Clinico-Radiologic Nomogram Using Multiphase CT to Predict Lymph Node Metastasis in Colon Cancer

Correlation between abdominal computed tomography signs and postoperative prognosis for patients with colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Patients with different stages of colorectal cancer (CRC) exhibit different abdominal computed tomography (CT) signs. Therefore, the influence of CT signs on CRC prognosis must be determined.

AIM

To observe abdominal CT signs in patients with CRC and analyze the correlation between the CT signs and postoperative prognosis.

METHODS

The clinical history and CT imaging results of 88 patients with CRC who underwent radical surgery at Xingtan Hospital Affiliated to Shunde Hospital of Southern Medical University were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to explore the independent risk factors for postoperative death in patients with CRC. The three-year survival rate was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier curve, and the correlation between postoperative survival time and abdominal CT signs in patients with CRC was analyzed using Spearman correlation analysis.

RESULTS

For patients with CRC, the three-year survival rate was 73.86%. The death group exhibited more severe characteristics than the survival group. A multivariate Cox regression model analysis showed that body mass index (BMI), degree of periintestinal infiltration, tumor size, and lymph node CT value were independent factors influencing postoperative death (P < 0.05 for all). Patients with characteristics typical to the death group had a low three-year survival rate (log-rank χ 2 = 66.487, 11.346, 12.500, and 27.672, respectively, P < 0.05 for all). The survival time of CRC patients was negatively correlated with BMI, degree of periintestinal infiltration, tumor size, lymph node CT value, mean tumor long-axis diameter, and mean tumor short-axis diameter (r = -0.559, 0.679, -0.430, -0.585, -0.425, and -0.385, respectively, P < 0.05 for all). BMI was positively correlated with the degree of periintestinal invasion, lymph node CT value, and mean tumor short-axis diameter (r = 0.303, 0.431, and 0.437, respectively, P < 0.05 for all).

CONCLUSION

The degree of periintestinal infiltration, tumor size, and lymph node CT value are crucial for evaluating the prognosis of patients with CRC.

Diagnostic accuracy and reliability of CT-based Node-RADS for colon cancer

OBJECTIVE

The Node-RADS classification was recently published as a classification system to better characterize lymph nodes in oncological imaging. The present analysis investigated the diagnostic benefit of the Node-RADS classification of staging computed tomography (CT) images to categorize and stage lymph nodes in patients with colon cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All patients were surgically resected and the lymph nodes were histopathological analyzed. All investigated lymph nodes were scored in accordance to the Node-RADS classification by two experienced radiologists. Interreader variability was assessed with Cohen's kappa analysis, discrimination analysis was performed with Mann-Whitney-U test and diagnostic accuracy was assessed with receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS

Overall, 108 patients (n = 49 females, 45.3%) with a mean age of 70.08 ± 14.34 years were included. In discrimination analysis, the total Node-RADS score showed statistically significant differences between N- and N + stage (for reader 1: mean 1.89 ± 1.09 score for N- versus 2.93 ± 1.62 score for N+, for reader 2: 1.33 ± 0.48 score for N- versus 3.65 ± 0.94 score for N+, p = 0.001, respectively). ROC curve analysis for lymph node discrimination showed an area under the curve of 0.68. A threshold value of 2 resulted in a sensitivity of 0.62 and a specificity of 0.71.

CONCLUSION

Node-RADS score derived from staging CT shows only limited diagnostic accuracy to correctly predict nodal positivity in colon cancer. The interreader variability seems to be high and should question the clinical translation for this tumour entity.

Application of radiomics for preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis in colorectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer (CRC) stands as the third most prevalent cancer globally, projecting 3.2 million new cases and 1.6 million deaths by 2040. Accurate lymph node metastasis (LNM) detection is critical for determining optimal surgical approaches, including preoperative neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery, which significantly influence CRC prognosis. However, conventional imaging lacks adequate precision, prompting exploration into radiomics, which addresses this shortfall by converting medical images into reproducible, quantitative data.

METHODS

Following PRISMA, Supplemental Digital Content 1 (http://links.lww.com/JS9/C77) and Supplemental Digital Content 2 (http://links.lww.com/JS9/C78), and AMSTAR-2 guidelines, Supplemental Digital Content 3 (http://links.lww.com/JS9/C79), we systematically searched PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Google Scholar databases until 11 January 2024, to evaluate radiomics models' diagnostic precision in predicting preoperative LNM in CRC patients. The quality and bias risk of the included studies were assessed using the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS) and the modified Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. Subsequently, statistical analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

Thirty-six studies encompassing 8039 patients were included, with a significant concentration in 2022-2023 (20/36). Radiomics models predicting LNM demonstrated a pooled area under the curve (AUC) of 0.814 (95% CI: 0.78-0.85), featuring sensitivity and specificity of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.69, 0.84) and 0.73 (95% CI: 0.67, 0.78), respectively. Subgroup analyses revealed similar AUCs for CT and MRI-based models, and rectal cancer models outperformed colon and colorectal cancers. Additionally, studies utilizing cross-validation, 2D segmentation, internal validation, manual segmentation, prospective design, and single-center populations tended to have higher AUCs. However, these differences were not statistically significant. Radiologists collectively achieved a pooled AUC of 0.659 (95% CI: 0.627, 0.691), significantly differing from the performance of radiomics models (P<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Artificial intelligence-based radiomics shows promise in preoperative lymph node staging for CRC, exhibiting significant predictive performance. These findings support the integration of radiomics into clinical practice to enhance preoperative strategies in CRC management.

A clinical-radiomics nomogram based on spectral CT multi-parameter images for preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis in colorectal cancer

To develop a clinical-radiomics nomogram based on spectral CT multi-parameter images for predicting lymph node metastasis in colorectal cancer. A total of 76 patients with colorectal cancer and 156 lymph nodes were included. The clinical data of the patients were collected, including gender, age, tumor location and size, preoperative tumor markers, etc. Three sets of conventional images in the arterial, venous, and delayed phases were obtained, and six sets of spectral images were reconstructed using the arterial phase spectral data, including virtual monoenergetic images (40 keV, 70 keV, 100 keV), iodine density maps, iodine no water maps, and virtual non-contrast images. Radiomics features of lymph nodes were extracted from the above images, respectively. Univariate analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression were used to select features. A clinical model was constructed based on age and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels. The radiomics features selected were used to generate a composed radiomics signature (Com-RS). A nomogram was developed using age, CEA, and the Com-RS. The models' prediction efficiency, calibration, and clinical application value were evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis, respectively. The nomogram outperforms the clinical model and the Com-RS (AUC = 0.879, 0.824). It is well calibrated and has great clinical application value. This study developed a clinical-radiomics nomogram based on spectral CT multi-parameter images, which can be used as an effective tool for preoperative personalized prediction of lymph node metastasis in colorectal cancer.

KRAS status predicted by pretreatment MRI radiomics was associated with lung metastasis in locally advanced rectal cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Mutated KRAS may indicate an invasive nature and predict prognosis in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). We aimed to establish a radiomic model using pretreatment T2W MRIs to predict KRAS status and explore the association between the KRAS status or model predictions and lung metastasis.

METHODS

In this retrospective multicentre study, LARC patients from two institutions between January 2012 and January 2019 were randomly divided into training and testing cohorts. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and the support vector machine (SVM) classifier were utilized to select significant radiomic features and establish a prediction model, which was validated by radiomic score distribution and decision curve analysis. The association between the model stratification and lung metastasis was investigated by Cox regression and Kaplan‒Meier survival analysis; the results were compared by the log-rank test.

RESULTS

Overall, 103 patients were enrolled (73 and 30 in the training and testing cohorts, respectively). The median follow-up was 38.1 months (interquartile range: 26.9, 49.4). The radiomic model had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.983 in the training cohort and 0.814 in the testing cohort. Using a cut-off of 0.679 defined by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, patients with a high radiomic score (RS) had a higher risk for lung metastasis (HR 3.565, 95% CI 1.337, 9.505, p = 0.011), showing similar predictive performances for the mutant and wild-type KRAS groups (HR 3.225, 95% CI 1.249, 8.323, p = 0.016, IDI: 1.08%, p = 0.687; NRI 2.23%, p = 0.766).

CONCLUSIONS

We established and validated a radiomic model for predicting KRAS status in LARC. Patients with high RS experienced more lung metastases. The model could noninvasively detect KRAS status and may help individualize clinical decision-making.

Development and validation of a combined nomogram for predicting perineural invasion status in rectal cancer via computed tomography-based radiomics

AIM

This study aimed to create and validate a clinic-radiomics nomogram based on computed tomography (CT) imaging for predicting preoperative perineural invasion (PNI) of rectal cancer (RC).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This study enrolled 303 patients with RC who were divided into training (n = 242) and test datasets (n = 61) in an 8:2 ratio with all their clinical outcomes. A total of 3,296 radiomic features were extracted from CT images. Five machine learning (ML) models (logistic regression (LR)/K-nearest neighbor (KNN)/multilayer perceptron (MLP)/support vector machine (SVM)/light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM)) were developed using radiomic features derived from the arterial and venous phase images, and the model with the best diagnostic performance was selected. By combining the radiomics and clinical signatures, a fused nomogram model was constructed.

RESULTS

After using the Mann-Whitney U-test and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) to remove redundant features, the MLP model proved to be the most efficient among the five ML models. The fusion nomogram based on MLP prediction probability further improves the ability to predict the PNI status. The area under the curve (AUC) of the training and test sets was 0.883 and 0.889, respectively, which were higher than those of the clinical (training set, AUC = 0.710; test set, AUC = 0.762) and radiomic models (training set, AUC = 0.840; test set, AUC = 0.834).

CONCLUSIONS

The clinical-radiomics combined nomogram model based on enhanced CT images efficiently predicted the PNI status of patients with RC.