Early preablation rhTSH-stimulated thyroglobulin predicts outcome of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients

Is Stimulated Thyroglobulin Before Radioiodine Therapy a Useful Tool in Predicting Response to Initial Therapy in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma?

Thyroglobulin (Tg) is an important tool to evaluate the persistence and recurrence risk in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). We aimed to evaluate the correlation between pre-radioiodine therapy stimulated Tg (pre-RAI Tg) levels and the first response to treatment evaluation, and to establish a cut-off pre-RAI Tg threshold for predicting an initial excellent response. Retrospective cohort study of DTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy and radioiodine therapy. Response to therapy was evaluated 6 to 24 months after initial therapy, and patients were classified as: excellent response (ER); indeterminate response (IndR) and incomplete response (IncR). Total patients: 166 among which 85.5% female with mean age of 47.6 ± 13 years. The ER had a significantly lower pre-RAI Tg in comparison to IndR (p<0.001) and IncR (p<0.001), and pre-RAI Tg were different between the IndR and IncR (p=0.02). A cut-off pre-RAI Tg value at 7.55ng/ml was obtained by receiver operating characteristics curve for differentiating ER from IndR and IncR. The area under curve was 0.832 (95% CI 0.76-0.91). In multivariate analysis, ATA low-risk (RR 1.61, 95% CI 1.06-2.43, p=0.025) and Tg below 7.55ng/ml (RR 2.17, 95% CI 1.52-3.10, p<0.001) were associated with ER. After a median of 7.4-year follow-up, 124 (74.7%) patients were allocated into ER, 22 (13.2%) into IndR, and 20 (12%) into IncR. In conclusion, pre-RAI Tg predicts first evaluation of treatment response. Pre-RAI Tg cut-off was a key predictor of initial excellent response to therapy and may be an important tool in the follow-up of DTC patients.

Prognostic factors in children and adolescents with differentiated thyroid cancer treated with total thyroidectomy and radioiodine therapy: a retrospective two-center study from China

Purpose

This two-center study aimed to explore the main prognostic factors affecting the final disease status in children and adolescents with differentiated thyroid cancer (caDTC) following total thyroidectomy and radioiodine therapy (RAIT).

Materials and methods

All caDTC patients from two centers in the period from 2004-2022 were retrospectively included. At the last follow-up, the patients' disease status was assessed and classified as an incomplete response (IR) or as an excellent or indeterminate response (EIDR). Then, the difference in preablation stimulated thyroglobulin (ps-Tg) levels between the two groups was compared, and the threshold for predicting IR was determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Moreover, univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify the factors influencing the patients' ultimate disease outcomes.

Results

A total of 143 patients (98 females, 45 males; median age 16 years) were recruited. After a median follow-up of 42.9 months, 80 patients (55.9%) exhibited an EIDR, whereas 63 patients (44.1%) exhibited an IR. Patients with an IR had significantly greater ps-Tg levels than did those with an EIDR (median ps-Tg 79.2 ng/mL vs. 9.3 ng/mL, p<0.001). The ROC curve showed that ps-Tg ≥20 ng/mL was the most accurate for predicting IR at the last follow-up. According to multivariate analysis, only ps-Tg, T stage and the therapeutic response to initial RAIT were significantly associated with IR.

Conclusion

In caDTC patients, the ps-Tg level, T stage, and response to initial RAIT are critical final outcome indicators.

Stimulated thyroglobulin and diagnostic 131-iodine whole-body scan as a predictor of distant metastasis and association with response to treatment in pediatric thyroid cancer patients

INTRODUCTION

Differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) is a rare oncological disease in the pediatric population, presenting with a more aggressive form. Stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) and the 131-iodine whole-body scans (WBSs) are known adult markers related to the presence of distant metastasis. Little is known about their roles in the pediatric population.

PURPOSE

To evaluate sTg levels and diagnostic WBS (DxWBS) as predictors of distant metastasis after thyroidectomy and to correlate with the response to treatment at the end of follow-up in pediatric DTC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients under 19 years old diagnosed with DTC from 1980 to 2022 were retrospectively evaluated. sTg values and WBS were assessed after thyroidectomy and prior radioiodine treatment (RIT) and correlated with the possibility of finding distant metastasis and response to treatment at the end of follow-up.

RESULTS

In a total of 142 patients with a median age of 14.6 (4-18) years who were followed for 9.5 ± 7.2 years and classified according to the ATA risk of recurrence as low (28%), intermediate (16%), and high risk (56%), 127 patients had their sTg evaluated. A sTg value of 21.7 ng/dl yielded a sensitivity of 88% compared to 30% for DxWBS in predicting distant metastasis. Specificity was 60% and 100% respectively. 42% of patients obtained discordant results between DxWBS and RxWBS. In high-risk patients, sTg levels were particularly able to differentiate those who would have distant metastasis with better diagnostic accuracy than the WBSs.

CONCLUSIONS

The sTg level had better performance in detecting distant metastases in pediatric DTC than the DxWBS. DxWBS's low performance suggests that caution should be taken in interpreting their findings in terms of the underdiagnosis for metastatic disease, especially when the sTg level already suggests distant disease.

Diagnostic, Theranostic and Prognostic Value of Thyroglobulin in Thyroid Cancer

Thyroglobulin (Tg) is an iodinated glycoprotein, which is normally stored in the follicular colloid of the thyroid, being a substrate for thyroid hormone production. Since it is produced by well-differentiated thyroid cells, it is considered a reliable tumor marker for patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) during their follow-up after total thyroidectomy and radioiodine ablation. It is used to monitor residual disease and to detect recurrent disease. After total thyroid ablation, unstimulated highly sensitive Tg measurements are sufficiently accurate to avoid exogenous or endogenous thyrotropin (TSH) stimulation and provide accurate diagnostic and prognostic information in the great majority of DTC patients. Adopting sophisticated statistical analysis, i.e., decision tree models, the use of Tg before radioiodine theranostic administration was demonstrated to be useful in refining conventional, pathology-based risk stratification and providing personalized adjuvant or therapeutic radioiodine administrations. The follow-up of DTC patients aims to promptly identify patients with residual or recurrent disease following primary treatment. Our review paper covers the diagnostic, theranostic and prognostic value of thyroglobulin in DTC patients.

Early stimulated thyroglobulin after thyroidectomy for thyroid cancer predicts preradioiodine therapy thyroglobulin values

BACKGROUND

Follow-up of patients who undergo a total thyroidectomy is performed with thyroglobulin (Tg), and antithyroglobulin antibodies (AbTg). The objective of RAI adjuvant therapy is to negativize Tg to undetectable levels to ease the follow-up. The objective of this study was to evaluate the correlation of serum Tg values measured 2 weeks after surgery with the Tg value prior to RAI adjuvant therapy in order to define its utility as a reliable predictor of pretherapy Tg and as a potential predictor to avoid RAI adjuvant therapy.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of a cohort recruited prospectively. Adult patients with thyroid carcinoma who underwent total thyroidectomy and classified as intermediate or high risk by ATA guidelines. All patients were left without levothyroxine support after surgery and for at least two weeks. We measured biochemical markers two-four weeks after thyroidectomy and before and after RAI.

RESULTS

We included 75 patients. Thirty-three (44.0%) patients were classified as ATA high risk. In the post-RAI scan, only 1 (1.3%) showed distant metastases. The comparison between early postoperative and pretherapy Tg values showed that Tg decreased or remained stable at postoperative levels in 75 patients (100%).

CONCLUSIONS

Postoperative Tg measurements are a reliable marker of pretherapy Tg levels in patients with intermediate- and high-risk thyroid carcinoma who are candidates for RAI adjuvant therapy. These results need correlation with outcomes and response to therapy in high-risk patients.

The influence of stimulated thyroglobulin and lymphocyte subsets before radioiodine therapy on the therapeutic response in patients with intermediate- and high-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma

The aim of the present study was to investigate the factors influencing the short-term response to the initial radioiodine therapy (RT) course in patients with intermediate- and high-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). A total of 182 patients with intermediate- and high-risk PTC who underwent RT in our hospital from March 2018 to October 2020 were retrospectively enrolled. The patients were divided into incomplete response (IR) and nonincomplete response (Non-IR) groups according to the response observed in clinical follow-up within 6-12 months after RT. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to investigate the effects of 15 observed factors on the response to RT. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine the value of factors found to be significant in multivariate analyses for predicting an IR. A total of 182 patients with intermediate- and high-risk PTC were analyzed; the percentage of patients with a Non-IR was 61.54% (112/182), and the percentage of patients with an IR was 38.46% (70/182). The CD4+ T-cell percentage (t = 4.757, P = 0.000), CD4/CD8 (z = - 2.632, P = 0.008), stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) level (z = - 8.273, P = 0.000) and M stage (χ2 = 17.823, P = 0.000) of the two groups were significantly different. Multivariate analysis showed that only the sTg level (OR: 1.116, 95% CI 1.068-1.165, P < 0.001) and CD4+ T-cell percentage (OR: 0.909, 95% CI 0.854-0.968, P = 0.003) were independent factors associated with the therapeutic response to RT. The cutoff sTg level and CD4+ T-cell percentage for predicting an IR were 7.62 μg/L and 40.95%, respectively. The sTg level and CD4+ T-cell percentage were verified to be independent predictive factors of RT response. Higher sTg levels and lower CD4+ T-cell percentages were related to an IR in patients with intermediate- and high-risk PTC.

Postoperative thyroglobulin as a yard-stick for radioiodine therapy: decision tree analysis in a European multicenter series of 1317 patients with differentiated thyroid cancer

PURPOSE

An accurate postoperative assessment is pivotal to inform postoperative 131I treatment in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). We developed a predictive model for post-treatment whole-body scintigraphy (PT-WBS) results (as a proxy for persistent disease) by adopting a decision tree model.

METHODS

Age, sex, histology, T stage, N stage, risk classes, remnant estimation, TSH, and Tg were identified as potential predictors and were put into regression algorithm (conditional inference tree, ctree) to develop a risk stratification model for predicting the presence of metastases in PT-WBS.

RESULTS

The lymph node (N) stage identified a partition of the population into two subgroups (N-positive vs N-negative). Among N-positive patients, a Tg value  > 23.3 ng/mL conferred a 83% probability to have metastatic disease compared to those with lower Tg values. Additionally, N-negative patients were further substratified in three subgroups with different risk rates according to their Tg values. The model remained stable and reproducible in the iterative process of cross validation.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a simple and robust decision tree model able to provide reliable informations on the probability of persistent/metastatic DTC after surgery. These information may guide post-surgery 131I administration and select patients requiring curative rather than adjuvant 131I therapy schedules.

Comparison of 1.1 GBq and 2.2 GBq Activities in Patients with Low-Risk Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Requiring Postoperative 131I Administration: A Real Life Study

OBJECTIVES

To compare the efficacy of low and moderate ¹³¹I activities in low-risk differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) patients requiring postoperative thyroid remnant ablation in a real-world clinical setting.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the records of 299 low-risk DTC patients (pT1-T2, Nx(0) Mx) who had undergone (near)-total thyroidectomy followed by ¹³¹I therapy, using either low (1.1 GBq) or moderate (2.2 GBq) radioiodine activities. The response to initial treatments was evaluated after 8-12 months, and patient responses were classified according to the 2015 American Thyroid Association guidelines.

RESULTS

An excellent response was observed in 274/299 (91.6%) patients, specifically, in 119/139 (85.6%) and 155/160 (96.9%) patients treated with low and moderate ¹³¹I activities, respectively (p = 0.029). A biochemically indeterminate or incomplete response was observed in seventeen (22.2%) patients treated with low ¹³¹I activities and three (1.8%) patients treated with moderate ¹³¹I activities (p = 0.001). Finally, five patients showed an incomplete structural response, among which three and two received low and moderate ¹³¹I activities, respectively (p = 0.654).

CONCLUSIONS

When ¹³¹I ablation is indicated, we encourage the use of moderate instead of low activities, in order to reach an excellent response in a significantly larger proportion of patients, including patients with the unexpected persistence of the disease.

Thyroglobulin Value Predict Iodine-123 Imaging Result in Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Patients

Background: In differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients, the response to initial treatments is evaluated 6-12 months after radioiodine therapy (RIT) according to the 2015 American Thyroid Association (2015 ATA) criteria. In selected patients, diagnostic 131-radioiodine whole-body scintigraphy (Dx-WBS) is recommended. We evaluated the diagnostic performance of ¹²³I-Dx-WBS-SPECT/CT imaging in detecting incomplete structural responses in the early follow-up of DTC patients and, additionally, derived optimized basal-Tg value as a yardstick for scintigraphic imaging. Methods: We reviewed the records of 124 low or intermediate-risk DTC patients with negative anti-thyroglobulin antibody. All patients had undergone (near)-total-thyroidectomy followed by RIT. The response to initial treatments was evaluated 6-12 months after RIT. Results: According to the 2015 ATA criteria, 87, 19 and 18 DTC patients were classified to have excellent response (ER), indeterminate/incomplete biochemical response (BIndR/BIR) or structural incomplete response (SIR), respectively. Among patients with less than ER, 18 had a positive ¹²³I-Dx-WBS-SPECT/CT. Metastatic disease at ¹²³I-Dx-WBS-SPECT/CT mainly involved lymph nodes within the central compartment, and corresponding neck ultrasound examinations were negative. The ROC curve analysis was performed to define the best basal-Tg cut-off (i.e., 0.39 ng/mL; AUC = 0.852) able to discriminate patients with and without positive ¹²³I-Dx-WBS-SPECT/CT, respectively. The overall sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, PPV and NPV were 77.8%, 89.6%, 87.9%, 56.0% and 95.9%, respectively. Basal-Tg cut-off was an independent risk factor for having a positive ¹²³I-Dx-WBS-SPECT/CT. Conclusion:¹²³I-Dx-WBS-SPECT/CT identified lymph node metastases in 14/37 patients with less than ER and a negative neck ultrasound, thus modifying the management of such patients. The diagnostic performance of ¹²³I-Dx-WBS-SPECT/CT significantly increased in patients with basal-Tg values ≥ 0.39 ng/mL.

Differential distribution and prognostic value of CD4+ T cell subsets before and after radioactive iodine therapy in differentiated thyroid cancer with varied curative outcomes

Differentiated thyroid cancer is the most frequently diagnosed endocrine tumor. While differentiated thyroid cancers often respond to initial treatment, little is known about the differences in circulating immune cells amongst patients who respond differently. A prospective study of 39 patients with differentiated thyroid cancer was conducted. Serum thyroglobulin levels and thyroid and immunological functions were tested before and after radioactive iodine treatment (RAIT). Efficacy assessments were performed 6 to 12 months after radioactive iodine treatment. Most patients showed an excellent response to radioactive iodine treatment. Before radioactive iodine treatment, the excellent response group had considerably fewer circulating CD4⁺ T cell subsets than the non-excellent response group. Both the excellent response and non-excellent response groups had considerably lower circulating CD4⁺ T lymphocyte subsets 30 days after radioactive iodine treatment, but those of the excellent response group were still lower than those of the non-excellent response group. All circulating CD4⁺ T cell subsets in the excellent response group rose by varying degrees by the 90th day, but only Treg cell amounts increased in the non-excellent response group. Interestingly, in the non-excellent response group, we noticed a steady drop in Th1 cells. However, the bulk of circulating CD4⁺ T cell subsets between the two groups did not differ appreciably by the 90th day. Finally, we discovered that CD4⁺ T cell subsets had strong predictive potential, and we thus developed high-predictive-performance models that deliver more dependable prognostic information. In conclusion, in individuals with differentiated thyroid cancer, there is great variation in circulating immune cells, resulting in distinct treatment outcomes. Low absolute CD4⁺ T cell counts is linked to improved clinical outcomes as well as stronger adaptive and resilience capacities.

Value of stimulated pre-ablation thyroglobulin as a prognostic marker in patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma treated with radioiodine

OBJECTIVE

To determine which Thyroglobulin (Tg) level after levothyroxine (LT₄) withdrawal (stimulated thyroglobulin - sTg) measured before radioiodine therapy (RAIT) is able to predict incomplete response to treatment of differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) with greater sensitivity and specificity one year after initial treatment with I¹³¹.

METHODS

A chart review was performed in which 375 patients with DTC treated with RAIT were included. The sTg was measured in all patients prior to treatment with I¹³¹. Follow up were then performed one year later. Initial sTg levels were associated to DTC outcomes. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was performed to achieve a sTg level able to predict which patients would have a greater chance of having an incomplete response to RAIT.

RESULTS

Incomplete response to treatment was found in 122 patients (32.5%), this group had a mean sTg of 23.2 ng/mL. ROC curve showed that the optimal cut-off sTg level was 4.4 ng/mL. (sensitivity: 72.1%; specificity: 72.3%; accuracy: 72.2%; positive predictive value of 55.7%; and negative predictive value: 84.3%).

CONCLUSION

sTg pre-ablation is a valuable predictor of DTC incomplete response to treatment one year after RAIT. Levels of 4.4 ng/ml or more showed higher accuracy to predict this outcome.

Prognostic factors in children and adolescents with differentiated thyroid carcinoma treated with total thyroidectomy and RAI: a real-life multicentric study

PURPOSE

This multicentric study aimed to investigate the main prognostic factors associated with treatment response at 1 year after radioactive iodine therapy (RAIT) and the last disease status in pediatric patients affected by differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In the period 1990-2020, all consecutive patients ≤ 18 years from six different centers were retrospectively included. Patients were classified as low, intermediate, and high risk for persistence/recurrence. The response to RAIT was evaluated and scored 1 year later according to 2015 ATA guidelines. Moreover, at the last follow-up, the disease status was evaluated and dichotomized as no evidence of disease (NED) or persistent disease.

RESULTS

Two hundred and eighty-five patients (197 female, 88 male; mean age 14.4 years) were recruited. All, except nine, underwent near-total thyroidectomy followed by RAIT. One-year after first RAIT, 146/276 (53%) patients had excellent response, 37/276 (14%) indeterminate response, and 91/276 (33%) incomplete response. One-year after RAIT, children with excellent response had significantly lower stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) compared to not excellent group (median sTg 4.4 ng/ml vs 52.5 ng/ml, p < 0.001). ROC curve showed sTg higher than 27.2 ng/ml as the most accurate to predict 1-year treatment response. After a median follow-up of 133 months, NED was present in 241 cases (87%) while persistent disease in 35 (13%). At multivariate analysis, sTg and 1-year treatment response categories were both significantly associated with the last disease status (p value 0.023 and < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In pediatric DTC, sTg is significantly associated with 1-year treatment response and final outcome. However, 1-year response is the principal prognostic factor able to predict pediatric DTCs outcome.

Analysis of factors influencing the clinical outcome after surgery and 131I therapy in patients with moderate-risk thyroid papillary carcinoma

PURPOSE

Generally, the prognosis for papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is favorable. However, the moderate risk involved warrants further evaluation. Hence, we investigated the clinical outcomes in patients with moderate-risk PTC following surgery and the first ¹³¹I therapy, as well as the relevant factors that influence the therapeutic efficacy.

METHODS

Retrospective analyses of 175 patients with medium-risk PTC who visited the Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University from September 2017 to April 2019 were conducted. In according with the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guideline treatment response evaluation system, the patients were categorized into the following groups: excellent response (ER), indeterminate response (IDR), biochemical incomplete response (BIR), and structurally incomplete response (SIR), of which IDR, BIR, and SIR were collectively referred to as the NER group. To compare the general clinical features between the 2 groups of patients, 2 independent samples t-tests, χ² test, and Mann-Whitney U-test were performed, followed by multivariate logistic regression analyses. With reference to the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the predicted value of ps-Tg to ER was evaluated, and the best cut-off value was determined. The subgroups with BRAF^V600E test results were analyzed by χ2 test only.

RESULTS

The treatment responses of 123 patients were ER, while those of 52 patients were NER. The differences in the maximum tumor diameter (U = 2495.50), the amount of metastatic lymph nodes (U = 2313.50), the size of metastatic lymph node (U = 2113.50), the metastatic lymph node ratio (U = 2111.50), metastatic lymph node location (χ² = 9.20), and ps-Tg level (U = 1011.00) were statistically significant. Multivariate regression analysis revealed that ps-Tg (OR = 1.209, 95% CI: 1.120-1.305) was an independent variable affecting ER. The cut-off value of ps-Tg for predicting ER was 6.915 ug/L, while its sensitivity and specificity were 69.2% and 89.4%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with smaller tumor size, fewer lymph nodes, lower metastatic lymph node ratio, metastatic lymph nodes in the central region, smaller lymph node size, and ps-Tg <6.915 ug/L demonstrated better therapeutic effects after the initial treatment.

Improving the prediction of persistent and recurrent differentiated thyroid cancer using the American Thyroid Association 2015 risk stratification system

PURPOSE

The 2015 American Thyroid Association risk stratification system (ATA RSS) is used in patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) to assess their risk of persistent/recurrent disease. Our aims were to validate the 2015 ATA RSS in a registry of DTC patients and to examine whether the addition of factors not included in it, such as pre-radioactive iodine therapy stimulated thyroglobulin (pre-RAI sTg), gender, and age could increase its predictive ability.

METHODS

We studied 403 patients with DTC, treated at a tertiary center from 1990 to 2018 and subjected to total thyroidectomy. All patients had received RAI therapy, except those with low-risk papillary microcarcinoma.

RESULTS

Of our patients, 81.9% were women and 91.1% had papillary thyroid carcinoma. After a median follow-up of 5.0 years, 53 cases of persistent and 21 cases of recurrent disease were recorded. The proportion of variance explained (PVE) regarding the outcome (presence or absence of recurrent/persistent disease) using the 2015 ATA RSS alone was 18.3% (persistence) and 16.9% (recurrence), increasing to 74.4% and 52.0%, respectively, when pre-RAI sTg was added to the logistic regression model. Gender and age were not associated with the disease outcome. In ROC analysis, pre-RAI sTg had a high predictive value for persistent (AUC 0.983, 95% CI 0.962-1.000) and recurrent disease (AUC 0.856, 95% CI 0.715-0.997). The optimal cut-offs and sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive value for pre-RAI sTg were the following: for persistence 12.75 ng/ml, 100%, 90.5%, 64%, and 100%, and for recurrence 8.05 ng/ml, 77.8%, 85.5%, 36.8%, and 97%.

CONCLUSIONS

The 2015 ATA RSS displayed moderate performance in predicting recurrent/persistent disease in patients with DTC, which improved with the inclusion of pre-RAI sTg values; pre-RAI sTg was an independent predictor of the disease outcome, with high negative prognostic value.

Prognostic Implications of Preablation Stimulated Tg: A Retrospective Analysis of 2500 Thyroid Cancer Patients

CONTEXT

The risk of persistent and recurrent disease in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is a continuum that ranges from very low to very high, even within the 3 primary risk categories. It is important to identify independent clinicopathological parameters to accurately predict clinical outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association between pre-ablation stimulated thyroglobulin (ps-Tg) and persistent and recurrent disease in DTC patients and investigate whether incorporation of ps-Tg could provide a more individualized estimate of clinical outcomes.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Medical records of 2524 DTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy and radioiodine ablation between 2006 and 2018 were retrospectively reviewed.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Ps-Tg was measured under thyroid hormone withdrawal before remnant ablation. Association of ps-Tg and clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

In multivariate analysis, age, American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification, distant metastasis, ps-Tg, and cumulative administered activities were the independent predictive factors for persistent/recurrent disease. Receiver operating characteristic analysis identified ps-Tg cutoff (≤10.1 ng/mL) to predict disease-free status with a negative predictive value of 95%, and validated for all ATA categories. Integration of ps-Tg into ATA risk categories indicated that the presence of ps-Tg ≤ 10.1 ng/mL was associated with a significantly decreased chance of having persistent/recurrent disease in intermediate- and high-risk patients (9.9% to 4.1% in intermediate-risk patients, and 33.1% to 8.5% in high-risk patients).

CONCLUSION

The ps-Tg (≤10.1 ng/mL) was a key predictor of clinical outcomes in DTC patients. Its incorporation as a variable in the ATA risk stratification system could more accurately predict clinical outcomes.