Predicting Survival of Congenital Diaphragmatic Hernia on the First Day of Life

Development of a prediction nomogram for 1-month mortality in neonates with congenital diaphragmatic hernia

OBJECTIVES

Although many prognostic factors in neonates with congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) have been described, no consensus thus far has been reached on which and how many factors are involved. The aim of this study is to analyze the association of multiple prenatal and postnatal factors with 1-month mortality of neonates with CDH and to construct a nomogram prediction model based on significant factors.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of neonates with CDH at our center from 2013 to 2022 was conducted. The primary outcome was 1-month mortality. All study variables were obtained either prenatally or on the first day of life. Risk for 1-month mortality of CDH was quantified by odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) in multivariable logistic regression models.

RESULTS

After graded multivariable adjustment, six factors were found to be independently and consistently associated with the significant risk of 1-month mortality in neonates with CDH, including gestational age of prenatal diagnosis (OR, 95% CI, P value: 0.845, 0.772 to 0.925, < 0.001), observed-to-expected lung-to-head ratio (0.907, 0.873 to 0.943, < 0.001), liver herniation (3.226, 1.361 to 7.648, 0.008), severity of pulmonary hypertension (6.170, 2.678 to 14.217, < 0.001), diameter of defect (1.560, 1.084 to 2.245, 0.017), and oxygen index (6.298, 3.383 to 11.724, < 0.001). Based on six significant factors identified, a nomogram model was constructed to predict the risk for 1-month mortality in neonates with CDH, and this model had decent prediction accuracy as reflected by the C-index of 94.42%.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings provide evidence for the association of six preoperational and intraoperative factors with the risk of 1-month mortality in neonates with CDH, and this association was reinforced in a nomogram model.

Prognostic value of echocardiographic parameters in congenital diaphragmatic hernia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Prognostication of mortality and decision to offer extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) treatment in infants with congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) can inform clinical management.

OBJECTIVE

To summarise the prognostic value of echocardiography in infants with CDH.

METHODS

Electronic databases Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, CINAHL, the Cochrane Library and conference proceedings up to July 2022 were searched. Studies evaluating the prognostic performance of echocardiographic parameters in newborn infants were included. Risk of bias and applicability were assessed using the Quality Assessment of Prognostic Studies tool. We used a random-effect model for meta-analysis to compute mean differences (MDs) for continuous outcomes and relative risk (RR) for binary outcomes with 95% CIs. Our primary outcome was mortality; secondary outcomes were need for ECMO, duration of ventilation, length of stay, and need for oxygen and/or inhaled nitric oxide.

RESULTS

Twenty-six studies were included that were of acceptable methodological quality. Increased diameters of the right and left pulmonary arteries at birth (mm), MD 0.95 (95% CI 0.45 and 1.46) and MD 0.79 (95% CI 0.58 to 0.99), respectively) were associated with survival. Left ventricular (LV) dysfunction, RR 2.40, (95% CI 1.98 to 2.91), right ventricular (RV) dysfunction, RR 1.83 (95% CI 1.29 to 2.60) and severe pulmonary hypertension (PH), RR 1.69, (95% CI 1.53 to 1.86) were associated with mortality. Left and RV dysfunctions, RR 3.30 (95% CI 2.19 to 4.98) and RR 2.16 (95% CI 1.85 to 2.52), respectively, significantly predicted decision to offer ECMO treatment. Limitations are lack of consensus on what parameter is optimal and standardisation of echo assessments.

CONCLUSIONS

LV and RV dysfunctions, PH and pulmonary artery diameter are useful prognostic factors among patients with CDH.

Factors contributing to mortality in neonates with congenital diaphragmatic hernia and eventration

Introduction

Despite all the advances, the mortality rate of congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) ranges from 30% to 60% for isolated CDH and as high as 89% when they are associated with additional structural or chromosomal anomalies. Hence, a study was conducted to evaluate the factors contributing to the mortality of neonates treated for CDH or the eventration of diaphragm.

Materials and Methods

A retrospective study was conducted in the department of paediatric surgery at a tertiary centre. The neonates admitted with a diagnosis of CDH or eventration requiring surgery, between March 2013 and March 2021, were included in the study.

Results

A total of 123 neonates were included in the study. The variables, earlier median age at presentation (1 [1-23] vs. 3 [1-28]; P < 0.001; Mann-Whitney U-test), preterm birth (10/79 vs. 0/44; P = 0.01; Fischer's exact test), inborn (68/79 vs. 27/44; P = 0.002; Chi-square test), weight ≤2 kg (18/79 vs. 1/44; P = 0.003; Chi-square test), central cyanosis at presentation (21/79 vs. 1/44; P < 0.001; Chi-square test), antenatal detection (47/79 vs. 14/44; P = 0.003; Chi-square test) and earlier mean age at surgery (3.66 ± 1.47 vs. 7.66 ± 6.88; P < 0.001; Independent sample t-test) were associated with increased mortality. On multinominal logistic regression analysis, the factors preterm (odd's Ratio [OR] =4.735; P = 0.03), weight ≤2 kg (OR = 5.081; P = 0.02), central cyanosis at presentation (OR = 6.969; P = 0.008) and antenatal detection (OR = 7.471; P = 0.006) were found to be independently associated with increased mortality in CDH/eventration.

Conclusion

The factors: prematurity, weight <2 kg, cyanosis at presentation and antenatal diagnosis were independently associated with increased mortality in neonates with CDH/eventration requiring surgery.

The Utility of Serial Echocardiography Parameters in Management of Newborns with Congenital Diaphragmatic Hernia (CDH) and Predictors of Mortality

Ventricular dysfunction may be found in 40% of newborns with CDH, and is not only a predictor of disease severity, but also mortality and need for ECMO. We conducted this study to assess the utility of serial echocardiography in management of newborns with CDH and their survival outcomes. This is a retrospective study, wherein the demographic, clinical and echocardiographic data from our local CDH registry and hospital clinical database were analyzed to study the correlation of timed echocardiographic findings with mortality and other outcomes. Fourty-two newborns with CDH were admitted during the study period (M/F:19/23), with median gestation of 38 weeks (IQR:36-39) and birth weight of 2.83 kg (IQR 2.45-3.17). Thirty-one were left-sided, seven right, one central, and three bilateral hernias. Twelve infants (28%) died in early infancy. Three infants were excluded from analysis due to either palliation at birth or significant cardiac anomaly. A total of 137 echos from 39 infants were analyzed. Seventy percent of newborns who died and had an echo within the first 72 h, were noted to have suffered from moderate to severe PH. Birth weight < 2.8 kg, RVSP > 45.5 in the first 72 h and postoperative VIS > 23.5 and RSS > 4.3 were good predictors of mortality. Markers of elevated pulmonary pressures and cardiac function were useful in guiding therapy. Serial timed functional echocardiography (f-Echo) monitoring allows targeted therapy of patients with CDH. Birth weight, initial severity of pulmonary hypertension and postoperative RSS and VIS may be useful in predicting mortality.

Perinatal Prognostic Factors for Congenital Diaphragmatic Hernia: A Korean Single-Center Study

Purpose: This study aimed to identify prognostic factors based on treatment outcomes for congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) at a single-center and to identify factors that may improve these outcomes.Methods: Thirty-five neonates diagnosed with CDH between January 2011 and December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Pre- and postnatal factors were correlated and analyzed with postnatal clinical outcomes to determine the prognostic factors. Highest oxygenation index (OI) within 24 hours of birth was also calculated. Treatment strategy and outcome analysis of published literatures were also performed.Results: Overall survival rate of this cohort was 60%. Four patients were unable to undergo anesthesia and/or surgery. Three patients who commenced extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) post-surgery were non-survivors. Compared to the survivor group, the non-survivor group had a significantly higher occurrence of pneumothorax on the first day, need for high-frequency ventilator and inhaled nitric oxide use, and high OI within the first 24 hours. The non-survivor group showed an early trend towards the surgery timing and a greater number of patch closures. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.878 with a sensitivity of 76.2% and specificity of 92.9% at an OI cutoff value of 7.75.Conclusion: OI within 24 hours is a valuable predictor of survival. It is expected that the application of ECMO based on OI monitoring may help improve the opportunity for surgical repair, as well as the prognosis of CDH patients.

Validation of a Prediction Rule for Mortality in Congenital Diaphragmatic Hernia

BACKGROUND

Congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) is a rare congenital anomaly with a mortality of ∼27%. The Congenital Diaphragmatic Hernia Study Group (CDHSG) developed a simple postnatal clinical prediction rule to predict mortality in newborns with CDH. Our aim for this study is to externally validate the CDHSG rule in the European population and to improve its prediction of mortality by adding prenatal variables.

METHODS

We performed a European multicenter retrospective cohort study and included all newborns diagnosed with unilateral CDH who were born between 2008 and 2015. Newborns born from November 2011 onward were included for the external validation of the rule (n = 343). To improve the prediction rule, we included all patients born between 2008 and 2015 (n = 620) with prenatally diagnosed CDH and collected pre- and postnatal variables. We build a logistic regression model and performed bootstrap resampling and computed calibration plots.

RESULTS

With our validation data set, the CDHSG rule had an area under the curve of 79.0%, revealing a fair predictive performance. For the new prediction rule, prenatal herniation of the liver was added, and absent 5-minute Apgar score was taken out. The new prediction rule revealed good calibration, and with an area under the curve of 84.6%, it had good discriminative abilities.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, we externally validated the CDHSG rule for the European population, which revealed fair predictive performance. The modified rule, with prenatal liver herniation as an additional variable, appears to further improve the model's ability to predict mortality in a population of patients with prenatally diagnosed CDH.