Prognostic value of Epstein-Barr virus DNA level for nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a meta-analysis of 8128 cases

A nomogram based on nutritional and inflammatory parameters to predict DMFS and identify beneficiaries of adjuvant chemotherapy in IVA-stage nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to develop a nomogram integrating inflammation (NLR), Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), and EBV DNA (tumor burden) to achieve personalized treatment and prediction for stage IVA NPC. Furthermore, it endeavors to pinpoint specific subgroups that may derive significant benefits from S-1 adjuvant chemotherapy.

METHODS

A total of 834 patients diagnosed with stage IVA NPC were enrolled in this study and randomly allocated into training and validation cohorts. Multivariate Cox analyses were conducted to identify independent prognostic factors for constructing the nomogram. The predictive and clinical utility of the nomogram was assessed through measures including the AUC, calibration curve, DCA, and C-indexes. IPTW was employed to balance baseline characteristics across the population. Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank tests were utilized to evaluate the prognostic value.

RESULTS

In our study, we examined the clinical features of 557 individuals from the training cohort and 277 from the validation cohort. The median follow-up period was 50.1 and 49.7 months, respectively. For the overall cohort, the median follow-up duration was 53.8 months. The training and validation sets showed 3-year OS rates of 87.7% and 82.5%, respectively. Meanwhile, the 3-year DMFS rates were 95.9% and 84.3%, respectively. We created a nomogram that combined PNI, NRI, and EBV DNA, resulting in high prediction accuracy. Risk stratification demonstrated substantial variations in DMFS and OS between the high and low risk groups. Patients in the high-risk group benefited significantly from the IC + CCRT + S-1 treatment. In contrast, IC + CCRT demonstrated non-inferior 3-year DMFS and OS compared to IC + CCRT + S-1 in the low-risk population, indicating the possibility of reducing treatment intensity.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, our nomogram integrating NLR, PNI, and EBV DNA offers precise prognostication for stage IVA NPC. S-1 adjuvant chemotherapy provides notable benefits for high-risk patients, while treatment intensity reduction may be feasible for low-risk individuals.

Lack of association between XRCC1 SNPs and acute radiation‑induced injury or prognosis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma

The response to radiation therapy (RT) is closely associated with DNA damage repair. X-ray repair cross-complementing group-1 (XRCC1) is a key gene in the DNA damage repair pathway, and SNPs in this gene alter the expression and activity of its effector protein, which may in turn affect sensitivity to RT. Therefore, the course of tumor treatment and local control rate can be influenced. In the present study, a group of 158 patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) who received intensity-modulated RT at Fujian Cancer Hospital (Fuzhou, China) between July 2012 and October 2013 were included in retrospective chart review and followed up. Plasma was collected before treatment for genotype analysis of the three SNPs of XRCC1, namely Arg194Trp, Arg280His and Arg399Gln. Acute radiation-induced injuries sustained during treatment was graded according to the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group scoring criteria. Post-treatment follow-up was performed until August 2020. In the 158 cases of NPC, no statistically significant association was observed between the three SNPs of the XRCC1 gene and the severity of acute radiation-induced injury or prognosis. However, the AA genotype of XRCC1-Arg399Gln tended to be associated with worse progression-free survival (PFS) compared with the GA + GG genotype, although this was not significant (P=0.069). In addition, multivariate logistic analysis showed that nodal stage was significantly associated with the occurrence of acute severe radiation-induced oral mucositis (P=0.018), and there was also a trend towards an association between nodal stage and the incidence of acute severe radiation-induced pharyngitis; however, this was not statistically significant (P=0.061). Furthermore, multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that older age, distant metastasis and higher clinical stage were independent risk factors for PFS in patients with NPC. In conclusion, relying solely on the aforementioned SNPs of the XRCC1 gene may not provide a robust enough basis to predict the response to RT or prognosis in patients with NPC.

Individualized Concurrent Chemotherapy for Patients with Stage III-IVa Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Combined with Definitive Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy

PURPOSE

This retrospective study aimed to re-evaluate the effect of concurrent chemotherapy in patients with locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in the era of intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 498 patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NCT) combined with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) or IMRT were retrospectively reviewed. The distribution of baseline characteristics was balanced using propensity score matching. Additionally, the results of NCT+IMRT and NCT+CCRT were compared using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, and differences in survival rates were analyzed using the log rank test.

RESULTS

There were no significant differences in overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and local progression-free survival (LRFS) between the two groups. Patients were further categorized into risk subgroups based on pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA cutoff values using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. There were no statistically significant differences in OS, PFS, DMFS, and LRFS between patients who received NCT+CCRT and NCT+IMRT in the high-risk group. In the low-risk group, although there were no differences between NCT+CCRT and NCT+IMRT in OS, PFS, and LRFS, patients who received NCT+CCRT had better DMFS than those who received NCT+IMRT.

CONCLUSION

Pretreatment EBV DNA level can be used to individualize concurrent chemotherapy for patients with locally advanced NPC. Patients with low pretreatment EBV DNA levels may benefit from concurrent chemotherapy, whereas those with high levels may not. Other treatment modalities need to be explored for high-risk patients to improve their prognosis.

The valuable role of dynamic 18F FDG PET/CT-derived kinetic parameter Ki in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma prior to radiotherapy: A prospective study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Dynamic positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) served the potential role of characterizing malignant foci. The main objective of this prospective study was to explore the advantage of dynamic PET/CT imaging in characterizing nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Patients with probable head and neck disease underwent a local dynamic PET/CT scan followed by a whole-body static scan. Patlak analysis was used to generate parametric influx rate constant (K_i) images from 48 frames obtained from a dynamic PET/CT scan. By delineating the volumes-of-interest (VOIs) of: primary tumor (PT), lymph node (LN), and normal nasopharyngeal tissues (N), we acquired the corresponding K_i mean and SUVmean of each site respectively to perform the quantitative statistical analysis.

RESULTS

Qualified images of 71 patients with newly diagnosed NPC and 8 without nasopharyngeal malignant lesions were finally included. We found the correlations between K_i mean-PT and critical clinical features, including clinical stage (r = 0.368), T category (r = 0.643) and EBV-DNA copy status (r = 0.351), and K_i mean-PT differed within the group. SUVmean-PT showed correlations with clinical stage (r = 0.280) and T category (r = 0.472), but could hardly differ systematically within group of clinical features except T category. K_i mean-LN offered the positive correlations with N category (r = 0.294), M category (r = 0.238) and EBV-DNA copy status (r = 0.446), and differed within the group. In addition, K_i mean represented a sensitivity of 94.4 % and a specificity of 100 %, in distinguishing NPC from the non-NPC, when the cut-off was defined as 0.0106. When the cut-off of SUV being defined as 2.03, the sensitivity and specificity were both 100 %.

CONCLUSION

Our research confirmed K_i compared favorably to SUV in characterizing NPC and found that K_i can serve as an effective imaging marker of NPC.

The Dynamic Change in Plasma Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Load over a Long-Term Follow-Up Period Predicts Prognosis in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

The current study was designed to investigate the changes in the circulating Epstein−Barr virus DNA load (EBV DNA) at various time points before and after treatment and its clinical significance in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). A total of 142 patients with NPC were prospectively enrolled in this study. The plasma EBV DNA concentration was measured before and after treatment using qPCR. The prognostic values of the EBV DNA load were analyzed using the Kaplan−Meier and Cox regression tests. Following multivariate analysis, our data showed that high pre-EBV DNA loads were associated with significantly poorer distant metastasis free survival (DMFS) and progression free survival (PFS); detectable end-EBV DNA loads were associated with significantly worse loco-regional recurrence free survival (LRRFS) and PFS, and the detecTable 6 months-post-EBV DNA loads were associated with significantly poorer overall survival (OS), DMFS and PFS (p < 0.05). Additionally, combining the pre-EBV DNA load and the stage of the disease, our results showed that patients at stage III-IVA with a low pre-EBV DNA load had similar survival rates as patients at stage II with a low or high pre-EBV DNA load, but had better survival rates than those at stage III-IVA with a high pre-EBV DNA load. Taken together, we showed that the change of the EBV DNA load measured at several time points was more valuable than at any single time point for predicting patients’ survival for NPC. Furthermore, combining the pre-EBV DNA load and the TNM classification could help to formulate an improved prognostic model for this cancer.

Plasma Epstein-Barr viral DNA load after completion of two cycles of induction chemotherapy predicts outcomes for patients with advanced-stage nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the prognostic value of plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA level following the completion of two induction chemotherapy cycles (ICT; post_2CICT-DNA) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 534 patients with LA-NPC. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was applied to derive a prognostic model for risk stratification. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to determine the survival results, and survival rates were compared using the log-rank test. The Cox proportional hazard model was used for univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Multivariate analyses revealed that post_2CICT-DNA and N stage were independent predictors of overall survival (OS; P = 0.001 and P = 0.001, respectively), and post_2CICT-DNA, pre-treatment DNA, and N stage were independent predictors of progression-free survival (PFS; P = 0.002, P = 0.001, and P = 0.021, respectively).Based on prognostic factors (pre-treatment DNA, post_2CICT-DNA, and N stage), patients were stratified into three risk subgroups, with 288 patients in the low-, 213 in the intermediate-, and 33 in the high-risk group. The three-year OS rate of the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups were 99.3% (95% CI 98.3%-100.0%), 90.0% (95% CI 85.5%-94.5%) and 67.0% (95% CI 49.9%-84.1%, P < 0.001 for each of the two groups), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Plasma EBV-DNA level after two ICT cycles is a powerful predictor of prognosis in patients with LA-NPC. RPA analysis revealed that stage N3 patients with detectable post_2CICT-DNA are at the highest risk of treatment failure, and future clinical trials should focus on early-treatment modification strategies for these patients.

Can Epstein-Barr virus-deoxyribonucleic acid load after induction chemotherapy combined with American Joint Committee on Cancer stage determine the chemotherapy intensity of locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma?

BACKGROUND

Induction chemotherapy (IC) comprising docetaxel, cisplatin, and fluorouracil (TPF), combined with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) effectively improves the survival rate of locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC). Selecting patients whose risk of tumor recurrence and metastasis is high and the appropriate chemotherapy intensity is a concern. We combined tumor-node-metastasis staging with the load of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) after IC to select the individualized chemotherapy strength.

METHODS

The clinical data and prognostic factors of patients with stage III-IV LA-NPC treated with TPF IC combined with CCRT were analyzed retrospectively. The conventional treatment group received the standard three cycles TPF IC combined with CCRT. For the new treatment group, the cycles of IC were determined according to whether the EBV-DNA disappeared completely after a certain course of IC, if so, subsequent IC was stopped and the chemoradiotherapy stage was entered. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed at a ratio of 1:1 to balance baseline characteristics. Survival outcomes and adverse events between the conventional treatment group and the new method treatment group were compared.

RESULTS

The study included 256 patients, among whom 192 were matched successfully into 96 pairs. The patients were followed up for a median of 51 months. The proportions of patients receiving three, two, and one cycle of IC after PSM in the routine and new treatment cohorts were 93.8%, 3.1%, 3.1% versus 21.9%, 49.0%, 24.0%, respectively. However, their 3-year distant metastasis-free survival, local recurrence-free survival, progression-free survival, and overall survival did not differ significantly. The incidence of grade 3-4 neutropenia toxicity in CCRT decreased significantly in patients receiving the new treatment method compared with that in the conventional treatment group (p = 0.026).

CONCLUSION

Combining TNM stage and EBV-DNA load after IC to determine the courses of IC in patients with LA-NPC did not alter the curative effect but decreased toxicity.

Chemo-Immunotherapy Regimes for Recurrent or Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Network Meta-Analysis and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Introduction: In 2021, two phase III clinical trials confirmed that toripalimab or camrelizumab combined with gemcitabine and cisplatin (TGP or CGP) provide more benefits in the first-line treatment of R/M NPC than GP. Fortunately, TGP and CGP were recently approved as first-line treatments for cases experiencing R/M NPC by the China National Medical Products Administration in 2021. However, due to the high cost and variety of treatment options, the promotion of chemo-immunotherapeutics in the treatment of R/M NPC remains controversial. Therefore, we performed a cost-effectiveness assessment of the two newly approved treatment strategies to assess which treatments provide the greatest clinical benefits at a reasonable cost.

Methods: A cost-effectiveness analysis and network meta-analysis network meta-analysis was conducted based on the JUPITER-02 and CAPTAIN-first Phase 3 randomized clinical trials. A Markov model was expanded for the evaluation of the effectiveness and cost of TGP, CGP, and GP chemotherapy with a 10-years horizon and measured the health achievements in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), and life-years (LYs). We constructed a treatment strategy and other parameters based on two clinical trials and performed one-way and probabilistic sensitivity experiments for the evaluation of the uncertainty in the model.

Results: For the model of patients with treatment-R/M NPC, TGP was associated with a total cost of $48,525 and 2.778 QALYs (4.991 LYs), leading to an ICER of $15,103 per QALY ($10,321 per LY) compared to CGP. On comparing the GP chemotherapy, we found TGP and CGP incurred substantial health costs, resulting in ICERs of $19,726 per QALY and $20,438 per QALY, respectively. The risk of adverse events (AEs) and the price of the drugs had significant impacts on the ICER. At the assumed willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $35,673 per QALY, there were approximately 75.8 and 68.5% simulations in which cost-effectiveness was achieved for TGP and CGP, respectively.

Conclusion: From the Chinese payer’s perspective, TGP is more possible to be a cost-effective regimen compared with CGP and GP for first-line treatment of patients with R/M NPC at a WTP threshold of $35,673 per QALY.

General Features and Novel Gene Signatures That Identify Epstein-Barr Virus-Associated Epithelial Cancers

Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is associated with various types of human malignancies, including nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), EBV-associated gastric carcinoma (EBVaGC), and oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). The present study aimed to identify gene signatures and common signaling pathways that can be used to predict the prognosis of EBV-associated epithelial cancers (EBVaCAs) by performing an integrated bioinformatics analysis of cell lines and tumor tissues. We identified 12 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) in the EBVaCA cell lines. Among them, only four DEGs, including BAMBI, SLC26A9, SGPP2, and TMC8, were significantly upregulated. However, SLC26A9 and TMC8, but not BAMBI and SGPP2, were significantly upregulated in EBV-positive tumor tissues compared to EBV-negative tumor tissues. Next, we identified IL6/JAK/STAT3 and TNF-α/NF-κB signaling pathways as common hallmarks of EBVaCAs. The expression of key genes related to the two hallmarks was upregulated in both EBV-infected cell lines and EBV-positive tumor tissues. These results suggest that SLC26A9 and TMC8 might be gene signatures that can effectively predict the prognosis of EBVaCAs and provide new insights into the molecular mechanisms of EBV-driven epithelial cancers.

Efficiency of high cumulative cisplatin dose in high- and low-risk patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The optimal cumulative cisplatin dose (CCD) during radiation therapy for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) patients receiving induction chemotherapy (IC) plus CCRT remains controversial. This study aimed to explore the treatment efficiency of CCD for high-and low-risk patients with LA-NPC.

METHODS

Data from 472 LA-NPC patients diagnosed from 2014 to 2018 and treated with IC plus CCRT were reviewed. After propensity score matching, the therapeutic effects of a CCD > 200 and CCD ≤ 200 mg/m² were evaluated comparatively. Five factors selected by multivariate analysis were incorporated to develop a nomogram. Subgroup analysis was conducted to explore the role of different CCDs in nomogram-defined high- and low-risk groups. Additionally, acute toxicities were evaluated comparatively between the high- and low-CCD groups.

RESULTS

After matching, there was no difference between different CCD groups for all patients in terms of 3-year overall survival (OS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRRFS), or progression-free survival (PFS). A nomogram was built by integrating pretreatment EBV DNA, clinical stage, and post-IC EBV DNA, post-IC primary gross tumor and lymph node volumes obtained a C-index of 0.674. The high-risk group determined by the nomogram had poorer 3-year PFS, OS, DMFS, and LRRFS than the low-risk group. A total of CCD > 200 mg/m² increased the survival rates of 3-year PFS and DMFS (PFS: 72.5% vs. 54.4%, p = 0.012; DMFS: 81.9% vs. 61.5%, p = 0.014) in the high-risk group but not in the low-risk group. Moreover, the high CCD increased treatment-related acute toxicities.

CONCLUSIONS

A high CCD was associated with better 3-year PFS and DMFS rates than a low dose for high-risk patients but could not produce a survival benefit for low-risk patients.

Prognostic Factors for Overall Survival in Nasopharyngeal Cancer and Implication for TNM Staging by UICC: A Systematic Review of the Literature

This study aims to identify prognostic factors in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) to improve the current 8th edition TNM classification. A systematic review of the literature reported between 2013 and 2019 in PubMed, Embase, and Scopus was conducted. Studies were included if (1) original clinical studies, (2) ≥50 NPC patients, and (3) analyses on the association between prognostic factors and overall survival. The data elements of eligible studies were abstracted and analyzed. A level of evidence was synthesized for each suggested change to the TNM staging and prognostic factors. Of 5,595 studies screened, 108 studies (44 studies on anatomical criteria and 64 on non-anatomical factors) were selected. Proposed changes/factors with strong evidence included the upstaging paranasal sinus to T4, defining parotid lymph node as N3, upstaging N-category based on presence of lymph node necrosis, as well as the incorporation of non-TNM factors including EBV-DNA level, primary gross tumor volume (GTV), nodal GTV, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, lactate dehydrogenase, C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, platelet count, SUVmax of the primary tumor, and total lesion glycolysis. This systematic review provides a useful summary of suggestions and prognostic factors that potentially improve the current staging system. Further validation studies are warranted to confirm their significance.

Serum EA-IgA and D-dimer, but not VCA-IgA, are associated with prognosis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a meta-analysis

Background

Patients with nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) differ in prognosis, even at the same stage; therefore, new biomarkers are urgently required to identify early-stage NPC patients at high risk of poor prognosis. Although Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA has been used for prognosis, the value of many other biomarkers expressed during the infection cycle of EBV remains unclarified. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic potential of EA-IgA, VCA-IgA and d-dimer in patients with NPC.

Methods

Electronic databases, including PubMed, Embase and Web of Science, were searched up to February 1, 2021. Pooled data were extracted from studies that evaluated the relationship between NPC and overall survival (OS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) or disease-free survival (DFS) and then were subjected to a meta-analysis.

Results

Nine studies with 5729 patients were included in this meta-analysis. In patients with NPC, EA-IgA levels significantly predicted OS (HR = 1.63, 95% CI 1.07–2.48). d-Dimer levels significantly predicted OS (HR = 1.75, 95% CI 1.24–2.47) and DMFS (HR = 1.91, 95% CI 1.31–2.79). However, high levels of VCA-IgA were not associated with OS (HR = 1.24, 95% CI 0.95–1.60), DMFS (HR = 1.41, 95% CI 0.92–2.17) or DFS (HR = 2.39, 95% CI 0.78–7.26).

Conclusions

The present findings reveal that EA-IgA and d-dimer, but not VCA-IgA, can be used as prognostic biomarkers in NPC.

Pretreatment 18F-FDG uptake heterogeneity can predict treatment outcome of carbon ion radiotherapy in patients with locally recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

Our study was to investigate the value of pretreatment ¹⁸F-FDG uptake heterogeneity to predict the prognosis of patients with locally recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LRNPC) treated by carbon ion radiotherapy (CIRT).

METHODS

Twenty-nine LRNPC patients who underwent whole-body ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT scanning before CIRT were enrolled. Heterogeneity index (HI)-based ¹⁸F-FDG uptake, and the PET/CT traditional parameters, including SUVmax, MTV, and TLG were assessed. Receiver operator characteristics (ROC) determined the best cutoff value, and local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were evaluated by the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. And the predictive ability was evaluated by the ROC curve. Cox analyses were performed on LRFS and PFS.

RESULTS

In this study, univariate analysis showed that HI was a significant predictor of LRNPC treated by CIRT. HI could be used to predict LRFS and PFS. Patients with HI (≥ 0.81) had a significantly worse prognosis of LRFS (12.25 vs. NR, p = 0.008), and of PFS (10.58 vs. NR, p = 0.014). The AUC and its sensitivity and sensitivity and specificity were 0.75, 84.21% and 70.00% for LRFS and 0.82, 80.95% and 75.00% for PFS, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that HI was an independent predictor for the LFRS of LRNPC with CIRT.

CONCLUSION

¹⁸F-FDG uptake heterogeneity may be useful for predicting the prognosis of patients with LRNPC treated by CIRT.

Predictive Value of ERCC1 mRNA Level from Receiver-Operator Characteristic and Pretreatment EBV-DNA Virus Load in Stage II Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients Receiving Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy with Concurrent Cisplatin

Background: The molecular mechanisms underlying chemoresistance are still poorly understood in nasopharyngeal cancer; the protein expression of ERCC1 in DNA repair genes has been reported related to resistance platinum and predicting treatment outcomes in various malignant carcinomas, but the benefit for predicting outcomes with optimal cutoff value of ERCC1mRNA is controversial. The level of plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA is positively correlated with clinical stages of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). The predictive value of ERCC1mRNA from receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) and EBV-DNA level for stratified treatment with stage II NPC is exactly unclear. This study aims to assess the predictive value of combined EBV-DNA and ERCC1 in stage II nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) patients treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) with concurrent cisplatin, and provide guidance for future stratified treatment. Methods: A total of 86 stage II NPC patients who received IMRT and concurrent cisplatin-based chemotherapy with or without cisplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy had measurements of ERCC1 mRNA, and pretreatment EBV-DNA levels were analyzed by real-time PCR (RT-PCR). Associations of ERCC1 mRNA and pretreatment EBV-DNA levels with clinical characteristics and survivals were evaluated. Results: Cutoff value of ERCC1 mRNA obtained from ROC curve was used, and there were significant differences in progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) and overall response rate (ORR) between high expression group and low expression group (p = 0.021 and 0.030 and 0.000, respectively). Patients with pretreatment EBV-DNA <2000 copies/mL had significantly better PFS and ORR (p = 0.024 and 0.043, respectively) and a marginally significant impact on OS (p = 0.062) than those with pretreatment EBV-DNA ≥2000 copies/mL. Patients were divided into three groups by combination of ERCC1 mRNA and EBV-DNA level: ERCC1 mRNA low expression/pre-EBV-DNA <2000 copies/mL, ERCC1 mRNA low expression/pre-EBV-DNA ≥2000 copies/mL, and ERCC1 mRNA high expression/pre-EBV-DNA ≥2000 copies/mL. There were significant differences in ORR among the three groups (p = 0.005). The median follow-up was 62 months (range 22-84) with a follow-up rate of 90.70%. In these groups by combination of ERCC1 mRNA and EBV-DNA level, 1, 3, 5-year OS were 100%, 100%, 100%; 100%, 94.1%, 90.9%; and 100%, 85%, 72.9%, respectively (p = 0.038); 1, 3, 5-year PFS were 100%, 100%, 100%; 97.1%, 91.2%, 84.8%; and 95%, 85%, 71.4%, respectively (p = 0.028). Multivariate analysis showed that combination of ERCC1 mRNA and EBV-DNA levels remained independent prognostic factor but not ERCC1 mRNA and EBV-DNA alone. Conclusions: Combined ERCC1 mRNA and pre-EBV-DNA is a better prognostic biomarker in stage II NPC patients treated with concurrent chemoradiation. Patients with ERCC1 mRNA high expression/pre-EBV-DNA ≥2000 copies/mL may benefit from more aggressive treatment.

The diagnostic value of EBV-DNA and EBV-related antibodies detection for nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Numerous individual studies have investigated the diagnostic value of EBV-DNA, EA-IgA, VCA-IgA, EBNA1-IgA and Rta-IgG detection for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), but the conclusions remain controversial. This meta-analysis aimed to determine the value of EBV-DNA, EA-IgA, VCA-IgA, EBNA1-IgA and Rta-IgG detection in the diagnosis of NPC.

METHODS

PROSPERO registration number: CRD42019145532. PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Chinese data libraries (Wanfang, CNKI, and CBM) were searched up to January 2019. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and positive likelihood, negative likelihood, and diagnostic odds ratios were conducted in this meta-analysis. Summary receiver operating characteristic curves evaluated the test-performance global summary. Publication bias was examined by Deek's funnel plot asymmetry test.

RESULTS

Forty-seven studies with 8382 NPC patients (NPC group) and 15,089 individuals without NPC (Control group) were included in this meta-analysis. The sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood (+ LR), negative likelihood (-LR), DOR and AUC of EBV-DNA in diagnosis of NPC were: 0.76 (95% CI 0.73-0.77), 0.96 (95% CI 0.95-0.97), 14.66 (95% CI 9.97-21.55), 0.19 (95% CI 0.13-0.28), 84 (95% CI 50.45-139.88), 0.96 (SE: 0.001), and 0.55 (95% CI 0.54-0.57), 0.96 (95% CI 0.96-0.97), 12.91 (95% CI 9.55-17.45), 0.35 (95% CI 0.29-0.43), 39.57 (95% CI 26.44-59.23), 0.94 (SE: 0.002) for the EA-IgA, and 0.85 (95% CI 0.84-0.85), 0.89 (95% CI 0.88-0.89), 6.73 (95% CI5.38-8.43), 0.17 (95% CI 0.12-0.23), 43.03 (95% CI 31.51-58.76), 0.93 (SE: 0.007) for the VCA-IgA, and 0.86 (95% CI 0.85-0.88), 0.87 (95% CI 0.88-0.90), 7.55 (95% CI 5.79-9.87), 0.16 (95% CI 0.13-0.19), 50.95 (95% CI 34.35-75.57), 0.94 (SE: 0.008) for the EBNA1-IgA, and 0.70 (95% CI 0.69-0.71), 0.94 (95% CI 0.94-0.95), 9.84 (95% CI 8.40-11.54), 0.25 (95% CI 0.21-0.31), 40.59 (95% CI 32.09-51.35), 0.95 (SE: 0.005) for the Rta-IgG. The EBV-DNA had larger AUC compared with other EBV-based antibodies (P < 0.05), while the difference between EA-IgA, VCA-IgA, EBNA1-IgA and Rta-IgG was not statistically significant (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

EBV-DNA, VCA-IgA, EBNA1-IgA and Rta-IgG detection have high accuracy in early diagnosis NPC. In addition, EBV-DNA detection has the higher diagnosis accuracy in NPC. On the other hand, EA-IgA is suitable for the diagnosis but not NPC screening.

Integrating pre- and post-treatment Plasma Epstein-Barr Virus DNA levels for better prognostic prediction of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Background: Pre- and post-treatment plasma Epstein‐Barr virus (EBV) DNA are important biomarkers for the prognosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). This study was performed to determine the prognostic potential of integrating EBV DNA levels in plasma measured pre-treatment (pre-EBV) and 3 months post-treatment (3 m-EBV).

Materials and methods: A total of 543 incident non-metastatic NPC patients treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy, with or without chemotherapy, were reviewed. Patients were divided into four subgroups based on pre-EBV and 3 m-EBV status. The data for pre-EBV and 3 m-EBV samples were integrated, and the predictability of the survival of patients with NPC was analyzed.

Results: There were significant differences in the 5-year progression-free survival, distant metastasis-free survival, locoregional relapse-free survival, and overall survival among the four patient subgroups (P<0.001). Patients who tested negative for both pre-EBV and 3 m-EBV had the best prognosis, followed by patients who tested positive for pre-EBV and negative for 3 m-EBV, and those who tested negative for pre-EBV and positive for 3 m-EBV; however, patients who tested positive for both pre-EBV and 3 m-EBV had the poorest chances of survival. Multivariate analyses demonstrated that integration of pre-EBV and 3 m-EBV data was an independent predictor of NPC progression in patients. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis further confirmed that the combination of pre-EBV and 3 m-EBV had a greater prognostic value than pre-EBV or 3 m-EBV alone.

Conclusions: Integrating pre-EBV and 3 m-EBV data could provide more accurate risk stratification and better prognostic prediction in NPC.

Long-term monitoring of dynamic changes in plasma EBV DNA for improved prognosis prediction of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Background

This study was performed to investigate whether long‐term monitoring of dynamic changes in plasma Epstein‐Barr virus (EBV) DNA could improve prognosis prediction of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

Materials and methods

About 1077 nonmetastatic NPC patients were recruited to retrospectively analyze the prognostic value of plasma EBV DNA load pretreatment and 3, 12, 24, and 36 months posttreatment. We also examined the prognostic value of dynamic changes in plasma EBV DNA at various time points.

Results

Patients with plasma EBV DNA load above optimal pre‐ and posttreatment cut‐offs had significantly worse five‐year progression‐free survival, distant metastasis‐free survival, locoregional relapse‐free survival, and overall survival (OS) at all‐time points, excluding only OS at 36 months posttreatment due to limited mortalities. Patients with persistently undetectable plasma EBV DNA at the first four time points had the best prognosis, followed by those with positive detection pretreatment and consistently negative detection posttreatment, those with negative detection pretreatment and positive detection at one time point posttreatment, and those with positive detection pretreatment and at one time point posttreatment, whereas patients with positive detection at ≥2 time points posttreatment had the worst prognosis. Cox proportional hazard models identified the dynamic change pattern as an independent prognostic factor, and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis demonstrated that the dynamic change at four time point was more valuable than any single time point for predicting disease progression, distant metastasis, locoregional relapse, and mortality.

Conclusions

Dynamic changes in plasma EBV DNA pre‐ and posttreatment could predict the long‐term survival outcome and provide accurate risk stratification in NPC.

Identified IGSF9 association with prognosis and hypoxia in nasopharyngeal carcinoma by bioinformatics analysis

Background

Despite improvements in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treatment, patients with recurrence and metastasis still have a poor prognosis. Thus, the identification of novel biomarkers is urgently needed to predict outcomes and tailor treatment for NPC.

Methods

Four data sets were downloaded from Gene Expression Omnibus, and one data set GSE68799 of which was applied to filtrate key modules and hub genes by construction of a co-expression network. Other data sets (GSE12452 and GSE53819) were used to verify hub genes. The data set GSE102349 was devoted to identify prognostic hub genes by survival analysis. To explored whether prognostic hub genes are related to hypoxia signatures in NPC, correlation analysis was carried out, and followed by functional verification experiments of those genes in vitro.

Results

By co-expression network analysis, blue module was regarded as a key module in the benign and malignant group, and IGSF9 of the blue module was identified as a prognostic hub gene. Moreover, IGSF9 is expected to be a innovative hypoxia-related gene in NPC based on the strong associativity between expression of IGSF9 and hypoxia scores of three signatures (99-gene, 26-gene and 15-gene). Further functional studies verified that down-regulated expression of IGSF9 could reduce the proliferation, migration and invasion ability of NPC cells, and hypoxia could induce the expression of IGSF9.

Conclusion

IGSF9 was identified to be relevant to prognosis and involved in hypoxia in NPC. IGSF9 might serve as one novel prognostic indicator of NPC in the future.

Prognostic and clinicopathological value of Ki-67 expression in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a meta-analysis

Background

This meta-analysis aimed to identify the prognostic role of Ki-67 in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

Methods

Relevant studies were retrieved in the PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases up to November 2019. The pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated to estimate the association between Ki-67 expression and survival outcomes. Combined odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs were measured as effect size on the association between Ki-67 expression and clinical factors.

Results

A total of eight studies involving 936 patients with NPC were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled HR indicated that Ki-67 expression was significantly associated with poor overall survival (HR = 2.86, 95% CI = 1.91-4.27, p < 0.001), progression-free survival (HR = 1.78, 95% CI = 1.15-2.74, p = 0.009), and distant metastasis-free survival (HR = 1.65, 95% CI = 1.15-2.36, p = 0.007). However, there was no significant correlation between Ki-67 expression and local recurrence-free survival (HR = 1.07, 95% CI = 0.54-2.14, p = 0.843). Ki-67 overexpression was associated with higher T stage (OR = 1.48, 95% CI = 1.00-2.20, p = 0.052), and the relationship between Ki-67 expression and advanced stage was nearly significant (OR = 2.25, 95% CI = 0.99-5.14, p = 0.054). However, high Ki-67 expression was not significantly correlated with sex, age, N stage, or histological type.

Conclusion

This meta-analysis demonstrated that Ki-67 overexpression was a significant marker for poor prognosis in patients with NPC. Ki-67 should be recommended as a useful index for prognostication in patients with NPC.

Epstein-Barr Virus DNA in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Brief Review

Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is a B-lymphocytes herpes virus and can transform B lymphocytes to malignant tumor cells if infected. Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is strongly associated with EBV. Circulating EBV DNA in plasma has been recognized as an important biomarker of NPC. Much work has been done to validate the ability of circulating EBV DNA for screening, diagnosis, risk stratification, monitoring, and predicting prognosis. This chapter reviews the clinical progress of circulating cell-free EBV DNA in NPC.