Development and external validation of a nomogram for predicting the effect of tumor size on cancer-specific survival of resected gallbladder cancer: a population-based study

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting the impact of tumor size on cancer-specific survival of locally advanced renal cell carcinoma: a SEER-based study

This study was aimed to integrate tumor size with other prognostic factors into a prognostic nomogram to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) in locally advanced (≥pT3a Nany M0) renal cell carcinoma (RCC) patients. Based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, 10,800 patients diagnosed with locally advanced RCC were collected. They were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 7,056) and a validation cohort (n = 3,024). X-tile program was used to identify the optimal cut-off value of tumor size and age. The cut-off of age at diagnosis was 65 years old and 75 years old. The cut-off of tumor size was 54 mm and 119 mm. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed in the training cohort to identify independent prognostic factors for construction of nomogram. Then, the nomogram was used to predict the 1-, 3- and 5-year CSS. The performance of nomogram was evaluated by using concordance index (C-index), area under the Subject operating curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA). Moreover, the nomogram and tumor node metastasis (TNM) staging system (AJCC 8th edition) were compared. 10 variables were screened to develop the nomogram. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) indicated satisfactory ability of the nomogram. Compared with the AJCC 8th edition of TNM stage, DCA showed that the nomogram had improved performance. We developed and validated a nomogram for predicting the CSS of patients with locally advanced RCC, which was more precise than the AJCC 8th edition of TNM staging system.

Development and validation of an online dynamic prognostic nomogram for incidental gallbladder adenocarcinoma patients without distant metastasis after surgery: a population-based study

Background

Gallbladder cancer is the most common malignant tumor of the biliary system, most of which is adenocarcinoma. Our study explored developing and validating a nomogram to predict overall and cancer-specific survival probabilities internally and externally for incidental gallbladder adenocarcinoma patients without distant metastasis after surgery.

Methods

Patients screened and filtered in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, whose years of diagnosis between 2010 and 2015 were collected as a derivation cohort, while those between 2016 and 2019 were a temporal validation cohort. Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were chosen as the primary and secondary endpoints of the retrospective study cohort. Potential clinical variables were selected for a Cox regression model analysis by performing both-direction stepwise selection to confirm the final variables. The performance of final nomograms was evaluated by Harrell's C statistic and Brier score, with a graphical receptor operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve.

Results

Seven variables of age, race, tumor size, histologic grade, T stage, regional lymph nodes removed, and positive regional lymph nodes were finally determined for the OS nomogram; sex had also been added to the CSS nomogram. Novel dynamic nomograms were established to predict the prognosis of incidental gallbladder adenocarcinoma patients without distant metastasis after surgery. The ROC curve demonstrated good accuracy in predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS and CSS in both derivation and validation cohorts. Correspondingly, the calibration curve presented perfect reliability between the death or cancer-specific death probability and observed death or cancer-specific death proportion in both derivation and validation cohorts.

Conclusion

Our study established novel dynamic nomograms based on seven and eight clinical variables separately to predict OS and CSS of incidental gallbladder adenocarcinoma patients without distant metastasis after surgery, which might assist doctors in advising and guiding therapeutic strategies for postoperative gallbladder adenocarcinoma patients in the future.

Genetic characteristics and clinical-specific survival prediction in elderly patients with gallbladder cancer: a genetic and population-based study

Background

Biliary system cancers are most commonly gallbladder cancers (GBC). Elderly patients (≥ 65) were reported to suffer from an unfavorable prognosis. In this study, we analyzed the RNA-seq and clinical data of elderly GBC patients to derive the genetic characteristics and the survival-related nomograms.

Methods

RNA-seq data from 14 GBC cases were collected from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database, grouped by age, and subjected to gene differential and enrichment analysis. In addition, a Weighted Gene Co-expression Network Analysis (WGCNA) was performed to determine the gene sets associated with age grouping further to characterize the gene profile of elderly GBC patients. The database of Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) was searched for clinicopathological information regarding elderly GBC patients. Nomograms were constructed to predict the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of elderly GBC patients. The predictive accuracy and capability of nomograms were evaluated through the concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, time-dependent operating characteristic curves (ROC), as well as area under the curve (AUC). Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to check out the clinical application value of nomograms.

Results

Among the 14 patients with GBC, four were elderly, while the remaining ten were young. Analysis of gene differential and enrichment indicated that elderly GBC patients exhibited higher expression levels of cell cycle-related genes and lower expression levels of energy metabolism-related genes. Furthermore, the WGCNA analysis indicated that elderly GBC patients demonstrated a decrease in the expression of genes related to mitochondrial respiratory enzymes and an increase in the expression of cell cycle-related genes. 2131 elderly GBC patients were randomly allocated into the training cohort (70%) and validation cohort (30%). Our nomograms showed robust discriminative ability with a C-index of 0.717/0.747 for OS/CSS in the training cohort and 0.708/0.740 in the validation cohort. Additionally, calibration curves, AUCs, and DCA results suggested moderate predictive accuracy and superior clinical application value of our nomograms.

Conclusion

Discrepancies in cell cycle signaling and metabolic disorders, especially energy metabolism, were obviously observed between elderly and young GBC patients. In addition to being predictively accurate, the nomograms of elderly GBC patients also contributed to managing and strategizing clinical care.

Survival Predictors of Resectable Gallbladder Carcinoma: An Analysis of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database

Background

To analyze population-level data for resectable gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) according to the eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system.

Methods

We queried the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database to identify all patients aged 18 years or older with T1-3 M0 GBC diagnosed between 2004 and 2015. Multivariate cox hazard regression analysis was used to identify prognostic factors of cancer-specific survival (CSS).

Results

Of the 1601 eligible patients, 1310 (81.8%) underwent cholecystectomy only and 291 (18.2%) underwent an en bloc resection. Overall, 219 (13.7%) patients were in stage I, 400 (25%) were in stage II, 260 (16.2%) were in stage IIIA, 653 (40.8%) were in stage IIIB, and 69 (4.3%) were in stage IVB. The 5-year survival rates for patients were 82.7% for stage I, 73.4% for stage II, 31.9% for stage IIIA, 24.1% for stage IIIB, and 10% for stage IVB. Multivariate cox analysis indicated that predictors of decreased CSS included age at diagnosis >65 years, tumor size >3.2 cm, adenocarcinoma, increasing tumor spread, and lymph node involvement. Besides, chemotherapy and radiation were predictors of increased CSS.

Conclusions

Older age, increasing tumor size, adenocarcinoma, and advanced tumor/node stage were associated with a poorer prognosis after resection for GBC. Furthermore, patients with resectable GBC can benefit from adjuvant therapy.

Knockdown of circSMAD2 inhibits the tumorigenesis of gallbladder cancer through binding with eIF4A3

Background

Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is the seventh most common gastrointestinal cancer worldwide. This study aimed to investigate the function of circSMAD2 in GBC.

Methods

To investigate the function of circSMAD2 in GBC, the level of circSMAD2 in GBC cells was detected by RT-qPCR. CCK-8 assay was performed to investigate the cell viability. Cell apoptosis was tested by flow cytometry. In addition, transwell assay was used to detect the cell migration and invasion. RIP and RNA pull-down were used to explore the relation among circSMAD2, eIF4A3 and SMAD2. Meanwhile, xenograft mice model was established to investigate the function of circSMAD2 in GBC.

Results

The data revealed that circSMAD2 was upregulated in GBC, and circSMAD2 knockdown significantly inhibited the viability of GBC cells. In addition, circSMAD2 siRNA notably induced the apoptosis in GBC cells. The migration and invasion of GBC cells were obviously suppressed in the presence of circSMAD2 siRNA. Meanwhile, circSMAD2 suppressed the binding between eukaryotic translation initiation factor 4A3 (eIF4A3) and SMAD2 through binding with eIF4A3. Knockdown of circSMAD2 notably inhibited the expression of SMAD2 in GBC cells, and SMAD2 overexpression partially reversed the anti-tumor effect of circSMAD2 knockdown. Finally, circSMAD2 siRNA significantly inhibited the tumor growth of GBC in vivo.

Conclusion

Knockdown of circSMAD2 inhibits the tumorigenesis of gallbladder cancer through binding with eIF4A3. Thus, our study provided a new strategy for the treatment of GBC.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-08895-1.