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Ruz-Caracuel I, Caniego-Casas T, Alonso-Gordoa T, Carretero-Barrio I, Ariño-Palao C, Santón A, Rosas M, Pian H, Molina-Cerrillo J, Luengo P, Palacios J. Transcriptomic Differences in Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma According to Grade. Endocr Pathol 2024:10.1007/s12022-024-09817-0. [PMID: 38958823 DOI: 10.1007/s12022-024-09817-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/25/2024] [Indexed: 07/04/2024]
Abstract
Medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) is a rare cancer derived from neuroendocrine C-cells of the thyroid. In contrast to other neuroendocrine tumors, a histological grading system was lacking until recently. A novel two-tier grading system based on the presence of high proliferation or necrosis is associated with prognosis. Transcriptomic analysis was conducted on 21 MTCs, including 9 high-grade tumors, with known mutational status, using the NanoString Tumor Signaling 360 Panel. This analysis, covering 760 genes, revealed upregulation of the genes EGLN3, EXO1, UBE2T, UBE2C, FOXM1, CENPA, DLL3, CCNA2, SOX2, KIF23, and CDCA5 in high-grade MTCs. Major pathways differentially expressed between high-grade and low-grade MTCs were DNA damage repair, p53 signaling, cell cycle, apoptosis, and Myc signaling. Validation through qRT-PCR in 30 MTCs demonstrated upregulation of ASCL1, DLL3, and SOX2 in high-grade MTCs, a gene signature akin to small-cell lung carcinoma, molecular subgroup A. Subsequently, DLL3 expression was validated by immunohistochemistry. MTCs with DLL3 overexpression (defined as ≥ 50% of positive tumor cells) were associated with significantly lower disease-free survival (p = 0.041) and overall survival (p = 0.01). Moreover, MTCs with desmoplasia had a significantly increased expression of DLL3. Our data supports the idea that DLL3 should be further explored as a predictor of aggressive disease and poor outcomes in MTC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ignacio Ruz-Caracuel
- Pathology Department, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, IRYCIS, 28034, Madrid, Spain.
- CIBER-Cáncer (CIBERONC), Madrid, Spain.
| | - Tamara Caniego-Casas
- Pathology Department, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, IRYCIS, 28034, Madrid, Spain
- CIBER-Cáncer (CIBERONC), Madrid, Spain
| | - Teresa Alonso-Gordoa
- Medical Oncology Department, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, IRYCIS, 28034, Madrid, Spain
| | - Irene Carretero-Barrio
- Pathology Department, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, IRYCIS, 28034, Madrid, Spain
- CIBER-Cáncer (CIBERONC), Madrid, Spain
- Medicine School, Alcalá University, 28805, Madrid, Spain
| | - Carmen Ariño-Palao
- Pathology Department, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, IRYCIS, 28034, Madrid, Spain
- Medicine School, Alcalá University, 28805, Madrid, Spain
| | - Almudena Santón
- Pathology Department, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, IRYCIS, 28034, Madrid, Spain
- CIBER-Cáncer (CIBERONC), Madrid, Spain
| | - Marta Rosas
- Pathology Department, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, IRYCIS, 28034, Madrid, Spain
| | - Héctor Pian
- Pathology Department, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, IRYCIS, 28034, Madrid, Spain
| | - Javier Molina-Cerrillo
- Medical Oncology Department, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, IRYCIS, 28034, Madrid, Spain
| | - Patricia Luengo
- General Surgery Department, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, IRYCIS, 28034, Madrid, Spain
| | - José Palacios
- Pathology Department, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, IRYCIS, 28034, Madrid, Spain
- CIBER-Cáncer (CIBERONC), Madrid, Spain
- Medicine School, Alcalá University, 28805, Madrid, Spain
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Aksoy YA, Xu B, Viswanathan K, Ahadi MS, Al Ghuzlan A, Alzumaili B, Bani MA, Barletta JA, Chau N, Chou A, Clarkson A, Clifton-Bligh RJ, De Leo A, Dogan S, Ganly I, Ghossein R, Gild ML, Glover AR, Hadoux J, Lamartina L, Lubin DJ, Magliocca K, Najdawi F, Nigam A, Papachristos A, Repaci A, Robinson BG, Sheen A, Shi Q, Sidhu SB, Sioson L, Solaroli E, Sywak MS, Tallini G, Tsang V, Turchini J, Untch BR, Gill AJ, Fuchs TL. Novel prognostic nomogram for predicting recurrence-free survival in medullary thyroid carcinoma. Histopathology 2024; 84:947-959. [PMID: 38253940 DOI: 10.1111/his.15141] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2023] [Revised: 12/18/2023] [Accepted: 01/02/2024] [Indexed: 01/24/2024]
Abstract
AIMS Recently, there have been attempts to improve prognostication and therefore better guide treatment for patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). In 2022, the International MTC Grading System (IMTCGS) was developed and validated using a multi-institutional cohort of 327 patients. The aim of the current study was to build upon the findings of the IMTCGS to develop and validate a prognostic nomogram to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) in MTC. METHODS AND RESULTS Data from 300 patients with MTC from five centres across the USA, Europe, and Australia were used to develop a prognostic nomogram that included the following variables: age, sex, AJCC stage, tumour size, mitotic count, necrosis, Ki67 index, lymphovascular invasion, microscopic extrathyroidal extension, and margin status. A process of 10-fold cross-validation was used to optimize the model's performance. To assess discrimination and calibration, the area-under-the-curve (AUC) of a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, concordance-index (C-index), and dissimilarity index (D-index) were calculated. Finally, the model was externally validated using a separate cohort of 87 MTC patients. The model demonstrated very strong performance, with an AUC of 0.94, a C-index of 0.876, and a D-index of 19.06. When applied to the external validation cohort, the model had an AUC of 0.9. CONCLUSIONS Using well-established clinicopathological prognostic variables, we developed and externally validated a robust multivariate prediction model for RFS in patients with resected MTC. The model demonstrates excellent predictive capability and may help guide decisions on patient management. The nomogram is freely available online at https://nomograms.shinyapps.io/MTC_ML_DFS/.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yagiz A Aksoy
- Cancer Diagnosis and Pathology Group, Kolling Institute of Medical Research, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- NSW Health Pathology, Department of Anatomical Pathology, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Bin Xu
- Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Kartik Viswanathan
- Department of Pathology, Emory University Hospital Midtown, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Mahsa S Ahadi
- Cancer Diagnosis and Pathology Group, Kolling Institute of Medical Research, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- NSW Health Pathology, Department of Anatomical Pathology, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Abir Al Ghuzlan
- Medical Pathology and Biology Department, Gustave Roussy Campus Cancer, Villejuif, France
| | - Bayan Alzumaili
- Department of Pathology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Mohamed-Amine Bani
- Medical Pathology and Biology Department, Gustave Roussy Campus Cancer, Villejuif, France
| | - Justine A Barletta
- Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Nicole Chau
- Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Angela Chou
- Cancer Diagnosis and Pathology Group, Kolling Institute of Medical Research, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- NSW Health Pathology, Department of Anatomical Pathology, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Adele Clarkson
- Cancer Diagnosis and Pathology Group, Kolling Institute of Medical Research, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- NSW Health Pathology, Department of Anatomical Pathology, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
| | - Roderick J Clifton-Bligh
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- University of Sydney Endocrine Surgery Unit, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
| | - Antonio De Leo
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences (DIMEC), University of Bologna Medical Center, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Snjezana Dogan
- Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Ian Ganly
- Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Ronald Ghossein
- Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Matti L Gild
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- Department of Endocrinology, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
| | - Anthony R Glover
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- University of Sydney Endocrine Surgery Unit, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
| | - Julien Hadoux
- Endocrine Oncology, Gustave Roussy Campus Cancer, Villejuif, France
| | - Livia Lamartina
- Endocrine Oncology, Gustave Roussy Campus Cancer, Villejuif, France
| | - Daniel J Lubin
- Department of Pathology, Emory University Hospital Midtown, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Kelly Magliocca
- Department of Pathology, Emory University Hospital Midtown, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Fedaa Najdawi
- Department of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Aradhya Nigam
- Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Alex Papachristos
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- University of Sydney Endocrine Surgery Unit, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- Department of Endocrinology, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
| | - Andrea Repaci
- Division of Endocrinology and Diabetes Prevention and Care, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Bruce G Robinson
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- University of Sydney Endocrine Surgery Unit, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- Department of Endocrinology, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
| | - Amy Sheen
- Cancer Diagnosis and Pathology Group, Kolling Institute of Medical Research, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- NSW Health Pathology, Department of Anatomical Pathology, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
| | - Qiuying Shi
- Department of Pathology, Emory University Hospital Midtown, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Stan B Sidhu
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- University of Sydney Endocrine Surgery Unit, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- Department of Endocrinology, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
| | - Loretta Sioson
- Cancer Diagnosis and Pathology Group, Kolling Institute of Medical Research, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- NSW Health Pathology, Department of Anatomical Pathology, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
| | - Erica Solaroli
- Endocrinology Unit, Azienda USL di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Mark S Sywak
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- University of Sydney Endocrine Surgery Unit, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
| | - Giovanni Tallini
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences (DIMEC), University of Bologna Medical Center, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Venessa Tsang
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- Department of Endocrinology, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
| | - John Turchini
- Cancer Diagnosis and Pathology Group, Kolling Institute of Medical Research, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- Douglass Hanly Moir Pathology, Macquarie Park, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Brian R Untch
- Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Anthony J Gill
- Cancer Diagnosis and Pathology Group, Kolling Institute of Medical Research, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- NSW Health Pathology, Department of Anatomical Pathology, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Talia L Fuchs
- Cancer Diagnosis and Pathology Group, Kolling Institute of Medical Research, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, NSW, Australia
- Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- Douglass Hanly Moir Pathology, Macquarie Park, New South Wales, Australia
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Guo ZT, Tian K, Xie XY, Zhang YH, Fang DB. Machine Learning for Predicting Distant Metastasis of Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma Using the SEER Database. Int J Endocrinol 2023; 2023:9965578. [PMID: 38186857 PMCID: PMC10771334 DOI: 10.1155/2023/9965578] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/24/2023] [Revised: 12/19/2023] [Accepted: 12/21/2023] [Indexed: 01/09/2024] Open
Abstract
Objectives We aimed to establish an effective machine learning (ML) model for predicting the risk of distant metastasis (DM) in medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). Methods Demographic data of MTC patients were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database of the National Institutes of Health between 2004 and 2015 to develop six ML algorithm models. Models were evaluated based on accuracy, precision, recall rate, F1-score, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The association between clinicopathological characteristics and target variables was interpreted. Analyses were performed using traditional logistic regression (LR). Results In total, 2049 patients were included and 138 developed DM. Multivariable LR showed that age, sex, tumor size, extrathyroidal extension, and lymph node metastasis were predictive features for DM in MTC. Among the six ML models, the random forest (RF) had the best predictability in assessing the risk of DM in MTC, with an accuracy, precision, recall rate, F1-score, and AUC higher than those of the traditional binary LR model. Conclusion RF was superior to traditional LR in predicting the risk of DM in MTC and can provide a valuable reference for clinicians in decision-making.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhen-Tian Guo
- Department of General Surgery, Beijing Electric Power Hospital, State Grid Corporation China, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100073, China
| | - Kun Tian
- Department of General Surgery, Beijing Electric Power Hospital, State Grid Corporation China, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100073, China
| | - Xi-Yuan Xie
- Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian 350001, China
| | - Yu-Hang Zhang
- Mudanjiang Medical University, Mudanjiang, Heilongjiang 157000, China
| | - De-Bao Fang
- Hefei National Laboratory for Physical Sciences at Microscale, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230027, Anhui, China
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Torricelli F, Santandrea G, Botti C, Ragazzi M, Vezzani S, Frasoldati A, Ghidini A, Giordano D, Zanetti E, Rossi T, Nicoli D, Ciarrocchi A, Piana S. Medullary Thyroid Carcinomas Classified According to the International Medullary Carcinoma Grading System and a Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Based Metastatic Risk Score: A Correlation With Genetic Profile and Angioinvasion. Mod Pathol 2023; 36:100244. [PMID: 37307881 DOI: 10.1016/j.modpat.2023.100244] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/16/2023] [Revised: 05/17/2023] [Accepted: 06/05/2023] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Due to the lack of a standardized tool for risk-based stratification, the International Medullary Carcinoma Grading System (IMTCGS) has been proposed for medullary thyroid carcinomas (MTCs) based on necrosis, mitosis, and Ki67. Similarly, a risk stratification study using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database highlighted significant differences in MTCs in terms of clinical-pathological variables. We aimed to validate both the IMTCGS and SEER-based risk table on 66 MTC cases, with special attention to angioinvasion and the genetic profile. We found a significant association between the IMTCGS and survival because patients classified as high-grade had a lower event-free survival probability. Angioinvasion was also found to be significantly correlated with metastasis and death. Applying the SEER-based risk table, patients classified either as intermediate- or high-risk had a lower survival rate than low-risk patients. In addition, high-grade IMTCGS cases had a higher average SEER-based risk score than low-grade cases. Moreover, when we explored angioinvasion in correlation with the SEER-based risk table, patients with angioinvasion had a higher average SEER-based score than patients without angioinvasion. Deep sequencing analysis found that 10 out of 20 genes frequently mutated in MTCs belonged to a specific functional class, namely chromatin organization, and function, which may be responsible for the MTC heterogeneity. In addition, the genetic signature identified 3 main clusters; cases belonging to cluster II displayed a significantly higher number of mutations and higher tumor mutational burden, suggesting increased genetic instability, but cluster I was associated with the highest number of negative events. In conclusion, we confirmed the prognostic performance of the IMTCGS and SEER-based risk score, showing that patients classified as high-grade had a lower event-free survival probability. We also underline that angioinvasion has a significant prognostic role, which has not been incorporated in previous risk scores.
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Affiliation(s)
- Federica Torricelli
- Laboratory of Translational Research, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Giacomo Santandrea
- Pathology Unit, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy; Clinical and Experimental Medicine PhD Program, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Cecilia Botti
- Clinical and Experimental Medicine PhD Program, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Moira Ragazzi
- Pathology Unit, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy; Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences for Children and Adults, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Silvia Vezzani
- Endocrinology Unit, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Andrea Frasoldati
- Endocrinology Unit, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Angelo Ghidini
- Otolaryngology Unit, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Davide Giordano
- Otolaryngology Unit, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Eleonora Zanetti
- Pathology Unit, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Teresa Rossi
- Laboratory of Translational Research, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Davide Nicoli
- Laboratory of Molecular Pathology, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Alessia Ciarrocchi
- Laboratory of Translational Research, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
| | - Simonetta Piana
- Pathology Unit, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
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