Patterns in detection of recurrence among patients treated for breast cancer

Breast cancer recurrence in relation to mode of detection: implications on personalized surveillance

PURPOSE

The effectiveness of current follow-up guidelines after breast cancer treatment is uncertain. Tailored surveillance based on patient age and tumor characteristics may be more adequate. This study aimed to analyze the frequency of ipsilateral locoregional recurrences (LR) and second primary breast cancers (SP) detected outside of scheduled surveillance and to analyze risk factors associated with these events.

METHODS

Patients with surgically treated early-stage breast cancer from the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study (MDCS), 1991-2014 (n = 1080), and the Västernorrland region, 2009-2018 (n = 1648), were included. Clinical and pathological information on the primary tumor and recurrences was retrieved from medical records. The mode of recurrence detection was defined as detection within (planned) or outside (symptomatic) of scheduled surveillance.

RESULTS

The median follow-up was 6.5 years. Overall, 461 patients experienced a recurrence. The most common initial event was distant metastasis (47%), followed by locoregional recurrence (LR) (22%) and second primary (SP) (18%). 56% of LR and 28% of SP were identified outside of scheduled surveillance. Logistic regression analysis revealed that younger age (under 50 years) (OR 2.57, 95% CI 1.04-6.88), lymph node-positive breast cancer (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.03-4.39) and breast cancer of the HER2 positive subtype (OR 5.24, 95% CI 1.40-25.90) were correlated with higher odds of detecting a recurrence outside of planned surveillance.

CONCLUSION

Most recurrent events were detected outside of scheduled surveillance, particularly for locoregional recurrences. Risk-based surveillance, which takes into account patient and tumor characteristics, might be more suitable for specific patient subsets.

The Population-level Effect of Adjuvant Therapies on Breast Cancer Recurrence: Application of the Trend-in-Trend Design

PURPOSE

Breast cancer has an average 10-year relative survival reaching 84%. This favorable survival is due, in part, to the introduction of biomarker-guided therapies. We estimated the population-level effect of the introduction of two adjuvant therapies-tamoxifen and trastuzumab-on recurrence using the trend-in-trend pharmacoepidemiologic study design.

METHODS

We ascertained data on women diagnosed with nonmetastatic breast cancer who were registered in the Danish Breast Cancer Group clinical database. We used the trend-in-trend design to estimate the population-level effect of the introduction of (1) tamoxifen for postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer in 1982, (2) tamoxifen for premenopausal women diagnosed with ER-positive breast cancer in 1999, and (3) trastuzumab for women <60 years diagnosed with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive breast cancer in 2007.

RESULTS

For the population-level effect of the introduction of tamoxifen among premenopausal women diagnosed with ER-positive breast cancer in 1999, the risk of recurrence decreased by nearly one-half (OR = 0.52), consistent with evidence from clinical trials; however, the estimate was imprecise (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.25, 1.85). We observed an imprecise association between tamoxifen use and recurrence from the time it was introduced in 1982 (OR = 1.24 95% CI = 0.46, 5.11), inconsistent with prior knowledge from clinical trials. For the introduction of trastuzumab in 2007, the estimate was also consistent with trial evidence, though imprecise (OR = 0.51; 95% CI = 0.21, 22.4).

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated how novel pharmacoepidemiologic analytic designs can be used to evaluate the routine clinical care and effectiveness of therapeutic advancements in a population-based setting while considering some limitations of the approach.

Assessing Mode of Recurrence in Breast Cancer to Identify an Optimised Follow-Up Pathway: 10-Year Institutional Review

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer surveillance programmes ensure early identification of recurrence which maximises overall survival. Programmes include annual clinical examination and radiological assessment. There remains debate around the value of annual clinical exam in diagnosing recurrent disease/second primaries. The aim was to assess diagnostic modalities for recurrent breast cancer with a focus on evaluating the role of annual clinical examination.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A prospectively maintained database from a symptomatic breast cancer service between 2010-2020 was reviewed. Patients with biopsy-proven recurrence/second breast primary were included. The primary outcome was the diagnostic modality by which recurrences/secondary breast cancers were observed. Diagnostic modalities included (i) self-detection by the patient, (ii) clinical examination by a breast surgeon or (iii) radiological assessment.

RESULTS

A total of 233 patients were identified and, following application of exclusion criteria, a total of 140 patients were included. A total of 65/140 (46%) patients were diagnosed clinically, either by self-detection or clinical examination, while 75/140 (54%) were diagnosed radiologically. A total of 59/65 (91%) of patients clinically diagnosed with recurrence presented to the breast clinic after self-detection of an abnormality. Four (6%) patients had cognitive impairment and recurrence was diagnosed by a carer. Two (3%) patients were diagnosed with recurrence by a breast surgeon at clinical examination. The median time to recurrence in all patients was 48 months (range 2-263 months).

CONCLUSION

Clinical examination provides little value in diagnosing recurrence (< 5%) and surveillance programmes may benefit from reduced focus on such a modality. Regular radiological assessment and ensuring patients have urgent/easy access to a breast clinic if they develop new symptoms/signs should be the focus of surveillance programmes.

Implications for surveillance for breast cancer patients based on the internally and externally validated BRENDA-metastatic recurrence score

PURPOSE

Although the incidence of distant relapse is decreasing, 20-30% of patients with early breast cancer die of metastasis. The aim of this study is to characterize patients with metastasis-free survival(MFS) less than 5 years, to analyze the most probable site of metastases according to the internally and externally validated BRENDA-score. The BRENDA-score is a combination of the biological subtype and clinical staging.

METHOD

3832 patients with primary diagnosis of breast cancer and either distant metastatic recurrence within 5 years or MFS ≥ 5 years were assigned to this study. Patients were classified for metastatic recurrence according to the BRENDA-score. 1765 patients were in a validation set. Statistical methods were Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox regression analysis, Exhausted CHAID, likelihood-ratio tests and the Nearest Neighbor Estimation method.

RESULTS

There was a significant(p < 0.001) difference between the Kaplan-Meier MFS-functions of M0-patients stratified by BRENDA-score. The BRENDA score outperforms intrinsic subtypes and the Nottingham prognostic score. It fits the original data and the validation set equally well (p = 0.179).There was a significant(p < 0.001) difference between mean BRENDA-Index for patients with MFS < 5y(21.0 ± 9.0) and patients with MFS ≥ 5y(mean BRENDA-Index 11.7 ± 8.2). 55.6% of the very high risk patients(BRENDA-Index ≥ 27) had metastases within 5 years. The most likely primary metastatic site was bone(30%) followed by liver(19%) and lung(18%). The discriminatory ability(areas under the time dependent ROC curve) of the BRENDA score is good to acceptable for the first 5 years. In the very low/low risk (intermediate, high/very high) risk group 50% of all metastases were diagnosed within 26 months. Guideline adherence had a highly significant influence on outcome independent of the risk group.

CONCLUSION

The evaluation showed that the BRENDA-Score is a robust predictive tool for breast cancer recurrence and site of metastases in the first five years after diagnosis. It outperforms intrinsic subtypes and the Nottingham prognostic score. The BRENDA-score could be a tool for a risk orientated and targeted follow up.

Single-nucleotide polymorphisms and the effectiveness of taxane-based chemotherapy in premenopausal breast cancer: a population-based cohort study in Denmark

Purpose

Taxane-based chemotherapy is the primary treatment for premenopausal breast cancer. Although being inconsistent, research suggests that variant alleles alter pharmacokinetics through reduced function of OATP transporters (limiting hepatic uptake), CYP-450 enzymes (hampering drug metabolism), and ABC transporters (decreasing clearance). Reduced function of DNA repair enzymes may hamper effectiveness through dose-limiting toxicities. We investigated whether single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were associated with breast cancer recurrence or mortality in premenopausal women diagnosed with breast cancer.

Methods

We conducted a population-based cohort study of premenopausal women diagnosed with non-distant metastatic breast cancer in Denmark during 2007‒2011, when guidelines recommended adjuvant combination chemotherapy (taxanes, anthracyclines, and cyclophosphamide). Using archived formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded primary tumor tissue, we genotyped 26 SNPs using TaqMan assays. Danish health registries provided data on breast cancer recurrence (through September 25, 2017) and death (through December 31, 2019). We fit Cox regression models to calculate crude hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for recurrence and mortality across genotypes.

Results

Among 2,262 women, 249 experienced recurrence (cumulative incidence: 13%) and 259 died (cumulative incidence: 16%) during follow-up (median 7.0 and 10.1 years, respectively). Mortality was increased in variant carriers of GSTP1 rs1138272 (HR: 1.30, 95% CI 0.95–1.78) and CYP3A rs10273424 (HR: 1.33, 95% CI 0.98–1.81). SLCO1B1 rs2306283 (encoding OATP1B1) variant carriers had decreased recurrence (HR: 0.82, 95% CI 0.64–1.07) and mortality (HR: 0.77, 95% CI 0.60–0.98).

Conclusion

Docetaxel effectiveness was influenced by SNPs in GSTP1, CYP3A, and SLCO1B1 in premenopausal women with non-distant metastatic breast cancer, likely related to altered docetaxel pharmacokinetics. These SNPs may help determine individual benefit from taxane-based chemotherapy.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10549-022-06596-2.

Detection of secondary metastatic breast cancer by measurement of plasma CA 15.3

BACKGROUND

Most current guidelines do not recommend the serial analysis of tumour marker CA 15.3 in the follow-up of asymptomatic patients treated for early breast cancer (EBC). These guidelines are based on small-scale studies carried out in an era with more limited treatment options than today. In our large academic centre, serial measurements of CA 15.3 are used routinely in the follow-up of EBC, whereas imaging for distant metastases is only carried out on indication.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this retrospective single-centre study, patients were included if they were treated for EBC between 1 January 2000 and 1 January 2018, diagnosed with secondary metastatic disease at least 6 months after initial surgery and had CA 15.3 available at the time of diagnosis of metastases. The primary objective was to evaluate the proportion of patients in whom metastatic disease was discovered by an increasing CA 15.3. Information on the method of metastases detection, CA 15.3 evolution and survival was collected after approval of the ethics committee.

RESULTS

At the moment of diagnosis of metastases, 451 of 730 included patients (62%) had CA 15.3 levels above the upper limit of normal (>30 kU/l). In 269 patients (37%), an increasing CA 15.3 was the first sign that led to the diagnosis of metastases. This was most frequent in luminal A-like tumours (48%) and in liver (45%) and bone (41%) localisation of metastases. By contrast, reported symptoms triggered the diagnosis of metastatic disease in 48% of the patients. Median overall survival was significantly longer when the relapse was discovered by CA 15.3 elevation versus those discovered by another trigger (abnormal clinical examination or history, abnormal laboratory tests or an incidental finding) (35 versus 22 months; P = 0.0027).

CONCLUSION

When CA 15.3 is systematically used in the follow-up of EBC patients, the diagnosis of metastatic disease is made in 37% by a CA 15.3 increase.

The development and initial validation of the Breast Cancer Recurrence instrument (BreastCaRe)-a patient-reported outcome measure for detecting symptoms of recurrence after breast cancer

PURPOSE

Patient-reported outomes (PRO) may facilitate prompt treatment. We describe the development and psychometric properties of the first instrument to monitor for symptoms of breast cancer (BC) recurrence.

METHODS

This study is nested in the MyHealth randomized trial of nurse-led follow-up based on electronically-collected PROs. We constructed items assessing symptoms of potential recurrence through expert interviews with six BC specialists in Denmark. Semi-structured cognitive interviews were carried out with a patient panel to assess acceptability and comprehensibility. Items were subsequently tested in a population of 1170 women 1-10 years after completing BC treatment. We carried out multiple-groups confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) and Rasch analysis to test dimensionality, local dependence (LD) and differential item functioning (DIF) according to sociodemographic and treatment-related factors. Clinical data was obtained from the Danish Breast Cancer Group registry.

RESULTS

Twenty-two items were generated for the Breast Cancer Recurrence instrument (BreastCaRe). Cognitive testing resulted in clearer items. Seven subscales based on general, bone, liver, lung, brain, locoregional and contralateral recurrence symptoms were proposed. Both CFA and Rasch models confirmed the factor structure. No DIF was identified. Five item pairs showed LD but all items were retained to avoid loss of clinical information. Rasch models taking LD into account were used to generate a standardized scoring table for each subscale.

CONCLUSIONS

The BreastCaRe has good content and structural validity, patient acceptability and measurement invariance. We are preparing to examine the predictive validity of this new instrument.