The model-based cost-effectiveness analysis of 1-year adjuvant trastuzumab treatment: based on 2-year follow-up HERA trial data

Cost-Effectiveness of Adjuvant Abemaciclib and Ribociclib in High-Risk Hormone Receptor-Positive Early Breast Cancer: An Indian Perspective

PURPOSE

Incorporating adjuvant cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK) 4/6 inhibitors abemaciclib and ribociclib along with endocrine therapy has been shown to improve invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) for hormone receptor-positive (HR+) human epidermal receptor 2-negative (HER2-) early breast cancer (EBC). This study assesses the cost-effectiveness of this strategy, along with adjuvant aromatase inhibitors from an Indian perspective.

METHODS

A Markov chain model evaluated the cost-effectiveness of abemaciclib and ribociclib with letrozole compared with letrozole alone for HR+/HER2- EBC from a payer perspective in India. Key measures included lifetime quality-adjusted life-years (QALY), life-years (LY), and total costs. This study explores two scenarios for effectiveness: a best-case (BC) scenario, where the benefit of CDK4/6 inhibitors in improving iDFS lasts a lifetime, and a worst-case (WC) scenario, where benefits disappear after 5 years. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were used to account for simulation uncertainty.

RESULTS

In the BC scenario, abemaciclib added 2.17 QALY and 4.96 LY, incurring ₹2,317,957.7 ($27,756.65 in US dollars [USD]) in additional costs. However, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for abemaciclib exceeded India's willingness-to-pay threshold in the BC and WC scenarios. In the BC scenario, ribociclib added 0.98 QALY and 2.58 LY with added costs of ₹1,711,504.32 ($20,494.6 USD). The ICER for ribociclib also surpassed India's threshold in both scenarios. PSA showed that neither drug was cost-effective at the current market prices in either BC/WC scenario. The cost of abemaciclib and ribociclib needs to be reduced by at least 78.61% and 87.19%, respectively, to be cost-effective in the BC scenario.

CONCLUSION

The combination of adjuvant abemaciclib or ribociclib with letrozole is not cost-effective for HR+/HER2- EBC in India in either the BC or WC scenario.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of trastuzumab monotherapy versus adjuvant chemotherapy plus trastuzumab in elderly patients with HER2-positive early breast cancer

BACKGROUND

In elderly patients with human epidermal growth factor 2-positive breast cancer, adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with decreased quality of life, with relatively small benefits for prognosis. We examined the cost-effectiveness of trastuzumab monotherapy versus adjuvant chemotherapy plus trastuzumab in elderly patients with human epidermal growth factor 2-positive breast cancer.

METHODS

A Markov model was developed to evaluate the costs and benefits of trastuzumab monotherapy over adjuvant chemotherapy plus trastuzumab for elderly patients with human epidermal growth factor 2-positive breast cancer. We built the model with a yearly cycle over a 20-year time horizon and five health states: disease-free, relapse, post-relapse, metastasis and death. The parameters in the model were based on a previous randomized controlled trial and a nationwide administrative database in Japan. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, expressed as Japanese yen per the quality-adjusted life-years, was estimated from the perspective of health care payers. One-way deterministic sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis with Monte-Carlo simulations of 10 000 samples were conducted.

RESULTS

The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of trastuzumab monotherapy over adjuvant chemotherapy plus trastuzumab was $\sim$1.8 million Japanese yen /quality-adjusted life-year. The one-way deterministic sensitivity analysis showed that transition probability from disease-free to metastasis status and cost of metastasis status had the greatest influence on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. More than half the estimates in the probabilistic sensitivity analysis were located below a threshold of willingness-to-pay of 5 million Japanese yen /quality-adjusted life-year.

CONCLUSION

In this first comparative cost-effectiveness analysis of adjuvant chemotherapy plus trastuzumab versus trastuzumab monotherapy in the elderly, the latter was found favorable for elderly patients with human epidermal growth factor 2-positive breast cancer.

Economic evaluation of adjuvant trastuzumab therapy for HER2-positive early-stage breast cancer: systematic review and quality assessment

INTRODUCTION

As the availability of new economic evaluations (EE) on adjuvant trastuzumab therapy for early-stage breast cancer (EBC) with HER2-positive since last search and other EEs missed warrant a more extensive review, this study aimed to systematically review EEs of adjuvant trastuzumab compared with chemotherapy alone for HER2-positive EBC.

AREA COVERED

The search was performed in February 2019 using MEDLINE and Scopus. Reviewers independently selected studies based on eligibility criteria, extracted data, assessed quality of reporting, and appraised quality of data sources.

EXPERT OPINION

22 studies were included which were from high-income (HICs) and upper-middle income countries (UMICs). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) from HICs were within their cost-effectiveness thresholds and ranged from 6,018 to 78,929 USD per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. ICERs from UMICs mostly exceeded their thresholds ranging from 3,526 to 174,901 USD per QALY gained. Evidence shows cost-effectiveness of trastuzumab for HER2-positive EBC in HICs. There were no methodological variations. The extent and adequacy of reporting were high. The quality of data sources was moderate to high. The quality of future EEs can be improved by enhancing the reporting quality, by using context-based data and real-world efficacy data, which would impact cost-effectiveness.

Real-World Setting Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Comparing Three Therapeutic Schemes of One-Year Adjuvant Trastuzumab in HER2-Positive Early Breast Cancer from the Cyprus NHS Payer Perspective

INTRODUCTION

This study is one of the first real-world cost-effectiveness analyses of one-year adjuvant trastuzumab used in HER2-positive early female breast cancer in comparison to chemotherapy alone. It is just the second one in Europe, the first one in Cyprus, and the fourth one worldwide ever carried out using real-world data.

METHODS

Using a Markov model (four health states), a cost-effectiveness analysis was carried out both over 20 years and for a lifetime horizon. The sampling method used in this study was the randomized sampling of 900 women.

RESULTS

The findings for the 20-year horizon showed that all trastuzumab arms were more cost-effective, with a willingness-to-pay threshold of only €60,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) [incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER): €40,436.10/QALY]. For the lifetime horizon, with thresholds of €20,000, €40,000, and €60,000/QALY, all trastuzumab arms were found to be more cost-effective (ICER: €17,753.85/QALY). Moreover, for the 20-year and the lifetime horizons, with thresholds of €20,000/QALY, €40,000/QALY, and €60,000/QALY, the most cost-effective of the three subgroups (anthracyclines and then trastuzumab, no anthracyclines and then trastuzumab, and anthracyclines, taxanes, and trastuzumab) was that of anthracyclines and then trastuzumab (ICER: €18,301.55/QALY and €8954.97/QALY, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The study revealed that adjuvant trastuzumab for one year in female HER2-positive early breast cancer can be considered cost-effective.

Cost Effectiveness of Trastuzumab for Management of Breast Cancer in India

PURPOSE

We undertook this study to evaluate the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained with use of adjuvant trastuzumab as compared with chemotherapy alone among patients with nonmetastatic breast cancer in India.

METHODS

We used a Markov model to estimate the incremental cost of using trastuzumab (for 1 year, 6 months, or 9 weeks) as compared with chemotherapy alone using a societal perspective, excluding indirect productivity losses. Although the outcomes (QALYs) in the standard chemotherapy arm were estimated after calibrating the model as per survival data from 2 Indian cancer registries, effectiveness estimates from the HERA trial and a joint analysis of the NSABP B-31 and NCCTG N9831 trials were used to estimate the consequences of 1-year trastuzumab use. The cost of treatment was estimated using national standard treatment guidelines and real-world use estimates for different treatment modalities as per data from Indian cancer registries. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was undertaken to evaluate parameter uncertainty.

RESULTS

For 1 year of trastuzumab use, the incremental benefit per patient, incremental cost per QALY gained, and probability of being cost effective using HERA trial estimates were 1.29 QALYs, 178,877 Indian national rupees (INRs; US$2,558), and 4%, respectively, whereas the corresponding figures using joint analysis estimates were 1.69 QALYs, INR 134,413 (US$1,922), and 57.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Use of trastuzumab for 1 year is not cost effective in India at the current price. However, trastuzumab use for 9 weeks is cost effective and should be included in clinical guidelines and reimbursement policies. A price reduction of 15% to 35% increases the probability of 1-year trastuzumab use being cost effective, to 90%.

Cost-utility analysis of adjuvant trastuzumab therapy for HER2-positive early-stage breast cancer in the Philippines

Background

Breast cancer is the leading malignancy among Filipino women, with about 23.50% of cases characterized by human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2) overexpression. Trastuzumab, in addition to standard chemotherapy, is currently recommended as primary treatment for HER2-positive early-stage breast cancer (EBC) in the adjuvant settings, and has been listed in the Philippine National Formulary (PNF) since 2008, but with no current evidence yet on its value for money, to date. Hence, despite several policy enablers, its accessibility remains to be limited in the Philippines. We performed an economic evaluation to assess the cost-effectiveness and budget impact of adjuvant trastuzumab therapy for HER2-positive EBC in the Philippines, using healthcare system and societal perspectives, in aid of guiding coverage decisions.

Methods

A Markov model-based cost-utility and budget impact analyses were conducted to estimate the total costs incurred and outcomes gained in using 1 year of adjuvant trastuzumab added to standard chemotherapy versus standard chemotherapy alone, over a lifetime horizon. We discounted both costs and outcomes at 3.5% per annum. Parameters were estimated using country survival data, systematic review and meta-analysis of the relative treatment effect, local and international cost data, and published utility data. Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to account for parameter uncertainty.

Results

Trastuzumab therapy was dominated with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) at PHP 453,505 per QALY gained from a healthcare system perspective or PHP 458,686 per QALY gained from a societal perspective, with 10% cost-effectiveness probability at the country cost-effectiveness threshold of PHP 120,000 per QALY gained. National implementation will cost an additional amount of PHP 13,909 million in year one alone, plus about PHP 2000 to 3000 million annually for the succeeding fiscal years.

Conclusion

At its current cost, 1 year of adjuvant trastuzumab therapy compared to standard chemotherapy alone for HER2-positive EBC does not represent value for money in the Philippines. Its current cost will have to significantly lower down by one-half to achieve cost-effectiveness.

miR-200c suppresses stemness and increases cellular sensitivity to trastuzumab in HER2+ breast cancer

Resistance to trastuzumab remains a major obstacle in HER2‐overexpressing breast cancer treatment. miR‐200c is important for many functions in cancer stem cells (CSCs), including tumour recurrence, metastasis and resistance. We hypothesized that miR‐200c contributes to trastuzumab resistance and stemness maintenance in HER2‐overexpressing breast cancer. In this study, we used HER2‐positive SKBR3, HER2‐negative MCF‐7, and their CD44⁺CD24⁻ phenotype mammospheres SKBR3‐S and MCF‐7‐S to verify. Our results demonstrated that miR‐200c was weakly expressed in breast cancer cell lines and cell line stem cells. Overexpression of miR‐200c resulted in a significant reduction in the number of tumour spheres formed and the population of CD44⁺CD24⁻ phenotype mammospheres in SKBR3‐S. Combining miR‐200c with trastuzumab can significantly reduce proliferation and increase apoptosis of SKBR3 and SKBR3‐S. Overexpression of miR‐200c also eliminated its downstream target genes. These genes were highly expressed and positively related in breast cancer patients. Overexpression of miR‐200c also improved the malignant progression of SKBR3‐S and SKBR3 in vivo. miR‐200c plays an important role in the maintenance of the CSC‐like phenotype and increases drug sensitivity to trastuzumab in HER2+ cells and stem cells.

Cost-Effectiveness of Adjuvant Trastuzumab Therapy for Early Breast Cancer in Asia: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVES

To systematically review and assess the quality of the economic evidence of adjuvant trastuzumab usage in early breast cancer in Asian countries.

METHODS

Literature search was performed using 6 electronic databases (PubMed, Scopus, Ovid MEDLINE, EconLit, National Health Service Economic Evaluation Database, and ISI Web of Knowledge). The final search was performed in October 2018. All potential economic studies were then checked for eligibility. The reporting and methodological qualities of each study were independently assessed by 2 authors of this review, using the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards, Drummond, and Philips checklists. To compare the different currencies used in these studies, all costs were converted into US dollars (2016).

RESULTS

A total of 6 studies were included; most of them were performed from the healthcare provider perspective. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for evaluation performed for a lifetime horizon were reported at $8573 and $20 816 per quality-adjusted life-year in 2 studies. The model outcome was generally sensitive to the changes in trastuzumab drug acquisition cost and discount rate, as well as its clinical effectiveness. For the quality assessment, all studies fulfilled more than 50% of the requirements in the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards, Drummond, and Philips checklists.

CONCLUSIONS

Adjuvant trastuzumab therapy is considered a cost-effective option for early breast cancer in Asian countries including China, Iran, Japan, Singapore, and Taiwan. All studies were generally well conducted. Economic evaluations from the societal perspective, with inclusion of indirect and informal care costs, are warranted to facilitate informed decision making among policy makers.

ErbB2+ metastatic breast cancer treatment after progression on trastuzumab: a cost-effectiveness analysis for a developing country

OBJECTIVE

Breast cancer (BC) and metastatic breast cancer (MBC) are significant causes of deaths amongst women worldwide, including developing countries. The cost of treatment in the latter is even more of an issue than in higher income countries. ErbB2 overexpression is a marker of poor prognosis and the goal for targeted therapy. This study was aimed at evaluating the cost-effectiveness in Colombia of ErbB2+ MBC treatment after progression on trastuzumab.

METHODS

A decision analytic model was constructed for evaluating such treatment in a hypothetical cohort of ErbB2+MBC patients who progressed after a first scheme involving trastuzumab. The alternatives compared were lapatinib+capecitabine (L+C), and trastuzumab+a chemotherapy agent (capecitabine, vinorelbine or a taxane). Markov models were used for calculating progression-free time and the associated costs. Effectiveness estimators for such therapy were identified from primary studies; all direct medical costs based on national fees-guidelines were included. Sensitivity was analyzed and acceptability curves estimated. A 3 % discount rate and third-payer perspective were used within a 5-year horizon.

RESULTS

L+C dominated its comparators. Its cost-effectiveness ratio was COP $49,725,045 per progression-free year. The factors most influencing the results were the alternatives' hazard ratios and the cost of trastuzumab.

CONCLUSION

Lapatinib was cost-effective compared to its alternatives for treating MBC after progression on trastuzumab using a Colombian decision analytic model.

The real-world cost-effectiveness of adjuvant trastuzumab in HER-2/neu-positive early breast cancer in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Trastuzumab was considered a cost-effective adjuvant treatment for HER 2-positive early breast cancer. Since 2010, the Taiwanese National Health Insurance (NHI) has started to reimburse for 1-year adjuvant treatment. This study aims to provide an updated cost-effectiveness analysis from the NHI perspective, which explores assumptions about long-term cardiac toxicity and treatment benefit of 1-year adjuvant treatment sequentially after chemotherapy.

METHODS

A Markov model was used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of 1-year adjuvant trastuzumab for HER-2/neu positive early breast cancer over a 20-year life-time horizon. A probability sensitivity analysis using Monte Carlo simulation was performed to characterize uncertainties in the expected outcomes, which are expressed as an incremental costs effectiveness ratio (ICER, cost/QALY). A willingness-to-pay threshold of 3-times the per capita gross domestic product was adopted according to the WHO definition. The Taiwan per capita gross domestic product in 2015 was US$22,355; thus, a threshold was considered as NT$2,011,950 (US$67 065, 1USD =30 NTD in 2015).

RESULTS

The model showed that adjuvant trastuzumab treatment in HER-2/neu positive early breast cancer yielded 1.631 quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) compared with no trastuzumab treatment. The ICER was US $51,863 per QALY gained in the base-case scenario. The Monte Carlo simulation by varying all variables simultaneously demonstrated that the probability of cost-effectiveness at the willingness-to-pay threshold of US$67,065 was 50% for 1-year adjuvant trastuzumab.

CONCLUSIONS

From this real-world study, 1-year adjuvant trastuzumab treatment is likely to be a cost-effective therapy for patients with HER-2 positive breast cancer at the willingness-to-pay threshold of 3-times GDP per capita in Taiwan.

Unremarked or Unperformed? Systematic Review on Reporting of Validation Efforts of Health Economic Decision Models in Seasonal Influenza and Early Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

Transparent reporting of validation efforts of health economic models give stakeholders better insight into the credibility of model outcomes. In this study we reviewed recently published studies on seasonal influenza and early breast cancer in order to gain insight into the reporting of model validation efforts in the overall health economic literature.

METHODS

A literature search was performed in Pubmed and Embase to retrieve health economic modelling studies published between 2008 and 2014. Reporting on model validation was evaluated by checking for the word validation, and by using AdViSHE (Assessment of the Validation Status of Health Economic decision models), a tool containing a structured list of relevant items for validation. Additionally, we contacted corresponding authors to ask whether more validation efforts were performed other than those reported in the manuscripts.

RESULTS

A total of 53 studies on seasonal influenza and 41 studies on early breast cancer were included in our review. The word validation was used in 16 studies (30 %) on seasonal influenza and 23 studies (56 %) on early breast cancer; however, in a minority of studies, this referred to a model validation technique. Fifty-seven percent of seasonal influenza studies and 71 % of early breast cancer studies reported one or more validation techniques. Cross-validation of study outcomes was found most often. A limited number of studies reported on model validation efforts, although good examples were identified. Author comments indicated that more validation techniques were performed than those reported in the manuscripts.

CONCLUSIONS

Although validation is deemed important by many researchers, this is not reflected in the reporting habits of health economic modelling studies. Systematic reporting of validation efforts would be desirable to further enhance decision makers' confidence in health economic models and their outcomes.

IMPLICATIONS OF GLOBAL PRICING POLICIES ON ACCESS TO INNOVATIVE DRUGS: THE CASE OF TRASTUZUMAB IN SEVEN LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES

OBJECTIVES

Differential pricing, based on countries' purchasing power, is recommended by the World Health Organization to secure affordable medicines. However, in developing countries innovative drugs often have similar or even higher prices than in high-income countries. We evaluated the potential implications of trastuzumab global pricing policies in terms of cost-effectiveness (CE), coverage, and accessibility for patients with breast cancer in Latin America (LA).

METHODS

A Markov model was designed to estimate life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and costs from a healthcare perspective. To better fit local cancer prognosis, a base case scenario using transition probabilities from clinical trials was complemented with two alternative scenarios with transition probabilities adjusted to reflect breast cancer epidemiology in each country.

RESULTS

Incremental discounted benefits ranged from 0.87 to 1.00 LY and 0.51 to 0.60 QALY and incremental CE ratios from USD 42,104 to USD 110,283 per QALY (2012 U.S. dollars), equivalent to 3.6 gross domestic product per capita (GDPPC) per QALY in Uruguay and to 35.5 GDPPC in Bolivia. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed 0 percent probability that trastuzumab is CE if the willingness-to-pay threshold is one GDPPC per QALY, and remained so at three GDPPC threshold except for Chile and Uruguay (4.3 percent and 26.6 percent, respectively). Trastuzumab price would need to decrease between 69.6 percent to 94.9 percent to became CE in LA.

CONCLUSIONS

Although CE in other settings, trastuzumab was not CE in LA. The use of health technology assessment to prioritize resource allocation and support price negotiations is critical to making innovative drugs available and affordable in developing countries.

The quality of economic studies of cancer pharmacogenomics: a quantitative appraisal of the evidence

This study evaluated the quality of health economic studies of cancer pharmacogenomics (PGx). A systematic search of the literature for economic studies of PGx was conducted in four common cancers. Evaluation of study quality was carried out using the quality of health economic studies instrument. Thirty-nine articles met our eligibility criteria and were selected and accepted for further statistical analyses. The majority of articles (85%) were studies focusing on breast cancer. The overall weighted mean quality score was 85.10, with a range from 21 to 100. Eighty-seven percent of articles were categorized as good quality, whereas some 10 and 3% were categorized as moderate and poor quality, respectively. The quality of economic studies of cancer PGx is generally good but varied widely. We identified several attributes that are predictive of quality. Our findings may be useful for oncologists, health economists and decision makers interested in evaluating studies involving PGx.

Overview of parametric survival analysis for health-economic applications

Health economic models rely on data from trials to project the risk of events (e.g., death) over time beyond the span of the available data. Parametric survival analysis methods can be applied to identify an appropriate statistical model for the observed data, which can then be extrapolated to derive a complete time-to-event curve. This paper describes the properties of the most commonly used statistical distributions as a basis for these models and describes an objective process of identifying the most suitable parametric distribution in a given dataset. The approach can be applied with both individual-patient data as well as with survival probabilities derived from published Kaplan-Meier curves. Both are illustrated with analyses of overall survival from the Sorafenib Hepatocellular Carcinoma Assessment Randomised Protocol trial.

Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS)--explanation and elaboration: a report of the ISPOR Health Economic Evaluation Publication Guidelines Good Reporting Practices Task Force

BACKGROUND

Economic evaluations of health interventions pose a particular challenge for reporting because substantial information must be conveyed to allow scrutiny of study findings. Despite a growth in published reports, existing reporting guidelines are not widely adopted. There is also a need to consolidate and update existing guidelines and promote their use in a user-friendly manner. A checklist is one way to help authors, editors, and peer reviewers use guidelines to improve reporting.

OBJECTIVE

The task force's overall goal was to provide recommendations to optimize the reporting of health economic evaluations. The Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) statement is an attempt to consolidate and update previous health economic evaluation guidelines into one current, useful reporting guidance. The CHEERS Elaboration and Explanation Report of the ISPOR Health Economic Evaluation Publication Guidelines Good Reporting Practices Task Force facilitates the use of the CHEERS statement by providing examples and explanations for each recommendation. The primary audiences for the CHEERS statement are researchers reporting economic evaluations and the editors and peer reviewers assessing them for publication.

METHODS

The need for new reporting guidance was identified by a survey of medical editors. Previously published checklists or guidance documents related to reporting economic evaluations were identified from a systematic review and subsequent survey of task force members. A list of possible items from these efforts was created. A two-round, modified Delphi Panel with representatives from academia, clinical practice, industry, and government, as well as the editorial community, was used to identify a minimum set of items important for reporting from the larger list.

RESULTS

Out of 44 candidate items, 24 items and accompanying recommendations were developed, with some specific recommendations for single study-based and model-based economic evaluations. The final recommendations are subdivided into six main categories: 1) title and abstract, 2) introduction, 3) methods, 4) results, 5) discussion, and 6) other. The recommendations are contained in the CHEERS statement, a user-friendly 24-item checklist. The task force report provides explanation and elaboration, as well as an example for each recommendation. The ISPOR CHEERS statement is available online via Value in Health or the ISPOR Health Economic Evaluation Publication Guidelines Good Reporting Practices - CHEERS Task Force webpage (http://www.ispor.org/TaskForces/EconomicPubGuidelines.asp).

CONCLUSIONS

We hope that the ISPOR CHEERS statement and the accompanying task force report guidance will lead to more consistent and transparent reporting, and ultimately, better health decisions. To facilitate wider dissemination and uptake of this guidance, we are copublishing the CHEERS statement across 10 health economics and medical journals. We encourage other journals and groups to consider endorsing the CHEERS statement. The author team plans to review the checklist for an update in 5 years.

Is trastuzumab a cost-effective treatment for breast cancer?

Trastuzumab is a recombinant humanized monoclonal antibody that is currently approved for the treatment of HER2-neu-positive breast cancer. From a clinical perspective, it is an effective treatment with a relatively favorable benefit/risk profile. From an economic perspective, trastuzumab is an expensive treatment that is associated with high drug acquisition cost. Overall, it appears to provide reasonable 'value for money' (i.e., is cost-effective), especially in the adjuvant as opposed to the palliative setting. Trastuzumab's cost-effectiveness appears to be driven primarily by trastuzumab costs and the magnitude of benefit derived. Longer follow-up of clinical trials is, therefore, required to better estimate the long-term benefits associated with adjuvant trastuzumab, and its true cost-effectiveness in the treatment of HER2-neu-positive breast cancer.

Economic evaluation of the 70-gene prognosis-signature (MammaPrint®) in hormone receptor-positive, lymph node-negative, human epidermal growth factor receptor type 2-negative early stage breast cancer in Japan

The 70-gene prognosis-signature is validated as a good predictor of recurrence for hormone receptor-positive (ER+), lymph node-negative (LN-), human epidermal growth factor receptor type 2-negative (HER2-) early stage breast cancer (ESBC) in Japanese patient population. Its high cost and potential in avoiding unnecessary adjuvant chemotherapy arouse interest in its economic impact. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of including the assay into Japan's social health insurance benefit package. An economic decision tree and Markov model under Japan's health system from the societal perspective is constructed with clinical evidence from the pool analysis of validation studies. One-way sensitivity analyses are also performed. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio is estimated as ¥3,873,922/quality adjusted life year (QALY) (US$43,044/QALY), which is not more than the suggested social willingness-to-pay for one QALY gain from an innovative medical intervention in Japan, ¥5,000,000/QALY (US$55,556/QALY). However, sensitivity analyses show the instability of this estimation. The introduction of the assay into Japanese practice of ER+, LN-, HER2- ESBC treatment by including it to Japan's social health insurance benefit package has a reasonable chance to be judged as cost-effective and may be justified as an efficient deployment of finite health care resources.

Modelling survival in hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To identify the pattern of the risk of death over long-term in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma by determining the appropriate distribution to extrapolate overall survival and to assess the role of the Weibull distribution as the standard survival model in oncology.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

To select the appropriate distribution, three types of data sources have been analysed. Patient level data from two randomized controlled trials and published Kaplan-Meier curves from a systematic literature review provided short term follow-up data. They were supplemented with patient level data, with long-term follow-up from the Cancer Institute New South Wales, Australia. Published Kaplan-Meier curves were read in and a time-to-event dataset was created. Distributions were fitted to the data from the different sources separately. Their fit was assessed visually and compared using statistical criteria based on log-likelihood, the Akaike information criterion (AIC), and the Bayesian information criterion (BIC).

RESULTS

Based on both published and patient-level, and both short- and long-term follow-up data, the Weibull distribution, used very often in cost-effectiveness models in oncology, does not seem to offer a good fit in hepatocellular carcinoma among the different survival models. The best fitting distribution appears to be the lognormal, with loglogistic as the second-best fitting function. Results were consistent between the different sources of data.

CONCLUSIONS

In unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma, the Weibull model, which is often treated at the gold standard, does not appear to be appropriate based on different sources of data (two clinical trials, a retrospective database and published Kaplan-Meier curves). Lognormal distribution seems to be the most appropriate distribution for extrapolating overall survival.

Economic evaluation of targeted cancer interventions: critical review and recommendations

Scientific advances have improved our ability to target cancer interventions to individuals who will benefit most and spare the risks and costs to those who will derive little benefit or even be harmed. Several approaches are currently used for targeting interventions for cancer risk reduction, screening, and treatment, including risk prediction algorithms for identifying high-risk subgroups and diagnostic tests for tumor markers and germline genetic mutations. Economic evaluation can inform decisions about the use of targeted interventions, which may be more costly than traditional strategies. However, assessing the impact of a targeted intervention on costs and health outcomes requires explicit consideration of the method of targeting. In this study, we describe the importance of this principle by reviewing published cost-effectiveness analyses of targeted interventions in breast cancer. Few studies we identified explicitly evaluated the relationships among the method of targeting, the accuracy of the targeting test, and outcomes of the targeted intervention. Those that did found that characteristics of targeting tests had a substantial impact on outcomes. We posit that the method of targeting and the outcomes of a targeted intervention are inextricably linked and recommend that cost-effectiveness analyses of targeted interventions explicitly consider costs and outcomes of the method of targeting.

Bridging trial and decision: a checklist to frame health technology assessments for resource allocation decisions

OBJECTIVE

Health technology assessments (HTAs) intend to inform real-world decisions. They often draw on data from explanatory trials and hence are not always applicable to the decision problem. HTAs may therefore not meet the needs of decision makers. Our objective was to develop and apply a checklist to: 1) systematically frame HTAs in a way that they are applicable to the decision problem; and 2) assess if a decision problem can be informed by an available HTA.

METHODS

We reviewed published literature to identify factors that should be considered when framing HTAs for resource allocation decisions. The checklist was finalized in collaboration with clinicians and policy makers. We applied the checklist to the economic evaluation of trastuzumab in early breast cancer. We defined a reference case and for each study, retrieved through a systematic review, we examined if each factor was explicitly considered.

RESULTS

A checklist was developed with 11 factors (e.g., clinical practice, consequences, and patient use). In the case of trastuzumab, most factors were considered by the 11 retrieved economic evaluations. Two factors, being the inclusion of all relevant comparators and professional use, were considered by none of the studies.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a comprehensive checklist with 11 factors to frame HTAs and to assess the applicability of HTAs to resource allocation decisions. Economic evaluations on trastuzumab considered some of these factors, but overlooked others. The proposed checklist assists in systematically considering all factors in developing the conceptual model of an HTA, to make HTAs better reflect the decision problem.

Do economic evaluations of targeted therapy provide support for decision makers?

PURPOSE

Decision makers must make decisions without complete information. That uncertainty can be decreased when economic evaluations use local data and can be quantified by considering the variability of all model inputs concurrently per international evaluation guidelines. It is unclear how these recommendations have been implemented in evaluations of targeted cancer therapy. By using economic evaluations of adjuvant trastuzumab, we have assessed the extent to which decision support recommendations were adopted.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review.

METHODS

Published economic evaluations of adjuvant trastuzumab treatment in early-stage breast cancer were examined as an established example of targeted therapy. Canadian, United Kingdom, and US economic evaluation guidelines were reviewed to establish extraction criteria. Extraction characterized the use of effectiveness evidence and local data sources for model parameters, sensitivity analysis methods (scenario, univariate, multivariate, and probabilistic) and uncertainty representation (ie, cost-effectiveness plane, scatterplot, confidence ellipses, tornado diagrams, cost-effectiveness acceptability curve).

RESULTS

Fifteen economic evaluations of adjuvant trastuzumab were identified in the literature. Local data were used to estimate costs (15 of 15) and utilities rarely (two of 15) but not trastuzumab efficacy. Univariate sensitivity analysis was most common (12 of 15), whereas probabilistic analysis was less frequent (10 of 15). Two thirds of all studies provided visual representation of results and decision uncertainty.

CONCLUSION

Authors of adjuvant trastuzumab economic evaluations rarely use local data beyond costs. Quantification of uncertainty and its representation also fell short of guideline recommendations. This review demonstrates that economic evaluations of adjuvant trastuzumab, as an example of targeted cancer therapy, can be improved for decision-making support.

Updated cost-effectiveness analysis of trastuzumab for early breast cancer: a UK perspective considering duration of benefit, long-term toxicity and pattern of recurrence

BACKGROUND

Trastuzumab has significantly improved survival outcomes for women with Human Epidermal growth factor Receptor 2 (HER2)-positive early breast cancer. Trastuzumab was established as a cost-effective adjuvant treatment in 2006. We present an updated cost-effectiveness analysis from the UK perspective, which explores assumptions about the duration of benefit from treatment, pattern of metastatic recurrence and long-term cardiac toxicity.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to calculate, from the UK NHS perspective, expected costs (year 2008 values) and benefits over the lifetime of an average cohort of women with HER2-positive early breast cancer treated with or without 1 year of adjuvant trastuzumab sequentially after chemotherapy.

METHODS

A cost-utility analysis was performed using a discrete-state time-dependent semi-Markov model. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was used to characterize uncertainty around expected outcomes. Value-of-information (VOI) analysis was used to identify areas of priority for further research.

RESULTS

The cost-effectiveness estimates were highly sensitive to the estimated duration of treatment benefit. Trastuzumab remained a cost-effective treatment strategy at a willingness-to-pay threshold of £30,000 per QALY provided the duration of benefit was more than 3.6 years from treatment initiation, assuming the hazard ratio for disease-free survival was 0.63. An increasing proportion of brain metastases with trastuzumab produced a small change towards worse cost effectiveness. Long-term cardiac toxicity needed to rise to high levels to affect overall life expectancy and cost effectiveness. VOI analysis placed highest value on research into the duration of treatment benefit. The relationships between progression-free survival and overall survival and the costs of cancer recurrence were also important.

CONCLUSION

The cost effectiveness of adjuvant trastuzumab remains uncertain and dependent on assumptions regarding its clinical effect. Uncertainty around cost effectiveness could be reduced by further research into the duration of treatment effect, particularly in subgroups where this may be shorter. Long-term follow-up is warranted and methods to accurately measure duration of treatment effect and late toxicities should be developed for future adjuvant drug studies.

Budget impact analysis of trastuzumab in early breast cancer: A hospital district perspective

Objectives:Adjuvant trastuzumab is widely used in HER2-positive (HER2+) early breast cancer, and despite its cost-effectiveness, it causes substantial costs for health care. The purpose of the study was to develop a tool for estimating the budget impact of new cancer treatments. With this tool, we were able to estimate the budget impact of adjuvant trastuzumab, as well as the probability of staying within a given budget constraint.

Methods:The created model-based evaluation tool was used to explore the budget impact of trastuzumab in early breast cancer in a single Finnish hospital district with 250,000 inhabitants. The used model took into account the number of patients, HER2+ prevalence, length and cost of treatment, and the effectiveness of the therapy. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis and alternative case scenarios were performed to ensure the robustness of the results.

Results:Introduction of adjuvant trastuzumab caused substantial costs for a relatively small hospital district. In base-case analysis the 4-year net budget impact was €1.3 million. The trastuzumab acquisition costs were partially offset by the reduction in costs associated with the treatment of cancer recurrence and metastatic disease.

Conclusions:Budget impact analyses provide important information about the overall economic impact of new treatments, and thus offer complementary information to cost-effectiveness analyses. Inclusion of treatment outcomes and probabilistic sensitivity analysis provides more realistic estimates of the net budget impact. The length of trastuzumab treatment has a strong effect on the budget impact.

An economic evaluation of adjuvant trastuzumab therapy in HER2-positive early breast cancer

OBJECTIVE

One-year adjuvant trastuzumab therapy increases disease-free and overall survival in the adjuvant treatment of early HER2-positive breast cancer. This study aims to assess the long-term cost-effectiveness of adjuvant trastuzumab treatment in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou.

METHODS

A Markov health-state transition model was constructed to simulate the natural development of breast cancer based on HERceptin Adjuvant (HERA) trial, estimate costs and disease progression over a lifetime perspective with annual transition cycles, and evaluate the cost-effectiveness of 1-year adjuvant trastuzumab treatment group compared with the standard adjuvant chemotherapy. From the perspective of a China health insurance system, cost was calculated based on a survey from clinical expert panels.

RESULTS

On the basis of HERA data, the model results showed that the utilization of adjuvant trastuzumab treatment in early breast cancer can prolong 2.87 life years, compared with the standard chemotherapy group. The incremental cost for an additional life-year gained (LYG) was US$7564, US$7933, and US$7929 in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou, respectively. If measured by quality-adjusted life-year, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was US$7676, US$8049, and US$8046, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The results suggest that the 1-year adjuvant trastuzumab treatment is cost-effective. Both clinical and economic benefits were superior for the 1-year adjuvant trastuzumab treatment group compared with the standard adjuvant chemotherapy group.

The cost-utility of sequential adjuvant trastuzumab in women with Her2/Neu-positive breast cancer: an analysis based on updated results from the HERA Trial

BACKGROUND

The efficacy of sequential adjuvant trastuzumab (aTZ) after chemotherapy in women with early-stage human epidermal growth factor-2 (HER2/neu)-positive breast cancer reported by the updated Herceptin Adjuvant (HERA) trial appears less favorable than originally reported. Based on these updated results, we estimated the cost-utility (CU) of sequential aTZ relative to chemotherapy alone in terms of incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained.

METHODS

A Markov model estimated incremental costs and outcomes of 12 months of aTZ after adjuvant chemotherapy in women with HER2/neu-positive breast cancer over a 25-year horizon. The model incorporated four broad health states (disease-free, local recurrence [LCR], distant recurrence [DCR], death), stratified with or without symptomatic cardiotoxicity. Baseline event rates and 3-year relative risk (RR = 0.75) were derived from the HERA trial. As the duration of the benefit remains uncertain, the analysis considered 5-year and 3-year duration of benefit in two scenarios. Costs and utility weights were from the literature. The analysis took a direct payer perspective, with costs reported in 2007 Canadian dollars. Costs and QALYs were discounted by 3% annually.

RESULTS

The mean CU of sequential aTZ at a 25-year horizon was $72,292 per QALY gained in the 5-year scenario and $127,862 per QALY gained in the 3-year scenario. Results were particularly sensitive to the magnitude and duration of carryover benefit.

CONCLUSIONS

The CU of sequential aTZ is primarily dependent on the magnitude and duration of benefit. Further clinical research is required to establish the optimum sequence and duration of aTZ therapy and clarify the magnitude and duration of treatment benefit.

Looking back at 10 years of trastuzumab therapy: what is the role of HER2 testing? A systematic review of health economic analyses

Trastuzumab is a targeted therapy for human EGF receptor-2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer. The effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of trastuzumab hinges not only on its clinical efficacy in responding patients, but on the ability to accurately identify appropriate therapeutic candidates. We sought to systematically review the cost-effectiveness of trastuzumab with a focus on the impact of the test(s) used for HER2 diagnosis. Our review included 17 economic evaluations or health technology assessments of trastuzumab therapy or HER2 testing. Trastuzumab was considered cost-effective in all early-stage disease studies, while one author concluded that trastuzumab was not cost-effective for metastatic disease. Only two papers considered the joint effects of test accuracy and sequencing with trastuzumab therapy. These demonstrated that trastuzumab cost-effectiveness is sensitive to HER2-test properties.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of adjuvant therapy for operable breast cancer from a Chinese perspective: doxorubicin plus cyclophosphamide versus docetaxel plus cyclophosphamide

An oncology trial compared four cycles of doxorubicin/cyclophosphamide (AC) with four cycles of docetaxel/cyclophosphamide (TC) in operable breast cancer patients (71% were diagnosed with hormone receptor positive and 48% with node-negative breast cancer). The objective of this study was to estimate the lifetime cost effectiveness of AC versus TC, from a Chinese healthcare provider perspective, based on a clinical trial. A lifetime cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using a Markov model. Events rates and utilities in the Markov model were derived from published papers. Data on cost of breast cancer care were obtained from the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, PR China. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were undertaken. Cost estimates were valued in Chinese yuan (Y), year 2008 values. All costs and outcomes were discounted at 3% per annum. Patients receiving TC gained 14.45 QALYs, 0.41 QALYs more than patients receiving AC. The lifetime costs of patients receiving TC were Y93 511, Y10 116 more than that of AC patients. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were Y26 742 per life-year gained ( pound 2719.8 per year) and Y24 305 per QALY gained ( pound2471.9 per QALY). The most sensitive parameter in the model was the cost of primary cancer treatments in the TC arm. At a threshold willingness to pay of Y86 514 per QALY, the probability of TC being cost effective was 90%. Our model suggests that TC may be considered cost effective from a Chinese healthcare provider perspective, according to the threshold defined by the WHO.

Facts and controversies in the use of trastuzumab in the adjuvant setting

The human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2) is overexpressed and/or amplified in up to 25% of breast cancer patients, and this feature is associated with an aggressive phenotype, high recurrence rate and reduced survival. Until recently, combination chemotherapy (with or without endocrine therapy) was the only effective adjuvant treatment for HER2-positive patients. Trastuzumab is a monoclonal antibody directed against the HER2 extracellular domain, and five recent adjuvant breast cancer trials have demonstrated an astonishing and highly reproducible benefit in halving the recurrence rate and reducing mortality in patients with this phenotype. Many questions related to trastuzumab use in the adjuvant setting still remain; these include the optimum timing and duration of treatment, trastuzumab use with taxanes and radiotherapy, its role in small node-negative tumors, the optimum chemotherapy regimens and cost-effectiveness. This Review outlines the five adjuvant trastuzumab studies and discusses the controversies and challenges that have emerged for both the clinician and healthcare authorities worldwide as a consequence of the results from these trials.

Trastuzumab: a pharmacoeconomic review of its use in early breast cancer

Trastuzumab (Herceptin) is a monoclonal antibody approved for the treatment of breast cancer that overexpresses human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2). Well designed clinical trials in women with early breast cancer have demonstrated that 1 years' therapy with adjuvant intravenous trastuzumab (a loading dose followed by 6 mg/kg every 3 weeks or 2 mg/kg weekly) significantly improves disease-free survival and overall survival compared with observation (subsequent to chemotherapy) or chemotherapy alone in women with HER2-positive disease. In the HERA trial, disease-free survival was estimated to improve by 6.3% at 3 years in the trastuzumab group compared with the observation group. Trastuzumab is generally well tolerated. The most common adverse events are infusion-related symptoms, such as fever and chills, which usually occur with administration of the first dose. Cardiotoxicity occurs in a small proportion of patients receiving trastuzumab, particularly when coadministered with anthracyclines, and cardiac assessment is recommended for all patients at baseline and at 3-monthly intervals. In modelled cost-effectiveness analyses based on data from clinical trials in patients with HER2-positive early breast cancer, adjuvant trastuzumab was predicted to be cost effective from a healthcare payer or societal perspective in several countries. Incremental costs per QALY or life-year gained with trastuzumab administered subsequent to or concurrent with chemotherapy compared with chemotherapy alone were consistently within accepted local thresholds for cost effectiveness. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated that these results remained generally robust to plausible changes in key model assumptions. In conclusion, in patients with HER2-positive early breast cancer, the addition of adjuvant trastuzumab is clinically effective in improving disease-free survival. Available pharmacoeconomic data from several countries, despite some inherent limitations, support the use of adjuvant trastuzumab for 1 year as a cost-effective treatment relative to chemotherapy alone in this patient population.