Clinical prediction model for tumor progression in Barrett's esophagus

The Association Between Obesity and Malignant Progression of Barrett's Esophagus: A Systematic Review and Dose-Response Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Obesity is a risk factor for both Barrett's esophagus (BE) and esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). However, it is unclear whether obesity drives the malignant progression of BE. We aimed to assess whether obesity is associated with high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or cancer in patients with BE.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE from inception through April 2024 for studies reporting the effect of body mass index (BMI) on the progression of nondysplastic BE or low-grade dysplasia (LGD) to HGD or EAC. A 2-stage dose-response meta-analysis was performed to estimate the dose-response relationship between BMI with malignant progression. Study quality was appraised using a modified Newcastle-Ottawa scale.

RESULTS

Twenty studies reported data on 38,565 patients (74.4% male) in total, of whom 1684 patients were diagnosed with HGD/cancer. Nineteen studies were considered moderate to high quality. Eight cohort studies reported data on 6647 male patients with baseline nondysplastic BE/LGD, of whom 555 progressed to HGD/EAC (pooled annual rate of progression, 0.02%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.01%-0.03%), and 1992 female patients with baseline nondysplastic BE/LGD, with 110 progressors (pooled annual rate of progression, 0.01%; 95% CI, 0.01%-0.02%). There was no significant difference in pooled annual rate of progression between males and females (P = .15). Each 5-kg/m2 increase in BMI was associated with a 6% increase in the risk of malignant progression (adjusted odds ratio, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.02-1.10; P < .001; I2= 0%).

CONCLUSION

Our meta-analysis provides some evidence that obesity as measured by BMI is associated with malignant progression of BE with a dose-response relationship. This finding requires confirmation in future high-quality cohort studies. Future risk prediction models could incorporate measures of obesity to potentially improve risk stratification in patients with BE. PROSPERO, Number: CRD42017051046.

AGA Clinical Practice Update on New Technology and Innovation for Surveillance and Screening in Barrett's Esophagus: Expert Review

DESCRIPTION

The purpose of this best practice advice (BPA) article from the Clinical Practice Update Committee of the American Gastroenterological Association is to provide an update on advances and innovation regarding the screening and surveillance of Barrett's esophagus.

METHODS

The BPA statements presented here were developed from expert review of existing literature combined with discussion and expert opinion to provide practical advice. Formal rating of the quality of evidence or strength of BPAs was not the intent of this clinical practice update. This expert review was commissioned and approved by the AGA Institute Clinical Practice Updates Committee (CPUC) and the AGA Governing Board to provide timely guidance on a topic of high clinical importance to the AGA membership, and underwent internal peer review by the CPUC and external peer review through standard procedures of Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 1: Screening with standard upper endoscopy may be considered in individuals with at least 3 established risk factors for Barrett's esophagus (BE) and esophageal adenocarcinoma, including individuals who are male, non-Hispanic white, age >50 years, have a history of smoking, chronic gastroesophageal reflux disease, obesity, or a family history of BE or esophageal adenocarcinoma. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 2: Nonendoscopic cell-collection devices may be considered as an option to screen for BE. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 3: Screening and surveillance endoscopic examination should be performed using high-definition white light endoscopy and virtual chromoendoscopy, with endoscopists spending adequate time inspecting the Barrett's segment. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 4: Screening and surveillance exams should define the extent of BE using a standardized grading system documenting the circumferential and maximal extent of the columnar lined esophagus (Prague classification) with a clear description of landmarks and the location and characteristics of visible lesions (nodularity, ulceration), when present. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 5: Advanced imaging technologies such as endomicroscopy may be used as adjunctive techniques to identify dysplasia. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 6: Sampling during screening and surveillance exams should be performed using the Seattle biopsy protocol (4-quadrant biopsies every 1-2 cm and target biopsies from any visible lesion). BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 7: Wide-area transepithelial sampling may be used as an adjunctive technique to sample the suspected or established Barrett's segment (in addition to the Seattle biopsy protocol). BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 8: Patients with erosive esophagitis should be biopsied when concern of dysplasia or malignancy exists. A repeat endoscopy should be performed after 8 weeks of twice a day proton pump inhibitor therapy. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 9: Tissue systems pathology-based prediction assay may be utilized for risk stratification of patients with nondysplastic BE. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 10: Risk stratification models may be utilized to selectively identify individuals at risk for Barrett's associated neoplasia. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 11: Given the significant interobserver variability among pathologists, the diagnosis of BE-related neoplasia should be confirmed by an expert pathology review. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 12: Patients with BE-related neoplasia should be referred to endoscopists with expertise in advanced imaging, resection, and ablation. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 13: All patients with BE should be placed on at least daily proton pump inhibitor therapy. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 14: Patients with nondysplastic BE should undergo surveillance endoscopy in 3 to 5 years. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 15: In patients undergoing surveillance after endoscopic eradication therapy, random biopsies should be taken of the esophagogastric junction, gastric cardia, and the distal 2 cm of the neosquamous epithelium as well as from all visible lesions, independent of the length of the original BE segment.

Prediction of neoplastic progression in Barrett's esophagus using nanoscale nuclear architecture mapping: a pilot study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Nanoscale nuclear architecture mapping (nanoNAM), an optical coherence tomography-derived approach, is capable of detecting with nanoscale sensitivity structural alterations in the chromatin of epithelial cell nuclei at risk for malignant transformation. Because these alterations predate the development of dysplasia, we aimed to use nanoNAM to identify patients with Barrett's esophagus (BE) who might progress to high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC).

METHODS

This is a nested case-control study of 46 BE patients, of which 21 progressed to HGD/EAC over 3.7 ± 2.37 years (cases/progressors) and 25 patients who did not progress over 6.3 ± 3.1 years (control subjects/nonprogressors). The archived formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue blocks collected as part of standard clinical care at the index endoscopy were used. nanoNAM imaging was performed on a 5-μm formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded section, and each nucleus was mapped to a 3-dimensional (3D) depth-resolved optical path difference (drOPD) nuclear representation, quantifying nanoscale-sensitive alterations in the 3D nuclear architecture of the cell. Using 3D-drOPD representation of each nucleus, we computed 12 patient-level nanoNAM features summarizing the alterations in intrinsic nuclear architecture. A risk prediction model was built incorporating nanoNAM features and clinical features.

RESULTS

A statistically significant differential shift was observed in the drOPD cumulative distributions between progressors and nonprogressors. Of the 12 nanoNAM features, 6 (mean-maximum, mean-mean, mean-median, entropy-median, entropy-entropy, entropy-skewness) showed a statistically significant difference between cases and control subjects. NanoNAM features based prediction model identified progression in independent validation sets, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 80.8% ± .35% (mean ± standard error), with an increase to 82.54% ± .46% when combined with length of the BE segment.

CONCLUSIONS

NanoNAM can serve as an adjunct to histopathologic evaluation of BE patients and aid in risk stratification.

Management of nondysplastic Barrett’s esophagus: When to survey? When to ablate?

Barrett’s esophagus (BE), a precursor for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), is defined as salmon-colored mucosa extending more than 1 cm proximal to the gastroesophageal junction with histological evidence of intestinal metaplasia. The actual risk of EAC in nondysplastic Barrett’s esophagus (NDBE) is low with an annual incidence of 0.3%. The mainstay in the management of NDBE is control of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) along with enrollment in surveillance programs. The current recommendation for surveillance is four-quadrant biopsies every 2 cm (or 1 cm in known or suspected dysplasia) followed by biopsy of mucosal irregularity (nodules, ulcers, or other visible lesions) performed at 3- to 5-year intervals. Challenges to surveillance include missed cancers, suboptimal adherence to surveillance guidelines, and lack of strong evidence for efficacy. There is minimal role for endoscopic eradication therapy in NDBE. The role for enhanced imaging techniques, artificial intelligence, and risk prediction models using clinical data and molecular markers is evolving.

Barrett's Metaplasia Progression towards Esophageal Adenocarcinoma: An Attempt to Select a Panel of Molecular Sensors and to Reflect Clinical Alterations by Experimental Models

The molecular processes that predispose the development of Barrett’s esophagus (BE) towards esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) induced by gastrointestinal reflux disease (GERD) are still under investigation. In this study, based on a scientific literature screening and an analysis of clinical datasets, we selected a panel of 20 genes covering BE- and EAC-specific molecular markers (FZD5, IFNGR1, IL1A, IL1B, IL1R1, IL1RN, KRT4, KRT8, KRT15, KRT18, NFKBIL1, PTGS1, PTGS2, SOCS3, SOX4, SOX9, SOX15, TIMP1, TMEM2, TNFRSF10B). Furthermore, we aimed to reflect these alterations within an experimental and translational in vitro model of BE to EAC progression. We performed a comparison between expression profiles in GSE clinical databases with an in vitro model of GERD involving a BE cell line (BAR-T) and EAC cell lines (OE33 and OE19). Molecular responses of cells treated with acidified bile mixture (BM) at concentration of 100 and 250 μM for 30 min per day were evaluated. We also determined a basal mRNA expression within untreated, wild type cell lines on subsequent stages of BE and EAC development. We observed that an appropriately optimized in vitro model based on the combination of BAR-T, OE33 and OE19 cell lines reflects in 65% and more the clinical molecular alterations observed during BE and EAC development. We also confirmed previous observations that exposure to BM (GERD in vitro) activated carcinogenesis in non-dysplastic cells, inducing molecular alternations in the advanced stages of BE. We conclude that it is possible to induce, to a high extent, the molecular profile observed clinically within appropriately and carefully optimized experimental models, triggering EAC development. This experimental scheme and molecular marker panel might be implemented in further research, e.g., aiming to develop and evaluate novel compounds and prodrugs targeting GERD as well as BE and EAC prevention and treatment.

Proton pump inhibitors may reduce the risk of high-grade dysplasia and/or esophageal adenocarcinoma in Barrett's esophagus: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Barrett's esophagus (BE) is an important risk factor for high-grade dysplasia (HGD) and/or esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). The effect of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) on the chemoprevention of HGD and/or EAC arising from BE remains controversial.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases were systematically searched. Risk ratios (RRs) or odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled by a random-effect model. Heterogeneity and its potential source were assessed.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies with 26,291 BE patients were included. Meta-analysis of eight cohort studies showed that PPIs can significantly reduce the risk of HGD and/or EAC in BE patients (RR = 0.46; P < 0.001), but meta-analysis of six case-control studies showed no significant benefit of PPIs (OR = 0.64; P = 0.334). Heterogeneity was significant among both cohort and case-control studies, which might be attributed to the information sources of PPIs. There was no significant protective effect of high-dose PPIs on HGD and/or EAC in one RCT (RR = 0.84; P = 0.21), meta-analysis of two cohort studies (RR = 0.61; P = 0.28), or meta-analysis of two case-control studies (OR = 0.32; P = 0.08).

CONCLUSIONS

Chemoprevention of HGD and/or EAC by PPIs may be considered in BE patients. However, there might not be further preventive effect of high-dose PPIs.

How extent of Barrett's metaplasia influences the risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

This review will focus on how the extent of Barrett's metaplasia influences the risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). More specifically, this review will discuss the concepts of long and short-segment Barrett's metaplasia and irregular Z line as they relate to EAC risk.

RECENT FINDINGS

The Prague classification can standardize reporting of Barrett's metaplasia. Recent literature has found significant associations between the length of Barrett's metaplasia and increased progression risk to EAC in multiple geographically distinct populations. Length of Barrett's metaplasia has been incorporated into the Progression of Barrett's esophagus (PIB) model that can predict individualized life-time risks of progression. The risk of malignant transformation appears to be very low in patients with irregular Z line.

SUMMARY

Length of Barrett's metaplasia has emerged as an important predictor that can influence the risk of EAC and should be reported using the Prague classification. The PIB model, if further validated, could help a practicing gastroenterologist to inform patients with Barrett's metaplasia about their personal risk of progression to tailor surveillance intervals. Current guidelines do not recommend surveillance in patients with irregular Z line, but careful examination is recommended.

Adequacy of EGD Reporting: a Review of 100 Reports from 100 Endoscopists

INTRODUCTION

Esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) is commonly performed in patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD). An EGD report should document pertinent findings such as esophagitis, a columnar-lined esophagus (CLE), the location of the squamo-columnar and gastroesophageal junctions, the size and type of a hiatal hernia and the number and location of any biopsies. The aim of this study was to evaluate how commonly these findings were noted in the EGD reports of patients referred for antireflux surgery.

METHODS

A retrospective review was performed of patient charts from 2012 to 2015 to identify 100 consecutive EGD reports from different endoscopists in different patients. Each EGD report was reviewed for pertinent findings and the use of a classification system for esophagitis (Savory-Miller or Los Angeles) and for reporting a CLE (Prague).

RESULTS

In 100 EGD reports, esophagitis was noted in 33 patients, but was graded in only 14 (42%). A CLE was noted in 28 patients, but the length was reported in only 16 (57%) and no report used the Prague classification system. A hiatal hernia was noted in 61 patients, measured in 31 (51%) and the type classified in 26%. A biopsy was taken in 93 patients and the location noted in 86 patients (93%). The number of biopsies was recorded in only 20 patients (22%). In 12 patients the EGD was for Barrett's surveillance, yet a Seattle biopsy protocol was reported to be used in only 3 patients.

CONCLUSION

Endoscopy reports frequently do not include the use of a grading system for esophagitis or the Prague system for CLE. This hampers the assessment of change with therapy or over time. The size of a hiatal hernia was typically reported in a subjective fashion and only infrequently was the type specified. Lack of clarity about the presence of a paraesophageal hernia can impede evaluation of acute symptoms. In patients with Barrett's esophagus a standard biopsy protocol was infrequently reported to be used. These findings raise concern about the quality of upper endoscopy, both in the performance of the procedure and the documentation of findings. A consistent reporting system is recommended for routine use with upper endoscopy.

Epidemiology of Barrett's Esophagus and Esophageal Adenocarcinoma: Implications for Screening and Surveillance

In the United States, the incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma increased markedly since the 1970s with a recent stabilization. Despite evolving screening and surveillance strategies to diagnose, risk triage, and intervene in Barrett's esophagus patients to prevent esophageal adenocarcinoma, most cases present with advanced disease and poor resultant survival. Epidemiologic studies have identified the main risk factors for these conditions, including increasing age, male sex, white race, gastroesophageal reflux disease, abdominal obesity, cigarette smoking, and lack of infection with Helicobacter pylori. This review summarizes the current epidemiologic evidence with implications for screening and surveillance in Barrett's esophagus and esophageal adenocarcinoma.

Is Malignant Potential of Barrett's Esophagus Predictable by Endoscopy Findings?

Given that endoscopic findings can be used to predict the potential of neoplastic progression in Barrett's esophagus (BE) cases, the detection rate of dysplastic Barrett's lesions may become higher even in laborious endoscopic surveillance because a special attention is consequently paid. However, endoscopic findings for effective detection of the risk of neoplastic progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) have not been confirmed, though some typical appearances are suggestive. In the present review, endoscopic findings that can be used predict malignant potential to EAC in BE cases are discussed. Conventional results obtained with white light endoscopy, such as length of BE, presence of esophagitis, ulceration, hiatal hernia, and nodularity, are used as indicators of a higher risk of neoplastic progression. However, there are controversies in some of those findings. Absence of palisade vessels may be also a new candidate predictor, as that reveals degree of intense inflammation and of cyclooxygenase-2 protein expression with accelerated cellular proliferation. Furthermore, an open type of mucosal pattern and enriched stromal blood vessels, which can be observed by image-enhanced endoscopy, including narrow band imaging, have been confirmed as factors useful for prediction of neoplastic progression of BE because they indicate more frequent cyclooxygenase-2 protein expression along with accelerated cellular proliferation. Should the malignant potential of BE be shown predictable by these endoscopic findings, that would simplify methods used for an effective surveillance, because patients requiring careful monitoring would be more easily identified. Development in the near future of a comprehensive scoring system for BE based on clinical factors, biomarkers and endoscopic predictors is required.

What is the optimal surveillance strategy for non-dysplastic Barrett's esophagus?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

There is conflicting data on the effectiveness of the currently recommended endoscopic surveillance strategy in non-dysplastic BE patients. We reviewed the literature to evaluate the (cost) effectiveness of the current surveillance strategy. We also reviewed critical strategies and new technologies which could improve dysplasia detection.

RECENT FINDINGS

Adherence to the current EGD surveillance guidelines is suboptimal with high rates of missed dysplasia/EAC. The influence of surveillance on EAC mortality appears modest. Careful cleansing, inspection and sampling of the BE mucosa using high resolution while light and (electronic) chromoendoscopy is critical. Newer sampling techniques coupled with computer aided diagnosis and emerging imaging technologies have shown promise in improving dysplasia detection. Personalized surveillance with risk stratification based on risk factors for progression may be on the horizon.

SUMMARY

Current BE surveillance strategy will likely be further refined and optimized by emerging new technologies in tissue sampling, advanced imaging and risk stratification.

Barrett oesophagus

Barrett oesophagus (BE), the only known histological precursor of oesophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), is a condition in which the squamous epithelium of the oesophagus is replaced by columnar epithelium as an adaptive response to gastro-oesophageal reflux. EAC has one of the fastest rising incidences of cancers in Western countries and has a dismal prognosis. BE is usually detected during endoscopic examination, and diagnosis is confirmed by the histological presence of intestinal metaplasia. Advances in genomics and transcriptomics have improved our understanding of the pathogenesis and malignant progression of intestinal metaplasia. As the majority of EAC cases are diagnosed in individuals without a known history of BE, screening for BE could potentially decrease disease-related mortality. Owing to the pre-malignant nature of BE, endoscopic surveillance of patients with BE is imperative for early detection and treatment of dysplasia to prevent further progression to invasive EAC. Developments in endoscopic therapy have resulted in a major shift in the treatment of patients with BE who have dysplasia or early EAC, from surgical resection to endoscopic resection and ablation. In addition to symptom control by optimization of lifestyle and pharmacological therapy with proton pump inhibitors, chemopreventive strategies based on NSAIDs and statins are currently being investigated for BE management.