Intervention thresholds for osteoporosis in men and women: a study based on data from Sweden

Clinical Impact on Dental Implant Survival in Patients Taking Antiresorptive Medications: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Dental implants are a predictable option to replace missing teeth. Patients on antiresorptive medications used to treat disorders associated with bone resorption may need dental implants to replace missing teeth. The data on implant failure in patients on antiresorptive medication requiring dental implants, is conflicting and limited. This systematic review aims to investigate if antiresorptive medications have any clinical impact on dental implant survival. Electronic databases were searched until May 2020. The focus question (PICOS): Participants: humans, Interventions: implant placement surgery in patients on antiresorptive medication, Comparisons: patients on antiresorptive medication vs control (patients not on antiresorptive medication), Outcomes: implant survival, and Study design: clinical studies. The protocol of this systematic review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42020209083). Fourteen nonrandomized studies were selected for data extraction and risk of bias assessment using the ROBINS-1 tool. Only studies with a control were included for the meta-analysis, 8 articles were included in the meta-analysis using implant-level data, and 5 articles were included in the meta-analysis using patient-level data. There was no statistical significance between the 2 groups at the patient level based on 265 patients. However, there was a statistically significant difference at the implant level based on 2697 implants. Therefore, antiresorptive medications, mainly bisphosphonates (BPs), may significantly contribute to implant failure. Antiresorptive medications, especially BPs may reduce implant survival and impair the osseointegration of dental implants. Failed implants in patients on BPs may not lead to osteonecrosis and may be replaced with success.

Cost Effectiveness Analyses of Interventions for Osteoporosis in Men: A Systematic Literature Review

BACKGROUND

Osteoporosis is often considered to be a disease of women. Over the last few years, owing to the increasing clinical and economic burden, the awareness and imperative for identifying and managing osteoporosis in men have increased substantially. With the approval of agents to treat men with osteoporosis, more economic evaluations have been conducted to assess the potential economic benefits of these interventions. Despite this concern, there is no specific overview of cost-effectiveness analyses for the treatment of osteoporosis in men.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims (1) to systematically review economic evaluations of interventions for osteoporosis in men; (2) to critically appraise the quality of included studies and the source of model input data; and (3) to investigate the comparability of results for studies including both men and women.

METHODS

A literature search mainly using MEDLINE (via Ovid) and Embase databases was undertaken to identify original articles published between 1 January, 2000 and 30 June, 2022. Studies that assessed the cost effectiveness of interventions for osteoporosis in men were included. The Economic Aspects of Osteoporosis, Osteoarthritis and Musculoskeletal Diseases and the International Osteoporosis Foundation osteoporosis-specific guideline was used to assess the quality of design, conduct, and reporting of included studies.

RESULTS

Of 2973 articles identified, 25 studies fulfilled the inclusion criteria, classified into economic evaluations of active drugs (n = 8) or nutritional supplements (n = 4), intervention thresholds (n = 5), screening strategies (n = 6), and post-fracture care programs (n = 2). Most studies were conducted in European countries (n = 15), followed by North America (n = 9). Bisphosphonates (namely alendronate) and nutritional supplements were shown to be generally cost effective compared with no treatment in men over 60 years of age with osteoporosis or prior fractures. Two other studies suggested that denosumab was cost effective in men aged 75 years and older with osteoporosis compared with bisphosphates and teriparatide. Intervention thresholds at which bisphosphonates were found to be cost effective varied among studies with a 10-year probability of a major osteoporotic fracture that ranged from 8.9 to 34.2% for different age categories. A few studies suggested cost effectiveness of screening strategies and post-fracture care programs in men. Similar findings regarding the cost effectiveness of drugs and intervention thresholds in women and men were captured, with slightly greater incremental cost-effectiveness ratios in men. The quality of the studies included had an average score of 18.8 out of 25 (range 13-23.5). Hip fracture incidence and mortality risk were mainly derived from studies in men, while fracture cost, treatment efficacy, and disutility were commonly derived from studies in women or studies combining both sexes.

CONCLUSIONS

Anti-osteoporosis drugs and nutritional supplements are generally cost effective in men with osteoporosis. Screening strategies and post-fracture care programs also showed economic benefits for men. Cost-effectiveness and intervention thresholds were generally similar in studies conducted in both men and women, with slightly greater incremental cost-effectiveness ratios in men.

FRAX-based intervention thresholds in eight Eurasian countries: Armenia, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Moldova, the Russian Federation, and Uzbekistan

Age-specific intervention and assessment thresholds based on FRAX® were developed for eight Eurasian countries participating in the EVA study (Armenia, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova, Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, the Russian Federation, and Uzbekistan). The intervention thresholds (major osteoporotic fracture) ranged from 3.6 (Armenia and Georgia) to 12.3% (Uzbekistan) for people at age 50 years, and from 16 (Armenia) to 27% (Belarus) at the age of 90 years. These thresholds enable a substantial advance in the ease of detection of individuals at high fracture risk.

INTRODUCTION

The purpose of this study was to derive and compare FRAX-based intervention and BMD assessment thresholds for 8 Eurasian countries in the EVA study.

METHODS

The intervention threshold (IT) was set at a 10-year probability of a major osteoporotic fracture (MOF), calculated without BMD, equivalent to a woman with a prior fragility fracture but no other clinical risk factors, and a body mass index (BMI) of 25.0 kg/m². The lower assessment threshold was set at a 10-year probability of a MOF in women with BMI of 25.0 kg/m², without previous fracture or other clinical risk factors. The upper assessment threshold was set at 1.2 times the IT.

RESULTS

The age-specific intervention thresholds ranged from 3.6 (Armenia and Georgia) to 12.3% (Uzbekistan) for men and women at the age of 50 years and from 16 (Armenia) to 27% (Belarus) at the age of 90 years. The difference between countries was most evident at younger ages and become progressively less with advancing age.

CONCLUSIONS

For the 8 Eurasian countries, the newly established FRAX-based intervention thresholds provide an opportunity to improve the clinical detection of both men and women with a high risk of fracture and improve treatment rates.

A systematic review of the indirect and social costs studies in fragility fractures

Fragility fractures (FF) are the main clinical consequence of osteoporosis. FF lead to a loss in quality of life (QL), increased dependency and higher costs due to loss of productivity. Despite this, very few studies have been performed about the indirect or social costs of FF. The objective of this review was to systematically synthesize published evidence regarding indirect costs of FF. We conducted a systematic literature review of empirical studies published as peer review papers between 1998 and 2019. A total of 295 papers were found about costs and osteoporosis. After an iterative process, only 16 papers fit the criteria of selection. Despite the important consequences for QL, only seven studies have included research of the issue and only one about dependency. Treatments are cost-effective, but adherence is low. Multiple fractures, older age and low socioeconomic profile imply higher costs. Most studies are performed using the human capital methodology. The main two variables are loss of productivity and absenteeism. Most of the people included in the samples are out of the active population. Those studies that include a follow-up period vary in a range between 3 months and 2 years. Depending on sample and methodology, the indirect costs (IC) are between 2 and 50%. The direct costs associated with FF generally far outweigh the IC. There is a lack of studies about the effects of treatments and adherence and about the dependency system. The changing role of women in coming generations will increase indirect costs.

A brief history of FRAX

This paper reviews the research programme that went into the development of FRAX® and its impact in the 10 years since its release in 2008.

INTRODUCTION

Osteoporosis is defined on the measurement of bone mineral density though the clinical consequence is fracture. The sensitivity of bone mineral density measurements for fracture prediction is low, leading to the development of FRAX to better calculate the likelihood of fracture and target anti-osteoporosis treatments.

METHODS

The method used in this paper is literature review.

RESULTS

FRAX, developed over an 8-year period, was launched in 2008. Since the launch of FRAX, models have been made available for 64 countries and in 31 languages covering more than 80% of the world population.

CONCLUSION

FRAX provides an advance in fracture risk assessment and a reference technology platform for future improvements in performance characteristics.

Effect of improved medication adherence on health care costs in osteoporosis patients

Osteoporosis is a chronic disease that requires continuous health care spending for pharmacotherapy and examinations. Osteoporotic fractures are a major economic burden. However, little is known about the economic effects of osteoporosis and osteoporotic fractures in Korea.The purpose of this study was to determine the predictors of osteoporosis-related health care costs and to evaluate the economic effects of fracture prevention through medication adherence among osteoporosis patients.Using the Korea National Health Insurance Claims Database (KNHICD), we identified osteoporosis patients aged 50 years and older from 2011 to 2012. Annual health care costs of osteoporosis were analyzed from the insurer's perspective and compared between patients with fractures and those without fractures. Adherents were defined as patients with a medication possession ratio of ≥80%. A generalized linear model (GLM) was used to estimate the predictors of osteoporosis-related health care costs.The major predictors of osteoporosis-related health care costs were age, medication adherence, and the occurrence of fractures (P < .001). The proportion of fractures among non-adherents was approximately 1.1 times the proportion among adherents. Health care costs per patient with fractures were 3.8 times the costs per patient without fractures. Patients with fractures had higher health care costs due to hospitalization and outpatient costs but lower pharmacy costs than non-adherents. We estimated that about $5 million of health insurance expenses could be saved annually if all non-adherents became adherents.Improved osteoporosis medication adherence can reduce osteoporosis-related health care costs by preventing fractures. Persistent pharmacotherapy for osteoporosis is necessary to prevent osteoporotic fractures and to reduce osteoporosis-related health care costs.

Bone mineral density measurements in vertebral specimens and phantoms using dual-layer spectral computed tomography

To assess whether phantomless calcium-hydroxyapatite (HA) specific bone mineral density (BMD) measurements with dual-layer spectral computed tomography are accurate in phantoms and vertebral specimens. Ex-vivo human vertebrae (n = 13) and a phantom containing different known HA concentrations were placed in a semi-anthropomorphic abdomen phantom with different extension rings simulating different degrees of obesity. Phantomless dual-layer spectral CT was performed at different tube current settings (500, 250, 125 and 50 mAs). HA-specific BMD was derived from spectral-based virtual monoenergetic images at 50 keV and 200 keV. Values were compared to the HA concentrations of the phantoms and conventional qCT measurements using a reference phantom, respectively. Above 125 mAs, errors for phantom measurements ranged between -1.3% to 4.8%, based on spectral information. In vertebral specimens, high correlations were found between BMD values assessed with spectral CT and conventional qCT (r ranging between 0.96 and 0.99; p < 0.001 for all) with different extension rings, and a high agreement was found in Bland Altman plots. Different degrees of obesity did not have a significant influence on measurements (P > 0.05 for all). These results suggest a high validity of HA-specific BMD measurements based on dual-layer spectral CT examinations in setups simulating different degrees of obesity without the need for a reference phantom, thus demonstrating their feasibility in clinical routine.

Fracture Risk Assessment in Patients With Diabetes Mellitus

Diabetes mellitus, both type 1 and type 2 (T2DM), is associated with decreased bone strength as well as increased fracture risk. Bone mineral density is decreased in type 1 diabetes but increased in T2DM, compared with controls. This suggests alterations in bone quality are a major player in the pathogenesis of fragility fractures in patients with diabetes. The link between diabetes and bone appears to be mediated by complex pathways, including the insulin-insulin growth factors system, accumulation of advanced glycation end-products in bone collagen, microangiopathy, and increased bone marrow fat content. Bone fragility in T2DM, which is not reflected by bone mineral density and bone mass reduction, depends on deterioration of bone quality. Also, at least in T2DM, the classical diagnosis of osteoporosis by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry and the fracture risk estimation by FRAX (fracture risk assessment tool) are only partially useful in assessing fracture risk. Trabecular bone score and trabecular bone score-adjusted FRAX offer an enhanced estimation of fracture risk in these patients. Specific risk stratification criteria are needed in the future. The development of improved methods to assess the material properties of bone to better characterize fracture risk is also a priority. Adequate glycemic control is generally associated with decreased fracture risk, with the exception of specific antidiabetics (thiazolidinediones, canagliflozin) that have been shown to have a detrimental effect. Most currently used antiosteoporotic treatments seem equally effective in diabetic patients as compared with patients without diabetes, but clinical data regarding the reduction in fracture risk specifically in patients with diabetes mellitus are lacking.

Evaluation on the cost-effective threshold of osteoporosis treatment on elderly women in China using discrete event simulation model

This study used a simulation model to determine the cost-effective threshold of fracture risk to treat osteoporosis among elderly Chinese women. Osteoporosis treatment is cost-effective among average-risk women who are at least 75 years old and above-average-risk women who are younger than 75 years old.

INTRODUCTION

Aging of the Chinese population is imposing increasing economic burden of osteoporosis. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of osteoporosis treatment among the senior Chinese women population.

METHODS

A discrete event simulation model using age-specific probabilities of hip fracture, clinical vertebral fracture, wrist fracture, humerus fracture, and other fracture; costs (2015 US dollars); and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) was used to assess the cost-effectiveness of osteoporosis treatment. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated. The willingness to pay (WTP) for a QALY in China was compared with the calculated ICER to decide the cost-effectiveness. To determine the absolute 10-year hip fracture probability at which the osteoporosis treatment became cost-effective, average age-specific probabilities for all fractures were multiplied by a relative risk (RR) that was systematically varied from 0 to 10 until the WTP threshold was observed for treatment relative to no intervention. Sensitivity analyses were also performed to evaluate the impacts from WTP and annual treatment costs.

RESULTS

In baseline analysis, simulated ICERs were higher than the WTP threshold among Chinese women younger than 75, but much lower than the WTP among the older population. Sensitivity analyses indicated that cost-effectiveness could vary due to a higher WTP threshold or a lower annual treatment cost. A 30 % increase in WTP or a 30 % reduction in annual treatment costs will make osteoporosis treatment cost-effective for Chinese women population from 55 to 85.

CONCLUSIONS

The current study provides evidence that osteoporosis treatment is cost-effective among a subpopulation of Chinese senior women. The results also indicate that the cost-effectiveness of using osteoporosis treatment is sensitive to the WTP threshold and annual treatment costs.

Osteoporosis in men: findings from the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men Study (MrOS)

The lifespan of men is increasing and this is associated with an increased prevalence of osteoporosis in men. Osteoporosis increases the risk of bone fracture. Fractures are associated with increased disability and mortality, and public health problems. We review here the study of osteoporosis in men as obtained from a longitudinal cohort of community-based older men, the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men Study (MrOS).

Validation of three tools for identifying painful new osteoporotic vertebral fractures in older Chinese men: bone mineral density, Osteoporosis Self-Assessment Tool for Asians, and fracture risk assessment tool

OBJECTIVE

This cross-sectional study compared three tools for predicting painful new osteoporotic vertebral fractures (PNOVFs) in older Chinese men: bone mineral density (BMD), the Osteoporosis Self-Assessment Tool for Asians (OSTA), and the World Health Organization fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) (without BMD).

METHODS

Men aged ≥50 years were apportioned to a group for men with fractures who had undergone percutaneous vertebroplasty (n=111), or a control group of healthy men (n=385). Fractures were verified on X-ray and magnetic resonance imaging. BMD T-scores were determined by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry. Diagnosis of osteoporosis was determined by a BMD T-score of ≤2.5 standard deviations below the average for a young adult at peak bone density at the femoral neck, total hip, or L1-L4. Demographic and clinical risk factor data were self-reported through a questionnaire. BMD, OSTA, and FRAX scores were assessed for identifying PNOVFs via receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Optimal cutoff points, sensitivity, specificity, and areas under the ROC curves (AUCs) were determined.

RESULTS

Between the men with fractures and the control group, there were significant differences in BMD T-scores (at femoral neck, total hip, and L1-L4), and OSTA and FRAX scores. In those with fractures, only 53.15% satisfied the criteria for osteoporosis. Compared to BMD or OSTA, the FRAX score had the best predictive value for PNOVFs: the AUC of the FRAX score (cutoff =2.9%) was 0.738, and the sensitivity and specificity were 82% and 62%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

FRAX may be a valuable tool for identifying PNOVFs in older Chinese men.

FRAX and fracture prediction without bone mineral density

The major application of FRAX in osteoporosis is to direct pharmacological interventions to those at high risk of fracture. Whereas the efficacy of osteoporosis treatment, with the possible exception of alendronate, is largely independent of baseline bone mineral density (BMD), it remains a widely held perception that osteoporosis therapies are only effective in the presence of low BMD. Thus, the use of FRAX in the absence of BMD to identify individuals requiring therapy remains the subject of some debate and is the focus of this review. The clinical risk factors used in FRAX have high evidence-based validity to identify a risk responsive to intervention. The selection of high-risk individuals with FRAX, without knowledge of BMD, preferentially selects for low BMD and thus identifies a risk that is responsive to pharmacological intervention. The prediction of fractures with the use of clinical risk factors alone in FRAX is comparable to the use of BMD alone to predict fractures and is suitable, therefore, in the many countries where facilities for BMD testing are sparse. In countries where access to BMD is greater, FRAX can be used without BMD in the majority of cases and BMD tests reserved for those close to a probability-based intervention threshold. Thus concerns surrounding the use of FRAX in clinical practice without information on BMD are largely misplaced.

Managing osteoporosis with FRAX® in Australia: proposed new treatment thresholds from the 45&Up Study cohort

INTRODUCTION

Many people at high risk of fractures are not following traditional guidelines and not being recommended for intervention. This study aimed to propose and evaluate a new set of intervention thresholds.

METHODS

Participants were 213,375 men and women aged ≥50 years living in New South Wales, Australia. Fracture Risk Assessment Paper Charts (Australia) was used to estimate the 10-year fracture risk. The standardized rates (to Australia population distribution 2007) for intervention were calculated for different thresholds: our proposed new thresholds (i.e. 10-year probability of hip fracture: ≥3%, 5% or 7% for 50-69, 70-79 and ≥80 years respectively), thresholds by the National Osteoporosis Guideline Group (NOGG) approach, UK thresholds and US thresholds.

RESULTS

The NOGG, UK and US thresholds did not work well in the Australian population. For example, the NOGG and UK thresholds respectively qualified only 1 in 12 (8.1%) and 1 in 9 (11.3%) Australian men aged ≥70 years and the US thresholds qualified about 9 in 10 (90.6%) Australian women aged ≥ 70 years. For men or women aged ≥70 years, our proposed new thresholds gave more realistic treatment rates of 21.6% for men and 70.5% for women. Compared to the current Australian guidelines (i.e. T-score ≤ -2.5 and age ≥ 70 years or a fragility fracture), our thresholds identified an additional 4.9% of men and 18.2% of women aged ≥ 70 years for treatment.

CONCLUSION

The proposed new thresholds could identify currently under-recognised high-risk individuals for treatment. It should be considered as a recommendation for osteoporosis management in Australia.

What's in a name revisited: should osteoporosis and sarcopenia be considered components of "dysmobility syndrome?"

Sarcopenia and osteoporosis are age-related declines in the quantity and quality of muscle and bone respectively, with shared pathogeneses and adverse health consequences. Both absolute and relative fat excess, i.e., obesity and sarcopenic obesity, contribute to disability, falls, and fractures. Rather than focusing on a single component, i.e., osteoporosis, sarcopenia, or obesity, we realized that an opportunity exists to combine clinical factors, thereby potentially allowing improved identification of older adults at risk for disability, falls, and fractures. Such a combination could be termed dysmobility syndrome, analogous to the approach taken with metabolic syndrome. An arbitrary score-based approach to dysmobility syndrome diagnosis is proposed and explored in a small cohort of older adults. Further evaluation of such an approach in large population-based and prospective studies seems warranted.

[Utilization of physiotherapy services for traumatic disorders of the lower extremity in ambulatory care]

INTRODUCTION

Limited information is available on physiotherapy treatment of lower extremity injuries.

AIM

The purpose of this study included analysis of the utilization of outpatient physiotherapy services in case of injuries of the lower extremity.

METHOD

Data derived from the database of the National Health Insurance Fund Administration, Hungary. The number of cases undergoing physiotherapy activities after lower extremity injuries were determined.

RESULTS

In 2009 the average number of cases undergoing physiotherapy activities following lower extremity injuries per 10,000 persons were the following: "hip and thigh injuries" 249.75 male cases and 443.7 female cases; "knee and leg injuries" 927.64 male cases and 668.25 female cases, and "ankle and foot injuries" 307.58 male cases and 245.75 female cases.

CONCLUSIONS

According to this study, the number of physiotherapy activities for patients with injuries of the lower extremity showed significant differences between genders.

Cost-effectiveness of strontium ranelate in the treatment of male osteoporosis

The results of this study suggest that, under the assumption of same relative risk reduction of fractures in men as for women, strontium ranelate could be considered a cost-effective strategy compared with no treatment for the treatment of osteoporotic men from a Belgian healthcare payer perspective.

INTRODUCTION

This study was conducted to estimate the cost-effectiveness of strontium ranelate in the treatment of osteoporotic men.

METHODS

A previously validated Markov microsimulation model was adapted to estimate the cost (<euro>2,010) per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained of strontium ranelate compared with no treatment. Similar efficacy data on lumbar spine and femoral neck bone mineral density (BMD) between men with osteoporosis at high risk of fracture (MALEO Trial) and postmenopausal osteoporotic women (pivotal SOTI, TROPOS trials) supports the assumption, in the base-case analysis, of the same relative risk reduction of fractures in men as for women. Analyses were conducted, from a Belgian healthcare payer perspective, in the population from the MALEO Trial who is a men population with a mean age of 73 years, and BMD T-score ≤-2.5 or prevalent vertebral fracture (PVF).

RESULTS

In the MALEO population, strontium ranelate compared with no treatment was estimated at <euro>49,798 and <euro>25,584 per QALY gained using efficacy data from the intent-to-treat analysis and the per-protocol analysis including only adherent patients, respectively. In men with a BMD T-score ≤-2.5 or with PVF, the cost per QALY gained of strontium ranelate fall below thresholds of <euro>45,000 and <euro>25,000 per QALY gained based on efficacy data from the entire population of the clinical trial and from the per-protocol analyses, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study suggest that, under the assumption of same relative risk reduction of fractures in men as for women, strontium ranelate could be considered cost-effective compared with no treatment for male osteoporosis.

Updated fracture incidence rates for the Italian version of FRAX®

In order to update data underlying the Italian version of FRAX, we computed the national hip fracture incidence in Italy from hospitalization records for the year 2008. Mortality data and 10-year probabilities of major osteoporotic fractures were also updated. This revision will improve FRAX accuracy and reliability.

INTRODUCTION

The original Italian version of FRAX® was based on five regional estimates of hip fracture risk undertaken up to 20 years previously. Our objective was to update hip fracture rates for the model with more recently derived data from the whole Italian population and more recent data on mortality.

METHODS

We analyzed the Italian national hospitalization database for the year 2008 in order to compute age- and sex-specific hip fracture incidence rates. Re-hospitalisations of the same patients within 1 year were excluded from the analysis. Hip fracture incidence rates were computed for the age range of 40-100 years, whereas the original FRAX model lacked data on the youngest and oldest age groups. In addition, we used the national mortality data for the same year 2008 to update the model. Ten-year fracture probabilities were re-calculated on the basis of the new fracture incidence rates.

RESULTS

The new hip fracture age- and sex-specific incidence rates were close to those used in the original FRAX tool, although some significant differences (not exceeding 25-30 %) were found for men aged 65-75 years and women under 55 years of age. In general, the revision resulted in decreased estimated 10-year probabilities in the younger age groups, whilst those in the older age groups were slightly increased.

CONCLUSIONS

The Italian version of FRAX has been updated using the new fracture incidence rates. The impact of these revisions on FRAX is likely to increase the accuracy and reliability of FRAX in estimating 10-year fracture probabilities.

European guidance for the diagnosis and management of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women

Guidance is provided in a European setting on the assessment and treatment of postmenopausal women at risk of fractures due to osteoporosis.

INTRODUCTION

The International Osteoporosis Foundation and European Society for Clinical and Economic Aspects of Osteoporosis and Osteoarthritis published guidance for the diagnosis and management of osteoporosis in 2008. This manuscript updates these in a European setting.

METHODS

Systematic literature reviews.

RESULTS

The following areas are reviewed: the role of bone mineral density measurement for the diagnosis of osteoporosis and assessment of fracture risk, general and pharmacological management of osteoporosis, monitoring of treatment, assessment of fracture risk, case finding strategies, investigation of patients and health economics of treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

A platform is provided on which specific guidelines can be developed for national use.

Cost-effective intervention thresholds against osteoporotic fractures based on FRAX® in Switzerland

FRAX-based cost-effective intervention thresholds in the Swiss setting were determined. Assuming a willingness to pay at 2× Gross Domestic Product per capita, an intervention aimed at reducing fracture risk in women and men with a 10-year probability for a major osteoporotic fracture at or above 15% is cost-effective.

INTRODUCTION

The fracture risk assessment algorithm FRAX® has been recently calibrated for Switzerland. The aim of the present analysis was to determine FRAX-based fracture probabilities at which intervention becomes cost-effective.

METHODS

A previously developed and validated state transition Markov cohort model was populated with Swiss epidemiological and cost input parameters. Cost-effective FRAX-based intervention thresholds (cost-effectiveness approach) and the cost-effectiveness of intervention with alendronate (original molecule) in subjects with a FRAX-based fracture risk equivalent to that of a woman with a prior fragility fracture and no other risk factor (translational approach) were calculated based on the Swiss FRAX model and assuming a willingness to pay of 2 times Gross Domestic Product per capita for one Quality-adjusted Life-Year.

RESULTS

In Swiss women and men aged 50 years and older, drug intervention aimed at decreasing fracture risk was cost-effective with a 10-year probability for a major osteoporotic fracture at or above 13.8% (range 10.8% to 15.0%) and 15.1% (range 9.9% to 19.9%), respectively. Age-dependent variations around these mean values were modest. Using the translational approach, treatment was cost-effective or cost-saving after the age 60 years in women and 55 in men who had previously sustained a fragility fracture. Using the latter approach leads to considerable underuse of the current potential for cost-effective interventions against fractures.

CONCLUSIONS

Using a FRAX-based intervention threshold of 15% for both women and men should permit cost-effective access to therapy to patients at high fracture probability based on clinical risk factors and thereby contribute to further reduce the growing burden of osteoporotic fractures in Switzerland.

Femoral neck bone mineral density and 10-year absolute fracture risk in a national representative sample of Bulgarian women aged 50 years and older

This study explored the epidemiology of osteoporosis in Bulgarian women (>50 years). Of the women included in the study, 16.8% had osteoporosis and 46.5% had osteopenia at the femoral neck. The mean 10-year absolute fracture risk was 13.4 ± 9.2% (major fractures) and 2.8 ± 5.2% (hip fractures). This study is the largest Bulgarian epidemiological osteoporosis trial.

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of the major risk factors for osteoporosis and the 10-year absolute fracture risk in a national representative sample of Bulgarian women aged 50 and older.

METHODS

This work is a part of the Bulgarian Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study. The National Statistical Institute selected a national representative epidemiological sample. A questionnaire was used allowing fracture risk calculation according to FRAX. Ten osteoporosis centers throughout the country participated. Bone mineral density (BMD) was measured at the femoral neck by dual X-ray absorptiometry. The statistical analysis was performed on a SPSS 13.0 for windows platform.

RESULTS

A total of 1,331 women were included (mean age 63.8 ± 8.3 years), divided into decades. Of them, 16.8% had osteoporosis and 46.5% had low femoral neck BMD. Their mean 10-year absolute fracture risk for major fractures was 13.4 ± 9.2%, and for hip fractures 2.8 ± 5.2%, respectively. The prevalence of some major risk factors for osteoporosis was as follows: height loss > 3 cm-33.1% of all women; family history of hip fractures-4.1%; previous hip fractures-1.9%; previous vertebral fractures-2.3%; all fractures-23.3%; smoking-11.9%.

CONCLUSIONS

This study is the largest epidemiological osteoporosis trial in Bulgaria to date and allows assumptions about the prevalence of osteoporosis and fractures among women aged 50 and older in our country.

The utility and limitations of FRAX: A US perspective

The FRAX calculator is a major achievement in terms of our understanding of measuring fracture risk. Along with being an easily accessible web-based tool, it is the only model based on extensive data on multiple cohorts. FRAX will help clinicians identify individuals who need osteoporosis treatments, while also screening out those who do not require osteoporosis treatments. However, FRAX is limited by a number of factors. Although it is web based, few physicians have the means to access it. It also assumes that body mass index and mortality are constant across different racial and ethnic groups. FRAX is further limited by the exclusion of variables known to be associated with fracture risk, lack of dose-response relationships for variables, increased subsequent fracture risk after initial fracture, restriction to only one bone mineral density site, racial and ethnic differences that may influence fracture risk, and availability of racial and ethnic fracture risk data to be used in the FRAX calculator. Finally, the values obtained from FRAX should not take the place of good clinical judgment.

The FRAX tool in French women: How well does it describe the real incidence of fracture in the OFELY cohort?

The FRAX tool estimates an individual's fracture probability over 10 years from clinical risk factors with or without bone mineral density (BMD) measurement. The aim of our study was to compare the predicted fracture probabilities and the observed incidence of fracture in French women during a 10-year follow-up. The probabilities of fracture at four major sites (hip, clinical spine, shoulder, or wrist) and at the hip were calculated with the FRAX tool in 867 women aged 40 years and over from the Os des Femmes de Lyon (OFELY) cohort.The incidence of fracture was observed over 10 years. Thus 82 women sustained 95 incident major osteoporotic (OP) fractures including 17 fractures at the hip. In women aged at least 65 years (n = 229), the 10-year predicted probabilities of fracture with BMD were 13% for major OP fractures and 5% for hip fractures, contrasting with 3.6% and 0.5% in women younger than 65 years (p < .0001). The predicted probabilities of both major OP and hip fractures were significantly higher in women with osteoporosis (n = 77, 18% and 10%) and osteopenia (n = 390, 6% and 2%) compared with women with normal BMD (n = 208, 3% and <1%; p < .0001. The predicted probabilities of fracture were two and five times higher in women who sustained an incident major OP fracture and a hip fracture compared with women who did not (p < .0001). Nevertheless, among women aged at least 65 years with low BMD values (T-score < or = -1; n = 199), the 10-year predicted probability of major OP fracture with BMD was 48% lower than the observed incidence of fractures (p < .01). A 10-year probability of major OP fracture higher than 12% identified more women with incident fractures than did BMD in the osteoporotic range (p < .05). In French women from the OFELY cohort, the observed incidence of fragility fractures over 10 years increased with age following a pattern similar to the predicted probabilities given by the FRAX tool. However, in women aged at least 65 years with low BMD, the observed incidence of fractures was substantially higher than the predicted probability.

Low-energy distal radius fractures in middle-aged and elderly men and women--the burden of osteoporosis and fracture risk : A study of 1794 consecutive patients

One third of 218 men and half of 1,576 women with low-energy distal radius fractures met the bone mineral density (BMD) criteria for osteoporosis treatment. A large proportion of patients with increased fracture risk did not have osteoporosis. Thus, all distal radius fracture patients >or=50 years should be referred to bone densitometry.

INTRODUCTION

Main objectives were to determine the prevalence of patients with a low-energy distal radius fracture in need of osteoporosis treatment according to existing guidelines using T-score <or= -2.0 or <or=-2.5 standard deviation (SD) and calculate their fracture risk.

METHODS

A total of 218 men and 1,576 women >or=50 years were included. BMD was assessed by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) at femoral neck, total hip, and lumbar spine (L2-L4). The WHO fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX(R)) was applied to calculate the 10-year fracture risk.

RESULTS

T-scores <or=-2.0 and <or=-2.5 SD at femoral neck was found in 37.7% and 19.6% of men and 51.1% and 31.2% of women, respectively. The risk of hip fracture was 6.2% for men and 9.0% for women. The corresponding figures for patients with T-score <or=-2.0 SD were 11.6% and 14.5% and for T-score <or=-2.5 SD 16.3% and 18.2%, respectively. A large proportion of distal radius fracture patients with a high 10-year FRAX risk did not have osteoporosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Every second to every third fracture patient met the present BMD criteria for osteoporosis treatment. Because a large proportion of distal radius fracture patients did not have osteoporosis, treatment decisions should not be based on fracture risk assessment without bone densitometry. Thus, all distal radius fracture patients >or=50 years should be referred to bone densitometry, and if indicated, offered medical treatment.

Meta-analysis: excess mortality after hip fracture among older women and men

BACKGROUND

Although an increased risk for death after hip fracture is well established, whether this excess mortality persists over time is unclear.

PURPOSE

To determine the magnitude and duration of excess mortality after hip fracture in older men and women.

DATA SOURCES

Electronic search of MEDLINE and EMBASE for English and non-English articles from 1957 to May 2009 and manual search of article references.

STUDY SELECTION

Prospective cohort studies were selected by 2 independent reviewers. The studies had to assess mortality in women (22 cohorts) or men (17 cohorts) aged 50 years or older with hip fracture, carry out a life-table analysis, and display the survival curves of the hip fracture group and age- and sex-matched control groups.

DATA EXTRACTION

Survival curve data and items relevant to study validity and generalizability were independently extracted by 2 reviewers.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Time-to-event meta-analyses showed that the relative hazard for all-cause mortality in the first 3 months after hip fracture was 5.75 (95% CI, 4.94 to 6.67) in women and 7.95 (CI, 6.13 to 10.30) in men. Relative hazards decreased substantially over time but did not return to rates seen in age- and sex-matched control groups. Through use of life-table methods, investigators estimated that white women having a hip fracture at age 80 years have excess annual mortality compared with white women of the same age without a fracture of 8%, 11%, 18%, and 22% at 1, 2, 5, and 10 years after injury, respectively. Men with a hip fracture at age 80 years have excess annual mortality of 18%, 22%, 26%, and 20% at 1, 2, 5, and 10 years after injury, respectively.

LIMITATIONS

Cohort studies varied, sometimes markedly, in size, duration of observation, selection of control populations, ascertainment of death, and adjustment for comorbid conditions. Only published data that displayed findings with survival curves were examined. Publication bias was possible.

CONCLUSION

Older adults have a 5- to 8-fold increased risk for all-cause mortality during the first 3 months after hip fracture. Excess annual mortality persists over time for both women and men, but at any given age, excess annual mortality after hip fracture is higher in men than in women.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Fund for Scientific Research and Willy Gepts Foundation, Universitair Ziekenhuis Brussel.

Meta-analysis: excess mortality after hip fracture among older women and men

BACKGROUND

Although an increased risk for death after hip fracture is well established, whether this excess mortality persists over time is unclear.

PURPOSE

To determine the magnitude and duration of excess mortality after hip fracture in older men and women.

DATA SOURCES

Electronic search of MEDLINE and EMBASE for English and non-English articles from 1957 to May 2009 and manual search of article references.

STUDY SELECTION

Prospective cohort studies were selected by 2 independent reviewers. The studies had to assess mortality in women (22 cohorts) or men (17 cohorts) aged 50 years or older with hip fracture, carry out a life-table analysis, and display the survival curves of the hip fracture group and age- and sex-matched control groups.

DATA EXTRACTION

Survival curve data and items relevant to study validity and generalizability were independently extracted by 2 reviewers.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Time-to-event meta-analyses showed that the relative hazard for all-cause mortality in the first 3 months after hip fracture was 5.75 (95% CI, 4.94 to 6.67) in women and 7.95 (CI, 6.13 to 10.30) in men. Relative hazards decreased substantially over time but did not return to rates seen in age- and sex-matched control groups. Through use of life-table methods, investigators estimated that white women having a hip fracture at age 80 years have excess annual mortality compared with white women of the same age without a fracture of 8%, 11%, 18%, and 22% at 1, 2, 5, and 10 years after injury, respectively. Men with a hip fracture at age 80 years have excess annual mortality of 18%, 22%, 26%, and 20% at 1, 2, 5, and 10 years after injury, respectively.

LIMITATIONS

Cohort studies varied, sometimes markedly, in size, duration of observation, selection of control populations, ascertainment of death, and adjustment for comorbid conditions. Only published data that displayed findings with survival curves were examined. Publication bias was possible.

CONCLUSION

Older adults have a 5- to 8-fold increased risk for all-cause mortality during the first 3 months after hip fracture. Excess annual mortality persists over time for both women and men, but at any given age, excess annual mortality after hip fracture is higher in men than in women.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Fund for Scientific Research and Willy Gepts Foundation, Universitair Ziekenhuis Brussel.

The cost-effectiveness of risedronate in the UK for the management of osteoporosis using the FRAX

SUMMARY

The study estimated the cost-effectiveness of risedronate compared to no treatment in UK women using the FRAX algorithm for fracture risk assessment. A Markov cohort model was used to estimate the cost-effectiveness. Risedronate was found cost-effective from the age of 65 years, assuming a willingness to pay for a QALY of 30,000 pounds.

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of risedronate for the prevention and treatment in a UK setting using the FRAX algorithm for fracture risk assessment. A further aim was to establish intervention thresholds with risedronate treatment.

METHODS

The cost-effectiveness of risedronate was compared to no treatment in post-menopausal women with clinical risk factors for fracture using a Markov cohort model populated with data relevant for the UK. The model incorporated the features of FRAX (the WHO risk assessment tool). The analysis had a health care perspective and quality adjusted life years was used as the main outcome measure.

RESULTS

Treatment was cost-effective from the age of 65 years, assuming a willingness to pay for a QALY of 30,000 pounds. Treatment was also cost-effective at all ages in women who had previously sustained a fragility fracture or in women with a parental history of hip fracture with a bone mineral density set at the threshold of osteoporosis. At the 30,000 pounds threshold value for a QALY, risedronate was on average found to cost-effective below the 10-year probability of a major osteoporotic fractures of 13.0%.

CONCLUSIONS

Risedronate is a cost-effective agent for the treatment of established osteoporosis (osteoporosis and a prior fragility fracture) in women from the age of 50 years and older and above 65 years in women with osteoporosis alone. The results support the treatment recommendations in recent UK guidelines for osteoporosis.

A perspective on male osteoporosis

Osteoporosis and fragility fracture become common with advancing age in men. The incidence of osteoporosis-related fracture is similar to myocardial infarction and exceeds that of lung and prostate carcinoma combined. These fractures cause substantial morbidity, and the mortality following hip fracture is greater in men than in women. A decline in sex steroids and glucocorticoid and alcohol use, among other factors, contribute to bone loss and fracture risk. Approaches to reduce fracture risk in men are very similar to that in women - recognising and addressing muscle weakness/falls risk and optimising nutrition, with emphasis on calcium and vitamin D and medications when appropriate. Despite the high prevalence, osteoporosis remains largely undiagnosed and undertreated. Hopefully, increased recognition of male osteoporosis by health-care providers and the men themselves, in combination with recent consensus recommendations for treatment based on fracture-risk estimation, will reduce the burden of fragility fracture in men.

The cost-effectiveness of strontium ranelate in the UK for the management of osteoporosis

The cost-effectiveness of strontium ranelate was compared to no treatment in UK women using the FRAX algorithm for fracture risk assessment. At a willingness-to-pay of pound 30,000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY), strontium ranelate was generally cost-effective in women with prior fracture at the threshold of osteoporosis from an age of 65 years.

INTRODUCTION

The objectives of the study were to estimate the cost-effectiveness of strontium ranelate in the UK for the treatment of osteoporosis and to establish intervention thresholds for treatment using the FRAX tool.

METHODS

The cost-effectiveness of strontium ranelate was compared to no treatment in postmenopausal women with clinical risk factors for fracture using a lifetime simulation model based on Markov cohort methodology that incorporated the features of FRAX.

RESULTS

At a threshold of pound 30,000 per QALY, strontium ranelate was generally cost-effective in women from an age of 65 years with prior fracture at the threshold of osteoporosis (i.e., a T-score of -2.5 SD) and in women with a prior fracture (and no information on bone mineral density) from the age of 65 years. At a threshold of pound 20,000, strontium ranelate became cost-effective at a 10-year fracture probability of 25.7% and at 16.9% with a threshold of pound 30,000 for a QALY.

CONCLUSIONS

Strontium ranelate is a cost-effective agent for the treatment of established osteoporosis in women over the age of 65 years. Cost-effective scenarios were also found for the prevention and treatment of fractures associated with osteoporosis, in younger women with additional clinical risk factors.

The effects of a FRAX revision for the USA

A revision (version 3.0) of the fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) is developed based on an update of epidemiological information for the USA. With the revised tool, there were strong correlations (r > 0.99) between versions 2.0 and 3.0 for FRAX estimates of fracture probability, but the revised models gave lower probability estimates.

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to determine the effects of a revision of the epidemiological data used to compute fracture probabilities in the USA with FRAX.

METHODS

Models were constructed to compute fracture probabilities based on updated fracture incidence and mortality rates in the USA. The models comprised the ten-year probability of hip fracture and the ten-year probability of a major osteoporotic fracture, both including femoral neck bone mineral density (BMD). For each model, fracture and death hazards were computed as continuous functions. The effect of the revised rates on fracture probability was examined by piecewise linear regression using multiple combinations of clinical risk factors and BMD.

RESULTS

At all ages, there was a strong correlation (r > 0.99) between version 2.0 and revised FRAX estimates of fracture probability. For a major osteoporotic fracture, the revised model gave lower median probabilities by 13% to 24% in men, depending on age, and by 19% to 24% in women. For hip fracture probability, the revised model gave lower median fracture probabilities by 40% and 27% at the ages of 50 and 60 years in men and by 43% and 30%, respectively, in women. At the ages of 70 years and older the revised model gave similar hip fracture probabilities as version 2.0 in both men and women.

CONCLUSION

The revised FRAX model for the USA (version 3.0) does not alter the ranking of fracture probabilities but provides lower probability estimates than version 2.0, particularly, in younger women and men.

Prediction of Vertebral Fractures Is Specific for Gender and Site of Bone Mineral Density Measurement

Objective.

To investigate basic assumptions of prediction models for future vertebral fractures.

Methods.

Lateral radiographs of the spine were obtained from 314 Portuguese individuals aged 60 years or older (205 women and 109 men) with bone mineral density (BMD) measurements at several sites. Associations between BMD at various sites, participant characteristics, and vertebral fractures were investigated. For men and women separately, logistic regression analyses and analyses of areas under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were performed to determine the accuracy of BMD measurment at predicting the presence of vertebral deformities.

Results.

BMD measurements at all sites significantly predicted the presence of osteoporotic vertebral deformities in women but not in men. Similarly, in analyses of areas under ROC curves, BMD assessments were statistically significantly related to vertebral deformities in women but not in men. In multivariate analyses, BMD measurements of the lumbar spine and of the forearm, adjusted for gender, age, and body mass index, significantly predicted the presence of vertebral deformity, but BMD of the hip sites did not.

Conclusion.

Prediction of fractures is specific for gender and site of BMD measurement. This challenges the use of similar algorithms for men and women as well as the use of hip BMD data to accurately estimate future vertebral fracture risk.

[Economic concepts for measuring the costs of illness of osteoporosis: an international comparison]

Worldwide osteoporosis is underestimated and despite availability of effective and cost effective treatments, these are often not implemented. Apart from a demographically driven increase in disease cases, failure to implement or tardy implementation of preventive measures as well as poor treatment compliance leads to a deterioration of the health economic outcomes. This in turn causes considerable costs to the health care system and to society, through ineffective intake of medication, diminished quality of life and inability to work as well as substantial costs of rehabilitation of patients. Health economic analyses and methods are increasingly used by decision makers to set priorities and evaluate alternative treatment measures about their cost-effectiveness. In order to be able to capture the costs of illness incurred by osteoporosis, different diseases specific models and methods have been developed, such as the reference model of the IOF, an osteoporosis-specific Markov model or internationally comparable intervention thresholds. Health economists estimate that osteoporosis-related costs will double by 2050 in both Europe and the individual countries. For Europe this means an increase from 40 billion Euro in 2000 to almost 80 billion Euro in 2050. In Austria, an aggregation of the different costs of osteoporosis is not possible, due to a lack of comparability and availability of data. The international ICUROS study and the Austrian Osteoporosis Report 2007 are the first steps towards counteracting this situation.

[Current diagnosis and therapy of osteoporosis on the basis of "European guidance 2008"]

Osteoporosis is one of the 10 most important and widespread global diseases. In Germany alone the cost of osteoporosis runs into many billions of Euros. However, it should be noted that in the past 15 years great progress has been made both in diagnosis and in the development of new medications, and this has changed the general perception of and attitude to osteoporosis. It is now taken very seriously and recognised as a national and global disorder which is both preventable and treatable. In spite of this progress, in Europe and especially in Germany, osteoporosis remains an underdiagnosed and undertreated disease. In Germany, only about 10%-15% of patients with manifest osteoporosis are properly treated. However, in addition to national guidelines, there is now a new edition of the "European Position Paper for the Diagnosis and Management of Osteoporosis". This provides physicians treating osteoporosis patients with additional information and therefore more confidence.

The incidence and risk of hip fracture in Poland

SUMMARY

This study determined the incidence and probability of hip fractures in Poland based on verified hospital discharge notes from all of Poland. In the over-50-year-old population, hip fracture incidence was found to be 89/100,000 for men and 156/100,000 for women. Poland is among the countries with the lowest hip fracture risk in Europe.

INTRODUCTION

It is recommended that intervention thresholds should be based on an assessment of absolute fracture risk. Probability of hip fracture is calculated from the incidence of hip fracture in a given population and the incidence of death. The aim of this study was to determine the incidence and the absolute risk of hip fracture for men and women in Poland.

METHODS

The study was based on National Health Fund data from all of Poland for the year 2005. Hospital discharge notes reporting an incident fracture were identified from among all those containing a matching ICD code. Lifetime and 10-year fracture probabilities were calculated taking into account the mortality risk and BMD.

RESULTS

In 2005, there were 17,625 hip fractures diagnosed in Poland which was 30.2% less than the number of hospital discharge notes containing such a diagnosis in that year. In the over-50-year-old population, hip fracture incidence was found to be 89/100,000 for men and 165/100,000 for women. In the 50-65-year band, hip fracture incidence was higher in men than in women. The remaining lifetime probability of hip fracture at the age of 50 years was 2.0% for men and 4.5% for women which are among the lowest in Europe.

CONCLUSION

Hip fracture incidence and thus the probability of hip fracture risk in Poland is amongst the lowest in Europe. The authors recommend establishing a standard method for determining hip fracture incidence in a given country in order to standardize data.

FRAX and its applications to clinical practice

The introduction of the WHO FRAX algorithms has facilitated the assessment of fracture risk on the basis of fracture probability. FRAX integrates the influence of several well validated risk factors for fracture with or without the use of BMD. Its use in fracture risk prediction poses challenges for patient assessment, the development of practice guidelines, the evaluation of drug efficacy and reimbursement, as well as for health economics which are the topics outlined in this review.

[Treatment of osteoporosis according to the "European Guidance 2008". Fracture-oriented--economical--cost-effective]

Osteoporosis is one of the ten most important and widespread global diseases. In Germany alone the costs of osteoporosis run into billions of Euros. However, during the past 15 years great progress has been made both in diagnosis and in the development of new medications. Osteoporosis is now taken very seriously and recognized as a national and global disorder which is now both preventable and treatable. Nevertheless, at a practical level, both in Europe and especially in Germany, osteoporosis remains an underdiagnosed and undertreated disease. In Germany, only about 10-15% of patients with manifest osteoporosis are properly treated. The consequences of such inadequate care are high additional costs-not to mention the unnecessary suffering of the patients involved. However, in support of national guidelines, a new edition of the "European Position Paper for the Diagnosis and Management of Osteoporosis" provides the doctors who treat patients with osteoporosis with additional information and therefore more confidence. In this paper several aspects are emphasized: improvements in diagnostic evaluation, assessment of the efficacy of fracture-oriented medications, and cost-effectiveness of the treatment of patients with osteoporosis.

Health economics of osteoporosis

Rather than reviewing the many studies of cost effectiveness in osteoporosis, this paper reviews the principles of cost-effectiveness analysis and the gaps in our knowledge that are required to improve such analyses in osteoporosis. These include more information on the cost of fractures and their consequences on health states, particularly on an international basis. New developments include the incorporation of adherence into models, the use of the FRAX tool to assess cost-effectiveness in individuals with any combination of risk factors for fracture, and the setting of intervention thresholds based on cost-effectiveness.

Case finding for the management of osteoporosis with FRAX--assessment and intervention thresholds for the UK

Assessment and intervention thresholds are developed and proposed in men aged over 50 years and postmenopausal women for the UK based on fracture probability from the WHO fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX).

INTRODUCTION

The FRAX tool has recently become available to compute the 10-year probability of fractures in men and women from clinical risk factors (CRFs) with or without the measurement of femoral neck bone mineral density (BMD). The aim of this study was to develop a case-finding strategy for men and women from the UK at high risk of osteoporotic fracture by delineating the fracture probabilities at which BMD testing or intervention should be recommended.

METHODS

Fracture probabilities were computed using the FRAX tool calibrated to the epidemiology of fracture and death in the UK. The relationship between cost effectiveness and fracture probability used the source data from a prior publication that examined the cost effectiveness of generic alendronate in the UK. An intervention threshold was set by age in men and women, based on the fracture probability equivalent to that of women with a history of a prior osteoporosis related fracture. In addition, assessment thresholds for the use of BMD testing were explored. Assessment thresholds for the measurement of BMD followed current practice guidelines where individuals were considered to be eligible for assessment in the presence of one or more CRF. An upper assessment threshold (i.e. a fracture probability above which patients could be treated without recourse to BMD) was based on optimisation of the positive predictive value of the assessment tool. The consequences of assessment and intervention thresholds on the requirement for BMD test and interventions were assessed using the distribution of clinical risk factors and femoral neck BMD for women in the source cohorts used for the development of the FRAX models

RESULTS

Treatment was cost effective at all ages when the 10-year probability of a major fracture exceeded 7%. The intervention threshold at the age of 50 years corresponded to a 10-year probability of a major osteoporotic fracture of 7.5%. This rose progressively with age to 30% at the age of 80 years, so that intervention was cost effective at all ages. Assessment thresholds for testing with BMD (6-9% at the age of 50 years) also rose with age (18-36% at the age of 80 years). The use of these thresholds in a case-finding strategy would identify 6-20% of women as eligible for BMD testing and 23-46% as eligible for treatment, depending on age. The same threshold can be used in men.

CONCLUSION

The study provides a method of developing management algorithms for osteoporosis from the estimation of fracture probabilities, rather than those based on BMD alone or BMD with single or multiple CRFs.

Inhibition of bone turnover by milk intake in postmenopausal women

Increased postmenopausal bone turnover leads to bone loss and fragility fracture risk. In the absence of osteoporosis, risk preventive measures, particularly those modifying nutritional lifestyle, are appropriate. We tested the hypothesis that milk supplementation affects bone turnover related to biochemical markers in a direction that, in the long term, may be expected to reduce postmenopausal bone loss. Thirty healthy postmenopausal women aged 59·3 (sd3·3) years were enrolled in a prospective crossover trial of 16 weeks. After a 4-week period of adaptation with diet providing 600 mg calcium plus 300 mg ingested as 250 ml semi-skimmed milk, participants were maintained during 6 weeks under the same 600 mg calcium diet and randomized to receive either 500 ml semi-skimmed milk, thus providing a total of 1200 mg calcium, or no milk supplement. In the next 6 weeks they were switched to the alternative regimen. At the end of the each period, i.e. after 4, 10 and 16 weeks, blood and urinary samples were collected. The changes in blood variables between the periods of 6 weeks without and with milk supplementation were: for parathyroid hormone, − 3·2 pg/ml (P = 0·0054); for crosslinked telopeptide of type I collagen, − 624 pg/ml (P < 0·0001); for propeptide of type I procollagen, − 5·5 ng/ml (P = 0·0092); for osteocalcin, − 2·8 ng/ml (P = 0·0014). In conclusion, a 6-week period of milk supplementation induced a decrease in several biochemical variables compatible with diminished bone turnover mediated by reduction in parathyroid hormone secretion. This nutritional approach to postmenopausal alteration in bone metabolism may be a valuable measure in the primary prevention of osteoporosis.

First update of the Lebanese guidelines for osteoporosis assessment and treatment

With the demographic explosion, the human, social, and economic costs of osteoporosis in developing countries, including the Middle East, will continue to rise. In 2002, the Lebanese Guidelines for Osteoporosis Assessment and Treatment were developed to optimize quality of osteoporosis care in Lebanon and the region. They were endorsed by 5 Lebanese medical scientific societies, and by the Eastern Mediterranean Regional Office branch of the World Health Organization (WHO). In April 2006, the Lebanese Society for Osteoporosis and Metabolic Bone Disorders (OSTEOS) led an initiative to update several recommendations detailed in the original document, based on relevant new local and international data. Data from a population-based sample of elderly Lebanese validated the following recommendations: fracture risk assessment, expressed as relative risk per standard deviation (RR/SD) decrease, was comparable in Lebanese subjects to similarly derived estimates from Western studies; the use of the NHANES database (hip), and the densitometer American database (spine) was as good, if not superior to the use of a Lebanese database for identifying subjects with prevalent vertebral fractures. The original recommendation regarding the use of a gender-specific western database, densitometer for spine and NHANES for T-score derivation for men, remains unchanged. For skeletal site selection, the update recommends measuring the spine and hip for women < or =65 yr, hip only for subjects >65 yr, and adding the forearm in conditions associated with cortical bone loss or in the case of inability to measure axial sites. The original recommendations for conservative management in premenopausal women were reiterated. This First Update of the Lebanese Osteoporosis Guidelines validates previous recommendations using evidence from a population-based sample of elderly Lebanese, and lays the ground for transitioning the Lebanese Osteoporosis Guidelines to the WHO global fracture risk assessment model.

European guidance for the diagnosis and management of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women

Guidance is provided in a European setting on the assessment and treatment of postmenopausal women with or at risk from osteoporosis.

INTRODUCTION

The European Foundation for Osteoporosis and Bone disease (subsequently the International Osteoporosis Foundation) published guidelines for the diagnosis and management of osteoporosis in 1997. This manuscript updates these in a European setting.

METHODS

The following areas are reviewed: the role of bone mineral density measurement for the diagnosis of osteoporosis and assessment of fracture risk; general and pharmacological management of osteoporosis; monitoring of treatment; assessment of fracture risk; case finding strategies; investigation of patients; health economics of treatment.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

A platform is provided on which specific guidelines can be developed for national use.

Cost-effective osteoporosis treatment thresholds: the United States perspective

A United States-specific cost-effectiveness analysis, which incorporated the cost and health consequences of clinical fractures of the hip, spine, forearm, shoulder, rib, pelvis and lower leg, was undertaken to identify the 10-year hip fracture probability required for osteoporosis treatment to be cost-effective for cohorts defined by age, sex, and race/ethnicity. A 3% 10-year risk of hip fracture was generally required for osteoporosis treatment to cost less than $60,000 per QALY gained.

INTRODUCTION

Rapid growth of the elderly United States population will result in so many at risk of osteoporosis that economically efficient approaches to osteoporosis care warrant consideration.

METHODS

A Markov-cohort model of annual United States age-specific incidence of clinical hip, spine, forearm, shoulder, rib, pelvis and lower leg fractures, costs (2005 US dollars), and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) was used to assess the cost-effectiveness of osteoporosis treatment ($600/yr drug cost for 5 years with 35% fracture reduction) by gender and race/ethnicity groups. To determine the 10-year hip fracture probability at which treatment became cost-effective, average annual age-specific probabilities for all fractures were multiplied by a relative risk (RR) that was systematically varied from 0 to 10 until a cost of $60,000 per QALY gained was observed for treatment relative to no intervention.

RESULTS

Osteoporosis treatment was cost-effective when the 10-year hip fracture probability reached approximately 3%. Although the RR at which treatment became cost-effective varied markedly between genders and by race/ethnicity, the absolute 10-year hip fracture probability at which intervention became cost-effective was similar across race/ethnicity groups, but tended to be slightly higher for men than for women.

CONCLUSIONS

Application of the WHO risk prediction algorithm to identify individuals with a 3% 10-year hip fracture probability may facilitate efficient osteoporosis treatment.

Implications of absolute fracture risk assessment for osteoporosis practice guidelines in the USA

Application of the WHO fracture prediction algorithm in conjunction with an updated US economic analysis indicates that osteoporosis treatment is cost-effective in patients with fragility fractures or osteoporosis, in older individuals at average risk and in younger persons with additional clinical risk factors for fracture, supporting existing practice recommendations.

INTRODUCTION

The new WHO fracture prediction algorithm was combined with an updated economic analysis to evaluate existing NOF guidance for osteoporosis prevention and treatment.

METHODS

The WHO fracture prediction algorithm was calibrated to the US population using national age-, sex- and race-specific death rates and age- and sex-specific hip fracture incidence rates from the largely white population of Olmsted County, MN. Fracture incidence for other races was estimated by ratios to white women and men. The WHO algorithm estimated the probability (%) of a hip fracture (or a major osteoporotic fracture) over 10 years, given specific age, gender, race and clinical profiles. The updated economic model suggested that osteoporosis treatment was cost-effective when the 10-year probability of hip fracture reached 3%.

RESULTS

It is cost-effective to treat patients with a fragility fracture and those with osteoporosis by WHO criteria, as well as older individuals at average risk and osteopenic patients with additional risk factors. However, the estimated 10-year fracture probability was lower in men and nonwhite women compared to postmenopausal white women.

CONCLUSIONS

This analysis generally endorsed existing clinical practice recommendations, but specific treatment decisions must be individualized. An estimate of the patient's 10-year fracture risk should facilitate shared decision-making.

Epidemiology of osteoporosis related fractures in Hungary from the nationwide health insurance database, 1999-2003

The Hungarian national health insurance database was screened for fractures of patients aged 50-100, 1999-2003. On average, there were 343 hip, 1,579 forearm, 342 proximal humerus, 48 inpatient vertebral and 2,459 other fractures/100,000 inhabitants/year.

INTRODUCTION

The incidence of fractures differs among populations. Our aim was to study the incidence of fractures in Hungary, focusing on classical osteoporotic sites and to compare the results with those of other European countries.

METHODS

The Hungarian National Health Insurance Fund database, covering 100% of the population, was screened for fractures of patients aged 50-100, 1999-2003. The search of vertebral fractures was restricted to those admitted to hospital. A gender and age-matched comparison was performed with available data from Europe.

RESULTS

There were mean 343 hip, 1,579 forearm, 342 proximal humerus, 48 inpatient vertebral and 2,459 other fractures/100,000 inhabitants/year; the female/male ratio was between 1.2-2.4. Multiple fractures occurred in 23.1% of the cases. Hip fracture incidence in Hungary lies between the rates of northern and southern countries of Europe.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study offers nationwide epidemiological data on fractures in Hungary. The incidence of fractures increased by age, regardless of the type of fracture. Incidence of hip fractures in Hungary fits in the previously established geographic trends in Europe. Our results fulfil a need for fracture data from Central Europe.

Cost effectiveness of ultrasound and bone densitometry for osteoporosis screening in post-menopausal women

BACKGROUND

According to a new German guideline, decisions about bisphosphonate treatment for post-menopausal women should be based on 10-year fracture risk, and bone density should be measured by dual x-ray absorptiometry (DXA). Recently, there has been growing interest in quantitative ultrasound (QUS) as a less expensive screening alternative.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the cost effectiveness of osteoporosis screening with QUS as a pre-test for DXA and treatment with alendronate compared with (i) immediate access to DXA and (ii) no screening in women of the general population aged 50-90 years in Germany.

METHODS

A cost-utility analysis and a budget impact analysis were performed from the perspective of the statutory health insurance (SHI). A Markov model with a 1-year cycle length was used to simulate costs and benefits (QALYs), discounted at 3% per annum, over a lifetime. The number of women correctly diagnosed by QUS and DXA as being above a 10-year risk of > or =30% was estimated for different age groups (50-60, 60-70, 70-80 and 80-90 years, respectively). The robustness of the results was tested by a probabilistic Monte Carlo simulation.

RESULTS

Compared with no screening, the cost effectiveness of QUS plus DXA was found to be Euro 3529, Euro 9983, Euro 4382 and Euro 1987 per QALY for 50-, 60-, 70- and 80-year-old women, respectively (year 2006 values). This screening strategy results in annual costs of Euro 96 million or 0.07% of the SHI's annual budget. The cost effectiveness of DXA alone compared with DXA plus QUS is Euro 5331, Euro 60, 804, Euro 14, 943 and Euro 3654 per QALY for 50-, 60-, 70- and 80-year-old women, respectively. DXA alone results in a higher number of QALYs in all age groups. The results were robust in the sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSION

Compared with no screening, the cost effectiveness of QUS and DXA in sequence is very favourable in all age groups. However, direct access to DXA is also a cost-effective option, as it increases the number of QALYs at an acceptable cost compared with pre-testing by QUS (except for women aged 60-70 years). Therefore, QUS as a pre-test for DXA can be clearly recommended only in women aged 60-70 years. For the other age groups, the cost effectiveness of QUS as a pre-test depends on the global budget constraint and the accessibility of DXA.

Cost effectiveness of the German screen-and-treat strategy for postmenopausal osteoporosis

BACKGROUND

The German osteology umbrella organization, Dachverband Osteologie (DVO), has published a new guideline for the secondary prevention of osteoporotic fractures. According to the guideline, women are screened using dual x-ray absorptiometry (DXA). Those with an absolute 10-year fracture risk > or =30% are treated with bisphosphonates such as alendronate or risedronate for 4 years or with teriparatide for 18 months.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the cost effectiveness of the screen-and-treat strategy versus no intervention in women of the general population aged 50-90 years in Germany.

METHODS

Cost-utility and budget-impact analyses were performed from the perspective of the statutory health insurance (SHI). A Markov model with a 1-year cycle length simulated costs and benefits (QALYs), discounted at 3%, over a lifetime horizon. The number of women correctly diagnosed by pre-tests and DXA as having a 10-year fracture risk of > or =30% was estimated for different age groups (50-60, 60-70, 70-80 and 80-90 years). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated; all costs are presented in euro, year 2006 values. Robustness of the results was tested by a probabilistic Monte Carlo simulation.

RESULTS

Alendronate was the most cost-effective drug in all age groups; the ICERs were euro 3849, euro 16 589, euro 6600 and euro 2337 per QALY for 50-, 60-, 70- and 80-year-old women, respectively, followed by risedronate. Teriparatide was dominated in every age group. Implementing the screen-and-treat strategy would result in annual costs of euro 175 million for alendronate (euro 181 million for risedronate) or 0.14% of the SHI annual budget. Results were robust in the sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSION

While the screen-and-treat strategy would result in a substantial cost increase for the SHI, the use of alendronate within such a strategy appears cost effective when compared with many generally accepted medical interventions.

The cost-effectiveness of alendronate in the management of osteoporosis

The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) in the UK has recently issued health economic appraisals for the primary and secondary prevention of osteoporotic fracture that are more restrictive than previous guidelines for the management of osteoporosis despite a marked reduction of the cost of intervention. The aim of the present study was to examine the cost-effectiveness of the bisphosphonate, alendronate for the prevention and treatment of fractures associated with osteoporosis. A second aim was to investigate reasons for any disparities in cost-effectiveness between our findings and the NICE appraisals. We compared the effects of alendronate 70 mg weekly by mouth for 5 years with no treatment in postmenopausal women with clinical risk factors for fracture and computed the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) using a lifetime simulation model based on Markov cohort methodology. A sensitivity analysis examined other common interventions. Using a threshold of pound sterling 30,000 and pound sterling 20,000 per quality of life-year (QALY) gained to determine cost-effectiveness, alendronate was cost-effective for the primary prevention of fracture in women with osteoporosis irrespective of age as was treatment of women with a prior fragility fracture irrespective of BMD. Cost-effective scenarios were also found in women with strong risk factors for fracture with a bone mineral density value above the threshold for osteoporosis. The results were robust over reasonable assumptions in sensitivity analysis. We conclude that alendronate is a cost-effective agent for the prevention and treatment of fractures associated with osteoporosis. These findings, suitable for informing practice guidance, contrast with recent appraisals from NICE.

Excess mortality following hip fracture: the role of underlying health status

We evaluated the long-term excess mortality associated with hip fracture, using prospectively collected data on pre-fracture health and function from a nationally representative sample of U.S. elders. Although mortality was elevated for the first six months following hip fracture, we found no evidence of long-term excess mortality.

INTRODUCTION

The long-term excess mortality associated with hip fracture remains controversial.

METHODS

To assess the association between hip fracture and mortality, we used prospectively collected data on pre-fracture health and function from a representative sample of U.S. elders in the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS) to perform survival analyses with time-varying covariates.

RESULTS

Among 25,178 MCBS participants followed for a median duration of 3.8 years, 730 sustained a hip fracture during follow-up. Both early (within 6 months) and subsequent mortality showed significant elevations in models adjusted only for age, sex and race. With additional adjustment for pre-fracture health status, functional impairments, comorbid conditions and socioeconomic status, however, increased mortality was limited to the first six months after fracture (hazard ratio [HR]: 6.28, 95% CI: 4.82, 8.19). No increased mortality was evident during subsequent follow-up (HR: 1.04, 95% CI: 0.88, 1.23). Hip-fracture-attributable population mortality ranged from 0.5% at age 65 among men to 6% at age 85 among women.

CONCLUSIONS

Hip fracture was associated with substantially increased mortality, but much of the short-term risk and all of the long-term risk was explained by the greater frailty of those experiencing hip fracture.