ANFIS for prediction of epidemic peak and infected cases for COVID-19 in India

A Hybridized Machine Learning Approach for Predicting COVID-19 Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System and Reptile Search Algorithm

This research is aimed to escalate Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) functioning in order to ensure the veracity of existing time-series modeling. The COVID-19 pandemic has been a global threat for the past three years. Therefore, advanced forecasting of confirmed infection cases is extremely essential to alleviate the crisis brought out by COVID-19. An adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system-reptile search algorithm (ANFIS-RSA) is developed to effectively anticipate COVID-19 cases. The proposed model integrates a machine-learning model (ANFIS) with a nature-inspired Reptile Search Algorithm (RSA). The RSA technique is used to modulate the parameters in order to improve the ANFIS modeling. Since the performance of the ANFIS model is dependent on optimizing parameters, the statistics of infected cases in China and India were employed through data obtained from WHO reports. To ensure the accuracy of our estimations, corresponding error indicators such as RMSE, RMSRE, MAE, and MAPE were evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R2). The recommended approach employed on the China dataset was compared with other upgraded ANFIS methods to identify the best error metrics, resulting in an R2 value of 0.9775. ANFIS-CEBAS and Flower Pollination Algorithm and Salp Swarm Algorithm (FPASSA-ANFIS) attained values of 0.9645 and 0.9763, respectively. Furthermore, the ANFIS-RSA technique was used on the India dataset to examine its efficiency and acquired the best R2 value (0.98). Consequently, the suggested technique was found to be more beneficial for high-precision forecasting of COVID-19 on time-series data.

Analyzing factors contributing to COVID-19 mortality in the United States using artificial intelligence techniques

Having started since late 2019, COVID-19 has spread through far many nations around the globe. Not being known profoundly, the novel virus of the Coronaviruses family has already caused more than half a million deaths and put the lives of many more people in danger. Policymakers have implemented preventive measures to curb the outbreak of the virus, and health practitioners along with epidemiologists have pointed out many social and hygienic factors associated with the virus incidence and mortality. However, a clearer vision of how the various factors cited hitherto can affect total death in different communities is yet to be analyzed. This study has put this issue forward. Applying artificial intelligence techniques, the relationship between COVID-19 death toll and determinants mentioned as strongly influential in earlier studies was investigated. In the first stage, employing Best-Worst Method, the weight of the primer contributing factor, effectiveness of strategies, was estimated. Then, using an integrated Best-Worst Method-local linear neuro-fuzzy-adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system approach, the relationship between COVID-19 mortality rate and all factors namely effectiveness of strategies, age pyramid, health system status, and community health status was elucidated more specifically.

Vaccination and isolation based control design of the COVID-19 pandemic based on adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system optimized with the genetic algorithm

The study of the COVID-19 pandemic is of pivotal importance due to its tremendous global impacts. This paper aims to control this disease using an optimal strategy comprising two methods: isolation and vaccination. In this regard, an optimized Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is developed using the Genetic Algorithm (GA) to control the dynamic model of the COVID-19 termed SIDARTHE (Susceptible, Infected, Diagnosed, Ailing, Recognized, Threatened, Healed, and Extinct). The number of diagnosed and recognized people is reduced by isolation, and the number of susceptible people is reduced by vaccination. The GA generates optimal control efforts related to the random initial number of each chosen group as the input data for ANFIS to train Takagi-Sugeno (T-S) fuzzy structure coefficients. Also, three theorems are presented to indicate the positivity, boundedness, and existence of the solutions in the presence of the controller. The performance of the proposed system is evaluated through the mean squared error (MSE) and the root-mean-square error (RMSE). The simulation results show a significant decrease in the number of diagnosed, recognized, and susceptible individuals by employing the proposed controller, even with a 70% increase in transmissibility caused by various variants.

Integrating bio medical sensors in detecting hidden signatures of COVID-19 with Artificial intelligence

Today COVID-19 pandemic articulates high stress on clinical resources around the world. At present, physical and viral tests are slowly emerging, and there is a need for robust pandemic detection that biomedical sensors can aid. The utility of biomedical sensors is correlated with the medical instruments with physiological metrics. These Biomedical sensors are integrated with the systematic device to track the target analytes with a biomedical component. The COVID-19 patients' samples are collected, and biomarkers are detected using four sensors: blood pressure sensor, G-FET based biosensor, electrochemical sensor, and potentiometric sensor with different quantifiable measures. The imputed data is then profiled with chest X-ray images from the Covid-19 patients.Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), an AI model, is deployed to identify the hidden signatures with biomarkers. The performance of the biosensor is measured with three parameters such as sensitivity, specificity and detection limit by generating the calibration plots that accurately fits the model.