The role of adipokines as prognostic factors of one-year mortality in hip fracture patients

Development and validation of a prognostic scoring system for 1-year mortality in older patients with hip fractures

BACKGROUND

Hip fractures in older people result in increased mortality.

OBJECTIVE

We developed and validated an accurate and simple prognostic scoring system for hip fractures that can be used preoperatively.

DESIGN

Retrospective study.

SETTING

Multicenter.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients aged ≥65 years with hip fractures who underwent surgery between 2011 and 2021 were enrolled.

METHODS

The significant factors were determined with logistic regression analysis, and a scoring system was developed. The patients were classified into three groups, and a log-rank test was performed to evaluate 1-year survival rates. The model was internally and externally validated using the 5-fold cross-validation and data from another hospital, respectively.

RESULTS

We included 1026 patients. The analysis revealed eight significant prognostic factors: sex, body mass index, history of chronic heart failure and malignancy, activities of daily living (ADLs) before injury, hemoglobin and the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) at injury, and the American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) after internal validation was 0.853. The external validation data consisted of 110 patients. The AUC of the model for the validation data was 0.905, showing outstanding discrimination. Sensitivity and specificity were 88.7% vs. 100% and 93.3% vs. 95.2% for the development and validation data, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated an accurate and simple prognostic scoring system for hip fractures using only preoperative factors. Our findings highlight PNI as an important predictor of prognosis in hip fracture patients.

Bone turnover biomarkers predict one-year all-cause mortality and walking ability in geriatric hip fracture patients

PURPOSE

To investigate the utility of serum C-terminal cross-linking telopeptides (β-CTX) and procollagen type I N propeptide (PINP) for predicting one-year mortality and walking ability in Chinese geriatric hip fracture patients who underwent surgical interventions.

METHOD

Elderly patients (≥ 60 years) who underwent surgical interventions for unilateral low-energy hip fracture from 2015 to 2020 in our center were included. Demographic data was retrospectively retrieved from the electronic medical database. The PINP and β-CTX concentrations were measured before the surgery. The patients were divided into two groups according to the outcome of mortality and walking ability after hip surgery, respectively. β-CTX and PINP were divided into four grades based on quartiles [Quartile(Q)1-4] for further analysis. All the variables with p < 0.1 in univariable analysis were included in a multivariable model.

RESULTS

In univariable analysis, the levels of serum β-CTX (p = 0.007) and PINP (p = 0.025) was associated with one-year mortality, while the association between levels of serum β-CTX (p = 0.072) or PINP (p = 0.055) with one-year disability was marginally significant. After adjustment for confounders, the relative risk [OR (95 % CI), Q4 v sQ1, p-value] of one-year mortality and one-year disability were 7.28 (2.08-29.78, p = 0.003) and 3.97 (1.44-11.69, p = 0.009) for β-CTX and 5.87 (1.70-23.80, p = 0.008) and 3.48 (1.30-9.93, p = 0.016) for PINP, respectively. The coefficient of determination, AUC and bias-corrected C-index of predictive models based on previously reported predictors were significantly improved after integrating β-CTX or PINP.

CONCLUSION

Higher serum β-CTX and PINP are independently associated with an increased risk of one-year mortality and disability in patients with hip fractures. The application of BTMs improves the performance of currently available predictive models.

Effect of adipokine and ghrelin levels on BMD and fracture risk: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis

Context

Circulating adipokines and ghrelin affect bone remodeling by regulating the activation and differentiation of osteoblasts and osteoclasts. Although the correlation between adipokines, ghrelin, and bone mineral density (BMD) has been studied over the decades, its correlations are still controversial. Accordingly, an updated meta-analysis with new findings is needed.

Objective

This study aimed to explore the impact of serum adipokine and ghrelin levels on BMD and osteoporotic fractures through a meta-analysis.

Data sources

Studies published till October 2020 in Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were reviewed.

Study selection

We included studies that measured at least one serum adipokine level and BMD or fracture risk in healthy individuals. We excluded studies with one or more of the following: patients less than 18 years old, patients with comorbidities, who had undergone metabolic treatment, obese patients, patients with high physical activities, and a study that did not distinguish sex or menopausal status.

Data extraction

We extracted the data that include the correlation coefficient between adipokines (leptin, adiponectin, and resistin) and ghrelin and BMD, fracture risk by osteoporotic status from eligible studies.

Data synthesis

A meta-analysis of the pooled correlations between adipokines and BMD was performed, demonstrating that the correlation between leptin and BMD was prominent in postmenopausal women. In most cases, adiponectin levels were inversely correlated with BMD. A meta-analysis was conducted by pooling the mean differences in adipokine levels according to the osteoporotic status. In postmenopausal women, significantly lower leptin (SMD = -0.88) and higher adiponectin (SMD = 0.94) levels were seen in the osteoporosis group than in the control group. By predicting fracture risk, higher leptin levels were associated with lower fracture risk (HR = 0.68), whereas higher adiponectin levels were associated with an increased fracture risk in men (HR = 1.94) and incident vertebral fracture in postmenopausal women (HR = 1.18).

Conclusions

Serum adipokines levels can utilize to predict osteoporotic status and fracture risk of patients.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42021224855, identifier CRD42021224855.

Geographic Variations in Intertrochanteric Femoral Fractures in China

Background

Hip fracture is one of the major risk factors of global mortality and disability. The aim of this study was to map the pattern of intertrochanteric femoral fractures in China, providing a pilot national dataset and basis for medical policy proposals.

Methods

A multistage probability sampling strategy was applied in the national baseline survey. Thirty provinces in mainland China were included in this survey. A standardized questionnaire survey was conducted to collect information about basic characteristics such as age, working seniority, hospital level, and residence, with two other parts including perioperative and postoperative treatment parameters. Odds ratios and 95% confidence interval were used to determine essential statistical differences. The proportion of the options in each region was compared using the chi-square (χ ²) test. The histogram and choropleth map of the monthly number of admissions were created using Excel 2016 to show the distribution characteristics.

Results

In total, 1065 valid responses were included, representing a 96.7% survey capture rate. Perioperative treatment and postoperative care distinctly varied across regions and hospital levels. The monthly number of admissions was relatively lower in the Northern region, with higher proportion of hospitalizations to secondary hospitals compared with the Eastern region. The patients in the Eastern region or tertiary hospitals had shorter preoperative waiting time and hospitalization period.

Conclusions

We found apparent geographic variations in intertrochanteric femoral fractures in this study, and the data can be used for drafting national healthcare plans and medical policies.

Changing trends in the mortality rate at 1-year post hip fracture - a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Traditionally, the mortality rate at 1-year post hip fracture was quoted as approximately 30% of all hip fractures. There have been recent improvements in hip fracture care in the main driven by national hip fracture registries with reductions in 30-d mortality rates reported.

AIM

To address recent 1-year post hip fracture mortality rates in the literature.

METHODS

Systematic literature review, national hip fracture registries/databases, local studies on hip fracture mortality, 5 years limitation (2013-2017), cohorts > 100, studies in English. Outcome measure: Mortality rate at 1-year post hip fracture.

RESULTS

Recent 1-year mortality rates were reviewed using the literature from 8 National Registries and 36 different countries. Recently published 1-year mortality rates appear lower than traditional figures and may represent a downward trend.

CONCLUSION

There appears to be a consistent worldwide reduction in mortality at 1-year post hip fracture compared to previously published research. Globally, those which suffer hip fractures may currently be benefiting from the results of approximately 30 years of national registries, rigorous audit processes and international collaboration. The previously quoted mortality rates of 10% at 1-mo and 30% at 1-year may be outdated.

Circulating adiponectin levels are paradoxically associated with mortality rate. A systematic review and meta-analysis

CONTEXT

Some studies have surprisingly indicated that serum adiponectin is positively related to mortality rate, thus casting doubts on its role as a therapeutic target for cardiovascular disease.

OBJECTIVE

To summarize evidence about direction, strength and modulators of this controversial association.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, Web of Science, CINHAL, Cochrane Library and Scopus from inception through June 2018.

STUDY SELECTION

English-language prospective studies reporting the association between adiponectin and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality.

DATA EXTRACTION

Two investigators independently extracted data and assessed study quality using standard criteria following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses and The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, respectively. Pooled hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals-CIs) were derived using a fixed or random effects models when appropriated and were expressed for one standard deviation (SD) increment of adiponectin.

DATA SYNTHESIS

We identified fifty-five (n=61,676 subjects) and twenty-eight (n=43,979 subjects) studies for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. Pooled HRs, were 1.24 (1.17-1.31) and 1.28 (1.19-1.37) for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. Similar results were obtained also for High Molecular Weight adiponectin. When meta-analyses were restricted to studies reporting data on natriuretic peptides a 43% and 28% reduction on a log scale of these associations were observed after natriuretic peptides adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results strongly points to a paradoxical association between high adiponectin levels and increased mortality rate, which is partly modulated by natriuretic peptides.

Persistence of Excess Mortality Following Individual Nonhip Fractures: A Relative Survival Analysis

CONTEXT

Little is known about long-term excess mortality following fragility nonhip fractures.

OBJECTIVE

The study aimed to determine which fracture was associated with excess mortality and for how long the postfracture excess mortality persisted.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PATIENTS

This nationwide registry-based follow-up study included all individuals in Denmark aged 50+ years who first experienced fragility fractures in 2001 and were followed up for up to 10 years for their mortality risk.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

The contribution of fracture to mortality at precise postfracture time intervals was examined using relative survival analysis, accounting for time-related mortality changes in the background population.

RESULTS

There were 21,123 women (aged 72 ± 13 years) and 9481 men (aged 67 ± 12 years) with an incident fragility fracture in 2001, followed by 10,668 and 4745 deaths, respectively. Excess mortality was observed following all proximal and lower leg fractures. The majority of deaths occurred within the first year after fracture, and thereafter excess mortality gradually declined. Hip fractures were associated with the highest excess mortality (33% and 20% at 1 year after fracture in men and women, respectively). One-year excess mortality after fracture of a femur or pelvis was 20% to 25%; vertebrae, 10%; humerus, rib, or clavicle, 5% to 10%; and lower leg, 3%. A significant although smaller excess mortality was still observed until 10 years for hip fractures and ~5 years after femur, other proximal, and lower leg fractures.

CONCLUSION

This study highlights the important contribution of a wide variety of fragility fractures to long-term excess mortality and thus the potential for benefit from early intervention.

The Adiponectin Paradox for All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality

Basic science studies have shown beneficial effects of adiponectin on glucose homeostasis, chronic low-grade inflammation, apoptosis, oxidative stress, and atherosclerotic processes, so this molecule usually has been considered a salutary adipokine. It was therefore quite unexpected that large prospective human studies suggested that adiponectin is simply a marker of glucose homeostasis, with no direct favorable effect on the risk of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. But even more unforeseen were data addressing the role of adiponectin on the risk of death. In fact, a positive, rather than the expected negative, relationship was reported between adiponectin and mortality rate across many clinical conditions, comprising diabetes. The biology underlying this paradox is unknown. Several explanations have been proposed, including adiponectin resistance and the confounding role of natriuretic peptides. In addition, preliminary genetic evidence speaks in favor of a direct role of adiponectin in increasing the risk of death. However, none of these hypotheses are based on robust data, so further efforts are needed to unravel the elusive role of adiponectin on cardiometabolic health and, most important, its paradoxical association with mortality rate.