Clinicopathological Risk Factors for Distant Metastasis in Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma: A Meta-analysis

Risk factors for distant metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma: Association with lateral lymph node metastasis

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to clarify the characteristics of distant metastasis in patients with N1a and N1b papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and the significance of lateral lymph node metastasis as a risk factor for distant metastasis.

METHODS

Of the 537 patients with N1a and N1b PTC who underwent surgical treatment at Hyogo Medical University from January 2013 to December 2020 and Shikoku Cancer Center from January 2007 to December 2018, 283 (79 men and 204 women) with lymph node metastasis were analyzed in this study. The median age was 58 (range, 19-93) years, and the median observation period was 73 (range, 1-152) months after surgery.

RESULTS

The incidence rate of distant metastasis was higher when metastases were detected at levels II or V. Multivariate analysis revealed that the factors that significantly increased the distant metastasis rate were age ≥ 55 years (p = 0.011), tumor size > 4 cm (p = 0.034), and lymph node metastasis at levels II and V (p = 0.034).

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with N1b metastasis, specifically at levels II or V, total thyroidectomy with lateral neck dissection should be considered the primary choice for postoperative radioactive iodine therapy.

Decoding RAS mutations in thyroid cancer: A meta-analysis unveils specific links to distant metastasis and increased mortality

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

RAS mutations are common in thyroid cancer, but their impact on clinical outcomes remains controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the prevalence of RAS mutations in thyroid cancer and their association with various clinical and pathological features.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies reporting on RAS mutations in thyroid cancer. Both one-arm and pairwise meta-analyses were performed to compare outcomes between RAS-mutated (RAS+) and wild-type (RAS-) thyroid cancers.

RESULTS

Our analysis included 2552 thyroid cancer patients from 17 studies. The overall prevalence of RAS mutations was 35.4 % (95 % CI: 22.7 %-50.7 %). NRAS mutations were most common (69.47 %, 95 % CI: 66.15 %-72.66 %), followed by HRAS (25.83 %, 95 % CI: 22.77 %-29.14 %) and KRAS (6.92 %, 95 % CI: 5.27 %-9.04 %). No statistically significant differences were found between RAS+ and RAS- cases in rates of T1/2 tumors, lymph node metastasis, extrathyroidal extension, or recurrence. The risk of distant metastasis was significantly higher in RAS+ cases (15 %, 95 % CI: 6 %-34 %) compared to RAS- cases (4 %, 95 % CI: 1 %-12 %), with a relative risk of 3.23 (95 % CI: 1.49-7.02). Notably, RAS+ cases showed a significantly higher mortality rate (8 %, 95 % CI: 3 %-18 %) compared to RAS- cases (2 %, 95 % CI: 1 %-5 %), with a relative risk of 4.36 (95 % CI: 1.23-15.50, p = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

While RAS mutations are prevalent in thyroid cancer, they do not significantly impact most clinical and pathological features. However, the presence of RAS mutations is associated with a significantly higher risk of distant metastasis and mortality, suggesting their potential role as a prognostic marker in thyroid cancer. These findings underscore the importance of RAS mutation testing in risk stratification and treatment planning for thyroid cancer patients.

Prognosis analysis and nomogram for predicting lateral lymph node metastasis in Medullary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Currently, the incidence rate of Medullary Thyroid Microcarcinoma (micro-MTC) has an increasing trend, but the incidence of LNM and prognosis were still ambiguous. We analyzed the status of neck LNM of micro-MTC patients and created a prognostic nomogram to predict the probability of lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) for clinical practice.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study included patients with micro-MTC from SEER database for the period from 2004 to 2017 and patients from our medical center for the period from 2011 to 2019. A nomogram was constructed and the accuracy and clinical practicability were separately tested by Harrell's C-indexes, calibration plots, Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and decision curve analyses (DCA).

RESULTS

A total of 413 patients with micro-MTC from SEER database and 64 patients with micro-MTC from our department enrolled in the study. There were 16.0% and 9.4% cases in SEER database and 39.1% and 25.0% cases in our department appeared LNM and LLNM, respectively. Besides, a nomogram was constructed to assess the incidence of LLNM with good C-index, which was 0.850 in training cohort and 0.856 in validation cohort. The results of the area under the curve (AUC) were 0.830 in training cohort, 0.801 in validation cohort and 0.832 in external testing cohort, respectively.

CONCLUSION

A relatively high rate of LLNM than expected was found, which should be emphasized. The prediction model could facilitate clinicians to assess the probability of LLNM and make a personalized treatment strategy.

Impact of distant metastasis on overall survival and cancer specific survival of elderly patients with differentiated thyroid cancer

Distant metastases are common in most elderly patients, because elderly patients are diagnosed with advanced thyroid cancer due to delayed diagnosis. There is still few specific real-world data regarding prognosis in the elderly with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). The purpose of this study is to evaluate the prognostic factors and survival rate of elderly DTC patients with metastasis. This retrospective study included 14,603 elderly patients diagnosed with DTC from 2010 to 2015, including 447 patients with distant metastasis via the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. The prognostic factors of overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in elderly DTC patients with metastasis or non-metastasis were determined by univariate and multivariate analysis. Age, primary site operation, radiotherapy, chemotherapy and tumor size are associated with OS and CSS in elderly DTC patients with distant metastasis. Compared with the patients without surgery, patients with total thyroidectomy showed significantly better OS. For the elderly DTC patients, radiotherapy was associated with improving OS and CSS. Chemotherapy increased the risk of death. For elderly DTC patients, early identification of distant metastasis, total thyroidectomy and radiotherapy are associated with better prognosis.

Decoding the past and future of distant metastasis from papillary thyroid carcinoma: a bibliometric analysis from 2004 to 2023

Background

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is the most common thyroid malignancy, and its distant metastasis (PTCDM), although uncommon, seriously affects the survival rate and quality of life of patients. With the rapid development of science and technology, research in the field of PTCDM has accumulated rapidly, presenting a complex knowledge structure and development trend.

Methods

In this study, bibliometric analysis was used to collect 479 PTCDM-related papers published between 2004 and 2023 through the Web of Science (WoS) Core Collection (WoSCC) database. Keyword clustering analysis was performed using VOSviewer and citespace, as well as dual-map overlay analysis, to explore knowledge flows and interconnections between different disciplines.

Results

The analysis indicated that China, the United States, and South Korea were the most active countries in conducting research activities. Italy's research was notable due to its higher average citation count. Keyword analysis revealed that "cancer," "papillary thyroid carcinoma," and "metastasis" were the most frequently used terms in these studies. The journal co-citation analysis underscored the dominant roles of molecular biology, immunology, and clinical medicine, as well as the growing importance of computer science in research.

Conclusion

This study identified the main trends and scientific structure of PTCDM research, highlighting the importance of interdisciplinary approaches and the crucial role of top academic journals in promoting high-quality research. The findings not only provide valuable information for basic and clinical research on thyroid cancer but also offer guidance for future research directions.

The U-Shaped association between age and distant metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma

PURPOSE

To investigate the association between age distribution and synchronous distant metastasis of papillary thyroid carcinoma.

METHOD

Patients with PTC who were treated from January 2013 to December 2018 at a single institute in a cancer referral center in China were retrospectively reviewed. A logistic regression model with restricted cubic splines (RCS) was used to examine the association between age at diagnosis and synchronous distant metastasis.

RESULTS

A total of 111 patients (0.7%) were diagnosed with distant metastasis. The logistic regression model with RCS revealed a "U-shape" association between age and distant metastasis. The RCS curve suggested a U-shaped pattern. The multivariable regression analysis showed that patients in the age groups ≤21 years (OR 2.33, 95% CI 1.09-4.68, P = 0.022) and >55 years (OR 3.32, 95% CI 1.99-5.46, P < 0.001) had a significantly higher incidence of distant metastasis than patients in the age group of 22 to 55 years.

CONCLUSIONS

A U-shaped association was observed between age at diagnosis and synchronous distant metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma patients.

Estrogen-mediated DNMT1 and DNMT3A recruitment by EZH2 silences miR-570-3p that contributes to papillary thyroid malignancy through DPP4

BACKGROUND

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is a common endocrine malignancy. Studies have indicated that estrogen can regulate the expression of miRNAs in numerous malignancies. MiR-570-3p has been shown to have a regulatory function in various cancers. However, studies of the regulatory function of miR-570-3p and a direct link between estrogen (especially estradiol E2) and miR-570-3p in PTC have not been done.

METHODS

Expression of miR-570-3p and its downstream target DPP4 in PTC tissues and cells was predicted using bioinformatics and validated by qRT-PCR and western blot assays. We then performed a series of gain-and-loss experiments to assess the functional significance of miR-570-3p/DPP4 axis in PTC progression in vitro and in vivo. Additionally, the methylation of the miR-570-3p promoter region was examined via bioinformatics analysis and MSP. Finally, the effects of E2 on PTC progression and the correlation between DNMT1/DNMT3A and EZH2 were predicted by bioinformatic tools and proved by luciferase reporter, ChIP, and co-IP assays.

RESULTS

In PTC tumor tissues and cell lines, there was a lower expression level and a higher methylation level of miR-570-3p compared to normal tissues and cell lines. DPP4 was identified as the downstream target of miR-570-3p. Overexpression of miR-570-3p reduced the proliferative, migratory, and invasive capabilities, and promoted apoptosis, while overexpression of DPP4 reversed these effects in PTC cells. It was also discovered that DNMT1 and DNMT3A increased the CpG methylation level of the miR-570-3p promoter in an EZH2-dependent manner, which led to decreased expression of miR-570-3p. Furthermore, we observed that estrogen (E2) enhanced the methylation of miR-570-3p and suppressed its expression levels, resulting in augmented tumor growth in vivo in PTC.

CONCLUSION

Estrogen regulates the EZH2/DNMTs/miR-570-3p/DPP4 signaling pathway to promote PTC progression.

The value of total tumor diameter in unilateral multifocal papillary thyroid carcinoma: a propensity score matching analysis

Background

Tumor multifocality is frequently observed in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). However, the maximum tumor diameter (MTD), currently utilized in various staging schemes, might not accurately indicate the level of aggressiveness exhibited by multifocal tumors. We aimed to investigate the relationship between total tumor diameter (TTD) and clinicopathological features of papillary thyroid carcinoma.

Methods

Retrospective data analysis was done on 1936 individuals who underwent complete thyroidectomy for PTC. Patients were classified into subgroups according to unilateral multifocality, central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) and lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM). The relationships of clinicopathological features among these groups were analyzed.

Results

Unilateral multifocality was observed in 117 patients. The clinicopathological features of the unilateral multifocal PTC were similar to the unifocal PTC with approximate TTD. The unilateral multifocality played no independent role in CLNM and LLNM. Moreover, the efficiency of TTD in predicting CLNM and LLNM was significantly higher than that of MTD.

Conclusion

In the case of unilateral multifocal PTC, TTD is a more accurate indicator of the biological characteristics of the tumor than MTD.

Clinical and Pathological Features and Gene Expression Profiles of Clinically Aggressive Papillary Thyroid Carcinomas

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is considered an indolent neoplasm but it may demonstrate aggressive behavior. We aimed to identify clinical and pathological characteristics and molecular signatures associated with aggressive forms of PTCs. We selected 43 aggressive PTC cases based on the presence of metastases at the time of diagnosis, the development of distant metastasis during follow-up, and/or biochemical recurrence, and 43 PTC patients that were disease-free upon follow-up, matching them according to age, sex, pT, and pN parameters. Twenty-four pairs (a total of 48 cases) and 6 normal thyroid tissues were studied using targeted mRNA screening of cancer-associated genes employing NanoString nCounter® technology. In general, aggressive PTCs showed distinctive clinical and morphological features. Among adverse prognostic parameters, the presence of necrosis and an increased mitotic index were associated with shorter disease-free and overall survivals. Other parameters associated with shorter disease-free or overall survivals include a lack of tumor capsule, the presence of vascular invasion, tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, fibrosclerotic changes, age > 55 years, and a high pTN stage. Various pathways were differentially regulated in non-aggressive as compared to aggressive PTC, including the DNA damage repair, the MAPK, and the RAS pathways. In particular, the hedgehog pathway was differentially de-regulated in aggressive PTC as compared to non-aggressive PTC cases, being WNT10A and GLI3 genes significantly up- and down-regulated in aggressive PTC and GSK3B up-regulated in non-aggressive PTC cases. In conclusion, our study revealed specific molecular signatures and morphological features in aggressive PTC that may be useful to predict more aggressive behavior in a subset of PTC patients. These findings may be useful when developing novel, tailored treatment options for these patients.

Osseous Metastases in Thyroid Cancer: Unveiling Risk Factors, Disease Outcomes, and Treatment Impact

Bone is the second most common site of metastasis in patients with thyroid cancer (TC) and dramatically impacts overall survival and quality of life with no definitive cure, yet there is no extensive study of the demographic and clinical risk factors in the recent literature. Data regarding 120,754 TC patients with bone metastasis were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify the risk factors of bone metastasis occurring in various histologies of TC. Cox regression was performed to analyze the influence of bone metastasis on overall survival. Hazard ratios were computed to analyze the association between bone metastasis and the primary outcomes. Of the 120,754 records collected from the SEER database from 2000 to 2019, 976 (0.8%) presented with bone metastasis, with occurrence being the greatest in patients of age ≥ 55 years (OR = 5.63, 95%CI = 4.72-6.71), males (OR = 2.60, 95%CI = 2.27-2.97), Blacks (OR = 2.38, 95%CI = 1.95-2.9) and Asian or Pacific Islanders (OR = 1.90, 95%CI = 1.58-2.27), and single marital status. TC patients presenting with bone metastasis (HR = 2.78, 95%CI = 2.34-3.3) or concurrent bone and brain metastases (HR = 1.62, 95%CI = 1.03-2.55) had a higher mortality risk. Older age, gender, race, and single marital status were associated with bone metastasis and poorer prognosis in TC patients at initial diagnosis. Understanding such risk factors can potentially assist clinicians in making early diagnoses and personalized treatment plans, as well as researchers in developing more therapeutic protocols.

Nomogram for preoperative prediction of high-volume lymph node metastasis in the classical variant of papillary thyroid carcinoma

Introduction

The objective of our study was to construct a preoperative prediction nomogram for the classical variant of papillary thyroid carcinoma (CVPTC) patients with a solitary lesion based on demographic and ultrasonographic parameters that can quantify the individual probability of high-volume (>5) lymph node metastasis (HVLNM).

Materials and methods

In this study, a total of 626 patients with CVPTC from December 2017 to November 2022 were reviewed. Their demographic and ultrasonographic features at baseline were collected and analyzed using univariate and multivariate analyses. Significant factors after the multivariate analysis were incorporated into a nomogram for predicting HVLNM. A validation set from the last 6 months of the study period was conducted to evaluate the model performance.

Results

Male sex, tumor size >10 mm, extrathyroidal extension (ETE), and capsular contact >50% were independent risk factors for HVLNM, whereas middle and old age were significant protective factors. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.842 in the training and 0.875 in the validation set.

Conclusions

The preoperative nomogram can help tailor the management strategy to the individual patient. Additionally, more vigilant and aggressive measures may benefit patients at risk of HVLNM.

Machine learning algorithms are comparable to conventional regression models in predicting distant metastasis of follicular thyroid carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

Distant metastasis often indicates a poor prognosis, so early screening and diagnosis play a significant role. Our study aims to construct and verify a predictive model based on machine learning (ML) algorithms that can estimate the risk of distant metastasis of newly diagnosed follicular thyroid carcinoma (FTC).

DESIGN

This was a retrospective study based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2004 to 2015.

PATIENTS

A total of 5809 FTC patients were included in the data analysis. Among them, there were 214 (3.68%) cases with distant metastasis.

METHOD

Univariate and multivariate logistic regression (LR) analyses were used to determine independent risk factors. Seven commonly used ML algorithms were applied for predictive model construction. We used the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (AUROC) curve to select the best ML algorithm. The optimal model was trained through 10-fold cross-validation and visualized by SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). Finally, we compared it with the traditional LR method.

RESULTS

In terms of predicting distant metastasis, the AUROCs of the seven ML algorithms were 0.746-0.836 in the test set. Among them, the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) had the best prediction performance, with an AUROC of 0.836 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.775-0.897). After 10-fold cross-validation, its predictive power could reach the best [AUROC: 0.855 (95% CI: 0.803-0.906)], which was slightly higher than the classic binary LR model [AUROC: 0.845 (95% CI: 0.818-0.873)].

CONCLUSIONS

The XGBoost approach was comparable to the conventional LR method for predicting the risk of distant metastasis for FTC.

Rare sites of metastases in patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma and added value of SPECT/CT over planar whole body radioactive iodine scan

Background

Being aware of the unusual or rare location of thyroid metastases helps in early diagnosis and proper patient management. Rare metastases (RM) can be missed resulting in diagnostic pitfalls and delayed treatment. The use of single-photon emission computed tomography/computed tomography (SPECT/CT) imaging in the follow-up of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients provides precise anatomical localization and characterization of RM that may be missed or misinterpreted in planar whole body iodine-131 (WBI) scan. There is a lack of knowledge about dealing with such patients, the treatment they should receive, and therapy response due to the rarity of such cases. In this work, we reported these rare cases increasing awareness about them and their methods of treatment with response to therapy and evaluated the added value of SPECT/CT imaging in changing patients’ management.

Materials and methods

In this study we reviewed all patients with DTC referred to our unit either for initial radioactive iodine-131 therapy (RAIT) or under follow-up from January 2019 to January 2022. When a suspected lesion was detected in a conventional planar WBI scan whether follow-up scan or post-therapeutic scan, SPECT/CT was acquired immediately in the same session for that region. Additional imaging modalities were performed for confirmation. Response to the given treatment either disease progression (DP) or favorable response which include complete response (CR), partial regression (PR) and stable disease (SD) recorded for each patient.

Results

Two hundred and forty patients with DTC referred to our unit over a three-year period (from January 2019 to January 2022) were reviewed. Forty patients developed lung and bone distant metastases. Twenty-one patients were thought to have metastases at unusual sites. Due to incomplete data (no SPECT/CT pictures or confirmatory imaging), 6/21 patients were eliminated. We studied 15 patients with RM (9 females, 6 males) with a median age of 52 years (range 27–79). All patients received the initial RAIT after thyroidectomy in addition to other therapeutic modalities, e.g., radiotherapy (RTH), chemotherapy (CTH) or surgical tumor excision after detection of RM. Ten out of 15 patients (66.67%) showed favorable response to therapy (2 patients had CR, 6 patients had PR and 2 patients had SD), whereas only 5 patients had DP. Additional SPECT/CT changed management in 10/15 patients (66, 67%) of patients.

Conclusion

RM identification is mandatory to avoid misdiagnosis and delayed therapy. Increasing the awareness about such rare cases allows for better management. SPECT/CT could significantly impact patients' management through its precise anatomic localization and lesion characterization.

Number of Tumor Foci as a Risk Factor for Recurrence in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: Does It Improve Predictability?

Multifocality in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) increases the risk of recurrence. Some recent studies have suggested that multifocality-related parameters, such as the number of tumor foci, total tumor diameter (TTD), and bilaterality, are more useful for predicting recurrence than multifocality. However, it is still unclear if these factors can improve the accuracy of the recurrence prediction model. Between 2012 and 2019, 1288 patients with PTC underwent total thyroidectomy at Ewha Womans University Medical Center. The 5-year disease-free survival rate was 91.2% in patients with >3 tumor foci, 95.1% with 3 foci, and 97.6% with 2 foci; conversely, those with a unifocal tumor showed a 5-year recurrence-free survival rate of 98.0%. Cox proportional hazards analysis indicated that the number of tumor foci (HR for >3 foci, 3.214; HR for 3 foci, 2.473), bilaterality (HR, 2.530), or TTD (HR for >3 cm, 5.359; HR for 2−3 cm, 3.584) could be an independent predictor of recurrence. However, models using the number of tumor foci, bilaterality, and TTD did not show better overall predictability of recurrence than models based on multifocality. In conclusion, a simpler prediction model based on multifocality may be sufficient.

Bone metastases in newly diagnosed patients with thyroid cancer: A large population-based cohort study

Background

Population-based estimates of the incidence and prognosis of bone metastases (BM) stratified by histologic subtype at diagnosis of thyroid cancer are limited.

Methods

Using multivariable logistic and Cox regression analyses, we identified risk factors for BM and investigated the prognostic survival of BM patients between 2010 and 2015 via the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.

Results

Among 64,083 eligible patients, a total of 347 patients with BM at the time of diagnosis were identified, representing 0.5% of the entire cohort but 32.4% of the subset with metastases. BM incidence was highest (11.6%) in anaplastic thyroid cancer (ATC), which, nevertheless, was highest (61.5%) in follicular thyroid cancer (FTC) among the subset with metastases. The median overall survival among BM patients was 40.0 months, and 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates were 65.2%, 51.3%, and 38.7%, respectively. Compared with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC), FTC (aOR, 6.33; 95% CI, 4.72–8.48), medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) (aOR, 6.04, 95% CI, 4.09–8.92), and ATC (aOR, 6.21; 95% CI, 4.20–9.18) significantly increased the risk of developing BM. However, only ATC (aHR, 6.07; 95% CI, 3.83–9.60) was independently associated with worse survival in multivariable analysis. Additionally, patients with BM alone (56.5%) displayed the longest median survival (66.0 months), compared with those complicated with one extraskeletal metastatic site (lung, brain, or liver) (35.2%; 14.0 months) and two or three sites (8.3%; 6.0 months). The former 5-year overall survival rate was 52.6%, which, however, drastically declined to 23.0% in patients with one extraskeletal metastatic site and 9.1% with two or three sites.

Conclusion

Closer bone surveillance should be required for patients with FTC, MTC, and ATC, and extraskeletal metastases at initial diagnosis frequently predict a poorer prognosis.

Nomogram individually predicts the risk for distant metastasis and prognosis value in female differentiated thyroid cancer patients: A SEER-based study

Objective

Distant metastasis (DM) is an important prognostic factor in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) and determines the course of treatment. This study aimed to establish a predictive nomogram model that could individually estimate the risk of DM and analyze the prognosis of female DTC patients (FDTCs).

Materials and methods

A total of 26,998 FDTCs were retrospectively searched from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2018 and randomly divided into validation and training cohorts. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to screen for prognostic factors and construct a prediction nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), concordance index (C-index), and a calibration curve. The overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier (K-M) analysis.

Results

A total of 263 (0.97%) FDTCs were reported to have DM. K-M analysis showed the association of multiple-organ metastases and brain involvement with lower survival rates (P < 0.001) in patients. Tumor size, age at diagnosis, thyroidectomy, N1 stage, T3-4 stage, and pathological type were independent predictive factors of DM in FDTCs (all P < 0.001). Similarly, age at diagnosis, Black, DM, T3-4 stage, thyroidectomy, and lung metastasis were determined as independent prognostic factors for FDTCs (all P < 0.001). Several predictive nomograms were established based on the above factors. The C-index, AUC, and calibration curves demonstrated a good performance of these nomogram models.

Conclusion

Our study was successful in establishing and validating nomograms that could predict DM, as well as CSS and OS in individual patients with FDTC based on a large study cohort. These nomograms could enable surgeons to perform individualized survival evaluation and risk stratification for FDTCs.

Can Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis Increase the Risk of Distant Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma?

Background

Distant metastasis (DM) is a rare event and has a negative effect on the prognosis for papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). The relationship between cervical lymph node metastasis and DM is complicated and unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of N stage subclassification on different distant metastasis sites based on age stratification, especially for patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma.

Methods

A total of 28,712 patient with PTC cases between 2010 and 2018 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was utilized to adjust for confounding variables. Risk stratification, including positive lymph node number and lymph node ratio, was established by receiver operating characteristic curves to help predict DM.

Results

Lung was the most common metastatic site regardless of N0, N1a disease, or N1b disease. As the N stage increased, the higher the rate of DM identified. After age stratification, only N1b disease significantly increased the risk of lung metastasis (LM; odds ratio, OR = 20.45, P < 0.001) rather than bone metastasis (BM; OR = 3.46, P > 0.05) in younger patients. However, in older patients, N1b disease significantly increased the risk of both LM (OR = 4.10, P < 0.001) and BM (OR = 2.65, P = 0.007). In patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC), N1a disease did not increase the risk of DM, LM, and BM compared with N0 disease (P > 0.05). Furthermore, combined N stage with risk stratification has well performance in predicting DM (area under the curve, AUC = 0.761). Similar results were shown in PTC patients with LM (AUC = 0.770) and BM (AUC = 0.729).

Conclusion

Overall, the incidence of DM significantly increased with the progress of N disease after age stratification. N1a disease did not increase the risk of DM in PTMC patients, regardless of LM or BM. Combined N stage with risk stratification may be beneficial for DM prediction.

Risk factors associated with disease-specific mortality in papillary thyroid cancer patients with distant metastases

PURPOSE

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is among the most curable cancer types. Even though uncommon, some patients present distant metastatic disease at diagnosis or during the follow-up and most of them have long-term survival. However, there continues to be controversies regarding what clinicopathological features are associated with mortality in these patients. This paper evaluates the factors related to poor disease-specific survival (DSS) in patients with metastatic PTC.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study included PTC patients with distant metastasis from a tertiary public oncological center. Clinicopathological features, treatment modalities, and outcome were reviewed.

RESULTS

Between 1986 and 2014, 108 patients were diagnosed with metastatic PTC. In the multivariate analysis male sex (HR = 2.65; 95%CI: 1.08-6.53; P = 0.033), radioiodine refractory disease (HR = 9.50; 95%CI: 1.23-73.38; P = 0.031) and metastasis at multiple sites (HR = 5.91; 95%CI: 1.80-19.32; P = 0.003) were independent risk factors for death in patients with metastatic PTC.

CONCLUSION

Male patients with metastatic PTC, with radioiodine refractory disease and metastasis at multiple sites have a high risk of death.

The differences in distant metastatic patterns and their corresponding survival between thyroid cancer subtypes

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to systematically elucidate the metastatic patterns and their corresponding survival of each thyroid cancer subtype at time of diagnosis.

METHODS

We accessed the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2018 to search for primary thyroid cancers with DM at presentation (M1).

RESULTS

We included 2787 M1 thyroid cancers for statistical analyses and the incidence of DM at presentation was 2.4%. Lung was the most common metastatic site for anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC), poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma (PDTC), papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), and oncocytic (Hurthle) cell carcinoma (HCC) whereas bone is the favorable disseminated site of follicular thyroid carcinoma (FTC) and medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). Patients with multi-organ metastases had the worst survival whereas bone metastases were associated with a favorable outcome (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

There are significant differences in DM patterns of thyroid cancer subtypes and their corresponding survival.

Incidence and Predictors of Synchronous Bone Metastasis in Newly Diagnosed Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Real-World Population-Based Study

Background

Clinical and sociodemographic characteristics of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients with synchronous bone metastasis (SBM) remain unclear. This real-world study aimed to elucidate the incidence and prognosis of DTC patients with SBM using population-based data.

Methods

Data of patients with newly diagnosed DTC from 2010 to 2016 were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was utilized to identify predictors of developing SBM in patients with DTC and was further evaluated by receiver operator characteristics (ROC) analysis. Multivariable Cox regression was applied to identify prognostic factors associated with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS).

Results

A total of 67,176 patients with DTC were screened from the database, with 0.36% (244/67,176) developed SBM. The age-adjusted incidence of SBM in patients with DTC was relatively stable during the study period with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of 2.52. Multivariable logistic regression analysis recognized seven factors (older age, male gender, black race, other races, follicular histology, the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) T2, T3, T4 staging, and N1 staging) as predictors of developing SBM among the entire cohort, with the value of area under the curve (AUC) of 0.931 (95% CI: 0.915–0.947). The median survival time of DTC patients with SBM was 22 months (interquartile range, 7–47 months). The multivariable Cox regression analysis indicated multiple metastatic sites, surgical procedures, and chemotherapy as predictors for the survival of patients.

Conclusions

Predictors and prognostic factors of SBM in patients with DTC were identified in this study. Patients with risk factors should be given more attention in clinical practice.

Optimal Surgical Extent in Patients with Unilateral Multifocal Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Multifocality increases the risk of recurrence in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC); however, it is unclear whether multifocality justifies more extensive or aggressive surgical treatment. Here, we evaluated the effect of the operative extent on the recurrence-free survival (RFS) of patients with multifocal PTC. Between 2010 and 2019, 718 patients with unilateral multifocal PTC were enrolled; 115 patients (16.0%) underwent ipsilateral thyroid lobectomy, and 606 patients (84.0%) underwent total thyroidectomy. With a mean follow up of 5.2 years, RFS was comparable between the total thyroidectomy and lobectomy groups (p = 0.647) after adjusting for potential confounders. Multivariable Cox regression analysis also demonstrated that the operative extent was not an independent predictor of recurrence (HR 1.686, 95% CI: 0.321-8.852). Subgroup analyses further indicated that both total thyroidectomy and thyroid lobectomy resulted in comparable RFS for multifocal PTC patients with other high-risk factors, including tumor size > 1 cm (p = 0.711), lymph node metastasis (p = 0.536), and intermediate ATA risk of recurrence (p = 0.682). In conclusion, thyroid lobectomy was not associated with the risk of recurrence in patients with multifocal PTCs. Multifocality in PTC may not always require aggressive surgery.

Blood immune indexes can predict lateral lymph node metastasis of thyroid papillary carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To explore the clinical significance of blood immune indexes in predicting lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) of thyroid papillary carcinoma (PTC).

METHODS

The pathological data and preoperative blood samples of 713 patients that underwent thyroid surgery at affiliated Hangzhou First People's Hospital Zhejiang University School of Medicine from January 2013 to June 2021 were collected as the model group. The pathological data and preoperative blood samples of 177 patients that underwent thyroid surgery in the same hospital from July 2021 to October 2021 were collected as the external validation group. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to determine the independent risk factors of LLNM in PTC patients. A predictive model for assessing LLNM in PTC patients was established and externally validated using the external data.

RESULTS

According to univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, tumor diameter (P < 0.001, odds ratios (OR): 1.205, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.162-1.249) and the preoperative systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) (P = 0.032, OR: 1.001, 95% CI: 1.000-1.002) were independent risk factors for distinguishing LLNM in PTC patients. When the Youden index was the highest, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.860 (P < 0.001, 95% CI: 0.821-0.898). The externally validated AUC was 0.827 (P < 0.001, 95% CI: 0.724-0.929), the specificity was 86.4%, and the sensitivity was 69.6%. The calibration curve and the decision curve indicated that the model had good diagnostic value.

CONCLUSION

Blood immune indexes can reflect the occurrence of LLNM and the biological behavior of PTC. The predictive model established in combination with SII and tumor diameter can effectively predict the occurrence of LLNM in PTC patients.

Impact of Multifocality on the Recurrence of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

The incidence of thyroid cancer has dramatically increased over the last few decades, and up to 60% of patients have multifocal tumors. However, the prognostic impact of multifocality in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) remains unestablished and controversial. We evaluate whether multifocality can predict the recurrence of PTC. A total of 1249 patients who underwent total thyroidectomy for PTC at the Ewha Medical Center between March 2012 and December 2019 were reviewed. In this study, multifocality was found in 487 patients (39.0%) and the mean follow-up period was 5.5 ± 2.7 years. Multifocality was associated with high-risk features for recurrence, including extrathyroidal extension, lymph node metastasis, and margin involvement. After adjustment of those clinicopathological features, 10-year disease-free survival was 93.3% in patients with multifocal tumors, whereas those with unifocal disease showed 97.6% (p = 0.011). Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that male sex (HR 2.185, 95% CI 1.047–4.559), tumor size (HR 1.806, 95% CI 1.337–2.441), N1b LN metastasis (HR 3.603, 95% CI 1.207–10.757), and multifocality (HR 1.986, 95% CI 1.015–3.888) were independent predictors of recurrence. In conclusion, multifocality increased the risk of recurrence in patients with PTC. Patients with multifocal PTCs may need judicious treatment and follow-up approaches.

Association of Multifocality With Prognosis of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Importance

Multifocality is common in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), but it is unclear whether multifocal tumors are associated with tumor recurrence or cancer-specific survival.

Objective

To compare tumor recurrence rates in patients with multifocal vs unifocal PTCs.

Data Sources

We searched PubMed, SCOPUS, Web of Science Core Collection, and Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews for pertinent studies published in English from inception to June 30, 2020.

Study Selection

The search strategy yielded 26 studies that compared tumor recurrence in patients with multifocal vs unifocal PTC.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

Data was extracted in accordance with the recommendations of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guideline. Characteristics of study populations and hazard ratio (HR) of multifocality were independently extracted by 2 investigators.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was tumor recurrence and the secondary outcome was cancer-specific survival. Subgroup analysis of the primary outcome was based on primary tumor size, number of tumor foci, and patient age.

Results

Among 26 studies with a total of 33 976 patients, recurrence rates were significantly higher in patients with multifocal PTC than in those with unifocal PTC (pooled HR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.52-2.14). Cancer-specific survival was comparable between the groups (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 0.85-1.68). In subgroup analyses, the HRs of multifocality for recurrence were associated with primary tumor size (HRs for PTC ≤1 cm and >1 cm were 1.81 and 1.90, respectively), number of tumor foci (HRs for 2 foci and ≥3 foci were 1.45 and 1.95, respectively), and patient age (HRs for pediatric and adult patients were 3.19 and 1.89, respectively).

Conclusions and Relevance

This systematic review with meta-analysis found that multifocality was significantly associated with an increased risk of recurrence in patients with PTC, while cancer-specific survival showed no difference. Differences in tumor size, number of tumor foci, and patient age should be considered when interpreting the multifocality and the risk of recurrence.

Identification and validation of potential novel biomarkers to predict distant metastasis in differentiated thyroid cancer

Background

Distant metastasis (DM) is not common in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). However, it is associated with a significantly poor prognosis. Early detection of high-risk DTC patients is difficult, and the molecular mechanism is still unclear. Therefore, the present study aims to establish a novel predictive model based on clinicopathological parameters and DM-related gene signatures to provide guidelines for clinicians in decision making.

Methods

Weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) was performed to discover co-expressed gene modules and hub genes associated with DM. Univariate and multivariate analyses were carried out to identify independent clinicopathological risk factors based on The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. An integrated nomogram prediction model was established. Finally, real hub genes were validated using the GSE60542 database and various thyroid cell lines.

Results

The midnightblue module was most significantly positively correlated with DM (R=0.56, P=9e-06) by as per WGCNA. DLX5 (AUC: 0.769), COX6B2 (AUC: 0.764), and LYPD1 (AUC: 0.760) were determined to be the real hub genes that play a crucial role in predicting DM. Meanwhile, univariate and multivariate analyses demonstrated that T-stage (OR, 15.03; 95% CI, 1.75-319.40; and P=0.024), histologic subtype (OR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.03-0.92; and P=0.042) were the independent predictors of DM. Subsequently, a nomogram model was constructed based on gene signatures and independent clinical risk factors exhibited good performance. Additionally, the mRNA expressions of real hub genes in the GSE60542 dataset were consistent with TCGA.

Conclusions

The present study has provided a reliable model to predict DM in patients with DTC. This model is likely to serve as an individual risk assessment tool in therapeutic decision-making.

2020 Imaging Guidelines for Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: Korean Society of Thyroid Radiology

Imaging plays a key role in the diagnosis and characterization of thyroid diseases, and the information provided by imaging studies is essential for management planning. A referral guideline for imaging studies may help physicians make reasonable decisions and minimize the number of unnecessary examinations. The Korean Society of Thyroid Radiology (KSThR) developed imaging guidelines for thyroid nodules and differentiated thyroid cancer using an adaptation process through a collaboration between the National Evidence-based Healthcare Collaborating Agency and the working group of KSThR, which is composed of radiologists specializing in thyroid imaging. When evidence is either insufficient or equivocal, expert opinion may supplement the available evidence for recommending imaging. Therefore, we suggest rating the appropriateness of imaging for specific clinical situations in this guideline.

A Set of Markers Related to Viral Infection Has a Sex-sensitive Prognostic Value in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

CONTEXT

Although the incidence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is significantly higher in females than in males, the prognosis of male PTC is more unfavorable. However, the cause of higher malignancy of PTC in male patients remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

We conducted our analysis on microarrays datasets, tissue samples from PTC patients and the RNAseq datasets from TCGA with survival data.

METHODS

We searched all publicly available microarray datasets and performed a genome-wide meta-analysis comparing PTC and normal samples. Gene Ontology analysis was then conducted. The candidate genes were tested by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction. The analysis of prognostic value of genes was performed with datasets from The Cancer Genome Atlas.

RESULTS

After meta-analyses, 150 significantly differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were specifically found in male subjects. Gene Ontology analysis of these 150 genes revealed that the viral process was activated. Seven genes involved in the viral process in male patients showed a significantly differential expression between PTC and normal tissue. Survival analysis exhibited that the 7 genes, used in combination, were prognostically valuable and, of them, PSMB1 possessed a conspicuous prognostic value, especially in males.

CONCLUSION

In this study, we searched all publicly available microarray datasets and conducted a comprehensive analysis to understand the male propensity for higher malignancy. We found that markers of viral infection showed significantly differential expression only in male patients compared with their female counterparts and had a sex-sensitive prognostic value in PTC.

Machine learning for the prediction of bone metastasis in patients with newly diagnosed thyroid cancer

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to establish a machine learning prediction model that can be used to predict bone metastasis (BM) in patients with newly diagnosed thyroid cancer (TC).

METHODS

Demographic and clinicopathologic variables of TC patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database from 2010 to 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. On this basis, we developed a random forest (RF) algorithm model based on machine-learning. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy score, recall rate, and specificity are used to evaluate and compare the prediction performance of the RF model and the other model.

RESULTS

A total of 17,138 patients were included in the study, with 166 (0.97%) developed bone metastases. Grade, T stage, histology, race, sex, age, and N stage were the important prediction features of BM. The RF model has better predictive performance than the other model (AUC: 0.917, accuracy: 0.904, recall rate: 0.833, and specificity: 0.905).

CONCLUSIONS

The RF model constructed in this study could accurately predict bone metastases in TC patients, which may provide clinicians with more personalized clinical decision-making recommendations. Machine learning technology has the potential to improve the development of BM prediction models in TC patients.

Predicting distant metastatic disease in differentiated thyroid cancer: a matched case-control study

BACKGROUND

The occurrence of distant metastasis (DM) is the most important prognostic factor influencing survival outcomes in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). Identifying patients who are likely to develop DM and offering these cases more aggressive surgical approaches and I-131 therapy, is paramount to achieving the best possible outcomes. DM on presentation in DTC are uncommon, with an incidence of 1-9%. However, the incidence of DTC is rising and the disease affects a relatively young cohort of patients. The aims of this study were to investigate predictive factors in the development of DM by comparing a homogenous group of DTC patients with and without DM, and to illustrate the overall and disease-specific survival (DSS) rates of DTC patients presenting with DM.

METHODS

A matched case-control study of patients with DTC and DM was undertaken. The study group comprised a consecutive series of cases with DM treated in the period 1968-2014. Patients with DM at initial presentation were identified (DTC-DM group). A control group of patients without DM were matched based on age, gender, tumour size and histological subtype. The primary outcome measures were overall and disease-free survival. Secondary outcome measures were lymph node involvement (LNI), extra-thyroidal extension (ETE) of tumour and presence of BRAFV600E mutation identified on immunohistochemistry.

RESULTS

A total of 2547 patients with DTC were reviewed and of these 83 (3.26%) had DM at initial presentation. At 5 and 10 years, the overall survival rates for DTC-DM patients were 89.6% and 64%, respectively. The 5 and 10 year DSS rates for DTC-DM cases were 90.2% and 67.3%, respectively. When compared to the DTC group, the DTC-DM group had significantly higher rates of ETE (63% vs. 29.5%, P < 0.0001) and LNI (32.5% vs. 18.8%, P = 0.044). Among patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC), the presence of BRAFV600E mutation was significantly associated with DM (62.2% vs. 36.8%, P = 0.028).

CONCLUSION

ETE, LNI and BRAFV600E mutation in PTC are significant predictors for the development of distant metastatic disease.

Sex Disparities in the Clinical Characteristics, Synchronous Distant Metastasis Occurrence and Prognosis: A Pan-cancer Analysis

Background: This study aims to assess the sex disparities in clinical characteristics and synchronous distant metastasis occurrence at diagnosis, as well as the subsequent prognosis in non-sex-specific cancers. Methods: The study included details from patients diagnosed with non-sex-specific cancers, during the period from 2010 to 2016, in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program. The distant metastasis prevalence and subsequent survival time were summarized in the total population and the population with specific cancers of different systems. The multivariable logistic and the Cox proportional hazards regressions were applied to evaluate the sex effect on distant metastasis occurrence and prognosis. The results were combined using meta-analysis. Results: Across all non-sex-specific cancers, the pooled prevalence of distant metastasis was 15.2% (95% CI: 14.7-15.7%) and 7.1% (95% CI: 6.8-7.3%) for males and females, respectively. The pooled median survival time was 8.40 months (95% CI: 7.99-8.81) for male patients and 9.40 months (95% CI: 8.84-10.02) for female patients. After combining all non-sex-specific cancers, male patients displayed a higher distant metastasis occurrence than females (pooled OR=1.06, 95% CI: 1.04-1.08; P<0.01), as well as worse overall survival after distant metastasis (pooled HR=1.08, 95% CI: 1.05-1.10; P<0.01). The sex differences were more significant in patients younger than 65 years (P<0.01). Additionally, the sex influence on prognosis was most predominant amongst patients from Asian or Pacific Islander ethnic groups. Conclusion: Male gender appears to be an independent risk factor associated with the occurrence and prognosis of synchronous distant metastasis. Therefore, sex-specific preventions and treatments should become the focus of future research.

Patient and tumor factors contributing to distant metastasis in well-differentiated thyroid cancer: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Distant metastasis in thyroid cancer significantly reduces survival in patients with well-differentiated thyroid carcinoma (WDTC). There is limited information available to clinicians regarding pathological features that confer a higher risk of distant metastasis (DM). This study aimed to identify patient and tumor factors that were associated with the development of DM over time in patients with WDTC.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort analysis of patients with WDTC (n = 584) at our institution was performed between 2007 and 2017. A total of 39 patients with DM and 529 patients with no DM (NDM) were included. Patient demographics, tumor characteristics and patient survival were compared between the DM and NDM groups using a univariate analysis. Multivariate Cox-proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the risk of developing distant metastasis over time. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare survival between the DM and NDM groups.

RESULTS

Distant metastasis had a substantial impact on disease-specific survival (DSS) at 5 and 10-years in the DM group; 71.0% (SE 8.4%) and 46.9% (SE 11.6%) respectively, compared to 100% survival in the NDM group (p < 0.001). The DM group had significantly higher proportions of males, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), nodal metastasis (NM), large tumor size (TS), extrathyroidal extension (ETE), positive resection margins, multifocality, follicular thyroid cancer (FTC), tall cell variant of papillary thyroid cancer (PTC), and Hurthle cell carcinoma (HCC), when compared to the NDM group (p < 0.05). A TS ≥ 2 cm (Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.370), NM (HR 3.806) and FTC (HR 7.068) were associated with a significantly increased hazard of developing distant metastasis in patients with WDTC.

CONCLUSIONS

TS ≥ 2 cm, NM and FTC are associated with a significantly increased propensity for developing DM in our cohort of WDTC patients.

Adrenal metastasis as the initial diagnosis of synchronous papillary and follicular thyroid cancer

Background

Differentiated thyroid cancer uncommonly presents with distant metastases. Adrenal metastasis from differentiated thyroid cancer presenting as the initial finding is even less common.

Case Presentation

A 71-year-old male was incidentally found on chest CT to have bilateral thyroid nodules, which were confirmed on ultrasound. Fine needle aspiration of the dominant right 3.3 cm nodule contained histologic features most consistent with Bethesda classification III, and repeat fine needle aspiration revealed pathology consistent with Bethesda classification II. Follow-up thyroid ultrasound showed 1% increase and 14% increase in nodule volume at one and two years, respectively, compared to baseline. Prior to the second annual thyroid ultrasound, the patient was incidentally found to have a 4.1 cm heterogeneously enhancing mass in the right adrenal gland on CT of the abdomen and pelvis. Biochemical evaluation was unremarkable with the exception of morning cortisol of 3.2 µg/dL after dexamethasone suppression. The patient then underwent laparoscopic right adrenal gland excision, which revealed metastatic follicular thyroid carcinoma. Total thyroidectomy was then performed, with pathology showing a 4.8 cm well-differentiated follicular thyroid carcinoma of the right lobe, a 0.5 cm noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features of the left lobe, and a 0.1 cm papillary microcarcinoma of the left lobe. Thyrotropin-stimulated whole body scan showed normal physiologic uptake of the remnant thyroid tissue without evidence of other iodine avid disease. The patient then received radioactive iodine. At follow-up 14 months after total thyroidectomy, he remains free of recurrent disease.

Conclusion

Despite following the recommended protocol for evaluation and surveillance of thyroid nodules, thyroid cancer can be challenging to diagnose, and may not be diagnosed until distant metastases are identified.

Novel nomogram to predict risk of bone metastasis in newly diagnosed thyroid carcinoma: a population-based study

Background

The aim of this study was to develop and validate a visual nomogram for predicting the risk of bone metastasis (BM) in newly diagnosed thyroid carcinoma (TC) patients.

Methods

The demographics and clinicopathologic variables of TC patients from 2010 to 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database were retrospectively reviewed. Chi-squared (χ2) test and logistic regression analysis were performed to identify independent risk factors. Based on that, a predictive nomogram was developed and validated for predicting the risk of BM in TC patients. The C-index was used to compute the predictive performance of the nomogram. Calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) were furthermore used to evaluate the clinical value of the nomogram.

Results

According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, the data of 14,772 patients were used to analyze in our study. After statistical analysis, TC patients with older age, higher T stage, higher N stage, poorly differentiated, follicular thyroid carcinoma (FTC) and black people had a higher risk of BM. We further developed a nomogram with a C-index of 0.925 (95%CI,0.895–0.948) in the training set and 0.842 (95%CI,0.777–0.907) in the validation set. The calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) also demonstrated the reliability and accuracy of the clinical prediction model.

Conclusions

The present study developed a visual nomogram to accurately identify TC patients with high risk of BM, which might help to further provide more individualized clinical decision guidelines.

Synergic effects of histology subtype, lymph node metastasis, and distant metastasis on prognosis in differentiated thyroid carcinoma using the SEER database

Background

Differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) is the most common clinical type of thyroid carcinoma. There are rare reports on the synergic effects of the different clinicopathological risk factors on the prognosis of it.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed data on 86,032 DTC patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to evaluate the correlation between clinicopathological factors and the prognosis of DTC. Relative excess risk (RERI) of synergic effect, attributable proportion (AP) of synergic effect, and synergy index (SI) were calculated to assess synergic effects. Kaplan-Meier analyses with log-rank tests was used to plot the survival curve affected by different risk factors.

Results

Histology subtype, lymph node metastasis (LNM) status, and distant metastasis (DM) were independent risk factors for cancer-specific survival (CSS) and all-cause survival (ACS) in the multivariate analysis (all, P<0.001). Patients' age at diagnosis, sex, extrathyroidal extension, and radiation also influenced prognosis (all, P<0.001). The cancer-specific mortality (CSM) and all-cause mortality (ACM) rates per 1,000 person-years were higher in patients with follicular thyroid carcinoma (FTC) and in those with N1 stage and M1 stage disease. Furthermore, we observed a significant synergic effect between histology subtype and N stage, as well as histology subtype and M stage for the CSM of DTC (RERI =48.806, AP =0.853, SI =7.565; RERI =37.889, AP =0.430, SI =1.771, respectively). However, no synergic effect was observed in the case of the N stage and M stage for the CSM of DTC (RERI =7.928, AP =0.084, SI =1.093).

Conclusions

Patients with histology subtype of FTC and N1 stage, histology subtype of FTC and M1 stage had significant additive synergic effects on DTC prognosis for CSM.

Lymphovascular invasion of papillary thyroid carcinoma revisited in the era of active surveillance

INTRODUCTION

Lymphovascular invasion (LVI) is associated with disease recurrence and compromised survival in patients with thyroid cancer. Nonetheless, LVI is not identifiable on preoperative ultrasound or cytologic assessment. We aimed to explore the clinicopathological features associated with LVI.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective review of our prospectively maintained database from 2009 to 2018. Multivariate analyses were performed to determine the associations between clinicopathological parameters and LVI. Generalized additive models were used to examine the nonlinear relationship between continuous variables and LVI.

RESULTS

A total of 795 patients were included in the analysis, and 174 (22%) had LVI. Patients' age (odds ratio [OR] = 0.982), tumor size (OR = 1.466), clinical lymphadenopathy (OR = 6.975), and advanced extrathyroidal extension (OR = 2.938) were independently associated with LVI. In the subset analysis of 198 patients with available genetic information, tumor size (OR = 1.599), clinical lymph node metastasis (OR = 3.657), and TERT promoter mutation (OR = 4.726) were predictive of LVI. Among 573 patients who had no clinical lymphadenopathy or advanced extrathyroidal extension, tumor size was the only predictor of LVI. Tumor size >1.5 cm had an increased risk of LVI based on the generalized additive model plot and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

CONCLUSION

Tumor size is positively associated with the risk of LVI in papillary thyroid cancer. To avoid delayed treatment in patients with LVI, a tumor size of 1.5 cm may be considered as the safe upper limit for active surveillance.

Association of thyroid cancer risk with plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D and vitamin D binding protein: a case-control study in China

PURPOSE

To investigate the association of thyroid cancer (TC) with 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] and vitamin D binding protein (DBP) and examine whether there was an interaction between 25(OH)D and DBP in relation to TC risk.

METHODS

A matched case-control study based on multiple hospitals included 506 pairs of cases with newly diagnosed TC and controls. All subjects were divided into the quartiles according to the distribution of 25(OH)D and DBP in controls. Odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association of TC with 25(OH)D and DBP were estimated by conditional logistic regression.

RESULTS

Comparing the highest to lowest quartiles, a decreased TC risk was respectively associated with plasma 25(OH)D (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.40-1.00, P-trend = 0.046) and DBP (OR 0.49, 95% CI 0.32-0.77, P-trend = 0.001). However, the association between DBP and TC might be modified by 25(OH)D (P-interaction = 0.014) and physical activity (P-interaction = 0.017). Compared to participants with 25(OH)D and DBP concentrations respectively below medians, those with both concentrations above medians had a lower risk of TC (OR 0.56, 95% CI 0.39-0.82). In stratified analysis based on clinical characteristics of tumor, significantly negative association between 25(OH)D, and DBP and TC were observed among the cases with early stage of tumor progression.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggested that 25(OH)D and DBP had protective effects against TC. But the negative association between TC and DBP might be modified by 25(OH)D and physical activity.

Innovative analysis of distant metastasis in differentiated thyroid cancer

Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is the most common thyroid cancer with a relatively high survival rate. The association between certain risk factors of distant metastasis (DM) remains uncertain. In order to assess the prognosis of patients with DTC better, the present study aimed to investigate the synergistic effects between histologic subtype, tumor size, lymph node metastasis (LNM) status and extrathyroidal extension (ETE) on the incidence of DM in DTC. Data of 96,788 patients with DTC were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database. The association between clinicopathological factors and DM was evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses. The synergistic effects of relevant factors were determined by measuring the relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI), attributable proportion due to interaction (AP) and synergy index (SI). The results demonstrated that tumor size, LNM status, histologic subtype and ETE were independent risk factors for DM [odds ratio (OR)=2.433; P<0.001; OR=3.998; P<0.001; OR=6.266; P<0.001; and OR=3.873; P<0.001, respectively]. In addition, a significant additive synergistic effect on DM was identified between ETE and histologic subtype, ETE and LNM status, as well as between ETE and tumor size (RERI=34.097; AP=0.706; SI=3.585; RERI=6.425; AP=0.410; SI=1.781; and RERI=76.973; AP=0.864; SI=7.930, respectively). Therefore, the results of this study revealed that ETE with follicular thyroid histology, N1 stage or large tumor size may have a synergistic effect on the risk of DM in patients with DTC. These results suggested that individualized treatment may benefit patients with DTC, and when ETE coexists with one of the identified risk factors, radical treatments may be required.

Long-Term Outcomes and Prognoses of Elderly Patients (≥65-Years-Old) With Distant Metastases From Well-Differentiated Thyroid Cancer During Radioiodine Therapy and Follow-Up

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to investigate the clinicopathological characteristics, long-term outcomes, and prognostic factors of elderly patients with distant metastases at initial diagnosis from well-differentiated thyroid cancer (WDTC) during radioactive iodine (¹³¹I) treatment and follow-up.

METHODS

A retrospective review of medical records identified 183 elderly patients with DTC who underwent ¹³¹I treatment at our institution between 2006 and 2019.

RESULTS

In total, 57 elderly WDTC patients with distant metastases were enrolled in this study. After ¹³¹I treatment, 32 (56.14%) patients had ¹³¹I avidity and 25 (43.86%) had non-¹³¹I avidity; 35 (61.40%) cases were classified as radioiodine refractory (RR)-WDTC and 22 (38.60%) as non-RR-WDTC. At the end of follow-up, 25 (43.86%) patients had died and 32 (56.14%) were alive. The 5- and 10-year overall survival (OS) rates were 71.50% and 30.49%, respectively, while the 5- and 10-year disease-specific survival (DSS) rates were 76.89% and 48.71%, respectively. Multivariate analyses showed that gross extrathyroidal extension and RR-DTC were independent prognostic factors for poor OS (P=0.04 and P=0.03, respectively), while gross extrathyroidal extension, extrapulmonary distant metastases, and RR-WDTC were independent prognostic factors for poor DSS at the end of follow-up (P=0.02, P=0.03, and P=0.02, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

WDTC with distant metastases at initial diagnosis accounted for 31.15% of all elderly patients with DTC. Gross extrathyroidal extension and RR-DTC were the major factors associated with poor OS; gross extrathyroidal extension, extrapulmonary distant metastases, and RR-DTC were independent prognostic factors for poor DSS in elderly DTC patients with distant metastases.

Clinical outcomes and prognostic factors in patients with no less than three distant organ system metastases from differentiated thyroid carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

For patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC), distant metastases are commonly identified in the lungs and bones. However, they are relatively rare in other distant organs, such as the liver, kidneys, or brain. The aim of the current study was to describe the clinical outcomes and evaluate the prognostic factors of patients with no less than three different distant organ system metastases from DTC.

METHODS

This study retrospectively identified 717 patients diagnosed with DTC with distant metastases between January 2005 and December 2017. Patient response to radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy was monitored by changes in serum thyroglobulin levels and imaging changes. Five-year and 10-year overall survival (OS) rates were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards.

RESULTS

Among the 717 participants, 37 (5.16%) patients had no less than three different distant organ system metastases from DTC. Five-year and 10-year OS were 45.9% and 37.8% in patients with three or more distant organ system metastases while 74.5% and 64.9% in individuals with one or two distant organ system metastases, respectively. RAI avidity and RAIR-DTC were main independent prognostic factors influencing the clinical outcomes for both groups of patients. The presence of 3 or more different distant organ system metastases was the only independent prognostic factors for 10-year OS by multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with no less than three distant organ system metastases from DTC had poor prognosis. RAI avidity and RAIR-DTC were main factors influencing overall survival for patients with distant metastases from DTC in both groups.

Synergic effects of histology subtype, tumor size, and lymph node metastasis on distant metastasis in differentiated thyroid cancer

Background

Detection of distant metastasis (DM) is important in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). This study aimed to investigate the synergic effects of histology subtype, tumor size, and lymph node metastasis (LNM) status on the occurrence of DM in DTC.

Methods

We collected data of 96,788 patients with DTC. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify the risk factors of DM. Relative excess risk of synergic effect, attributable proportion of synergic effect, and synergy index were then calculated to assess synergic effects. Further, Kaplan-Meier method using the log-rank test and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were utilized.

Results

Age at diagnosis (P<0.001), sex (P<0.001), race (P<0.01), tumor size (P<0.001), N stage (P < 0.001), histology subtype (P<0.001), and extrathyroidal extension (P<0.001) were risk factors for DM in both univariate and multivariate analyses. We also found a significant additive synergic effect between histology subtype and LNM, and between tumor size and LNM on DM in the DTC patients. In addition, patients with follicular thyroid cancer and N1 stage had the sharpest decline in cancer-specific survival curves (P<0.001) and all-cause survival curves (P<0.001) compared to patients with other combinations of histology subtype and N stage. Similar results were obtained in patients with larger tumors (≥10 mm) and N1 stage. The areas under the curve of histology subtype, tumor size, and LNM status were 0.569, 0.744, and 0.681, respectively.

Conclusions

Age at diagnosis, sex, race, tumor size, N stage, histology subtype, and extrathyroidal extension are risk factors for DM in DTC patients. LNM has a synergic effect with either follicular thyroid histology or larger tumor size for higher risk of DM which is important for diagnosing DM.

Surgical outcomes of thyroid cancer patients in a tertiary cancer center in India

Background

Surgery is the mainstay in the management of thyroid cancer. Surgical outcomes need to be tempered against the excellent prognosis of the disease.

Aims

This study aims to study the surgical outcomes including the 30-day morbidity and 5-year survival of thyroid cancer patients.

Settings and Design

Retrospective analysis of a prospectively maintained surgical database in a tertiary cancer center in India.

Materials and Methods

We analyzed 221 surgically treated patients in the year 2012.

Statistical Analysis

Used IBM SPSS 24.0 (Armonk, NY) with p < 0.05.

Results

The median age was 40 years with predominantly papillary thyroid carcinoma (55%). Localized disease in 47% of cases, locoregional disease in 42.5% and distant metastasis in 10.2% of cases at presentation was noted. Treatment naïve patients were 71% and revision surgeries were done in 29% patients. Extended thyroidectomy constituted 11% of the surgeries. Temporary hypocalcemia was seen in 30.8% of patients, 5% requiring intravenous calcium supplementation. Vocal cord palsy as per nerve at risk and chyle leak were seen in 4.5% and 3.1%, respectively. Aggressive histology, extended thyroidectomy, and inadvertent parathyroidectomy were significant factors associated with complications. Five year estimated overall survival with median follow-up of 50 months was 98%, and event-free survival was 84.8%. Advanced age, distant metastasis at presentation and aggressive histology connoted poor outcomes.

Conclusion

Thyroid cancer, irrespective of the extent of disease, has good prognosis. Aggressive histology, the extent of thyroid surgery, distant metastasis and age are important factors, which should be factored in the algorithm of thyroid cancer management.