Predicting complications following radical cystectomy with the ACS NSQIP universal surgical risk calculator

Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress (E-PASS) predicts postoperative complications after radical cystectomy

INTRODUCTION

This study evaluates the effectiveness of the Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress (E-PASS) scoring system in predicting postoperative complications following radical cystectomy (RC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this single-center retrospective study, we analyzed data from patients who underwent open RC for muscle-invasive bladder cancer by a single surgeon between 2008 and 2023. Cases involving cystectomy for non-urothelial carcinoma or urinary diversion other than ileal conduit were excluded. We recorded patient demographics, body mass index (BMI), history of abdominal/retroperitoneal surgery, ASA score, performance status (PS), and pre-existing conditions, such as hypertension (HT), coronary artery disease (CAD), diabetes mellitus (DM), and chronic kidney disease (CKD). Intraoperative data included surgery duration, blood loss, and need for blood transfusion. Post-operative complications were classified using the Clavien-Dindo system. E-PASS score was calculated using the Preoperative Risk Score (PRS), Surgical Stress Score (SSS), and Comprehensive Risk Score (CRS).

RESULTS

The study included 252 patients. Patients who experienced postoperative complications had higher age, BMI, prior surgical history, ASA score, PS, and rates of CAD, HT, DM, and CKD compared to those who did not. Surgery duration, blood loss, blood transfusion requirement, and E-PASS scores (PRS, SSS, CRS) were also higher in this group. The ROC curve for CRS revealed a predictive cutoff of 0.4911 (AUC = 0.905, p < 0.001). Independent risk factors for postoperative complications included high BMI (p = 0.031), longer surgery duration (p < 0.001), HT (p = 0.042), CKD (p = 0.017), and CRS > 0.4911 (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

E-PASS system effectively predicts postoperative complications in RC patients.

Accuracy of the ACS NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator for Predicting Postoperative Complications in Gastric Cancer Following Open Gastrectomy

INTRODUCTION

The prediction of complications before gastric surgery is of utmost importance in shared decision making and proper counseling of the patient in order to minimize postoperative complications. Our aim was to evaluate the predictive validity of American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) risk calculator in gastric cancer patients who underwent gastrectomy.

METHODS

Preoperative assessment data of 432 patients were retrospectively reviewed and manually entered into the calculator. The accuracy of the calculator was evaluated using Pearson's chi-squared test, C-statistic, Brier score, and Hosmer-Lemeshow test.

RESULTS

The lowest Brier scores were observed in urinary tract infection, renal failure, venous thromboembolism, pneumonia, and cardiac complications. Best results were obtained for predicting sepsis, discharge to rehabilitation facility, and death (low Brier scores, C-statistic >.7, and Hosmer-Lemeshow P > .05).

CONCLUSION

The calculator had a strong performance in predicting sepsis, discharge to the rehabilitation facility, and death. However, it performed poor in predicting the most commonly observed events (any or serious complication and surgical site infection).

Evaluation of the ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator in patients undergoing common bile duct exploration

PURPOSE

The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) surgical risk calculator is a risk stratification tool to help predict risks of postoperative complications, which is important for informed decision-making. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of the calculator in predicting postoperative complications in patients undergoing common bile duct (CBD) exploration.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review was completed for 305 patients that underwent open and laparoscopic CBD exploration at a single institution from 2010 to 2018. Patient demographics and preoperative risk factors were entered into the calculator, and the predicted complication risks were compared with observed complication rates. Brier score, C-statistic, and Hosmer-Lemeshow regression analysis were used to assess discrimination and calibration.

RESULTS

The observed rate exceeded the predicted rate for any complication (35.1% vs. 21%), return to operating room (5.9% vs. 3.6%), death (3.3% vs. 1%), and sepsis (3% vs. 2.4%). The model performed best in predicting serious complication (Brier 0.087, C-statistic 0.818, Hosmer-Lemeshow 0.695), surgical site infection (Brier 0.068, C-statistic 0.670, Hosmer-Lemeshow 0.292), discharge to rehabilitation facility (Brier 0.041, C-statistic 0.907, Hosmer-Lemeshow 0.638), and death (Brier 0.028, C-statistic 0.898, Hosmer-Lemeshow 0.004). In multivariable analysis, there was no statistically significant predicted complication type that affected the type of surgery.

CONCLUSION

The calculator was accurate in predicting serious complication, surgical site infection, discharge to rehabilitation facility, and death. However, the model displayed poor predictive ability in all other complications that were analyzed.

The View Outside of the Box: Reporting Outcomes Following Radical Cystectomy Using Pentafecta From a Multicenter Retrospective Analysis

We aimed at characterization of the patients undergoing radical cystectomy (RC) using the prognostic model (a modified pentafecta). In the multicenter retrospective study, we enrolled 304 patients with bladder cancer (pTis-4N0-2M0) who underwent RC between 2015 and 2020 in experienced centers. The definition of the pentafecta was as follows: no Clavien–Dindo grade III–V complications at 90 days and no long-term complications related to urinary diversion <12 months, negative surgical margins, ≥10 lymph nodes (LNs) resected, and no recurrence ≤12 months. RC-pentafecta achievement rate was 22% (n = 67), varying from 47% to 88% attainment rate for different pentafecta components, and was the lowest for sufficient LN yield. Both 12-month recurrence-free survival (RFS) and cancer-specific mortality were compromised in pentafecta failers compared with achievers (57.8% vs. 100% and 33.8% vs. 1.5%, respectively). The following were identified as crucial predictors of RC pentafecta achievement: modality of the surgery, type of urinary diversion, histological type of bladder cancer, advanced staging, and elevated preoperative serum creatinine. In conclusion, we found that the pentafecta achievement rate was low even in high-volume centers in patients undergoing cystectomy. The complexity of the procedure directly influenced the attainment rate, which in turn led to an increase in cancer-specific mortality rate among the pentafecta failers.

Predicting factor analysis of postoperative complications after robot-assisted radical cystectomy: Multicenter KORARC database study

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate postoperative complications following robot-assisted radical cystectomy in patients diagnosed with bladder cancer and reveal if there are predictors for postoperative complications.

METHODS

Prospectively collected medical records of 730 robot-assisted radical cystectomy patients between 2007/04 and 2019/05 in 13 tertiary referral centers were reviewed. Perioperative outcomes were compared between two groups by postoperative complications (complication vs non-complication). We assessed recurrence-free survival, cancer-specific survival, and overall survival between groups. Regression analyses were implemented to identify factors associated with postoperative complications.

RESULTS

Any total and high-grade complication (Clavien-Dindo grade ≥3) rates were 57.8% and 21.1%, respectively. Patients in complication group had significantly higher proportion of diabetes mellitus (P = 0.048), chronic kidney disease (P = 0.011), dyslipidemia (P < 0.001), longer operation time (P = 0.001), more estimated blood loss (P = 0.001), and larger intraoperative fluid volume (P < 0.001). There was a significant difference in cancer-specific survival (log-rank P = 0.038, median cancer-specific survival: both groups not reached). Dyslipidemia (odds ratio 2.59, P = 0.002) and intraoperative fluid volume (odds ratio 1.0002, P = 0.040) were significantly associated with high-grade postoperative complications. Diabetes mellitus (odds ratio 1.97, P = 0.028), chronic kidney disease (odds ratio 1.89, P = 0.046), dyslipidemia (odds ratio 5.94, P = 0.007), and intraoperative fluid volume (odds ratio 1.0002, P = 0.009) were significantly associated with any postoperative complications.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, dyslipidemia, or a relatively large intraoperatively infused fluid volume are more likely to develop postoperative complications. Patients with postoperative complications might have a possibility of lower cancer-specific survival rate.

Utilizing the Most Accurate Preoperative Risk Calculator

The most commonly used preoperative assessment tools include the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program and the Revised Cardiac Risk Index. These tools seek to predict the risk of an individual experiencing postoperative complications, including but not limited to mortality, myocardial infarction, pneumonia, stroke, venous thromboembolism, and pneumonia. Many published studies have sought to objectively quantify the utility of the preoperative risk calculations by retrospectively compiling data for patients who underwent the same or comparable surgeries to compare actual complications to predicted complications. Therefore, we searched these studies to review the literature to draw more general conclusions and recommend which risk calculator is best for different types of surgeries.

[Pelvic exenteration in patients with locally advanced, symptomatic castration-resistant prostate cancer]

GOAL

The retrospective evaluation of clinical outcomes after palliative pelvic exenteration (PPE) in patients with subvesical and supravesical complications due to symptomatic locally advanced castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In all, 84 patients with locally advanced and symptomatic CRPC underwent radical cystoprostatectomy (n = 71, 83.3%) or anterior and posterior exenteration (n = 13, 16.7%). Local staging was done via pelvic MRI (magnetic resonance imaging), cystoscopy, and rectoscopy. Systemic staging was performed by computed tomography of the thorax, abdomen pelvis, and skeletal scintigraphy. Perioperative complications were evaluated using the Clavien-Dindo classification. The primary study objective was symptom-free survival defined as absence of lower or upper urinary tract symptoms and absence of endoluminal or percutaneous intervention.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 43.5 (3-139) months, symptom-free survival at 1 and 3 years was 95.2% and 86.7%, respectively. In all, 86.7% of patients remained symptom-free for their remaining lifetime with respect to local symptoms. Overall survival at 1 and 3 years was 92.9% and 54.7%, respectively. Clavien-Dindo grade 2, 3, and 4 complications occurred in 19 (22.6%), 7 (8.3%), and 3 (3.6%) patients, respectively.

CONCLUSION

With adequate patient selection, PPE is possible with a low complication rate and results in significant symptom relief in the lower or upper genitourinary tract in about 90% of patients, of whom more than 80% remain symptom-free for the remainder of their lives. Prerequisites for favorable surgical outcomes are patient selection, an interdisciplinary approach, and appropriate surgical expertise.

Nomogram predicting 30-day mortality after nephrectomy in the contemporary era: Results from the SEER database

OBJECTIVES

To assess contemporary 30-day mortality rates after partial and radical nephrectomy in USA, and to develop a predictive model of 30-day mortality.

METHODS

We relied on the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database. A multivariable logistic regression analysis was fitted to predict 30-day mortality. A nomogram was built based on the coefficients of the logit function. Internal validation was carried out using the leave-one-out cross-validation. Calibration was graphically investigated.

RESULTS

A total of 102 146 patients who underwent partial nephrectomy (n = 36 425; 35.7%) or radical nephrectomy (n = 65 721; 64.3%) between 2005 and 2015 were included in the analysis. The median age at diagnosis was 62 years. A total of 11 921 (11.7%) patients were African American. The clinical stage was T1-T2 in 79 452 (77.8%), T3 in 16 141 (15.8%) and T4/T1-4-M1 in 6553 (6.4%) patients. Overall, 497 deaths occurred during the initial 30 days after nephrectomy (0.49% 30-day mortality rate). Stratified by type of surgery, the 30-day mortality rate was 0.16% for partial nephrectomy and 0.67% for radical nephrectomy. At univariate analyses, age, tumor size, stage and surgical procedure emerged as predictors of 30-day mortality (all P < 0.001). All of these covariates were included in the multivariable logistic regression model. The area under the curve after leave-one-out cross-validation was 0.808 (95% confidence interval 0.788-0.828), and the model showed good calibration in the range of predicted probability <10%.

CONCLUSIONS

Contemporary rates of 30-day mortality in patients undergoing radical or partial nephrectomy are very low. Age and tumor stage are key determinants of 30-day mortality. We present a predictive model that provides individual probabilities of 30-day mortality after nephrectomy, and it can be used for patient counseling prior surgery.

Radical cystectomy: a review of techniques, developments and controversies

Radical cystectomy (RC) with urinary diversion is considered the standard treatment for muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). As one of the most challenging surgical techniques performed by urologists, RC was described many decades ago, and yet patient morbidity rates have remained stagnant over the years. This review outlines the most recent indications and techniques for RC and analyses the current landscape of complications after cystectomy. There is significant room for improvement with respect to both oncologic and functional outcomes after RC. Future efforts will need to focus on unifying reporting methodology, optimal patient selection criteria, enhanced surgical techniques and peri-operative care pathways, and technological advances to improve patient outcomes.

Predicting morbidity and mortality after radical cystectomy using risk calculators: A comprehensive review of the literature

INTRODUCTION

Radical cystectomy (RC) with urinary diversion is associated with significant perioperative morbidity and mortality, varying between 30% and 70% and between 0.3% and 10.6%, respectively. Risk calculators have been extensively studied in the general surgery literature to predict 30- and 90-day postoperative morbidity and mortality but have not been widely accepted in the RC literature.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a search of MEDLINE and Embase databases during May 2020 to identify all relevant studies using the following keywords: radical cystectomy, surgical complication predictive model, surgical complication predictive equation, surgical complication predictive nomogram, surgical risk calculator, morbidity, and mortality. We determined the existing surgical predictive nomograms, calculators, and indices and their accuracy in predicting morbidity, mortality, and major complications after RC.

RESULTS

National Surgical Quality Improvement Program had poor accuracy at predicting 30-day morbidity at mortality (AUC 0.5-0.6). LACE index showed good discrimination at predicting 90-day mortality (AUC 0.7). The various frailty and sarcopenia indices have shown poor to fair accuracy at predicting (AUC 0.5-0.7). The Isbarn and Aziz nomograms have equivalent accuracy at predicting 90-day mortality (AUC 0.7) but are limited by inclusion of tumor histology and presence of metastatic disease as variables. POSSUM and P-POSSUM have poor ability at predicting morbidity and mortality (AUC 0.5) and are cumbersome calculators. The surgical Apgar score has been able to predict 30-day morbidity and mortality but can only be used in the postoperative setting.

DISCUSSION

The currently available surgical risk calculators have either poor accuracy at predicting post-RC morbidity and mortality or are limited by types of variables included. An ideal risk calculator would be comprised of preoperative factors only and have a high accuracy to serve as a tool for preoperative patient counseling prior to surgery.

CONCLUSION

There exists a strong need to develop a comprehensive and accurate preoperative risk calculator that predicts morbidity and mortality after RC.

Impact of Smoking Habit on Perioperative Morbidity in Patients Treated with Radical Cystectomy for Urothelial Bladder Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

CONTEXT

Smoking habit at the time of surgery is associated with higher perioperative complications and mortality across different types of surgeries. In recent years, several studies have attempted to explore the influence of smoking on perioperative outcomes following radical cystectomy (RC) for urothelial bladder cancer (UBC) with contradictory results.

OBJECTIVE

To systematically investigate and meta-analyze the association between smoking habit and perioperative morbidity and mortality in UBC patients treated with RC.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A systematic review of the literature published between January 2000 and January 2020 investigating the impact of smoking habit on perioperative outcomes of patients treated with RC for UBC was performed according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement and the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

Overall, 27 articles involving 27 854 patients were included in the systematic review, and of these, 11 studies were included in the meta-analysis. The studies included showed a moderate to high risk of bias. Smoking status (smokers vs nonsmokers) was significantly associated with the onset of major postoperative complications (hazard ratio [HR] 1.87, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.51-2.32; I² = 0%), infections (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.02-1.72; I² = 66.2%), and mortality (HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.14-2.98; I² = 4.9%).

CONCLUSIONS

Smoking status at the time of RC is associated with increased risk for major postoperative complications, infections, and mortality. These results suggest the need for strict postoperative monitoring in smokers due to the increased risk of experiencing adverse events and underline the need for intensive smoking cessation interventions in the preoperative setting.

PATIENT SUMMARY

In this study, we reviewed the impact of smoking habit on perioperative outcomes following radical cystectomy (RC). Based on the available data, the impact of smoking on morbidity and mortality after RC is significant and relevant; as such, every effort should be made in the preoperative setting to encourage smoking cessation.

Pelvic exenteration surgery in patients with locally advanced castration-naïve and castration-resistant, symptomatic prostate cancer

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate retrospectively the surgical, symptomatic and oncological outcomes of pelvic exenteration surgery (PES) in men with significant intrapelvic complications of locally advanced castration-sensitive (CSPC) and castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 103 patients with locally advanced progressive and symptomatic CSPC or CRPC underwent PES (radical cystoprostatectomy, n = 71 [68.9%]; radical prostatectomy with continent vesicostomy, n = 9 [8.7%]; total exenteration, n = 23 [22.3%]). All patients underwent local staging via magnetic resonance imaging, cystoscopy and rectoscopy. Systemic staging was carried out with chest, abdominal and pelvic computed tomography scans and bone scans. Peri-operative complications were assessed according to Clavien-Dindo classification. Symptom-free and overall survival were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Statistical tests were two-tailed with a P value <0.05 taken to indicate statistical significance.

RESULTS

After a median (range) follow-up of 36.5 (3-123) months, the symptom-free survival rate at 1 and 3 years was 89.2% (n = 89) and 64.1% (n = 66), respectively. The median symptom-free survival was 27.9 months. A total of 78.6% of the patients were symptom-free during their remaining lifetime. The overall survival rate at 1 and 3 years was 92.2% and 43.7%, respectively, and the median overall survival was 33.6 months. Clavien-Dindo grades 2, 3 and 4 complications developed in 31 (30.6%), 12 (11.6%) and eight patients (8.1%), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Pelvic exenteration surgery is technically feasible in well-selected patients, resulting in symptom relief in >90% of patients, covering 80% of their remaining lifetime.