[New approaches in preventing health risks and excess mortality of older persons during extreme heat]

Heat-related mortality in Frankfurt am Main, Germany, from 2000 to 2023

Background

The major heatwave in Europe in August 2003 resulted in 70,000 excess deaths. In Frankfurt am Main, a city with 767,000 inhabitants in the south-west of Germany, around 200 more people died in August 2003 than expected. Soon afterwards, the city introduced adaptation measures to prevent heat-related health problems and subsequently established further mitigation measures to limit climate change. Frankfurt is rated as being one of the cities in Germany to have implemented the best climate adaptation and mitigation measures. This study addressed the following questions: is there already a downward trend in mortality from heat and can this be attributed to the measures taken?

Materials and methods

The age-standardized mortality rate (ASR) was calculated for the months of June to August and for calendar weeks 23 to 34 of the individual years on the basis of population data and deaths of the inhabitants of Frankfurt am Main for the years 2000 to 2023. This was related to the meteorological data from the Frankfurt measuring station of the German National Meteorological Service. For four different heat exposure indicators (heat days, days in heat weeks, days in heatwaves and days with heat warnings), the incidence rate (death cases per 1 million person days) (IR) was calculated for days with and without exposure, and the incidence rate difference and the incidence rate ratio (IRR) were estimated to compare days with vs days without exposure.

Results

Over the years, the mean daily temperatures tended to increase, and the standardized mortality rate decreased. An increase in ASR was observed during heatwaves up to 2015, but no longer in the later ones. In the summer of 2003, the incidence rate was 16.0 (95% confidence interval (CI) 12.2-19.9) per 1 million person days greater on heat days than on days not classified as heat days, and the corresponding incidence rate ratio was 1.64 (95% CI 1.48-1.82). Although the weather data for the summers of 2018 and 2022 were comparable with the record-breaking heat summer of 2003, the incidence rate differences (2018: 3.8, 95% CI 0.9-6.7; 2022: 2.3, 95% CI -0.3-4.9) and the IRR (2018: 1.20, 95% CI 1.05-1.37; 2022: 1.12, 95% CI 0.99-1.26) were considerably lower. Similar results were also obtained when comparing mortality in heat weeks and heatwaves as well as on days with heat warnings.

Discussion

In summary, our study in Frankfurt am Main not only showed a decrease in heat-related mortality in the population as a whole over the years, but also a decrease in excess mortality during various heat periods (day, week, wave, warning), especially in comparison with the years with very high heat stress and drought (2003, 2018 and 2022). However, whether this development represents success of the intensive prevention measures that have been implemented in the city for years or merely describes a general trend cannot be answered with certainty by the present study. To answer this question, a comparative study should be carried out in various municipalities in the Rhine-Main region with different levels of intensity in dealing with the heat problem.

[Polypharmacy in nursing homes: options to improve drug therapy safety]

Patients in need of care usually suffer from multiple chronic conditions and therefore receive a high number of drugs. Polypharmacy involves multiple risks, for example, drug-drug and drug-disease interactions, adverse effects and potentially inappropriate medication (PIM), more hospital admissions, and increased mortality.Residents in long-term care facilities are particularly sensitive to adverse drug reactions because of age-related changes, frailty, and the high prevalence of dementia. Numerous drugs have side effects that lead to sedation, particularly in old age, and increase the risk of falls. In addition, anticholinergic effects negatively modify cognition. These PIMs are frequently prescribed to nursing home residents.The medication process in long-term care facilities is complex and requires numerous coordinated processes. In addition to the correct administration, the nursing staff have other important tasks such as monitoring the effects and potential adverse drug reactions and communicating their observations to the prescribing physicians and home-supplying pharmacists. The nursing staff therefore play a crucial role in the prescription of psychotropic drugs and contribute to the medication quality for nursing home residents. National and international studies indicate that improvements of polypharmacy and drug therapy safety in nursing homes can only be achieved by interprofessional collaboration.

[Climate protection in practices - current status, motivation and challenges in outpatient care]

INTRODUCTION

The impact of climate change on health and the necessity to reduce emissions in the health sector is becoming an increasingly discussed topic. Little is known about medical doctors' (MDs) attitude towards climate protection measures in outpatient practices.

METHODS

Between October 2020 and February 2021, a survey was conducted among MDs in German practices. 1,683 participants answered 39 questions on energy use, transportation, disposable materials, budget and patient counselling. Data were collected on status, motivation, obstacles and needs regarding climate protection in practices.

RESULTS

83% considered climate change an urgent problem requiring immediate action. A majority reported climate effects on their patients' health. Most MDs felt responsible for climate protection in their practices, showing a high degree of willingness to implement climate-friendly measures. Obstacles reported include lack of information and institutional support as well as the expected financial burden. A majority of MDs called on professional associations and politics to develop climate-friendly strategies.

CONCLUSION

In view of national climate targets and the willingness of outpatient MDs to contribute to climate protection, support from medical associations is required, e. g. through practical recommendations and financial help, in order to transform the health sector in accordance with the idea of Planetary Health. Accompanying studies should provide further evidence on effective measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in practices.

Heat Extremes, Public Health Impacts, and Adaptation Policy in Germany

Global warming with increasing weather extremes, like heat events, is enhancing impacts to public health. This essay focuses on unusual extreme summer heat extremes occurring in Germany at higher frequency, longer duration, and with new temperature records. Large areas of the country are affected, particularly urban settlements, where about 77% of the population lives, which are exposed to multiple inner-city threats, such as urban heat islands. Because harm to public health is directly released by high ambient air temperatures, local and national studies on heat-related morbidity and mortality indicate that vulnerable groups such as the elderly population are predominantly threatened with heat-related health problems. After the severe mortality impacts of the extreme summer heat 2003 in Europe, in 2008, Germany took up the National Adaptation Strategy on Climate Change to tackle and manage the impacts of weather extremes, for example to protect people’s health against heat. Public health systems and services need to be better prepared to improve resilience to the effects of extreme heat events, e.g., by implementing heat health action plans. Both climate protection as well as adaptation are necessary in order to be able to respond as adequate as possible to the challenges posed by climate change.

[Epidemiology and prevention of heat-related adverse health effects on elderly people]

Heat waves increase the morbidity and mortality in Germany, particularly of older patients in need of care. Due to climate change the number of heat waves in Germany will increase threefold by the end of the century. In addition, the proportion of patients at risk will grow due to demographic change. Therefore, the Government and the Federal States have developed recommendations for heat action plans, in which the medical profession should also participate in the prevention of heat-related damage to health. Physicians and their team should first become acquainted with the topic. In addition, they should inform patients at risk and their relatives of the risks and preventive measures. In the summer a critical check of drugs is also needed because medications impair cooling mechanisms in heat waves, the pharmacokinetics can change and unwanted side effects of drugs occur more frequently. Lastly, due to their central position in the healthcare system, physicians should participate in the coordination of a good nursing care and intensification of social contacts during heat waves.