Association between a literature-based genetic risk score and bone mineral density of African American women in Women Health Initiative Study

Ethnic disparities in fracture risk assessment using polygenic scores

Whether the PGS developed using data from European ancestry is predictive of fracture risk for minorities remains unclear. This study demonstrated that PGSs based on common BMD-related genetic variants discovered in the European ancestry cohort are predictive of fracture risk in people of Asian but not African ancestry.

PURPOSE

Large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) on bone mineral density (BMD) have been conducted predominantly in European cohorts. Genetic models based on common variants associated with BMD have been evaluated using almost exclusively European data, which could potentially exacerbate health disparities due to different linkage disequilibrium among different ethnic groups.

METHODS

UK Biobank (UKB) is a large-scale population-based observational study starting in 2006 that recruited 502,617 individuals aged between 40 and 69 years with genotypic and phenotypic data available. Based on the summary statistics of two GWAS studies of femoral neck BMD and total body BMD, we derived four PGSs and assessed the association between each PGS and prevalent/incident fractures within each ethnic group separately using Multivariate logistic regressions and Cox proportional hazard models. All models were adjusted for age, sex, and the first four principal components.

RESULTS

We assessed four PGSs derived from European cohorts. Significant associations were observed between PGSs and fracture in European and Asian cohorts but not in the African cohort. Of all four PGSs, [Formula: see text] performed the best. A standard deviation decreases in [Formula: see text] were associated with an increased hazard ratio (HR) of 1.24 (1.22-1.27), 1.28 (0.83-1.99), and 1.34 (1.10-1.64) in European, African, and Asian ancestry, respectively. A low BMD-related PGS is associated with up to 2.35- and 4.31-fold increased fracture risk in European and Asian populations.

CONCLUSIONS

These results showed that PGSs based on common BMD-related genetic variants discovered in the European ancestry cohort are predictive of fracture risk in people of Asian but not African ancestry.

Multiple polygenic scores improve bone mineral density prediction in an independent sample of Caucasian women

PURPOSE OF THE STUDY

To determine if multiple Genetic Risk Scores (GRSs) improve bone mineral density (BMD) prediction over single GRS in an independent sample of Caucasian women.

STUDY DESIGN

Based on summary statistics of four genome-wide association studies related to two osteoporosis-associated traits, namely BMD and heel quantitative ultrasound derived estimated BMD (eBMD), four GRSs were derived for 1205 individuals in the Genome-Wide Scan for Female Osteoporosis Gene Study. The effect of each GRS on BMD variation was assessed using multivariable linear regression, with conventional risk factors adjusted for. Next, the eBMD-related GRS that explained the most variance in BMD was selected to be entered into a multi-score model, along with the BMD-related GRS. Elastic net regularised regression was used to develop the multiscore model, which estimated the joint effect of two GRSs (GRS_BMD and GRS_eBMD) on BMD variation, after being adjusted for conventional risk factors.

RESULTS

With the same clinical risk factors having been adjusted for, the model that included GRS_BMD performed best by explaining 32.53% of the variance in BMD; the single-score model that included GRS_eBMD explained 34.03% of BMD variance. The model that includes both GRS_BMD and GRS_ eBMD, as well as the clinical risk factors, aggregately explained 35.05% in BMD variation. Compared with the single GRS models, the multiscore model explained significantly more variance in BMD.

CONCLUSIONS

The multipolygenic score model explained a considerable amount of BMD variation. Compared with single score models, multipolygenic score model provided significant improvement in explaining BMD variation.

A Meta-Analysis of the Transferability of Bone Mineral Density Genetic Loci Associations From European to African Ancestry Populations

Genetic studies of bone mineral density (BMD) largely have been conducted in European populations. We therefore conducted a meta-analysis of six independent African ancestry cohorts to determine whether previously reported BMD loci identified in European populations were transferable to African ancestry populations. We included nearly 5000 individuals with both genetic data and assessments of BMD. Genotype imputation was conducted using the 1000G reference panel. We assessed single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) associations with femoral neck and lumbar spine BMD in each cohort separately, then combined results in fixed effects (or random effects if study heterogeneity was high, I2 index >60) inverse variance weighted meta-analyses. In secondary analyses, we conducted locus-based analyses of rare variants using SKAT-O. Mean age ranged from 12 to 68 years. One cohort included only men and another cohort included only women; the proportion of women in the other four cohorts ranged from 52% to 63%. Of 56 BMD loci tested, one locus, 6q25 (C6orf97, p = 8.87 × 10-4 ), was associated with lumbar spine BMD and two loci, 7q21 (SLC25A13, p = 2.84 × 10-4 ) and 7q31 (WNT16, p = 2.96 × 10-5 ), were associated with femoral neck BMD. Effects were in the same direction as previously reported in European ancestry studies and met a Bonferroni-adjusted p value threshold, the criteria for transferability to African ancestry populations. We also found associations that met locus-specific Bonferroni-adjusted p value thresholds in 11q13 (LRP5, p < 2.23 × 10-4 ), 11q14 (DCDC5, p < 5.35 × 10-5 ), and 17p13 (SMG6, p < 6.78 × 10-5 ) that were not tagged by European ancestry index SNPs. Rare single-nucleotide variants in AKAP11 (p = 2.32 × 10-2 ), MBL2 (p = 4.09 × 10-2 ), MEPE (p = 3.15 × 10-2 ), SLC25A13 (p = 3.03 × 10-2 ), STARD3NL (p = 3.35 × 10-2 ), and TNFRSF11A (p = 3.18 × 10-3 ) were also associated with BMD. The majority of known BMD loci were not transferable. Larger genetic studies of BMD in African ancestry populations will be needed to overcome limitations in statistical power and to identify both other loci that are transferable across populations and novel population-specific variants. © 2020 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).