C-Reactive Protein on Postoperative Day 1 Is a Reliable Predictor of Pancreas-Specific Complications After Pancreaticoduodenectomy

The role of clinically relevant intra-abdominal collections after pancreaticoduodenectomy : Clinical impact and predictors. A retrospective analysis from a European tertiary centre

BACKGROUND

There is controversial evidence regarding the impact of clinically relevant postoperative intra-abdominal collections (CR-IC) on the clinical course after pancreaticoduodenectomy. C-reactive Protein (CRP) has been validated as a predictor of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF). Still, its role in predicting CR-IC has not been studied.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients who underwent PD at a tertiary hospital between October 2012 and October 2017. The incidence of CR-IC, clinically relevant POPF and other complications, as well as mortality and length of hospitalisation, was retrieved. The impact of CR-IR on mortality and major complications was analysed. The serum CRP levels were retrieved on the third and fifth postoperative days (POD3 and POD5), followed by an analysis of sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve to predict CR-IC using CRP.

RESULTS

One hundred forty patients were enrolled following inclusion and exclusion criteria. The mean age was 66.5 years (15-83). The incidence of CR-IC was 33.7% (47), and CR-POPF was 24.3%. Pancreatic duct diameter ≤ 4 mm was identified as a risk factor related to CR-IC occurrence. The group of patients who developed CR-IC after PD exhibited a higher rate of complications Clavien-Dindo ≥ III compared to patients without CR-IC (40.4% vs 7.5%, p < 0.001), as well as other events such as admission to the intensive care unit (25.5% vs 4.3%, p < 0.001), the incidence of CR-POPF (66% vs 3.2%, p < 0.001), prolonged hospital stay (32 vs 13 days, p < 0.001), postoperative haemorrhage (23.4 vs 5.4%, p = 0.002), and delayed gastric empty (38.8% vs 11.8%, p < 0.001) respectively. Logistic regression analysis identified CR-IC related to POPF as a risk factor for Clavien-Dindo > III: OR = 10.6 (95% CI: 3.90-28.7). No differences in mortality were reported between the CR-IC group and non-CR-IC group. CRP at postoperative day 3 (POD3) > 17.55 mg/dl and CRP at postoperative day 5 (POD5) > 13.46 mg/dl were predictors of CR-IC (AUC: 0.731 and AUC:0.821, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

CR-IC has a significant impact after pancreaticoduodenectomy and is associated with a higher incidence of Clavien-Dindo ≥ III complications. Additionally, CRP levels at POD3 and POD5 play a role in predicting CR-IC. Prospective studies are essential to explore strategies for mitigating the occurrence of CR-IC after PD.

C-Reactive Protein: Pathophysiology, Diagnosis, False Test Results and a Novel Diagnostic Algorithm for Clinicians

The current literature provides a body of evidence on C-Reactive Protein (CRP) and its potential role in inflammation. However, most pieces of evidence are sparse and controversial. This critical state-of-the-art monography provides all the crucial data on the potential biochemical properties of the protein, along with further evidence on its potential pathobiology, both for its pentameric and monomeric forms, including information for its ligands as well as the possible function of autoantibodies against the protein. Furthermore, the current evidence on its potential utility as a biomarker of various diseases is presented, of all cardiovascular, respiratory, hepatobiliary, gastrointestinal, pancreatic, renal, gynecological, andrological, dental, oral, otorhinolaryngological, ophthalmological, dermatological, musculoskeletal, neurological, mental, splenic, thyroid conditions, as well as infections, autoimmune-supposed conditions and neoplasms, including other possible factors that have been linked with elevated concentrations of that protein. Moreover, data on molecular diagnostics on CRP are discussed, and possible etiologies of false test results are highlighted. Additionally, this review evaluates all current pieces of evidence on CRP and systemic inflammation, and highlights future goals. Finally, a novel diagnostic algorithm to carefully assess the CRP level for a precise diagnosis of a medical condition is illustrated.

Serum amylase on postoperative day 1 is superior to serum lipase in predicting clinically relevant pancreatic fistula after partial pancreaticoduodenectomy

PURPOSE

To compare the predictive value of serum amylase and lipase regarding the occurrence of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (cr-POPF) after partial pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD).

METHODS

Data from 228 consecutive patients undergoing PD were obtained from a prospective database. Serum amylase and lipase were measured on postoperative days (PODs) 0-2. Receiver-operating characteristics analysis was performed and cutoff values were tested using logistic regression.

RESULTS

Serum amylase had a larger area under the curve (AUC) on POD1 (AUC 0.89, p <0.001) than serum lipase. For serum amylase POD 1, a cutoff value of 70 U/l showed sensitivity and specificity of 100% and 70% for the diagnosis of cr-POPF. Serum amylase POD 1 > 70 U/l (OR 9.815, 95% CI 3.683-26.152, p < 0.001), drain amylase POD 1 > 300 U/l (OR 2.777, 95% CI 1.071-7.197, p= 0.036), and a small (≤ 3mm) pancreatic duct diameter (OR 3.705, 95% CI 1.426-9.627, p= 0.007) were significant predictors of cr-POPF in the multivariable analysis. Patients were divided into three risk groups based on serum amylase POD 1 and pancreatic duct diameter. This model had a good performance in discriminating cr-POPF (AUC 0.846, 95% CI 0.793-0.898). The sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value for the combination of serum amylase POD 1 <70 U/l and pancreatic duct diameter >3 mm were 100%, 70%, and 100%.

CONCLUSION

Serum amylase POD 1 was superior to serum lipase in predicting cr-POPF after PD. The proposed risk prediction model had a sensitivity and negative predictive value of 100%, allowing for early identification of cr-POPF.

C-reactive protein postoperative values to predict clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after distal pancreatectomy

INTRODUCTION

despite significant medical and technological advances, the incidence of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after distal pancreatectomy (DP) is reported to be between 3-45 %. The main objective of this study was to analyze the early post-surgical risk factors for developing POPF after DP.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

a retrospective observational study was performed on a prospective basis of patients undergoing DP in a tertiary hospital from January 2011 to December 2021. Sociodemographic, preoperative analytical, tumor-related and postoperative complications variables were analyzed.

RESULTS

of the 52 patients analyzed, 71.8 % of the sample had postoperative drains amylase elevation. However, 25.7 % of the total had grade-B and/or grade-C POPF. Univariate logistic regression with the variables studied showed the following as risk factors for B-C or clinically relevant POPF: amylase values in drainage at the 5th postoperative day (POD) (p = 0.097; 1.01 [1-1.01]), preoperative BMI (p = 0.015; 1.27 [1.04-1.55]) and C-reactive protein (CRP) value at the 3rd POD (p = 0.034; 1.01 [1.01-1.02]). The ROC curve of CRP value at the 3rd POD showed an area under the curve of 0.764 (95 % CI: 0.6-0.93) and the best cut-off point was 190 mg/l (sensitivity 89 % and specificity 67 %).

CONCLUSIONS

CRP value at the 3rd POD is a predictive factor for POPF after DP. Early detection of patients at risk of POPF based on these characteristics could have an impact on their postoperative management.

A Simple Classification of Pancreatic Duct Size and Texture Predicts Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula: A classification of the International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to develop a classification system for pancreas-associated risk factors in pancreatoduodenectomy (PD).

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is the most relevant PD-associated complication. A simple standardized surgical reporting system based on pancreas-associated risk factors is lacking.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was conducted to identify studies investigating clinically relevant (CR) POPF (CR-POPF) and pancreas-associated risk factors after PD. A meta-analysis of CR-POPF rate for texture of the pancreas (soft vs not-soft) and main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter was performed using the Mantel-Haenszel method. Based on the results, the International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery (ISGPS) proposes the following classification: A, not-soft (hard) texture and MPD >3 mm; B, not-soft (hard) texture and MPD ≤3 mm; C, soft texture and MPD >3 mm; D, soft texture and MPD ≤3 mm. The classification was evaluated in a multi-institutional, international cohort.

RESULTS

Of the 2917 articles identified, 108 studies were included in the analyses. Soft pancreatic texture was significantly associated with the development of CR-POPF [odds ratio (OR) 4.24, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.67-4.89, P < 0.01) following PD. Similarly, MPD diameter ≤3 mm significantly increased CR-POPF risk compared with >3 mm diameter MPDs (OR 3.66, 95% CI 2.62-5.12, P < 0.01). The proposed 4-stage system was confirmed in an independent cohort of 5533 patients with CR-POPF rates of 3.5%, 6.2%, 16.6%, and 23.2% for type A-D, respectively ( P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

For future pancreatic surgical outcomes studies, the ISGPS recommends reporting these risk factors according to the proposed classification system for better comparability of results.

Complications of modern pancreaticoduodenectomy: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

In the past decades, the perioperative management of patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) has undergone major changes worldwide. This review aimed to systematically determine the burden of complications of PD performed in the last 10 years.

DATA SOURCES

A systematic review was conducted in PubMed for randomized controlled trials and observational studies reporting postoperative complications in at least 100 PDs from January 2010 to April 2020. Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane RoB2 tool for randomized studies and the methodological index for non-randomized studies (MINORS). Pooled complication rates were estimated using random-effects meta-analysis. Heterogeneity was investigated by subgroup analysis and meta-regression.

RESULTS

A total of 20 randomized and 49 observational studies reporting 63 229 PDs were reviewed. Mean MINORS score showed a high risk of bias in non-randomized studies, while one quarter of the randomized studies were assessed to have high risk of bias. Pooled incidences of 30-day mortality, overall complications and serious complications were 1.7% (95% CI: 0.9%-2.9%; I² = 95.4%), 54.7% (95% CI: 46.4%-62.8%; I² = 99.4%) and 25.5% (95% CI: 21.8%-29.4%; I²= 92.9%), respectively. Clinically-relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula risk was 14.3% (95% CI: 12.4%-16.3%; I² = 92.0%) and mean length of stay was 14.8 days (95% CI: 13.6-16.1; I² = 99.3%). Meta-regression partially attributed the observed heterogeneity to the country of origin of the study, the study design and the American Society of Anesthesiologists class.

CONCLUSIONS

Pooled complication rates estimated in this study may be used to counsel patients scheduled to undergo a PD and to set benchmarks against which centers can audit their practice. However, cautious interpretation is necessary due to substantial heterogeneity.

External Validation of a Risk Model for Severe Complications following Pancreatoduodenectomy Based on Three Preoperative Variables

BACKGROUND

Pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) is the only cure for periampullary and pancreatic cancer. It has morbidity rates of 40-60%, with severe complications in 30%. Prediction models to predict complications are crucial. A risk model for severe complications was developed by Schroder et al. based on BMI, ASA classification and Hounsfield Units of the pancreatic body on the preoperative CT scan. These variables were independent predictors for severe complications upon internal validation. Our aim was to externally validate this model using an independent cohort of patients.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed on 318 patients who underwent PD at our institution from 2013 to 2021. The outcome of interest was severe complications Clavien-Dindo ≥ IIIa. Model calibration, discrimination and performance were assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 308 patients were included. Patients with incomplete data were excluded. A total of 89 (28.9%) patients had severe complications. The externally validated model achieved: C-index = 0.67 (95% CI: 0.60-0.73), regression coefficient = 0.37, intercept = 0.13, Brier score = 0.25.

CONCLUSIONS

The performance ability, discriminative power, and calibration of this model were acceptable. Our risk calculator can help surgeons identify high-risk patients for post-operative complications to improve shared decision-making and tailor perioperative management.

Role of inflammatory and nutritional markers in predicting complications after pancreaticoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

Pancreaticoduodenectomy is associated with considerable morbidity and mortality rates. Early recognition of patients likely to develop severe postoperative complications will allow the timely commencement of a tailored approach. This study aimed to predict postoperative complications using inflammatory and nutritional markers measured early in the postoperative period.

METHODS

Patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy between June 2019 and November 2020 were included in the study. Postoperative pancreatic fistula, delayed gastric emptying, and postoperative pancreatic hemorrhage were graded according to the International Study Group of Pancreatic Fistula and the International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery. We also documented other complications such as wound infection, intra-abdominal collection, and nonsurgical complications. Nutritional and inflammatory markers were analyzed on postoperative days 1 and 3. Patients were followed up for 30 days or until discharge, depending on which was longer.

RESULTS

Of the 58 enrolled patients, 51 were included in the study. The incidence of postoperative pancreatic fistula was 51% (clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula 27.4%), delayed gastric emptying was 80.4% (clinically relevant delayed gastric emptying 43%), postoperative pancreatic hemorrhage was 3.9%, intra-abdominal collection was 23.5%, and wound infection was 29.4%. The median drain fluid interlukin-6 levels on postoperative day 1 and postoperative day 3 were significantly higher in patients developing clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula than in those who did not develop clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula on postoperative day 1 (211 [125, 425] fg/dL vs 99 [15, 170] fg/dL, [P = .045]) and on postoperative day 3 (110 [22, 28] fg/dL vs 10 [1.8, 45] fg/dL [P = .002]). Patients who tested negative for urine trypsinogen-2 on postoperative day 3 had a significantly lower probability of developing clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula than those who tested positive (1 vs 24 [P < .001]). A model comprising both drain fluid interlukin-6 and urine trypsinogen-2 on postoperative day 3 definitively ruled out the occurrence of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula.

CONCLUSION

Drain fluid interlukin-6 and urine trypsinogen-2 on postoperative day 3 ruled out the occurrence of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula.

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting post-operative abdominal infection in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy

AIM

The aim of this retrospective study is to develop and validate a predictive nomogram for predicting the risk of post-operative abdominal infection (PAI) in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD).

METHODS

A total of 360 patients who underwent PD were enrolled into this research and randomly divided into the development and validation group. The clinical data of patients were statistically compared and the nomogram was constructed based on the results of multivariate logistic regression analysis and stepwise (stepAIC) selection. The nomogram was internally and crossly validated by the development and validation cohort. The discriminatory ability of the nomogram was estimated by AUC (Area Under the receiver operating characteristic Curve), calibration curve and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

After PD, post-operative abdominal infection occurred in 33.89% (n = 122) of patients. The nomogram showed that preoperative biliary drainage and C-reactive protein (CRP), direct bilirubin (DB), alkaline phosphatase (AKP) levels on the 3rd postoperative day (POD3) were independent prognostic factors for abdominal infection after PD. The internal and cross validation of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve was statistically significant (AUC = 0.723 and 0.786, respectively). The calibration curves showed good agreement between nomogram predictions and actual observations. The decision curves showed that the nomogram was of great clinical value.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram based on perioperative risk factors such as preoperative biliary drainage, CRP, DB and AKP could simply and accurately predict the risk degree of PAI in patients undergoing PD.

C-reactive protein identifies patients at risk of postpancreatectomy hemorrhage

Background

Postpancreatectomy hemorrhage grade C (PPH C) is a dreaded complication after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) with high mortality rate. Concurrent risk factors for PPH C have been difficult to recognize. Connection between postoperative pancreatic fistulas (POPF) and PPH C is well known, but POPF is often unknown prior to the PPH. The aim of this retrospective study was to define potential predictive factors for PPH C.

Methods

Retrospectively, 517 patients who underwent PD between 2003 and 2018 were included in the study. Twenty-three patients with PPH C were identified, and a matched control group of 92 patients was randomly selected. Preoperative data (body mass index, cardiovascular disease, history of abdominal surgery, biliary stent, C-reactive protein (CRP), ASA-score), perioperative data (bleeding, pancreatic anastomosis, operation time), and postoperative data (CRP, drain amylase, POPF, biliary fistula) were analyzed as potential predictors of PPH C.

Results

High postoperative CRP (median 140 mg/L on day 5 or 6) correlated with the development of PPH C (p < 0.05). Postoperative drain amylase levels were not clinically relevant for occurrence of PPH C. Grade C POPF or biliary leak was observed in the majority of the PPH C patients, but the leaking anastomoses were not detected before the bleeding started.

Discussion

High postoperative CRP levels are related to an increased risk of PPH C.

Diagnostic value of C-reactive protein and procalcitonin for postoperative pancreatic fistula following pancreatoduodenectomy: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) have recently been used to diagnose and screen for postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) following pancreatoduodenectomy (PD), but their reliability is still unclear. Our study aims to assess the efficacy of CRP and PCT in the diagnosis of POPF after PD.

METHODS

Electronic databases such as PubMed, Excerpta Medica (EMBASE), the Web of Science (WOS) and the China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) were used to search for studies and full-text articles that assessed the diagnostic efficacy of CRP and PCT for POPF. Review Manager 5.4 and STATA 14.0 were used to estimate the pooled diagnostic value of CRP and PCT. Sensitivity analyses and Deeks' funnel plot tests were conducted on the selected studies.

RESULTS

Twenty studies that satisfied the established selection criteria were chosen. Both CRP and PCT were shown to be highly effective in diagnosing POPF, each with a high area under the curve (AUC). The AUC of CRP on postoperative day (POD) 4 had a value of 0.86, with a sensitivity and specificity of 0.85 and 0.69, respectively. The AUC of PCT on POD 5 had a value of 0.87, with a sensitivity and specificity of 0.84 and 0.74, respectively.

DISCUSSION

Our research supports the hypothesis that CRP and PCT are valuable diagnostic tools for predicting POPF, especially given the CRP levels on POD 4 and PCT levels on POD 5. Limited by the small number of the studies analyzed herein, we recommend that more randomized controlled trials be performed to verify our conclusions.

Comprehensive Diagnostic Nomogram for Predicting Clinically Relevant Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula After Pancreatoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

Clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) remains a severe and challenging complication of pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). This study aimed to establish a novel postoperative nomogram-based diagnostic model for the early detection of CR-POPF in patients subjected to PD.

METHODS

Consecutive patients who underwent PD in Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University from December 2018 to October 2020 were retrospectively enrolled. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors for CR-POPF. Then, a novel predictive nomogram was established accordingly.

RESULTS

Among the consecutive 176 patients who underwent PD, 37 (21.1%) patients developed CR-POPF. Through univariate and multivariate analyses, the drain amylase (P = 0.002), serum creatinine (P = 0.009), and serum C reactive protein (P = 0.045) at postoperative day 1 (POD1) as well as the neutrophil count (P = 0.025) and temperature (P = 0.025) at POD3 were identified as independent risk factors for CR-POPF. Based on this, a novel predictive nomogram containing these factors was constructed to predict the probability of CR-POPF after PD. The formulated nomogram showed better performance to detect CR-POPF after PD with a sensitivity of 0.784, specificity of 0.770, positive predictive value of 0.475, and negative predictive value of 0.930 when compared to other predictors. In addition, the predictive value of the nomogram was assessed by a concordance index of 0.814 (95% CI, 0.736-0.892), which was significantly higher than indicators alone. This was further validated and depicted by decision curve analysis and clinical impact curve.

CONCLUSION

This study established a diagnostic nomogram of postoperative objective parameters that can predict the development of CR-POPF after PD with a good discriminative ability and predictive accuracy.

Postoperative day 1 combination of serum C-reactive protein and drain amylase values predicts risks of clinically relevant pancreatic fistula. The "90-1000" score

BACKGROUND

Several scoring systems predict risks of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreatectomy, but none have emerged as the gold standard. This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of postoperative day 1 drain amylase and serum C-reactive protein levels in predicting clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula compared with intraoperative pancreatic characteristics.

METHODS

Patients who underwent pancreatectomy between 2017 and 2019 were included prospectively. Cutoff values were determined using receiver operating characteristic curves, and a score combining postoperative day 1 drain amylase and serum C-reactive protein was tested in a multivariate logistic regression model to evaluate clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula risk.

RESULTS

A total of 274 pancreatic resections (182 pancreaticoduodenectomies and 92 distal pancreatectomies) were included. The pancreatic gland texture was "soft" in 47.8% (n = 131), and 55.8% (n = 153) had a small size main pancreatic duct (≤3 mm). Clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula occurred in 58 patients (21.2%). Drain amylase ≥1,000 UI/L and serum C-reactive protein ≥90 mg/L were identified as the optimal cutoffs to predict clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula. On multivariate analysis these cutoffs were independent predictors of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after both pancreaticoduodenectomies (drain amylase: P < .001, serum C-reactive protein: P = .006) and distal pancreatectomies (drain amylase: P = .009, serum C-reactive protein: P = .001). The postoperative day 1 "90-1000" model, a 2-value score relying on these cutoffs, significantly (P < .001) outperformed intraoperative pancreatic parenchymal characteristics in predicting clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after both pancreaticoduodenectomies and distal pancreatectomies. A postoperative day 1 "90-1000" score = 0 had a negative predictive value of 97% and 94%, respectively, after pancreaticoduodenectomy and distal pancreatectomies.

CONCLUSION

A combined score relying on postoperative day 1 values of drain amylase and serum C-reactive protein levels was accurate in predicting risks of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreatectomy.

Post-operative procalcitonin and C-reactive protein predict pancreatic fistula after laparoscopic pancreatoduodenectomy

Background

Clinically relevant pancreatic fistula (CRPF) is a serious complication following laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy (LPD). This study aimed to determine if C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) serum levels could be used as early biomarkers to predict CRPF after LPD.

Methods

In this retrospective study, we collected peri-operative data of patients who underwent LPD between January 2019 and November 2019. We compared serum levels of white blood cells (WBC), CRP, and PCT on post-operative days (POD) 1, 2, 3, 5, and 7 between the CRPF and non-CRPF groups and analyzed the predictive risk factors for CRPF.

Results

Among the 186 patients included in this study, 18 patients (9.7%) developed CRPF, including 15 and 3 patients with grade B and C fistulas, respectively. The mean WBC, CRP, and PCT levels were higher on most PODs in the CRPF group compared to the non-CRPF group. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis indicated that CRP levels on POD 2, 5, and 7 can predict CRPF development after LPD, with the area under the curve (AUC) value reaching the highest level on POD 2 (AUC 0.794). PCT levels on POD 2, 3, 5, and 7 were highly predictive of CRPF after LPD. The highest AUC value was achieved on POD 3 [PCT > 2.10 ng/ml (AUC 0.951; sensitivity 88.2%, specificity 92.9%, P < 0.001)].

Conclusions

Both CRP and PCT levels can be used to predict CRPF development after LPD, with PCT having a higher predictive value.

Delayed post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage and bleeding recurrence after percutaneous endovascular treatment: risk factors from a bi-centric study of 307 consecutive patients

PURPOSE

Delayed post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH) is still one of the most dreaded complications after pancreatic surgery. Its management is now focused on percutaneous endovascular treatments (PETs).

METHODS

Between 2013 and 2019, 307 patients underwent pancreatic resection. The first endpoint of this study was to determine predictive factors of delayed PPH. The second endpoint was to describe the management of intra-abdominal abscesses (IAA). The third endpoint was to identify risk factors of bleeding recurrence after PET. Patients were divided into two cohorts: A retrospective analysis was performed ("cohort 1," "learning set") to highlight predictive factors of delayed PPH. Then, we validated it on a prospective maintained cohort, analyzed retrospectively ("cohort 2," "validation set"). Second and third endpoints studies were made on the entire cohort.

RESULTS

In cohort 1, including 180 patients, 24 experienced delayed PPH. Multivariate analysis revealed that POPF diagnosis on postoperative day (POD) 3 (p=0.004) and IAA (p=0.001) were independent predictive factors of delayed PPH. In cohort 2, association of POPF diagnosis on POD 3 and IAA was strongly associated with delayed PPH (area under the curve [AUC] 0.80; 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.59-0.94]; p=0.003). Concerning our second endpoint, delayed PPH occurred less frequently in patients who underwent postoperative drainage procedure than in patients without IAA drainage (p=0.002). Concerning our third endpoint, a higher body mass index (BMI) (p=0.027), occurrence of postoperative IAA (p=0.030), and undrained IAA (p=0.011) were associated with bleeding recurrence after the first PET procedure.

CONCLUSION

POPF diagnosis on POD 3 and intra-abdominal abscesses are independent predictive factors of delayed PPH. Therefore, patients presenting an insufficiently drained POPF leading to intra-abdominal abscess after pancreatic surgery should be considered as a high-risk situation of delayed PPH. High BMI, occurrence of postoperative IAA, and undrained IAA were associated with recurrence of bleeding after PET.

The diagnostic value of C-reactive protein for predicting pancreatic fistula following pancreatoduodenectomy

INTRODUCTION

Pancreaticoduodenectomy is the preferred treatment of neoplasms in the pancreas and duodenum. Postoperative pancreatic fistula is a critical complication. A potential predictive marker is C-reactive protein. This retrospective study examined the predictive value of C-reactive protein as a marker for development of postoperative pancreatic fistulas.

METHODS

All patients who had a pancreaticoduodenectomy from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2019, were included. Levels of the biomarker and linear trajectory were determined for postoperative days one to four. Univariate analysis was used to identify predictive variables for a postoperative pancreatic fistula. Receiver operating characteristics curves, specificity, and sensitivity were calculated.

RESULTS

Five hundred and fifty-two patients underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy. C-reactive protein level greater than 121.5mg/L on the third postoperative day and an increase in C-reactive protein level between the first and fourth postoperative days, greater than 21.7mg/L, seemed to be reliable predictors. For Grade C postoperative pancreatic fistulas, increases in C-reactive protein, greater than 40.6ml/L the first four postoperative days, had a sensitivity of 100%. White blood cell count did not have similar reliability in predicting postoperative pancreatic fistulas.

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate that small rises in C-reactive protein during the first postoperative days after pancreaticoduodenectomy are associated with an increased risk of developing postoperative pancreatic fistula.

Postoperative elevation of C-reactive protein levels and high drain fluid amylase output are strong predictors of pancreatic fistulas after distal pancreatectomy

BACKGROUND

The aim of the present study was to identify the predictors of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after distal pancreatectomy (DP).

METHODS

The records of 97 consecutive patients who underwent DP at Ehime University Hospital between June 2009 and August 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. Patient characteristics, preoperative blood biochemistry data, operative findings, and postoperative findings until postoperative day (POD) 3 were investigated as potential predictors of clinically relevant POPF (CR-POPF). The product of the drain fluid amylase (DFA) value (U/L) and the drainage amount (mL/day) was defined as DFA output (U/day).

RESULTS

Of 97 patients who underwent DP, 23 (23.7%) developed CR-POPF. On multivariate analyses, high C-reactive protein (CRP) levels on POD 3 (>14.0 mg/dL) and high DFA output on POD 3 (>34 U/day) were found to be independent predictors of CR-POPF (odds ratios, 7.580 and 4.751, respectively; 95% confidence intervals, 2.052-27.995 and 1.487-15.175, respectively). Furthermore, the CRP value was helpful for predicting delayed CR-POPF in patients without POPF on POD3, and DFA output was useful for predicting the development of CR-POPF in patients diagnosed with POPF on POD3.

CONCLUSION

Postoperative CRP values and DFA output may facilitate appropriate postoperative management after DP.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of factors associated with post-operative pancreatic fistula following pancreatoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

Many studies have explored factors relating to post-operative pancreatic fistula (POPF); however, the original definition (All-POPF) was revised to include only 'clinically relevant' (CR) POPF. This study identified variables associated with the two International Study Group on Pancreatic Surgery definitions to identify which variables are more strongly associated with CR-POPF.

METHODS

A systematic review identified all studies reporting risk factors for POPF (using both International Study Group on Pancreatic Fistula definitions) following pancreatoduodenectomy. The primary outcome was factors associated with CR-POPF. Meta-analyses (random effects models) of pre-, intra- and post-operative factors associated with POPF in more than two studies were included.

RESULTS

Among 52 774 patients All-POPF (n = 69 studies) and CR-POPF (n = 53 studies) affected 27% (95% confidence interval (CI_95% ) 23-30) and 19% (CI_95% 17-22), respectively. Of the 176 factors, 24 and 17 were associated with All- and CR-POPF, respectively. Absence of pre-operative pancreatitis, presence of renal disease, no pre-operative neoadjuvant therapy, use of post-operative somatostatin analogues, absence of associated venous or arterial resection were associated with CR-POPF but not All-POPF.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion this study demonstrates wide variation in reported rates of POPF and that several risk factors associated with CR-POPF are not used within risk prediction models. Data from this study can be used to shape future studies, research and audit across ethnic and geographic boundaries in POPF following pancreatoduodenectomy.

C-reactive protein and drain amylase accurately predict clinically relevant pancreatic fistula after partial pancreaticoduodenectomy

BACKROUND

C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) have shown to be reliable predictors of inflammatory complications and anastomotic leak after colorectal surgery. Their predictive value after partial pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) remains unclear.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All consecutive pancreaticoduodenectomies (2009-2018) at our hospital were included. Drain amylase was evaluated on postoperative day (POD) 1, serum CRP and PCT were evaluated on POD 1-3. Receiver-operating characteristics curves were performed and significant cut-off values were tested using logistic regression.

RESULTS

Among 188 patients who underwent partial PD, clinically relevant pancreatic fistulas (POPF) occurred in 30 (16%) patients, including 20 (10.6%) with Grade B and 10 (5.3%) patients with Grade C. Postoperative complications (Clavien-Dindo ≥ III) were reported in 46 (24.5%) patients, including Grade IIIa in 16 (8.5%), IIIb in 18 (9.6%), IVa in 3 (1.6%), IVb in 2 (1.1%) and V in 7 (3.7%) patients. Drain amylase on POD 1 showed the largest area under the curve (0.872, p < 0.001), followed by CRP (0.803, p < 0.001) and PCT on POD 3 (0.651, p < 0.011). Drain amylase on POD 1 > 303 U/l (OR 0.045, 95% CI 0.010-0.195, p < 0.001), CRP > 203 mg/l (OR 0.098, 95% CI 0.041-0.235, p < 0.001) and PCT > 0.85 μg/l (OR 0.393, 95%CI 0.178-0.869, p = 0.02) were significant predictors of relevant POPF in the univariate analysis. CRP > 203 mg/l (OR 0.098, 95% CI 0.024-0.403, p = 0.001) and drain amylase > 303 U/l (OR 0.064, 95% CI 0.007-0.554, p = 0.01) remained independent predictors in the multivariable analysis. The combination of drain amylase on POD 1 and CRP on POD 3 had a sensitivity and specificity of 87.4% and 90.9% to predict relevant POPF.

CONCLUSION

Drain amylase on POD 1 and CRP on POD 3 can accurately predict clinically relevant POPF after partial pancreaticoduodenectomy. The accuracy of PCT on POD 3 is limited.

Role of post-operative serum C-reactive protein levels as a predictor of complications in upper gastrointestinal surgery

BACKGROUND

This study was undertaken to assess the value of C-reactive protein (CRP) in predicting infective complications after elective upper gastrointestinal surgery.

METHODS

Demographic data, clinical outcomes and serial CRPs preoperatively to post-operative day (POD) 7 were collected for patients undergoing pancreatectomy, hepatectomy and oesophago-gastrectomy between 2005 and 2016. Areas under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate diagnostic accuracy per day of measurement.

RESULTS

Of the 249 patients, 63 (25.3%) developed infective complications and 25 (10%) developed severe infective complications (≥Clavien-Dindo Grade III). Patients with infective complications trended towards higher CRP levels on POD1-POD4 and had significantly higher CRP levels on POD5 (156 versus 114 mg/dL; P = 0.03), POD6 (146 versus 93 mg/dL; P < 0.01) and POD7 (135 versus 84.6 mg/dL; P < 0.01). CRP had the best diagnostic accuracy for severe infective complications on POD6 (AUC: 0.73) and POD7 (AUC: 0.63). A CRP cut-off of 120 mg/dL on POD6 had a negative predictive value of 96.1% and a CRP cut-off of 80 mg/dL on POD7 had a negative predictive value of 94.9%.

CONCLUSION

CRP measurements can be used as a negative predictive marker of infective complications in the first post-operative week after major elective upper gastrointestinal surgery.