Prognostic factors of mortality in Iranian patients with systemic lupus erythematosus admitted to intensive care unit

Development and validation of models for risk of death in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus admitted to the intensive care unit: a retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

For patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in the intensive care unit (ICU), early detection of the mortality risk is a significant factor in improving outcomes. In this study, we developed and validated predictive models for the mortality risk.

METHODS

Using MIMIC-III v1.4 and MIMIC-IV v0.4, we collected data of patients with SLE who were admitted to the ICU. The patients were divided into two groups based on death or survival within 30 days. Two prediction models were built for each group: a traditional logistic regression model and a linear discriminant analysis (LDA) model constructed by the random subspace method (RSM) (RSM-LDA model). The performance of the two models was analyzed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

MIMIC-III and MIMIC-IV were used to establish and validate the models. This study involved 383 patients with SLE, 65 of whom died. They were divided into two groups according to whether they died within 30 days. The predictive factors were the type of admission to the ICU, SLE-associated interstitial pneumonia, lupus nephritis, immunoglobulin G level, and cardiolipin antibody level. A logistic regression model and an RSM-LDA model were established. The AUCs of the two models were 0.87 (95% confidence interval, 0.86-0.90) and 0.91 (95% confidence interval, 0.88-0.93), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The RSM-LDA model can predict the risk of death in patients with SLE admitted to the ICU at an early stage. Key Points • Compared with traditional prediction models, RSM-LDA model has a better ability to predict the risk of death inpatients with systemic lupus erythematosus. • Compared with traditional prediction models, the more input variables (mortality related risk factors), the better the prediction results of RSM-LDA model.

Outcome of critically ill patients with systemic lupus erythematosus from a medical intensive care unit in Southern India

OBJECTIVE

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) has become the most prevalent autoimmune condition requiring admission in the intensive care units (ICU) in the last two decades. Here we analysed the clinical outcomes of SLE patients admitted to our ICU between 2011 and 2021, and studied the prognostic role of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) and procalcitonin in those enrolled after August 2019.

METHODS

Systemic lupus erythematosus (ACR/SLICC 2012) were enrolled, 72 retrospectively and 30 prospectively. Data on indications for ICU admission, complications, infections, and disease activity were recorded. Outcome was mortality at 90 days (prospective) whereas in the retrospective analysis outcome was hospital discharge or death in hospital. Serum HDL and procalcitonin (PCT) was estimated in the prospectively enrolled 30 patients and compared with 30 non ICU-SLE patients.

RESULTS

Indications for ICU admissions were respiratory causes in 78/102 (76.5%) patients; for haemodynamic monitoring and for invasive procedures in the remaining. Pneumonia was the primary reason for mechanical ventilation, followed by diffuse alveolar haemorrhage (DAH). Eighty-three (81.3%) patients died; infections (n = 54) and SLE related causes (n = 29). APACHE-II >16 (p = .026), lymphopenia (p = .021), infection (p = .002), creatinine >1.3 mg/dL (p = .023), and hypotension requiring vasopressor support (p = .006) emerged as significant predictors of non-survival on multivariable analysis. HDL (mg/dL) day 1 was significantly lower in SLE-ICU patients compared to non ICU-SLE (31.8 ± 14.3 vs 38.8 ± 11.4 mg/dl); p = .045. On day 1, PCT (ng/mL) in SLE-ICU was significantly higher when compared to non-ICU SLE; median (IQR): 0.53 (0.26-5.27) versus 0.13 (0.05-0.47), p < .001), respectively. It was also significantly higher on day 5 in SLE-ICU than non-ICU SLE (median (IQR): 4.18 (0.20-14.67) versus 0.10 (0.08-0.46), p = .004.

CONCLUSION

The mortality of SLE patients admitted to the ICU in this study is high, and infections were the principal reason for death. Baseline low HDL and higher procalcitonin are potential biomarkers to identify critically ill SLE patients.

Determination of the main causes, outcome, and prognostic factors of patients with rheumatologic diseases admitted to the medical intensive care unit in Southern Iran

BACKGROUND

Systemic rheumatic diseases (SRD) are a heterogeneous group of diseases that can involve several organ systems and occasionally requires intensive care unit (ICU) admission because of severe systemic disease, life-threatening organ involvement, or complication of treatment. The objective of this study is to determine the causes, outcome, and prognostic factors of patients with rheumatologic diseases admitted in teaching medical ICUs in southern Iran.

METHODS

A retrospective case review of all patients with rheumatologic diseases admitted in the academic medical ICUs in two referral hospitals in southern Iran, from March 2015 to January 2020. Patients' data were documented from their hospital records and the cause of admission, in-hospital outcome, and prognostic factors was evaluated.

RESULTS

Ninety-one patients were included, of which 71.4% were female. Systemic lupus erythematosus (54.9%) was the most common disease. Nineteen (20.9%) patients were new cases of rheumatological disease. The most frequent symptom for admittance was dyspnea (54.9%) and hemoptysis (20.9%). The in-hospital mortality rate was 48%, and the leading cause of death was infection (29 patients; 65.5%) followed by disease activity (18 patients; 40.9%). Also, the death of 29.5% of patients was presumed due to both disease activity and infection. Factors associated with mortality included renal insufficiency (p < 0.028), infection (p < 0.001), pneumonia (p < 0.042), dyspnea (p < 0.042), loss of consciousness (p < 0.046), azathioprine consumption (p < 0.004) during 1 month before ICU admission, mechanical ventilation (p < 0.001), renal replacement therapy (p < 0.001), CNS involvement (p < 0.009), and ICU medications such as cyclosporine and azathioprine (0.03 and 0.03, respectively) or treatments such as plasmapheresis (p < 0.018).

CONCLUSION

The ICU mortality rate of patients with SRD was high. Infection and disease exacerbation are the leading reasons for ICU admission in systemic rheumatic diseases. Intensivists must keep in mind that SRD exacerbation may require immunosuppressive agents along with lifesaving interventions, more particularly in newly diagnosed SRDs. Key Points • The ICU mortality rate of patients with SRD was high. • Infection and disease exacerbation are the leading reasons for ICU admission in systemic rheumatic diseases. • 63.8% of our patients fall into this category of new cases of rheumatologic disease and disease flare-up.

Short- and long-term prognosis of acute critically ill patients with systemic rheumatic diseases: A retrospective multicentre study

Patients with systemic rheumatic disease (SRD) share the risks of multi-organ flare-up, cardiovascular diseases, and immunosuppression. Such situations can lead to an acute critical illness. The present study describes the clinical features of SRD patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) and their short- and long- term mortality.We performed a multicentre retrospective study in 10 French ICU in Lyon, France. Inclusion criteria were SRD diagnosis and admission for an acute organ failure. The primary endpoint was ICU mortality.A total of 271 patients were included. SRD included systemic lupus erythematosus (23.2% of included patients), vasculitis (10.7%), systemic sclerosis (10.7%), idiopathic inflammatory myopathy (6.3%), and other connective tissue disorders (rheumatoid arthritis, Sjögren and Sharp syndromes; 50.9%). Initial organ failure(s) were shock (43.5% of included patients), acute kidney injury (30.5%), and acute respiratory failure (23.2%). The cause(s) of ICU admission included sepsis (61.6%), cardiovascular events (33.9%), SRD-flare up (32.8%), and decompensations related to comorbidities (28%). The ICU mortality reached 14.3%. The factors associated with ICU mortality were chronic cardiac failure, invasive ventilation and admission in ICU for another reason than sepsis or SRD flare-up. The median follow-up after ICU discharge was 33.6 months. During follow-up, 109 patients died. The factors associated with long-term mortality included age, Charlson comorbidity index, and ICU admission for sepsis or SRD flare-up.The ICU mortality of patients with SRD was low. Sepsis was the first cause of admission. Cardiovascular events and comorbidities negatively impacted ICU mortality. Admission for sepsis or SRD flare-up exerted a negative effect on the long-term outcome.

Development of a Novel Simple Model to Predict Mortality in Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit

Background: Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) may sometimes require admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), and the outcome is poor. The aim of this study was to explore the clinical features of patients with SLE in the ICU, identify prognostic factors, and develop and evaluate a prognostic model to predict in-ICU mortality of patients with SLE.

Patients and Methods: This was a single center retrospective study in a tertiary medical institution in China. A total of 480 SLE patients with 505 ICU admissions from 2010 to 2019 were screened, and 391 patients were enrolled. The clinical feature and outcomes of the patients were analyzed. According to the random number table, patients were divided into two mutually exclusively groups named derivation (n = 293) and validation (n = 98). Prognostic factors were identified by a Cox model with Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation and evaluated by latent analysis. The risk score was developed based on the derivation group and evaluated using the validation group.

Results: Among the 391 patients, 348 (89.0%) patients were females. The median age of patients was 34 years, and the median course of SLE was 6 months. The median APACHE II and SLEDAI were 17 and 10, respectively. The average in-ICU mortality was 53.4% (95% CI, 48.5–58.4%). A total of 186 patients were admitted to the ICU due to infection. Pneumonia (320/391, 81.8%) was the most common clinical manifestation, followed by renal disease (246/391, 62.9%). Nine prognostic factors were identified. The model had C statistic of 0.912 (95% CI, 0.889–0.948) and 0.807 (95% CI 0.703–0.889), with predictive range of 5.2–98.3% and 6.3–94.7% for the derivation and validation groups, respectively. Based on distribution of the risk score, 25.3, 49.5, and 25.2% of patients were stratified into the high, average, and low-risk groups, with corresponding in-ICU mortality of 0.937, 0.593, and 0.118, respectively.

Conclusion: Nine prognostic factors including age, white blood cell count, alanine transaminase, uric acid, intracranial infection, shock, intracranial hemorrhage, respiratory failure, and cyclosporin A/tacrolimus usage were identified. A prognostic model was developed and evaluated to predict in-ICU mortality of patients with SLE. These findings may help clinicians to prognostically stratify patients into different risk groups of in-ICU mortality, and provide patients with intensive and targeted management.

Systemic Lupus Erythematosus and Critical Illness

Systemic lupus erythematosus is a chronic autoimmune disorder that causes a wide range of mild to life-threatening conditions that require hospitalization and critical care. The morbidity and mortality of systemic lupus erythematosus are associated with the organ system damage caused by intermittent or chronic disease activity and with the complications of long-term and toxic immunosuppressant medication regimens. This article reviews the epidemiologic, clinical, diagnostic, and therapeutic information essential for critical care clinicians who provide care to patients with systemic lupus erythematosus.

Trend of Survival of a Cohort of Chinese Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Over 25 Years

Objectives: To revisit the trend of survival of systemic lupus erythematosus in a cohort of Chinese patients over 25 years. Methods: Patients who fulfilled the 1997 ACR criteria for SLE and were followed in our hospital since 1995 were included. Patients were stratified into two groups according to the year of diagnosis: (1) 1995-2004 and (2) 2005-2018. Survival of patients was studied by Kaplan-Meier analysis. Organ damage as assessed by the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC) damage index (SDI) and causes of death in the first 10 years of SLE onset was compared between the two groups. Cox regression was used to study factors associated with survival. Results: A total of 1,098 SLE patients were registered in our database. After excluding 157 patients diagnosed outside the time period of 1995-2018, 941 patients were studied (92% women). All were ethnic Chinese. The mean age of SLE onset was 35.1 ± 14.4 years, and the mean duration of observation was 13.1 ± 6.6 years. Seventy-seven (8.2%) patients were lost to follow-up. Groups 1 and 2 consisted of 364 and 577 patients, respectively. The mean SDI score at 10 years of disease onset was significantly higher in group 1 than group 2 patients (1.01 ± 1.43 vs. 0.57 ± 0.94; p < 0.01), particularly in the neuropsychiatric, musculoskeletal, and gonadal domains. Within 10 years of SLE onset, 32 (8.8%) patients in group 1 and 25 (4.3%) patients in group 2 died (p = 0.005). The 5- and 10-year cumulative survival rates were 93.6 and 91.0% in group 1 and 96.5 and 94.2% in group 2 patients, respectively (log-rank test p = 0.048). Infection accounted for more than half of the deaths in both groups. More group 1 than group 2 patients died of vascular events, but the difference was not statistically significant. Cox regression showed that the age of SLE onset and damage score accrued at 10 years, but not the time period in which SLE was diagnosed, were significantly associated with mortality. Conclusions: The improvement in survival of our SLE patients is probably related to the accrual of less organ damage in the past 15 years.

Systemic lupus erythematosus in the intensive care unit: a systematic review

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune disease with heterogeneous pathophysiologic mechanisms and diverse clinical manifestations. SLE is a frequent cause of intensive care unit (ICU) admissions. Multiple studies with controversial findings on the causes, evolution and outcomes of ICU-admitted patients with SLE have been published. The aim of this paper is to review the literature reporting the clinical characteristics and outcomes, such as mortality and associated factors, in such patients. Among the main causes of ICU admissions are SLE disease activity, respiratory failure, multi-organ failure and infections. The main factors associated with mortality are a high Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) score, the need for mechanical ventilation, and vasoactive and inotropic agent use. Reported mortality rates are 18.4%-78.5%. Therefore, it is important to evaluate SLE disease severity for optimizing clinical management and patient outcomes.

Bronchoalveolar lavage fluid analysis and mortality risk in systemic lupus erythematosus patients with pneumonia and respiratory failure

BACKGROUND

Our aim was to characterize etiologic diagnoses obtained from bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) and blood specimens, and to identify risk factors for mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients with pneumonia and respiratory failure.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of SLE patients with pneumonia and respiratory failure. Clinical characteristics, laboratory profiles, and microbiology in BALF and blood samples were evaluated. We performed univariable analyses to identify mortality risk factors.

RESULTS

All 24 patients (F:M = 21:3, median age 46.5 years; disease duration 11 years) received mechanical ventilation (median duration: 11 days). Pathogens identified in BALF included Pneumocystis jiroveci (12 patients [50%]), cytomegalovirus (CMV, 7 patients [29.2%]), and bacteria (11 patients [45.8%]). Thirteen patients (54.2%) yielded pathogens in blood (CMV in 8 patients [33.3%] and Escherichia coli in 5 patients [20.8%]). Eight developed septic shock, and 9 died within 30 days. Univariable analysis identified thrombocytopenia (odds ratio [OR]: 8.0, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.23-52.25), bacteremia within 30 days before or after endotracheal intubation (OR: 8.0, 95% CI: 1.23-52.5), and P. jiroveci pneumonia (PJP, OR: 7.0, 95% CI: 1.04-46.95) as risk factors for 30-day mortality. Kaplan-Meier analysis confirmed an increased risk of 30-day mortality with thrombocytopenia and bacteremia.

CONCLUSION

There are high prevalence rates of PJP and CMV infections as evidenced by BALF analyses in SLE patients with pneumonia and respiratory failure. BALF analysis can facilitate rescue therapy per pathogen. Thrombocytopenia, bacteremia, and PJP in SLE patients can increase their 30-day mortality, so warrant early and aggressive treatments.

Clinical characterization, outcomes, and prognosis in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus admitted to the intensive care unit

OBJECTIVE

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a clinically heterogeneous autoimmune disease, and in some conditions, admission to the intensive care unit (ICUs) is required. This study describes the clinical and prognostic factors in SLE patients admitted to the ICU.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study that reviewed all clinical records of patients with SLE admitted to the ICU between 2011 and 2018.

RESULTS

We evaluated 188 patients, with 279 ICU admissions. Most patients were female (n = 159; 84.57%) with a median age of 35 years (interquartile range (IQR) = 25-48 years). Infection was the leading cause of admission in 77 (27.60%) cases, followed by lupus flare. The average length of hospitalization was 5 days (IQR 3-11 days), and the SLE Disease Activity Index 2000, Acute Physiology, Age and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II), and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores were 9 (IQR 2-17), 14 (IQR 10-17), and 3 (IQR 2-5), respectively. Non-survivors presented with higher APACHE II and SOFA scores. Infection was the leading cause of mortality (n = 38; 20.21%), and predictors of mortality included invasive mechanical ventilation, vasoactive medication requirement, higher SOFA scores, and antiphospholipid syndrome comorbidity.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that infection was the leading cause of ICU admissions and mortality in patients with SLE. Factors identified here as predictors of mortality should be accurately identified at admission for the prompt treatment of SLE patients.

[Controlling glucocorticoid treatment in critically ill patients with rheumatism exemplified by systemic lupus erythematosus]

BACKGROUND

Infections are one of the most common clinical problems in patients with rheumatic diseases who need to be treated with glucocorticoids in an intensive care unit. To date, there are no recommendations for the standardized control of glucocorticoid treatment in such situations.

OBJECTIVE

Based on a literature search this paper provides an overview of evidence-based and eminence-based recommendations for the control of glucocorticoid treatment under intensive care conditions using the example of systemic lupus erythematosus.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was carried out using a MeSH term search in the PubMed database.

RESULTS

Infections are one of the most common causes for the treatment of patients with rheumatic diseases in intensive care units. In the case of systemic lupus erythematosus it is particularly challenging to distinguish the infection from increased disease activity or to treat the parallel occurrence. Patients in an intensive care unit are exposed to an increased level of physical stress due to the severity of the disease, which is why special attention should be paid to symptoms of adrenocortical insufficiency. Evidence-based recommendations for prophylaxis of an adrenal crisis only exist in relation to perioperative procedures and not for the situation of severe infections.

CONCLUSION

The use of glucocorticoids in systemic lupus erythematosus is often chronic and there is an increased risk of infections. In the case of infections (or simultaneous disease flare) adequate anti-infective treatment should be administered, the treatment with glucocorticoids should be adjusted accordingly and symptoms of adrenocortical insufficiency should simultaneously be looked for.

Mortality of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus admitted to the intensive care unit - A retrospective single-center study

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a heterogeneous autoimmune disease that results in increased morbidity and mortality. Under certain conditions, patients with SLE may be admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) secondary to infectious disease flare-ups or other non-SLE disease conditions that are aggravated by SLE. The aim of our study was to investigate the causes and outcomes of ICU-admitted patients with SLE. This is a retrospective cohort study involving paitents with SLE that were admitted to the general ICU at Sheba Medical Center between 2002 and 2015. Outcome was measured by the 30-day mortality and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score. Demographic, diagnostic, physiological, and laboratory variables of survivors and nonsurvivors were compared using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. A receiver operating characteristic curve was plotted for significant variables to illustrate their diagnostic capabilities. Twenty-seven patients were admitted to the ICU (female: 21 [77%], mean age ± SD: 51.1 ± 15.4 years). The mean ± SD APACHE II score and 30-day mortality rate were 23.4 ± 8.3 and 29.6%, respectively. Infections, especially lower respiratory tract infections, were the cause of 66.7% of admissions and accounted for 87.5% of deaths. APACHE II scores, bacteremia, and gram-negative infections were significantly associated with mortality (p = 0.033, p = 0.022, and p = 0.01, respectively). An APACHE II score of 27 and above was the strongest predictor of mortality with a sensitivity and specificity of 83.3% and 84.2%, respectively (AUC = 0.82, p = 0.022). Patients with SLE that were admitted to the ICU with gram-negative infections, sepsis, or an APACHE II score of 27 and above have a higher mortality rate and thus should be promptly identified and treated accordingly.

Cytomegaloviral or Pneumocystis Jiroveci Pneumonia Increases Mortality in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Patients with Pulmonary Hemorrhage: Evidence from Bronchoalveolar Lavage Fluid

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the role of cytomegaloviral or Pneumocystis jiroveci pneumonia (CMV/PJP) in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients with pulmonary hemorrhage (PH).

METHODS

We retrospectively examined hospital records for 27 SLE patients with PH who received bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) analyses. Clinical profile and mortality rates were compared between groups with and without CMV/PJP. Risk factors for PH-related mortality were analyzed.

RESULTS

Among 27 SLE patients with PH, 15 had pathogens from BALF samples, and 8 had CMV/PJP. Although CMV/PJP was treated, the RR for 90- and 180-day mortality rates of SLE patients with CMV/PJP were higher than those without these infections (5.94, 95% CI 1.44-24.48; 7.13, 95% CI 1.81-28.06, respectively). Risk factors for 90- and 180-day mortality were presence of CMV/PJP (OR 14.2, 95% CI 1.83-109.9; OR 25.5, 95% CI 2.91-223.3, respectively) and use of pulse methylprednisolone for PH treatment (OR 12.0, 95% CI 1.48-97.2; OR 8.5, 95% CI 1.13-63.9, respectively). Factors increasing the 90-day mortality rate were duration of mechanical ventilation exceeding 14 days (OR 11.1, 95% CI 1.11-112.0) and use of aggressive immunosuppression close to PH onset (OR 7.56, 95% CI 1.09-52.4). Three of the 7 patients receiving aggressive immunosuppression died with the presence of CMV/PJP.

CONCLUSION

Owing to the high prevalence of CMV/PJP and its association with mortality, routine BALF analysis is recommended for all suitable SLE patients with PH. Use of aggressive immunosuppression does not benefit SLE patients with opportunistic infections during PH attack.

Patients with systemic rheumatic diseases admitted to the intensive care unit: what the rheumatologist needs to know

Patients with systemic rheumatic diseases (SRDs) may require admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) throughout the course of their disease. Therefore, the rheumatologist needs an understanding of the factors which may influence the course of patients with SRDs who are admitted to ICU. These include the causes for admission, patient characteristics including comorbidities and drug therapies, outcome (in-ICU mortality and causes of death), and prognostic factors. Infections and exacerbation/complications of SRDs are the most common (and potentially reversible) reasons for both admission and death on ICU. Mortality in patients with SRDs admitted to ICU has been reported to be either no different or higher than 'general' ICU patients. Reported prognostic factors included patient and disease characteristics, as well as ICU factors, including scoring systems. Rheumatologists need to be aware of the factors surrounding admission of patients with SRDs to ICU, including the need for strong links with critical care medicine.