Prediction of development of hepatocellular carcinoma using a new scoring system involving virtual touch quantification in patients with chronic liver diseases

Ultrasonographic Assessment of Tissue Stiffness: Recent Progress in Transient Elastography and Shear Wave Elastography in the Liver and Various Organs

Ultrasonography is a noninvasive and widely accessible modality in clinical practice. Recently, ultrasonography has been used to evaluate tissue stiffness; the two representative techniques are transient elastography (FibroScan®) and shear wave elastography. These modalities are now generally used for the assessment of liver fibrosis, the prediction of hepatocarcinogenesis, and determining prognosis. In addition, shear wave elastography is available, not only for the liver but also for various other organs, including the breast and brain. In the breast and brain, shear wave elastography distinguishes malignant lesions from benign ones. Moreover, shear wave elastography can be useful for differentiating between ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes. This review summarizes the recent progress in transient elastography and shear wave elastography of the liver and introduces the advantages of ultrasonographic assessment of tissue stiffness in various organs, including the breast, brain, kidney, heart, thyroid, pancreas, muscle, and bone.

VFMAP predicted hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with chronic hepatitis C who were treated with direct-acting antiviral and achieved sustained virologic response

PURPOSE

Risk factors for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remain unclear in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) who achieve sustained virological response (SVR) after direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy. This study investigated the usefulness of the VFMAP scoring system for predicting the development of HCC in these patients.

METHODS

This study included 358 patients with HCV who achieved SVR after DAA treatment. The VFMAP system defines and scores cutoff values for virtual touch quantification (VTQ), fasting plasma glucose, sex, age, and alpha-fetoprotein values. All patients were grouped according to their VFMAP scores as follows: 0 or 1 point, low-score group; 2 or 3 points, intermediate-score group; and 4 or 5 points, high-score group.

RESULTS

Nineteen patients developed HCC. The median follow-up duration was 3.2 (1.5-4.0) years. The respective cumulative incidence rates of HCC at 12, 24, and 36 months were as follows in different subgroups: all study patients, 3.0%, 4.8%, and 6.6%; low-score group, 0.96%, 0.96%, and 0.96%; intermediate-score group, 2.6%, 4.5%, and 6.8%; and high-score group, 10.0%, 15.3%, and 18.5%. The cumulative incidence rates of HCC in the high-score group were significantly higher than those in the low- and intermediate-score groups (p < 0.001 and < 0.05, respectively).

CONCLUSION

VFMAP accurately predicted the development of HCC in HCV patients who achieved SVR following treatment with DAAs.

Acoustic radiation force impulse predicts long-term outcomes in a large-scale cohort: High liver cancer, low comorbidity in hepatitis B virus

BACKGROUND

Acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) is used to measure liver fibrosis and predict outcomes. The performance of elastography in assessment of fibrosis is poorer in hepatitis B virus (HBV) than in other etiologies of chronic liver disease.

AIM

To evaluate the performance of ARFI in long-term outcome prediction among different etiologies of chronic liver disease.

METHODS

Consecutive patients who received an ARFI study between 2011 and 2018 were enrolled. After excluding dual infection, alcoholism, autoimmune hepatitis, and others with incomplete data, this retrospective cohort were divided into hepatitis B (HBV, n = 1064), hepatitis C (HCV, n = 507), and non-HBV, non-HCV (NBNC, n = 391) groups. The indexed cases were linked to cancer registration (1987-2020) and national mortality databases. The differences in morbidity and mortality among the groups were analyzed.

RESULTS

At the enrollment, the HBV group showed more males (77.5%), a higher prevalence of pre-diagnosed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and a lower prevalence of comorbidities than the other groups (P < 0.001). The HCV group was older and had a lower platelet count and higher ARFI score than the other groups (P < 0.001). The NBNC group showed a higher body mass index and platelet count, a higher prevalence of pre-diagnosed non-HCC cancers (P < 0.001), especially breast cancer, and a lower prevalence of cirrhosis. Male gender, ARFI score, and HBV were independent predictors of HCC. The 5-year risk of HCC was 5.9% and 9.8% for those ARFI-graded with severe fibrosis and cirrhosis. ARFI alone had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.742 for prediction of HCC in 5 years. AUROC increased to 0.828 after adding etiology, gender, age, and platelet score. No difference was found in mortality rate among the groups.

CONCLUSION

The HBV group showed a higher prevalence of HCC but lower comorbidity that made mortality similar among the groups. Those patients with ARFI-graded severe fibrosis or cirrhosis should receive regular surveillance.

Non-Invasive Tests of Liver Fibrosis Help in Predicting the Development of Hepatocellular Carcinoma among Patients with NAFLD

Background: The potential role of non-invasive tests (NITs) for liver fibrosis for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction remains poorly known. Methods: Retrospective analysis of a NAFLD cohort from a single university hospital in Barcelona, Spain. Incidence rates and cumulative incidence for the overall cohort, as well as cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients were calculated. Logistic regression analyses were carried out to investigate risk factors of HCC. Results: From the entire cohort of 1040 patients, 996 patients (95.8%) were analyzed, in whom 35 cases of HCC were detected, of which 26 (72.4%) HCC incident cases were newly diagnosed during a median follow-up of 2.5 (1.9−3.6) years. Two-hundred and thirty-one (23.2%) were cirrhotic at baseline. With the exception of 2 (7.7%) cases of HCC, the rest were diagnosed in cirrhotic patients. Overall HCC cumulative incidence was 9.49 (95% CI 6.4−13.9) per 1000 person-years. The incidence rate for cirrhotic patients was 41.2 (95% CI 27.6−61.6) per 1000 person-years and 0.93 (95% CI 0.23−3.7) per 1000 person-years for patients without cirrhosis. Overall mortality was significantly higher amongst patients with HCC (4.4% vs. 30.8%, p < 0.001). In patients with available liver biopsy (n = 249, 25%), advanced fibrosis (F3−F4) was significantly associated with higher HCC incidence, but not steatosis, lobular inflammation, nor ballooning. In the overall cohort, FIB-4 ≥1.3 (HR 8.46, 95% CI 1.06−67.4, p = 0.044) and older age (HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.01−1.11, p = 0.025) were associated with increasing risk of HCC over time, whereas in cirrhotic patients predictors of HCC included decreasing values of albumin (HR 0.34, 95% CI 0.13−0.87, p = 0.024), platelets (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.98−0.99, p = 0.001), and increasing values of liver stiffness (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.00−1.06, p = 0.016). Conclusions: In a Spanish cohort of NAFLD patients, HCC was rare in non-cirrhotic patients. NITs might play a relevant role at predicting HCC.

A Primary Screening Method for Liver Cancer in Chronic Hepatitis B Carriers: A Prospective Community-Based Cohort Study

Background

Patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) were invited to receive ultrasound and alpha-protein examination directly in China. However, not all HBV carriers need to be subjected to further tests. This study aimed to develop a feasible primary screening method to narrow down potential high-risk individuals of liver cancer among populations with HBV.

Methods

Based on a prospective community-based cohort, potential risk factors were selected as the predictors, including age, sex, smoking, alcohol consumption, diabetes, liver cancer family history, liver diseases in mothers, source of water, body mass index (BMI), and psychological trauma. Cox proportional regression model was applied to predict the 3-year absolute risk of liver cancer and derive risk scores. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and calibration plot were used to assess the performance of the model. Bootstrap resampling was used for internal validation.

Results

Age, sex, BMI, alcohol consumption, liver diseases in mothers, and psychological trauma were independent risks of liver cancer. The 1- to 3-year AUROC of the prediction model was 71.15% (95% CI, 66.88–75.42), 71.16% (95% CI, 67.42–74.90), and 72.95% (95% CI, 64.20–81.70), respectively. The predicted risk was calibrated well with the observed liver cancer risk. Bootstrap resampling showed that C-index was 0.70 (0.67–0.74). A 32-point risk score was also developed and a score over 5 was identified for patients at extremely high risk.

Conclusions

A user-friendly primary screening method was created that could estimate the 3-year absolute risk of liver cancer and identify extremely high-risk individuals among the population with HBV.

Validation of the FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase score by vibration-controlled transient and B-mode ultrasound elastography

AIM

The FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase (FAST) score comprises an easy and feasible method for identifying advanced non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. Recently, shear-wave elastography and attenuation coefficient measurement on B-mode ultrasound (US) have become widely utilized. We investigated the diagnostic accuracy of the FAST score as calculated using US-elastography compared with that using vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE).

METHODS

Patients with chronic liver disease who underwent VCTE, point-shear-wave elastography with attenuation coefficient measurement, and liver biopsy on the same day between January 2015 and September 2020 were retrospectively reviewed.

RESULTS

Of 189 patients, 94 underwent VCTE using both M and XL probes. The C-statistics were similar for VCTE (0.846) and US-elastography (0.814; p = 0.251), and for M (0.857) and XL probes (0.833; p = 0.412). Scatter and Bland-Altman plots showed good reproducibility for the FAST score. For VCTE, a cut-off of ≤0.35 had a sensitivity of 92.3%, negative predictive value of 85.5%, and negative likelihood ratio of 0.14, and a cut-off of ≥0.67 had a specificity of 90.6%, positive predictive value of 88.1%, and positive likelihood ratio of 6.03, for ruling out and in advanced non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, respectively. For US-elastography, a cut-off of ≤0.35 had a sensitivity of 90.4%, negative predictive value of 83.3%, and negative likelihood ratio of 0.16, and a cutoff of ≥0.67 had a specificity of 91.8%, positive predictive value of 85.1%, and positive likelihood ratio of 4.67, for ruling out and in advanced non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The FAST score is highly reproducible, even when different echo equipment or probes are used.

Severity of liver fibrosis using shear wave elastography is influenced by hepatic necroinflammation in chronic hepatitis patients, but not in cirrhotic patients

AIM

Shear wave elastography (SWE) in patients with chronic liver diseases is a noninvasive useful method for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis severity, which can be an alternative to liver biopsy. However, the liver stiffness measurement using SWE can be affected by various factors including hepatic inflammation, extrahepatic cholestasis, heart failure, and underlying liver diseases. The aim of this study is to clarify the correlation between liver stiffness using SWE and hepatic necroinflammation serologically and pathologically.

METHODS

A total of 843 patients with chronic liver disease who received liver biopsy were analyzed. Liver stiffness measurement using transient elastography (TE) and virtual touch quantification (VTQ) were carried out on the same day as the liver biopsy. The correlation between SWE and hepatic inflammation was analyzed serologically and pathologically.

RESULTS

The liver stiffness values increased significantly with the progression of liver fibrosis and inflammation (overall p < 0.001). In patients with F0-1, F2, and F3, TE and VTQ values of A2 or A3 were significantly higher than those of A0 or A1 (p value, all <0.05), but not in patients with F4. The median alanine aminotransferase (ALT) values increased significantly with the progression of liver inflammation (p < 0.001). Moreover, TE and VTQ in patients with ALT ≥70 IU/L were significantly higher than those in patients with ALT <70 IU/L (p < 0.01), but not in patients with F4.

CONCLUSION

Shear wave elastography can be affected by hepatic necroinflammation in F0-F3 fibrosis, but not in F4.

Diagnostic performance of real-time tissue elastography in chronic hepatitis C patients with sustained virological response

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Real-time tissue elastography is a non-invasive method for measuring liver elasticity. However, there are no reports evaluating the value of real-time tissue elastography for liver fibrosis in hepatitis C virus-infected patients with sustained virological response. The aim of this study is to clarify the diagnostic performance of real-time tissue elastography in patients with sustained virological response.

METHODS

In this prospective study, we enrolled 425 chronic hepatitis C patients who underwent liver biopsy: 118 patients with sustained virological response (45.8% women) and 307 patients with hepatitis C virus (51.1% women). The post-sustained virological response biopsy was performed 5.9 ± 1.8 years after the therapy. Liver fibrosis index measurements as assessed using real-time tissue elastography were performed on the same day of biopsy.

RESULTS

The respective mean liver fibrosis index values for fibrosis stages F0, F1, F2, F3, and F4 were 2.82 ± 0.33, 2.90 ± 0.51, 3.06 ± 0.58, 3.65 ± 0.24, and 3.83 ± 0.65, respectively, in patients with sustained virological response. The diagnostic accuracies expressed as areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves in patients with sustained virological response were 0.776 for the diagnosis of significant fibrosis (≥F2), 0.885 for severe fibrosis (≥F3), and 0.860 for cirrhosis (F4), respectively. The optimum cut-off values liver fibrosis index were 3.14 for ≥F2, 3.24 for ≥F3, and 3.30 for F4 in patients with sustained virological response.

CONCLUSION

Real-time tissue elastography is an acceptable method for predicting the severity of fibrosis in hepatitis C virus patients with sustained virological response.

Liver fibrosis markers as assessed by ultrasound elastography and serum samples: A large comparative study in hepatitis virus B and C liver diseases

AIM

We aimed to compare the well-established liver fibrosis (LF) markers in Japanese patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB, n = 331) and chronic hepatitis C (CHC, n = 886) and to discuss possible causes of differences in results between CHB patients and CHC patients.

METHODS

Virtual touch quantification (VTQ) in acoustic radiation force impulse, Fibrosis-4 (Fib-4) index, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), and hyaluronic acid (HA) were compared between the two cohorts. As an additional investigation, total collagen proportional area (TCPA, %) was tested using liver pathological samples (n = 83).

RESULTS

Significant LF (F2 or greater) and advanced LF (F3 or greater) were identified in 153 (46.2%) and 76 (23.0%) patients in the CHB cohort and 579 (65.3%) and 396 (44.7%) patients in the CHC cohort. The median VTQ, Fib-4 index, APRI, and HA values in the CHB cohort were 1.20 m/s, 1.36, 0.44, and 25 ng/mL; those in the CHC cohort were 1.32 m/s, 2.60, 0.74, and 65.5 ng/mL (P-values, all <0.0001). Similar tendencies were noted by F stage-based stratification. The median TCPA in the CHB cohort and the CHC cohort were 8.5% and 12.7% (P < 0.0006). The TCPA values in the CHC cohort were higher than those in the CHB cohort regardless of LF stage.

CONCLUSION

Values of LF markers in CHB patients can differ from those in CHC patients even in the same LF stage. Difference in total amount of collagen fiber in CHB and CHC appears to be linked to the difference.

Comparison of liver stiffness assessment by transient elastography and shear wave elastography using six ultrasound devices

AIM

Transient elastography (TE) is the gold standard for measurement of liver stiffness. The usefulness of shear wave elastographies (SWE) is well accepted. However, the measurement values cannot be equivalently compared because cut-off values for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis are different among those devices. We aimed to clarify correlations, to generate the regression equations between TE and SWEs, and to compare the diagnostic ability of each device to diagnose liver fibrosis.

METHODS

A total of 109 patients with chronic liver disease who underwent liver biopsy and same-day evaluation of liver stiffness using six ultrasound devices were analyzed. The diagnostic ability of liver stiffness from each ultrasound device and correlations between TE and each SWE were analyzed.

RESULTS

Liver stiffness measured by all six ultrasound devices increased significantly as liver fibrosis stage advanced (P < 0.001). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for predicting significant fibrosis (≥F2) and cirrhosis yielded area under the ROC curve (AUROC) values based on TE of 0.830 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.755-0.905) and 0.959 (95% CI, 0.924-0.995), respectively. The AUROCs for predicting significant fibrosis (≥F2) and cirrhosis (F4) based on SWE from all five ultrasound devices were over 0.8 and 0.9, respectively. Furthermore, the correlation coefficients between TE values and SWE values from five ultrasound devices were all over 0.8, indicating a strong relationship.

CONCLUSION

Our study showed strong correlations between TE and SWEs with high correlation coefficients. The regression equations between TE and SWEs demonstrated the ability to compare the measurement values in each device equivalently.

Pathological findings that contribute to tissue stiffness in the spleen of liver cirrhosis patients

AIM

Spleen stiffness is increased in liver cirrhosis (LC). We attempted to characterize the pathological features of spleen in LC.

METHODS

We compared pathological findings of resected spleen tissues of 28 LC patients and those of six healthy controls. In addition, we measured spleen stiffness before splenectomy by shear wave elastography in nine LC patients. After splenectomy, we examined the relationship between spleen stiffness and pathological findings.

RESULTS

Passive congestion of the spleen was more frequently observed in LC patients than in controls (P < 0.01). The sinus was wider in LC patients than in controls (P < 0.01). In the spleens of the LC patients, diffuse α-smooth muscle actin (αSMA) expression of sinusoidal mesenchymal cells and deposition of collagen fibers on the perisinusoidal wall were observed. In nine LC patients whose spleen stiffness was examined, the width of the sinus increased along with spleen stiffness (r = 0.89, P < 0.01). Spleen stiffness was higher in the spleen tissues with diffuse αSMA expression of sinusoidal mesenchymal cells than in those with partial αSMA expression of sinusoidal mesenchymal cells (P = 0.01). The degree of fibrosis was higher in the LC patients with diffuse αSMA expression of the red pulp than in those with partial αSMA expression of the red pulp (P = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

In the LC patients, spleen tissues showed passive congestion with a dilated sinus, diffuse αSMA expression of sinusoidal mesenchymal cells, and deposition of collagen fibers on the perisinusoidal wall. This contributed to spleen stiffness.

Risk score system for the prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with type 2 diabetes: Taiwan Diabetes Study

This study aims to develop a risk score system for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with type 2 diabetes using the Taiwan National Diabetes Care Management Program database. This retrospective cohort study included 31,723 Chinese patients who had type 2 diabetes, aged 30-84 years. Participants were randomly grouped into derivation and validation sets in 2:1 ratio. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to identify the risk factors of HCC in the derivation set. Discrimination ability of the model was assessed by means of a receiver operating characteristic curve and performance was expressed as the c statistic, assessed internally on validation data sets. The average follow-up was 8.33 years with 748 HCC incident cases in the derivation set. The final HCC risk score system included age (-2 to 8 points), gender (0-2 points), smoking (0-2 points), variation in hemoglobin A1c (0-1 point), serum glutamic-pyruvic transaminase (0-6 points), liver cirrhosis (9 points), hepatitis B (4 points), hepatitis C (3 points), antidiabetes medications (0-3 points), and antihyperlipidemia medications and total/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (-4 to 2 points). The HCC risk score was the sum of these individual scores (range -6 to 40). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for 3-, 5-, and 10-year HCC risks was 0.81, 0.80, and 0.77 for the derivation set, respectively. This HCC risk score system has good prediction accuracy and discriminatory ability, and serves a simple tool for HCC risk prediction.

Predictive ability of shear wave elastography for pruritus in chronic hepatitis C patients with sustained virological response

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Pruritus is one of the complications with chronic liver disease and markedly worsens quality of life. However, the current status of pruritus in chronic hepatitis C patients who have achieved a sustained virological response (SVR) has not been clarified sufficiently. The aim of this study was to investigate the predictors of pruritus in post-SVR patients treated with direct-acting antivirals (DAA).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this retrospective study, we enrolled 110 hepatitis C patients with SVR who underwent serial shear wave elastography before DAA therapy and at the end of treatment. The severity of pruritus was evaluated using Kawashima's pruritus scores and a visual analog scale.

RESULTS

The prevalence of pruritus before treatment and after SVR was 28.2 and 25.5%. Multivariate logistic regression analysis confirmed that a history of hepatocellular carcinoma [odds ratio (OR): 9.72; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.05-46.15; P=0.004], high γ-glutamyl transpeptidase levels at baseline (OR: 5.77; 95% CI: 1.83-18.21; P=0.003), low serum albumin at the end of treatment (OR: 4.85; 95% CI: 1.31-17.99; P=0.018), and high liver stiffness measurement assessed by shear wave elastography at the end of treatment (OR: 3.16; 95% CI: 1.19-11.01; P=0.024) were significant independent factors associated with pruritus in patients who had achieved an SVR following DAA therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

In chronic hepatitis C patients with SVR after DAA therapy, the incidence of pruritus is not uncommon. Liver stiffness measurement is useful for predicting the incidence of pruritus. Thus, even if SVR is achieved, patients with higher liver stiffness at the end of treatment must be monitored carefully for pruritus.

Quantitative Elastography Methods in Liver Disease: Current Evidence and Future Directions

Chronic liver diseases often result in the development of liver fibrosis and ultimately, cirrhosis. Treatment strategies and prognosis differ greatly depending on the severity of liver fibrosis, thus liver fibrosis staging is clinically relevant. Traditionally, liver biopsy has been the method of choice for fibrosis evaluation. Because of liver biopsy limitations, noninvasive methods have become a key research interest in the field. Elastography enables the noninvasive measurement of tissue mechanical properties through observation of shear-wave propagation in the tissue of interest. Increasing fibrosis stage is associated with increased liver stiffness, providing a discriminatory feature that can be exploited by elastographic methods. Ultrasonographic (US) and magnetic resonance (MR) imaging elastographic methods are commercially available, each with their respective strengths and limitations. Here, the authors review the technical basis, acquisition techniques, and results and limitations of US- and MR-based elastography techniques. Diagnostic performance in the most common etiologies of chronic liver disease will be presented. Reliability, reproducibility, failure rate, and emerging advances will be discussed. ^© RSNA, 2018 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Risk factors and prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma in the era of precision medicine

Patients who develop chronic fibrotic liver disease, caused by viral or metabolic aetiologies, are at a high risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Even after complete HCC tumour resection or ablation, the carcinogenic tissue microenvironment in the remnant liver can give rise to recurrent de novo HCC tumours, which progress into incurable, advanced-stage disease in most patients. Thus, early detection and prevention of HCC development is, in principle, the most impactful strategy to improve patient prognosis. However, a "one-size-fits-all" approach to HCC screening for early tumour detection, as recommended by clinical practice guidelines, is utilised in less than 20% of the target population, and the performance of screening modalities, including ultrasound and alpha-fetoprotein, is suboptimal. Furthermore, optimal screening strategies for emerging at-risk patient populations, such as those with chronic hepatitis C after viral cure, or those with non-cirrhotic, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease remain controversial. New HCC biomarkers and imaging modalities may improve the sensitivity and specificity of HCC detection. Clinical and molecular HCC risk scores will enable precise HCC risk prediction followed by tailoured HCC screening of individual patients, maximising cost-effectiveness and optimising allocation of limited medical resources. Several aetiology-specific and generic HCC chemoprevention strategies are evolving. Epidemiological and experimental studies have identified candidate chemoprevention targets and therapies, including statins, anti-diabetic drugs, and selective molecular targeted agents, although their clinical testing has been limited by the lengthy process of cancer development that requires long-term, costly studies. Individual HCC risk prediction is expected to overcome the challenge by enabling personalised chemoprevention, targeting high-risk patients for precision HCC prevention and substantially improving the dismal prognosis of HCC.

Liver stiffness reduction correlates with histological characteristics of hepatitis C patients with sustained virological response

BACKGROUND & AIMS

We investigated the correlation between histological characteristics and changes in liver stiffness (LS) in patients with sustained virological response (SVR) using acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) elastography.

METHODS

In this prospective study, we enrolled 176 hepatitis C patients with SVR who underwent ARFI elastography and liver biopsy before antiviral treatment, and serial ARFI elastography at the end of treatment (EOT) and at 24 weeks after the EOT. To compare the long-term changes in LS in patients with SVR using ARFI elastography, another group of 140 patients who had undergone paired biopsy after achieving SVR was included.

RESULTS

Mean LS values were 1.60±0.63 m/s, 1.48±0.56 m/s and 1.37±0.62 m/s at baseline, EOT and 24 weeks after EOT, respectively, P<.001. Higher inflammatory activity at baseline was associated with an improvement in LS at the EOT, with an odds ratio of 1.940. Significant fibrosis at baseline was associated with an improvement in LS at 24 weeks after the EOT, with an odds ratio of 2.617. Among patients in the paired biopsy group with baseline fibrosis stage identical to the ARFI group, LS values at 24 weeks after the EOT did not show any difference with values at 5 years after EOT.

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-treatment histological characteristics influence LS reduction after SVR is achieved.

Liver stiffness measurement predicts hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients treated with direct-acting antivirals

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Predictive factors for hepatocarcinogenesis following eradication of hepatitis C virus by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are unknown. The aim of the study was to investigate the relationships between liver stiffness (LS) using acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) erastograghy and the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients who achieved sustained virological response (SVR) treated with DAA.

METHODS

In this prospective study, we enrolled 263 hepatitis C patients with SVR who underwent ARFI before DAA treatment. Thirty patients had previous HCC.

RESULTS

The median LS value according to ARFI measurements was 1.34 m/s (range: 0.67-4.35). During the follow-up period (median: 18.1 months), development of HCC occurred in 19 patients (7.2%; HCC occurrence in 7 patients and HCC recurrence in 12 patients). By multivariate Cox regression analysis, HCC history (hazard ratio [HR]: 10.634; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.13-27.37; P = 0.001), older age (HR: 4.638; 95% CI: 1.63-13.61; P = 0.004) and higher total bilirubin levels (HR: 4.189; 95% CI: 1.66-10.60; P = 0.002) were independent predictors for the development of HCC, and higher LS value (≥1.73 m/s) at baseline was an independent predictor for HCC occurrence (HR: 8.350; 95% CI: 1.62-43.09; P = 0.011). The cumulative recurrence of HCC was statistically similar according to the degree of LS in patients who were previously treated for HCC.

CONCLUSION

The LS value at baseline is useful for predicting HCC occurrence. Thus, even if SVR is achieved, patients with higher LS at baseline must be followed carefully for HCC occurrence.

Impact of Virtual Touch Quantification in Acoustic Radiation Force Impulse for Skeletal Muscle Mass Loss in Chronic Liver Diseases

Background and aims: We sought to clarify the relationship between virtual touch quantification (VTQ) in acoustic radiation force impulse and skeletal muscle mass as assessed by bio-electronic impedance analysis in patients with chronic liver diseases (CLDs, n = 468, 222 males and 246 females, median age = 62 years). Patients and methods: Decreased skeletal muscle index (D-SMI) was defined as skeletal muscle index (SMI) <7.0 kg/m² for males and as SMI <5.7 kg/m² for females, according to the recommendations in current Japanese guidelines. We examined the correlation between SMI and VTQ levels and investigated factors linked to D-SMI in the univariate and multivariate analyses. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) for the presence of D-SMI was also calculated. Results: In patients with D-SMI, the median VTQ level was 1.64 meters/second (m/s) (range, 0.93–4.32 m/s), while in patients without D-SMI, the median VTQ level was 1.11 m/s (range, 0.67–4.09 m/s) (p < 0.0001). In the multivariate analysis, higher VTQ was found to be an independent predictor linked to the presence of D-SMI (p < 0.0001). In receiver operating characteristic analysis, body mass index had the highest AUROC (0.805), followed by age (0.721) and VTQ (0.706). Conclusion: VTQ levels can be useful for predicting D-SMI in patients with CLDs.

Screening for hepatocellular carcinoma: patient selection and perspectives

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) develops on the background of liver cirrhosis often from multiple, simultaneous factors. The diagnosis of a single small HCC comes with good prognosis and provides a potential for cure. In contrast, the diagnosis of multifocal, large HCC has high mortality and poor prognosis. Unfortunately, the majority of HCC is diagnosed at such late stages. A surveillance program endorsed by regional liver societies involves six-monthly ultrasound surveillance of at-risk patients. This had been in action for the last two decades. It has led to marked increase in the proportion of patients presenting with small unifocal nodules found on surveillance. The development of tools to enhance our ability in optimizing available surveillance is likely to improve the prognosis of patients with HCC. In this review, we discuss the difficulties in utilizing HCC surveillance and possible means of improvement.