Prognostic factors affecting the natural history of node-negative breast cancer

Prognostic significance of pretreatment 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography in patients with T2N1 hormone receptor-positive, ERBB2-negative breast cancer who underwent adjuvant chemotherapy

PURPOSE

To determine whether tumor uptake of ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose (¹⁸F-FDG) is associated with invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) in patients with hormone receptor (HR)-positive ERBB2-negative early-stage breast cancer treated with adjuvant chemotherapy.

METHODS

This is a single-center cohort study of women with breast cancer who underwent surgery between 2008 and 2015 at Asan Medical Center, Seoul, Korea. Patients were enrolled if they were diagnosed with HR-positive ERBB2-negative breast cancer with histology of invasive ductal carcinoma, had an American Joint Committee on Cancer pathologic tumor stage of T2N1 with 1-3 positive axillary nodes, underwent preoperative ¹⁸F-FDG positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT), and underwent breast cancer surgery followed by anthracycline- or taxane-based adjuvant chemotherapy. The primary outcome measure was IDFS. The maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) was dichotomized using a predefined cut-off of 4.14.

RESULTS

A total of 129 patients were included. The median follow-up period for IDFS in those without recurrence was 82 months (interquartile range, 65-106). Multivariable Cox analysis showed that SUVmax was independently associated with IDFS [adjusted hazard ratio 2.49; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.06-5.84]. Ten-year IDFS estimates via the Kaplan-Meier method were 0.60 (95% CI, 0.42-0.74) and 0.82 (95% CI, 0.65-0.91) for high and low SUVmax groups, respectively. The overall association between SUVmax and IDFS appeared to be consistent across subgroups divided according to age, progesterone receptor status, histologic grade, or presence of lymphovascular invasion.

CONCLUSION

High SUVmax on preoperative ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT was independently associated with reduced long-term IDFS in T2N1 HR-positive ERBB2-negative breast cancer patients who underwent adjuvant chemotherapy.

Association between tumor 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose metabolism and survival in women with estrogen receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer

We examined whether ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose metabolism is associated with distant relapse-free survival (DRFS) and overall survival (OS) in women with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer. This was a cohort study examining the risk factors for survival that had occurred at the start of the study. A cohort from Asan Medical Center, Korea, recruited between November 2007 and December 2014, was included. Patients received anthracycline-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy. The maximum standardized uptake value (SUV) of ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) was measured. The analysis included 466 women. The median (interquartile range) follow-up period without distant metastasis or death was 6.2 (5.3-7.6) years. Multivariable analysis of hazard ratio (95% confidence interval [CI]) showed that the middle and high tertiles of SUV were prognostic for DRFS (2.93, 95% CI 1.62-5.30; P < 0.001) and OS (4.87, 95% CI 1.94-12.26; P < 0.001). The 8-year DRFS rates were 90.7% (95% CI 85.5-96.1%) for those in the low tertile of maximum SUV vs. 73.7% (95% CI 68.0-79.8%) for those in the middle and high tertiles of maximum SUV. ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT may assess the risk of distant metastasis and death in ER-positive, HER2-negative patients.

The Survival Effect of Chest Wall With or Without Regional Lymphatic Radiotherapy for Breast Cancer Patients With T3~4N0M0

Background

Peripheral lymphatic radiotherapy in patients with pT3N0M0 and pT4N0M0 breast cancer has been a matter of considerable debate among radiation oncologists. This is the first report in a non-Caucasian population.

Patients and Methods

The study included 165 pT3N0M0 and pT4N0M0 patients. Univariate, multivariate, propensity score matching (PSM), and Kaplan-Meier analyses were conducted to evaluate the survival of patients. We also review all the literature about regional lymph nodes radiation in T3-4N0M0 patients and summarize them with tables to compare with the present study.

Results

The median follow-up duration was 58.7 months. Multivariate analyses showed that advance T stage and grade were dependent poor prognostic factors for OS, DMFS, LRFS, and DFS between group A (chest wall radiation) and group B (chest wall and regional lymph nodes radiation). The overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), local relapse-free survival (LRFS), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) rates were not significantly different between group A and group B. The 5-year OS rate was 92.3% vs 89.7% for group A and group B, respectively (P=0.819). The 5-year LRFS rate was 94.9% vs 94.3% for group A and group B, respectively (P=0.852). Fifty-four pairs of patients were selected after propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was conducted. There was also no significant difference between group A and group B in regard to the OS, DFS, LRFS, and DMFS rates after PSM. The patients included in previous studies were all Caucasians, and our study was focused on non-Caucasians. The cases of previous studies were 10 to 20 years ago, but our study has more recent cases. The radiotherapy techniques of previous studies were conventional, and the techniques used in our study were three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (3DCRT) or intensity modulated radiotherapy (IMRT).

Conclusion

Both our study and previous studies suggested that regional lymph nodes radiation cannot improve the survival rate for breast cancer patients with T3-4N0M0 in non-Caucasian population. Advance T stage and grade were the dependent poor prognostic factors for T3-4N0M0 patients.

Prognostic validation and therapeutic decision-making of the AJCC eighth pathological prognostic staging for T3N0 breast cancer after mastectomy

BACKGROUND

T3N0 breast cancer might be a distinct clinical and biological entity, with higher heterogeneity and presenting diverse responses to locoregional and systemic therapy. The aim of the current study was to validate the prognostic effect and assess the treatment decision-making of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) eighth pathological prognostic staging in T3N0 breast cancer after mastectomy.

METHODS

We retrospectively included 2465 patients with stage T3N0 breast cancer who had undergone mastectomy between 2010 and 2014 using the data from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. The primary endpoint of this study was breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS).

RESULTS

Of the entire cohort, 76.0% of patients in the seventh AJCC staging system were restaged to the eighth AJCC pathological prognostic staging system. A total of 1431 (58.1%) and 1175 (47.7%) of them received chemotherapy and postmastectomy radiotherapy (PMRT), respectively. Pathological staging was an independent prognostic factor for BCSS. Using pathological prognostic stage IA as the reference, BCSS gradually became worse with increased hazard ratios. The 5-years BCSS was 96.9%, 95.5%, 91.1%, 85.6%, and 75.5% in pathological prognostic stage IA, IB, IIA, IIB, and IIIA breast cancers, respectively (P < .001). In pathological prognostic stage IA, IB, and IIA breast cancers, the receipt of PMRT or chemotherapy was not correlated with better BCSS. However, PMRT was correlated with better BCSS in pathological prognostic stage IIB disease (P = .006), but not in pathological prognostic IIIA disease. Moreover, chemotherapy was correlated with better BCSS in pathological prognostic stage IIIA disease (P = .006), but not in pathological prognostic stage IIB disease.

CONCLUSIONS

The eighth AJCC pathological prognostic staging system provides more risk stratification of T3N0 breast cancers after mastectomy and might affect individualized decision-making for chemotherapy and PMRT in this patient subset.

Identification of Distinct Prognostic Groups: Implications for Patient Selection to Targeted Therapies Among Anti-Endocrine Therapy–Resistant Early Breast Cancers

PURPOSE

Hormone receptor–positive breast cancer remains an ongoing therapeutic challenge, despite optimal anti-endocrine therapies. In this study, we assessed the prognostic ability of genomic signatures to identify patients at risk for recurrence after endocrine therapy. Analysis was performed on the basis of an a priori hypothesis related to molecular pathways, which might predict response to existing targeted therapies.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A subset of patients from the Tamoxifen Versus Exemestane Adjuvant Multinational trial ( ClinicalTrials.gov identifiers: NCT00279448 and NCT00032136, and NCT00036270) pathology cohort were analyzed to determine the prognostic ability of mutational and copy number aberration biomarkers that represent the cyclin D/cyclin-dependent kinase (CCND/CDK), fibroblast growth factor receptor/fibroblast growth factor (FGFR/FGF), and phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase/protein kinase B (PI3K/ATK) pathways to inform the potential choice of additional therapies to standard endocrine treatment. Copy number analysis and targeted sequencing was performed. Pathways were identified as aberrant if there were copy number aberrations and/or mutations in any of the predetermined pathway genes: CCND1/CCND2/CCND3/CDK4/CDK6, FGFR1/FGFR2/FGFR2/FGFR4, and AKT1/AKT2/PIK3CA/PTEN.

RESULTS

The 390 of 420 samples that passed quality control were analyzed for distant metastasis–free survival between groups. Patients with no changes in the CCND/CDK pathway experienced a better distant metastasis–free survival (hazard ratio, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.45 to 2.61; P < .001) than those who possessed aberrations. In the FGFR/FGF and PI3K/AKT pathways, a similar outcome was observed (hazard ratio, 1.43 [95% CI, 1.07 to 1.92; P = .017] and 1.34 [95% CI, 1.00 to 1.81; P = .053], respectively).

CONCLUSION

We show that aberrations of genes in these pathways are independently linked to a higher risk of relapse after endocrine treatment. Improvement of the clinical management of early breast cancers could be made by identifying those for whom current endocrine therapies are sufficient, thus reducing unnecessary treatment, and secondly, by identifying those who are at high risk for recurrence and linking molecular features that drive these cancers to treatment with targeted therapies.

Role of Patient and Disease Factors in Adjuvant Systemic Therapy Decision Making for Early-Stage, Operable Breast Cancer: Update of the ASCO Endorsement of the Cancer Care Ontario Guideline

PURPOSE

To update the American Society of Clinical Oncology endorsement of the Cancer Care Ontario recommendations on the Role of Patient and Disease Factors in Adjuvant Systemic Therapy Decision Making for Early-Stage, Operable Breast Cancer.

METHODS

Two phase III trials—the Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx) in women with hormone receptor–positive, node-negative tumors and the Microarray in Node-Negative and 1 to 3 Positive Lymph Node Disease May Avoid Chemotherapy (MINDACT) trial—provided the evidence for this update.

UPDATED RECOMMENDATIONS

Shared decision making between clinicians and patients is appropriate for adjuvant systemic therapy for breast cancer. For patients older than age 50 years and whose tumors have Onco type DX recurrence scores less than 26, and for patients age 50 years or younger whose tumors have Onco type DX recurrence scores less than 16, there is little to no benefit from chemotherapy. Clinicians may offer endocrine therapy alone for these patients. For patients age 50 years or younger with recurrence scores of 16 to 25, clinicians may offer chemoendocrine therapy. Patients with recurrence scores greater than 30 should be considered candidates for chemoendocrine therapy. Based on informal consensus, the Panel recommends that oncologists may offer chemoendocrine therapy to patients with Onco type DX scores of 26 to 30. The MammaPrint assay could be used to guide decisions on withholding adjuvant systemic chemotherapy in patients with hormone receptor–positive lymph node–negative breast cancer and in select patients with lymph node–positive cancers. In both patients with node-positive and node-negative disease, evidence of clinical utility of the MammaPrint assay was only apparent in those determined to be at high clinical risk; the Panel thus did not recommend use of MammaPrint assay in patients determined to be at low clinical risk. Remaining recommendations from the 2016 ASCO guideline endorsement are unchanged. Additional information is available at www.asco.org/breast-cancer-guidelines .

Correlation between minimum apparent diffusion coefficient values and the histological grade of breast invasive ductal carcinoma

The present study aimed to investigate the correlation between the minimum apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC_min) value and the histological grade of breast invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC). In total, 129 pathologically verified lesions that were subjected to dynamic breast magnetic resonance imaging and diffusion weighted imaging prior to biopsy were included. The ADC_min value was calculated and its correlation with the tumor histological grade was investigated. Tumors of lower grades demonstrated significantly higher ADC_min values as compared with tumors of higher grades (F=33.49; P<0.01). The mean ADC_min values for IDC of grades I, II and III were (1.14±0.11)×10^-3, (0.99±0.12)×10^-3 and (0.86±0.13)×10^-3 mm²/sec, respectively. Statistically significant differences were detected in the mean ADC_min value between tumors of grades II and III (P<0.01), as well as between tumors of grades I and II (P<0.01). In addition, the mean ADC_min values for the less aggressive (grades I and II) and more aggressive (grade III) groups were (1.01±0.13)×10^-3 and (0.86±0.13)×10^-3 mm²/sec, respectively (t=5.76, P<0.01). In conclusion, these data indicated that the ADC_min value was correlated with the IDC histological grade, and lower ADC_min values were associated with a higher histological grade and more aggressiveness. Thus, the ADC_min value may be considered as a promising prognostic parameter in identifying tumor aggressiveness.

Identifying accessible prognostic factors for breast cancer relapse: a case-study on 405 histologically confirmed node-negative patients

BACKGROUND

Histologically, node-negative breast cancer generally have a good prognosis. However, 10 to 30% of the cases present local relapses or metastasis. This group of people has high chances of remission if detected early. The aim of this study is to identify financial affordability for developing countries to adjust treatment.

METHODS

We selected 405 patients with histologically confirmed node-negative breast cancer in our institution between January 2001 and December 2003. Patients with metastasis were excluded. The statistical analysis was conducted using SPSS ver. 18 (SPSS, Inc., Chicago, Illinois).

RESULTS

The medial age was 51 years old. The medial tumor size was 35.4 mm. Clinically, 67.2% of the patients were staged cT2 and 63.2%, cN1i. Breast conservation was achieved in 41% of cases. In the histologic examination, the medial size was 30 mm. Grade III tumors were found in 50.1% of patients and positive hormonal receptors in 53.4%. The mean number of lymph nodes was 14. Eight patients had neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Adjuvant locoregional radiation and adjuvant chemotherapy were prescribed respectively in 70.6 and 64.4% of cases. 59.7% had adjuvant hormonal therapy. The follow-up showed 17.7% cases of relapse either locally or in a metastatic way in a mean time of 57.4 months. The disease-free survival at 5 years was 82.1%, and the overall survival for the same period was 91.5%. The histologic tumor size and the grade and number of lymph node dissected were shown to be influencing the disease-free survival. Radiation therapy and hormone therapy showed improved disease-free survival and overall survival.

CONCLUSION

Our study found interesting results that may help personalize the treatment especially for patient living in underdeveloped countries, but further studies are needed to evaluate those and more accessible prognostic factors for a more accessible healthcare.

Genome and transcriptome delineation of two major oncogenic pathways governing invasive ductal breast cancer development

Invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) is a major histo-morphologic type of breast cancer. Histological grading (HG) of IDC is widely adopted by oncologists as a prognostic factor. However, HG evaluation is highly subjective with only 50%-85% inter-observer agreements. Specifically, the subjectivity in the assignment of the intermediate grade (histologic grade 2, HG2) breast cancers (comprising ~50% of IDC cases) results in uncertain disease outcome prediction and sub-optimal systemic therapy. Despite several attempts to identify the mechanisms underlying the HG classification, their molecular bases are poorly understood.We performed integrative bioinformatics analysis of TCGA and several other cohorts (total 1246 patients). We identified a 22-gene tumor aggressiveness grading classifier (22g-TAG) that reflects global bifurcation in the IDC transcriptomes and reclassified patients with HG2 tumors into two genetically and clinically distinct subclasses: histological grade 1-like (HG1-like) and histological grade 3-like (HG3-like). The expression profiles and clinical outcomes of these subclasses were similar to the HG1 and HG3 tumors, respectively. We further reclassified IDC into low genetic grade (LGG = HG1+HG1-like) and high genetic grade (HGG = HG3-like+HG3) subclasses. For the HG1-like and HG3-like IDCs we found subclass-specific DNA alterations, somatic mutations, oncogenic pathways, cell cycle/mitosis and stem cell-like expression signatures that discriminate between these tumors. We found similar molecular patterns in the LGG and HGG tumor classes respectively.Our results suggest the existence of two genetically-predefined IDC classes, LGG and HGG, driven by distinct oncogenic pathways. They provide novel prognostic and therapeutic biomarkers and could open unique opportunities for personalized systemic therapies of IDC patients.

Role of Patient and Disease Factors in Adjuvant Systemic Therapy Decision Making for Early-Stage, Operable Breast Cancer: American Society of Clinical Oncology Endorsement of Cancer Care Ontario Guideline Recommendations

Purpose

An American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) panel considered the Cancer Care Ontario (CCO) recommendations on the role of patient and disease factors in selecting adjuvant therapy for women with early-stage breast cancer for endorsement.

Methods

ASCO staff reviewed the CCO guideline for methodologic rigor, and an ASCO panel of content experts reviewed the content of the recommendations.

CCO Recommendations

For making decisions regarding adjuvant therapy, nodal status, tumor size, estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PgR), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status, tumor grade, and lymphovascular invasion are relevant; Oncotype DX score and Adjuvant! Online may be used as risk stratification tools; and age, menopausal status, and medical comorbidities should be considered. Chemotherapy should be considered for patients with positive lymph nodes, ER-negative disease, HER2-positive disease, Adjuvant! Online mortality greater than 10%, grade 3 lymph node–negative tumors (T > 5 mm), triple-negative (ER-negative, PgR-negative, HER2-negative) tumors, lymphovascular invasion positivity, or estimated distant relapse risk of greater than 15% at 10 years based on Oncotype DX recurrence score (RS). Chemotherapy may not be beneficial or required for small node-negative tumors (T < 5 mm) without high-risk features or for patients with HER2-negative, strongly ER-positive, and PgR-positive cancer with micrometastatic nodal disease, T less than 5 mm, or Oncotype DX RS with an estimated distant relapse risk of less than 15% at 10 years.

ASCO Panel Conclusion

The ASCO panel endorses the recommendations with minor suggested revisions and highlights three areas that warrant further consideration: tumor histology and adjuvant therapy recommendations, risk stratification tools and proposed Oncotype DX RS thresholds to guide decisions about chemotherapy, and patient factors in decision making.

Optimal systemic therapy for early breast cancer in women: a clinical practice guideline

The Breast Cancer Disease Site Group of Cancer Care Ontario identified the need for new guidelines for the adjuvant systemic therapy of early-stage breast cancer. The specific question to be addressed was "What is the optimal adjuvant systemic therapy for female patients with early-stage operable breast cancer, when patient and disease factors are considered?" A systematic review was prepared based on literature searches conducted using the medline and embase databases for the period January 2008 to March 5, 2012, and updated to May 12, 2014. Guidelines were located from that search, from the Standards and Guidelines Evidence directory of cancer guidelines, and from the Web sites of major guideline organizations. The literature located was subdivided into the broad categories of chemotherapy, hormonal therapy, and therapy targeted to her2 (human epidermal growth factor receptor 2). Although several of the systemic therapies discussed in this guideline can be considered in the neoadjuvant setting, the review focused on trials with rates of disease-free and overall survival as endpoints and thus excluded several trials that used pathologic complete response as a primary endpoint. Based on the systematic review, the working group drafted recommendations on the use of chemotherapy, hormonal therapy, and targeted therapy; based on their professional experience, they also drafted recommendations on patient and disease characteristics and recurrence risk. The literature review and draft recommendations were circulated to a consensus panel of medical oncologists who had expertise in breast cancer and who represented the regions of Ontario. Items without initial consensus were discussed at an in-person consensus meeting held in Toronto, November 23, 2012. The final recommendations are those for which consensus was reached before or at the meeting. Some of the key evidence was revised after the updated literature search. Evidence reviews for systemic chemotherapy, endocrine therapy, and targeted therapy for her2-positive disease are reported in separate articles in this supplement. The full three-part 1-21 evidence-based series, including complete details of the development and consensus processes, can be found on the Cancer Care Ontario Web site at https://www.cancercare.on.ca/toolbox/qualityguidelines/diseasesite/breast-ebs.

Competing risks of death in younger and older postmenopausal breast cancer patients

AIM: To show a new paradigm of simultaneously testing whether breast cancer therapies impact other causes of death.

METHODS: MA.14 allocated 667 postmenopausal women to 5 years of tamoxifen 20 mg/daily ± 2 years of octreotide 90 mg, given by depot intramuscular injections monthly. Event-free survival was the primary endpoint of MA.14; at median 7.9 years, the tamoxifen+octreotide and tamoxifen arms had similar event-free survival (P = 0.62). Overall survival was a secondary endpoint, and the two trial arms also had similar overall survival (P = 0.86). We used the median 9.8 years follow-up to examine by intention-to-treat, the multivariate time-to-breast cancer-specific (BrCa) and other cause (OC) mortality with log-normal survival analysis adjusted by treatment and stratification factors. We tested whether baseline factors including Insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF1), IGF binding protein-3, C-peptide, body mass index, and 25-hydroxy vitamin D were associated with (1) all cause mortality, and if so and (2) cause-specific mortality. We also fit step-wise forward cause-specific adjusted models.

RESULTS: The analyses were performed on 329 patients allocated tamoxifen and 329 allocated tamoxifen+octreotide. The median age of MA.14 patients was 60.1 years: 447 (82%) < 70 years and 120 (18%) ≥ 70 years. There were 170 deaths: 106 (62.3%) BrCa; 55 (32.4%) OC, of which 24 were other malignancies, 31 other causes of death; 9 (5.3%) patients with unknown cause of death were excluded from competing risk assessments. BrCa and OC deaths were not significantly different by treatment arm (P = 0.40): tamoxifen patients experienced 50 BrCa and 32 OC deaths, while tamoxifen + octreotide patients experienced 56 BrCa and 23 OC deaths. Proportionately more deaths (P = 0.004) were from BrCa for patients < 70 years, where 70% of deaths were due to BrCa, compared to 54% for those ≥ 70 years of age. The proportion of deaths from OC increased with increasing body mass index (BMI) (P = 0.02). Higher pathologic T and N were associated with more BrCa deaths (P < 0.0001 and 0.002, respectively). The cumulative hazard plot for BrCa and OC mortality indicated the concurrent accrual of both types of death throughout follow-up, that is the existence of competing risks of mortality. MA.14 therapy did not impact mortality (P = 0.77). Three baseline patient and tumor characteristics were differentially associated with cause of death: older patients experienced more OC (P = 0.01) mortality; patients with T1 tumors and hormone receptor positive tumors had less BrCa mortality (respectively, P = 0.01, P = 0.06). Additionally, step-wise cause-specific models indicated that patients with node negative disease experienced less BrCa mortality (P = 0.002); there was weak evidence that, lower C-peptide (P = 0.08) was associated with less BrCa mortality, while higher BMI (P = 0.01) was associated with worse OC mortality.

CONCLUSION: We demonstrate here a new paradigm of simultaneous testing of therapeutics directed at multiple diseases for which postmenopausal women are concurrently at risk. Octreotide LAR did not significantly impact breast cancer or other cause mortality, although different baseline factors influenced type of death.

Analysis of the potent prognostic factors in luminal-type breast cancer

Purpose

Luminal-type breast cancer has a good prognosis compared to other types, such as human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 and triple negative types. Luminal-type breast cancer is classified into luminal A and B, according to the proliferation index. We investigated the clinicopathological factors that affect the prognosis of the luminal-type subgroups.

Methods

We reviewed the medical records and the pathologic reports of 159 luminal-type breast cancer patients who were treated between February 2005 and November 2007. We divided luminal-type breast cancer into luminal A and B, according to Ki-67 (cutoff value, 14%) and analyzed the clinicopathologic factors, such as age at diagnosis, intensity score of estrogen receptor and progesterone receptor, histologic grade, and Bcl-2. Moreover, we compared the disease-free survival (DFS) of each group.

Results

In the univariate analysis, age (p=0.004), tumor size (p=0.010), lymph node metastasis (p=0.001), and Bcl-2 (p=0.002) were statistically significant factors in luminal-type breast cancer. In the multivariate analysis, lymph node (p=0.049) and Bcl-2 (p=0.034) were significant relevant factors in luminal-type breast cancer. In the subgroup analysis, the increased Bcl-2 (cutoff value, 33%) was related with a longer DFS in the luminal B group (p=0.004).

Conclusion

In our study, luminal A breast cancer showed a longer DFS than luminal B breast cancer, further, Bcl-2 may be a potent prognostic factor in luminal-type breast cancer.

Correlation of histologic grade with other clinicopathological parameters, intrinsic subtype, and patients' clinical outcome in Taiwanese women

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to reveal the relationships between histologic grade and other clinicopathologic parameters including intrinsic subtype in Taiwanese women with breast cancer.

METHODS

There were 1302 women diagnosed with breast cancer recruited for this study. Histologic grade was scored according to the Nottingham-modified Bloom-Richardson grading system.

RESULTS

Higher tumor grade was associated with larger tumor size (P = 0.021), a larger number of lymph node metastases (P = 0.001), advanced clinical stage (P = 0.010), higher human epithelial growth receptor-2 positivity (P < 0.001), negative estrogen receptor and progesterone receptor (P < 0.0001) status. Triple negative breast cancer (56.6%) and human epithelial growth receptor-2 (44.3%) subtypes were associated with more Grade III breast cancer in contrast to luminal A (22.3%) and B (29.9%) breast cancer. In multivariate Cox regression analysis for cancer-specific survival, histologic grade (hazard ratio = 1.78) was a significant prognostic factor.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that histologic grade is highly correlated with some valuable biomarkers and confirmed the significance of histologic grade in Taiwanese female breast cancers.

Triple negativity and young age as prognostic factors in lymph node-negative invasive ductal carcinoma of 1 cm or less

BACKGROUND

Whether a systemic adjuvant treatment is needed is an area of controversy in patients with node-negative early breast cancer with tumor size of ≤1 cm, including T1mic.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of clinical and pathology data of all consecutive patients with node-negative T1mic, T1a, and T1b invasive ductal carcinoma who received surgery between Jan 2000 and Dec 2006. The recurrence free survival (RFS) and risk factors for recurrence were identified.

RESULTS

Out of 3889 patients diagnosed with breast cancer, 375 patients were enrolled (T1mic:120, T1a:93, T1b:162). Median age at diagnosis was 49. After a median follow up of 60.8 months, 12 patients developed recurrences (T1mic:4 (3.3%), T1a:2 (2.2%), T1b:6 (3.7%)), with a five-year cumulative RFS rate of 97.2%. Distant recurrence was identified in three patients. Age younger than 35 years (HR 4.91; 95% CI 1.014-23.763, p = 0.048) and triple negative disease (HR 4.93; 95% CI 1.312-18.519, p = 0.018) were significantly associated with a higher rate of recurrence. HER2 overexpression, Ki-67, and p53 status did not affect RFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Prognosis of node-negative breast cancer with T1mic, T1a and T1b is excellent, but patients under 35 years of age or with triple negative disease have a relatively high risk of recurrence.

Indicators of homologous recombination deficiency in breast cancer and association with response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Tumors with homologous recombination deficiency (HRD), such as BRCA1-associated breast cancers, are not able to reliably repair DNA double-strand breaks (DSBs) and are therefore highly sensitive to both DSB-inducing chemotherapy and poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitors. We have studied markers that may indicate the presence of HRD in HER2-negative breast cancers and related them to neoadjuvant chemotherapy response.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Array comparative genomic hybridization (aCGH), BRCA1 promoter methylation, BRCA1 messenger RNA (mRNA) expression and EMSY amplification were assessed in 163 HER2-negative pretreatment biopsies from patients scheduled for neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

RESULTS

Features of BRCA1 dysfunction were frequent in triple-negative (TN) tumors: a BRCA1-like aCGH pattern, promoter methylation and reduced mRNA expression were observed in, respectively, 57%, 25% and 36% of the TN tumors. In ER+ tumors, a BRCA2-like aCGH pattern and the amplification of the BRCA2 inhibiting gene EMSY were frequently observed (43% and 13%, respectively) and this BRCA2-like profile was associated with a better response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Abnormalities associated with BRCA1 inactivation are present in about half of the TN breast cancers but were not predictive of chemotherapy response. In ER+/HER2- tumors, a BRCA2-like aCGH pattern was predictive of chemotherapy response. These findings should be confirmed in independent series.

Predictive model of outcome of targeted nodal assessment in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Improvement in staging accuracy is the principal aim of targeted nodal assessment in colorectal carcinoma. Technical factors independently predictive of false negative (FN) sentinel lymph node (SLN) mapping should be identified to facilitate operative decision making.

PURPOSE

To define independent predictors of FN SLN mapping and to develop a predictive model that could support surgical decisions.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data was analyzed from 2 completed prospective clinical trials involving 278 patients with colorectal carcinoma undergoing SLN mapping. Clinical outcome of interest was FN SLN(s), defined as one(s) with no apparent tumor cells in the presence of non-SLN metastases. To assess the independent predictive effect of a covariate for a nominal response (FN SLN), a logistic regression model was constructed and parameters estimated using maximum likelihood. A probabilistic Bayesian model was also trained and cross validated using 10-fold train-and-test sets to predict FN SLN mapping. Area under the curve (AUC) from receiver operating characteristics curves of these predictions was calculated to determine the predictive value of the model.

RESULTS

Number of SLNs (<3; P = 0.03) and tumor-replaced nodes (P < 0.01) independently predicted FN SLN. Cross validation of the model created with Bayesian Network Analysis effectively predicted FN SLN (area under the curve = 0.84-0.86). The positive and negative predictive values of the model are 83% and 97%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This study supports a minimum threshold of 3 nodes for targeted nodal assessment in colorectal cancer, and establishes sufficient basis to conclude that SLN mapping and biopsy cannot be justified in the presence of clinically apparent tumor-replaced nodes.

Midkine in plasma as a novel breast cancer marker

Midkine, a heparin-binding growth factor, is up-regulated in many types of cancer. The aim of this study was to measure plasma midkine levels in patients with breast cancer and to assess its clinical significance. We examined plasma midkine levels in 95 healthy volunteers, 11 patients with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS), 111 patients with primary invasive breast cancer without distant metastasis (PIBC), and 25 patients with distant metastatic breast cancer (MBC), using an automatic immunoasssay analyzer (TOSOH AIA system). In PIBC, we studied the correlation between plasma midkine levels and clinicopathological factors. Immunoreactive midkine was detectable in the plasma of healthy volunteers, and a cut-off level of 750 pg/mL was established. In breast cancer patients, plasma midkine levels were increased above normal values. These elevated levels of midkine were seen in one (9.1%) of 11 patients with DCIS, 36 (32.4%) of 111 patients with PIBC, and 16 (64.0%) of 25 patients with MBC. Increased levels of midkine were correlated with menopausal status (P = 0.0497) and nuclear grade (P = 0.0343) in PIBC. Cancer detection rates based on midkine levels were higher than those based on three conventional markers including CA15-3 (P < 0.0001), CEA (P = 0.0077), and NCCST-439 (P < 0.0001). Detection rates of breast cancer using a combination of two conventional tumor markers (CA15-3/CEA, CA15-3/NCCST-439, or CEA/NCCST-439) with midkine is significantly higher than those using combination of three conventional tumor markers. Midkine may be a useful novel tumor marker for detection of breast cancer, superior to conventional tumor markers.

Genomic grade index is associated with response to chemotherapy in patients with breast cancer

PURPOSE The genomic grade index (GGI) is a 97-gene measure of histological tumor grade. High GGI is associated with decreased relapse-free survival in patients receiving either endocrine or no systemic adjuvant therapy. Herein we examined whether GGI predicts pathologic response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with HER-2-normal breast cancer. METHODS Gene expression data (gene chips) was generated from fine-needle aspiration biopsies (n = 229) prospectively collected before neoadjuvant paclitaxel, fluorouracil, doxorubicin, and cyclophosphamide chemotherapy. Pathologic response was quantified using the residual cancer burden (RCB) method. The association between the GGI and pathologic response was assessed in univariate and multivariate analyses. The performance of a response predictor combining clinical variables and GGI was evaluated under cross-validation. Results Eighty-five percent of grade 1 tumors had low GGI, 89% of grade 3 tumors had high GGI, and 63% of grade 2 tumors had low GGI. Among both estrogen receptor (ER)-positive and -negative cancers, high GGI score was associated with pathologic complete response (RCB-0) or minimal residual disease (RCB-1). A multivariate model combining GGI and clinical parameters had an overall accuracy of 71%, compared with 58% for the GGI alone, for prediction of pathologic response. However, high GGI score was also associated with significantly worse distant relapse-free survival in patients with ER-positive cancer (P = .005), and was not associated with survival in patients with ER-negative cancer. CONCLUSION High GGI is associated with increased sensitivity to neoadjuvant paclitaxel plus fluorouracil, adriamycin, and cyclophosphamide chemotherapy in both ER-negative and ER-positive patients, but it remains a predictor of worse survival in ER-positive patients.

Post-mastectomy radiation in large node-negative breast tumors: does size really matter?

Treatment decisions regarding local control can be particularly challenging for T3N0 breast tumors because of difficulty in estimating rates of local failure after mastectomy. Reports in the literature detailing the rates of local failure vary widely, likely owing to the uncommon incidence of this clinical situation. The literature regarding this clinical scenario is reviewed, including recent reports that specifically address the issue of local failure rates after mastectomy in the absence of radiation for large node-negative breast tumors.

D2-40 in breast cancer: should we detect more vascular emboli?

Peritumoral emboli assessed on hematoxylin-eosin-stained slides are taken into account for treatment of patients with operable breast cancer. We assessed whether immunostaining with D2-40 improves the prognostic significance of emboli in a group of tumors with a large immunohistochemical sampling and a long-term follow-up. Topography, number, and extension of hematoxylin-eosin and D2-40 emboli were compared in 94 node-negative breast cancers (median number of immunostained slides per tumor: 3). Metastasis-free survival of patients with or without hematoxylin-eosin and/or D2-40 emboli were evaluated (median follow-up of 178 months). Hematoxylin-eosin emboli were detected in 14 (15%) tumors and were located at distance from the tumor. D2-40 emboli were detected in 39 (41%) tumors and was often multiple (n=30), extensive (n=23), located within (n=13), close to (n=10) or at distance from the tumor (n=16). The 12 distant hematoxylin-eosin and D2-40 emboli were located in the same vessels (seven missed at the first hematoxylin-eosin examination and secondarily diagnosed by D2-40 staining). A difference in metastasis-free survival was found only between patients with no D2-40 emboli and those with distant D2-40 emboli (P=0.02). D2-40 emboli located within or close to the tumor had no prognostic value. Comparing the metastasis-free survival of patients with or without hematoxylin-eosin emboli, the prognostically unfavorable significance of hematoxylin-eosin emboli was improved when taking into account the seven patients with missed emboli at the first examination and secondarily diagnosed by D2-40 staining (P=0.006 vs 0.003). To conclude, D2-40 increases the diagnostic sensitivity of emboli in breast carcinoma and the high incidence of D2-40 emboli might be related to the number of immunostained slides per case. Nevertheless, only distant D2-40+ emboli had a prognostic impact. In practice, D2-40 might be useful to detect missed hematoxylin-eosin emboli especially in cases without any other prognostically unfavorable criterion.

Prognostic value of a proliferation index including MIB1 and argyrophilic nucleolar organizer regions proteins in node-negative breast cancer

OBJECTIVE

This study was designed to evaluate a cell proliferation marker, including the percentage of cycling cells (MIB1), and the duration of the cell cycle (assessed by argyrophilic nucleolar organizer regions proteins [AgNORs] measurement).

STUDY DESIGN

We included 90 patients with invasive node-negative breast cancer. None received chemotherapy. With the help of a double-staining technique, a proliferation index (PI) was determined by multiplying the percentage of MIB1-positive cells by the mean area of the AgNORs present in those MIB1-positive cells. PI was evaluated for its impact on overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

We demonstrated that PI was correlated to OS. For DFS, it conserved its high prognostic value only in univariate analysis. The global amount of AgNORs was more discriminative for DFS.

CONCLUSION

PI and AgNOR quantification supplied additional prognosis information in node-negative patients, and we propose to integrate them in further studies.

Approaches in modelling long-term survival: an application to breast cancer

Several modelling techniques have been proposed for non-proportional hazards. In this work we consider different models which can be classified into three wide categories: models with time-varying effects of the covariates; frailty models and cure rate models. We present those different extensions of the proportional hazards model on an application of 2433 breast cancer patients with a long follow-up. We comment on the differences and similarities among the models and evaluate their performance using survival and hazard plots, Brier scores and pseudo-observations.

The role of postoperative radiotherapy in node negative breast cancer patients with pT3–T4 disease

AIMS

To evaluate the role of postmastectomy radiotherapy (PMRT) in patients with pT3-T4N0M0 breast cancer.

METHODS

156 patients with T3-T4N0M0 breast cancer were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

Locoregional recurrences were seen in 17 of 156 patients with a median time for development of 27 months (5.7-248.7 months). Two of 9 patients who were not treated with post-operative radiation therapy had locoregional recurrence as compared with 16 of 147 patients receiving radiotherapy. In multivariate analysis, presence of locoregional recurrence was the only significant prognostic factor for overall survival (18% vs. 86%, p<0.001, RR=9.05). The patients with a median number of dissected lymph nodes >or=10 had a significantly better locoregional disease free survival rate as compared with patients with dissected lymph nodes <10 (90% vs. 78%, p=0.04). Chest wall recurrences were clearly higher in patients without chest wall RT since 5 of 49 patients without RT had recurrences in the chest wall region while only 4 of 107 who received chest wall RT had recurrence. However receiving RT to peripherical lymphatic regions had no additional effect on reducing recurrences in these regions (5% vs. 4%).

CONCLUSIONS

Due to the lack of phase III randomized trials directly addressing the role of postmastectomy radiotherapy in these stages, our series suggest that postmastectomy radiotherapy to the ipsilateral chest wall is recommended for patients with PT3N0 and T4N0 breast cancer. The need for irradiating axillary or supraclavicular region shall be neglected in patients who undergo sufficient axillary sampling.

Evaluating the organization and delivery of breast cancer services: use of performance measures to identify knowledge gaps

OBJECTIVES

This paper identifies gaps in our knowledge about the quality of breast cancer care in Canada to understand where programs and resources are required to enhance health services and research capacity.

METHODS

A modified Delphi approach was employed involving a 15-member multidisciplinary panel of health professionals and two rounds of rating followed by deliberation to develop evidence- and consensus-based performance measures. A literature search for Canadian health services research in breast cancer was conducted based on the indicator topics. Eligible articles were identified in indexed databases of medical literature and funded research from 1995 to 2006.

RESULTS

The multidisciplinary panel selected 34 indicators spanning access to services, patient outcomes, diagnosis and staging, surgery, adjuvant therapy, pathology, and follow-up care. A total of 78 articles (66 quantitative; 12 exploratory) on these topics were reviewed. Apart from two aspects of care (communication of treatment options, supportive care), the yield of Canadian breast cancer health services research did not increase subsequent to a review conducted 10 years ago which recommended greater efforts in this area.

CONCLUSIONS

Research involving quantitative and qualitative methods is needed to increase our understanding about the organization and delivery of services for breast cancer diagnosis, treatment and follow-up care. Since it is unclear how to balance competing research demands, innovative strategies are required to assemble resources for health services research on breast cancer. This could include the promotion of partnerships between researchers and policy-makers across jurisdictions, and the pooling of resources between organizations, regions or networks.

Genetic reclassification of histologic grade delineates new clinical subtypes of breast cancer

Histologic grading of breast cancer defines morphologic subtypes informative of metastatic potential, although not without considerable interobserver disagreement and clinical heterogeneity particularly among the moderately differentiated grade 2 (G2) tumors. We posited that a gene expression signature capable of discerning tumors of grade 1 (G1) and grade 3 (G3) histology might provide a more objective measure of grade with prognostic benefit for patients with G2 disease. To this end, we studied the expression profiles of 347 primary invasive breast tumors analyzed on Affymetrix microarrays. Using class prediction algorithms, we identified 264 robust grade-associated markers, six of which could accurately classify G1 and G3 tumors, and separate G2 tumors into two highly discriminant classes (termed G2a and G2b genetic grades) with patient survival outcomes highly similar to those with G1 and G3 histology, respectively. Statistical analysis of conventional clinical variables further distinguished G2a and G2b subtypes from each other, but also from histologic G1 and G3 tumors. In multivariate analyses, genetic grade was consistently found to be an independent prognostic indicator of disease recurrence comparable with that of lymph node status and tumor size. When incorporated into the Nottingham prognostic index, genetic grade enhanced detection of patients with less harmful tumors, likely to benefit little from adjuvant therapy. Our findings show that a genetic grade signature can improve prognosis and therapeutic planning for breast cancer patients, and support the view that low- and high-grade disease, as defined genetically, reflect independent pathobiological entities rather than a continuum of cancer progression.

Sentinel Lymph Node Biopsy Alone Has No Adverse Impact on the Survival of Patients with Breast Cancer

We do not yet know the results from multicenter randomized trials comparing survival after sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) alone and axillary lymph node dissection (ALND). Therefore, in this study, the prognostic significance of the type of axillary surgery is analyzed in combination with other known prognostic factors in patients with breast cancer. In a series of 1325 consecutive patients with unilateral breast cancer who underwent SLNB between January 1999 and June 2004 at a single institution, 884 underwent SLNB alone following an intraoperative negative histologic investigation and 441 underwent ALND. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed to correlate with clinicopathologic features and treatment methods using both univariate and multivariate analyses Cox proportional hazard regression models. With a median follow-up period of 31 months, 29 (3.3%) and 37 (8.4%) patients relapsed after SLNB alone and ALND, respectively. Tumor size (Tis, T1-2 versus T3-4), histologic nodal involvement (negative versus positive), nuclear grade (NG) (1, 2 versus 3), lymphatic vessel invasion (LVI) (absent, weak versus intense), estrogen receptor (ER) status (positive versus negative), type of axillary surgery (SLNB alone versus ALND), type of breast surgery (partial versus total mastectomy), and radiation therapy (yes versus no) significantly correlated with DFS by univariate analysis, demonstrating better DFS in the former category than the latter for each variable. The multivariate analysis revealed that NG, LVI, ER status, and radiation therapy significantly correlated with DFS, and ER and histologic nodal involvement correlated with OS. As the type of axillary surgery had no impact on the prognosis of patients with breast cancer, a SLNB alone is safe as determined by a negative histologic investigation.

Biological Significance of Occult Micrometastases in Histologically Negative Axillary Lymph Nodes in Breast Cancer Patients Using the Recent American Joint Committee on Cancer Breast Cancer Staging System

The biological significance of occult metastases in axillary lymph nodes of breast cancer patients is controversial. The purpose of the study was to determine the prognostic significance of occult micrometastases using the current American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system in a cohort of women with node-negative breast cancer, of whom 5% received adjuvant systemic therapy and who all had long-term follow-up. We studied a cohort of 214 consecutive histologically node-negative breast cancer patients with a median follow-up of 8 years. Blocks of the axillary lymph nodes were assessed for occult micrometastases by examination of an additional hematoxylin-eosin-stained slide and by immunohistochemical staining using an antibody to low molecular weight keratin. Occult metastases were classified according to the sixth edition of the AJCC cancer staging manual. We examined the prognostic effects of occult micrometastases and other clinicopathologic features on recurrence outside the breast with disease-free interval (DFI) and survival from breast cancer with disease-specific survival (DSS). Cytokeratin-positive tumor cells were identified in the lymph nodes in 29 of 214 cases (14%). Two cases had isolated tumor cells and no cluster larger than 0.2 mm [pN0(i+)], whereas 27 of 214 (13%) had micrometastases (larger than 0.2 mm and <or=2.0 mm] (pN1mi). None of the cases had macrometastases. With median 8 years follow-up, occult micrometastases were not significantly associated with any of the clinicopathologic features. In addition, occult micrometastases were not significantly associated with DFI or DSS and thus were not included in the multivariate analysis. On multivariate analysis, lymphovascular invasion was significantly associated with DFI (p < 0.001) and DSS (p = 0.02), whereas percentage S-phase was significantly associated with DSS (p = 0.02). This study, in which 95% of patients did not receive adjuvant systemic therapy, suggests that breast cancer patients with occult micrometastases in axillary lymph nodes have a similar prognosis to those with no micrometastases. This information is important with regard to the practice of sentinel node biopsy and subsequent axillary node dissection and to the decision to administer adjuvant therapy based on detection of micrometastases in lymph nodes.

Ascertaining prognosis for breast cancer in node-negative patients with innovative survival analysis

Clinical decisions to administer adjuvant systemic therapy to women with early breast cancer require knowledge about baseline prognosis, which is only assessable in the absence of such adjuvant treatment, which most patients currently do receive. The Cox model is the standard tool for assessing the effect of prognostic factors; however, there may be substantive differences in the estimated prognosis obtained by the Cox model rather than a log-normal model. For more than 50 years, clinical breast cancer data for cohorts of patients have supported the choice of a log-normal model. The prognostic impact of model type is examined here for a cohort of breast cancer patients, only 7% of whom received adjuvant systemic therapy. We quantitated prognosis utilizing Kaplan-Meier, Cox, and log-normal survival analyses for 415 consecutive T1-T3, M0, histologically node-negative patients who were operated on for primary breast cancer at Women's College Hospital between 1977 and 1986. Recurrence outside the breast for disease-free interval (DFI) and breast cancer death for disease-specific survival (DSS) were the events of interest. The patient follow-up for these investigations was 96% complete: a median 8 years for those surviving. Factors used in these investigations were age, weight, tumor size, histology, tumor grade, nuclear grade, lymphovascular invasion, estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), combined ER/PR receptor, overexpression of neu oncoprotein, DNA ploidy, S-phase, and adjuvant therapy. In our study we found evidence against the Cox assumption of proportional hazards, which is not an assumption for the log-normal approach. We identified patients with greater than 96% and others with less than 40% DSS at 10 years. The difference in prognosis determined by using the Cox versus the log-normal model ranged for DFI from 1.2% to 8.1%, and for DSS from 0.4% to 6.2%; interestingly, the difference was more substantial for patients with a high risk of recurrence or death from breast cancer. Estimated prognoses may differ substantially by survival analysis model type, by amounts that might affect patient management, and we think that the log-normal model has a major advantage over the Cox model for survival analysis.