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Xu Q, Yu R, Guo L. Evaluation of forest ecosystem resilience to drought considering lagged effects of drought. Ecol Evol 2024; 14:e70281. [PMID: 39263459 PMCID: PMC11387464 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.70281] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/13/2024] [Revised: 08/25/2024] [Accepted: 08/28/2024] [Indexed: 09/13/2024] Open
Abstract
Drought can cause significant disruption to forest ecosystems and may have long-term impacts on the structure and function of ecosystems after the end of drought. This is the key to quantifying the ability of ecosystem to respond to disturbance events by comprehensively analyzing the impact of drought on vegetation, the lagged effect, and ecosystem resilience to drought. This article takes broad-leaved forests and coniferous forests in multiple temperature zones of China as the object of study, using distributed lagged nonlinear model (DLNM) to construct a systematic method. Our results show that the main sensitive lagged time for coniferous forests and broad-leaved forests is the first 3 months in various temperature zones, with the strongest lagged effect in the month when the drought incidents occur. Coping capacity represents ecosystems to remain stable during droughts, and we quantified the indicator by the ratio of the resistance (the difference between NDVI value before the drought and during the drought) to recovery (the difference between NDVI value after the drought and during the drought). When dealing with intensive drought events, the coping capacity of subtropical broad-leaved forests (-0.67) and tropical broad-leaved forests (-0.88) exhibit the strongest coping capacity (value tends to -1). Overall, vegetation growth in subtropical and tropical regions is less affected by drought compared to temperate and cold temperate zones. The research results help us understand the comprehensive impact of drought on vegetation and the strategies for different vegetation to cope with drought.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qingfeng Xu
- Yellow River Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd. Zhengzhou China
| | - Ruyue Yu
- College of Land Science and Technology China Agricultural University Beijing China
| | - Lili Guo
- Yellow River Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd. Zhengzhou China
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Shi T, Ma H, Li D, Pan L, Wang T, Li R, Ren X. Prenatal exposure to fine particulate matter chemical constituents and the risk of stillbirth and the mediating role of pregnancy complications: A cohort study. CHEMOSPHERE 2024; 349:140858. [PMID: 38048830 DOI: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2023.140858] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/09/2023] [Revised: 11/15/2023] [Accepted: 11/28/2023] [Indexed: 12/06/2023]
Abstract
Evidence on the association of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure with stillbirth is limited and inconsistent, which is largely attributed to differences in PM2.5 constituents. Studies have found that the hazards of certain PM2.5 constituents to the fetus are comparable to or even higher than total PM2.5 mass. However, few studies have linked PM2.5 constituents to stillbirth. Moreover, the mediating role of pregnancy complications in PM2.5-related stillbirth remains unclear. To our knowledge, this study was the first to explore the individual and mixed associations of PM2.5 and its constituents with stillbirth in China. After matching the concentrations of PM2.5 and its constituents (sulfate [SO42-], nitrate [NO3-], ammonium [NH4+], organic matter [OM], and black carbon [BC]) for participants according to their geographical location, there were 170,507 participants included in this study. We found that stillbirth was associated with exposure to PM2.5 and its constituents in the year before pregnancy and during the entire pregnancy, and the associations in trimester 1 were strongest. The risk of stillbirth increased sharply when PM2.5 and its constituents during pregnancy exceeded the median concentrations. Moreover, stillbirth was associated with exposure to the mixtures of SO42-, NO3-, NH4+, OM, and BC before and during pregnancy (trimesters 1 and 2). Meanwhile, two-pollutant models also suggested stillbirth was associated with PM2.5 and its constituents in the year before and during pregnancy. The associations of PM2.5 and its constituents with stillbirth were stronger in mothers with advanced age and without cesarean delivery history. Additionally, hypertensive disorders in pregnancy, gestational diabetes, and placental abruption mediated the association of PM2.5 with stillbirth. Therefore, enhanced protection against PM2.5 for pregnant women before and during pregnancy and targeted interventions for pregnancy complications and anthropogenic sources of PM2.5 constituents are important to reduce stillbirth risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tianshan Shi
- Institute of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, China
| | - Hanping Ma
- Lanzhou Maternal and Child Health Hospital, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, China
| | - Donghua Li
- Institute of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, China
| | - Li Pan
- Lanzhou Maternal and Child Health Hospital, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, China
| | - Tingrong Wang
- Institute of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, China
| | - Rui Li
- Institute of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, China
| | - Xiaowei Ren
- Institute of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, China.
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