Predictive markers of chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer: comparison of biopsy specimens taken before and about 1 week after the start of chemoradiotherapy

p21 as a Predictor and Prognostic Indicator of Clinical Outcome in Rectal Cancer Patients

The cell cycle plays a key and complex role in the development of human cancers. p21 is a potent cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor (CDKI) involved in the promotion of cell cycle arrest and the regulation of cellular senescence. Altered p21 expression in rectal cancer cells may affect tumor cells' behavior and resistance to neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapy. Our study aimed to ascertain the relationship between the differential expression of p21 in rectal cancer and patient survival outcomes. Using tissue microarrays, 266 rectal cancer specimens were immunohistochemically stained for p21. The expression patterns were scored separately in cancer cells retrieved from the center and the periphery of the tumor; compared with clinicopathological data, tumor regression grade (TRG), disease-free, and overall survival. Negative p21 expression in tumor periphery cells was significantly associated with longer overall survival upon the univariate (p = 0.001) and multivariable analysis (p = 0.003, HR = 2.068). Negative p21 expression in tumor periphery cells was also associated with longer disease-free survival in the multivariable analysis (p = 0.040, HR = 1.769). Longer overall survival times also correlated with lower tumor grades (p= 0.011), the absence of vascular and perineural invasion (p = 0.001; p < 0.005), the absence of metastases (p < 0.005), and adjuvant treatment (p = 0.009). p21 expression is a potential predictive and prognostic biomarker for clinical outcomes in rectal cancer patients. Negative p21 expression in tumor periphery cells demonstrated significant association with longer overall survival and disease-free survival. Larger prospective studies are warranted to investigate the ability of p21 to identify rectal cancer patients who will benefit from neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapy.

Novel biomarkers to predict treatment response and prognosis in locally advanced rectal cancer undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE

To identify genes associated with treatment response and prognosis for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT).

METHODS

In our cohort, gene expression profiles of 64 tumor biopsy samples before NCRT were examined and generated. Weighted gene co-expression network analysis was performed to identify gene modules. External validation datasets included GSE3493, GSE119409, and GSE133057. The expression of candidate genes was evaluated using immunohistochemistry (IHC). TIMER was used to assess immune infiltration.

RESULTS

We identified and validated the capability to predict the treatment response of CCT5 and ELF1 using our data and external validation datasets. The trends of survival differences of candidate genes in the GSE133057 dataset were similar to our cohort. High levels of CCT5 and ELF1 expression were associated with NCRT resistance and poor prognosis. Furthermore, the expression of CCT5 and ELF1 were also assessed in 117 LARC patients' samples by the IHC method. Based on IHC results and Cox analysis, the risk score model with CCT5 and ELF1 was constructed and performed well. The risk score was an independent prognostic factor for progression-free survival and overall survival in LARC patients and was then used to build nomogram models. The underlying mechanisms of CCT5 and ELF1 were explored using gene set enrichment analysis. The underlying pathway including apoptosis, cell cycle, and other processes. CCT5 and ELF1 expressions were significantly correlated with immune cell infiltration.

CONCLUSION

CCT5 and ELF1 were determined as biomarkers for treatment response and prognosis in LARC patients. The risk score model and nomograms helped predict treatment response and survival outcomes for LARC patients undergoing NCRT.

Combination of Changes in CEA and CA199 Concentration After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Could Predict the Prognosis of Stage II/III Rectal Cancer Patients Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Followed by Total Mesorectal Excision

Background

Previous studies have shown that the levels of serum tumor markers CEA and CA19-9 were related to chemoradiotherapy. Therefore, it has been assumed that dynamic monitoring of these markers could predict the prognosis of stage II/III rectal cancer (RC). Therefore, this study proposed to evaluate the prognostic value of changes in serum tumor biomarkers for stage II/III RC patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) followed by total mesorectal excision (TME).

Methods

A total of 217 patients with stage II/III RC receiving NCRT followed by TME were retrospectively analyzed. Serum CEA and CA199 levels were measured within one week before NCRT and one week before TME. The optimal cut-off points of ∆CEA% and ∆CA199% for prognosis prediction were calculated by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis. Independent prognostic predictors were identified by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. To avoid the efficiency of ∆CEA% and ∆CA199% on serum tumor biomarker change (STBC) score, two models including and excluding ∆CEA% and ∆CA199% were established separately in multivariate analysis.

Results

The optimal cut-off point for ∆CEA% and ∆CA199% were −30.29% and 20.30%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that ∆CEA%, ∆CA199%, STBC score, ypT staging and yN staging could predict OS. ypT staging and STBC score could predict DFS. In multivariate analysis, only ∆CA199% (HR = 0.468, 95% CI: 0.220–0.994, p = 0.048), ypT staging (HR = 0.420, 95% CI: 0.182–0.970, p = 0.042), and STBC score (HR = 0.204, 95% CI: 0.078–0.532, p = 0.001) were independently related to OS; and STBC score (HR = 0.412, 95% CI: 0.216–0.785, p=0.007) and ypT staging (HR = 0.421, 95% CI: 0.224–0.792, p = 0.007) were independently related to DFS.

Conclusion

We established a combined STBC score to predict the prognosis of stage II/III RC patients receiving NCRT followed by TME. The predictive value of the combined score was stronger than a single marker alone and even stronger than several pathological indicators.

High-Dose-Rate Brachytherapy in the Management of Operable Rectal Cancer: A Systematic Review

PURPOSE

To evaluate the role of high-dose-rate endorectal brachytherapy (HDREBT) in the preoperative and definitive management of operable rectal cancer in terms of clinical outcomes and toxicities using a systematic review.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A review of published articles from January 1990 to December 2016 was conducted using the PubMed, Embase, and Scopus databases using the search terms "rectal" or "rectum" in combination with "brachytherapy," "high dose rate," "HDR," and "endorectal." Additional publications were identified by scanning references. Only studies published in English reporting clinical outcomes with ≥30 patients treated with HDREBT were included.

RESULTS

The search identified 1688 articles, of which 22 met our inclusion criteria. Twelve studies were included in this systematic review. Following preoperative HDREBT with chemoradiation therapy (CRT), the pathologic complete response (pCR) rate ranged between 18% and 31% (weighted mean rate, 22.2%); R0 resection rate, between 80% and 99% (weighted mean rate, 95.5%); and sphincter-preservation rate, between 29% and 54% (weighted mean rate, 46.4%). The weighted mean 2-year progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) rates were 68.1% and 81.5%, respectively. After preoperative HDREBT alone, the pCR rate ranged between 10.4% and 27% (weighted mean rate, 23.8%), the R0 rate was 96.5% (1 study), and the sphincter-preservation rate ranged between 53.8% and 75.8% (weighted mean rate, 59.4%). The weighted mean 5-year progression-free survival and OS rates were 66.6% and 70.8%, respectively. There was only 1 study of HDREBT for nonsurgical management of rectal cancer, which reported a 2-year OS rate of 100%.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative HDREBT either alone or in combination with CRT may result in a better pCR but may not necessarily translate into better survival, which is similar to outcomes seen following preoperative CRT alone. There were significant variations across studies in terms of patient selection, treatment approaches, and evaluation of clinical outcomes, suggesting the need for an international consensus on the dosimetric parameters and techniques of HDREBT, timing and methods of response assessment, definitions and assessment of toxicities, and optimal timing of surgery before further prospective studies. Future studies should include evaluation of the role of HDREBT in the nonsurgical curative treatment of screen-detected early cancers and organ preservation in lower rectal cancers.