Predictive factors for low rate of remission in a population of Colombian patients with severe proliferative lupus nephritis

Something new about prognostic factors for lupus nephritis? A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Lupus nephritis (LN) affects 30-45% of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and causes great morbidity and mortality. About 10-25% of patients will develop chronic kidney disease (CKD), and it has been described a mortality of 10-20% at 10 years. The contribution of clinical and biological markers to the prediction of outcome is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To describe the factors, with measures of association, that predict the main outcomes of LN.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We have conducted a systematic review. Medline, Embase, and Cochrane Library were systematic searched from inception up to Oct 2019, with a strategy that included synonyms of all targeted outcomes of LN: (kidney failure, response to treatment, cardiovascular events, and mortality). Only studies with longitudinal prospective design or with warranties of unbiased recollection of the prognostic factors, where LN was confirmed by biopsy were included. Risk of bias was assessed with the New Castle Ottawa scale. Predictive factors and their effect measures were collected from each study.

RESULTS

From 1221 studies identified, 25 studies were included, of which 15 were retrospective, nine prospective, and one was a trial extension study (range from 3 months to 11 years). The main predictive factors of renal response were serum creatinine (SCr) and glomerular filtration rate C3 levels, titer of anti-C1q, and anti-dsDNA antibodies. Renal histological findings such as class type (IV or V), tubulointerstitial or vascular lesions and chronicity index were risk factors for development of chronic kidney disease. The factors associated with persistence of activity were proteinuria, anti-dsDNA, anticardiolipin, anti C1q antibodies, and complement values. The factors associated to cardiovascular events and mortality were age, smoking, amount of proteinuria, and histological findings, such as vascular lesions. Meta-analysis was precluded given the heterogeneity of designs definitions and effect measures.

CONCLUSIONS

Nowadays, we do not have new biomarkers that establish the renal prognosis of patients with LN. Classical clinical, renal, and histological markers are used in most studies. It is worth noting the heterogeneity of studies in the definition of renal outcomes, which complicates risk stratification in these patients.

Treatment Outcomes of Proliferative vs. Non-proliferative Adult Lupus Nephritis: A 10-Year Follow-Up

Introduction

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a systemic disease with clinically heterogeneous outcomes. Lupus nephritis (LN) is a common complication of SLE. LN impacts clinical SLE outcomes both directly, in the form of target organ damage, and indirectly, through the adverse effects of immunosuppressive therapy.

Patients & methods

The study included 402 SLE cases with biopsy-proven lupus nephritis who were under follow-up for the past 13 years at Mansoura Urology and Nephrology Center, Egypt. We studied the differences in outcome among various LN classes and between 275 proliferative cases and 102 non-proliferative cases.

Results

Class IV was the main LN class in our series with renal survival of 60% at 10 years. The major induction regimen after the first biopsy was cyclophosphamide. Mycophenolate mofetil was the main induction and adjunctive regimen after the second biopsy. The mean follow-up period was 6.7 + 5.2 years. Higher serum creatinine, proteinuria, activity, and chronicity indices were noted in proliferative LN. Patients suffering from proliferative lesions received higher immunosuppression and demonstrated higher morbidity than those with non-proliferative lesions. Remission was higher among the non-proliferative compared to the proliferative group.

Conclusions

Serum creatinine, proteinuria, and LN class were the most relevant prognostic factors for renal survival among Egyptian LN patients.