some shortcomings such as slightly poor repeatability and reliability.

Radiomics Analysis of 18F-FDG PET/CT for Prognosis Prediction in Patients with Stage III Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Undergoing Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation Therapy Followed by Surgery

We investigated the prognostic significance of radiomic features from 18F-FDG PET/CT to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with stage III NSCLC undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy followed by surgery. We enrolled 300 patients with stage III NSCLC who underwent PET/CT at the initial work-up (PET1) and after neoadjuvant concurrent chemoradiotherapy (PET2). Radiomic primary tumor features were subjected to LASSO regression to select the most useful prognostic features of OS. The prognostic significance of the LASSO score and conventional PET parameters was assessed by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. In conventional PET parameters, metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) of each PET1 and PET2 were significantly associated with OS. In addition, both the PET1-LASSO score and the PET2-LASSO score were significantly associated with OS. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, only the PET2-LASSO score was an independently significant factor for OS. The LASSO score showed better predictive performance for OS regarding the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis than conventional PET parameters. Radiomic features from PET/CT were an independent prognostic factor for the estimation of OS in stage III NSCLC. The newly developed LASSO score using radiomic features showed better prognostic results for individualized OS estimation than conventional PET parameters.

Predictive Value of 18F-FDG PET/CT Using Machine Learning for Pathological Response to Neoadjuvant Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy in Patients with Stage III Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

We investigated predictions from 18F-FDG PET/CT using machine learning (ML) to assess the neoadjuvant CCRT response of patients with stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and compared them with predictions from conventional PET parameters and from physicians. A retrospective study was conducted of 430 patients. They underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT before initial treatment and after neoadjuvant CCRT followed by curative surgery. We analyzed texture features from segmented tumors and reviewed the pathologic response. The ML model employed a random forest and was used to classify the binary outcome of the pathological complete response (pCR). The predictive accuracy of the ML model for the pCR was 93.4%. The accuracy of predicting pCR using the conventional PET parameters was up to 70.9%, and the accuracy of the physicians’ assessment was 80.5%. The accuracy of the prediction from the ML model was significantly higher than those derived from conventional PET parameters and provided by physicians (p < 0.05). The ML model is useful for predicting pCR after neoadjuvant CCRT, which showed a higher predictive accuracy than those achieved from conventional PET parameters and from physicians.

The initial engraftment of tumor cells is critical for the future growth pattern: a mathematical study based on simulations and animal experiments

Background

Xenograft mouse tumor models are used to study mechanisms of tumor growth and metastasis formation and to investigate the efficacy of different therapeutic interventions. After injection the engrafted cells form a local tumor nodule. Following an initial lag period of several days, the size of the tumor is measured periodically throughout the experiment using calipers. This method of determining tumor size is error prone because the measurement is two-dimensional (calipers do not measure tumor depth). Primary tumor growth can be described mathematically by suitable growth functions, the choice of which is not always obvious. Growth parameters provide information on tumor growth and are determined by applying nonlinear curve fitting.

Methods

We used self-generated synthetic data including random measurement errors to research the accuracy of parameter estimation based on caliper measured tumor data. Fit metrics were investigated to identify the most appropriate growth function for a given synthetic dataset. We studied the effects of measuring tumor size at different frequencies on the accuracy and precision of the estimated parameters. For curve fitting with fixed initial tumor volume, we varied this fixed initial volume during the fitting process to investigate the effect on the resulting estimated parameters. We determined the number of surviving engrafted tumor cells after injection using ex vivo bioluminescence imaging, to demonstrate the effect on experiments of incorrect assumptions about the initial tumor volume.

Results

To select a suitable growth function, measurement data from at least 15 animals should be considered. Tumor volume should be measured at least every three days to estimate accurate growth parameters. Daily measurement of the tumor volume is the most accurate way to improve long-term predictability of tumor growth. The initial tumor volume needs to have a fixed value in order to achieve meaningful results. An incorrect value for the initial tumor volume leads to large deviations in the resulting growth parameters.

Conclusions

The actual number of cancer cells engrafting directly after subcutaneous injection is critical for future tumor growth and distinctly influences the parameters for tumor growth determined by curve fitting.

Radiomic Machine Learning and Texture Analysis - New Horizons for Head and Neck Oncology

Radiomics is a relatively new concept that consists of extracting data from images and applies advanced characterization algorithms to generate imaging features. These features are biomarkers with prognostic and predictive value, which provide a characterization of tumor phenotypes in a non-invasive manner. The clinical application of radiomics is hampered by challenges such as lack of image acquisition and analysis standardization. Textural features extracted from computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and positron emission tomography-computed tomography (PET-CT) images of patients diagnosed with head and neck cancers can be used in the pre-therapeutic evaluation of the response to multimodal chemo-radiotherapy. For patients with positive HPV-oropharyngeal cancers, the correlation of the radiomic textural features from the tumor with p16 values from the pathological sample can identify tumor specific signatures in CT imaging, an entity with favorable prognosis and a better response to chemo-radiotherapy. Pretreatment contrast CT-scans were extracted and radiomics analysis of gross tumor volume were performed using MaZda package apart from MaZda software containing B11 program for texture analysis and visualization. Data set was randomly divided into a training dataset and a test dataset and machine learning algorithms were applied to identify a textural radiomic signature. Radiomic texture analysis and machine learning algorithms demonstrate a predictive potential related to the capability of stratification for subclasses of platinum-chemotherapy resistance and radioresistant head and neck cancers requiring an intensification of multimodal treatment.