Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Risk Factors Affect Liver-Related Outcomes After Direct-Acting Antiviral Treatment for Hepatitis C

Follow-up post-HCV virological response to DAA in advanced chronic liver disease

Direct-acting antivirals (DAA) achieve high virological response rates with minimal side effects for many patients. Despite their significant impact on the progression and epidemiology of hepatitis C virus (HCV) associated liver disease, the global annual incidence of chronic infections is expected to remain relatively constant, averaging 1.42 million new cases each year until 2030. Furthermore, by 2030, there will be a 14-17% increase in end-stage liver disease outcomes such as liver-related deaths, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and decompensated cirrhosis in adults aged 18 years and over. Although reductions in liver decompensation, HCC occurrence, and mortality have been shown in patients with advanced liver disease who achieved sustained virological response (SVR) with DAA, these benefits may be less significant in those with decompensated liver cirrhosis. This review aims to summarise the impact of the virological response to DAA on liver disease progression and outcomes in patients with advanced chronic liver disease, which appears to be crucial for defining patient-specific follow-up.

Predictors of liver disease outcomes in individuals with hemophilia and HCV infection

ABSTRACT

Hemophilia is an X-linked congenital bleeding disorder for which factor replacement is life-saving but complicated by the sequelae of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection acquired decades ago. Although antiviral therapy clears HCV and reduces end-stage liver disease (ESLD), it may not reverse cirrhosis or prevent hepatocellular cancer (HCC). This was a retrospective cohort study of 121 men with hemophilia and HCV infection cared for at the Hemophilia Center of Western Pennsylvania to determine the incidence and predictors of ESLD and HCC. ESLD and HCC predictors were analyzed using Fisher exact test, and HCV-associated outcomes by Kaplan-Meier time-to-event and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses. At a mean 54 years (36-80) duration of HCV, ESLD occurred in 24 (19.8%), 0.365 per 100 person-years (py); and HCC in 7 (5.8%), 0.106 per 100 py. All 46 (38.0%) alive when HCV antiviral therapy became available, received it. Overall, 31 (25.6%) were HIV+. The leading causes of death were ESLD in 11 (32.3%), bleeding in 9 (26.5%), and HCC in 6 (17.6%). Major risk factors for ESLD included platelets <100 × 103/μL (odds ratio [OR], 6.009; P = .012) and HIV infection (OR, 3.883; P = .001). The major predictors of HCC were ESLD (OR, 11.476; P = .003) and platelets <100 000/μL (OR, 6.159; P = .014). No antiviral-treated patient developed ESLD, P = .001. For men with hemophilia, the sequelae of chronic HCV infection were significant. The major risk factors for ESLD were platelets <100 000/μL and HIV infection. Despite antiviral therapy, ESLD is the most significant predictor of HCC, and ESLD is the leading cause of death.

Risk of de novo HCC in patients with MASLD following direct-acting antiviral-induced cure of HCV infection

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Data are limited on the risk of de novo hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) after achieving sustained virologic response at off-treatment week 12 (SVR12) using direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for HCV.

METHODS

A total of 1,598 eligible patients received biannual alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and liver imaging surveillance to detect de novo HCC after achieving SVR12. MASLD was defined as presence of controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) ≥248 dB/m and ≥1 cardiometabolic risk factor (CMRF). Cumulative HCC incidence was compared between patients with/without MASLD. We built univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate factors associated with HCC. Sensitivity analysis was performed using the Fine-Gray subdistribution hazards model. Additionally, we evaluated the mediation effect of MASLD on CMRFs and of CMRFs on MASLD for HCC using mediation analysis with bootstrapping.

RESULTS

The incidence rate of HCC was 1.44 per 100 person-years of follow-up (95% CI 1.19-1.74). Patients with MASLD had a higher cumulative HCC incidence than those without MASLD (log-rank test, p <0.001). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that in addition to age, sex, liver stiffness measurement, platelet count, and AFP, MASLD (adjusted hazard ratio 2.07; 95% CI 1.36-3.16; p <0.001) was independently associated with HCC. This finding was confirmed by the Fine-Gray model, which showed a subdistribution hazard ratio of 2.07 (95% CI 1.34-3.19, p <0.001) for MASLD. MASLD significantly mediated CMRFs for HCC development.

CONCLUSION

After achieving SVR12, patients with MASLD exhibited an increased HCC risk compared to those without MASLD. Vigilant HCC surveillance and control of CMRFs to mitigate the effect of MASLD on HCC remain crucial for this population.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

The risk of de novo hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) after attaining a sustained virologic response to direct-acting antivirals remains to be confirmed. In this study, recruiting 1,598 patients in Taiwan, individuals with MASLD had an approximately two-fold increased risk of de novo HCC compared to those without MASLD after achieving a sustained virologic response. MASLD significantly mediated cardiometabolic risk factors for HCC development. Our findings underscore the critical importance of pharmacological interventions and proactive lifestyle modifications to control cardiometabolic risk factors in patients with MASLD, as well as the need for vigilant HCC surveillance to ensure favorable outcomes following HCV eradication.

Epidemiology, pathophysiology and clinical aspects of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in MAFLD patients

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is undergoing a transformative shift, with metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) emerging as a dominant etiology. Diagnostic criteria for MAFLD involve hepatic steatosis and metabolic dysregulation. Globally, MAFLD prevalence stands at 38.77%, significantly linked to the escalating rates of obesity. Epidemiological data indicate a dynamic shift in the major etiologies of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), transitioning from viral to metabolic liver diseases. Besides the degree of liver fibrosis, several modifiable lifestyle risk factors, such as type 2 diabetes, obesity, alcohol use, smoking, and HBV, HCV infection contribute to the pathogenesis of HCC. Moreover  gut microbiota and genetic variants may contribute to HCC development.The pathophysiological link between MAFLD and HCC involves metabolic dysregulation, impairing glucose and lipid metabolism, inflammation and oxidative stress. Silent presentation poses challenges in early MAFLD-HCC diagnosis. Imaging, biopsy, and AI-assisted techniques aid diagnosis, while HCC surveillance in non-cirrhotic MAFLD patients remains debated.ITA.LI.CA. group proposes a survival-based algorithm for treatment based on Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) algorithm. Liver resection, transplantation, ablation, and locoregional therapies are applied based on the disease stage. Systemic treatments is promising, with initial immunotherapy results indicating a less favorable response in MAFLD-related HCC.Adopting lifestyle interventions and chemopreventive measures with medications, including aspirin, metformin, and statins, constitute promising approaches for the primary prevention of HCC.Prognosis is influenced by multiple factors, with MAFLD-HCC associated with prolonged survival. Emerging diagnostic biomarkers and epigenomic markers, show promising results for early HCC detection in the MAFLD population.

The role of treatment of hepatitis C with direct-acting antiviral agents on glycaemic control in diabetic patients: An updated systematic review and meta-analysis

Recent studies suggested that successful clearance of chronic Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) by using direct-acting antiviral (DAA) agents could improve glycemic control in patients with diabetes; however, some studies failed to identify this benefit. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the impact of sustained virologic response (SVR) after treatment with DAA agents on glycemic control. Embase, Scopus and PubMed were searched through March 26th, 2023, for all studies evaluating whether eradication of HCV infection with DAAs is associated with an impact on glycemic control. Only studies with data on glycemic control, including haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), fasting glucose, or Homeostatic Model Assessment for Insulin Resistance (HOMA-IR), at least 12-week post-SVR were included. Sixteen studies met our eligibility criteria and were included in qualitative analysis. The mean HbA1c was 8.05% (95% CI: 7.79%-8.31%) before treatment and 7.19% (95% CI: 6.98%-7.39%) after treatment. There was a significant mean absolute reduction in HbA1c of 0.72% (95% CI: 0.52%-0.93%) with high heterogeneity between studies (I2 = 91.7%). The reduction in HbA1c remained significant in the subgroup analysis at 3 months follow up post SVR [0.74% (95% CI: 0.57%-0.91%)] and at least 6 months follow up [0.66% (95% CI: 0.23%-1.10%)]. We found a significant reduction in HbA1C after SVR in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, reflecting better glycemic control with HCV eradication. This data highlights an important extrahepatic benefit of HCV eradication.

Dynamic change of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in patients with hepatitis C virus infection after achieving sustained virologic response with direct-acting antivirals

BACKGROUND

Information on the dynamics of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) among hepatitis C virus patients achieving sustained virologic response (SVR12) with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) is limited.

METHODS

We enrolled 1512 eligible participants in this prospective study. MASLD was defined by a controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) of ≥248 dB/m utilizing vibration-controlled transient elastography in conjunction with presence of  ≥1 cardiometabolic risk factor. The distribution of MASLD and the changes in CAP were evaluated before treatment and at SVR12. Forward stepwise logistic regression analyses were performed to determine factors significantly associated with the regression or emergence of MASLD.

RESULTS

The prevalence of MASLD decreased from 45.0% before treatment to 36.1% at SVR12. Among 681 participants with MASLD before treatment, 144 (21%) exhibited MASLD regression at SVR12. Conversely, among 831 participants without MASLD before treatment, 9 (1.1%) developed MASLD at SVR12. Absence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) [odds ratio (OR): 1.73, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.13-2.65, p = 0.011], age > 50 years (OR: 1.73, 95% CI: 1.11-2.68, p = 0.015), and alanine transaminase (ALT) ≤ 2 times the upper limit of normal (ULN) (OR: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.03-2.37, p = 0.035) were associated with the regression of MASLD. Presence of T2D was associated with the emergence of MASLD (OR: 5.83, 95% CI: 1.51-22.56, p = 0.011).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of MASLD decreased after achieving SVR12 with DAAs. Patients with pre-existing T2D showed a diminished probability of MASLD regression and a heightened risk of MASLD emergence post-SVR12.

After the Storm: Persistent Molecular Alterations Following HCV Cure

The development of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) against hepatitis C virus (HCV) has revolutionized the management of this pathology, as their use allows viral elimination in a large majority of patients. Nonetheless, HCV remains a major public health problem due to the multiple challenges associated with its diagnosis, treatment availability and development of a prophylactic vaccine. Moreover, HCV-cured patients still present an increased risk of developing hepatic complications such as hepatocellular carcinoma. In the present review, we aim to summarize the impact that HCV infection has on a wide variety of peripheral and intrahepatic cell populations, the alterations that remain following DAA treatment and the potential molecular mechanisms implicated in their long-term persistence. Finally, we consider how recent developments in single-cell multiomics could refine our understanding of this disease in each specific intrahepatic cell population and drive the field to explore new directions for the development of chemo-preventive strategies.

MAFLD: an optimal framework for understanding liver cancer phenotypes

Hepatocellular carcinoma has a substantial global mortality burden which is rising despite advancements in tackling the traditional viral risk factors. Metabolic (dysfunction) associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is the most prevalent liver disease, increasing in parallel with the epidemics of obesity, diabetes and systemic metabolic dysregulation. MAFLD is a major factor behind this sustained rise in HCC incidence, both as a single disease entity and often via synergistic interactions with other liver diseases. Mechanisms behind MAFLD-related HCC are complex but is crucially underpinned by systemic metabolic dysregulation with variable contributions from interacting disease modifiers related to environment, genetics, dysbiosis and immune dysregulation. MAFLD-related HCC has a distinct clinical presentation, most notably its common occurrence in non-cirrhotic liver disease. This is just one of several major challenges to effective surveillance programmes. The response of MAFLD-related HCC to immune-checkpoint therapy is currently controversial, and is further complicated by the high prevalence of MAFLD in individuals with HCC from viral aetiologies. In this review, we highlight the current data on epidemiology, clinical characteristics, outcomes and screening controversies. In addition, concepts that have arisen because of the MAFLD paradigm such as HCC in MAFLD/NAFLD non-overlapping groups, dual aetiology tumours and MAFLD sub-phenotypes is reviewed.

Long-term follow-up of HCV-infected patients with end-stage chronic kidney disease after sustained virological response with direct-acting antiviral therapy

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and hepatitis C infection can be safely and effectively treated with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). However, there is scarce data on the long-term impact of hepatitis C cure on CKD. The aim of this study was to assess the long-term mortality, morbidity and hepatic/renal function outcomes in a cohort of HCV-infected individuals with CKD treated with DAAs.

METHODS

135 HCV patients with CKD stage 3b-5 who received ombitasvir/paritaprevir/ritonavir±dasabuvir in a multicenter study were evaluated for long-term hepatic and renal outcomes and their associated mortality.

RESULTS

125 patients achieved SVR and 66 were included. Prior to SVR, 53 were under renal replacement therapy (RRT) and 25 (37.8%) had liver cirrhosis. After a follow-up of 4.5 years, 25 (38%) required kidney transplantation but none combined liver-kidney. No changes in renal function were observed among the 51 patients who did not receive renal transplant although eGFR values improved in those with baseline CKD stage 3b-4. Three (5.6%) subjects were weaned from RRT. Eighteen (27.3%) patients died, mostly from cardiovascular events; 2 developed liver decompensation and 1 hepatocellular carcinoma. No HCV reinfection was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term mortality remained high among end-stage CKD patients despite HCV cure. Overall, no improvement in renal function was observed and a high proportion of patients required kidney transplantation. However, in CKD stage 3b-4 HCV cure may play a positive role in renal function.

DapBCH: a disease association prediction model Based on Cross-species and Heterogeneous graph embedding

The study of comorbidity can provide new insights into the pathogenesis of the disease and has important economic significance in the clinical evaluation of treatment difficulty, medical expenses, length of stay, and prognosis of the disease. In this paper, we propose a disease association prediction model DapBCH, which constructs a cross-species biological network and applies heterogeneous graph embedding to predict disease association. First, we combine the human disease-gene network, mouse gene-phenotype network, human-mouse homologous gene network, and human protein-protein interaction network to reconstruct a heterogeneous biological network. Second, we apply heterogeneous graph embedding based on meta-path aggregation to generate the feature vector of disease nodes. Finally, we employ link prediction to obtain the similarity of disease pairs. The experimental results indicate that our model is highly competitive in predicting the disease association and is promising for finding potential disease associations.

Enlargement of the Spleen Index Is a Predictor of the Occurrence of Esophageal Varices and Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Administering Direct-acting Antiviral Agents

Objective Direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) can eliminate hepatitis C virus at a high rate, although the long-term incidence of portal hypertension and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has not yet been elucidated. In this observational study, we clarified the predictors associated with the incidence of esophageal varices (EVs) and HCC after DAAs treatment based on ultrasound findings and blood examinations. Methods A total of 78 patients treated with DAAs were enrolled in this study. The primary endpoint was to identify the predictors associated with EVs and HCC occurrence using univariate and multivariate analyses. Secondary endpoints were to extract the cutoff values for EVs and HCC occurrence and clarify the changes in liver stiffness (LS), spleen stiffness (SS), spleen index (SI), portal venous flow volume (PVF), and blood examination at 12 weeks after the end of DAAs treatment. Results The mean observation period was 1,402±546 days. SI change (SI after DAAs-SI before DAAs) was a predictor of EVs occurrence in multivariate analysis (p=0.045). The treatment history of HCC, albumin value before DAAs, and SI change were predictors of HCC occurrence in multivariate analysis (p=0.002, p=0.032, and p=0.009, respectively). LS, SS, PVF, SI, and liver function significantly improved after DAAs treatment. Conclusion Portal hypertension seems to improve after DAAs treatment over a long period. Patients with splenomegaly deterioration after DAAs treatment need to be carefully monitored for the occurrence of EVs and HCC.

Dynamic Changes in Non-Invasive Markers of Liver Fibrosis Are Predictors of Liver Events after SVR in HCV Patients

Objectives: The course of progressive liver damage after achieving sustained virological response (SVR) with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) remains undetermined. We aimed to determine risk factors associated with the development of liver-related events (LREs) after SVR, focusing on the utility of non-invasive markers. Methods: An observational, retrospective study that included patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) caused by hepatitis C virus (HCV), who achieved SVR with DAAs between 2014 and 2017. Patients were followed-up until December 2020. LREs were defined as the development of portal hypertension decompensation and the occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Serological markers of fibrosis were calculated before treatment and one and two years after SVR. Results: The study included 321 patients, with a median follow-up of 48 months. LREs occurred in 13.7% of patients (10% portal hypertension decompensation and 3.7% HCC). Child-Pugh [HR 4.13 (CI 95% 1.74; 9.81)], baseline FIB-4 [HR 1.12 (CI 95% 1.03; 1.21)], FIB-4 one year post-SVR [HR 1.31 (CI 95% 1.15; 1.48)] and FIB-4 two years post-SVR [HR 1.42 (CI 95% 1.23; 1.64)] were associated with portal hypertension decompensation. Older age, genotype 3, diabetes mellitus and FIB-4 before and after SVR were associated with the development of HCC. FIB-4 cut-off values one and two years post-SVR to predict portal hypertension decompensation were 2.03 and 2.21, respectively, and to predict HCC were 2.42 and 2.70, respectively. Conclusions: HCV patients with ACLD remain at risk of developing liver complications after having achieved SVR. FIB-4 evaluation before and after SVR may help to predict this risk, selecting patients who will benefit from surveillance.

Predictive plasma biomarkers of long-term increase in hepatic steatosis index after HCV eradication in HIV/HCV-coinfected patients

Hepatic steatosis is a common condition found in the liver of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients, contributing to more severe forms of liver disease. In addition, the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) may accelerate this process. Alternatively, several immune checkpoint proteins have been reported to be upregulated and correlated with disease progression during HCV and HIV infections. In steatosis, a detrimental immune system activation has been established; however, the role of the immune checkpoints has not been addressed so far. Thus, this study aimed to evaluate the association between plasma immune checkpoint proteins at baseline (before antiviral therapy) with hepatic steatosis index (HSI) increase at the end of follow-up (∼ five years after sustained virologic response (SVR)). We performed a multicenter retrospective study in 62 patients coinfected with HIV/HCV who started antiviral therapy. Immune checkpoint proteins were analyzed at baseline using a Luminex 200TM analyzer. The statistical association analysis was carried out using Generalized Linear Models (GLM) and Partial Least Squares Discriminant Analysis (PLS-DA). Fifty-three percent of the patients showed HSI increase from baseline to the end of follow-up. Higher immune checkpoint protein levels of BTLA, CD137(4-1BB), CD80, GITR, LAG-3, and PD-L1 before HCV therapy were associated with a long-term increase in HSI after successful HCV therapy, suggesting a potential predictive role for early detection of progression towards steatosis in HIV/HCV-coinfected patients.

Risk factors for liver-related and non-liver-related mortality following a sustained virological response after direct-acting antiviral treatment for hepatitis C virus infection in a real-world cohort

A direct-acting antiviral (DAA)-induced sustained virological response (SVR) reduces the risk of mortality. However, the risk factors associated with liver-related and non-liver-related mortality following a SVR after DAA treatment are unclear. We assessed the incidence and risk factors of liver-related and non-liver-related mortality in 1180 patients who achieved a SVR after DAA treatment. During the follow-up period after DAA treatment (median duration, 1099 [range: 84-2345] days), 53 (4.5%) patients died: 15 due to liver-related mortality, 25 due to non-liver-related mortality and 13 due to unknown causes. The all-cause, liver-related and non-liver-related mortality rates were 14.9, 4.2 and 7.0/1000 person-years, respectively. In a multivariate analysis, the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after DAA treatment (p = .009; hazard ratio [HR], 31.484), an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at baseline ≤61.68 ml/min/1.73 m² (p = .015; HR, 6.607), and an α-fetoprotein level post-treatment ≥7.6 ng/ml (p = .041; HR, 18.490) were significantly associated with liver-related mortality. Furthermore, eGFR ≤67.94 ml/min/1.73 m² at baseline (p = .012; HR, 3.407) and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade ≥ 2 at SVR (p = .024; HR, 3.449) were significantly associated with non-liver-related mortality. Early diagnosis and therapeutic interventions for HCC development after DAA treatment are important to reduce liver-related mortality. The ALBI grade, which reflects the hepatic functional reserve, is a useful predictor of non-liver-related mortality after a SVR induced by DAA treatment. Furthermore, the renal dysfunction caused by metabolic syndrome may affect prognosis even after eliminating hepatitis C virus.

Cannabis use as a factor of lower corpulence in hepatitis C-infected patients: results from the ANRS CO22 Hepather cohort

Background

Patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are at greater risk of developing metabolic disorders. Obesity is a major risk factor for these disorders, and therefore, managing body weight is crucial. Cannabis use, which is common in these patients, has been associated with lower corpulence in various populations. However, this relationship has not yet been studied in persons with chronic HCV infection.

Methods

Using baseline data from the French ANRS CO22 Hepather cohort, we used binary logistic and multinomial logistic regression models to test for an inverse relationship between cannabis use (former/current) and (i) central obesity (i.e., large waist circumference) and (ii) overweight and obesity (i.e., elevated body mass index (BMI)) in patients from the cohort who had chronic HCV infection. We also tested for relationships between cannabis use and both waist circumference and BMI as continuous variables, using linear regression models.

Results

Among the 6348 participants in the study population, 55% had central obesity, 13.7% had obesity according to their BMI, and 12.4% were current cannabis users. After multivariable adjustment, current cannabis use was associated with lower risk of central obesity (adjusted odds ratio, aOR [95% confidence interval, CI]: 0.45 [0.37–0.55]), BMI-based obesity (adjusted relative risk ratio (aRRR) [95% CI]: 0.27 [0.19–0.39]), and overweight (aRRR [95% CI]: 0.47 [0.38–0.59]). This was also true for former use, but to a lesser extent. Former and current cannabis use were inversely associated with waist circumference and BMI.

Conclusions

We found that former and, to a greater extent, current cannabis use were consistently associated with smaller waist circumference, lower BMI, and lower risks of overweight, obesity, and central obesity in patients with chronic HCV infection. Longitudinal studies are needed to confirm these relationships and to assess the effect of cannabis use on corpulence and liver outcomes after HCV cure.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01953458.

Hepatitis C: Problems to extinction and residual hepatic and extrahepatic lesions after sustained virological response

Loss of follow-up or reinfections hinder the expectations of hepatitis C eradication despite the existence of highly effective treatments. Moreover, the elimination of the infection does not imply the reversion of those chronic alterations derived from the previous infection by hepatitis C virus (HCV). This review analyzes the risk factors associated with loss to follow-up in diagnosis or treatment, and the possibility of reinfection. Likewise, it assesses the residual alterations induced by chronic HCV infection considering the liver alterations (inflammation, fibrosis, risk of decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation) and, on the other hand, the comorbidities and extrahepatic manifestations (cryoglobulinemia, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, peripheral insulin resistance, and lipid, bone and cognitive alterations). Peculiarities present in subjects coinfected with human immunodeficiency virus are analyzed in each section.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease-related hepatocellular carcinoma growth rates and their clinical outcomes

Aim:

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is projected to become the leading indication for liver transplantation. Previous studies indicate that tumor growth rates (TGR) may predict survival and were helpful in determining HCC surveillance intervals. Therefore, we aimed to determine its usefulness in predicting clinical outcomes and treatments.

Methods:

We conducted a retrospective study of hepatitis B, C and NAFLD-HCC cases. TGR was measured using 2-consecutive pre-treatment contrast-enhanced imaging studies ≥ 25 days apart. A multivariate regression model was used to determine predictors of TGR. In addition, the Cox regression model was used to evaluate the relationship between TGR and overall survival.

Results:

From 2000–2019, the study cohort comprised 38, 60, and 47 HBV, HCV, and NAFLD patients, respectively, with TGRs. NAFLD-HCC tumor size was inversely correlated to the extent of liver disease as measured by Child-Pugh score (7.2 cm in non-cirrhosis; 3.7 cm, 2.6 cm, and 2.1 cm in Child A, B, and C, respectively; P < 0.001). After adjusting for baseline characteristics, the TGR per month was fastest in HBV (9.4%, 95%CI: 6.3%-12.5%) compared to HCV (4.9%, 95%CI: 2.8%-7%) and NAFLD patients (3.6%, 95%CI: 1.6%-6.7%). Predictors of TGR included elevated AFP, low albumin, and smaller tumor size. Fast TGR in viral etiologies had higher mortality [adj. hazard ratio (HR) = 2.6, 95%CI: 1.2–5.7, P = 0.02] than slow TGRs, independent of treatments. Fast TGR in NAFLD had a trend towards higher mortality (HR = 3.6, 95%CI: 0.95–13.3, P = 0.059).

Conclusion:

NAFLD-HCC patients have more indolent growths than viral-related HCC TGRs. The addition of TGR as a biomarker may assist in stratifying treatment options.

Lipoxygenases in chronic liver diseases: current insights and future perspectives

Chronic liver diseases (CLDs) caused by viral infections, alcohol/drug abuse, or metabolic disorders affect millions of people globally and have increased mortality owing to the lack of approved therapies. Lipoxygenases (LOXs) are a family of multifaceted enzymes that are responsible for the oxidation of polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) and are implicated in the pathogenesis of multiple disorders including liver diseases. This review describes the three main LOX signaling pathways - 5-, 12-, and 15-LOX - and their involvement in CLDs. We also provide recent insights and future perspectives on LOX-related hepatic pathophysiology, and discuss the potential of LOXs and LOX-derived metabolites as diagnostic biomarkers and therapeutic targets in CLDs.

Adapted time-varying covariates Cox model for predicting future cirrhosis development performs well in a large hepatitis C cohort

Background

Patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) frequently remain at risk for cirrhosis after sustained virologic response (SVR). Existing cirrhosis predictive models for HCV do not account for dynamic antiviral treatment status and are limited by fixed laboratory covariates and short follow up time. Advanced fibrosis assessment modalities, such as transient elastography, remain inaccessible in many settings. Improved cirrhosis predictive models are needed.

Methods

We developed a laboratory-based model to predict progression of liver disease after SVR. This prediction model used a time-varying covariates Cox model adapted to utilize longitudinal laboratory data and to account for antiretroviral treatment. Individuals were included if they had a history of detectable HCV RNA and at least 2 AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) scores available in the national Veterans Health Administration from 2000 to 2015, Observation time extended through January 2019. We excluded individuals with preexisting cirrhosis. Covariates included baseline patient characteristics and 16 time-varying laboratory predictors. SVR, defined as permanently undetectable HCV RNA after antiviral treatment, was modeled as a step function of time. Cirrhosis development was defined as two consecutive APRI scores > 2. We predicted cirrhosis development at 1-, 3-, and 5-years follow-up.

Results

In a national sample of HCV patients (n = 182,772) with a mean follow-up of 6.32 years, 42% (n = 76,854) achieved SVR before 2016 and 16.2% (n = 29,566) subsequently developed cirrhosis. The model demonstrated good discrimination for predicting cirrhosis across all combinations of laboratory data windows and cirrhosis prediction intervals. AUROCs ranged from 0.781 to 0.815, with moderate sensitivity 0.703–0.749 and specificity 0.723–0.767.

Conclusion

A novel adaptation of time-varying covariates Cox modeling technique using longitudinal laboratory values and dynamic antiviral treatment status accurately predicts cirrhosis development at 1-, 3-, and 5-years among patients with HCV, with and without SVR. It improves upon earlier cirrhosis predictive models and has many potential population-based applications, especially in settings without transient elastography available.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12911-021-01711-7.

Dysmetabolism, Diabetes and Clinical Outcomes in Patients Cured of Chronic Hepatitis C: A Real-Life Cohort Study

The aim of this study was to examine the impact of features of dysmetabolism on liver disease severity, evolution, and clinical outcomes in a real‐life cohort of patients treated with direct acting antivirals for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. To this end, we considered 7,007 patients treated between 2014 and 2018, 65.3% with advanced fibrosis, of whom 97.7% achieved viral eradication (NAVIGATORE‐Lombardia registry). In a subset (n = 748), liver stiffness measurement (LSM) was available at baseline and follow‐up. Higher body mass index (BMI; odds ratio [OR] 1.06 per kg/m², 1.03‐1.09) and diabetes (OR 2.01 [1.65‐2.46]) were independently associated with advanced fibrosis at baseline, whereas statin use was protective (OR 0.46 [0.35‐0.60]; P < 0.0001 for all). The impact of BMI was greater in those without diabetes (P = 0.003). Diabetes was independently associated with less pronounced LSM improvement after viral eradication (P = 0.001) and in patients with advanced fibrosis was an independent predictor of the most frequent clinical events, namely de novo hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC; hazard ratio [HR] 2.09 [1.20‐3.63]; P = 0.009) and cardiovascular events (HR 2.73 [1.16‐6.43]; P = 0.021). Metformin showed a protective association against HCC (HR 0.32 [0.11‐0.96]; P = 0.043), which was confirmed after adjustment for propensity score (P = 0.038). Diabetes diagnosis further refined HCC prediction in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease at high baseline risk (P = 0.024). Conclusion: Metabolic comorbidities were associated with advanced liver fibrosis at baseline, whereas statins were protective. In patients with advanced fibrosis, diabetes increased the risk of de novo HCC and of cardiovascular events. Optimization of metabolic comorbidities treatment by a multi‐disciplinary management approach may improve cardiovascular and possibly liver‐related outcomes.

MAFLD Enhances Clinical Practice for Liver Disease in the Asia-Pacific region

Fatty liver is now a major cause of liver disease in the Asia-Pacific region. Liver diseases in this region have distinctive characteristics. First, fatty liver is frequently observed in lean/normal-weight individuals. However, there is no standard definition of this unique phenotype. Second, fatty liver is often observed in patients with concomitant viral hepatitis. The exclusion of viral hepatitis from non-alcoholic fatty liver disease limits its value and detracts from the investigation and holistic management of coexisting fatty liver in patients with viral hepatitis. Third, fatty liver-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is generally categorized as non-B non-C HCC. Fourth, the population is aging rapidly, and it is imperative to develop a practicable, low-intensity exercise program for elderly patients. Fifth, most patients and non-specialized healthcare professionals still lack an awareness of the significance of fatty liver both in terms of intrahepatic and extrahepatic disease and cancer. Recently, an international expert panel proposed a new definition of fatty liver: metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). One feature of MAFLD is that metabolic dysfunction is a prerequisite for diagnosis. Pertinent to regional issues, MAFLD also provides its diagnostic criteria in lean/normal-weight individuals. Furthermore, MAFLD is independent of any concomitant liver disease, including viral hepatitis. Therefore, MAFLD may be a more suitable definition for fatty liver in the Asia-Pacific region. In this review, we introduce the regional characteristics of fatty liver and discuss the advantages of MAFLD for improving clinical practice for liver disease in the region.

Diabetes Mellitus Increases the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Direct-Acting Antiviral Therapy: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: Hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients treated with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are still at risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after sustained virologic response (SVR). This study aimed to investigate the role of diabetes mellitus (DM) as a potential predictive risk factor in developing de novo HCC in HCV-infected patients after DAA treatment. Methods: This study was registered on PROSPERO under registration number CRD42021230457. We performed a systematic search in four medical databases from inception through November 3rd, 2020. Studies were eligible if they reported on HCV-infected patients treated with DAAs and compared the frequency of de novo HCC in patients with and without DM. We calculated pooled odds ratios, unadjusted (UHR), and adjusted hazard ratios (AHR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) in meta-analysis. Results: We included 30 articles in our systematic review and meta-analysis. DM proved to be a significant risk factor of HCC in DAA-treated HCV patients in unadjusted (UHR = 1.44, CI: 1.15-1.79) and adjusted analyses (AHR = 1.31, CI: 1.06-1.62). In the group of patients achieving SVR after DAA therapy, DM increased the risk of HCC in unadjusted (UHR = 1.3, CI: 1.09-1.51) analysis; however, in adjusted results, the risk was non-significant (AHR = 1.07, CI: 0.89-1.28). In patients with advanced liver fibrosis, DM was a risk factor for HCC in adjusted (AHR = 1.36, CI: 1.03-1.8), but not in unadjusted analysis (UHR = 1.11, CI: 0.8-1.42). Conclusions: DM is an independent risk factor of de novo HCC after DAA treatment in HCV-infected patients. Systematic Review Registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=230457, identifier: CRD42021230457.

Residual risk of liver disease after hepatitis C virus eradication

Treatment of hepatitis C with direct-acting antivirals is safe and highly efficacious, resulting in viral clearance (sustained virological response [SVR]) in the vast majority of patients. Although SVR is mostly permanent and associated with a significant reduction of liver morbidity and mortality, some patients may still suffer from a major risk of progressive liver damage, potentially leading to severe complications - including liver decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma and death. This concise review discusses some of the most important features of residual liver disease in patients with chronic hepatitis C who have achieved SVR after antiviral therapy.