Tumor size does not independently affect long-term survival after curative resection of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma without macroscopic vascular invasion

Macroscopic Characterization of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: An Underexploited Source of Prognostic Factors

The macroscopic appearance of a tumor such as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may be defined as its phenotype which is de facto dictated by its genotype. Therefore, macroscopic characteristics of HCC are unlikely random but rather reflect genomic traits of cancer, presumably acting as a valuable source of information that can be retrieved and exploited to infer prognosis. This review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the available data on the prognostic value of macroscopic characterization in HCC. A total of 57 studies meeting eligible criteria were identified, including patients undergoing liver resection (LR; 47 studies, 83%) or liver transplant (LT; 9 studies, 16%). The following macroscopic variables were investigated: tumor size (n = 42 studies), number of nodules (n = 28), vascular invasion (n = 24), bile duct invasion (n = 6), growth pattern (n = 15), resection margin (n = 11), tumor location (n = 6), capsule (n = 2) and satellite (n = 1). Although the selected studies provided insightful data with notable prognostic performances, a lack of standardization and substantial gaps were noted in the report and the analysis of gross findings. This topic remains incompletely covered. While the available studies underscored the value of macroscopic variables in HCC prognostication, important lacks were also observed. Macroscopic characterization of HCC is likely an underexploited source of prognostic factors that must be actively explored by future multidisciplinary research.

Hepatic Arterial Infusion Chemotherapy vs Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization as Adjuvant Therapy Following Surgery for MVI-Positive Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Multicenter Propensity Score Matching Analysis

Background

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant pathological feature in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), adjuvant hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (a-HAIC) and adjuvant transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (a-TACE), are commonly used for HCC patients with MVI. This study aims to evaluate the efficacies of two adjuvant therapies after surgical treatment for HCC, compare them, and identify the significant factors.

Methods

Clinical data from two randomized controlled trials involving HCC patients with MVI after surgical treatment were retrospectively reviewed. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed to balance baseline differences between patients who received a-HAIC or a-TACE, and control groups who underwent hepatectomy alone. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) rates were compared.

Results

In total of 549 patients were collected from two randomized controlled trials. Using the PSM and Kaplan-Meier method, the median DFS of the a-HAIC, a-TACE, and control groups was 63.2, 21.7, and 11.2 months (P<0.05). The a-HAIC group show significantly better 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates compared to the a-TACE and control groups (96.3%, 80.0%, 72.8% vs 84.4%, 57.0%, 29.8% vs 84.5%, 62.8%, 53.4%, P<0.05). But the OS rates of a-TACE and control groups showed no significant difference (P=0.279). Multivariate analysis identified a-HAIC (HR=0.449, P=0.000) and a-TACE (HR=0.633, P=0.007) as independent protective factors. For OS, a-HAIC (HR=0.388, P=0.003) was identified as an independent protective factor, too.

Conclusion

Compared to a-TACE and the control group, a-HAIC demonstrated greater benefits in preventing tumor recurrence and improving survival in HCC patients with MVI.

Impact of tumor size on the outcomes of hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the impact of tumor size on the perioperative and long-term outcomes of liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We reviewed the patients' data who underwent liver resection for HCC between November 2009 and 2019. Patients were divided into 3 groups according to the tumor size. Group I: HCC < 5 cm, Group II: HCC between 5 to 10 cm, and Group III: HCC ≥ 10 cm in size.

RESULTS

Three hundred fifteen patients were included in the current study. Lower platelets count was noted Groups I and II. Higher serum alpha-feto protein was noted in Group III. Higher incidence of multiple tumors, macroscopic portal vein invasion, nearby organ invasion and presence of porta-hepatis lymph nodes were found in Group III. More major liver resections were performed in Group III. Longer operation time, more blood loss and more transfusion requirements were found in Group III. Longer hospital stay and more postoperative morbidities were noted in Group III, especially posthepatectomy liver failure, and respiratory complications. The median follow-up duration was 17 months (7-110 months). Mortality occurred in 100 patients (31.7%) and recurrence occurred in 147 patients (46.7%). There were no significant differences between the groups regarding recurrence free survival (Log Rank, p = 0.089) but not for overall survival (Log Rank, p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

HCC size is not a contraindication for liver resection. With proper selection, safe techniques and standardized care, adequate outcomes could be achieved.

A simple preoperative model to predict overall survival of patients undergoing liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma ≥10 cm

BACKGROUND

Studies have rarely reported on preoperative predictors of prognosis of patients undergoing liver resection (LR) for HCC ≥10 cm. We developed a simple model to predict overall survival (OS) of these patients.

METHODS

We enrolled 305 patients with HCC ≥10 cm undergoing LR. Cirrhosis and imaging-defined AJCC stage were used to develop a preoperative model. Patients were divided into three groups based on the Kaplan-Meier estimator.

RESULTS

Group 1 included patients with AJCC stage 1 and no cirrhosis (n = 86), group 2 those with AJCC stage 1 and cirrhosis plus those with AJCC stage 2 or 3 and no cirrhosis (n = 166), and group 3 those with AJCC stage 2 or 3 and cirrhosis (n = 51). The five-year OS of group 1, 2, and 3 was 55%, 32%, and 25%, respectively (p < 0.001). With group 1 as the reference, multivariate analysis of OS showed that group 2 (HR = 2.043; 95% CI = 1.332-3.134; p = 0.001) and group 3 (HR = 2.740; 95% CI = 1.645-4.564; p < 0.001) were independent predictors of OS.

CONCLUSION

We developed a simple model to predict OS of patients undergoing LR for HCC ≥10 cm.

Development and Validation of a Prediction Model for Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Receiving Postoperative Adjuvant Transarterial Chemoembolization

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who are at significant risk of tumor recurrence and mortality can benefit from postoperative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (PA-TACE). However, the benefits of PA-TACE remain unclear. Herein, we aimed to develop a model for predicting the prognosis of HBV-related patients who undergo PA-TACE and endeavored to guide individualized clinical treatment.

Methods

We included 432 HBV-related patients who underwent PA-TACE after curative resection were included. The dataset was divided into a training set (n=216) and an internal validation set (n=216). For identifying independent risk factors, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were performed. We derived a prognostic model from the training set that was internally validated. The concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and risk stratification were used to evaluate the performance of the nomogram.

Results

Patients undergoing PA-TACE had significantly longer overall survival (OS) than those who did not undergo PA-TACE. Age, albumin levels, macrovascular invasion, tumor size, and, stages of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer were identified as independent risk variables and concluded into the nomogram to predict the OS of HBV-related patients who received PA-TACE. The nomogram's C-index values OS were 0.710 and 0.652 in the training and internal validation sets, respectively. Both time-dependent AUC and the calibration curve showed good discrimination and model fitness. The risk score -0.12 was kept as the cut-off value that would accurately divide patients into high-risk and low-risk groups; furthermore, the Kaplan-Meier curve showed a high discriminative ability of the model.

Conclusion

We developed a predictive model. comprising a formula and nomogram to predict the OS and provide risk stratification for HBV-related patients undergoing PA-TACE, which could contribute to suitable treatment options for this patient population.

Validation of a supplementary condition of eighth AJCC staging system for stage II hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

The eighth American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system was flawed regarding the prognosis of stage II hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aims of this study were to reveal the defect and make updates.

METHODS

Clinical and survival data of HCC patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database were used. We re-classified stage II into T2aN0M0 (tumors >2 cm with vascular invasion) and T2bN0M0 (multiple tumors ≤5 cm). The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used to estimate differences in overall survival (OS). Three propensity score matching analyses without (PSM1) or with (PSM2 and PSM3) consideration of surgical treatment were performed. Cox regression was used to reveal risk factors.

RESULTS

HCC patients identified as T1bN0M0, T2aN0M0, T2bN0M0, and T3N0M0 were recruited. OS in T2N0M0 was consistent with the eighth AJCC staging system after PSM1. T2bN0M0 had increased OS compared with T2aN0M0 after PSM2 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.36; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.06-1.73; P = 0.0141) or PSM3 (HR = 1.18; 95%CI = 1.01-1.37; P = 0.0283). No survival benefit existed between T1bN0M0 and T2bN0M0 after PSM2 (HR = 0.92; 95%CI = 0.80-1.05; P = 0.2171) or PSM3 (HR = 0.92; 95%CI = 0.84-1.01; P = 0.0888). Compared with T2aN0M0, T3N0M0 had shorter OS after PSM2 (HR = 0.64; 95%CI = 0.50-0.82; P = 0.0003) or PSM3 (HR = 0.63; 95%CI = 0.54-0.73; P < 0.0001). Cox regression analysis revealed that surgical treatment was associated with better prognosis (HR = 0.3; 95%CI = 0.3-0.4; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The current staging for T2N0M0 is imprecise because surgical treatment is not adequately evaluated and would be ineffective if the proportion of T2bN0M0 patients with surgical treatment was increased.

Association of tumor morphology with long-term prognosis after liver resection for patients with a solitary huge hepatocellular carcinoma-a multicenter propensity score matching analysis

BACKGROUND

A solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) without macrovascular invasion and distant metastasis, regardless of tumor size, is currently classified as early-stage disease by the latest Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system. While the preferred treatment is surgical resection, the association of tumor morphology with long-term survival outcomes after liver resection for a solitary huge HCC of ≥10 cm has not been defined.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative liver resection for a solitary huge HCC were identified from a multicenter database. Preoperative imaging findings were used to define spherical- or ellipsoidal-shaped lesions with smooth edges as balloon-shaped HCCs (BS-HCCs); out-of-shape lesions or lesions of any shape with matt edges were defined as non-balloon-shaped HCCs (NBS-HCCs). The two groups of patients with BS-HCCs and NBS-HCCs were matched in a 1:1 ratio using propensity score matching (PSM). Clinicopathologic characteristics, long-term overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were assessed.

RESULTS

Among patients with a solitary huge HCC, 74 pairs of patients with BS-HCC and NBS-HCC were matched. Tumor pathological features including proportions of microvascular invasion, satellite nodules, and incomplete tumor encapsulation in the BS-HCC group were lower than the NBS-HCC group. At a median follow-up of 50.7 months, median OS and RFS of all patients with a solitary huge HCC after PSM were 27.8 and 10.1 months, respectively. The BS-HCC group had better median OS and RFS than the NBS-HCC group (31.9 vs. 21.0 months, P=0.01; and 19.7 vs. 6.4 months, P=0.015). Multivariate analyses identified BS-HCC as independently associated with better OS (HR =0.592, P=0.009) and RFS (HR =0.633, P=0.013).

CONCLUSIONS

For a solitary huge HCC, preoperative imaging on tumor morphology was associated with prognosis following resection. In particular, patients with BS-HCCs had better long-term survival following liver resection versus patients with large NBS-HCCs.

Overall survival among patients who undergo resection does not differ significantly between T1a and T1b hepatocellular carcinoma based on the 8th American Joint Commission on Cancer

PURPOSE

The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been used since 2018. However, whether any significant difference in overall survival (OS) exists between patients with T1a and T1b HCC who undergo resection has been controversial. We aim to clarify this issue.

METHODS

We consecutively enrolled newly diagnosed HCC patients who underwent liver resection (LR) from 2010 to 2020 at our institution. OS was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using log-rank tests. Prognostic factors for OS were identified by multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

This study enrolled 1250 newly diagnosed HCC patients who underwent LR. No significant differences in OS were identified between patients with T1a and T1b tumors among all patients (p = 0.694), cirrhotic patients (p = 0.753), non-cirrhotic patients (p = 0.146), patients with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) > 20 ng/ml (p = 0.562), patients with AFP ≤ 20 ng/ml (p = 0.967), patients with Edmondson grade 1 or 2 (p = 0.615), patients with Edmondson grade 3 or 4 (p = 0.825), patients positive for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg; p = 0.308), in patients positive for anti-hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody (p = 0.781), or patients negative for both HBsAg and anti-HCV antibody (p = 0.125). Using T1a as the reference, multivariate analysis showed that T1b is not a significant predictive factor for OS (hazard ratio (HR): 1.338; 95% confidence interval (CI):0.737-2.431; p = 0.339).

CONCLUSION

No significant difference in OS was observed between patients who underwent LR to treat T1a and T1b HCC tumors.

Surgical resection for large hepatocellular carcinoma and those beyond BCLC: systematic review with proposed management algorithm

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounts for the sixth most common cancer and ranks third in mortality worldwide with inhomogeneity in terms of resection for advanced-stage disease.

METHODS

A systematic review of published literature using the PubMed, Medline, and Google Scholar databases from 1995 to 2020 was conducted to identify studies that reported outcomes of resection for solitary HCC > 10 cm, BCLC B/C, and multinodular HCC. Our aim was to assess overall survival for resection, identify poor prognostic factors, and to compare it to trans-arterial chemotherapy (TACE) where data was available.

RESULTS

Eighty-nine articles were included after a complete database search in the systematic review as per our predefined criteria. Analysis revealed a 5-year overall survival of 33.5% for resection of HCC > 10 cm, 41.7% for BCLC B, 23.3% for BCLC C, and 36.6% for multinodular HCC. Peri-operative mortality ranged from 0 to 6.9%. Studies comparing resection versus TACE for BCLC B/C had a survival of 40% versus 17%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our systematic review justifies hepatic resection wherever feasible for hepatocellular carcinomas > 10 cm, BCLC B, BCLC C, and multinodular tumors. In addition, we identified and proposed an algorithm with five poor prognostic criteria in this group of patients who may benefit from adjuvant TACE.

A Novel Nomogram Model to Predict the Recurrence-Free Survival and Overall Survival of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Treatments for patients with early‐stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) include liver transplantation (LT), liver resection (LR), radiofrequency ablation (RFA), and microwave ablation (MWA), are critical for their long-term survival. However, a computational model predicting treatment-independent prognosis of patients with HCC, such as overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS), is yet to be developed, to our best knowledge. The goal of this study is to identify prognostic factors associated with OS and RFS in patients with HCC and develop nomograms to predict them, respectively.

Methods

We retrospectively retrieved 730 patients with HCC from three hospitals in China and followed them up for 3 and 5 years after invasive treatment. All enrolled patients were randomly divided into the training cohort and the validation cohort with a 7:3 ratio, respectively. Independent prognostic factors associated with OS and RFS were determined by the multivariate Cox regression analysis. Two nomogram prognostic models were built and evaluated by concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve, time-dependent area under the ROC curve (AUC), the Kaplan–Meier survival curve, and decision curve analyses (DCAs), respectively.

Results

Prognostic factors for OS and RFS were identified, and nomograms were successfully built. Calibration discrimination was good for both the OS and RFS nomogram prediction models (C-index: 0.750 and 0.746, respectively). For both nomograms, the AUC demonstrated outstanding predictive performance; the DCA shows that the model has good decision ability; and the calibration curve demonstrated strong predictive power. The nomograms successfully discriminated high-risk and low-risk patients with HCC associated with OS and RFS.

Conclusions

We developed nomogram survival prediction models to predict the prognosis of HCC after invasive treatment with acceptable accuracies in both training and independent testing cohorts. The models may have clinical values in guiding the selection of clinical treatment strategies.

No significant relationship exists between tumor size and prognosis in distant metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma: a propensity score matching analysis based on SEER database

Background

Previous studies have shown that tumor size has an impact on the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Whether tumor size is related to the prognosis of distant metastatic HCC is unclear. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of tumor size on the prognosis of distant metastatic HCC.

Methods

Data on patients with HCC were collected from the (SEER) database of surveillance, epidemiology and final results. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to reduce confounding factors and comprehensively evaluate the clinicopathological features and prognosis of distant metastatic HCC.

Results

There were 189 patients with distant metastatic HCC whose tumor size was ≤ 50 mm and 615 patients with a tumor size > 50 mm. The tumor sizes of distant metastatic HCC patients were associated with race, grade, surgical treatment, N and AFP. The Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that the mortality rate of patients with a tumor size > 50 mm was higher than that of patients with a tumor size ≤ 50 mm (p = 0.00062). However, there were no significant differences in mortality rates after adjusting for confounding variables by using propensity score matching (p = 0.23).

Conclusion

This propensity score matching study provides the best data in support of the following assertions: tumor size is not an independent prognostic factor for distant metastatic HCC.

CT volumetry helps predict prognosis of large hepatocellular carcinoma after resection

AIM

To determine whether the tumour volume measurement on preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) could be used to predict the overall survival patients with large hepatocellular carcinoma (>5 cm) after resection.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study included 171 patients with surgically confirmed hepatocellular carcinoma who underwent preoperative CT. The largest diameter, the product of the axial dimension, tumour volume, and tumour-to-liver volume ratio (TTLVR) on CT images were measured and calculated. The univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard ratio regression models were used to identify the impact of the tumour burden-related risk factors on overall survival.

RESULTS

In multivariate analysis, TTLVR (p=0.042) and major vascular invasion (p=0.006) were independently associated with overall survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after the resection. The group in which the patients had a low TTLVR showed higher cumulative survival rates than patients with a TTLVR (p=0.004). Patients with a low TTLVR (≤26.23%) and absence of major vascular invasion had significantly higher cumulative survival rates compared to those patients with hepatocellular carcinoma with either or both the risk factors (p=0.001).

CONCLUSION

A higher TTLVR in combination with the presence of major vascular invasion was associated with poorer overall survival in patients with large hepatocellular carcinoma after resection.

Impact of tumor size on hepatectomy outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma: a nationwide propensity score matching analysis

Purpose

The aim of this study was to compare surgical outcomes after liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) according to tumor size using a large, nationwide cancer registry-based cohort and propensity score matching.

Methods

From 2008 to 2015, a total of 12,139 patients were diagnosed with liver cancer and registered in the Korean Primary Liver Cancer Registry. Patients without distant metastasis who underwent hepatectomy as a primary treatment were selected. We performed 1:1 propensity score matching between the small (<5 cm), large (≥5 cm and <10 cm), and huge (≥10 cm) groups.

Results

Overall, 265 patients in the small and large groups were compared, and 64 patients each in the large and huge groups were compared. The overall and progression-free survival rates were significantly lower in the large group than in the small group (P < 0.001 and P < 0.001, respectively). Overall survival tended to be poorer in the huge group than in the large group (P = 0.051). The progression-free survival rate was significantly lower in the huge group than in the large group (P = 0.002).

Conclusion

Although primary liver resection can be considered even in patients with huge HCC, greater caution with careful screening for recurrence is needed.

Long-term outcome of novel combined surgical-injection treatment (COSIT) for large hepatocellular carcinoma: Stage 2A IDEAL prospective case series

BACKGROUND

Large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treatment options have obvious limitations. Our trial comprises ipsilateral hepatic artery ligation and extrahepatic collaterals division (HALED, reinforced by percutaneous tumor injection controlling residual HCC arterial supply. We aimed to evaluate the long term safety and feasibility of the Combined Surgical and Injection of alcohol Treatment (COSIT) as a novel therapy for the large HCC.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Candidates' clinical data of the of this case series were prospectively and sequentially reported in accordance with stage 2a development IDEAL (Idea, Development, Exploration, Assessment and Long-term monitoring) recommendations. It included adult patients with HCC (diameter >5 cm) subjected to COSIT coming to our center during a five years' trial evaluating the long term outcome measures. Study ID (NCT03138044 ClinicalTrials.gov).

RESULTS

Patients were 21, their mean age (±standard deviation) was 61·9 (±9·3) years. Eleven (52.4%) patients had tumors diameter >10 cm. 17 (80.9%) patients were advanced BCLC stage. Six modifications were made in this injection phase till it came to a stability. The mean alcohol volume was 72.0 mls. The mean follow-up duration was 16 months. The median overall survival duration was 14 months. The one, three and five years' survival was 71.4%, 23.8% and 4.8%, respectively. Grade 3/4 and 4 Common Toxicity Criteria for Adverse Effects (v4.03) were encountered in 10 (47.6%) and one (4.8%) patients, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This preliminary findings of COSIT can be a promising alternative treatment for patients having large HCC. Consequently, a multicenter stage 2b Exploration IDEAL trial is suggested.

Survival improvement and prognosis for hepatocellular carcinoma: analysis of the SEER database

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidences have been increasing in the United States. This study aimed to examine temporal trend of HCC survival and determine prognostic factors influencing HCC survival within the U.S. population.

Methods

The Surveillance Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was used to identify patients diagnosed with primary HCC from 1988 to 2015. Overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for prognostic factors and comparing survival between patients diagnosed at different periods (per 5-year interval).

Results

A total of 80,347 patients were included. The proportions of both young patients (< 45 years) and old patients (≥75 years) decreased over time (P < 0.001) and the male-to-female ratio increased over time (P < 0.001). Significant decreasing temporal trends were observed for HCC severity at diagnosis, including SEER stage, tumor size, tumor extent, and lymph node involvement (P < 0.001 for all). OS and DSS of patients with HCC improved over time (P < 0.001). After adjusting for patient and tumor characteristics and treatment difference, period of diagnosis retained an independent factor for improved DSS and its prognostic significance was evident for localized and regional HCC (P < 0.001), but not for distant HCC. On multivariate analyses, young age, female gender, Hispanic ethnicity, and married status were predictors favoring DSS, whereas a worse DSS was observed for patients with tumor > 5 cm, with vascular invasion, and with lymph node involvement. Patients treated with liver-directed therapy (HR = 0.54, 95% CI: 0.35–0.56), hepatic resection (HR = 0.35, 95% CI: 0.33–0.37), and transplantation (HR = 0.14, 95% CI: 0.13–0.15) had significantly longer DSS compared with those who received no surgery. In stratified analyses, the beneficial effects of surgical approach, regardless therapy type, were significant across all stages.

Conclusions

Our results indicate a significant improvement in survival for HCC patients from 1988 to 2015, which may be attributable to advances in early diagnosis and therapeutic approaches.

Tumor size may influence the prognosis of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma patients with cirrhosis and without macrovascular invasion after hepatectomy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is usually associated with varying degrees of cirrhosis. Among cirrhotic patients with solitary HCC in the absence of macro-vascular invasion, whether tumor size drives prognosis or not after hepatectomy remains unknown. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic impact of tumor size on long-term outcomes after hepatectomy for solitary HCC patients with cirrhosis and without macrovascular invasion. A total of 813 cirrhotic patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for solitary HCC and without macrovascular invasion between 2001 and 2014 were retrospectively studied. We set 5 cm as the tumor cut-off value. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to minimize the influence of potential confounders including cirrhotic severity that was histologically assessed according to the Laennec staging system. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared between the two groups before and after PSM. Overall, 464 patients had tumor size ≤ 5 cm, and 349 had tumor size > 5 cm. The 5-year RFS and OS rates were 38.3% and 61.5% in the  ≤ 5 cm group, compared with 25.1% and 59.9% in the > 5 cm group. Long-term survival outcomes were significantly worse as tumor size increased. Multivariate analysis indicated that tumor size > 5 cm was an independent risk factor for tumor recurrence and long-term survival. These results were further confirmed in the PSM cohort of 235 pairs of patients. In cirrhotic patients with solitary HCC and without macrovascular invasion, tumor size may significantly affect the prognosis after curative hepatectomy.

Development and Validation of Nomograms Based on Gamma-Glutamyl Transpeptidase to Platelet Ratio for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Reveal Novel Prognostic Value and the Ratio Is Negatively Correlated With P38MAPK Expression

Background

Early prediction of recurrence and death risks is significant to the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. We aimed to develop and validate prognosis nomogram models based on the gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT)-to-platelet (PLT) ratio (GPR) for HCC and to explore the relationship between the GPR and inflammation-related signaling pathways.

Methods

All data were obtained from 2000 to 2012 in the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University. In the training cohort, factors included in the nomograms were determined by univariate and multivariate analyses. In the training and validation cohorts, the concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves were used to assess predictive accuracy, and receiver operating characteristic curves were used to assess discriminative ability. Clinical utility was evaluated using decision curve analysis. Moreover, improvement of the predictive accuracy of the nomograms was evaluated by calculating the decision curve analysis, the integrated discrimination improvement, and the net reclassification improvement. Finally, the relationship between the GPR and inflammation-related signaling pathways was evaluated using the independent-samples t-test.

Results

A larger tumor size and higher GPR were common independent risk factors for both disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in HCC (P < 0.05). Good agreement between our nomogram models' predictions and actual observations was detected by the C-index and calibration curves. Our nomogram models showed significantly better performance in predicting the HCC prognosis compared to other models (P < 0.05). Online webserver and scoring system tables were built based on the proposed nomogram for convenient clinical use. Notably, including the GPR greatly improved the predictive ability of our nomogram models (P < 0.05). In the validation cohort, p38 mitogen-activated protein kinase (P38MAPK) expression was significantly negatively correlated with the GPR (P < 0.01) and GGT (P = 0.039), but was not correlated with PLT levels (P = 0.063). And we found that P38MAPK can regulate the expression of GGT by quantitative real-time PCR and Western blotting experiments.

Conclusions

The dynamic nomogram based on the GPR provides accurate and effective prognostic predictions for HCC, and P38MAPK-GGT may be a suitable therapeutic target to improve the prognosis of HCC patients.

Major Hepatectomy in Elderly Patients with Large Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Multicenter Retrospective Observational Study

Background

With an increase in life expectancy and improvement of surgical safety, more elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), even with large tumors, are now considered for hepatectomy. This study aimed to clarify the impact of age on short- and long-term outcomes after major hepatectomy (≥3 segments) for large HCC (≥5 cm).

Patients and Methods

Using a multicenter database, patients who underwent curative-intent major hepatectomy for large HCC between 2006 and 2016 were identified. Postoperative morbidity and mortality, overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were compared between the elderly (≥65 years) and younger (<65 years) patients. Univariable and multivariable Cox-regression analyses were performed to identify the risk factors of OS and RFS in the entire and elderly cohorts, respectively.

Results

Of 830 patients, 92 (11.1%) and 738 (88.9%) were elderly and younger patients, respectively. There were no significant differences in postoperative 30-day mortality and morbidity between the two groups (5.4% vs 2.6% and 43.5% vs 38.3%, both P>0.05). The 5-year OS and RFS rates in elderly patients were also comparable to younger patients (35.0% vs 33.2% and 20.0% vs 20.8%, both P>0.05). In the entire cohort, multivariable Cox-regression analyses identified that old age was not independently associated with OS and RFS. However, in the elderly cohort, preoperative alpha-fetoprotein level >400 μg/L, multiple tumors, macrovascular invasion and microvascular invasion were independently associated with decreased OS and RFS.

Conclusion

Carefully selected elderly patients benefited from major hepatectomy for large HCC as much as younger patients, and their long-term prognosis was determined by preoperative alpha-fetoprotein level, tumor number and presence of macro- or micro-vascular invasion.

Reclassification of tumor size for solitary HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma by minimum p value method: a large retrospective study

Background and objectives

Tumor size is one of the most important issues for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treatment and prognosis, but the classification of it is still controversial. The aim of this study was to screen appropriate cutoffs for size of solitary hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC.

Methods

A cohort of 1760 patients with solitary HBV-related HCC undergoing curative liver resection was divided into 11 groups based on tumor size in 1-cm interval. The minimum p value method was used to screen the appropriate size cutoff according to overall survival (OS). If multiple cutoffs meet the above standard, a univariate analysis will be performed by using the Cox proportional hazards regression model, and hazard ratio (HR) will be considered as a criterion to assess the difference in survival.

Results

There are 8 dichotomy, 8 trichotomy, and no inquartation cutoffs that were screened when classifying tumor sizes in accordance with OS. The HR values of tumor size at these trichotomy cutoffs for OS were compared, and the highest HR value is 2.79 when size cutoff is 3/9 cm. Then, we reclassified patients into three new classifications: ≤ 3 cm (n = 422), > 3 and ≤ 9 cm (n = 1072), and > 9 cm (n = 266). The comparison of clinicopathologic characteristics among these three classifications showed that the increase of tumor size was associated with the increase of α-fetoprotein (AFP), microvascular invasion (MVI), tumor differentiation, and liver cirrhosis. And the comparison of the OS among three classifications showed statistical differences.

Conclusions

This study suggested that size criteria of 3 cm and 9 cm in solitary HBV-related HCC patients were appropriate based on biological characteristics and prognostic significance.

Treatment of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma up to 2 cm: A PRISMA-compliant systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

In recent years, there has been considerable uncertainty about the optimal treatment option for very early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with tumor size less than 2 cm. Therefore, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the outcomes of the different treatments.

METHODS

This study was designed in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-analysis (PRISMA). PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane library were searched for calculating the survival rates, and the "time to event" method was used to compare the outcomes of liver resection (LR) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA). All studies focusing on the treatment of solitary HCC up to 2 cm by different techniques were included in our analysis. The Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) derived from multivariate and univariate analysis were utilized to assess the treatment risks.

RESULTS

We included 32 studies in our systematic review. The median 5-year overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival rate (RFS) for LR were 73% and 47%, respectively, and those for RFA were 73% and 43%, respectively. RFA was found to be associated with increased risk of mortality and recurrence compared to LR (HR = 1.61, 95% CI: 1.35-1.92, P < .0001 for OS and HR = 1.75, 95% CI: 1.56-1.96, P < .0001 for RFS).

CONCLUSION

Our meta-analysis demonstrated that LR is superior to RFA in the treatment of solitary HCC up to 2 cm, with reduction in mortality and recurrence risk and improved long-term outcome.

Validation of prognostic impact of ADV score for resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: analysis using Korea Liver Cancer Registry Database

Purpose

We aimed to validate the prognostic predictive power of ADV score (α-FP-des-γ-carboxyprothrombin [DCP]-tumor volume [TV] score, calculated as α-FP [ng/mL] × DCP [mAU/mL] × TV [mL] and expressed in log₁₀) for predicting patient survival after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

This study included 1,390 patients with HCC registered in the Korea Liver Cancer Registry. Patients underwent hepatic resection between 2008 and 2012 and were followed up until December 2016. They were divided into 4 groups according to the number of tumors and preoperative treatment.

Results

There was no significant correlation among α-FP, DCP, and TV values (r² ≤ 0.04, P < 0.001). In group 1 with single treatment-naive tumor (n = 1,154), patient stratification with postoperative ADV 1log-interval and cutoffs of 5log, 7log, and 10log showed great prognostic contrast (P < 0.001). In group 2 with multiple treatment-naive tumors (n = 170), patient stratification with postoperative ADV 1log-interval and above-mentioned 3 cutoffs also showed great prognostic contrast (P < 0.001). In group 3 (n = 50) and group 4 (n = 16) with preoperative-treated tumors, patient stratification with postoperative ADV 1log-interval and above-mentioned 3 cutoffs showed noticeable prognostic contrast (P ≤ 0.031). Preoperative ADV score based on preoperative findings also showed great prognostic contrast in 1,106 patients preoperatively diagnosed as having single treatment-naive tumor (P < 0.001). Confining patients to tumor-node-metastasis stages I and II (n = 1,072) as well as Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0 and A (n = 862), postoperative ADV cutoffs showed further prognostic stratification.

Conclusion

This validation study strongly suggests that ADV score is an integrated surrogate marker for postresection prognosis in patients with HCC.

Tumor Size Drives the Prognosis After Hepatic Resection of Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma Without Vascular Invasion

PURPOSE

We assessed the association of tumor size with patient survival following diagnosis of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma without vascular invasion.

METHODS

The overall population comprised 638 patients who initially underwent hepatic resection with curative intent for a solitary hepatocellular carcinoma without macroscopic vascular invasion (487 had no microscopic vascular invasion). We set 5 cm as the tumor cutoff size for a solitary tumor based on the Milan criteria, and we used a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model and propensity score matching to evaluate the impact of tumor size on survival.

RESULTS

Tumor size was significantly associated with a proportional increase in cancer-specific survival in the overall population (P = 0.001) and the subgroup with no microscopic vascular invasion (P = 0.029); however, multivariate analysis revealed no significant risk associated with recurrence-free survival (P = 0.055 and 0.59, respectively). After propensity score matching, the cancer-specific survival of patients with tumors > 5 cm was significantly worse than for those with tumors ≤ 5 cm in the overall population (P = 0.0077); the corresponding 2-year cumulative recurrence rates were 45.8% and 23.5%, respectively (P = 0.0027). Finally, the proportions of extrahepatic to total recurrences were 8% for those with tumors ≤ 5 cm and 29.1% for those with tumors > 5 cm in the unmatched overall population (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Tumor size was associated with recurrence within 2 years of surgery and with poor cancer-specific survival in patients with solitary hepatocellular carcinoma, even in the absence of microscopic vascular invasion.

Novel Prognostic Nomograms for Predicting Early and Late Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Curative Hepatectomy

Aim

Hepatectomy is the main curative method for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in China. Unfortunately, high recurrence rate after hepatectomy poses negative impact on the prognosis of patients. This study aimed to develop prognostic nomograms to predict early recurrence (ER) and late recurrence (LR) of HCC after curative hepatectomy.

Patients and Methods

Total of 318 HCC patients undergoing curative hepatectomy from January 2012 to January 2018 were retrospectively recruited. Potential risk factors that were significant for predicting ER and LR in univariate analysis were selected for multivariate survival model analysis using the backward stepwise method. Risk factors identified in multivariate analysis were used to develop nomograms to predict ER and LR. The nomogram was internally validated using 2,000 bootstrap samples from 75% of the original data.

Results

Among 318 patients, 164 showed postoperative recurrence, of which 140 and 24 had ER (≤2 years) and LR (>2 years), respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that age, Hong Kong Liver Cancer Stage, albumin-bilirubin, METAVIR fibrosis grade, and microvascular invasion were risk factors of ER for HCC after curative hepatectomy. The AUC of the ROC curve for ER in the development set (D-set) was 0.888 while that in the validation set (V-set) was 0.812. Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio and glypican-3 (+) were risk factors for LR in HCC patients after curative hepatectomy. The AUC of the ROC curve for LR predictive nomogram that integrated all independent predictors was 0.831. The AUC of the ROC curve for LR in the D-set was 0.833, while that for LR in the V-set was 0.733. The C-index and AUC of ROC for the proposed nomograms were more satisfactory than three conventional HCC staging systems used in this study.

Conclusion

We developed novel nomograms to predict ER and LR of HCC patients after curative hepatectomy for clinical use to individualize follow-up and therapeutic strategies.

Differences in the prognostic value of tumor size on hepatocellular cancer-specific survival stratified by gender in a SEER population-based study

Background and objective

Tumor size is an important prognostic factor in cancers. This study aims at investigating the interaction between gender status and tumor size to evaluate cancer-specific survival (CSS) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

In this study, we searched Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) population-based data and identified 38,368 patients diagnosed with HCC between 1988 and 2012. Patients diagnosed between 1998 and 2007 were distributed into a training set (n = 19279), and the rest were assigned as a SEER validation set (n = 19089). Definition of cut-off value of tumor size stratified by gender was determined by the "X-Tile" program. The five-year CSS data were found. Long-term survival outcomes and risk factors were analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier methods and the multivariable Cox regression models.

Results

There were significant differences among these different tumor size subgroups with regards to five-year CSS (p < 0.001). When applying cutoff points of 38 mm and 75 mm tumor size in men, and 38 mm and 55 mm in women, the most significant difference was observed by the X-Tile program, respectively (p < 0.001). The five-year CSS was 27.5% for women and 25.7% for men in the training set, and 33.9% for women and 31.1% for men in the validating set (p < 0.001). Further analysis showed that this significant difference existed in localized, regional, and distant-stage patients.

Conclusions

These results demonstrated that women with HCC appeared to exhibit better survival rates than men. The sex-related discrepancies should be emphasized, particularly for HCC patients with 39 to 75 mm tumors.

Analysis of prognostic factors of more/equal to10 years of survival for liver cancer patients after liver transplantation

OBJECTIVE

To investigate prognostic factors of  more than 10 years of survival for liver cancer patients after liver transplantation.

METHODS

From May 2000 to May 2007, a total of 134 liver cancer patients who underwent liver transplantation in the Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Peking University People's Hospital, were continuously and retrospectively enrolled. The patients included 120 males and 14 females. There were 124 cases (92.5%) of primary hepatocellular carcinoma, 9 cases (6.7%) of cholangiocarcinoma, and 1 case of mixed hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma. Patients with perioperative death were excluded. Follow-up was performed until May 31st, 2017 or the time of death. According to the data on postoperative survival time, patients were divided into a < 10 years group (81 cases) and a ≥ 10 years group (53 cases). Patients' clinical data were recorded and analyzed, including alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level (≥ 400 µg/L or < 400 µg/L), number of tumor lesions (< 3 or ≥ 3), tumor size (≤ 5 cm or > 5 cm), vascular tumor thrombus (large blood vessel or non-large blood vessel), and histological differentiation degree. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate survival rates. The log-rank method was used to compare the differences between survival curves. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to perform multivariate analyses of possibly influential factors.

RESULTS

(1) Follow-up was conducted with all 134 liver cancer patients after liver transplantation. The follow-up periods were 1-201 months, with a median of 18 (8.75, 132.5) months. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis results showed that the 1-year, 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year cumulative survival rates were 70.3%, 48.6%, 46.8%, and 46.8%, respectively. (2) The differences in the age of patients, the incidence rate of AFP ≥ 400 µg/L, tumor histological differentiation, vascular tumor thrombi, tumor lesion size, and number of tumor lesions between two groups were all statistically significant (all P < 0.01). (3) The cumulative survival rates were different in AFP (log-rank χ2 = 13.428), histopathologic differentiation (log-rank χ2 = 33.592), large blood vessel tumor thrombi (log-rank χ2 = 36.470), tumor lesion size (log-rank χ2 = 39.835), and number of tumor lesions (log-rank χ2 = 47.016), and there were statistically significant differences between groups (all P < 0.01). (4) Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses showed that ≥ 3 tumor lesions [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.879, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.566-5.422], tumor lesion size > 5 cm (HR = 2.682, 95% CI 1.382-5.366), large blood vessel tumor thrombi (HR = 1.831, 95% CI 1.010-3.341), and poor histological differentiation (HR = 2.150, 95% CI 1.372-3.394), were risk factors affecting the 10-year survival of liver cancer patients after liver transplantation (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Tumor size, tumor number, large blood vessel tumor thrombi, and low tumor differentiation were all found to be independent risk factors affecting the 10-year survival rate after liver transplantation in liver cancer patients.

miR-330-5p targets SPRY2 to promote hepatocellular carcinoma progression via MAPK/ERK signaling

MicroRNAs (miRNAs) have been identified as critical modulators of cell proliferation and growth, which are the major causes of cancer progression including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Our previous miRNA microarray data have shown that miR-330-5p was always upregulated in HCC. However, the accurate role of miR-330-5p in HCC is still uncertain. Here, we report that miR-330-5p expression is upregulated in HCC tissues and cell lines, and is associated with tumor size, tumor nodule number, capsule formation and Tumor Node Metastasis (TNM) stage in HCC patients. Overexpression of miR-330-5p promotes proliferation and growth of HCC cells in vitro and in vivo, while miR-330-5p knockdown has the inverse effect. Moreover, using miRNA databases and dual luciferase report assay, we find miR-330-5p directly binds to the 3′-untranslated region (3′-UTR) of Sprouty2 (SPRY2). Then we find the novel biofunctional role of SPRY2 inactivation in promoting HCC progression. Finally, we confirm that miR-330-5p suppresses SPRY2 to promote proliferation via mitogen-activated protein kinases (MAPK)/extracellular regulated kinase (ERK) signaling in HCC. Taken together, our findings demonstrate the critical role of miR-330-5p in promoting HCC progression via targeting SPRY2 to activate MAPK/ERK signaling, which may provide a novel and promising prognostic marker and therapeutic target for HCC.

The power of tumor sizes in predicting the survival of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma patients

Background

Vascular invasion, rather than tumor size, was applied into the 7th edition of the AJCC TNM staging system to predict survival of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. However, does this mean tumor size is of little value in prognostic prediction? The current study was designed to explore the prognostic ability of tumor sizes in solitary HCC.

Methods

A total of 18 591 patients with solitary HCC categorized as T1 and T2 were retrieved from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was adopted to evaluate the impact of tumor sizes on overall survival (OS) and disease‐specific survival (DSS) in general and in subgroups stratified by vascular invasion and surgery type.

Results

Large tumor sizes (>39 mm) were associated with unfavorable clinicopathologic characteristics. Compared with tumors ≤30 mm, tumors between 31‐50 mm and tumors >50 mm showed significantly worse OS and DSS in general using multivariate analysis (all P < 0.001). In subgroup analyses, for patients without vascular invasion, tumor size was a notable prognostic indicator for OS in the radiofrequency ablation group (P < 0.001), rather than in the liver resection or transplantation group. Nevertheless, for patients with vascular invasion, tumor sizes exhibited a notable impact on OS in the liver resection and transplantation group.

Conclusions

The AJCC TNM staging system for solitary HCC would be more comprehensive if tumor sizes were integrated into the T2 classification. Additionally, for T1 patients, tumor sizes play no role in the choice between resection and transplantation.

Prognostic Prediction Models for Resection of Large Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Korean Multicenter Study

BACKGROUND

We developed a prognostic prediction model (PPM) using 4 factors for hepatic resection (HR) of large hepatic cellular carcinoma (HCC). Multiplication of α-fetoprotein (AFP), des-γ-carboxy prothrombin, and tumor volume (TV) (ADV score) is a surrogate marker for post-resection prognosis. This study intended to validate the predictive power of 4-factor PPM and to develop new ADV score-based PPM.

METHODS

A total of 526 patients who underwent HR for solitary HCC ≥ 8 cm were selected from 9 Korean institutions between 2008 and 2014.

RESULTS

Median tumor diameter and TV were 11.0 cm and 398 mL, respectively. Tumor recurrence and patient survival rates were 53.0 and 78.4% at 1 year and 70.2 and 49.3% at 5 years, respectively. Independent risk factors for both tumor recurrence and patient survival included AFP ≥ 100 ng/mL, hypermetabolic FDG-positron emission tomography (PET), microvascular invasion and satellite nodules, which comprised 4 factors of the PPM. Five subgroups based on the number of involved risk factors exhibited significant differences in tumor recurrence and patient survival. ADV score cutoff was set at 7log (ADV7log) after cluster prognostic analysis. Patient grouping according to combination of ADV7log and FDG-PET findings (ADV7log-PET) exhibited significant differences in tumor recurrence and patient survival, comparable to those of the 4-factor PPM.

CONCLUSIONS

Two PPMs using 4 risk factors and ADV7log-PET could reliably predict the risk of early HCC recurrence and long-term survival outcomes in patients who underwent HR for large HCC. We believe that these PPMs can guide surgical treatment for large HCCs from preoperative HR planning to post-resection follow-up.

Importance of tumor size at diagnosis as a prognostic factor for hepatocellular carcinoma survival: a population-based study

Objective

The effects of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) tumor size on clinical presentation and treatment selection and its role as a prognostic factor remain unclear. The present study is a comprehensive analysis of the clinical correlation between tumor size at diagnosis and pathological grades, clinical staging, disparities of treatment, and survival of patients with HCC.

Materials and methods

Patients with HCC were separated into groups according to tumor size as follows: 0.1–2.0, 2.1–5.0, 5.1–10.0, and 10.1–20.0 cm. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the relationship between tumor size at diagnosis and pathological grade, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) historic stage A, and treatment selection. The survival of HCC patients stratified by tumor size was estimated by Kaplan–Meier and 5-year survival analyses using the log-rank test. Multivariable analysis of overall survival was performed using the Cox proportional hazards model. Tumor size at diagnosis was an independent risk factor of pathological grade, and SEER historic stage A was revealed by logistic regression analysis.

Results

The 5-year survival rate was 21.9% vs 14.3% vs 9.2% vs 7.7% for all HCC patients and 31.2% vs 23.6% vs 20.3% vs 15.5% for patients who underwent surgery with tumor sizes of 0.1–2.0 vs 2.1–5.0 and 5.1–10.0 vs 10.1–20.0 cm, respectively; multivariable Cox regression analysis identified tumor size at diagnosis as an independent predictor of survival risk with HR of 1.00 vs 1.66 vs 2.92 vs 3.67, respectively.

Conclusion

Tumor size at diagnosis could be used as an independent risk predictor associated with histological grade, stage, selection of surgery, and survival in HCC.

Outcomes of anterior approach major hepatectomy with diaphragmatic resection for single huge right lobe HCC with diaphragmatic invasion

The outcomes following anterior approach (AA) hepatectomy in huge hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with diaphragmatic invasion (DI) remain unclear. This study compared the outcomes of single huge right HCC patients with and without DI after AA hepatectomy. A total of 203 consecutive patients with single huge right lobe HCC who underwent AA major hepatectomy were included. They were divided into group PDI (n = 53) and group ADI (n = 150) according to the presence or the absence of DI. Their short- and long-term outcomes were compared, and a subgroup analysis was performed. There were no significant differences regarding postoperative complications and 90-day mortality between the 2 groups. The overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were similar between the 2 groups. The subgroup analysis also showed that patients with tumor resection en bloc with part of the diaphragm had similar OS and RFS rates as those who underwent diaphragmatic resection after hepatectomy. Tumor diameter ≥ 15 cm, serum AFP level ≥ 400 ng/mL, and tumor grade of G4 and microvascular invasion are independent predictors of poor prognosis. For the single huge right lobe HCC patients with DI, AA major hepatectomy combined with diaphragmatic resection could offer similar OS and RFS as those without diaphragmatic invasion.

Nomograms to Predict the Individual Survival of Patients with Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Hepatectomy

Background/Aims

Solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a subgroup of HCCs. We aimed to establish nomograms for predicting the survival of solitary HCC patients after hepatectomy.

Methods

A total of 538 solitary HCC patients were randomly classified into training and validation sets. A Cox model was used to identify predictors of overall survival (OS) in the training set. A nomogram was generated based on these predictors and was validated using the validation set.

Results

Tumor size, microvascular invasion, and major vascular invasion were significantly associated with OS in the training set. Nomograms were developed based on these predictors in the multivariate analysis. The C-index was 0.75 for the OS nomogram and 0.72 for the recurrence-free survival nomogram. Compared to the index of conventional staging systems for predicting survival (0.71 for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer, 0.66 for the seventh American Joint Committee on Cancer, 0.68 for Cancer of the Liver Italian Program, and 0.70 for Hong Kong Liver Cancer), the index of the OS nomogram was significantly higher. Moreover, the calibration curve fitted well between the predicted and observed survival rate. Similarly, in the validation set, the nomogram discrimination was superior to those of the four staging systems (p<0.001).

Conclusions

The nomograms demonstrated good discrimination performance in predicting 3- and 5-year survival rates for solitary HCCs after hepatectomy.

The hepatectomy efficacy of huge hepatocellular carcinoma and its risk factors: A meta analysis

BACKGROUND

There has always been a controversy on the hepatectomy for huge hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Therefore, we aim to explore the hepatectomy efficacy of huge HCC and its risk factors.

METHODS

A systematic research was performed using PubMed, MedLine, Web of Knowledge, and Cochrane Library from their establishment to August 2017. The major endpoints were overall survival (OS) rate and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate, and the secondary ones were the morbidity of complications and mortality of hepatectomy.

RESULTS

About 13 studies with a total of 7609 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The hepatectomy efficacy of huge HCC was inferior to non-huge HCC both in OS (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.90-2.50, P < .00001; I = 66%, P = .003) and RFS (HR = 1.97, 95% CI = 1.76-2.19, P < .00001; I = 74%, P = .0001). However, the risk difference[RD] of the 1-year, 3-year and 5-year OS tended to be acceptable (RD = -0.05, 95% CI = -0.11-0.00, P = .05; RD = -0.13, 95% CI = -0.21--0.05, P = .002; RD = -0.10, 95% CI = -0.19--0.01, P = .03; respectively). Moreover, there were also no significant differences between huge HCC and non-huge HCC in the morbidity of complication and mortality of hepatectomy (RD = 0.07, 95% CI = -0.09-0.23, P = .38; RD = -0.01, 95% CI = -0.00--0.03, P = .06; respectively). Related risk factors were measured to explore the differences, and the results showed that the level of alpha fetal protein (AFP) and the margin-positive rate were higher (standard mean difference [SMD] = 0.57, 95% CI = 0.26-0.88, P = .0003; odd radio[OR] = 32.52, 95% CI = 1.02-6.22, P = .04; respectively), the characteristic of huge HCC tended to be worse such as lower clinical or pathological stage, incomplete capsule and incorporate satellite metastases (OR = 2.91, 95% CI = 1.68-5.04, P = .001; OR = 3.99, 95% CI = 3.40-4.67, P < .00001; OR = 2.52, 95% CI = 1.66-3.83, P < .0001; respectively), and the rate of micorvascular invasion (MVI) including portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) were higher (OR = 3.36, 95% CI = 1.61-7.02, P = .001; OR = 2.75, 95% CI = 2.29-3.31, P < .00001; respectively) in the huge HCC.

CONCLUSION

The hepatectomy efficacy of huge HCC was inferior to non-huge HCC, but its survival benefits and feasibility were confirmed in this meta-analysis. In addition, higher level of AFP, positive margin, lower clinical or pathological stage, incomplete capsule, incorporate satellite metastasis and MVI were significantly correlated with poor OS.

Optimizing stage of single large hepatocellular carcinoma: A study with subgroup analysis by tumor diameter

This study aims to refine the designation for single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) >5 cm by comparing the postresection prognosis of these patients with those who have a single-tumor ≤5 cm and those with stage B.Patients with a single-tumor were classified into subgroups based on diameter. Of the 1132 patients analyzed, 426 had a single-tumor >2 and ≤5 cm; 229, a single-tumor >5 and ≤8 cm; 52, a single-tumor >8 and < 10 cm; 150, a single-tumor ≥10 cm; and 275, stage B.Hospital mortality and complications increased with tumor size among the single-tumor subgroups and median survival decreased with increasing of tumor size. Overall survival (OS) among patients with a single-tumor >5 cm was significantly lower than among patients with a single-tumor >2 and ≤5 cm (P ≤ .001), but significantly higher than among patients with clearly stage B (P ≤ .001). Patients with a single-tumor >5 and ≤8 cm showed lower OS than patients with a single-tumor >2 and ≤5 cm (P < .001). Patients with a single-tumor >8 and <10 cm or a single-tumor ≥10 cm showed lower OS than patients with a single-tumor >5 and ≤8 cm (P = .033 and .006), and similar OS to patients with stage B (P = .323).Patients with a single-tumor >5 and ≤8 cm may be assigned to a new stage between early and intermediate. Patients with a single-tumor >8 cm may be assigned to intermediate stage.

Edmondson-Steiner grade: A crucial predictor of recurrence and survival in hepatocellular carcinoma without microvascular invasio

BACKGROUND

Microvascular invasion (MVI), an important pathologic parameter, has been proven to be a powerful predictor of long-term prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, prognostic factors in HCC without MVI remain unknown. The present study aimed to identify the risk factors of recurrence and poor post-resectional survival in this type of HCC.

METHODS AND METHODS

A total of 109 patients with MVI-absent HCC underwent radical hepatectomy were enrolled. The influence of clinicopathologic variables on recurrence and patient survival was assessed using univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Chi-square test found that Edmondson-Steiner grade and satellite nodule were significantly associated with recurrence, while the former was the single marker for early recurrence. Stepwise logistic regression analysis demonstrated the independent predictive role of Edmondson-Steiner grade for recurrence. On the other hand, Edmondson-Steiner grade, serum AFP level and satellite nodule were significant for overall and disease-free survival in univariate analysis, whereas tumor size was linked to disease-free survival. Of the variables, Edmondson-Steiner grade, serum AFP level and satellite nodule were independent indicators.

CONCLUSIONS

Edmondson-Steiner grade, a histological classification, carries robust prognostic implications for all the endpoints for prognosis, thus being potential to be a crucial prognosticator in HCC without MVI.

Huge hepatocellular carcinoma greater than 10 cm in diameter worsens prognosis by causing distant recurrence after curative resection

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate the impact of huge (≥10 cm) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to the recurrence pattern and the prognosis after hepatectomy.

METHODS

574 patients who underwent hepatectomy by 17 surgeons (Open 536 and Laparoscopic 38) for HCC without major vascular invasion from 1990 to 2013 at single institute were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

Huge tumor, age, HCV, multiple tumors and microscopic portal invasion are independent risk factors for overall survival (OS), and huge tumor, ICGR15 ≥16%, multiple tumors, moderate/poor histology, microscopic portal invasion and a positive pathological margin are risk factors for relapse-free survival (RFS). The 5-year OS and RFS of patients with huge HCC (n = 53) (42.9 and 14.2%) were significantly worse than those of patients with HCC <10 cm (n = 521) (71.3 and 33.1%). Huge tumor is an independent risk factor for initial extra-hepatic recurrence (Hazard ratio 7.86, P < 0.0001). The 5-year OS of patients with initial extra-hepatic recurrence (n = 55) was significantly worse than patients with intra-hepatic recurrence (n = 338) (16.8 vs. 50.5%).

CONCLUSIONS

Huge HCC (≥10 cm) is an independent risk factor due to a high risk for initial extra-hepatic recurrence. Future systemic adjuvant therapy is needed for these patients. J. Surg. Oncol. 2017;115:324-329. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Multiplication of Tumor Volume by Two Tumor Markers Is a Post-Resection Prognostic Predictor for Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

We hypothesized that microvascular invasion (MVI) and post-resection prognosis in patients with solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) could be predicted using blood tumor markers and tumor volume (TV). We intended to identify a simple surrogate marker of HCC via a combination of clinical variables.

METHODS

This retrospective study used the strictly selected development cohort (n = 1176) and validation cohort (n = 551) containing patients who underwent curative resection of solitary HCC.

RESULTS

In the development cohort study, the median values were 13.7 mL for TV, 24.2 ng/mL for α-fetoprotein (AFP), and 75 mAU/mL for des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP); there was no correlation among these three factors (r ² ≤ 0.237, p < 0.001). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year rates were 22.4, 41.7, and 46.8 % for tumor recurrence and 93.6, 84.0, and 78.2 % for patient survival, respectively. Independent risk factors for both tumor recurrence and patient survival were tumor diameter >5 cm or TV >50 mL, MVI, satellite nodules, and high DCP. Multiplication of AFP, DCP, and TV (ADV score) resulted in prediction of MVI at a cutoff of 5log with sensitivity of 73.9 % and specificity of 66.7 %. Patient stratifications according to ADV score with cutoffs of 5log alone, 6log and 9log, and its combination with MVI showed significant prognostic differences (all p < 0.001). These prognostic significances were reliably reproduced in the validation cohort study (all p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

We suggest that ADV score is an integrated surrogate marker of HCC prognosis. We believe that it can be used to predict MVI and post-resection prognosis for solitary HCC.

Controversies and evidence of hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma

Symptoms of early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) often go unnoticed, so more than half of patients with primary HCC are diagnosed after their disease has already reached an intermediate or advanced stage, or after portal hypertension has appeared. While hepatic resection is widely recognized as a first-line therapy to treat very early or early HCC, its use in treating intermediate or advanced HCC or HCC involving portal hypertension remains controversial. Here we review PubMed-indexed literature covering the use of hepatic resection for such patients. The available evidence strongly suggests that, as a result of improvements in surgical techniques and perioperative care, hepatic resection can benefit many patients with intermediate or advanced HCC or with HCC associated with portal hypertension.

Liver resection versus liver resection plus TACE for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma beyond Milan criteria

BACKGROUND

The recurrence of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) beyond the Milan criteria after liver resection (LR) is common. This study aimed to clarify whether LR plus postoperative adjuvant transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) could improve the outcomes of patients with HCC beyond the Milan criteria after LR.

METHODS

A total of 754 consecutive patients with HCC beyond the Milan criteria who received LR alone (n = 459) or LR + TACE (n = 295) were included. A propensity scoring matched model (PSM) was used to adjust for the baseline differences between the groups.

RESULTS

The 1, 3, and 5-y recurrence-free survival (76.7%, 40.4%, and 30.8%, respectively, for the LR-alone group versus 78.3%, 50.5%, and 46.2%, respectively, for the LR + TACE group; P = 0.004) and overall survival (94.1%, 58.3%, and 36.3%, respectively, for the LR-alone group versus 95.3%, 71.3%, and 54.9%, respectively, for the LR + TACE group; P < 0.001) rates of patients who underwent LR alone were much lower than in the LR + TACE group. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that LR alone was an independent risk factor for postoperative recurrence and poor long-term survival. After one-to-one PSM, 284 patients who underwent LR alone and 284 patients who underwent LR + TACE were selected for further analyses. Similar results were observed in the PSM model.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that LR + TACE may be beneficial for patients with HCC beyond the Milan criteria. Postoperative adjuvant TACE should be considered to patients with HCC beyond the Milan criteria.

Subclassification of patients with solitary hepatocellular carcinoma based on post-hepatectomy survival: a large retrospective study

Official guidelines group together all cases of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) without macroscopic vascular invasion, regardless of tumor size. Here, we examined whether this is justified based on overall survival (OS) after hepatic resection (HR). Patients with newly diagnosed solitary HCC treated by initial HR from January 2004 to October 2013 were classified into six groups based on tumor size (in 2-cm increments). Combining adjacent categories with similar OS led to three groups: ≤5 cm (n = 426), >5 and ≤8 cm (n = 229), and >8 cm (n = 202). Among all patients, median survival time was 62 months, and OS was 95 % at 1 year, 73 % at 3 years, and 54 % at 5 years. Patients in the ≤5 cm group showed significantly higher OS (P < 0.001) and lower tumor recurrence (P = 0.004) than those in the >5 and ≤8 cm group, who in turn showed significantly higher OS (P = 0.003) and lower tumor recurrence (P = 0.021) than those in the >8 cm group. Our results suggest that patients with solitary HCC should be subclassified based on tumor size for more accurate prognosis. We propose defining solitary HCC tumors >5 and ≤8 cm as "large" and tumors >8 cm as "huge".

The Impact of Tumor Size on Long-Term Survival Outcomes After Resection of Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Single-Institution Experience with 2558 Patients

BACKGROUND

According to the 7th AJCC TNM staging system, solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is classified as T1 or T2 based on microvascular invasion (MVI) regardless of tumor size. This study intended to evaluate the prognostic impact of tumor size on survival outcomes after macroscopic curative resection of solitary HCC.

METHODS

Patients who underwent R0 resection of solitary HCC <10 cm (n = 2558) were selected for study. Follow-up lasted ≥24 months or until death.

RESULTS

HCC was detected during regular health screening or routine follow-up in 2054 cases (80.3%). Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection was associated in 2127 (83.2%). Mean patient age was 54.4 ± 9.9 years. Anatomical resection was performed in 1786 (69.8%). MVI was identified in 407 (16.0%) which therefore became stage T2; the other 2150 became stage T1. Tumor recurrence and patient survival rates were 24.9 and 95.0% after 1 year, 49.6 and 84.1% after 3 years, 57.7 and 75.0 % after 5 years, and 67.3 and 56.6% after 10 years, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that non-anatomical resection, MVI, and tumor size >5 cm were independent risk factors for both tumor recurrence and overall patient survival. Long-term survival correlated negatively with tumor size and MVI. Subgroup analysis with MVI and size cutoff of 5 cm revealed a significant survival difference (p = 0.000). Tumor size >5 cm was not a significant prognostic factor in non-HBV patients.

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that the prognostic impact of tumor size may be underestimated in the current version of the AJCC staging system and that solitary HCC staging could be improved with inclusion of tumor size cutoff of 5 cm in HBV-associated patients. Further validation is necessary with multicenter studies.