Dynamics of a Class of HIV Infection Models with Cure of Infected Cells in Eclipse Stage

Multiple cohort study of hospitalized SARS-CoV-2 in-host infection dynamics: Parameter estimates, identifiability, sensitivity and the eclipse phase profile

Within-host SARS-CoV-2 modelling studies have been published throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. These studies contain highly variable numbers of individuals and capture varying timescales of pathogen dynamics; some studies capture the time of disease onset, the peak viral load and subsequent heterogeneity in clearance dynamics across individuals, while others capture late-time post-peak dynamics. In this study, we curate multiple previously published SARS-CoV-2 viral load data sets, fit these data with a consistent modelling approach, and estimate the variability of in-host parameters including the basic reproduction number, R0, as well as the best-fit eclipse phase profile. We find that fitted dynamics can be highly variable across data sets, and highly variable within data sets, particularly when key components of the dynamic trajectories (e.g. peak viral load) are not represented in the data. Further, we investigated the role of the eclipse phase time distribution in fitting SARS-CoV-2 viral load data. By varying the shape parameter of an Erlang distribution, we demonstrate that models with either no eclipse phase, or with an exponentially-distributed eclipse phase, offer significantly worse fits to these data, whereas models with less dispersion around the mean eclipse time (shape parameter two or more) offered the best fits to the available data across all data sets used in this work. This manuscript was submitted as part of a theme issue on "Modelling COVID-19 and Preparedness for Future Pandemics".

Mathematical Modeling and Analysis of the Dynamics of RNA Viruses in Presence of Immunity and Treatment: A Case Study of SARS-CoV-2

The emergence of novel RNA viruses like SARS-CoV-2 poses a greater threat to human health. Thus, the main objective of this article is to develop a new mathematical model with a view to better understand the evolutionary behavior of such viruses inside the human body and to determine control strategies to deal with this type of threat. The developed model takes into account two modes of transmission and both classes of infected cells that are latently infected cells and actively infected cells that produce virus particles. The cure of infected cells in latent period as well as the lytic and non-lytic immune response are considered into the model. We first show that the developed model is well-posed from the biological point of view by proving the non-negativity and boundedness of model's solutions. Our analytical results show that the dynamical behavior of the model is fully determined by two threshold parameters one for viral infection and the other for humoral immunity. The effect of antiviral treatment is also investigated. Furthermore, numerical simulations are presented in order to illustrate our analytical results.

Modeling the dynamics of viral infections in presence of latently infected cells

The study aims to develop a new mathematical model in order to explain the dynamics of viral infections in vivo such as HIV infection. The model includes three classes of cells, takes into account the cure of infected cells in latent period and also incorporates three modes of transmission. The mention modes are modeled by three general incidence functions covering several special cases available in the literature. The basic properties of the model as well as its stability analysis have been carried out rigorously. Further, an application is given and also numerical simulation results have been incorporated supporting the analytical results.

Global dynamics of a multi-strain SEIR epidemic model with general incidence rates: application to COVID-19 pandemic

This paper investigates the global stability analysis of two-strain epidemic model with two general incidence rates. The problem is modelled by a system of six nonlinear ordinary differential equations describing the evolution of susceptible, exposed, infected and removed individuals. The wellposedness of the suggested model is established in terms of existence, positivity and boundedness of solutions. Four equilibrium points are given, namely the disease-free equilibrium, the endemic equilibrium with respect to strain 1, the endemic equilibrium with respect to strain 2, and the last endemic equilibrium with respect to both strains. By constructing suitable Lyapunov functional, the global stability of the disease-free equilibrium is proved depending on the basic reproduction number R 0 . Furthermore, using other appropriate Lyapunov functionals, the global stability results of the endemic equilibria are established depending on the strain 1 reproduction number R 0 1 and the strain 2 reproduction number R 0 2 . Numerical simulations are performed in order to confirm the different theoretical results. It was observed that the model with a generalized incidence functions encompasses a large number of models with classical incidence functions and it gives a significant wide view about the equilibria stability. Numerical comparison between the model results and COVID-19 clinical data was conducted. Good fit of the model to the real clinical data was remarked. The impact of the quarantine strategy on controlling the infection spread is discussed. The generalization of the problem to a more complex compartmental model is illustrated at the end of this paper.

Stability of a CD4+ T cell viral infection model with diffusion

This paper is devoted to the study of the stability of a CD[Formula: see text] T cell viral infection model with diffusion. First, we discuss the well-posedness of the model and the existence of endemic equilibrium. Second, by analyzing the roots of the characteristic equation, we establish the local stability of the virus-free equilibrium. Furthermore, by constructing suitable Lyapunov functions, we show that the virus-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if the threshold value [Formula: see text]; the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]. Finally, we give an application and numerical simulations to illustrate the main results.

Global dynamics of an age-structured viral infection model with general incidence function and absorption

In this paper, we propose an age-structured viral infection model with general incidence function that takes account of the loss of viral particles due to their absorption into susceptible cells. The proposed model is described by partial differential and ordinary differential equations. We first show that the model is mathematically and biologically well-posed. Furthermore, the uniform persistence and the global behavior of the model are investigated. Moreover, the age-structured models and results presented in many previous studies are improved and generalized.