Beyond administrative data: characterizing cardiorespiratory disease episodes among patients visiting the emergency department

Integrating Clinical and Air Quality Data to Improve Prediction of COPD Exacerbations

Several studies have found associations between air pollution and respiratory disease outcomes. However, there is minimal prognostic research exploring whether integrating air quality into clinical prediction models can improve accuracy and utility. In this study, we built models using both logistic regression and random forests to determine the benefits of including air quality data with meteorological and clinical data in prediction of COPD exacerbations requiring medical care. Logistic models were not improved by inclusion of air quality. However, the net benefit curves of random forest models showed greater clinical utility with the addition of air quality data. These models demonstrate a practical and relatively low-cost way to include environmental information into clinical prediction tools to improve the clinical utility of COPD prediction. Findings could be used to provide population level health warnings as well as individual-patient risk assessments.

A study on the short-term effect of particulate matter pollution on hospital visits for asthma in children in Shanghai, China

Recently, particulate matter pollution has been worsening, which has been affecting the asthma visits in children. In this study, we assessed the short-term effects of PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 on asthma visits in children in Shanghai, China from January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2010, using a generalized additive model. We controlled the confounding factors, such as long-term trends, week day effect, and weather elements. The lag effects of different age subgroups (≤ 2 yr, 3-5 yr, and 6-18 yr subgroups) were performed. The results showed significant effects of PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 on asthma visits in children, though the seasonal lags varied for the three age subgroups. In general, the effect of PM_2.5 on asthma visits in children was stronger and more acute than that of PM₁₀. PM_2.5 showed the highest relative risk of 1.192 at lag 0 day in summer; and PM₁₀ showed the highest relative risk of 1.073 at lag 3 day in autumn. Overall, particulate matter pollution showed a greater effect on relatively younger children. In particular, the ≤ 2 yr subgroup showed the highest seasonal relative risk of PM₁₀. Especially, seasonal relative risk of PM₁₀ in autumn for the ≤ 2 yr subgroup was much higher than that for the other two subgroups. The 3-5 yr and 6-18 yr subgroups showed the highest seasonal relative risk of PM_2.5 in summer and winter, respectively. But the pediatric visits data we obtained cannot reflect the true prevalence of asthma and multiple visits. Thus, selection bias may exist in our analysis.

Air Pollution and Hospitalization for Acute Myocardial Infarction in China

There is growing interest in the association between ambient air pollution and acute myocardial infarction (AMI). The objective of this study was to explore the association in 14 Chinese cities using a time-stratified case-crossover design. We identified 80,787 hospital admissions for AMI between January 1, 2014 and December 31, 2015 from electronic hospitalization summary reports. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate the percent changes with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) in AMI admissions in relation to an interquartile range increase in ambient air pollutant concentrations. All analyzed air pollutants, with the exception of ozone, were positively associated with daily AMI admissions on lag2 and lag3 days. An interquartile range increase in particulate matter <10 µm in aerodynamic diameter, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, and carbon monoxide concentrations on lag2 day was significantly associated with a 0.8% (95% CI 0.1%, 1.6%), 2.0% (95% CI 1.2%, 2.9%), 2.2% (95% CI 1.4%, 3.1%), and 1.1% (95% CI 0.4%, 1.8%) increase in AMI admissions, respectively. We also observed a significant association in relation to ozone on lag4 day (percent change: 1.3%; 95% CI 0.2%, 2.4%). Subgroup analyses indicated no effect modification of risk by age (≥65 years and <65 years) or gender. In conclusion, this is the first multicity study in China, or even in other developing countries, to report the short-term effects of air pollution on AMI morbidity. Our findings contribute to the limited scientific data on the effects of ambient air pollution on AMI in developing countries.

The impact of PM2.5 on asthma emergency department visits: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Although the relationship between asthma and exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) has been frequently measured, reported conclusions have not been consistent. As emergency department (ED) visits are an effective way to estimate health outcomes for people with asthma and short-term exposure to PM2.5, this review systematically searched five databases without language or geographical restrictions from inception to January 13, 2015 to study the impact of PM2.5 on asthma ED visits. A random-effects model was used to calculate the pooled risk ratio (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). With respect to short-term effects, asthma ED visits increased at higher PM2.5 concentrations (RR 1.5% per 10 μg/m(3); 95% CI 1.2-1.7%), and children were more susceptible (3.6% per 10 μg/m(3); 95% CI 1.8, 5.3%) than adults (1.7, 95% CI 0.7%, 2.8%) to increased PM2.5; the ED visits increased during the warm season by 3.7% (95% CI 0.5, 6.9%) per 10 μg/m(3) increase in PM2.5, which was higher than the corresponding increase during the cold season (2.6, 95% CI 0.7-4.6%). This demonstrates that ambient PM2.5 has an adverse impact on asthma ED visits after short-term exposure and that children are a high-risk population when PM2.5 concentrations are high, particularly in warm seasons, during which measures should be taken to prevent PM2.5.

Air pollution and emergency department visits for cardiac and respiratory conditions: a multi-city time-series analysis

BACKGROUND

Relatively few studies have been conducted of the association between air pollution and emergency department (ED) visits, and most of these have been based on a small number of visits, for a limited number of health conditions and pollutants, and only daily measures of exposure and response.

METHODS

A time-series analysis was conducted on nearly 400,000 ED visits to 14 hospitals in seven Canadian cities during the 1990 s and early 2000s. Associations were examined between carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and particulate matter (PM 10 and PM2.5), and visits for angina/myocardial infarction, heart failure, dysrhythmia/conduction disturbance, asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and respiratory infections. Daily and 3-hourly visit counts were modeled as quasi-Poisson and analyses controlled for effects of temporal cycles, weather, day of week and holidays.

RESULTS

24-hour average concentrations of CO and NO2 lag 0 days exhibited the most consistent associations with cardiac conditions (2.1% (95% CI, 0.0-4.2%) and 2.6% (95% CI, 0.2-5.0%) increase in visits for myocardial infarction/angina per 0.7 ppm CO and 18.4 ppb NO2 respectively; 3.8% (95% CI, 0.7-6.9%) and 4.7% (95% CI, 1.2-8.4%) increase in visits for heart failure). Ozone (lag 2 days) was most consistently associated with respiratory visits (3.2% (95% CI, 0.3-6.2%), and 3.7% (95% CI, -0.5-7.9%) increases in asthma and COPD visits respectively per 18.4 ppb). Associations tended to be of greater magnitude during the warm season (April - September). In particular, the associations of PM 10 and PM2.5 with asthma visits were respectively nearly three- and over fourfold larger vs. all year analyses (14.4% increase in visits, 95% CI, 0.2-30.7, per 20.6 microg/m3 PM 10 and 7.6% increase in visits, 95% CI, 5.1-10.1, per 8.2 microg/m3 PM2.5). No consistent associations were observed between three hour average pollutant concentrations and same-day three hour averages of ED visits.

CONCLUSION

In this large multicenter analysis, daily average concentrations of CO and NO2 exhibited the most consistent associations with ED visits for cardiac conditions, while ozone exhibited the most consistent associations with visits for respiratory conditions. PM 10 and PM2.5 were strongly associated with asthma visits during the warm season.

Economic evaluation of the benefits of reducing acute cardiorespiratory morbidity associated with air pollution

BACKGROUND

Few assessments of the costs and benefits of reducing acute cardiorespiratory morbidity related to air pollution have employed a comprehensive, explicit approach to capturing the full societal value of reduced morbidity.

METHODS

We used empirical data on the duration and severity of episodes of cardiorespiratory disease as inputs to complementary models of cost of treatment, lost productivity, and willingness to pay to avoid acute cardiorespiratory morbidity outcomes linked to air pollution in epidemiological studies. A Monte Carlo estimation procedure was utilized to propagate uncertainty in key inputs and model parameters.

RESULTS

Valuation estimates ranged from 13 dollars (1997, Canadian) (95% confidence interval, 0-28 dollars) for avoidance of an acute respiratory symptom day to 5,200 dollars (4,000 dollars-6,400 dollars) for avoidance of a cardiac hospital admission. Cost of treatment accounted for the majority of the overall value of cardiac and respiratory hospital admissions as well as cardiac emergency department visits, while lost productivity generally represented a small proportion of overall value. Valuation estimates for days of restricted activity, asthma symptoms and acute respiratory symptoms were sensitive to alternative assumptions about level of activity restriction. As an example of the application of these values, we estimated that the observed decrease in particulate sulfate concentrations in Toronto between 1984 and 1999 resulted in annual benefits of 1.4 million dollars (95% confidence interval 0.91-1.8 million dollars) in relation to reduced emergency department visits and hospital admissions for cardiorespiratory disease.

CONCLUSION

Our approach to estimating the value of avoiding a range of acute morbidity effects of air pollution addresses a number of limitations of the current literature, and is applicable to future assessments of the benefits of improving air quality.

Association between ozone and hospitalization for acute respiratory diseases in children less than 2 years of age

To clarify the health effects of ozone exposure in young children, the authors studied the association between air pollution and hospital admissions for acute respiratory problems in children less than 2 years of age during the 15-year period from 1980 to 1994 in Toronto, Canada. The daily time series of admissions was adjusted for the influences of day of the week, season, and weather. A 35% (95% confidence interval: 19%, 52%) increase in the daily hospitalization rate for respiratory problems was associated with a 5-day moving average of the daily 1-hour maximum ozone concentration of 45 parts per billion, the May-August average value. The ozone effect persisted after adjustment for other ambient air pollutants or weather variables. Ozone was not associated with hospital admissions during the September-April period. Ambient ozone levels in the summertime should be considered a risk factor for respiratory problems in children less than 2 years of age.

The costs of cardiorespiratory disease episodes in a study of emergency department use

OBJECTIVE

The average per person direct cost of illness of cardiorespiratory disease episodes was estimated based on a prospective study of emergency department visits.

METHODS

Economic modelling of health care costs using prospectively collected resource utilization data (9/1/94 to 8/31/95) from hospital emergency department visitors assigned a diagnosis of asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), respiratory infections or cardiac conditions.

RESULTS

The total direct costs (1997 CDN$) [95% C.I.] per patient were $1,043.55 [$922.65, $1,164.47] for asthma, $1,690.11 [$1,276.92, $2,103.30] for COPD, $676.50 [$574.46, $778.54] for respiratory infections, and $3,318.74 [$2,937.72, $3,699.76] for cardiac conditions.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that on average, patients diagnosed with a cardiac condition had the highest total direct cost. Hospitalization cost was the largest component of costs for all diagnoses except asthma, for which medications were the single largest component of direct costs.

The costs of cardiorespiratory disease episodes in a study of emergency department use

OBJECTIVE

The average per person direct cost of illness of cardiorespiratory disease episodes was estimated based on a prospective study of emergency department visits.

METHODS

Economic modelling of health care costs using prospectively collected resource utilization data (9/1/94 to 8/31/95) from hospital emergency department visitors assigned a diagnosis of asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), respiratory infections or cardiac conditions.

RESULTS

The total direct costs (1997 CDN$) [95% C.I.] per patient were $1,043.55 [$922.65, $1,164.47] for asthma, $1,690.11 [$1,276.92, $2,103.30] for COPD, $676.50 [$574.46, $778.54] for respiratory infections, and $3,318.74 [$2,937.72, $3,699.76] for cardiac conditions.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that on average, patients diagnosed with a cardiac condition had the highest total direct cost. Hospitalization cost was the largest component of costs for all diagnoses except asthma, for which medications were the single largest component of direct costs.