Development and validation of a patient-specific predictive instrument for the need for dose reduction in chemotherapy for breast cancer: a potential decision aid for the use of myeloid growth factors

A retrospective study on the analysis of influencing factors of neutropenia in endometrial cancer with adjuvant chemoradiotherapy

OBJECTIVE

This retrospective study aimed to investigate the factors influencing the occurrence of neutropenia in patients with endometrial cancer (EC) following adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT).

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of EC patients who underwent adjuvant CRT from January 2012 to June 2023 in the Department of Gynecology and Oncology of the First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University. Neutropenia was defined as an Absolute Neutrophil Count (ANC) of peripheral blood neutrophils below 2 × 109/L. Factors affecting neutropenia in EC patients treated with CRT using Generalized Estimating Equation (GEE), and Logistic regression was used to further analyze the effect of adding radiotherapy to different chemotherapy cycles on neutropenia, so that patients receive optimal adjuvant CRT while the risk of neutropenia is appropriately controlled.

RESULTS

A total of 144 patients met the inclusion criteria. They underwent 330 cycles of adjuvant chemotherapy, of whom 96 (66.7%) developed neutropenia, which occurred 140 times. The results of one-way GEE analysis showed that before CRT, White Blood Cell (WBC) (OR = 0.827; 95%CI, 0.701-0.976), ANC (OR = 0.749; 95%CI, 0.586-0.957), Absolute Monocyte Count (AMC) (OR = 0.047; 95%CI, 0.008-0.283), Blood Urea Nitrogen (BUN) (OR = 0.857; 95%CI, 0.741-0.991), platinum and docetaxel (platinum/docetaxel) dosing regimen (OR = 2.284; 95%CI, 1.130-4.618) were associated with neutropenia with adjuvant CRT for EC (p < 0.05), results of multifactorial GEE analysis showed that before adjuvant CRT ANC (OR = 0.552; 95%CI, 0.973-2.231), AMC (OR = 0.047; 95%CI, 0.004-0.052), platinum/docetaxel (OR = 2.437; 95%CI, 1.087-5.464) were an independent influence on neutropenia in adjuvant CRT for EC (p < 0.05). Multifactorial Logistic regression shows addition of radiotherapy to the first cycle of chemotherapy (OR = 4.413; 95%CI, 1.238-18.891) was an independent influence of neutropenia (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with low pre-CRT ANC and AMC, platinum/docetaxel dosing regimens need to be closely monitored during each cycle of CRT. Also, the concurrent addition of radiotherapy should be avoided during the first cycle of chemotherapy.

Venetoclax-Related Neutropenia in Leukemic Patients: A Comprehensive Review of the Underlying Causes, Risk Factors, and Management

Venetoclax is a Bcl-2 homology domain 3 (BH3) mimetic currently approved for the treatment of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) and acute myeloid leukemia (AML) that has proven to be highly effective in reinstating apoptosis in leukemic cells through the highly selective inhibition of the anti-apoptotic protein B-cell lymphoma-2 (Bcl-2). Clinically, venetoclax has provided lasting remissions through the inhibition of CLL and AML blasts. However, this activity has often come at the cost of grade III/IV neutropenia due to hematopoietic cells' dependence on Bcl-2 for survival. As life-threatening infections are an important complication in these patients, an effective management of neutropenia is indispensable to maximize patient outcomes. While there is general consensus over dose reduction and scheduling modifications to minimize the risk of neutropenia, the impact of these modifications on survival is uncertain. Moreover, guidelines do not yet adequately account for patient-specific and disease-specific risk factors that may predict toxicity, or the role combination treatment plays in exacerbating neutropenia. The objective of this review is to discuss the venetoclax-induced mechanism of hematological toxicity, the potential predictive risk factors that affect patient vulnerability to neutropenia, and the current consensus on practices for management of neutropenia.

Preoperative Nutritional Status Contributes to the Development of Neutropenia Event in Patients With Gastric Cancer Receiving CAPEOX Adjuvant Chemotherapy

Purpose: The aim of this study is to evaluate the risk factors for ≥ grade 3 neutropenia in gastric cancer patients receiving postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy. Methods: This is a retrospective study from a single tertiary referral hospital. Patients diagnosed with gastric cancer who met the inclusion criteria were included in this study. Baseline and clinicopathological characteristics of the patients were collected. Patients were followed-up for 12 months and the incidence of neutropenia were recorded. Factors associated with neutropenia of chemotherapy in cycle 1 were investigated. Results: A total of 202 patients with gastric cancer were included. All patients received oxaliplatin plus oral capecitabine (CAPEOX) as the adjuvant chemotherapy. The incidence of ≥ grade 3 neutropenia is 11.9% (24/202) in cycle 1 among all patients. In multivariate analysis, independent risk factors for ≥ grade 3 neutropenia were serum prealbumin level (p = 0.041), prognostic nutritional index (PNI) (p = 0.049) and pre-cycle neutrophil count (p = 0.007). Conclusions: Our findings for the first time showed that nutritional parameter as prealbumin level and PNI are independent risk factors for neutropenia in gastric cancer patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy. This may provide evidence for further investigation on prophylaxis use of granulocyte colony-stimulating factor in selected high-risk patients to prevent sever neutropenia in cycle 1 of adjuvant chemotherapy.

Efficacy and Effectiveness Too Trials: Clinical Trial Designs to Generate Evidence on Efficacy and on Effectiveness in Wide Practice

Efficacy trials, designed to gain regulatory marketing approval, evaluate drugs in optimally selected patients under advantageous conditions for relatively short time periods. Effectiveness trials, designed to evaluate use in usual practice, assess treatments among more typical patients in real‐world conditions with longer follow‐up periods. In “efficacy‐to‐effectiveness (E2E) trials,” if the initial efficacy trial component is positive, the trial seamlessly transitions to an effectiveness trial component to efficiently yield both types of evidence. Yet more time could be saved by simultaneously addressing efficacy and effectiveness in an “efficacy and effectiveness too (EE2) trial.” Additionally, hybrids of the E2E and EE2 approaches with differing degrees of overlap of the two components could allow flexibility for specific drug development needs. In planning EE2 trials, each stakeholder's current and future needs, incentives, and perspective must be considered. Although challenging, the ultimate benefits to stakeholders, the health system, and the public should justify this effort.

Clinical and pharmacogenetic determinants of 5-fluorouracyl/leucovorin/irinotecan toxicity: Results of the PETACC-3 trial

PURPOSE

Irinotecan (CPT-11) in combination with 5-fluorouracil (5FU) is widely used in the treatment of colorectal cancer. We assessed potential clinical variables that may predict toxicity and more specifically the role of UGT1A1 polymorphisms associated with irinotecan toxicity. We used data from the PETACC3 trial, which randomised patients in adjuvant setting to 6 months of leucovorin (LV) and 5FU (LV5/FU2) or LV5/FU2 + irinotecan.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Clinical and toxicity data were available for 2982 patients, DNA was available for 1200 (40%) of these patients. We genotyped the polymorphisms UGT1A1*28 and UGT1A1-3156G > A. Risk factors for neutropenia and diarrhoea were assessed by univariable and multivariable analyses.

RESULTS

In univariable analysis, UGT1A*28 genotype was associated with an increased incidence of grade III-IV neutropenia (incidence: 44% versus 26%; odds ratio [OR]: 2.3; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.4-3.7). In multivariable analysis, the most important predictors (ordered in terms of contribution to R²) were baseline neutrophil count (OR for 1-unit (10⁹/l) decrease: 1.8, 95% CI: 1.3-1.7), female sex (OR: 1.8, 95% CI: 1.1-3.0), body surface area (OR for 0.1-unit increase: 0.8, 95% CI: 0.7-1.0), UGT1A1 (OR: 2.8, 95% CI: 1.6-5.0), age (OR per 10 years: 1.3, 95% CI: 1.1-1.6) and poor performance status (OR: 1.6, 95% CI: 1.0-2.6). The main predictors for grade IV neutropenia were sex, age, performance score and UGT1A1. The main predictors for diarrhoea were sex and age.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that a complex of risk factors is involved in the development of toxicity, including UGT1A1. Parameters that are readily available in clinical practice, notably sex, age and performance status, are stronger predictors than the UGT1A1*28 genotype. Further studies beyond the UGT1A1*28 genotype are needed to fully understand the determinants of toxicity risk, notably in females.

Predictive factors for neutropenia after docetaxel-based systemic chemotherapy in Korean patients with castration- resistant prostate cancer

The aim of this study was to determine predictive factors for neutropenia after docetaxel-based systemic chemotherapy in patients with castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC). The study included 40 Korean CRPC patients who were treated with several cycles of docetaxel plus prednisolone from May 2005 to May 2012. Patients were evaluated for neutropenia risk factors and for the incidence of neutropenia. In this study, nine out of forty patients (22.5%) developed neutropenia during the first cycle of docetaxel-based systemic chemotherapy. Four experienced grade 2, three grade 3, and one grade 4 neutropenia. Multivariate analysis showed that pretreatment white blood cell (WBC) count (p=0.042), pretreatment neutrophil count (p=0.015), pretreatment serum creatinine level (p=0.027), and pretreatment serum albumin level (p=0.017) were significant predictive factors for neutropenia. In conclusion, pretreatment WBC counts, neutrophil counts, serum creatinine levels, and serum albumin levels proved to be significant independent risk factors for the development of neutropenia induced by docetaxel-based systemic chemotherapy in patients with CRPC.

A proposal for integrated efficacy-to-effectiveness (E2E) clinical trials

We propose an "efficacy-to-effectiveness" (E2E) clinical trial design, in which an effectiveness trial would commence seamlessly upon completion of the efficacy trial. Efficacy trials use inclusion/exclusion criteria to produce relatively homogeneous samples of participants with the target condition, conducted in settings that foster adherence to rigorous clinical protocols. Effectiveness trials use inclusion/exclusion criteria that generate heterogeneous samples that are more similar to the general patient spectrum, conducted in more varied settings, with protocols that approximate typical clinical care. In E2E trials, results from the efficacy trial component would be used to design the effectiveness trial component, to confirm and/or discern associations between clinical characteristics and treatment effects in typical care, and potentially to test new hypotheses. An E2E approach may improve the evidentiary basis for selecting treatments, expand understanding of the effectiveness of treatments in subgroups with particular clinical features, and foster incorporation of effectiveness information into regulatory processes.

Random treatment assignment using mathematical equipoise for comparative effectiveness trials

In controlled clinical trials, random assignment of treatment is appropriate only when there is equipoise, that is, no clear preference among treatment options. However, even when equipoise appears absent because prior trials show, on average, one treatment yields superior outcomes, random assignment still may be appropriate for some patients and circumstances. In such cases, enrollment into trials may be assisted by real-time patient-specific predictions of treatment outcomes, to determine whether there is equipoise to justify randomization. The percutaneous coronary intervention thrombolytic predictive instrument (PCI-TPI) computes probabilities of 30-day mortality for patients having ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), if treated with thrombolytic therapy (TT), and if treated with PCI. We estimated uncertainty around differences in their respective predicted benefits using the estimated uncertainty of the model coefficients. Using the 2,781-patient PCI-TPI development dataset, we evaluated the distribution of predicted benefits for each patient. For three typical clinical situations, randomization was potentially warranted for 70%, 93%, and 80% of patients. Predictive models may allow real-time patient-specific determination of whether there is equipoise that justifies trial enrollment for a given patient. This approach may have utility for comparative effectiveness trials and for application of trial results to clinical practice.

Risk assessment model for first-cycle chemotherapy-induced neutropenia in patients with solid tumours

LÓPEZ-POUSA A., RIFÀ J., CASAS DE TEJERINA A., GONZÁLEZ-LARRIBA J.L., IGLESIAS C., GASQUET J.A. & CARRATO A. (2010) European Journal of Cancer CareRisk assessment model for first-cycle chemotherapy-induced neutropenia in patients with solid tumours

Chemotherapy-induced neutropenia, the major dose-limiting toxicity of chemotherapy, is directly associated with concomitant morbidity, mortality and health-care costs. The use of prophylactic granulocyte colony-stimulating factors may reduce the incidence and duration of chemotherapy-induced neutropenia, and is recommended in high-risk patients. The objective of this study was to develop a model to predict first-cycle chemotherapy-induced neutropenia (defined as neutropenia grade ≥3, with or without body temperature ≥38°C) in patients with solid tumours. A total of 1194 patients [56% women; mean age 58 ± 12 years; 94% Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) status ≤1] with solid tumours were included in a multi-centre non-interventional prospective cohort study. A predictive logistic regression model was developed. Several factors were found to influence chemotherapy-induced neutropenia. Higher ECOG status values increased toxicity (ECOG 2 vs. 0, P= 0.003; odds ratio 3.12), whereas baseline lymphocyte (P= 0.011; odds ratio 0.67) and neutrophil counts (P= 0.026; odds ratio 0.90) were inversely related to neutropenia occurrence. Sex and treatment intention also significantly influenced chemotherapy-induced neutropenia (P= 0.012). The sensitivity and specificity of the model were 63% and 67% respectively, and the positive and negative predictive values were 17% and 94% respectively. Once validated, this model should be a useful tool for clinical decision making.

Risk models for predicting chemotherapy-induced neutropenia

Neutropenia and its complications, including febrile neutropenia, are major dose-limiting toxicities of systemic cancer chemotherapy. A number of studies have attempted to identify risk factors for neutropenia and its consequences to develop predictive models capable of identifying patients at greater risk for such complications and to guide more effective and cost-effective applications of the colony-stimulating factors. A systematic review of the literature showed that age, performance status, nutritional status, chemotherapy dose intensity, and low baseline blood cell counts were associated with the risk of severe and febrile neutropenia or reduced chemotherapy dose intensity in multivariate analysis in two or more studies. Similarly, age, diagnosis of leukemia or lymphoma, high temperature or low blood pressure at admission, and i.v. site infection along with low blood cell counts and organ dysfunction were associated with serious medical complications of febrile neutropenia, including bacteremia and death. The available risk model studies, however, had several limitations, including retrospective analyses of small study populations lacking independent validation, frequent missing values, and differences in the predictive factors considered. To overcome the limitations of previous studies, efforts are under way to develop and validate risk models based on large prospective studies in representative populations of patients receiving systemic chemotherapy.

Incidence, cost, and mortality of neutropenia hospitalization associated with chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Neutropenia is a common side effect of chemotherapy, often requiring hospitalization for treatment of severe cases. Neutropenia hospitalization (NH) rates have been reported in individual studies, but national estimates are needed.

METHODS

Chemotherapy-induced NHs were identified in the 1999 hospital discharge data bases from 7 states. Cancer and chemotherapy prevalence data from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program and the National Cancer Data Base were used to calculate national NH rates for 13 cancer types. NH cost was estimated by multiplying charges by institution-specific, cost-to-charge ratios from the 1999 Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Hospital Cost Report. NH incidence was projected to national levels using population data from the United States Census and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

RESULTS

There were 20,780 discharges with documentation of cancer, chemotherapy, and neutropenia identified. Projecting to national levels, NH incidence was estimated at 60,294 cases (7.83 cases per 1000 cancer patients). The mean NH cost was 13,372 dollars. The mortality rate among patients with NH was estimated at 6.8% or 1 death for every 14 hospitalized patients. Among 13 selected cancer types, the NH rate was 34.20 cases per 1000 patients receiving chemotherapy (1 in 29 patients). NH was particularly common in patients with hematologic tumors, with an incidence of 43.3 cases per 1000 patients with such tumors (1 in 23 patients). The average NH cost for hematologic malignancies was 20,400 dollars, more than double the cost of NH for solid tumors.

CONCLUSIONS

According to the current study, NH affects > 60,000 patients with cancer each year in the United States, with an average cost of 13,372 dollars per hospitalization and an associated inpatient mortality rate of 6.8%.

First-cycle absolute neutrophil count can be used to improve chemotherapy-dose delivery and reduce the risk of febrile neutropenia in patients receiving adjuvant therapy: a validation study

BACKGROUND

The nadir value of the absolute neutrophil count (ANC) in the first cycle of chemotherapy is an effective predictor of subsequent neutropenic events. This study was designed to validate an earlier published study based on a retrospective data analysis from a prospective randomized clinical trial.

METHODS

The original published model was applied to a trial of 143 patients to cross-validate the model. We also tested the specification of the model on our data by using a logistic regression model with several variables, including first-cycle nadir ANC, age, menopausal status, hormone-receptor status, previous radiotherapy, and first-cycle decrease in hemoglobin concentration. Patients received fluorouracil, doxorubicin, and cyclophosphamide every 21 or 28 days for six cycles without hematopoietic support from colony-stimulating factor.

RESULTS

In the cross-validation analysis, the original model successfully classified patients by risk of neutropenic events (C = 0.78). When the model specification was tested, first-cycle nadir ANC was the sole significant (P < 0.0001) predictor of neutropenic events and the model had a good predictive power (C = 0.78). The estimated relative risk of 4.8 did not differ from the risk cited in the original model (P = 0.91). A significantly higher percentage of our patients with a low first-cycle nadir ANC of 0.25 x 10(9)/liter or less experienced febrile neutropenia (30% versus 10%, P = 0.04) and received at least 85% of the planned dose intensity (55% versus 32%, P = 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The original risk model used to predict neutropenic events was validated by our study. This information can be used to target high-risk patients for prophylactic treatment with filgrastim (recombinant methionyl human granulocyte colony-stimulating factor) in chemotherapy cycles 2 to 6.