Risk Prediction Models for Barrett's Esophagus Discriminate Well and Are Generalizable in an External Validation Study

Construction of the Interaction Network of Hub Genes in the Progression of Barrett's Esophagus to Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

Introduction

Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is one of the histologic types of esophageal cancer with a poor prognosis. The majority of EAC originate from Barrett's esophagus (BE). There are few studies focusing on the dynamic progression of BE to EAC.

Methods

R software was used to analyze differentially expressed genes (DEGs) based on RNA-seq data of 94 normal esophageal squamous epithelial (NE) tissues, 113 BE tissues and 147 EAC tissues. The overlapping genes of DEGs between BE and EAC were analyzed by Venn diagram tool. The hub genes were selected by Cytoscape software based on the protein-protein interaction network of the overlapping genes using STRING database. The functional analysis of hub genes was performed by R software and the protein expression was identified by immunohistochemistry.

Results

In the present study, we found a large degree of genetic similarity between BE and EAC, and further identified seven hub genes (including COL1A1, TGFBI, MMP1, COL4A1, NID2, MMP12, CXCL1) which were all progressively upregulated in the progression of NE-BE-EAC. We have preliminarily uncovered the probable molecular mechanisms of these hub genes in disease development and constructed the ceRNA regulatory network of hub genes. More importantly, we explored the possibility of hub genes as biomarkers in the disease progression of NE-BE-EAC. For example, TGFBI can be used as biomarkers to predict the prognosis of EAC patients. COL1A1, NID2 and COL4A1 can be used as biomarkers to predict the response to immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) therapy. We also constructed a disease progression risk model for NE-BE-EAC based on CXCL1, MMP1 and TGFBI. Finally, the results of drug sensitivity analysis based on hub genes showed that drugs such as PI3K inhibitor TGX221, bleomycin, PKC inhibitor Midostaurin, Bcr-Abl inhibitor Dasatinib, HSP90 inhibitor 17-AAG, and Docetaxel may be potential candidates to inhibit the progression of BE to EAC.

Conclusion

This study is based on a large number of clinical samples with high credibility, which is useful for revealing the probable carcinogenic mechanism of BE to EAC and developing new clinical treatment strategies.

Low Prevalence of Endoscopic Screening for Barrett's Esophagus in a Screening-Eligible Primary Care Population

INTRODUCTION

Despite societal recommendations supporting Barrett's esophagus (BE) screening, it is unknown what proportion of eligible patients is screened in primary care. We assessed the proportion of BE screening- eligible patients evaluated in the primary care setting receiving upper esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) and identified factors associated with undergoing EGD.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of BE screening-eligible patients, as defined by the American College of Gastroenterology's BE guidelines, in a multipractice healthcare network consisting of 64 internal medicine practices and 94 family medicine (FM) practices. The proportion undergoing EGD, prevalence of BE and esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) in this group, and patient and provider factors associated with undergoing EGD were assessed. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify independent predictors of undergoing EGD.

RESULTS

Of 1,127 screening-eligible patients, the mean age was 65.2 ± 8.6 years; 45% were obese; and 61% were smokers. Seventy-three percent were seeing FM; 94% were on proton pump inhibitors; and 44% took ≥1 gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) medication. Only 39% of patients (n = 436) had undergone EGD. The overall prevalence of BE or EAC was 9.9%. Of 39 (9%) referred for BE screening as the primary indication, BE/EAC prevalence was 35.1%. Factors associated with increased odds of having EGD were symptomatic GERD despite treatment (odds ratio [OR] 12.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] 9.1-16.3), being on ≥1 GERD medication (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.0-1.9), and being an FM patient (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.1-2.1).

DISCUSSION

In this large, primary care population, only 39% of screening-eligible patients underwent EGD. Most of the examinations were triggered by refractory symptoms rather than screening referrals, highlighting a need for improved dissemination and implementation of BE screening.

Development of EndoScreen Chip, a Microfluidic Pre-Endoscopy Triage Test for Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

The current endoscopy and biopsy diagnosis of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) and its premalignant condition Barrett's esophagus (BE) is not cost-effective. To enable EAC screening and patient triaging for endoscopy, we developed a microfluidic lectin immunoassay, the EndoScreen Chip, which allows sensitive multiplex serum biomarker measurements. Here, we report the proof-of-concept deployment for the EAC biomarker Jacalin lectin binding complement C9 (JAC-C9), which we previously discovered and validated by mass spectrometry. A monoclonal C9 antibody (m26 3C9) was generated and validated in microplate ELISA, and then deployed for JAC-C9 measurement on EndoScreen Chip. Cohort evaluation (n = 46) confirmed the expected elevation of serum JAC-C9 in EAC, along with elevated total serum C9 level. Next, we asked if the small panel of serum biomarkers improves detection of EAC in this cohort when used in conjunction with patient risk factors (age, body mass index and heartburn history). Using logistic regression modeling, we found that serum C9 and JAC-C9 significantly improved EAC prediction from AUROC of 0.838 to 0.931, with JAC-C9 strongly predictive of EAC (vs. BE OR = 4.6, 95% CI: 1.6-15.6, p = 0.014; vs. Healthy OR = 4.1, 95% CI: 1.2-13.7, p = 0.024). This proof-of-concept study confirms the microfluidic EndoScreen Chip technology and supports the potential utility of blood biomarkers in improving triaging for diagnostic endoscopy. Future work will expand the number of markers on EndoScreen Chip from our list of validated EAC biomarkers.

Global burden and epidemiology of Barrett oesophagus and oesophageal cancer

Oesophageal cancer is a global health problem; in 2018 there were more than 572,000 people newly diagnosed with oesophageal cancer worldwide. There are two main histological subtypes of oesophageal cancer, oesophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) and oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), and there has been a dramatic shift in its epidemiology. While the incidence of EAC and its precursor lesion, Barrett oesophagus, has increased in Western populations over the past four decades, the incidence of ESCC has declined in most parts of the world over the same period. ESCC still accounts for the vast majority of all oesophageal cancer cases diagnosed worldwide each year. Prognosis for patients with oesophageal cancer is strongly related to stage at diagnosis. As most patients are diagnosed with late-stage disease, overall 5-year survival for oesophageal cancer remains <20%. Knowledge of epidemiology and risk factors for oesophageal cancer is essential for public health and clinical decisions about risk stratification, screening and prevention. The goal of this Review is to establish the current epidemiology of oesophageal cancer, with a particular focus on the Western world and the increasing incidence of EAC and Barrett oesophagus.

Epidemiology of Barrett's Esophagus and Esophageal Adenocarcinoma: Implications for Screening and Surveillance

In the United States, the incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma increased markedly since the 1970s with a recent stabilization. Despite evolving screening and surveillance strategies to diagnose, risk triage, and intervene in Barrett's esophagus patients to prevent esophageal adenocarcinoma, most cases present with advanced disease and poor resultant survival. Epidemiologic studies have identified the main risk factors for these conditions, including increasing age, male sex, white race, gastroesophageal reflux disease, abdominal obesity, cigarette smoking, and lack of infection with Helicobacter pylori. This review summarizes the current epidemiologic evidence with implications for screening and surveillance in Barrett's esophagus and esophageal adenocarcinoma.