Breast cancer local recurrence: risk factors and prognostic relevance of early time to recurrence

Analyzing breast cancer invasive disease event classification through explainable artificial intelligence

Introduction

Recently, accurate machine learning and deep learning approaches have been dedicated to the investigation of breast cancer invasive disease events (IDEs), such as recurrence, contralateral and second cancers. However, such approaches are poorly interpretable.

Methods

Thus, we designed an Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) framework to investigate IDEs within a cohort of 486 breast cancer patients enrolled at IRCCS Istituto Tumori "Giovanni Paolo II" in Bari, Italy. Using Shapley values, we determined the IDE driving features according to two periods, often adopted in clinical practice, of 5 and 10 years from the first tumor diagnosis.

Results

Age, tumor diameter, surgery type, and multiplicity are predominant within the 5-year frame, while therapy-related features, including hormone, chemotherapy schemes and lymphovascular invasion, dominate the 10-year IDE prediction. Estrogen Receptor (ER), proliferation marker Ki67 and metastatic lymph nodes affect both frames.

Discussion

Thus, our framework aims at shortening the distance between AI and clinical practice.

Phytoestrogens and Breast Cancer: Should French Recommendations Evolve?

Breast cancer (BC) occurs less frequently in Asia, where there is high soy consumption. It has been hypothesized that soy isoflavones could be protective against BC recurrence and mortality. At the same time, health organizations in several countries have differing recommendations for soy consumption (soy foods or dietary supplements) in BC survivors. The objective of this review is to analyze the literature and to determine whether it is justified to advise avoiding soy in dietary supplements and/or food in women with a history of BC. We conducted a systematic literature search with the Medline/Pubmed and Web of Science databases. Only prospective cohort studies published since 2009 were retained. The endpoint of studies was BC recurrence and/or mortality, and the association with soy isoflavone intake was specifically targeted. Seven studies were included. None of these studies found statistically significant adverse effects of soy consumption on BC recurrence or mortality (specific or all-cause). Overall, only one study was not able to find beneficial effects of soy intake on BC patients. The other studies concluded that there were positive associations but in very variable ways. Two studies found a decrease in BC recurrence associated with a higher isoflavone intake only for post-menopausal women. The other four studies concluded that there were positive associations regardless of menopausal status. Four studies showed better results on women with hormonal-sensitive cancer and/or patients receiving hormonal treatment. Only one found a stronger association for patients with ER-negative BC. No adverse effects of soy isoflavones on BC mortality/recurrence were found. Soy isoflavones may exert beneficial effects. These results coincide with other recent works and suggest that soy isoflavone intake is safe for BC survivors. Thus, these data no longer seem to coincide with the French recommendations, which could then be brought to evolve. However, in order to confirm the current results, larger studies are needed.

Gradient Boosting Machine Identified Predictive Variables for Breast Cancer Patients Pre- and Post-Radiotherapy: Preliminary Results of an 8-Year Follow-Up Study

Radiotherapy (RT) is part of the standard treatment of breast cancer (BC) because of its effects on relapse reduction and survival. However, response to treatment is highly variable, and some patients may develop disease progression (DP), a second primary cancer, or may succumb to the disease. Antioxidant systems and inflammatory processes are associated with the onset and development of BC and play a role in resistance to treatment. Here, we report our investigation into the clinical evolution of BC patients, and the impact of RT on the circulating levels of the antioxidant enzyme paraoxonase-1 (PON1), cytokines, and other standard biochemical and hematological variables. Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) algorithm was used to identify predictive variables. This was a retrospective study in 237 patients with BC. Blood samples were obtained pre- and post-RT, with samples of healthy women used as control subjects. Results showed that 24 patients had DP eight years post-RT, and eight patients developed a second primary tumor. The algorithm identified interleukin-4 and total lymphocyte counts as the most relevant indices discriminating between BC patients and control subjects, while neutrophils, total leukocytes, eosinophils, very low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and PON1 activity were potential predictors of fatal outcome.

A machine learning ensemble approach for 5- and 10-year breast cancer invasive disease event classification

Designing targeted treatments for breast cancer patients after primary tumor removal is necessary to prevent the occurrence of invasive disease events (IDEs), such as recurrence, metastasis, contralateral and second tumors, over time. However, due to the molecular heterogeneity of this disease, predicting the outcome and efficacy of the adjuvant therapy is challenging. A novel ensemble machine learning classification approach was developed to address the task of producing prognostic predictions of the occurrence of breast cancer IDEs at both 5- and 10-years. The method is based on the concept of voting among multiple models to give a final prediction for each individual patient. Promising results were achieved on a cohort of 529 patients, whose data, related to primary breast cancer, were provided by Istituto Tumori “Giovanni Paolo II” in Bari, Italy. Our proposal greatly improves the performances returned by the baseline original model, i.e., without voting, finally reaching a median AUC value of 77.1% and 76.3% for the IDE prediction at 5-and 10-years, respectively. Finally, the proposed approach allows to promote more intelligible decisions and then a greater acceptability in clinical practice since it returns an explanation of the IDE prediction for each individual patient through the voting procedure.

Short term recurrence and survival rate of breast cancer patients post surgical treatment; north borneo experience

Introduction

Breast cancer is the most common cancer among women and one of the major causes of mortality and morbidity worldwide. The aim of this study is to determine two-year cumulative recurrence rates and survival rates and their influential factors among women with breast cancer after surgical treatment.

Methods

The breast cancer registry with focus on patient's outcome after treatment was retrospectively review for relevant data. The study was started on 2019. All breast cancer patients who underwent surgical procedure between 2016 and 2019 were identified and recruited in this study and was follow up for two year. We performed Kaplan Meier method to determine 2-year recurrence rates and survival rates and compared unadjusted survival statistics using Log-rank test between baseline variables and outcomes.

Result

From 2016 to 2019, a total of 482 breast cancer patients underwent surgical procedure. The overall observed 2-year recurrence rate among breast cancer patients after surgical treatment was 11.8% (95%CI:8.5,16.4) while for the survival rate was 94.8% (95% CI:91.8,96.7). Log rank test showed that lymph node involvement (p < 0.001) and high lymph node ratio (p < 0.001) were associated with higher cumulative recurrence rates. Meanwhile, stage 4 breast cancer (p = 0.001), higher grade tumour (p = 0.011), larger tumour size (>5 cm) (P = 0.005) and type of tumour (p = 0.018) were demonstrated to have lower survival rates.

Conclusion

Recurrence rate were significant predictor among patient with lymph node involvement and higher lymph node ratio, while stages of tumour, tumour grade, size of tumour and type of tumour were all highly significant predictor for survival rate. Therefore, the aim for early diagnosis and management of breast cancer is crucial in improving the treatment outcome.

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The aim of this study is to determine two years cumulative recurrence rates and survival rates and their influential factors among women with breast cancer after surgical treatment in our centre.

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This is a retrospective cohort study of patients underwent surgical procedure from January 2, 0016 to December 2019.

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A total of 482 breast cancer patients underwent surgical procedure. The overall observed 2 years recurrence rate among breast cancer patients after surgical treatment was 11.8% (95%CI:8.5,16.4) while for the survival rate was 94.8% (95% CI:91.8,96.7). It showed that lymph node involvement (p < 0.001) and high lymph node ratio (p < 0.001) were associated with higher cumulative recurrence rates.

Ipsilateral Breast Cancer Recurrence: Characteristics, Treatment, and Long-Term Oncologic Results at a High-Volume Center

INTRODUCTION

Salvage mastectomy is considered the treatment of choice for ipsilateral breast cancer recurrence (IBCR), even if a second breast-conserving surgery (BCS) is feasible. The purpose of this study was to describe the characteristics of IBCR patients, to compare the 2 therapeutic options in terms of long-term outcomes, and to identify independent factors that may predict the type of treatment.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 309 IBCR patients who underwent either repeat BCS or mastectomy were identified. All the analyzed patients with IBCR had true recurrence.

RESULTS

Repeat BCS and salvage mastectomy were performed in 143 and 166 patients, respectively. Age < 65 years (59.6% vs 37.1% if age ≥ 65 years; odds ratio, 2.374; 95% confidence interval, 0.92-5.24; P = .018) and disease-free interval < 24 months (15.7% vs 10.5% if disease-free interval ≥ 24 months; odds ratio, 2.705; 95% confidence interval, 1.42-5.97; P = .007) were found to significantly increase the probability of receipt of mastectomy. Disease-free survival rates at 3, 5, and 10 years were 79.2%, 68.2%, and 36.9%; and 77.2%, 65.9%, and 55.3% in patients receiving repeat BCS or mastectomy, respectively (P = .842). Overall survival rates at 3, 5, and 10 years were 95.4%, 91.4%, and 68.5%; and 87.3%, 69.3%, and 57.9%, respectively, in patients receiving repeat BCS or mastectomy (P = .018).

CONCLUSION

Salvage mastectomy should not be considered the only treatment option for IBCR. A second BCS can still be evaluated and proposed to IBCR patients, with acceptable locoregional control and survival. The risk of poor long-term prognosis after mastectomy should be shared with the patient.

Modeling and comparing data mining algorithms for prediction of recurrence of breast cancer

Breast cancer is the most common invasive cancer and the second leading cause of cancer death in women. and regrettably, this rate is increasing every year. One of the aspects of all cancers, including breast cancer, is the recurrence of the disease, which causes painful consequences to the patients. Moreover, the practical application of data mining in the field of breast cancer can help to provide some necessary information and knowledge required by physicians for accurate prediction of breast cancer recurrence and better decision-making. The main objective of this study is to compare different data mining algorithms to select the most accurate model for predicting breast cancer recurrence. This study is cross-sectional and data gathering of this research performed from June 2018 to June 2019 from the official statistics of Ministry of Health and Medical Education and the Iran Cancer Research Center for patients with breast cancer who had been followed for a minimum of 5 years from February 2014 to April 2019, including 5471 independent records. After initial pre-processing in dataset and variables, seven new and conventional data mining algorithms have been applied that each one represents one kind of data mining approach. Results show that the C5.0 algorithm possibly could be a helpful tool for the prediction of breast cancer recurrence at the stage of distant recurrence and nonrecurrence, especially in the first to third years. also, LN involvement rate, Her2 value, Tumor size, free or closed tumor margin were found to be the most important features in our dataset to predict breast cancer recurrence.

Hematoma Mimicking Breast Cancer on CT Scan and Breast Ultrasound

There are many benign breast lesions that mimic breast cancer on breast imaging. Postlumpectomy scar, hematoma, fat necrosis, diabetic mastopathy, and granulomatous mastitis are examples of benign breast lesions that have suspicious breast imaging findings. Mammogram and breast ultrasound are the imaging studies to evaluate breast findings. CT scan is not used to evaluate breast findings because it delivers high radiation dose to the breast, and breast tissue is often confused as breast masses on CT scan. The following case demonstrates an incidentally detected breast mass on CT scan performed to assess for pulmonary embolism. The CT scan and subsequent breast ultrasound both demonstrated suspicious breast imaging findings. Final pathology from ultrasound-guided biopsy revealed hematoma. This benign finding was concordant with the patient’s medical history of cirrhosis with low platelet count and medication history of warfarin.

Assessment of death risk of breast cancer patients with joint frailty models

Objectives:

To investigate the effects of risk factors on recurrence and death in breast cancer patients, taking into account the dependence between recurrence and death as well as the heterogeneity among individuals. The other aim of this study was to make predictions of death risks with a dynamic model that includes patient’s history and different horizons.

Methods:

The data of 465 patients who had undergone surgery at the Istanbul University Oncology Institute, Istanbul, Turkey, between 2009 and 2016 were used. For data analysis in this retrospective study, the authors applied the joint frailty model, and the predictions were obtained using dynamic prediction methods that consider the patient’s history. The Brier score was used to evaluate the accuracy of the estimations.

Results:

A positive relationship was found between recurrence and death, and heterogeneity was found among patients (p<0.001, p=1.008, p=2.945). The effects of Cerb-B2, tumor type, remaining lymph nodes, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and surgery type were statistically significant for death and recurrence (p<0.05, relative risk [death, recurrence] = [2.5, 11.86], [2.065, 2.798], [1.852, 3.113], [4.211, 9.366], [1.521,1.991]). The Brier score values used in the evaluation of the predictions obtained by the dynamic prediction methods were found to be below 0.30.

Conclusion:

The use of joint frailty models is recommended for the detection of heterogeneity effects and dependence between recurrence and death. Through models in survival analysis, researchers can obtain more accurate parameter estimates. A significant variance of frailty indicates different death risks for the same characteristics.

Early Recurrence of Breast Cancer after the Primary Treatment: Analysis of Clinicopathological and Radiological Predictive Factors

목적

유방암 일차치료 후 조기 재발 예측에 도움이 되는 임상병리학적 인자 및 원발암의 영상 의학적 특징을 알아보고자 하였다.

대상과 방법

본원에서 2010년 1월부터 2014년 12월까지 유방 보존 수술 및 보조요법 치료 후 추적관찰을 받은 480명을 대상으로 하였다. 일차치료 완결 후 3년 이내 재발한 경우를 조기 재발으로 정의하고, 이와 관련된 임상병리학적 및 영상의학적 예측인자를 알아보기 위해 단변량 및 다변량 로지스틱 회귀분석을 시행하였다.

결과

단변량 분석에서 임상병리학적 인자 중 높은 종양 병기(p=0.021), 고등급 조직학적 분화도(p < 0.001), estrogen receptor 수용체 음성(p=0.002), Ki-67 과발현(p=0.017), 삼중음성유방 아형(p=0.019)과, 영상 소견 중 유방암의 다초점성(p < 0.001), 도플러 검사에서 테두리 혈류(p=0.012), 자기공명영상에서 테두리 조영증강(p < 0.001)이 조기 재발과 유의한 연관성을 보였다. 다변량 분석에서 원발암의 높은 종양 병기[odds ratio (이하 OR) = 3.47, 95% confidence interval (이하 CI) 1.12~10.73, p=0.031]와 도플러 검사에서 테두리 혈류 (OR = 3.32, 95% CI 1.38~8.02,p=0.008)가 조기 재발과 관련된 독립적인 예측인자였다.

결론

유방암 치료 전 도플러 검사에서 원발암의 테두리 혈류 소견은 유방암의 일차치료 후 조기 재발의 독립적인 영상의학적 예측인자이다.

Autogenous Fat Grafting to the Breast and Gluteal Regions: Safety Profile Including Risks and Complications

Given the widespread utility and therapeutic potential of autogenous fat grafting, plastic surgeons should be familiar with its safety profile and associated adverse events. This article provides a critical review of the literature and delineates risk factors associated with various complications when grafting to the breast and gluteal regions. The majority of adverse events are related to fat necrosis and require minimal diagnostic or therapeutic intervention. Larger graft volumes, as in cosmetic augmentation, are associated with higher incidences of fatty necrosis. The oncologic safety of fat grafting is supported by multiple clinical studies with thousands of breast cancer patients, albeit predominantly retrospective in nature. Although less frequent, serious complications include fat emboli during gluteal augmentation. Identification of associated risk factors and implementation of proper surgical techniques may minimize the occurrence of life-threatening complications.

Repeat breast-conserving therapy for ipsilateral breast cancer recurrence: A systematic review

The standard of care for patients with an ipsilateral breast tumour recurrence (IBTR) after breast-conserving therapy (BCT) is a salvage mastectomy. However, there is growing interest in the feasibility of repeat BCT for these patients. This systematic review contains the latest insights on BCT options for patients with an IBTR after initial BCT. A PubMed literature search was performed for articles on BCT options for IBTR after primary lumpectomy followed by radiotherapy. Weighted estimates were calculated for 5- and 10-year local control, distant metastasis-free and overall survival rates. Secondary outcomes were toxicity, cosmesis and quality of life. In total, 34 studies were eligible for analysis, of which 5 reported on repeat breast-conserving surgery (BCS) alone, 10 with mixed populations (BCS ± RT and/or mastectomy), 18 on repeat BCS followed by re-irradiation (whole-breast or partial) and one on quality of life. The weighted estimates for 5-year overall survival for repeat BCS and repeat BCS followed by reirradiation were 77% and 87%, respectively. Five-year local control was 76% for repeat BCS alone and 89% for repeat BCS followed by re-irradiation. Grade III-IV toxicity rates after re-irradiation varied from 0 to 21%, whereas the cosmesis was excellent-good in 29-100% of patients and unacceptable in 0-18%. Repeat BCS followed by re-irradiation, with either whole breast or partial breast re-irradiation, seems a feasible alternative to mastectomy in case of IBTR, in selected patients. Toxicity rates are low and the cosmetic outcome is good, but the size and follow-up of the published patient series is limited.

Évaluation d’un second traitement chirurgical conservateur pour récidive locale d’un cancer du sein

Objectif : Évaluation d’un deuxième traitement conservateur (T) [n = 41] par rapport à une mastectomie totale (M) [n = 93]. Étude rétrospective unicentrique de 134 patientes ayant présenté une récidive mammaire homolatérale isolée et opérable.

Résultats : La survie globale à cinq ans est de 82,5 % dans les deux groupes. Pas de différence significative pour la survie spécifique et la survie sans métastase dans les deux groupes. Le contrôle local à cinq ans est de 92,9 % dans le groupe Met de 66,2 % dans le groupe T (RR de nouvelle récidive de 4,48). La présence d’emboles, le caractère multifocal et la révélation clinique de la récidive sont des facteurs pronostiques péjoratifs de survie. Sur l’ensemble de la série (n = 134), 25 (18,6 %) ont conservé leur sein.

Conclusion : Pour minimiser le risque de récidive après un second traitement conservateur, on peut envisager cette chirurgie si la récidive est isolée, de petite taille, de bas grade, sans embole, et strictement unifocale. L’acte chirurgical doit assurer des marges saines et un résultat esthétique satisfaisant. La patiente participe au choix du traitement.

Factors associated with breast cancer recurrences or mortality and dynamic prediction of death using history of cancer recurrences: the French E3N cohort

BACKGROUND

In addition to tumor characteristics and lifestyle factors, cancer relapses are often related to the risk of death but have not been jointly studied. We investigate the prognostic factors of recurrent events and death after a diagnosis of breast cancer and predict individual deaths including a history of recurrences.

METHODS

The E3N (Etude Epidémiologique auprès de Femmes de la Mutuelle Générale de l'Education Nationale) study is a prospective cohort study that was initiated in 1990 to investigate factors associated with the most common types of cancer. Overall survival and three types of recurrent events were considered: locoregional recurrence, metastasis, and second primary breast cancer. Recurrent events and death were analyzed using a joint frailty model.

RESULTS

The analysis included 4926 women from the E3N cohort diagnosed with a first primary invasive breast cancer between June 1990 and June 2008; during the follow-up, 1334 cases had a recurrence (median time of follow-up is 7.2 years) and 469 women died. Cases with high grade, large tumor size, axillary nodal involvement, and negative estrogen and progesterone receptors had a higher risk of recurrence or death. Furthermore, smoking increased the risk of relapse. For cases with a medium risk profile in terms of tumor characteristics and lifestyle factors, the probability of dying between 5 and 10 years after diagnosis was 6, 20 and 36% for 0, 1 or 2 recurrences within the first 5 years after diagnosis, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study showed the importance of considering baseline lifestyle characteristics and history of relapses to dynamically predict the risk of death in breast cancer cases. Medical experience coupled with an estimate of a patient's survival probability that considers all available information for this patient would enable physicians to make better informed decisions regarding their actions and thus improve clinical output.

Factors affecting local recurrence and distant metastases of invasive breast cancer after breast-conserving surgery in Chiang Mai University Hospital

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to collect data regarding breast cancer profiles and factors that affect local recurrence and distant metastasis after breast-conserving surgery (BCS) in Chiang Mai University Hospital.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study was a retrospective review in a single institution of newly diagnosed invasive breast cancer patients who were treated with BCS between April 9, 2001 and December 25, 2011.

RESULTS

A total of 185 patients treated with BCS were included in this study, with an average age of 46.83 years. The average recurrence age was 41.1 years and the average nonrecurrence age was 47.48 years, with a recurrence rate of 10.27%. Premenopause was significant in recurrence (P=0.047), as well as non-estrogen-expression patients (P=0.001) and patients who did not receive antihormonal treatment (P=0.011).

CONCLUSION

The recurrence rate in our institute was 10.27%. Factors affecting recurrence after BCS included young age, premenopausal status, nonexpression of the estrogen receptor, and patients who had not received antihormonal treatment. The recurrence rate was higher in the first 90 postoperative months.

Risk Factors Associated with Distant Metastasis and Survival Outcomes in Breast Cancer Patients with Locoregional Recurrence

Purpose

To decide the optimal treatment for breast cancer patients with locoregional recurrence (LRR), it is important to determine which group has the highest risk of subsequent distant metastasis (DM). We aimed to investigate the factors associated with DM in patients with LRR.

Methods

We reviewed the data of 208 patients with LRR as the first event after primary surgery for breast cancer at our institution between 1997 and 2010, to identify significant factors associated with DM. Subsequently, Kaplan-Meier curves and the Cox regression method were used to analyze the correlation between clinical factors and survival.

Results

DM occurred in 33.2% (68/208) of LRR patients. The median DM-free interval was 23 months. Some clinical factors were associated with DM in univariate analysis, including the type of primary surgery (p=0.026), tumor size (p=0.005), nodal status (p=0.011), and administration of initial adjuvant chemotherapy (p=0.001). In addition, regional rather than local recurrence and a disease-free interval (DFI; duration between primary surgery and LRR) ≤30 months were also significant (p<0.001 for both). However, only a shorter DFI reached significance in multiple logistic regression analysis. Cox regression analysis of DM-free survival showed that both a shorter DFI and regional recurrence were significant factors with hazard ratios of 2.1 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21-3.65) and 1.85 (95% CI, 1.04-3.28), respectively.

Conclusion

DFI was the most important factor associated with subsequent DM in patients with LRR as a first event of failure.

Time to breast cancer relapse predicted by primary tumour characteristics, not lymph node involvement

INTRODUCTION

The risk of breast cancer recurrence has been linked to tumour size, grade, oestrogen (ER) receptor status, and degree of lymph node (LN) involvement. However, the role of these variables in predicting time to relapse is not well defined. This study was designed to identify patient and primary tumour characteristics that predict risk periods for breast cancer recurrence within our institution, to enable more tailored surveillance strategies.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied a cohort of 473 patients who presented to The Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Adelaide, Australia, with recurrent breast cancer between 1968 and 2008. Patient and primary tumour characteristics were collected, including age, menopausal status, tumour grade, size, ER and progesterone receptor (PR) status, and LN involvement and modeled against time to relapse using Kaplan-Meier survival curves.

RESULTS

High tumour grade, size ≥ 20 mm, ER negativity, and PR negativity were shown on univariate analysis to correlate significantly with earlier recurrence (P < 0.0001, P = 0.0012, P = 0.0006, and P = 0.006). Multivariate analysis identified tumour grade and size as significant predictors of timing of relapse after adjustment for other variables. LN involvement, menopausal status, and age did not significantly correlate with earlier recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

High tumour grade and larger size were shown to independently predict earlier breast cancer relapse. While LN involvement increases absolute recurrence risk, our study proposes that it does not influence timing of relapse. Use of these predictors will enable key risk periods for onset of relapse to be characterised according to tumour profile with more appropriate discharge to primary care providers for ongoing surveillance.

Dynamic prediction in breast cancer: proving feasibility in clinical practice using the TEAM trial

BACKGROUND

Predictive models are an integral part of current clinical practice and help determine optimal treatment strategies for individual patients. A drawback is that covariates are assumed to have constant effects on overall survival (OS), when in fact, these effects may change during follow-up (FU). Furthermore, breast cancer (BC) patients may experience events that alter their prognosis from that time onwards. We investigated the 'dynamic' effects of different covariates on OS and developed a nomogram to calculate 5-year dynamic OS (DOS) probability at different prediction timepoints (tP) during FU.

METHODS

Dutch and Belgian postmenopausal, endocrine-sensitive, early BC patients enrolled in the TEAM trial were included. We assessed time-varying effects of specific covariates and obtained 5-year DOS predictions using a proportional baselines landmark supermodel. Covariates included age, histological grade, hormone receptor and HER2 status, T- and N-stage, locoregional recurrence (LRR), distant recurrence, and treatment compliance. A nomogram was designed to calculate 5-year DOS based on individual characteristics.

RESULTS

A total of 2602 patients were included (mean FU 6.2 years). N-stage, LRR, and HER2 status demonstrated time-varying effects on 5-year DOS. Hazard ratio (HR) functions for LRR, high-risk N-stage (N2/3), and HER2 positivity were HR = (8.427 × 0.583[Formula: see text], HR = (3.621 × 0.816[Formula: see text], and HR = (1.235 × 0.851[Formula: see text], respectively. Treatment discontinuation was associated with a higher mortality risk, but without a time-varying effect [HR 1.263 (0.867-1.841)]. All other covariates were time-constant.

DISCUSSION

The current nomogram accounts for elapsed time since starting adjuvant endocrine treatment and optimizes prediction of individual 5-year DOS during FU for postmenopausal, endocrine-sensitive BC patients. The nomogram can facilitate in determining whether further therapy will benefit an individual patient, although validation in an independent dataset is still needed.

Survival after locoregional recurrence or second primary breast cancer: impact of the disease-free interval

The association between the disease-free interval (DFI) and survival after a locoregional recurrence (LRR) or second primary (SP) breast cancer remains uncertain. The objective of this study is to clarify this association to obtain more information on expected prognosis. Women first diagnosed with early breast cancer between 2003–2006 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. LRRs and SP tumours within five years of first diagnosis were examined. The five-year period was subsequently divided into three equal intervals. Prognostic significance of the DFI on survival after a LRR or SP tumour was determined using Kaplan-Meier estimates and multivariable Cox regression analysis. Follow-up was complete until January 1, 2014. A total of 37,278 women was included in the analysis. LRRs or SP tumours were diagnosed in 890 (2,4%) and 897 (2,4%) respectively. Longer DFI was strongly and independently related to an improved survival after a LRR (long versus short: HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.48–0.88; medium versus short HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.65–1.01). Other factors related to improved survival after LRR were younger age (<70 years) and surgical removal of the recurrence. No significant association was found between DFI and survival after SP tumours. This is the first study to explore the association between the DFI and survival after recurrence in a nationwide population-based cancer registry. The DFI before a LRR is an independent prognostic factor for survival, with a longer DFI predicting better prognosis.

A New Isolated Mediastinal Lymph Node or Small Pulmonary Nodule Arising during Breast Cancer Surveillance Following Curative Surgery: Clinical Factors That Differentiate Malignant from Benign Lesions

PURPOSE

A newly isolated mediastinal lymph node (LN) or a small pulmonary nodule, which appears during breast cancer surveillance, may pose a diagnostic dilemma with regard to malignancy. We conducted this study to determine which clinical factors were useful for the differentiation of malignant lesions from benign lesions under these circumstances.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We enrolled breast cancer patients who were presented with a new isolated mediastinal LN or small pulmonary nodule that arose during surveillance, and whose lesions were pathologically confirmed. Tissue diagnosis was made by mediastinoscopy, video-assisted thoracic surgery or thoracotomy.

RESULTS

A total of 43 patients were enrolled (mediastinal LN, 13 patients; pulmonary nodule, 30 patients). Eighteen patients (41.9%) were pathologically confirmed to have a benign lesion (benign group), and 25 patients (58.1%) were confirmed to have malignant lesion (malignant group). Between the two groups, the initial tumor size (p=0.096) and N stage (p=0.749) were similar. Hormone receptor negativity was more prevalent in the malignant group (59.1% vs. 40.9%, p=0.048). The mean lesion size was larger in the malignant group than in the benign group (20.8 mm vs. 14.4 mm, p=0.024). Metastatic lesions had a significantly higher value of maximal standardized uptake (mSUV) than that of benign lesions (6.4 vs. 3.4, p=0.021).

CONCLUSION

Hormone receptor status, lesion size, and mSUV on positron emission tomography are helpful in the differentiation of malignant lesions from benign lesions in breast cancer patients who were presented with a new isolated mediastinal LN or small pulmonary nodule during surveillance.

Selective use of whole breast radiotherapy after breast conserving surgery for invasive breast cancer and DCIS

BACKGROUND

Radiotherapy following breast conservation is routine in the treatment of invasive breast cancer and is commonly used in ductal carcinoma in situ to decrease local recurrence. However, adjuvant breast radiotherapy has significant short and longer-term side effects and consumes substantial health care resources. We aimed to review the randomised controlled trials and attempted to identify clinico-pathological factors and molecular markers associated with the risk of local recurrence.

METHODS

A literature search using the Medline and Ovid databases between 1965 and 2011 was conducted using the terms 'breast conservation' and radiotherapy, and radiotherapy and DCIS. Only papers with randomised clinical trials published in English in adult were included. Only Level 2 evidence and above was included.

RESULTS

Three meta-analyses and 17 randomised controlled trials have been published in invasive disease and one meta-analysis and four randomised controlled trials for DCIS. Overall, adjuvant radiotherapy provides a 15.7% decrease in local recurrence and 3.8% decrease in 15-year risk of breast cancer death. The key clinico-pathological factors, which enable stratification into high, intermediate or low risk groups include age, oestrogen receptor positivity, use of tamoxifen and extent of surgery. Absolute reductions in 15-year risk of breast cancer death in these three prediction categories are 7.8%, 1.1%, and 0.1% respectively Adjuvant radiotherapy provides a 60% risk reduction in local recurrence in DCIS with no impact on distal metastases or overall survival. Size, pathological subtype and margins are major risk factors for local recurrence in DCIS.

CONCLUSIONS

Adjuvant radiotherapy consistently decreases local recurrence across all subtypes of invasive and in-situ disease. While it has a survival advantage in those with invasive disease, this is not seen with DCIS and is minimal in invasive disease where the risk of local recurrence is low. This group includes women over 70 with node negative, ER positive tumours<2 cm.

Local recurrence after breast cancer affects specific survival differently according to patient age

PURPOSE

Young age is known to be an independent factor for developing local recurrence (LR) in breast cancer patients. It has also been shown that the occurrence of LR negatively affects patient outcome, especially if LR occurs within 3 years after treatment of the primary tumour. The question whether the impact of LR on patient outcome differs according to the patient's age has not been addressed before. The purpose of the present study is to investigate cancer-specific survival (CSS) as well as overall survival after LR in young patients (<50 years old) and to compare it to older patients. The age cut-off level was taken as 50 to avoid strong imbalance in patient numbers between the 2 groups.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between 1974 and 2003, 2,130 breast cancer patients were treated with conservative surgery and axillary dissection. All of them received post-operative radiotherapy. Adjuvant chemo- and/or hormonal therapy was given according to the prognostic factors and the treatment policy at the time of diagnosis. Only biopsy-confirmed ipsilateral LRs were taken into account. Early LRs were those observed within 36 months after surgery, and late LRs were those which occurred thereafter. The median follow-up was 100 months. Survival analysis was conducted with the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

The median age was 59 years. There were 472 patients aged <50 years versus 1,658 older patients. Pathological tumour size, hormone receptor status and lymph node involvement were evenly distributed in the 2 groups. The 5- and 10-year CSS was 92.3 and 83.9% in young patients, and 94.4 and 87.6% in older patients (p = 0.061), respectively. Overall, 200 LRs were observed; 52 of them (26%) were early LRs. The rate of LR was significantly higher in young patients: at 5 years, it was 10.5 versus 3.7% in patients ≥50 years; the respective rates at 10 years were 17.8 and 8.8% (p < 0.0001). The 5- and 10-year CSS in patients who developed LR was 86.8 and 76.0%, versus 94.7 and 88.2% in patients who did not develop LR (p < 0.0001). The 5-year CSS after LR in young and older patients was 77.6 and 65.7%, respectively (p = 0.028).

CONCLUSION

Although young patients experience more LR than older ones, once LR occurs, young patients have a better outcome than the others. Possible hypotheses are: (1) more aggressive treatment in young patients after LR; (2) the treatment is better sustained in young patients; (3) biological differences in the characteristics of LR.

Do all patients require radiotherapy after breast-conserving surgery?

Radiotherapy following breast conservation is routine in the treatment of breast cancer. This creates a large demand for radiotherapy services with implicit cost effects and potential morbidity to patients. Radiotherapy is administered to decrease local recurrence, but is radiotherapy required for all breast cancers? A literature search using the Medline and Ovid databases was conducted between 1965 and 2010 using the terms ‘role of radiotherapy’, ‘early breast cancer’, and omission of radiotherapy’. Papers with clinical trials published in English in adult humans were included. Fourteen randomized controlled trials were included. Local recurrence rates range from 0.8–35% in patients in whom radiotherapy was omitted. Low risk characteristics include older age, small tumor size, no lymphovascular invasion and low to moderate grade. At present, there is no clearly defined low risk group of patients in whom radiotherapy can be omitted.

Low activation of Insulin-like Growth Factor 1-Receptor (IGF1R) is associated with local recurrence in early breast carcinoma

Background The predictive value of IGF1R on local recurrence in invasive breast carcinoma (BC) is not well known. Methods In a series of 197 lymph-node negative BC patients treated with breast-conserving surgery and radiation therapy, we performed immunohistochemistry for alpha-IGF1R, beta-IGF1R (phosphorylated/active form) and Estrogen/Progesterone receptors. We further evaluated the IGF1R mRNA expression by quantitative RT-PCR and IGF1R mutations by direct DNA sequencing (exons 19 and 21) in 85 primary BC (42 control cases, 31 with local recurrence and 12 with distant metastasis) and in 31 local recurrences. Unconditional logistic regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for recurrence. Results Local recurrences were associated with high-grade tumors, PR-negative and low active-IGF1R, which emerged as independent breast relapse predictors by multivariate analysis. Conclusion Patients with early BC treated with lumpectomy and radiation who have low-grade tumors and favorable markers (increased content of active IGF1R and PR-positive) have a low risk of local recurrence. Therefore, do not benefit from a boost dose on the surgical scar.

Early versus late local recurrences after conservative treatment of breast carcinoma: differences in primary tumor characteristics and patient outcome

OBJECTIVES

To investigate whether some aspects of patient or tumor characteristics influence the timing of local recurrence (LR) in breast cancer treated conservatively, and to assess the impact of the timing of LR on patient outcome.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients treated with conservative breast surgery followed by radiotherapy for breast carcinoma who developed LR. Out of 2,008 cases treated in our Institute between 1977 and 2002, 180 ipsilateral LR were observed. Of these, 46 LR were observed within 36 months after treatment, called early local recurrence (ELR), 44 developed between 37 and 60 months, called medium local recurrence (MLR), and 90 occurred after 60 months, called late local recurrence (LLR). Patient and tumor characteristics were analyzed in the 2 groups and compared.

RESULTS

Primary tumors >20 mm were more frequently found in patients with ELR (31%) than in patients with LLR (17%, p = 0.047). Grade 3 tumors were more often encountered in patients with ELR than in patients with LLR (27 versus 7%, p = 0.0002). Patients with ELR more frequently had tumors with negative estrogen receptors than patients with LLR (37% versus 6%, p < 0.0001). There was no statistically significant difference in the axillary lymph node (LN) status between patients with ELR and those with LLR (35 and 23% of positive LN, respectively, p = 0.24). Tumor size, grade, LN status, hormone receptors and the timing of LR affected the specific survival (SS) from initial surgery. On multivariate analysis, only LN status and the timing of LR retained an independent prognostic value, with an odds ratio of 6.7 for ELR. After LR, the SS was also influenced by all of the above factors, and on multivariate analysis, LN status, hormone receptors and the timing of LR were independent predictors with an odds ratio of SS of 2.50 in case of ELR (p = 0.006). The 5-year SS after LR for ELR, MLR and LLR were 55.8, 74.8 and 79.5%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Unfavorable tumor characteristics such as big size, high grade, lack of hormone receptors, but not LN status, were associated with ELR. These findings suggest that patients with such aggressive tumor characteristics who do not recur early will have a lower risk of LLR than patients with more favorable factors.