30-Day and 1-year mortality in emergency general surgery laparotomies: an area of concern and need for improvement?

Associated factors of mortality and morbidity in emergency and elective abdominal surgery: a two-year prospective cohort study at lacor hospital, Uganda

BACKGROUND

The mortality rate associated with open abdominal surgery is a significant concern for patients and healthcare providers. This is particularly worrisome in Africa due to scarce workforce resources and poor early warning systems for detecting physiological deterioration in patients who develop complications.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study aimed to follow patients who underwent emergency or elective abdominal surgery at Lacor Hospital in Uganda. The participants were patients who underwent abdominal surgery at the hospital between April 27th, 2019 and July 07th, 2021. Trained research staff collected data using standardized forms, which included demographic information (age, gender, telephone contact, and location), surgical indications, surgical procedures, preoperative health status, postoperative morbidity and mortality, and length of hospital stay.

RESULTS

The present study involved 124 patients, mostly male, with an average age of 35 years, who presented with abdominal pain and varying underlying comorbidities. Elective cases constituted 60.2% of the total. The common reasons for emergency and elective surgery were gastroduodenal perforation and cholelithiasis respectively. The complication rate was 17.7%, with surgical site infections being the most frequent. The mortality rate was 7.3%, and several factors such as preoperative hypotension, deranged renal function, postoperative use of vasopressors, and postoperative assisted ventilation were associated with it. Elective and emergency-operated patients showed no significant difference in survival (P-value = 0.41) or length of hospital stay (P-value = 0.17). However, there was a significant difference in morbidity (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Cholelithiasis and gastroduodenal perforation were key surgical indications, with factors like postoperative ventilation and adrenaline infusion linked to mortality. Emergency surgeries had higher complication rates, particularly surgical site infections, despite similar hospital stay and mortality rates compared to elective surgeries.

Validation of the emergency surgery score (ESS) in a UK patient population and comparison with NELA scoring: a retrospective multicentre cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Accurate risk scoring in emergency general surgery (EGS) is vital for consent and resource allocation. The emergency surgery score (ESS) has been validated as a reliable preoperative predictor of postoperative outcomes in EGS but has been studied only in the US population. Our primary aim was to perform an external validation study of the ESS in a UK population. Our secondary aim was to compare the accuracy of ESS and National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA) scores.

METHODS

We conducted an observational cohort study of adult patients undergoing emergency laparotomy over three years in two UK centres. ESS was calculated retrospectively. NELA scores and all other variables were obtained from the prospectively collected Emergency Laparotomy and Laparoscopic Scottish Audit (ELLSA) database. The primary and secondary outcomes were 30-day mortality and postoperative intensive care unit (ICU) admission, respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 609 patients were included. Median age was 65 years, 52.7% were female, the overall mortality was 9.9% and 23.8% were admitted to ICU. Both ESS and NELA were equally accurate in predicting 30-day mortality (c-statistic=0.78 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.71-0.85) for ESS and c-statistic=0.83 (95% CI, 0.77-0.88) for NELA, p=0.196) and predicting postoperative ICU admission (c-statistic=0.76 (95% CI, 0.71-0.81) for ESS and 0.80 (95% CI, 0.76-0.85) for NELA, p=0.092).

CONCLUSIONS

In the UK population, ESS and NELA both predict 30-day mortality and ICU admission with no statistically significant difference but with higher c-statistics for NELA score. Both scores have certain advantages, with ESS being validated for a wider range of outcomes.

Burden of Social and Behavioral Determinants of Health on Infectious Complications in Emergency General Surgery

Background: Infectious complications lead to worse post-operative outcomes and are used to compare hospital performance in pay-for-performance programs. However, the impact of social and behavioral determinants of health on infectious complication rates after emergency general surgery (EGS) remains unclear. Patients and Methods: All patients undergoing EGS in the 2019 Nationwide Readmissions Database were included. The primary outcome of the study was the rate of infectious complications within 30 days, defined as a composite outcome including all infectious complications occurring during the index hospitalization or 30-day re-admission. Secondary outcomes included specific infectious complication rates. Multivariable regression analyses were used to study the impact of patient characteristics, social determinants of health (insurance status, median household income in the patient's residential zip code), and behavioral determinants of health (substance use disorders, neuropsychiatric comorbidities) on post-operative infection rates. Results: Of 367,917 patients included in this study, 20.53% had infectious complications. Medicare (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.26-1.34; p < 0.001), Medicaid (aOR, 1.24; 95% CI,1.19-1.29; p < 0.001), lowest zip code income quartile (aOR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.13-1.22; p < 0.001), opioid use disorder (aOR,1.18; 95% CI,1.10-1.29; p < 0.001), and neurodevelopmental disorders (aOR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.90-2.45; p < 0.001) were identified as independent predictors of 30-day infectious complications. A similar association between determinants of health and infectious complications was also seen for pneumonia, urinary tract infection (UTI), methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) sepsis, and catheter-association urinary tract infection (CAUTI). Conclusions: Social and behavioral determinants of health are associated with a higher risk of developing post-operative infectious complications in EGS. Accounting for these factors in pay-for-performance programs and public reporting could promote fairer comparisons of hospital performance.

Comparison of different ratios of propofol-ketamine admixture in rapid-sequence induction of anesthesia for emergency laparotomy: a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

We aimed to compare the hemodynamic effect of two ratios of propofol and ketamine (ketofol), namely 1:1 and 1:3 ratios, in rapid-sequence induction of anesthesia for emergency laparotomy.

METHODS

This randomized controlled study included adult patients undergoing emergency laparotomy under general anesthesia. The patients were randomized to receive either ketofol ratio of 1:1 (n = 37) or ketofol ratio of 1:3 (n = 37). Hypotension (mean arterial pressure < 70 mmHg) was managed by 5-mcg norepinephrine. The primary outcome was total norepinephrine requirements during the postinduction period. Secondary outcomes included the incidence of postinduction hypotension, and the intubation condition (excellent, good, or poor).

RESULTS

Thirty-seven patients in the ketofol-1:1 and 35 patients in the ketofol 1:3 group were analyzed. The total norepinephrine requirement was less in the ketofol-1:1 group than in the ketofol-1:3 group, P-values: 0.043. The incidence of postinduction hypotension was less in the ketofol-1:1 group (4 [12%]) than in ketofol-1:3 group (12 [35%]), P-value 0.022. All the included patients had excellent intubation condition.

CONCLUSION

In patients undergoing emergency laparotomy, the use of ketofol in 1:1 ratio for rapid-sequence induction of anesthesia was associated with less incidence of postinduction hypotension and vasopressor consumption in comparison to the 1:3 ratio with comparable intubation conditions.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT05166330. URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05166330 .

Postoperative Complications and Outcome After Emergency Laparotomy: A Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Emergency laparotomy (EL) is a common urgent surgical procedure with high risk for postoperative complications. Complications impair the prognosis and prolong the hospital stay. This study explored the incidence and distribution of complications and their impact on short-term mortality after EL.

METHODS

This was a retrospective single-center register-based cohort study of 674 adults undergoing midline EL between May 2015 and December 2017. The primary outcome was operation-related or medical complication after EL. The secondary outcome was mortality in 90-day follow-up. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors for complications.

RESULTS

A total of 389 (58%) patients developed complications after EL, including 215 (32%) patients with operation-related complications and 361 (54%) patients with medical complications. Most of the complications were Clavien-Dindo classification type 4b (28%) and type 2 (22%). Operation-related complications occurred later compared to medical complications. Respiratory complications were the most common medical complications, and infections were the most common operation-related complications. The 30- and 90-day mortalities were higher in both the medical (17.2%, 26.2%) and operation-related complication groups (13.5%, 24.2%) compared to patients without complications (10.5% and 4.8%, 14.8% and 8.0%). Low albumin, high surgical urgency, excessive alcohol consumption and medical complications were associated with operation-related complications. Older age, high ASA class and operation-related complications were associated with medical complications.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that EL is associated with a high risk of complications and poor short-term outcome. Complications impair the prognosis regardless of which kind of EL is in question.

Mortality Risk Stratification in Emergency Surgery for Obstructive Colon Cancer-External Validation of International Scores, American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Surgical Risk Calculator (SRC), and the Dedicated Score of French Surgical Association (AFC/OCC Score)

BACKGROUND

The increased rates of postoperative mortality after emergency surgery for obstructive colon cancer (OCC) require the use of risk-stratification scores. The study purpose is to external validate the surgical risk calculator (SRC) and the AFC/OCC score and to create a score for risk stratification.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Overall, 435 patients with emergency surgery for OCC were included in this retrospective study. We used statistical methods suitable for the aimed purpose.

RESULTS

Postoperative mortality was 11.72%. SRC performance: strong discrimination (AUC = 0.864) and excellent calibration (11.80% predicted versus 11.72% observed); AFC/OCC score performance: adequate discrimination (AUC = 0.787) and underestimated mortality (6.93% predicted versus 11.72% observed). We identified nine predictors of postoperative mortality: age > 70 years, CHF, ECOG > 2, sepsis, obesity or cachexia, creatinine (aN) or platelets (aN), and proximal tumors (AUC = 0.947). Based on the score, we obtained four risk groups of mortality rate: low risk (0.7%)-0-2 factors, medium risk (12.5%)-3 factors, high risk (40.0%)-4 factors, very high risk (84.4%)-5-6 factors.

CONCLUSIONS

The two scores were externally validated. The easy identification of predictors and its performance recommend the mortality score of the Clinic County Emergency Hospital of Galați/OCC for clinical use.

Outcomes in patients requiring intensive care unit (ICU) admission after emergency laparotomy - a retrospective study

Purpose

Outcomes after emergency laparotomy (EL) are poor. These patients are often admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU). This study explored outcomes in patients who were admitted to an ICU within 48 h after EL.

Materials and Methods

This retrospective single‐center registry study included all patients over 16 years of age that underwent an EL and were admitted to an ICU within 48 h after surgery in Oulu University Hospital, Finland between January 2005 and May 2015. Survival was followed until the end of 2019.

Results

We included 525 patients. Hospital mortality was 13.3%, 30‐day mortality was 17.3%, 90‐day mortality was 24.2%, 1‐year mortality was 33.0%, and 5‐year mortality was 59.4%. Survivors were younger (57 [45–70] years) than the non‐survivors (73 [62–80] years; p < .001). According to the Cox regression model, death during the follow‐up was associated with age, APACHE II‐score, lower postoperative CRP levels and platelet count of the first postoperative day, and the admission from the post‐anesthesia care unit (PACU) to the ICU instead of direct ICU admission.

Conclusion

Age, high APACHE II‐score, low CRP and platelet count, and admission from the PACU to the ICU associated with mortality after EL in patients admitted to an ICU within 48 h after EL.

One-Year Outcomes Following Emergency Laparotomy: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Emergency laparotomies (EL) are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. To date, 30-day mortality has been predominately reported, and been the focus of various national emergency laparotomy audits. Only a few studies have reported on the long-term mortality associated with EL. The aim of this study was to review the one-year mortality following EL.

METHOD

A systematic review was conducted using PRISMA guidelines to identify studies published in the last 10 years reporting on long-term mortality associated with EL. The data abstracted included: patient demographics, pathology or type of operation performed for EL, post-operative mortality at 7-day, 30-day, 90-day, 1-year, beyond 1-year and inpatient, functional outcomes and risk factors associated with mortality. A quality assessment of included studies was performed.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies reporting long-term outcomes associated with EL were identified, including the results of 48,023 patients. The indications and/or pathologies for ELs varied. The 30-day mortality after EL ranged from 5.3% to 21.8%, and the one-year mortality ranged from 15.1 to 47%. The mortality in the six studies focusing on elderly patients ranged from 30 to 47%.

CONCLUSION

The long-term mortality rate associated with EL is substantial. Further study is required to understand the 1-year mortality described in the studies and translate these findings for meaningful application into the clinical care of these patients.

Goal-directed fluid therapy in emergency abdominal surgery: a randomised multicentre trial

BACKGROUND

More than 50% of patients have a major complication after emergency gastrointestinal surgery. Intravenous (i.v.) fluid therapy is a life-saving part of treatment, but evidence to guide what i.v. fluid strategy results in the best outcome is lacking. We hypothesised that goal-directed fluid therapy during surgery (GDT group) reduces the risk of major complications or death in patients undergoing major emergency gastrointestinal surgery compared with standard i.v. fluid therapy (STD group).

METHODS

In a randomised, assessor-blinded, two-arm, multicentre trial, we included 312 adult patients with gastrointestinal obstruction or perforation. Patients in the GDT group received i.v. fluid to near-maximal stroke volume. Patients in the STD group received i.v. fluid following best clinical practice. Postoperative target was 0-2 L fluid balance. The primary outcome was a composite of major complications or death within 90 days. Secondary outcomes were time in intensive care, time on ventilator, time in dialysis, hospital stay, and minor complications.

RESULTS

In a modified intention-to-treat analysis, we found no difference in the primary outcome between groups: 45 (30%) (GDT group) vs 39 (25%) (STD group) (odds ratio=1.24; 95% confidence interval, 0.75-2.05; P=0.40). Hospital stay was longer in the GDT group: median (inter-quartile range), 7 (4-12) vs 6 days (4-8.5) (P=0.04); no other differences were found.

CONCLUSION

Compared with pressure-guided i.v. fluid therapy (STD group), flow-guided fluid therapy to near-maximal stroke volume (GDT group) did not improve the outcome after surgery for bowel obstruction or gastrointestinal perforation but may have prolonged hospital stay.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

EudraCT number 2015-000563-14; the Danish Scientific Ethics Committee and the Danish Data Protection Agency (REG-18-2015).

Validation of the Emergency Surgery Score (ESS) in a Greek patient population: a prospective bi-institutional cohort study

Purpose

The Emergency Surgery Score (ESS) is a reliable point-based score that predicts mortality and morbidity in emergency surgery patients. However, it has been validated only in the U.S. patients. We aimed to prospectively validate ESS in a Greek patient population.

Methods

All patients who underwent an emergent laparotomy were prospectively included over a 15-month period. A systematic chart review was performed to collect relevant preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative variables based on which the ESS was calculated for each patient. The relationship between ESS and 30-day mortality, morbidity (i.e., the occurrence of at least one complication), and the need for intensive care unit (ICU) admission was evaluated and compared between the Greek and U.S. patients using the c-statistics methodology. The study was registered on "Research Registry" with the unique identifying number 5901.

Results

A total of 214 patients (102 Greek) were included. The mean age was 64 years, 44% were female, and the median ESS was 7. The most common indication for surgery was hollow viscus perforation (25%). The ESS reliably and incrementally predicted mortality (c-statistics = 0.79 [95% CI 0.67–0.90] and 0.83 [95% CI 0.74–0.92]), morbidity (c-statistics = 0.83 [95% CI 0.76–0.91] and 0.79 [95% CI 0.69–0.88]), and ICU admission (c-statistics = 0.88 [95% CI 0.81–0.96] and 0.84 [95% CI 0.77–0.91]) in both Greek and U.S. patients.

Conclusion

The correlation between the ESS and the surgical outcomes was statistically significant in both Greek and U.S. patients undergoing emergency laparotomy. ESS could prove globally useful for preoperative patient counseling and quality-of-care benchmarking.

The effects of early enteral nutrition on mortality after major emergency abdominal surgery: A systematic review and meta-analysis with Trial Sequential Analysis

BACKGROUND

Early oral or enteral nutrition (EEN) has been proven safe, tolerable, and beneficial in elective surgery. In emergency abdominal surgery no consensus exists regarding postoperative nutrition standard regimens. This review aimed to assess the safety and clinical outcomes of EEN compared to standard care after emergency abdominal surgery.

METHODS

The review protocol was performed according to the Cochrane Handbook and reported according to PRISMA. Clinical outcomes included mortality, specific complication rates, length of stay, and serious adverse events. Risk of bias was assessed by Cochrane risk of bias tool and Downs and Black. GRADE assessment of each outcome was performed, and Trial Sequential Analysis was completed to obtain the Required Information Size (RIS) of each outcome.

RESULTS

From a total of 4741 records screened, a total of five randomized controlled trials and two non-randomized controlled trials were included covering 1309 patients. The included studies reported no safety issues regarding the use of EEN. A significant reduction in the mortality rate of EEN compared with standard care was seen (OR 0.59 (CI 95% 0.34-1.00), I² = 0%). Meta-analyses on sepsis and postoperative pulmonary complications showed non-significant tendencies in favor of EEN compared with standard care. GRADE assessment of all outcomes was evaluated 'low' or 'very low'. Trial Sequential Analysis revealed that all outcomes had insufficient RIS to confirm the effects of EEN.

CONCLUSION

EEN after major emergency surgery is correlated with reduced mortality, however, more high-quality data regarding the optimal timing and composition of nutrition are needed before final conclusions regarding the effects of EEN can be made.

Validation of the Artificial Intelligence-Based Predictive Optimal Trees in Emergency Surgery Risk (POTTER) Calculator in Emergency General Surgery and Emergency Laparotomy Patients

BACKGROUND

The Predictive Optimal Trees in Emergency Surgery Risk (POTTER) tool is an artificial intelligence-based calculator for the prediction of 30-day outcomes in patients undergoing emergency operations. In this study, we sought to assess the performance of POTTER in the emergency general surgery (EGS) population in particular.

METHODS

All patients who underwent EGS in the 2017 American College of Surgeons NSQIP database were included. The performance of POTTER in predicting 30-day postoperative mortality, morbidity, and 18 specific complications was assessed using the c-statistic metric. As a subgroup analysis, the performance of POTTER in predicting the outcomes of patients undergoing emergency laparotomy was assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 59,955 patients were included. Median age was 50 years and 51.3% were women. POTTER predicted mortality (c-statistic = 0.93) and morbidity (c-statistic = 0.83) extremely well. Among individual complications, POTTER had the highest performance in predicting septic shock (c-statistic = 0.93), respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation for 48 hours or longer (c-statistic = 0.92), and acute renal failure (c-statistic = 0.92). Among patients undergoing emergency laparotomy, the c-statistic performances of POTTER in predicting mortality and morbidity were 0.86 and 0.77, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

POTTER is an interpretable, accurate, and user-friendly predictor of 30-day outcomes in patients undergoing EGS. POTTER could prove useful for bedside counseling of patients and their families and for benchmarking of EGS care.

The Emergency Surgery Score accurately predicts the need for postdischarge respiratory and renal support after emergent laparotomies: A prospective EAST multicenter study

BACKGROUND

The Emergency Surgery Score (ESS) was recently validated as an accurate mortality risk calculator for emergency general surgery. We sought to prospectively evaluate whether ESS can predict the need for respiratory and/or renal support (RRS) at discharge after emergent laparotomies (EL).

METHODS

This is a post hoc analysis of a 19-center prospective observational study. Between April 2018 and June 2019, all adult patients undergoing EL were enrolled. Preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative variables were systematically collected. In this analysis, patients were excluded if they died during the index hospitalization, were discharged to hospice, or transferred to other hospitals. A composite variable, the need for RRS, was defined as the need for one or more of the following at hospital discharge: tracheostomy, ventilator dependence, or dialysis. Emergency Surgery Score was calculated for all patients, and the correlation between ESS and RRS was examined using the c-statistics method.

RESULTS

From a total of 1,649 patients, 1,347 were included. Median age was 60 years, 49.4% were men, and 70.9% were White. The most common diagnoses were hollow viscus organ perforation (28.1%) and small bowel obstruction (24.5%); 87 patients (6.5%) had a need for RRS (4.7% tracheostomy, 2.7% dialysis, and 1.3% ventilator dependence). Emergency Surgery Score predicted the need for RRS in a stepwise fashion; for example, 0.7%, 26.2%, and 85.7% of patients required RRS at an ESS of 2, 12, and 16, respectively. The c-statistics for the need for RRS, the need for tracheostomy, ventilator dependence, or dialysis at discharge were 0.84, 0.82, 0.79, and 0.88, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Emergency Surgery Score accurately predicts the need for RRS at discharge in EL patients and could be used for preoperative patient counseling and for quality of care benchmarking.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic and epidemiological, level III.

New Zealand and Australia emergency laparotomy mortality rates compare favourably to international outcomes: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Almost 20 000 people undergo an emergency laparotomy each year in New Zealand and Australia. Common indications include small and large bowel obstruction, and intestinal perforation. Considered a high-risk procedure, emergency laparotomy is associated with significantly high morbidity and mortality. The aim of this review was to identify and compare 30-day, 90-day and 1-year mortality rates following emergency laparotomy in New Zealand and Australia.

METHODS

A systematic review was performed in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement. Electronic searches were performed in Medline, Embase, PubMed and Scopus in April 2020.

RESULTS

Thirty-three papers met the inclusion criteria. Studies ranged in size from 58 to 75 280 patients. Weighted mean 30-day mortality was 8.40% (8.39-8.41). Mortality rates increased with longer postoperative follow up with 90-day weighted mortality rate of 14.14% (14.13-14.15) and the weighted mortality rate at 1 year of 24.60% (24.56-24.66). There was significant variability in mortality rates between countries.

CONCLUSION

There is a wide variability of 30-day, 90-day and 1-year mortality rates internationally. Lowering postoperative mortality rates following emergency laparotomy through quality improvement initiatives could result in up to 120 lives in New Zealand and over 250 lives in Australia being saved each year. The continued work of the Australian and New Zealand Emergency Laparotomy Audit - Quality Improvement is crucial to improving emergency laparotomy mortality rates further in New Zealand and Australia.

Meta-analysis of mortality risk in octogenarians undergoing emergency general surgery operations

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to quantify the risk of perioperative mortality in octogenarians undergoing emergency general surgical operations and to compare such risk between octogenarians and nonoctogenarians.

METHODS

A systematic review was performed in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses standards to identify studies reporting the mortality risk in patients aged over 80 years undergoing emergency general surgery operations. The primary outcome measure was 30-day mortality, which was stratified based on American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) status and procedure type. The certainty of evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation system. Random-effects models were applied to calculate pooled outcome data.

RESULTS

Analysis of 66,701 octogenarians from 22 studies showed that the risk of 30-day mortality was 26% (95% confidence interval 18%-34%) for all operations: 29% (95% confidence interval 25%-33%) for emergency laparotomy; 9% (95% confidence interval 1%-23%) for nonlaparotomy emergency operations; 21% (95% confidence interval 13%-30%) for colon resection; 17% (95% confidence interval 11%-25%) for small bowel resection; 9% (95% confidence interval 7%-11%) for adhesiolysis; 6% (95% confidence interval 5.9%-6.8%) for perforated ulcer repair; 3% (95% confidence interval 2.6%-4%) for appendicectomy; 3% (95% confidence interval 2.8%-3.3%) for cholecystectomy; and 5% (95% confidence interval 0.2%-14%) for hernia repair. When stratified based on the patient's ASA status, the risk was 11% (95% confidence interval 4%-20%) for ASA 2 status, 22% (95% confidence interval 10%-36%) for ASA 3 status, 39% (95% confidence interval 29%-48%) for ASA 4 status, and 94% (95% confidence interval 77%-100%) for ASA 5 status. The risk was higher in octogenarians compared with nonoctogenarians (odds ratio: 4.07, 95% confidence interval 2.40-6.89), patients aged 70 to 79 (odds ratio: 1.21, 95% confidence interval 1.13-1.31), and patients aged 50 to 79 (odds ratio: 2.03, 95% confidence interval 1.68-2.45).

CONCLUSION

The risk of perioperative mortality in octogenarians undergoing emergency general surgical operations is high. The risk of perioperative death in this group is higher than in younger patients. Laparotomy, bowel resection, and ASA status above 3 carry the highest risk.

Patients' perceptions of barriers to enhanced recovery after emergency abdominal surgery

PURPOSE

The patient-perceived barriers towards an optimized short-term recovery after major emergency abdominal surgery are unknown. The purpose was to investigate which patient-perceived barriers dominated concerning nutrition, mobilization, and early discharge after major emergency abdominal surgery.

METHODS

An explorative study, which focused on patient-perceived barriers for early discharge, mobilization, and nutrition, was performed within an enhanced recovery perioperative setting in major emergency abdominal surgery. Patients were asked daily from postoperative day (POD) 1 to POD 7 of their self-perceived barriers towards getting fully mobilization and resuming normal oral intake. From POD 3 to POD 7, patients were asked regarding self-perceived barriers towards early discharge.

RESULTS

A total of 101 patients that underwent major emergency abdominal surgery were included for final analysis from March 2017 to August 2017. The main patient self-perceived barrier towards sufficient nutrition was dominated by food aversion (including loss of appetite). The main patient self-perceived barrier towards sufficient mobilization throughout the study period was fatigue. The patient self-perceived barriers towards early discharge were more diffuse and lacked a dominant variable throughout the study period; however, fatigue was the most pronounced barrier throughout the study period. The leading initial variables were postoperative ileus, insufficient nutrition, and epidural catheter. The leading later variables besides fatigue included awaiting normalization of biochemistry values, pain, and the perception of insufficient oral intake.

CONCLUSIONS

The major patient-perceived factors that limited postoperative recovery after major emergency abdominal surgery included food aversion regarding normalization of oral intake and fatigue regarding mobilization and early discharge.

Evaluating and improving current risk prediction tools in emergency laparotomy

PURPOSE

Emergency laparotomy (EL) encompasses a high-risk group of operations, which are increasingly performed on a heterogeneous population of patients, making preoperative risk assessment potentially difficult. The UK National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA) recently produced a risk predictive tool for EL that has not yet been externally validated. We aimed to externally validate and potentially improve the NELA tool for mortality prediction after EL.

METHODOLOGY

We reviewed computer and paper records of EL patients from May 2012 to June 2017 at Middlemore Hospital (New Zealand). The inclusion criteria mirrored the UK NELA. We examined the NELA, Portsmouth Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Mortality (P-POSSUM), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE-II), and American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Programs risk predictive tools for 30-day mortality. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to assess calibration, and the c statistic, to evaluate discrimination (accuracy) of the tools. We added the modified frailty index (mFI) and nutrition to improve the accuracy of risk predictive tools.

RESULTS

A total of 758 patients met the inclusion criteria, with an observed 30-day mortality of 7.9%. The NELA was the only well calibrated tool, with predicted 30-day mortality of 7.4% (p = 0.22). When combined with mFI and nutritional status, the c statistic for NELA improved from 0.83 to 0.88. American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Programs, APACHE-II, and P-POSSUM had lower c statistics, albeit also showing an improvement (0.84, 0.81, and 0.74, respectively).

CONCLUSION

We have demonstrated the NELA tool to be most predictive of mortality after EL. The NELA tool would therefore facilitate preoperative risk assessment and operative decision making most precisely in EL. Future research should consider adding mFI and nutritional status to the NELA tool.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level IV; Retrospective observational cohort study.

The emergency surgery score (ESS) and outcomes in elderly patients undergoing emergency laparotomy: A post-hoc analysis of an EAST multicenter study

INTRODUCTION

We sought to evaluate whether the Emergency Surgery Score (ESS) can accurately predict outcomes in elderly patients undergoing emergent laparotomy (EL).

METHODS

This is a post-hoc analysis of an EAST multicenter study. Between April 2018 and June 2019, all adult patients undergoing EL in 19 participating hospitals were prospectively enrolled, and ESS was calculated for each patient. Using the c-statistic, the correlation between ESS and mortality, morbidity, and need for ICU admission was assessed in three patient age cohorts (65-74, 75-84, ≥85 years old).

RESULTS

715 patients were included, of which 52% were 65-74, 34% were 75-84, and 14% were ≥85 years old; 51% were female, and 77% were white. ESS strongly correlated with postoperative mortality (c-statistic:0.81). Mortality gradually increased from 0% to 20%-60% at ESS of 2, 10 and 16 points, respectively. ESS predicted mortality, morbidity, and need for ICU best in patients 65-74 years old (c-statistic:0.81, 0.75, 0.83 respectively), but its performance significantly decreased in patients ≥85 years (c-statistic:0.72, 0.64, 0.67 respectively).

CONCLUSION

ESS is an accurate predictor of outcome in the elderly EL patient 65-85 years old, but its performance decreases for patients ≥85. Consideration should be given to modify ESS to better predict outcomes in the very elderly patient population.

Long-term mortality in the Intermediate care after emergency abdominal surgery (InCare) trial-A post-hoc follow-up study

BACKGROUND

Patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery are at high risk of post-operative complications. Although post-operative treatment at an intermediate care unit may improve early outcome, there is a lack of studies on the long-term effects of such therapy. The aim of this study was to assess the long-term effect of intermediate care versus standard surgical ward care on mortality in the Intermediate Care After Emergency Abdominal Surgery (InCare) trial.

METHODS

We included adult patients undergoing emergency major laparoscopy or laparotomy with an Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score of 10 or more, who participated in the InCare trial from October 2010 to November 2012. In the InCare trial, patients were randomized to either post-operative intermediate care or standard surgical ward care. The primary outcome was time to death within 6 years after surgery. We assessed mortality with Coxregression analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 286 patients were included. The all-cause 6-year landmark mortality was 52.8% (76 of 144 patients) in the intermediate care group and 47.9% (68 of 142 patients) in the ward care group. There was no statistically significant difference in mortality risk between the two groups (hazard ratio 1.06 (95% confidence interval 0.76-1.47), P = .73).

CONCLUSION

We found no statistically significant difference in 6-year mortality between patients randomized to post-operative intermediate care or ward care after emergency abdominal surgery. However, we detected an absolute mortality risk reduction of 5% in favour of ward care, possibly due to random error.

Impact of service delivery factors on patient outcomes in emergency general surgery

BACKGROUND

Emergency general surgery (EGS) is a high-risk process and is associated with poor outcomes and high mortality. This study aimed to evaluate the service delivery factors in a tertiary referral centre which may influence patient outcomes in emergency general surgery.

METHODS

Data on consecutive patients undergoing emergency laparotomy in a tertiary referral centre were prospectively collected from July 2017-July 2018. An extensive review of patient charts and IT systems was performed to extract demographic, clinical and care pathway data. Transfers for surgery from within the institution or within the centralised hospital network were recorded.

RESULTS

The unadjusted 30-day mortality rate in 163 patients undergoing emergency laparotomy was 13%. On multivariate analysis, 30-day mortality was significantly associated with p-POSSUM predicted mortality (p = 0.003), p-POSSUM predicted morbidity (p = 0.01), SORT mortality (p = 0.004), ICU admission (p = 0.02), ASA grade (p < 0.001) and transfer from non-surgical services (p < 0.001). 19.2% of patients were transferred from a referring hospital for emergency laparotomy. There was no association between inter-hospital transfer and 30-day mortality while increased mortality was observed in patients admitted to non-surgical services who required laparotomy (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Inter-hospital transfer for emergency laparotomy was not associated with increased mortality. Increased mortality was observed in patients admitted to non-surgical services who subsequently required emergency laparotomy. Configuration of emergency general surgery services must accommodate safe and effective transfer of patients, both between and within hospitals.

Mortality risk scoring in emergency general surgery: Are we using the best tool?

BACKGROUND

It is imperative that an accurate assessment of risk of death is undertaken preoperatively on all patients undergoing an emergency laparotomy. Portsmouth-Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enumeration of Mortality and Morbidity (P-POSSUM) is one of the most widely used scores. National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA) presents a novel, validated score, but no direct comparison with P-POSSUM exists. We aimed to determine which would be the best predictor of mortality.

METHODS

We analysed all the entries on the online NELA database over a four-and-a-half-year period. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test was performed to assess model calibration. For the outcome of death and for each scoring system, a non-parametric receiver operator characteristic analysis was done. The sensitivity, specificity, area under receiver operator characteristic curve and their standard errors were calculated.

RESULTS

Data pertaining to 650 patients were included. There were 59 deaths, giving an overall observed mortality rate of 9.1%. Predicted mortality rate for the P-POSSUM score and NELA score were 15.2% and 7.8%, respectively. The discriminative power for mortality was highest for the NELA score (C-index = 0.818, CI: 0.769-0.867, p < 0.001), when compared to P-POSSUM (C-index = 0.769, CI: 0.712-0.827, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The NELA score showed good discrimination in predicting mortality in the entire cohort. The P-POSSUM over-predicted observed mortality and the NELA score under-predicted observed mortality.

Emergency Surgery Mortality (ESM) Score to Predict Mortality and Improve Patient Care in Emergency Surgery

Background

Emergency surgery has poor outcomes with high mortality. Numerous studies have reported the risk factors for postoperative death in order to stratify risk and improve perioperative care; nevertheless, a predictive model based upon these risk factors is lacking.

Objective

We aimed to identify the risk factors of postoperative mortality and to construct a new model for predicting mortality and improving patient care.

Methods

We included adult patients undergoing emergency surgery at Srinagarind Hospital between January 2012 and December 2014. The patients were randomized: 80% to the Training group for model construction and 20% to the Validation group. Patient data were extracted from medical records and then analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression.

Results

We recruited 758 patients, and the mortality rate was 14.5%. The Training group comprised 596 patients, and the Validation group comprised 162. Based upon a multivariate analysis in the Training group, we constructed a model to predict postoperative mortality-an Emergency Surgery Mortality (ESM) score based on the coefficient of each risk factor from the multivariate analysis. The ESM score comprised 7 risk factors, i.e., coagulopathy, ASA class 5, bicarbonate <15 mEq/L, heart rate >100/min, systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg, renal comorbidity, and general surgery, for a total score of 11. An ESM score ≥4 was predictive of postoperative mortality with an AUC of 0.83. The respective sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, negative likelihood ratio, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy for an ESM score ≥4 predictive of postoperative mortality was 70.2%, 94.9%, 13.8, 0.3, 69.4%, 95.1%, and 91.4%. The performance of the ESM score in the Validation group was comparable.

Conclusions

An ESM score comprises 7 risk factors for a total score of 11. An ESM score ≥4 is predictive of postoperative mortality with a high AUC (0.83), sensitivity (70.2%), and specificity (94.9%). Four risk factors are preoperatively manageable for decreasing the probability of postoperative mortality and improving quality of patient care.

Emergency Surgery Score Accurately Predicts the Risk of Post-Operative Infection in Emergency General Surgery

BACKGROUND

The Emergency Surgery Score (ESS) was validated recently as an accurate and user-friendly post-operative mortality risk calculator specific for Emergency General Surgery (EGS). ESS is calculated by adding one to three integer points for each of 22 pre-operative variables (demographics, co-morbidities, and pre-operative laboratory values); increasing scores accurately and gradually predict higher mortality rates. We sought to evaluate whether ESS can predict the occurrence of post-operative infectious complications in EGS patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database from 2007-2015, all EGS patients were identified by using the "emergent" ACS-NSQIP variable and a concomitant surgery Current Procedural Terminology code for "digestive system." Patients with any missing ESS variables or those who died within 72 hours from the surgical procedure were excluded. A composite variable, post-operative infection, was created and defined as the post-operative occurrence of one or more of the following: superficial, deep incisional or organ/space surgical site infection, surgical site disruption, pneumonia, sepsis, septic shock, or urinary tract infection. ESS was calculated for all included patients, and the correlation between ESS and post-operative infection was examined using c-statistics.

RESULTS

Of a total of 4,456,809 patients, 90,412 patients were included. The mean age of the population was 56 years, 51% were female, and 70% were white; 22% developed one or more post-operative infections, most commonly sepsis/septic shock (12.2%), surgical site infection (9%), and pneumonia (5.7%). The ESS gradually and consistently predicted infectious complications; post-operative infections developed in 7%, 24%, and 49% of patients with an ESS of 1, 5, and 10, respectively. The c-statistics for overall post-operative infection, post-operative sepsis/septic shock, and pneumonia were 0.73, 0.75, and 0.80, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The ESS accurately predicts the occurrence of post-operative infectious complications in EGS patients and could be used for pre-operative clinical decision-making as well as quality benchmarking of infection rates in EGS.

Red cell distribution width predicts out of hospital outcomes in critically ill emergency general surgery patients

Introduction

Red cell distribution width (RDW) is associated with mortality and bloodstream infection risk in critically ill patients. We hypothesized that an increase in RDW at hospital discharge in critically ill patients who received emergency general surgery (EGS) would be associated with increased mortality after hospital discharge.

Methods

We performed a two-center observational study of patients treated in medical and surgical intensive care units. We studied 1567 patients, who received critical care between 1998 and 2012 who underwent EGS and survived hospitalization. The exposure of interest was RDW within 24 hours of hospital discharge and categorized a priori in quintiles as ≤13.3%, 13.3% to 14.0%, 14.0% to 14.7%, 14.7% to 15.8%, 15.8% to 17.0% and >17.0%. The primary outcome was 90-day all-cause mortality. Adjusted ORs were estimated by multivariable logistic regression models with inclusion of covariate terms for age, race, gender, Deyo-Charlson Index, sepsis and number of organs with acute failure.

Results

The cohort patients were 51.4% male and 23.2% non-white. 23.9% had sepsis and the mean age was 58 years. 90-day postdischarge mortality was 6.8%. Patients with a discharge RDW 15.8% to 17.0% or RDW >17.0% have an adjusted OR of 90-day postdischarge mortality of 3.64 (95% CI 1.04 to 12.68; p=0.043) or 4.58 (95% CI 1.32 to 15.93; p=0.02), respectively, relative to patients with a discharge RDW ≤13.3%. Further, patients with a discharge RDW ≥15.8 have an adjusted OR of 30-day hospital readmission of 2.12 (95% CI 1.17 to 3.83; p=0.013) relative to patients with a discharge RDW ≤13.3%.

Conclusions

In EGS patients requiring critical care who survive hospitalization, an elevated RDW at the time of discharge is a robust predictor of all-cause patient mortality and hospital readmission after discharge.

Level of evidence

Level II, prognostic retrospective study.

Patient outcome of emergency laparotomy improved with increasing "number of surgeons on-call" in a university hospital: Audit loop

AIM

Emergency laparotomy is a commonly performed high-mortality surgical procedure. The National Emergency Laparotomy Network (NELA) published an average mortality rate of 11.1% and a median length of stay equivalent to 16.3 days in patients undergoing emergency laparotomy. This study presents a completed audit loop after implementing the change of increasing the number of on-call surgeons in the general surgery rota of a university hospital. The aim of this study was to evaluate the outcomes of emergency laparotomy in a single UK tertiary centre after addition of one more consultant in the daily on-call rota.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study involving patients who underwent emergency laparotomy between March to May 2013 (first audit) and June to August 2015 (second audit). The study parameters stayed the same. The adult patients undergoing emergency laparotomy under the general surgical take were included. Appendicectomy, cholecystectomy and simple inguinal hernia repair patients were excluded. Data was collected on patient demographics, ASA, morbidity, 30-day mortality and length of hospital stay. Statistical analysis including logistic regression was performed using SPSS.

RESULTS

During the second 3-month period, 123 patients underwent laparotomy compared to 84 in the first audit. Median age was 65(23-93) years. 56.01% cases were ASA III or above in the re-audit compared to 41.9% in the initial audit. 38% patients had bowel anastomosis compared to 35.7% in the re-audit with 4.2% leak rate in the re-audit compared to 16.6% in the first audit. 30-day mortality was 10.50% in the re-audit compared to 21% and median length of hospital stay 11 days in the re-audit compared to 16 days. The lower ASA grade was significantly associated with increased likelihood of being alive, as was being female, younger age and not requiring ITU admission post-operatively. However, having a second on-call consultant was 2.231 times more likely to increase the chances of patients not dying (p = 0.031).

CONCLUSION

Our audit-loop suggests that adding a second consultant to the daily on-call rota significantly reduces postoperative mortality and morbidity. Age, ASA and ITU admission are other independent factors affecting patient outcomes. We suggest this change be applied to other high volume centres across the country to improve the outcomes after emergency laparotomy.

Complications after emergency laparotomy beyond the immediate postoperative period - a retrospective, observational cohort study of 1139 patients

Mortality and morbidity occur commonly following emergency laparotomy, and incur a considerable clinical and financial healthcare burden. Limited data have been published describing the postoperative course and temporal pattern of complications after emergency laparotomy. We undertook a retrospective, observational, multicentre study of complications in 1139 patients after emergency laparotomy. A major complication occurred in 537/1139 (47%) of all patients within 30 days of surgery. Unadjusted 30-day mortality was 20.2% and 1-year mortality was 34%. One hundred and thirty-seven of 230 (60%) deaths occurred between 72 h and 30 days after surgery; all of these patients had complications, indicating that there is a prolonged period with a high frequency of complications and mortality after emergency laparotomy. We conclude that peri-operative, enhanced recovery care bundles for preventing complications should extend their focus on continuous complication detection and rescue beyond the first few postoperative days.

Open versus laparoscopic approach in the treatment of abdominal emergencies in elderly population

AIM

To evaluate the role of laparoscopy in the treatment of surgical emergency in old population.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Over-70 years-old patients submitted to emergency abdominal surgery from January 2013 to December 2014 were collected and grouped according to admission diagnoses. These accounted small bowel obstruction, colonic acute disease, appendicitis, ventral hernia, gastro-duodenal perforation, biliary disease. In each group it was analyzed the operation time (OT), the morbidity rate and the mortality rate comparing open and laparoscopic management using T-test and Chi-square test.

RESULTS

159 over 70-years-old patients underwent emergency surgery in the General and Emergency surgery Operative Unit (O.U.) of the Policlinic of Palermo. 75 patients were managed by a laparoscopic approach and 84 underwent traditional open emergency surgery. T-Test for OT and Chi-square test for morbidity rate and mortality rate showed no differences in small bowel emergencies (p=0,4; 0,250,9; p>0,95) and in gastro-duodenal perforation (p=0,9; p>0.9; p>0.95). In cholecystitis, laparoscopy group showed lower OT (T-Test: p= 0,0002) while Chi-square test for morbidity rate (0,1

CONCLUSIONS

The collected data showed the feasibility of laparoscopic management as an alternative to open surgery in surgical emergencies in elderly population.

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Key Words

• surgery
• laparoscopy
• elderly
• emergency

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MESH Headings

• Abdomen/surgery
• Aged
• Digestive System Diseases/surgery
• Emergency Treatment
• Hernia, Ventral/surgery
• Humans
• Laparoscopy

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Affiliation(s)

G. COCORULLO Department of Surgical, Oncological and Oral Sciences, University of Palermo, General Surgery and Emergency Operative Unit, Policlinico Universitario “P. Giaccone”, Palermo, Italy
N. FALCO Department of Surgical, Oncological and Oral Sciences, University of Palermo, General Surgery and Emergency Operative Unit, Policlinico Universitario “P. Giaccone”, Palermo, Italy
R. TUTINO Department of Surgical, Oncological and Oral Sciences, University of Palermo, General Surgery and Emergency Operative Unit, Policlinico Universitario “P. Giaccone”, Palermo, Italy
T. FONTANA Department of Surgical, Oncological and Oral Sciences, University of Palermo, General Surgery and Emergency Operative Unit, Policlinico Universitario “P. Giaccone”, Palermo, Italy
G. SCERRINO Department of Surgical, Oncological and Oral Sciences, University of Palermo, General Surgery and Emergency Operative Unit, Policlinico Universitario “P. Giaccone”, Palermo, Italy
G. SALAMONE Department of Surgical, Oncological and Oral Sciences, University of Palermo, General Surgery and Emergency Operative Unit, Policlinico Universitario “P. Giaccone”, Palermo, Italy
L. LICARI Department of Surgical, Oncological and Oral Sciences, University of Palermo, General Surgery and Emergency Operative Unit, Policlinico Universitario “P. Giaccone”, Palermo, Italy
G. GULOTTA Department of Surgical, Oncological and Oral Sciences, University of Palermo, General Surgery and Emergency Operative Unit, Policlinico Universitario “P. Giaccone”, Palermo, Italy

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Intraabdominal Infections in Older Adults

Intraabdominal infections represent a diagnostic and therapeutic challenge in the elderly population. Atypical presentations, diagnostic delays, additional comorbidities, and decreased physiologic reserve contribute to high morbidity and mortality, particularly among frail patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery. While many infections are the result of age-related inflammatory, mechanical, or obstructive processes, infectious complications of feeding tubes are also common. The pillars of treatment are source control of the infection and judicious use of antibiotics. A patient-centered approach considering the invasiveness, risk, and efficacy of a procedure for achieving the desired outcomes is recommended. Structured communication and time-limited trials help ensure goal-concordant treatment.